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October 31, 2014, 11:38:03 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: PM Series: Quesion 25 on: Today at 01:15:30 am
Give people merit based on the challenges they have faced in their lives - some of which will be related to race, demography and discrimination.   But treat people as individuals, not as just another instance of some category.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary: "Businesses don't create jobs" on: October 30, 2014, 10:28:09 pm
The difference between what Obama said and what Hillary said is that Obama was actually making a somewhat coherent argument as opposed to vague strawmanning about "trickle down economics" and how it was in some way disproved by Bill Clinton.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rick Santorum Vs. Bill De Blasio on: October 30, 2014, 10:00:58 pm


308  50%
-230 47%
4  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Goin' Boatin' (Or: The Birth of a Nation) on: October 30, 2014, 08:54:00 pm
*Berth
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Can't we just have one thread for Election Night results? on: October 30, 2014, 08:14:37 pm
maybe we can split it up into just a few, such as by Census Region?  That would be less confusing than certain states paired alphabetically and then a thread vaguely titled "all others."
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republicans/GOP primary voters only: Chris Christie vs Scott Walker 2.0 on: October 30, 2014, 12:50:19 am
I have more respect for Christie - he seems to actually have some principles - but ... no, I can't vote for either of these guys. If the choice is between one of them and Clinton, I may be pining for Obama.
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: California Proposition 47 on: October 30, 2014, 12:30:46 am
Tough, but "No" because I can't support making fraud and illegal drug use a misdemeanor.

It did say "most" and not "all." Fraud still has a victim, even if said victim is only financially hurt and not physically hurt.

Anyway, I voted yes.

This affects more than just victimless crimes.  The opponents argue that things like stealing a gun or snatching a purse would be made into misdemeanors when they should be felonies.  I do have some reservations about this, but on balance it would provide some much needed sentencing reform so I'll go for Yes.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP attempting to purge 1 in 7 black voters from voter rolls on: October 30, 2014, 12:06:22 am
I wonder how they got the info on the race of the people who had their entries flagged, given that sort of thing is not listed on voter registration forms anywhere so far as I know.

Is the basic problem here that people tend to forget to cancel their old registration when they move?  Perhaps, it's that Hispanics and blacks tend to be more transient because of poverty. 

Also, what seems like a better explanation, is that black people tend to have English last names, Hispanics tend to have Spanish last names, whereas whites have last names from all over Europe.  So for example, there are more registrations tossed out by mistaking Garry Smith for Garry Smith than mistaking Garry Kowalski for Garry Kowalski.

Or, people could just look for names like Jamal and Jose and knock them off.  I hope that would never happen and I actually think even Republicans are above that.

According to the article it is in fact mainly the broader use of a limited selection of last names that is leading to the ethnic disparity.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which Mark has the best chance of winning? on: October 29, 2014, 10:09:04 pm
Udall

Everybody on this board acknowledges that historically polls underestimate D's in Colorado, but nobody wants to acknowledge that polls in Alaska underestimate R's, by 7 points!

which election was that?
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP attempting to purge 1 in 7 black voters from voter rolls on: October 29, 2014, 09:32:20 pm
I wonder how they got the info on the race of the people who had their entries flagged, given that sort of thing is not listed on voter registration forms anywhere so far as I know.
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama Vs. Reagan! on: October 29, 2014, 09:16:22 pm
Ebola presents no risk to developed nations whatsoever.

To the extent that is true, it's only because it is being treated as though it is one.


No, the big difference is that the US has the facilities and infrastructure to deal with it. You think in Africa the problem is simply that they're not treating ebola like it's a big deal?

I imagine if the official stance of an African government was "there's no risk of Ebola in our nation" the risk would thus become significantly worse there. Meanwhile our facilities and infrastructure could be perfect but if medical and public health professionals were to treat it as though the risk is nonexistent, that infrastructure would be useless against it except by accident.
12  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Mideast Voting Booth: GM Independence Amendment on: October 29, 2014, 08:56:50 pm
AYE
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Candidate Declaration Thread on: October 29, 2014, 08:55:42 pm
I will be a candidate for Mideast Assembly.
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Poirot / shua Presidential campaign on: October 29, 2014, 08:53:02 pm
I'd like to thank all those who came out to support us this past weekend.  I appreciate every single vote.  We knew it was a long shot going into this, and Lumine/SJoyce and Marokai/Antonio both ran strong, constructive campaigns. Congrats to Lumine and SJoyce, whom I have worked with them before and I am sure they will do a great job for our nation. Thanks also to Poirot, whom I enjoyed running with. He put forward some great ideas and I encourage those in office to take them up. I'm glad to have been given this opportunity to represent an alternative voice in this election. I wish you all the best.
15  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Attention Regional Executives: An Amendment has passed the Senate! on: October 29, 2014, 08:44:12 pm
A GM doesn't need to be reconfirmed with a new administration. I'm not sure about the answer to the other questions, but I imagine it's a two-thirds vote of the full Senate (7 unless there are vacancies).
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP attempting to purge 1 in 7 black voters from voter rolls on: October 29, 2014, 11:42:43 am
plus 1 in 8 Asian-Americans and 1 in 11 Whites.    Minorities are more likely to have common first and last names. I imagine among some white ethnicities there are similarly high rates of ending up on this list.

 
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama Vs. Reagan! on: October 29, 2014, 10:27:51 am
Ebola presents no risk to developed nations whatsoever.

To the extent that is true, it's only because it is being treated as though it is one.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many counties will Larry Pressler win? on: October 29, 2014, 10:08:34 am
Zero.

Unfortunately I think that is correct, but he will probably come in 2nd place in a dozen or so.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Senate on: October 29, 2014, 10:01:04 am
Landrieu 44
Cassidy   40
Maness   13
others      3

Cassidy    52
Landrieu   48
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins Alaska? on: October 29, 2014, 09:37:47 am
I've been pretty convinced all year that Begich is relatively safe - as in, will win even if it is under 50%, which looks quite likely.

Of course, I've been wrong before. Smiley

He's far from safe but yeah, my guess is Begich wins with less than 50%.
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Massachusetts Question 1 on: October 28, 2014, 11:04:58 pm
Yes. It may make to sense to have automatic adjustments, but if that then just make it a standard 2 or 3% increase per year rather than running the risk of further compounding high inflationary periods.  Fuel prices are a major component of CPI to begin with, both directly and indirectly, so inflationary adjustments to the gas tax means it comes when people are already taking a financial hit in this area, as well as increasing inflation even more.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1956: Richard Nixon/Omar Bradley vs. Robert Wagner/Al Gore Sr. on: October 28, 2014, 01:28:12 am
Wagner, while a popular candidate, is rather new - being still in his first term as Mayor. His Catholicism is a factor in the election for some.  Though the race is competitive in many states, Ike's high approvals ultimately give Nixon a comfortable victory.



Vice President Richard Nixon (R-CA) / Gen. Omar Bradley (R-NY)  52%  352
Mayor Robert F Wagner Jr (D-NY) / Sen. Albert Gore (D-TN)  47%  179
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: October 27, 2014, 12:23:18 pm
Wasn't modern Russia mostly just empty frozen wasteland when the Bible was written? No clue how you can see anything in the Bible as a reference to Russia.

No, modern day Southern Russia and Ukraine was full of peoples like Cimmerians and Scythians, whom the biblical writers were probably aware of, though the reference in Ezekiel may instead refer to peoples of Northern Anatolia (modern day Turkey) and/or the Caucus region.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Is Cheerleading a Sport? on: October 27, 2014, 11:48:18 am
Perhaps my bias comes from the fact that the cheerleaders at my school are the most narcissistic, hive minded, self-centered, attention seeking, self-gratifying pieces of filth I have ever witnessed.

In that case it certainly is a sport.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: PM Series: Question 24 on: October 26, 2014, 11:51:42 pm
Disagree/Critical (since I interpreted this a proxy for free speech issues in general).

My position as well, and also in the sense that an assault on a particular free speech it is an assault on free speech in general.
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