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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / the Inland Empire on: March 23, 2015, 11:57:22 pm
How long has the area had somewhat of a bad reputation? I'm trying not to sound too harsh and I know there are some nice places to live there but whenever I hear the term "Inland Empire" used, its always in a pejorative of sorts.

I mean a lot of the housing stock is pretty new and usually wherever the homes are new, the nicer a place to live it is. Was its history always a part of Greater SoCal or did it have a distinct identity of its own (kind of like comparing Racine/Kenosha to Milwaukee)? I can imagine 50+ years ago of it being a few small towns with a set right out of "American Graffiti" separated by orange groves.

2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: the Joe Arpaio reign of terror may be nearing its end on: March 23, 2015, 11:41:36 pm
both he (and Tucson's sheriff for that matter) are nearing there end as sheriffs anyways. Aren't they 160 years old between the two of them
3  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / what are some areas that vote for the same party as they did decades ago on: March 19, 2015, 03:05:58 pm
but for different reasons? Somewhere like Shelby County, TN is somewhere that comes to mind for the democrats. Not sure for the republicans.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MD-Sen: Edwards vs. Van Hollen on: March 15, 2015, 02:46:52 pm
definitely supporting van hollen. Edwards is too much a SJW for my tastes.

In what way do you see them differing on social issues?
Does Edwards' work on behalf of domestic violence victims really make her unappealing?
I don't see how being responsible for VAWA's passage is a negative (unless you're a fan of violence against women).


well its other things too. Her views on Israel are bordering on NOI.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MD-Sen: Edwards vs. Van Hollen on: March 15, 2015, 01:43:39 pm
definitely supporting van hollen. Edwards is too much a SJW for my tastes.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Your dream Congressional Leadership on: March 05, 2015, 06:50:07 pm

President Pro-Tem: Pat Leahy
Majority Leader: Chuck Schumer
Majority Whip: Jon Tester
Minority Leader: John Thune
Minority Whip: Bob Corker

--House--
Speaker: Steny Hoyer
Majority Leader: Xavier Becerra
Majority Whip: Joe Crowley
Minority Leader: Don Young
Minority Whip: Hal Rogers
7  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Hot or not: Lily Allen on: March 05, 2015, 02:10:15 am
after a few beers
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / opinion of Van Halen on: March 05, 2015, 01:19:33 am
I vote option 3. I like the song "Dance the Night Away" but at the same time they were the first in a long stage of the devolution of rock and roll.
9  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Dr. Phil on: March 05, 2015, 01:17:36 am
charlatan
10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Poquoson, VA on: February 28, 2015, 01:59:20 pm
whats the story of why it is so republican? Is it full of high-ranking naval officers?
11  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: anyone want to play this game on: February 26, 2015, 01:45:30 am
No

why the dislike?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / has the story of the past several decades in presidential elections on: February 23, 2015, 03:05:37 am
been that of areas assimilating more to how they should be voting. The link below is what I'm talking about. http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=207702.0

The presence of a lot of "should be voting this way" areas have declined as they have generally assimilated to there counterparts nationwide. An example is areas like DuPage County, IL or Cottle, TX which are voting more or less how you would have expected them to all along. Also in Kentucky there was marked difference in areas like the old 5th and old 7th districts, both of which are converging politically.

If the dems go the Elizabeth Warren route then all bets are off but if the dems go more the Clinton route, places like Morris County, NJ I think should eventually assimilate to voting more like Nassau or Suffolk County, NY for example.
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / anyone want to play this game on: February 23, 2015, 02:47:17 am
which is to name a song and say where it would fit in in a movie or at least what type of movie.

Here's mine: Year of the Cat by Al Stewart https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqZc7ZQURMs
My view is that this could fit in very well in a sentimental movie. In fact that movie preview where Allen Alda plays a guy in the hospital and  flashes back to his young adult days would be a good movie to play this song in.

Edit: apparently the name of the movie is the Longest Ride. The part I'm talking about begins at the 1:08 mark in the link below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUS_Q7FsfqU
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: why the mass exodus of congressional dems in 1976? (paging smolty) on: February 21, 2015, 04:01:25 pm
IMHO - mostly yes. After Burton's reform no seniority guaranteed chairmanship automatically. Hebert and Passman were old-style conservatives from Louisiana with substantial baggage, and, in case of Passman, had energetic young opponent (Huckaby).  Patman, though more of old-style populist, was getting old, and the same - about Madden, who also had young and good opponent (Adam Benjamin). Evins could anticipate Gore's desires, and decide not to compete.

So, in MOST cases - probably, yes..


what about Jones, Albert and Morgan. They were all left alone by Burton and in the case of Jones, he was older than some freshman are (64).
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Most Conservative Congressional Democrats Post-WWII on: February 21, 2015, 03:38:12 am
I forget his name but the Democrat who represented Florida's 1st Congressional District was also very conservative.

Also, don't forget Phil Gramm was elected to the House as a Democrat.

Earl Hutto?

Yes, it's him. And he was really conservative (as many Democrats from North Florida were). But if we talk about Florida then Jim Haley was even more conservative. And, obviously, there were even more conservative Democrats in state legislature. I am tempted to make a list with names of the most conservative Democratic congressmen for every state (obviously - it will contain omissions, for example - while i know some conservative Democratic state legislators from Vermont i am not aware about any conservative Democratic congressmen from this state)

Haley's district was interesting in that it was basically the type of seat the republicans started picking up in the 50s (the Jonas or Cramer districts) in that it had a lot of newcomers. This was even more the case since it was in 1952 when it was an open (or newly created) district where Ike was getting 60+%. When it finally came open in 1976 (and with Ford carrying it), it was thought it would finally go republican but it stayed democrat for another eight years (and Ireland could have held the seat for a long time as a democrat had he not switched).

I think the creation of the Bafalis district in 1972 saved both James Haley and Paul Rogers' ass.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / why the mass exodus of congressional dems in 1976? (paging smolty) on: February 21, 2015, 03:26:45 am
it seems that in 1975-1976, just as dems were enjoying newfound dominance in congress, a lot of longtime dems left office. Did some of it have to do with not liking the new rules that Phillip Burton instigated?

I'll put them in three categories

Dethronees:
Wright Patman (first elected in 1928) - dethroned as chairman of the Banking committee. Announced his retirement in 1975 but died before he could finish his term

Wilbur Mills (first elected in 1938) - dethroned as Ways and Means chair. Retired from office.

Eddie Hebert (first elected in 1940) - dethroned as Armed Services chair. Retired from office

Lost Renomination:
Ray Madden (first elected in 1942) - he was chair of the Rules committee and unlike the others, was not stripped of his chairmanship. He was, however, the oldest member of congress in 1976 (84) and that's probably why he lost renomination

Otto Passman (first elected in 1946) - he was No 4 democrat on Appropriations. He I think had ethics issues (Korea thing or what not) and lost renomination

Retired
Joe Evins (first elected in 1946) - he was the No 5 democrat on Appropriations and just up and retired. The guy who took his seat was Al Gore. Ironically, Evins avoided a primary battle with his father in 1952 when the state went down a seat and he (Gore Sr) agreed to challenge McKellar.

Thomas Morgan (first elected in 1944) - he was chair of the House Foreign Affairs committee and although he never grabbed attention headlines like Fulbright did, was never challenged for his chairmanship either.

Robert Jones (first elected in 1947) - he was from the TVA district and was a typical populist, pork-barreling politician who was fairly liberal by Alabama standards (though his ACU ratings were in the 40s and 50s). When John Blatnik retired in 74, he was given the chairmanship of the Public Works committee. Maybe he had waited so long for it only to realize it wasn't what it was cracked up to be?

So, including speaker Albert, thats nine democrats with 30ish years of seniority all leaving office. Anyone think the change between the 94th and 95th congress was a power vacuum in the sense that a lot of old bulls left office and created a lot of openings for craven pols?
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NC State Senator has senate chamber to himself, goes mad with power on: February 18, 2015, 07:16:57 pm
he looks fairly young. He should run for Price's seat when he retires.
Sadly he can't, His district is located in Charlotte.

oh. I thought his district was in CH.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NC State Senator has senate chamber to himself, goes mad with power on: February 18, 2015, 06:53:48 pm
he looks fairly young. He should run for Price's seat when he retires.
19  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: if the TXGOP had left Frost alone in 2004 on: February 16, 2015, 04:19:01 am
Not sure that given the atrocious Democratic turnout in 2010 that Frost would've survived 2010 even in his old district.

Also Frost's 2002 district was 63% Obama. No southern state could elect a republican in a seat like that.
20  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: if the TXGOP had left Frost alone in 2004 on: February 11, 2015, 11:41:51 pm
Not sure that given the atrocious Democratic turnout in 2010 that Frost would've survived 2010 even in his old district. Stenholm and Chet Edwards would be goners for sure.

actually Edwards by some sort of miracle was able to survive 2004 and won [relatively] easily in 06 and 08.
21  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / if the TXGOP had left Frost alone in 2004 on: February 11, 2015, 04:07:49 pm
and then drawn the TX-33 for him in 2011, would he have lost renomination in 2012 to a black or hispanic?
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tom Cotton Wants Terror Detainees To 'Rot In Hell,' But He'll Settle For Gitmo on: February 11, 2015, 03:46:08 pm
is there any senator who's a bigger HP than Cotton?
23  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / what is the ground zero for the emily, jim, sara, danny voters? on: February 05, 2015, 02:53:04 am
Skill and Chance came up with these names here: http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=201514.0.

Emily is probably somewhere like NY-3 (Israel's district)
Jim's district is OH-13 (Ryan)
Sara is CA-16 (Costa)
Danny is WV-3
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Challenge: Describe a Dewey 48, Stevenson 52 voter on: January 31, 2015, 04:12:02 pm
people are forgetting the most obvious choice - someone living in Philadelphia. City narrowly went for Truman in 1948 and went 58-42 Stevenson in 1952 (ballot rigging?)
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Challenge: describe a voter born 100 years ago who has voted for the same party on: January 31, 2015, 04:10:46 pm
First election would be 1936. Our centenarian is still alive and votes for the same party today as he did when he voted for Roosevelt or Landon in 1936. Describe two people: the Roosevelt voter who is still a Democrat and the Landon voter who is still a Republican.

sounds like my thread
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=188043.0;wap2
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