Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2015, 10:43:20 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 18
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: The downfall of social-democracy on: May 10, 2015, 05:23:55 pm
A pox on pseudointellectuals and their associated gibberish.


Huh





@sen.cranberry : i don"t understand your message. The graph is not based on austrians elections only.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / The downfall of social-democracy on: May 10, 2015, 01:14:01 pm
you may have noticed in recent years the decline, sometimes sharp, of social democratic parties (SDP) in Europe. I wanted to know if it was a trend. For this, I have compiled all the results of SDP of the 11 countries that have a strong SDP and elections since 1945.
The result of the election year X gives the score for the intervening years.

Then I established the average.

For 2015, I based on polls or opinions on European election 2014. Whatever.


the coutries are as follow :

united kingdom
germany
austria
belgium
netherlands
luxemburg
sweden
norway
denmark
finland
switzerland



peak in... 1961 !



and here are the years of the best result (green) and worst (red)


3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 11:04:02 pm
i'm disappointed of the relection of clegg and the conservative hold in scotland


it would have been fun, the opposite result...



(going to bed)
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 10:56:37 pm


quite goods stats and maps on sky news
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 10:54:16 pm
Another broad observation on UK elections...I find it so interesting that they have the candidates up there and they get their votes announced publicly. Seems a bit like the teacher reading everyones grades in front of the class, which feels a bit awkward at first but I actually kind of like it.

Almost like a sporting event rather than an election.


you're absolutely right


I would add that the atmosphere is very friendly, civilized
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 09:58:07 pm
exciting future for britain


will UK stays on EU ?

will scotland gain independance after a brexit ?
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 09:48:57 pm
According to the Liberals, Simon Hughes has lost.

RIP Liberal Democrats as a party.

It has been worse before.


exactly

worst result since 1970 (7.5%), the worstest is 1951 (2.5%)




This might be worse than 1970 and 1951.  In 1970 LIB only contested half the seats and in 1951 LIB only contestd 1/6 of the seats.  So we must calibrate the votes shares with that fact.



you're right, i didn't know those facts.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 09:40:47 pm
According to the Liberals, Simon Hughes has lost.

RIP Liberal Democrats as a party.

It has been worse before.


exactly

worst result since 1970 (7.5%), the all-time worst is 1951 (2.5%)


9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 09:37:48 pm
Lovely and astonishing fact : the constituencie of Lincoln exist since... 1265 !!
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 09:34:00 pm
wiki about Mhairi Black :

It has been claimed that she is the youngest MP elected since Christopher Monck, Earl of Torrington at the age of 13 in 1667, but Charles James Fox was elected aged 19 in 1768.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 07:28:46 pm


quite good drawing of brit leaders
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 06:24:42 pm


F U, as it were.


Yes. I'm happy this underwood's vogue bring back FU on light Smiley
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 06:22:07 pm
If Britain is divisible, Scotland must be divisible.


syllogism used ad nauseam by quebecers traitors in 1995
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 07, 2015, 06:01:54 pm

a very surprising and delightful night, isn't it ?
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France: Départementales 2015 - March 22/29, 2015 on: March 29, 2015, 04:36:24 am
Since 3 days, i study every canton


at this time, 67 departements scrolled

conseillers elected by parti :

UMP   942
PS   579
DVD   566
UDI   241
DVG   171
FN   148
PCF   68
PRG   31
EELV   19
MODEM   9



funny fact : the departement of Lozère (conservative since Napoléon... would goes to the left (14 left cons., 12 right cons.)


i hope to end this work before the results^^
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French legislative by-elections (14th Legislature) on: February 08, 2015, 03:07:31 pm
the left-wing french parties never "implose" or die.


They just became slowy shorter and shorter, but still living. As the radical party.


Other element coming strongly to this theory : the law on financial of political parties (1994) made very difficult the birth of a new strong party.



So, even with the doomsday of march (departementales) and december (region elections), the PS, as the Grejoy, never die.


The end could happening with a coalition of the left front and the greens, becoming first party of the left.


But it is clear that, everywhere in Europe, time of classical social-democracy are over (the most evident proof of it is the rise of D66 and decline of dutch social-democratic party). Left, in the future, will be divided into podemos-left front- syriza likes, and social-liberal on the other side.

Classic liberalism and classic social-democracy are dying.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Rand Paul Qualified to be President? on: January 04, 2015, 07:03:31 pm
as he the same ideas as his father ?
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What would you like the electoral map to look like? on: January 04, 2015, 07:03:03 pm


Yes, atlas colors


were we can do prediction maps, please ? I go to "predict" on this is only 2012 and closed Sad
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess the next POTUS on: January 04, 2015, 06:56:49 pm
by demographics : Clinton II "the woman"
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: International Reaction if America Elects Hillary Clinton President on: January 04, 2015, 06:55:55 pm
orgasm in french medias, and a bit of sympathy from french people (we dislike strongly republicans, generally)
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish election maps on: January 04, 2015, 06:54:20 pm
what's the big difference today between FF and FG ?
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Who would you vote for in Israel? on: January 04, 2015, 06:47:56 pm
likoud
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austria President 2016: Your vote on: December 28, 2014, 05:40:06 pm
Moser too (is this not an italian name ?)
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Who Governs Sweden? Swedish Early Election - 22 March 2015 on: December 09, 2014, 05:20:54 pm
Just an interesting realization that if in the case the Moderate Party did form government again would mean that Denmark, Norway and Sweden would all have a female as their Prime Minister.

Yes it's time that Sweden end their hostility toward women and join the other Scandinavian countries in the 21th century.



Clearly, this would resolve all problems of unemployment or immigration in Sweden...
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Sark election, 10th December on: December 08, 2014, 09:23:07 pm



Disney castle Huh
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 18


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines