Talk Elections

VA
Obama 51%(nc)
McCain 47%(nc)

CO
Obama 51%(+1)
McCain 47%(+1)

MO
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 49%(nc)

OH
McCain 49%(+4)
Obama 49%(nc)

NC
McCain 50%(+1)
Obama 49%(+1)

FL
McCain 50%(+3)
Obama 49%(-2)

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/11/03/fox-newsrasmussen-reports-poll-mccain-narrows-gap-in-battleground-states/

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.

I look forward to the inevitable egg on the face of one Scott Rasmussen.

is there anything that doesn't make you that?

why? they're good numbers for us.

Down 4 in VA and CO, down 6 in PA, tied in OH and MO, and up 1 in FL and NC. Down 6 nationally.

Yeah, I'd be optimistic too.

I think he's wrong in FL and Ohio.

only if they're accurate

Of course you do hack.

Obama ahead in CO and VA, tied in MO, OH, FL and NC, and Rasmussen has a slight Republican tilt. I'm happy.

11/2, not 11/3

Actually, only if they're inaccurate. Unless rowan just cares about the Reps not getting hammered too badly.

Perhaps what he's caring about is McCain dragging down downballot Republicans - he needn't worry in that case. McCain's running well ahead of Generic Republican at 6 points down, and will run ahead of Congressional Republicans Tallied.

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?

Well today is the 3rd so I put 11/3.

Uhh, they were taken on different days. Wake up.

They're all over the place in Florida - they've gone

O+5
M+1
O+4
M+1

in their last four polls.

M-D are supposed to be the gold standard in Florida, and they are at O+2. I should also point out that the last 16 florida polls before this one have all been Obama leads, with one Zogby tie.

No, because its like that with all the polls they did for Fox. They ended up being more pro-McCain then the polls they did on their own. Go back and look at the polls.

...scratches head...

That's incorrect.  Compare 10/19 (for FOX) to 10/23 (for himself)

Also these number don't match up with Rasy daily national poll. I smell something very fishy.

On avg they have been more pro-McCain.

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:

()

Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.

North Carolina won't flip before Nevada. NC is the only state I am unsure about, because I know black and young people are turning out heavily early. It could flip, but polling is showing a trend back to McCain. It could be 50/50 on both the President and Governor's races, but I am almost certain Hagan wins by 4-5.

I agree President/Governor's races are 50/50, but Hagan wins by 5%

The last Rasmussen poll out of NC had McCrory up 4, and the last PPP had Perdue up 1. If you factor in the house effect of PPP's Dem lean, then I would say McCrory is up by 1-2 points. But that race could go either way.

It is actually

MO
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 49%(+2)

Not 11, but Obama is going to be running up the PV in NY, CA, IL, and the Northeast. 

Yes. I still don't think he breaks 60% in California. The GOP has a floor there.

gay results. Now it's virtually impossible to predict all the states correctly using objective methods. You basically have to guess who has the better organization/how undecideds will break.

Finally, OH and FL look like expected reality.

Are these polls tight enough or what? lol

hope.

McCain breaks 60% in ND? LOL.

I'm content with these results.  I still think we are going to lose (handily), but if it's going to be tight, I'm all for it.

I think the outcome is still up in the air in at least 10 states, ridiculous