Talk Elections

General Politics => Political Geography & Demographics => Topic started by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 07:52:59 PM



Title: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 07:52:59 PM
STATE OF CALIFORNIA -- REGISTRATION NUMBERS AS OF NOVEMBER 2008 ELECTION
Does not include the counties of Del Norte, Modoc and Sutter.

President: 61-37 Obama
Proposition Eight: 52-48 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 44%, Republican 31%, DTS 20%

Males (49%): Democratic 41%, Republican 33%, DTS 22%
Females (51%): Democratic 48%, Republican 30%, DTS 18%

18-34 (27%): Democratic 41%, Republican 24%, DTS 29%
35-54 (37%): Democratic 43%, Republican 32%, DTS 21%
55+ (36%): Democratic 48%, Republican 36%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (20%): Democratic 57%, Republican 20%, DTS 19%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 48%, Republican 30%, DTS 18%
Korean (1%): Democratic 37%, Republican 27%, DTS 33%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 47%, Republican 30%, DTS 21%
Chinese (3%): Democratic 31%, Republican 20%, DTS 45%
Indian (1%): Democratic 50%, Republican 16%, DTS 31%
Vietnamese (1%): Democratic 30%, Republican 34%, DTS 31%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 44%, Republican 27%, DTS 26%
Other (68%): Democratic 41%, Republican 36%, DTS 19%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 07:53:30 PM
Alameda
President: 79-19 Obama
Proposition Eight: 38-62 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 58%, Republican 15%, DTS 23%

Males (50%): Democratic 52%, Republican 17%, DTS 26%
Females (50%): Democratic 63%, Republican 14%, DTS 20%

18-34 (28%): Democratic 54%, Republican 9%, DTS 31%
35-54 (38%): Democratic 56%, Republican 16%, DTS 24%
55%+ (34%): Democratic 62%, Republican 20%, DTS 15%

Hispanic (12%): Democratic 65%, Republican 10%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 62%, Republican 14%, DTS 18%
Korean (1%): Democratic 42%, Republican 16%, DTS 39%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 60%, Republican 15%, DTS 21%
Chinese (7%): Democratic 36%, Republican 12%, DTS 49%
Indian (2%): Democratic 57%, Republican 8%, DTS 32%
Vietnamese (2%): Democratic 39%, Republican 20%, DTS 35%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 53%, Republican 17%, DTS 27%
Other (69%): Democratic 59%, Republican 16%, DTS 20%

Alpine
President: 61-36 Obama
Proposition Eight: 44-56 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 37%, Republican 35%, DTS 22%

Males (52%): Democratic 33%, Republican 37%, DTS 23%
Females (48%): Democratic 42%, Republican 32%, DTS 21%

18-34 (16%): Democratic 34%, Republican 19%, DTS 35%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 39%, Republican 32%, DTS 23%
55+ (48%): Democratic 37%, Republican 41%, DTS 17%

Hispanic (3%): ***
Jewish (4%): Democratic 36%, Republican 33%, DTS 18%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): ***
Chinese (1%): ***
Indian (1%): ***
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): ***
Other (91%): Democratic 36%, Republican 36%, DTS 22%

Amador
President: 41-56 McCain
Proposition Eight: 64-36 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 35%, Republican 45%, DTS 15%

Males (50%): Democratic 31%, Republican 48%, DTS 16%
Females (50%: Democratic 39%, Republican 43%, DTS 14%

18-34 (14%): Democratic 23%, Republican 41%, DTS 27%
35-54 (29%): Democratic 28%, Republican 48%, DTS 18%
55+ (56%): Democratic 41%, Republican 45%, DTS 10%

Hispanic (5%): Democratic 46%, Republican 31%, DTS 18%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 36%, Republican 42%, DTS 16%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 41%, Republican 44%, DTS 15%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 47%, Republican 16%, DTS 31%
Indian (0%): Democratic 33%, Republican 30%, DTS 27%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 51%, Republican 36%, DTS 10%
Other (90%): Democratic 34%, Republican 46%, DTS 15%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 08:13:52 PM
Butte
President: 50-47 Obama
Proposition Eight: 56-44 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 36%, Republican 39%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 33%, Republican 41%, DTS 20%
Females (52%): Democratic 40%, Republican 37%, DTS 8%

18-34 (27%): Democratic 35%, Republican 27%, DTS 29%
35-54 (30%): Democratic 32%, Republican 41%, DTS 20%
55+ (43%): Democratic 40%, Republican 45%, DTS 11%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 52%, Republican 21%, DTS 22%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 40%, Republican 37%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 30%, DTS 31%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 35%, DTS 22%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 47%, Republican 24%, DTS 25%
Indian (0%): Democratic 42%, Republican 29%, DTS 25%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 26%, DTS 25%
Filipino (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 29%, DTS 22%
Other (88%): Democratic 35%, Republican 40%, DTS 18%

Calaveras
President: 42-55 McCain
Proposition Eight: 63-37 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 34%, Republican 43%, DTS 17%

Males (49%): Democratic 30%, Republican 46%, DTS 17%
Females (51%): Democratic 38%, Republican 41%, DTS 16%

18-34 (15%): Democratic 23%, Republican 38%, DTS 29%
35-54 (31%): Democratic 28%, Republican 45%, DTS 19%
55+ (54%): Democratic 40%, Republican 44%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (6%): Democratic 46%, Republican 29%, DTS 19%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 36%, Republican 42%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 38%, Republican 25%, DTS 28%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 29%, Republican 45%, DTS 21%
Indian (0%): Democratic 52%, Republican 30%, DTS 14%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 40%, Republican 38%, DTS 18%
Other (89%): Democratic 33%, ,Republican 44%, DTS 16%

Colusa
President: 58-40 McCain
Proposition Eight: 72-28 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 36%, Republican 46%, DTS 16%

Males (48%): Democratic 33%, Republican 48%, DTS 16%
Females (52%): Democratic 39%, Republican 44%, DTS 16%

18-34 (23%): Democratic 31%, Republican 39%, DTS 27%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 32%, Republican 48%, DTS 17%
55+ (43%): Democratic 42%, Republican 8%, DTS 9%

Hispanic (25%): Democratic 57%, Republican 19%, DTS 22%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 21%, Republican 64%, DTS 13%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): ***
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (1%): Democratic 59%, Republican 25%, DTS 15%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 72%, Republican 26%, DTS 2%
Other (70%): Democratic 29%, Republican 55%, Other 14%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 08:33:02 PM
Contra Costa
President: 68-30 Obama
Proposition Eight: 45-55 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 50%, Republican 26%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 46%, Republican 29%, DTS 21%
Females (52%): Democratic 55%, Republican 24%, DTS 18%

18-34 (22%): Democratic 48%, Republican 16%, DTS 29%
35-54 (39%): Democratic 49%, Republican 27%, DTS 20%
55+ (39%): Democratic 53%, Republican 32%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (12%): Democratic 61%, Republican 15%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 52%, Republican 27%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 22%, DTS 32%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 58%, Republican 20%, DTS 19%
Chinese (3%): Democratic 37%, Republican 20%, DTS 40%
Indian (1%): Democratic 55%, Republican 12%, DTS 30%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 37%, Republican 25%, DTS 33%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 50%, Republican 20%, DTS 26%
Other (77%): Democratic 49%, Republican 29%, DTS 18%

Del Norte
President: 45-52 McCain
Proposition Eight: 60-40 Yes

No data available at this time.

El Dorado
President: 44-54 McCain
Proposition Eight: 58-42 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 31%, Republican 46%, DTS 18%

Males (49%): Democratic 27%, Republican 48%, DTS 19%
Females (51%): Democratic 35%, Republican 43%, DTS 17%

18-34 (17%): Democratic 23%, Republican 36%, DTS 31%
35-54 (39%): Democratic 27%, Republican 48%, DTS 20%
55+ (45%): Democratic 37%, Republican 47%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (5%): Democratic 43%, Republican 31%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 33%, Republican 44%, DTS 18%
Korean (0%): Democratic 31%, Republican 34%, DTS 32%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 36%, DTS 22%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 27%, Republican 35%, DTS 33%
Indian (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 24%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 25%, Republican 41%, DTS 29%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 36%, DTS 24%
Other (89%): Democratic 30%, Republican 47%, DTS 18%

Fresno
President: 50-48 Obama
Proposition Eight: 69-31 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 40%, Republican 43%, DTS 13%

Males (48%): Democratic 37%, Republican 44%, DTS 14%
Females (52%): Democratic 43%, Republican 41%, DTS 13%

18-34 (32%): Democratic 34%, Republican 40%, DTS 20%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 38%, Republican 45%, DTS 13%
55+ (34%): Democratic 47%, Republican 43%, DTS 7%

Hispanic (31%): Democratic 55%, Republican 27%, DTS 14%
Jewish (2%): Democratic 30%, Republican 54%, DTS 12%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 37%, DTS 22%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 37%, Republican 48%, DTS 12%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 34%, Republican 39%, DTS 22%
Indian (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 26%, DTS 23%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 27%, Republican 41%, DTS 25%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 41%, Republican 37%, DTS 18%
Other (63%): Democratic 33%, Republican 50%, DTS 12%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 08:50:28 PM
Glenn
President: 38-60 McCain
Proposition Eight: 73-27 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 33%, Republican 46%, DTS 17%

Males (48%): Democratic 28%, Republican 50%, DTS 17%
Females (52%): Democratic 37%, Republican 42%, DTS 17%

18-34 (22%): Democratic 24%, Republican 38%, DTS 31%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 28%, Republican 48%, DTS 19%
55+ (44%): Democratic 40%, Republican 48%, DTS 9%

Hispanic (15%): Democratic 56%, Republican 18%, DTS 23%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 22%, Republican 56%, DTS 16%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): ***
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (1%): Democratic 43%, Republican 32%, DTS 17%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 41%, Republican 36%, DTS 18%
Other (80%): Democratic 28%, Republican 51%, DTS 16%

Humboldt
President: 62-34 Obama
Proposition Eight: 40-60 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 43%, Republican 27%, DTS 21%

Males (48%): Democratic 38%, Republican 29%, DTS 23%
Females (52%): Democratic 47%, Republican 25%, DTS 20%

18-34 (29%): Democratic 35%, Republican 17%, DTS 36%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 41%, Republican 29%, DTS 20%
55+ (9%): Democratic 50%, Republican 34%, DTS 11%

Hispanic (4%): Democratic 49%, Republican 17%, DTS 25%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 48%, Republican 21%, DTS 22%
Korean (0%): Democratic 38%, Republican 25%, DTS 32%
Japanese (0%):    Democratic 44%, Republican 16%, DTS 27%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 24%, DTS 29%
Indian (0%): Democratic 44%, Republican 27%, DTS 22%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 33%, Republican 20%, DTS 40%
Filipino (0%): Democratic 44%, Republican 22%, DTS 27%
Other (90%): Democratic 43%, Republican 28%, DTS 21%

Imperial
President: 62-36 Obama
Proposition Eight: 70-30 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 53%, Republican 28%, DTS 16%

Males (48%): Democratic 51%, Republican 29%, DTS 17%
Females (52%): Democratic 55%, Republican 27%, DTS 16%

18-34 (31%): Democratic 47%, Republican 27%, DTS 22%
35-54 (35%): Democratic 50%, Republican 29%, DTS 18%
55+ (34%): Democratic 61%, Republican 27%, DTS 10%

Hispanic (65%): Democratic 63%, Republican 17%, DTS 17%
Jewish (1%): Democratic 28%, Republican 51%, DTS 15%
Korean (0%): Democratic 28%, Republican 33%, DTS 36%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 44%, DTS 15%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 35%, DTS 28%
Indian (0%): Democratic 44%, Republican 37%, DTS 17%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 55%, Republican 20%, DTS 21%
Other (31%): Democratic 34%, Republican 48%, DTS 14%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on July 17, 2009, 08:57:14 PM
     Quite interesting. I can't wait to see my home county. :)


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Holmes on July 17, 2009, 09:03:51 PM
San Francisco's a whiles away, along with Santa Cruz. :(


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 09:08:32 PM
Inyo
President: 44-53 McCain
Proposition Eight: 61-39 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 33%, Republican 46%, DTS 16%

Males (48%): Democratic 28%, Republican 48%, DTS 18%
Females (52%): Democratic 37%, Republican 43%, DTS 15%

18-34 (15%): Democratic 23%, Republican 39%, DTS 30%
35-54 (33%): Democratic 29%, Republican 46%, DTS 19%
55+ (53%): Democratic 38%, Republican 48%, DTS 11%

Hispanic (6%): Democratic 45%, Republican 27%, DTS 23%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 35%, Republican 44%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): ***
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (0%): Democratic 59%, Republican 24%, DTS 15%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): ***
Other (90%): Democratic 32%, Republican 47%, DTS 16%

Kern
President: 40-58 McCain
Proposition Eight: 75-25 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 36%, Republican 45%, DTS 15%

Males (48%): Democratic 34%, Republican 46%, DTS 16%
Females (52%): Democratic 38%, Republican 44%, DTS 15%

18-34 (29%): Democratic 33%, Republican 39%, DTS 23%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 34%, Republican 48%, DTS 15%
55+ (35%): Democratic 41%, Republican 48%, DTS 9%

Hispanic (27%): Democratic 56%, Republican 24%, DTS 17%
Jewish (2%): Democratic 26%, Republican 55%, DTS 16%
Korean (0%): Democratic 22%, Republican 45%, DTS 31%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 32%, Republican 43%, DTS 21%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 24%, Republican 45%, DTS 27%
Indian (1%): Democratic 45%, Republican 24%, DTS 28%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 22%, Republican 45%, DTS 28%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 43%, Republican 35%, DTS 20%
Other (68%): Democratic 29%, Republican 53%, DTS 15%

Kings
President: 42-56 McCain
Proposition Eight: 74-26 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 38%, Republican 46%, DTS 13%

Males (47%): Democratic 36%, Republican 46%, DTS 14%
Females (53%): Democratic 39%, Republican 45%, DTS 13%

18-34 (32%): Democratic 31%, Republican 45%, DTS 19%
35-54 (35%): Democratic 34%, Republican 49%, DTS 13%
55+ (33%): Democratic 48%, Republican 42%, DTS 7%

Hispanic (33%): Democratic 53%, Republican 30%, DTS 14%
Jewish (2%): Democratic 29%, Republican 55%, DTS 12%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 53%, Republican 40%, DTS 7%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 33%, Republican 45%, DTS 19%
Indian (1%): Democratic 39%, Republican 44%, DTS 12%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 30%, Republican 44%, DTS 23%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 35%, Republican 48%, DTS 14%
Other (62%): Democratic 30%, Republican 54%, DTS 13%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 17, 2009, 09:22:00 PM
Added state numbers.

Chinese people don't seem to like political parties much.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Sbane on July 17, 2009, 09:53:47 PM
Good stuff. Please do continue.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Torie on July 17, 2009, 10:14:48 PM
Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Ronnie on July 17, 2009, 10:35:30 PM
The traitor Jews in LA county have obviously voted for Obama by a large margin. D:<

Orange county could be a bit of a wildcard, I guess.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Torie on July 17, 2009, 11:58:14 PM
The traitor Jews in LA county have obviously voted for Obama by a large margin. D:<

Orange county could be a bit of a wildcard, I guess.

Putting aside your invocation of the "T" word, that would be part of the fitting into the local pattern, no? What is interesting about LA, at least LA city itself, is that I suspect upper middle class Jews and WASPS vote in very similar patterns these days -  which is very different from when I was knee high from a grasshopper.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Ronnie on July 18, 2009, 12:23:43 AM
The traitor Jews in LA county have obviously voted for Obama by a large margin. D:<

Orange county could be a bit of a wildcard, I guess.

Putting aside your invocation of the "T" word, that would be part of the fitting into the local pattern, no? What is interesting about LA, at least LA city itself, is that I suspect upper middle class Jews and WASPS vote in very similar patterns these days -  which is very different from when I was knee high from a grasshopper.

Middle class Jews vote conservative nowadays in LA?  Things must have changed dramatically in the short time that I haven't lived there. :P


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 18, 2009, 10:19:03 AM
I think Torie is saying that the GOP has collapsed with wealthy urban Protestants, which is pretty obviously true.  If you compiled a comparison of the nation's urban country clubs over the past 20 years, it would be very bloody. :P

I had Lake through L.A. up, but I backspaced.  Grr.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 18, 2009, 10:51:07 AM
Lake
President: 58-39 Obama
Proposition Eight: 52-48 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 43%, Republican 30%, DTS 21%

Males (47%): Democratic 39%, Republican 33%, DTS 22%
Females (53%): Democratic 48%, Republican 27%, DTS 20%

18-34 (17%): Democratic 34%, Republican 22%, DTS 35%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 39%, Republican 30%, DTS 24%
55+ (51%): Democratic 50%, Republican 33%, DTS 14%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 55%, Republican 17%, DTS 23%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 44%, Republican 29%, DTS 20%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 31%, Republican 28%, DTS 31%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 26%, DTS 37%
Indian (0%): Democratic 45%, Republican 22%, DTS 25%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 61%, Republican 18%, DTS 16%
Other (88%): Democratic 42%, Republican 31%, DTS 21%

Lassen
President: 31-65 McCain
Proposition Eight: 71-29 Yes

Lassen County did not report DTS registrations.

All voters (100%): Democratic 35%, Republican 58%

Males (49%): Democratic 30%, Republican 62%
Females (51%): Democratic 39%, Republican 55%

18-34 (17%): Democratic 23%, Republican 65%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 26%, Republican 67%
55+ (47%): Democratic 46%, Republican 50%

Hispanic (5%): Democratic 49%, Republican 45%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 27%, Republican 67%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): ***
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (0%): ***
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): Democratic 46%, Republican 49%
Other (91%): Democratic 34%, Republican 59%

Los Angeles
President: 69-29 Obama
Proposition Eight: 50-50 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 52%, Republican 24%, DTS 20%

Males (49%): Democratic 48%, Republican 25%, DTS 22%
Females (51%): Democratic 55%, Republican 23%, DTS 18%

18-34 (29%): Democratic 48%, Republican 17%, DTS 28%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 51%, Republican 24%, DTS 20%
55+ (35%): Democratic 55%, Republican 29%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (29%): Democratic 61%, Republican 16%, DTS 19%
Jewish (5%): Democratic 57%, Republican 23%, DTS 16%
Korean (1%): Democratic 38%, Republican 27%, DTS 32%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 9%, DTS 22%
Chinese (3%): Democratic 28%, Republican 23%, DTS 46%
Indian (1%): Democratic 50%, Republican 17%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (1%): Democratic 33%, Republican 29%, DTS 33%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 45%, Republican 26%, DTS 26%
Other (58%): Democratic 49%, Republican 28%, DTS 19%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 18, 2009, 11:24:44 AM
Interesting how the age break-down is working versus current voting patterns.  Of course, a lot of these rural Democrats aren't voting Democratic much anymore.  In registrations, though, that makes for the youngest voters being the least Democratic.  On the other hand, in Marin County, Republicans aren't even breaking double digits among those under 25.

Madera
President: 42-56 McCain
Proposition Eight: 73-27 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 35%, Republican 46%, DTS 15%

Males (47%): Democratic 32%, Republican 48%, DTS 16%
Females (53%): Democratic 38%, Republican 45%, DTS 14%

18-34 (24%): Democratic 30%, Republican 41%, DTS 24%
35-54 (33%): Democratic 32%, Republican 48%, DTS 16%
55+ (43%): Democratic 41%, Republican 48%, DTS 9%
Hispanic (27%): Democratic 52%, Republican 27%, DTS 18%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 25%, Republican 55%, DTS 16%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 31%, Republican 50%, DTS 18%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 35%, Republican 40%, DTS 19%
Indian (1%): Democratic 31%, Republican 34%, DTS 30%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 41%, Republican 35%, DTS 19%
Other (69%): Democratic 29%, Republican 54%, DTS 14%

Marin
President: 78-20 Obama
Proposition Eight: 25-75 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 54%, Republican 20%, DTS 22%

Males (47%): Democratic 48%, Republican 22%, DTS 25%
Females (53%): Democratic 60%, Republican 18%, DTS 19%

18-34 (16%): Democratic 51%, Republican 11%, DTS 31%
35-54 (37%): Democcratic 53%, Republican 18%, DTS 24%
55+ (47%): Democratic 57%, Republican 25%, DTS 16%

Hispanic (4%): Democratic 59%, Republican 14%, DTS 23%
Jewish (8%): Democratic 63%, Republican 14%, DTS 19%
Korean (0%): Democratic 48%, Republican 17%, DTS 33%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 64%, Republican 14%, DTS 19%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 45%, Republican 17%, DTS 35%
Indian (0%): Democratic 54%, Republican 13%, DTS 30%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 39%, Republican 24%, DTS 32%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 55%, Republican 19%, DTS 23%
Other (84%): Democratic 53%, Republican 21%, DTS 21%

Mariposa
President: 42-55 McCain
Proposition Eight: 62-38 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 32%, Republican 45%, DTS 16%

Males (49%): Democratic 29%, Republican 46%, DTS 17%
Females (51%): Democratic 35%, Republican 44%, DTS 15%

18-34 (16%): Democratic 24%, Republican 39%, DTS 28%
35-54 (33%): Democratic 29%, Republican 45%, DTS 19%
55+ (51%): Democratic 37%, Republican 47%, DTS 11%

Hispanic (5%): Democratic 45%, Republican 33%, DTS 17%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 37%, Republican 40%, DTS 5%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 27%, Republican 47%, DTS 20%
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (0%): ***
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): Democratic 46%, Republican 33%, DTS 17%
Other (91%): Democratic 31%, Republican 46%, DTS 16%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Brittain33 on July 19, 2009, 06:07:14 PM
Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.

The Jewish numbers in Kern County are pretty extraordinary. Maybe they are Jews 4 Jesus?


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 19, 2009, 10:35:50 PM
Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.

The Jewish numbers in Kern County are pretty extraordinary. Maybe they are Jews 4 Jesus?

I am skeptical of these numbers. They claim that all these "hick" counties are 3-4% jewish while marin having far higher % than LA. These numbers are way off.

The self-provided voter identifications are wrong?  How?  :P

I mean, Los Angeles County passed Proposition 8.  Obviously, it's not all WASPs and Jews.  Marin having the highest percentage of Jews seems very reasonable to me.  It's an almost uniformly affluent county.  LA County ain't.

Unless I fundamentally misunderstand how they collected this information, I don't know how they could possibly be off.  Jews in L.A. lie more?  "Everyone in L.A. lies more!"

Edit: That or the ethnic abbreviation "jew" stands for something other than Jews.  I still have no idea why CA would track Jews but not blacks.  Mysteries all-around.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: phk on July 19, 2009, 11:14:40 PM
I had no idea there were that many Jews in such places as Madera, Kern, Fresno, Kings.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Brittain33 on July 20, 2009, 08:30:09 AM
I had no idea there were that many Jews in such places as Madera, Kern, Fresno, Kings.

Surprises me, too. Perhaps it's like how there are no parts of New Jersey or Connecticut where there isn't at least a small number of Jews... some people will always diffuse out from the main urban centers. Las Vegas has a relatively large Jewish population, including the mayor and congresswoman.

Also, Jews vote in higher percentages than the general population, especially in places with huge numbers of non-citizens and people living in poverty like the Central Valley.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: phk on July 20, 2009, 01:58:03 PM
I had no idea there were that many Jews in such places as Madera, Kern, Fresno, Kings.

Surprises me, too. Perhaps it's like how there are no parts of New Jersey or Connecticut where there isn't at least a small number of Jews... some people will always diffuse out from the main urban centers. Las Vegas has a relatively large Jewish population, including the mayor and congresswoman.

Also, Jews vote in higher percentages than the general population, especially in places with huge numbers of non-citizens and people living in poverty like the Central Valley.


I think that could be so. I once read that Fresno has 2,000-2,500 or so Jews (which is fairly reasonable for a 2% electorate factoring out the non-voters), but of course they seem to have blended in fairly well. I lived where they likely would have lived and only encountered 2 or 3 that had said they were in past ten years.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 20, 2009, 07:41:36 PM
Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.

The Jewish numbers in Kern County are pretty extraordinary. Maybe they are Jews 4 Jesus?

I am skeptical of these numbers. They claim that all these "hick" counties are 3-4% jewish while marin having far higher % than LA. These numbers are way off.

The self-provided voter identifications are wrong?  How?  :P

I mean, Los Angeles County passed Proposition 8.  Obviously, it's not all WASPs and Jews.  Marin having the highest percentage of Jews seems very reasonable to me.  It's an almost uniformly affluent county.  LA County ain't.

Unless I fundamentally misunderstand how they collected this information, I don't know how they could possibly be off.  Jews in L.A. lie more?  "Everyone in L.A. lies more!"

Edit: That or the ethnic abbreviation "jew" stands for something other than Jews.  I still have no idea why CA would track Jews but not blacks.  Mysteries all-around.

I HAVE BEEN UP IN MARIN AND LIVED IN THE IN LA MOST MY LIFE AND COULDN'T NOTICE IT UNLESS THEY ARE A LOT BETTER ASSIMILATED THAN THE ONCES IN LA. I STILL THINK THE NUMBERS FOR A LOT OF COUNTIES ARE WAY EXAGGERATED.

In addition to what previous posters have said, this would have over 15% of Los Angeles County whites being Jews versus about 5% in Marin County.  Admittedly the number of rural Jews surprises me, but that's not unreasonable.

Not to mention, you didn't answer my question -- how could these self-reported numbers be wrong?


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Torie on July 20, 2009, 09:51:45 PM
How are you inferring the 15% Jewish figure for LA County again Alcon?  Well, I see that the white non Hispanic population for LA County in 2007 is 29%, so I guess I get the source numbers for your little equation.  :)  Man,  how things have changed.  But I like LA a lot more now, than when I was a kid. And so it goes.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 21, 2009, 03:04:39 AM
How are you inferring the 15% Jewish figure for LA County again Alcon?  Well, I see that the white non Hispanic population for LA County in 2007 is 29%, so I guess I get the source numbers for your little equation.  :)  Man,  how things have changed.  But I like LA a lot more now, than when I was a kid. And so it goes.

Well, since we have Hispanic and most Asians already, I just took the "Other" percentage and assumed a break-down based about on the '08 estimates for black, whites, the other Asian demographics and other ethnicities...well, it's rough.  But it's ballpark and I think it demonstrates the point well enough.  :P

A white person in Los Angeles probably knows at least twice as many Jews, on average, as a percent of their social group, as one in Marin.  Or so goes my theory.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Sbane on July 21, 2009, 10:43:03 PM
Jews in lightly populated conservative counties where they are few in number percentage wise as well, would seem to have blended in, haven't they? Granted the sample error is large for such a small one, but so far, it seems to be a consistent pattern. I guess the real test will be when we see what the Jewish numbers are in Orange County, which has about 150,000 Jews.

The Jewish numbers in Kern County are pretty extraordinary. Maybe they are Jews 4 Jesus?

I am skeptical of these numbers. They claim that all these "hick" counties are 3-4% jewish while marin having far higher % than LA. These numbers are way off.

The self-provided voter identifications are wrong?  How?  :P

I mean, Los Angeles County passed Proposition 8.  Obviously, it's not all WASPs and Jews.  Marin having the highest percentage of Jews seems very reasonable to me.  It's an almost uniformly affluent county.  LA County ain't.

Unless I fundamentally misunderstand how they collected this information, I don't know how they could possibly be off.  Jews in L.A. lie more?  "Everyone in L.A. lies more!"

Edit: That or the ethnic abbreviation "jew" stands for something other than Jews.  I still have no idea why CA would track Jews but not blacks.  Mysteries all-around.

I HAVE BEEN UP IN MARIN AND LIVED IN THE IN LA MOST MY LIFE AND COULDN'T NOTICE IT UNLESS THEY ARE A LOT BETTER ASSIMILATED THAN THE ONCES IN LA. I STILL THINK THE NUMBERS FOR A LOT OF COUNTIES ARE WAY EXAGGERATED.

I am pretty sure you don't mix with blacks, hispanics and asians who make up the vast majority of the population of LA county. So among the people you do interact with, Jews make up a significant part of the population (this is assuming most jews are white and I think that assumption is reasonable to make). Also Marin county is a mostly white, rich and liberal place just north of the city. Why is it surprising if 8% of them are jews?


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Torie on July 22, 2009, 05:44:16 PM
Alcon where are you getting all of this fascinating data from?  Thanks.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 23, 2009, 07:41:11 PM
My source is this gem which I've only recently become familiar with:

http://swdb.berkeley.edu/d00/index.html

More counties coming today and tomorrow.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 23, 2009, 07:53:15 PM
Mendocino
President: 69-27 Obama
Proposition Eight: 37-63 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 47%, Republican 23%, DTS 20%

Males (48%): Democratic 42%, Republican 25%, DTS 22%
Females (52%): Democratic 52%, Republican 21%, DTS 19%

18-34 (19%): Democratic 38%, Republican 16%, DTS 33%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 43%, Republican 23%, DTS 23%
55+ (49%): Democratic 54%, Republican 26%, DTS 14%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 56%, Republican 12%, DTS 24%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 51%, Republican 18%, DTS 21%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 48%, Republican 16%, DTS 28%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 16%, DTS 40%
Indian (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 30%, DTS 20%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 22%, DTS 22%
Other (88%): Democratic 47%, Republican 25%, DTS 20%

Merced
President: 53-45 Obama
Proposition Eight: 71-29 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 46%, Republican 38%, DTS 13%

Males (47%): Democratic 45%, Republican 39%, DTS 13%
Females (53%): Democratic 47%, Republican 37%, DTS 13%

18-34 (29%): Democratic 40%, Republican 37%, DTS 18%
35-54 (36%): Democratic 43%, Republican 40%, DTS 13%
55+ (35%): Democratic 53%, Republican 36%, DTS 9%

Hispanic (34%): Democratic 58%, Republican 26%, DTS 14%
Jewish (2%): Democratic 34%, Republican 50%, DTS 13%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 34%, DTS 25%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 50%, Republican 41%, DTS 8%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 34%, Republican 37%, DTS 26%
Indian (1%): Democratic 57%, Republican 24%, DTS 16%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 35%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 46%, Republican 37%, DTS 15%
Other (60%): Democratic 39%, Republican 44%, DTS 13%

Modoc
President: 30-67 McCain
Proposition Eight: 74-26 Yes

No data available at this time.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 23, 2009, 08:13:31 PM
I still don't really understand why Mono County is so male.

Mono
President: 56-42 Obama
Proposition Eight: 44-56 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 33%, Republican 37%, DTS 25%

Males (58%): Democratic 29%, Republican 37%, DTS 27%
Females (42%): Democratic 38%, Republican 37%, DTS 22%

18-34 (21%): Democratic 29%, Republican 25%, DTS 38%
35-54 (38%): Democratic 32%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
55+ (40%): Democratic 36%, Republican 45%, DTS 16%

Hispanic (6%): Democratic 43%, Republican 24%, DTS 27%
Jewish (5%): Democratic 40%, Republican 30%, DTS 24%
Korean (0%): ***
Japanese (0%): Democratic 50%, Republican 15%, DTS 26%
Chinese (0%): ***
Indian (0%): ***
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): ***
Other (88%): Democratic 32%, Republican 39%, DTS 24%

Monterey
President: 68-30 Obama
Proposition Eight: 48-52 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 50%, Republican 28%, DTS 18%

Males (47%): Democratic 47%, Republican 30%, DTS 20%
Females (53%): Democratic 53%, Republican 26%, DTS 17%

18-34 (24%): Democratic 49%, Republican 19%, DTS 27%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 49%, Republican 27%, DTS 19%
55+ (42%): Democratic 52%, Republican 33%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (29%): Democratic 66%, Republican 14%, DTS 17%
Jewish (3%): Democratic 47%, Republican 29%, DTS 20%
Korean (0%): Democratic 38%, Republican 22%, DTS 36%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 33%, DTS 18%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 39%, Republican 26%, DTS 33%
Indian (1%): Democratic 50%, Republican 20%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 32%, Republican 27%, DTS 36%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 51%, Republican 25%, DTS 21%
Other (63%): Democratic 43%, Republican 34%, DTS 18%

Napa
President: 65-33 Obama
Proposition Eight: 44-56 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 48%, Republican 29%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 43%, Republican 31%, DTS 21%
Females (52%): Democratic 52%, Republican 27%, DTS 17%

18-34 (21%): Democratic 48%, Republican 18%, DTS 31%
35-54 (34%): Democratic 46%, Republican 28%, DTS 20%
55+ (45%): Democratic 51%, Republican 24%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (13%): Democratic 63%, Republican 13%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 50%, Republican 27%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 36%, Republican 25%, DTS 34%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 46%, Republican 31%, DTS 22%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 41%, Republican 27%, DTS 29%
Indian (0%): Democratic 60%, Republican 14%, DTS 21%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 51%, Republican 20%, DTS 28%
Filipino (2%): Democratic 46%, Republican 24%, DTS 28%
Other (80%): Democratic 45%, Republican 31%, DTS 18%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 23, 2009, 08:33:30 PM
Orange County Jews are plurality GOP.  Huh.

Nevada
President: 51-46 Obama
Proposition Eight: 50-50 Yes (by three votes)

All voters (100%): Democratic 34%, Republican 41%, DTS 19%

Males (48%): Democratic 29%, Republican 43%, DTS 21%
Females (52%): Democratic 39%, Republican 39%, DTS 17%

18-34 (17%): Democratic 28%, Republican 29%, DTS 33%
35-54 (32%): Democratic 32%, Republican 38%, DTS 22%
55+ (51%): Democratic 37%, Republican 46%, DTS 4%

Hispanic (3%): Democratic 42%, Republican 29%, DTS 22%
Jewish (5%): Democratic 39%, Republican 36%, DTS 19%
Korean (0%): Democratic 51%, Republican 33%, DTS 10%
Japanese (0%): Democratic 40%, Republican 29%, DTS 22%
Chinese (0%): Democratic 41%, Republican 34%, DTS 19%
Indian (0%): Democratic 43%, Republican 32%, DTS 20%
Vietnamese (0%): ***
Filipino (0%): Democratic 44%, Republican 31%, DTS 19%
Other (91%): Democratic 33%, Republican 41%, DTS 19%

Orange
President: 48-50 McCain
Proposition Eight: 58-42 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 32%, Republican 44%, DTS 20%

Males (50%): Democratic 29%, Republican 45%, DTS 21%
Females (50%): Democratic 35%, Republican 43%, DTS 19%

18-34 (26%): Democratic 31%, Republican 34%, DTS 29%
35-54 (38%): Democratic 30%, Republican 46%, DTS 20%
55+ (35%): Democratic 35%, Republican 50%, DTS 13%

Hispanic (16%): Democratic 50%, Republican 27%, DTS 20%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 35%, Republican 44%, DTS 18%
Korean (1%): Democratic 31%, Republican 35%, DTS 32%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 33%, Republican 41%, DTS 23%
Chinese (2%): Democratic 24%, Republican 33%, DTS 41%
Indian (1%): Democratic 45%, Republican 21%, DTS 32%
Vietnamese (5%): Democratic 26%, Republican 43%, DTS 27%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 35%, DTS 26%
Other (68%): Democratic 28%, Republicn 50%, DTS 18%

Placer
President: 43-54 McCain
Proposition Eight: 60-40 Yes

All voters (100%): Democratic 30%, Republican 49%, DTS 18%

Males (48%): Democratic 25%, Republican 52%, DTS 19%
Females (52%): Democratic 34%, Republican 46%, DTS 17%

18-34 (22%): Democratic 24%, Republican 40%, DTS 30%
35-54 (37%): Democratic 26%, Republican 52%, DTS 18%
55+ (41%): Democratic 36%, Republican 50%, DTS 12%

Hispanic (7%): Democratic 44%, Republican 32%, DTS 21%
Jewish (4%): Democratic 31%, Republican 48%, DTS 17%
Korean (0%): Democratic 29%, Republican 35%, DTS 34%
Japanese (1%): Democratic 42%, Republican 37%, DTS 19%
Chinese (1%): Democratic 31%, Republican 37%, DTS 30%
Indian (1%): Democratic 46%, Republican 23%, DTS 29%
Vietnamese (0%): Democratic 28%, Republican 38%, DTS 31%
Filipino (1%): Democratic 35%, Republican 37%, DTS 25%
Other (86%): Democratic 28%, Republican 50%, DTS 18%


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Verily on July 23, 2009, 08:34:33 PM
Mendecino
President: 69-27 Obama
Proposition Eight: 37-63 No

All voters (100%): Democratic 47%, Republican 23%, DTS 20%

Okay, I know it's pothead country, but are a full 10% of Mendocino voters really registered Green/Peace and Freedom/Libertarian/etc.?

Also %Obama > %Democratic + %DTS...


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on July 23, 2009, 10:36:21 PM
Verily:  8.71%, actually, but rounding just worked out that way.  The reason:  Just over 4% of Mendocino County voters belong to the Natural Law Party.  I don't want to spend bandwidth to download the state file again, but offhand that's over eight times the rate of NLP registration in Orange County.

Obama also beat Democratic+DTS in Marin County, less surprisingly.  His performance in Mendocino versus registration is pretty impressive for a less affluent county though, even if I imagine nearly all of the non-wasted NLP vote (edit: no pun intended) flowed to him.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Torie on July 24, 2009, 12:20:39 AM
Well per OC, the Jewish chameleon theory in California anyway is still holding more or less, which surprises me.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: phk on July 24, 2009, 12:24:12 AM
Well per OC, the Jewish chameleon theory in California anyway is still holding more or less, which surprises me.

OC Jews seem to be the type that may have been apart of the national Jewish GOP trend since 1992 (10% to 25%).

Maybe the real test will come when San Diego County comes in.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Holmes on August 03, 2009, 10:50:26 AM
Are you ever gonna get to Santa Cruz, Alcon? :)


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on August 04, 2009, 12:42:48 AM
Machine's in the shop, will chug along to it eventually.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: phk on September 12, 2009, 05:32:32 AM
How many more counties left?


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: cannonia on September 13, 2009, 04:01:31 AM
Given that it's an alphabetical list, 27.

Plumas, Riverside, Sacramento, San Benito, San Bernardino, San Diego, San Francisco, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, San Mateo, Santa Barbara, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Shasta, Sierra, Siskiyou, Solano, Sonoma, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Trinity, Tulare, Tuolumne, Ventura, Yolo, and Yuba.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on December 14, 2009, 05:06:19 PM
The computer that had the Excel spreadsheet I wrote to automate this got broken.  I'm not sure I'll have time to recreate it for a while, but I have off until 1/18 so we'll see.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Bo on December 23, 2009, 12:07:25 AM
Alcon, you're doing such a great job with this. Keep it up. You rule!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on April 17, 2010, 02:55:34 AM
Bump. I was making a map, but now I've had to stop.


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Alcon on April 18, 2010, 07:08:31 PM
Anyone can do it!  It's easy, I swear :P


Title: Re: California voter demographics by county
Post by: Хahar 🤔 on April 19, 2010, 12:38:06 AM
Anyone can do it!  It's easy, I swear :P

Too many links. I can't tell what to click. :(