Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 19, 2014, 06:50:34 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 14
1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: September 05, 2014, 07:23:26 pm
Marine - Hollande 54-46. Perfect


Hollande make is work beyond my dreams. We knwew that, after 10 years of liberal-conservatism UMP, we need another 5 years of bullsh**tting poltics (if Sarko had been reelected, left would have win in 2017).

Now all the left is a cemetary, UMP is broken between his electorate, who vote FN on 2nd round, and the leaders of the grandson of the Opportunist Party, who are UDI-wingers. (except Laurent Wauquiez)

Let's wait and enjoy.




Please abolish democracy immediately.



useless. Abolish the left will be good enough.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Hungary Parliamentary Election - April 6, 2014 on: April 06, 2014, 07:41:37 pm
After France, a new crash for european left !


Euronews live, 98 % of vote counted :

national-conservative : 44.4 % (133 s.)
social-liberal left : 26% (38)
far-right : 20.6%2 (23)
social-liberal green : 5.27 (5)


3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Municipal Elections 2014: Hashemite's Guide and Official Thread on: March 09, 2014, 12:42:29 pm
Bourg-en-Bresse (CSA)

PS-EELV-PCF 49%
UMP-UDI 33%
FN 11%
2 far-left lists : 7%
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: European Elections 2014 (France) on: March 09, 2014, 12:39:42 pm
IMO, most of EELV goes to PS, a minority to UMP,  a little of PS goes to FN, the 4% of de villiers goes to FN, and a lot of "sonstige" goes to FN
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: European Elections 2014 (France) on: March 08, 2014, 06:57:09 am
difference between 2014 and 2009 :



    FN : 26 (+17,5)
    UMP : 25 (-4,5)
    PS : 15 (+0,5)
    FDG : 9 (+3)
    EELV : 9 (-9,5)
    UDI/Modem : 8 (+0,5)
    DLR : 3 (+1)
    NPA : 2 (-2,5)
    Other : 3 (-6)

6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Municipal Elections 2014: Hashemite's Guide and Official Thread on: February 13, 2014, 10:37:17 pm
the bonapartist party CCB (bonapartist Central Comity) will run on coalition with UMP Laurent Marcangeli (nominated "honorable member" of the CCB)


CCB is active only in Ajaccio. But there is also another micro bonapartist party in France : FB (france bonapartiste) (allied with national-republicanist DLR)
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Elections 1848-2010 on: September 08, 2013, 08:47:26 am
marseille municipal election 2008

same key color for each party/alliance


red : best score
pink : 2nd and 3rd score
yellow : 4th score
green : 5th score
light blue : 6 and 7th score
blue : least score


at the exception of the 1st and 3rd sector, it is interesting to note that each sector of Marseille is specific.

UMP

_________________________________________________________
PS and other left

_________________________________________________________
FN

_________________________________________________________

MODEM

_________________________________________________________
LCR and other far left

_________________________________________________________


sector dominance




8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: catalonian election 2012. To independency? on: September 28, 2012, 12:09:23 pm
by the way, when i started this thread, the topic of julio was named "galician and basque", NO catalonian.


===

The boardbashi do edit your post and he sayeth unto thee: watch it
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / catalonian election 2012. To independency? on: September 27, 2012, 02:44:37 am
Quote
The Catalonian parliamentary election, 2012 was announced on 25 September 2012 and will be held on 25 November 2012. The election was called following the independence march in Barcelona on 11 September 2012 (the National Day of Catalonia) to demand independence of Catalonia and its consolidation as a sovereign state, and the failed talks between the President of Catalonia Artur Mas and Prime Minister of Spain Mariano Rajoy to give greater fiscal autonomy to Catalonia.


last poll : http://www.larazon.es/noticia/8584-el-efecto-mas-ciu-y-psc-bajan-y-suben-erc-y-pp

CIU (strongly independentist) 38% (centre-right liberals)
PSC (weakly anti-independentist) 15.8% (centre-left social-democrats)
PP (strongly anti-independentist) 13.5% (right liberals)
ERC (strongly independentist) 9.8% (left socialists)
ICV (weakly independentist) 8.9% (left ecologists)
Ciutatdans (strongly anti-independentist) 3.8% (upper class centre liberals)
PxC (strongly independentist) 3.4% (far-right)
others 6.8%



strong independentism : 51.2
weak independentism : 8.9%
total independentism : 60%
weak anti-independentism : 15.8%
strong anti--independentisme : 17.3%




The true question is : will leftist independentists voters would vote yes to the referendum organised by the future centre-right independentist government ? (and fc barcelona will be ban to spanish league ?)
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Dutch general election - September 2012 on: September 05, 2012, 06:30:59 am
In addition to the televised debates, it is suggested that the calculations made by the Centraal Planbureau(CPB) has hurt SP severely. The CPB is the Dutch Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, and it analyzed the impact on the economy that each party's programme would have. The analysis suggests that the SP plan will mean 250.000 jobs less in 2040; mainly due to the worsening of the business climate as I understand it. CPB is a part of the ministry of Economic Affairs, Agriculture and Innovation, but is fully independent as far as the contents of its work are concerned according to their website.

The biggest Dutch newspaper de Telegraaf had this "loss of 250.000 job" story at their front page that critized the SP quite a lot.


independant....
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: french legislative 2007 : exact result of each party upon 0.01% (fr.metrop.) on: July 27, 2012, 10:31:37 pm
I will try to do the same work for 1997-2002 and 2012 legislatives
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / french legislative 2007 : exact result of each party upon 0.01% (fr.metrop.) on: July 27, 2012, 10:29:31 pm
why I write this thread : because french ministry of interior is the shame of civilized world concerning electoral results. Thus, in all countries you have each party, even the smallest one, results in percent, but in france, you have plenty of "misc.left", "misc.right", "independant", "others", etc.



Législatives 2007   (metropolitan france, names of parties actuallised to 2012's names)
      
1   UMP   40,4 (right and centre-right liberal) (union for a popular movement)
2   PS   25,06 (social-liberal left) (socialist party)
3   MD   7,79 (modem, centre) (democratic movement)
4   PCF   4,43 (socialist) (french communist party)
5   FN   4,39 (nationalist) (national front)
6   EELV   3,3 (left-ecologism) (Europe Ecology – The Greens)
7   NPA   2,09 (trotskysm) (New Anticapitalist Party -former "Revolutionary Communist League")
8   NC   1,9 (centre-right) (new centre)
9   PRG   1,41 (social-liberal republicanism) (Radical Party of the Left)
10   MPF   1,24 (conservative right) (Movement for France )
11   LO   0,85 (trotskysm) (Workers' Struggle)
12   CPNT   0,84 (agrarian right) (Hunting, Fishing, Nature, Tradition)
13   LFA   0,58 (catch-all ecologist party) (france in action)
14   MRC   0,42 (jacobinist left) (citizen and republican movement)
15   MNR   0,38 (nationalism) (national republican movement)
16   LT   0,33 (right-wing ecologists) (the shamrock)
17   SEGA   0,31 (leftism) (solidarity, ecology, alternative left)
18   MEI   0,28 (right-wing ecologists) (independant ecologist movement)
19   CNIP   0,21 (conservative right) (national centre of independants and peasantry)
20   DLR   0,18 (neogaullist right) (arise the republic)
21   GE   0,15 (centre-right ecologism) (ecology descent)
22   POI   0,14 (trotskysm & souverainism) (independant worker party -former "workers party")
23   UDB   0,07 (regionalism -brittany) (breton democratic union)
24   USP   0,06 (regionalism- corse) (union for a political solution)
25   MHAN   0,06 (catch-all ecologism) (movement humans animals nature)
26   communistes   0,05 (orthodox communist) (communists)
27   EHB   0,04 (regionalism - basque country) (basque country yes)
28   ADS   0,04 (socialist) (alternative democracy socialism)
29   CSD   0,03 (social-democrat regionalist -corsica) (social-democratic corsica)
30   PO   0,03 (regionalist - "occitany") (occitan party)
31   CAP   0,03 (communist) (convention for a progressist alternative)
32   GSR   0,03 (left) (republican and socialist left)
33   RSD   0,03 (rachid nekkaz's left party) (social-democratic rally)
34   AL   0,03 (libertarians) (liberal alternative)
35   MARS-GR   0,02 (leftism) (movement for a republican and social alternative - republican left)
36   BI   0,02 (far-right regionalism "identitaires") (identitarian bloc)
37   PPLD   0,01 (against economic growth) (party for the decreasing)
38   MSD   0,01 (social-democratic) (social-democrat movement)
39   UDR   0,01 (conservative right in Marseilles) (republican right union)
40   PRRRS   0,01 (social-liberal republicanism, centre-right) (republican radical & radical-socialist party)
41   CDC   0,01 (regionalism - french "catalonia") (democratic convergence of catalonia)
42   PMF   0,01 (islamic) (party of muslims of france)
43   PBRZH   0,01 (regionalist - brittany) (breizh party)
44   URR   0,01 (right) (Union of Radical republicans))
45   17 parties less than 0,01%   
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Elections 2012: Hashemite's Guide and Predictions on: May 26, 2012, 10:58:54 pm
As for candidates, they declare what they want when they put their candidacy in the Prefecture.

Neither the Assemblée's site, nor politiquemania has what is interesting for us: is a DVG a PS-dissident or a real DVG ?
You have to know the local situation or to search for yourself Grin




personnaly, i don't count PS/UMP dissidents as part of total voting of PS or UMP, because those votes don't count for the money each party will receive.


(but, yes, for each candidate "sans étiquette", "divers" or other horrible stuff like that, I made a search -generally with his name on google + the name of the department. Often, you found good results)
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Elections 2012: Hashemite's Guide and Predictions on: May 25, 2012, 08:27:33 pm
http://www.elections-legislatives.fr/index.asp

At last, all the candidates are available on this fine interactive map.


this site sucks

not because of you of course, but because of this f... ministry of interior with those "divers gauche, divers droite, autre, gnagnagna"


a little compare from this site, about 4th circonscritpion of côtes du nord
http://www.elections-legislatives.fr/candidats/02204.asp

and same circonscription but from another site :

http://www.politiquemania.com/candidatures-legislatives-2012-cotes-d-armor.html


wich give us the most "étiquettes" as possible Smiley
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French legislative election 2012 on: May 23, 2012, 07:30:52 pm
as usual, the result of this legislative will depend ONLY of turnout level.

High : 60 % of chance for left to lose
low : 100 % of chance for left to win
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French legislative election 2012 on: May 19, 2012, 01:43:29 pm
poll institutes seems on strike :/
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: Official Results Thread on: May 19, 2012, 01:42:39 pm
some people give us ONE map, and hello to lot of "thanks"

I give 274455 maps, and... nothing.


je vous emmârde et je rentre à mâ mâzon
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Elections 2012: Hashemite's Guide and Predictions on: May 19, 2012, 01:39:24 pm
very interesting, sharif.

Are you from britanny ? (personnaly, I long lived -my mother is britton- in douarn' )
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French legislative election 2012 on: May 17, 2012, 08:53:22 am

Yes, indeed ( and I do enjoy reading your blogs too)


me too, that's the best election blog

but really, as french, you could write it in french TOO
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Elections 1848-2010 on: May 17, 2012, 08:51:50 am
1st presidential election of france, 1848

maps with same color key (red = 22 best results, pink=21 others best results, light blue=21 not good results, blue=22 worst results)

BONAPARTE (nationalist, autoritarian, social-wing, free-trade) 74,33%


CAVAIGNAC (conservative republican, right-wing of republican party) 19,81%


LEDRU-ROLLIN (radical republican, left-wing of republican party) 5,06%


RASPAIL (republican, socialist) 0,51 %


LAMARTINE (republicann centrist) 0,23%


21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: Official Results Thread on: May 16, 2012, 06:27:54 am
Some map wich divided france between 2 zones : 50% of best results of each candidate (or each family)

PS vs UMP


PS vs FN


PS vs FDG


PS vs MD


UMP vs FN


UMP vs FDG


UMP vs MD


FN vs FDG


FN vs MD


FDG vs MD


PS' France


UMP's France


FN's France


FDG's FRANCE


MODEM's FRANCE


LEFTS's FRANCE (LO+NPA+FDG+EELV+PS)


RIGHTS's FRANCE (UMP+FN+DLR)


FAR-LEFT's FRANCE (NPA+LO+EELV+FDG)


CENTRE-LEFT's FRANCE (PS+MD)


CENTRE-RIGHT's FRANCE (UMP+MD)


CENTRIST's FRANCE (UMP+MD+PS)


ETATIST's FRANCE (FDG+FN+DLR+LO+NPA)

22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Belgian Local Elections 2012 on: May 14, 2012, 07:12:48 am
welcome back to old mother france, wallonia ! :mrgreen:
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French legislative election 2012 on: May 14, 2012, 07:10:38 am
Colbert, in such a parliamentary situation that you outlined, with no majority on either the left or the right, what kind of government would emerge?  Would Modem work with the left or the right?

IMOO i think the modem would have worked with the left, but fight with modem vs mélenchon would have made them quickly get out

this assemby seems to me ungovernable (if this word exist in english)
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 13, 2012, 05:04:59 pm
Well, they are right.
If Greece goes down, Europe goes down.
Hard austerity isn't the solution, since it kills growth.
This domesday scenario simply isnt right. Greece is a small and insignificant part of the European economy. If Greece goes bankrupt it will of course affect general trust in the Euro, but after a while sensible, rational actors in the financial markets will come to terms with the fact, that this is an extreme case, that is not likely to replicate in important countries like Spain and Italy. There is a large element of hysteria in the reaction to the Greek crisis and a lack of understanding of the differences between long term and short term consequences.

Secondly, large parts of Europe (East and North) are not in the Euro-zone. You cant say Euro-zone = Europe.



markets are not rationnals and trust is one of the most important thing in economy.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 12, 2012, 09:51:01 pm
everybody will don't care but...i had read that the royalist party of greece was forbidden to run on the election. Apparently, because they don't want to be loyal to the republican consitution.

At the same time, golden showerdawn can run... :/
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 14


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines