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September 25, 2016, 10:41:38 pm
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1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: just saw Fast Times at Ridgemont High on: September 19, 2016, 08:12:20 pm
One of the most famous topless scenes in movie history.

I actually was surprised when I saw it the second time. I had forgotten that she didn't actually take her top off but it was a fantasy by Brad - only to have her come back into the house and catch him whacking off.
2  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / just saw Fast Times at Ridgemont High on: September 19, 2016, 03:18:40 pm
hadn't seen the movie in a while. The biggest thing I noticed is that Spicoli is really only a side character and the crux of the movie is about the inner circle of Brad and Stacy Hamilton. Although the movie is seen as one of the best 80s movies - does anyone here sort of notice a residual 70s feel to it? When I think of the 80s, I think of crack cocaine, and music like guns-n-roses or bon-jovi. None of that stuff seems to have fully settled in and they didn't even mention mtv during the movie.

3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Your opinion of this parody of The Young Turks? on: September 16, 2016, 04:40:57 pm
sargon chimes in - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WV4pHtKe6ZE
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MO/GA/CO/AR-Emerson polls: Blunt in big trouble, other incumbents ahead on: September 15, 2016, 04:37:18 pm
don't most polls have Bennett up 15 points?
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: thoughts and musings on: September 09, 2016, 09:47:46 am
Patty Murray is a reliable, competent progressive footsoldier. Scoop was a self-important, race-baiting conservadem who was either useless or actively harmful to his party. Not sure exactly what your point is.

dude voted for civil rights. not sure what you're talking about.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: thoughts and musings on: September 08, 2016, 10:31:01 pm
And the rising political influence of women factors into this, how exactly? Roll Eyes
Would you rather have Nancy Kassebaum or Jerry Moran?

eh you have a point. I think this is more the case with democrats though. Republican women don't seem markedly different than republican men.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: thoughts and musings on: September 08, 2016, 08:07:24 pm
And the rising political influence of women factors into this, how exactly? Roll Eyes

see I'm still undecided either way whether it has something to do with it or not. To me, it has more to do with the fact that the sort of "manufactured" kind of candidate tends to be a woman. I mean would you rather want someone like Scoop/Maggie or Patty Murray for a senator?
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: thoughts and musings on: September 08, 2016, 06:23:11 pm
I know what you're talking about freepcrusher. I think you're talking about transactional politics, the type of politics that is like a business - you give me X in exchange for Y, is that right? The type that old political machines used to do. It wasn't about being liberal or conservative but just using government to get your piece of the pie.

bingo
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / thoughts and musings on: September 07, 2016, 10:04:35 pm
As some of you know, I posted a rant four years ago here: http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=158425.msg3405535#msg3405535

Now, I was still forming my political views and I've started to identify what bothers me and what doesn't. One of the things I dislike about the democrats is not women qua women but rather the loss of local-minded politicians. Guys like Emanuel Celler would, for instance, come home to Brooklyn on the weekend and have constituent services in his house, often uninvited. It seems in those days, almost everyone in the district knew you by name and what not.

This is the point the pro-term limit people miss. It prevents you from getting to know your congressman and instead - leads to a sort of Manchurian Candidate type of thing. I also think the OMG HILLARY CLINTON IS CORRUPT people also miss the point. It's not that she's corrupt per se but that she seems manufactured. Guys like Jim Wright and Rosty were corrupt - but they were also guys who were friendly and not the type to be so caged in there responses and have a kajillion consultants telling them what to say. While it is true that neither Wright nor Rosty had much private sector experience - they seem like the type of guys who would have been working in the private sector had they not held elected office. They didn't have the sort of overeducated air to them that Clinton had.

Also, I'm of the view that ideology is the problem and that politicians should focus more on cutting ribbons, and bringing home public works projects. This is what I call "town and gown" issues. Looking at old almanacs, it is mentioned that a lot of older congressman dislike having Nader and his cohorts showing up to committee hearings and flooding the house/senate members offices. It seems that what Nader did was to change the house from a "all politics is local" type of deal to a pet-issues heavy legislative body.

This kind of factors also into education, for whatever reason people who are "educated" tend to be more partisan than those without an education and it seems that less educated people who are not stupid per se but have a modicum of common sense seem to be more reasonable in voting. It also seems that they are more likely to want the kind of "town and gown" type figure rather than a miseducated wonk. This ties back to the fact that the "educated" states of Colorado and Virginia seem to have less of the "town and gown" type of pols and the more overeducated NGO-manufactured type of candidate seems more the case. These type of people are also married to people who are also part of that class and its rare that they met there spouse in a non-governmental way (i.e. working at the same manufacturing business).

Now, do these trends have anything to do with the rise of women in politics (especially in the democrats)? I don't know, but it does seem too much of a coincidence that the rise of "pet issue politics" happened at the same time second-wave feminism began. It seems for whatever reason that women pols don't have the sort of "old school pork-barrel" type of feel to them (not that many male pols are like that either anymore but most of the remaining town and gown dems are male). Mary Landrieu, when she was in office, seemed like the only dem that fit that description.

Anyone here agree with me or sense what I'm getting at?

10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: name an area and describe the most prevalent ideology on: September 05, 2016, 09:28:14 pm
Des Moines Area


Purple/Magenta - white working class area. Makes up much of the city of DSM. 65-33 Obama in 2008. The area does vary though as the areas on the east and south sides sort of have a redneck feel to them while those on the west side sort of have a hipster/gentrifyer feel to them (like in the beaverdale neighborhood)

Blue - wealthy Democrats. 63-36 Obama in 2008

Green - Poor Minority Areas. Blacks and Hispanics combine for 50% or so and Obama won 79-19 in 2008.

Red - Downtown Area. 77% Obama in 2008

Gold - Inner-Ring Suburbs. Mostly built from WWII to the 1970s. Obama won this area by seven points in 2008. Still sends republicans to the legislature though.

Teal - wealthy outer suburbs. This is where the mcmansions are. I do hesitate to put Ankeny on there since it seems to be sort of a mix between the "Teal" and "Silver" category. 52.6-46 McCain in 2008

Silver - working class exurbs. This is basically people who want a more rural surrounding to raise there kids but want to live somewhere more affordable. Some of the areas have a really fundie feel to it while the area between the north side of Des Moines and Ankeny (i.e. Saydel) sort of has a seedy strip-club heavy air to it. This area was a virtual tie between Obama and McCain in 2008


Light Purple - rural areas - haven't yet seen widespread suburbanization and is still 95% white. McCain won here 53.1-44.9 in 2008.

11  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: who are some actors who could play a musician in a biopic on: August 24, 2016, 02:44:59 am
Louis Garrel seems like a dead ringer for 1970s Glenn Frey: https://static01.nyt.com/images/2014/08/19/t-magazine/19garrell-barna/19garrell-barna-tmagSF.jpg
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / did krazen1211 quit the atlas forum? on: July 18, 2016, 08:25:44 pm
I just realized he hasn't been on here for 16 months.
13  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the likely political views of the previous hypothetical person on: July 14, 2016, 01:06:09 am
Age: 60
Gender: Male
Race: White
Education: BA/MBA
Location: Sherman Oaks, CA
Occupation: Owner of a Porn Movie company, also has side businesses in the tabloid and casino industries
Religion: lapsed catholic
Hometown: Hempstead, NY
Marital status: Married, 1 child

Libertarian. Would vote GOP if they were less tied the "Moral Majority".

I could see him voting libertarian or not voting at all normally - but I definitely think he would be a Trump supporter
14  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the likely political views of the previous hypothetical person on: July 12, 2016, 11:14:24 pm
Age: 60
Gender: Male
Race: White
Education: BA/MBA
Location: Sherman Oaks, CA
Occupation: Owner of a Porn Movie company, also has side businesses in the tabloid and casino industries
Religion: lapsed catholic
Hometown: Hempstead, NY
Marital status: Married, 1 child
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congrats to Senator Bennett... on: June 29, 2016, 01:43:02 am
anyone here see Bennett get Hart 1974/Ritter 2006 numbers?
16  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: who are some actors who could play a musician in a biopic on: June 28, 2016, 04:17:12 pm
Robert Patrick would make a good Don Henley.

you do realize a movie based off of the eagles would be henley age 24-33 roughly?
17  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / who are some actors who could play a musician in a biopic on: June 27, 2016, 04:22:47 pm
Josh Brener could play Nick Mason of PF
Russell Brand could play Freddy Mercury
TJ Miller could maybe play Bernie Leadon of the Eagles
Daniel Radcliffe could play John Lennon
Adam Driver could play Roger Waters

any others?
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Orlando: melting pot of 3rd world miscreants on: June 22, 2016, 11:39:23 pm
this guy should know that you do this type of stuff under a pseudonym. Ever heard of Ricky Vaughn?
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: John Lewis leads sit-in on House Floor to pass gun control legislation. on: June 22, 2016, 11:38:02 pm
well i'm of the view that there's nothing wrong with being skeptical of 2A and that they've run out of seats where being anti-2A could cost them anything. Nonetheless this is very 3rd world to occupy places and do the whole "call and respond" thing. I'm very much of the view that the dems have a lack of institutional control and that someone like Gephardt would never have let this happen. Was he pro-2A? I don't recall he was, but it seemed he had better discipline over his party
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / what are some music groups whose earlier stuff differs from what on: May 29, 2016, 02:03:02 am
they're known for?

For instance
- Fleetwood Mac under Peter Green had more of a blues sound to it
- BeeGees in the late 60s/early 70s was more similar to something like the moody blues
- Chicago's first three albums had more of a jam band sound

any others?
21  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / anyone ever heard the pre-disco beegees before? on: May 22, 2016, 01:17:04 pm
I had always thought of them as a disco group but apparently they had a few hits in 1969-1971 such as "I Started a Joke" (which I never knew was them), "Lonely Days" and "How Can You Mend a Broken Heart". Kind of reminds me of the moody blues. Anyone like that era of the bee-gees better than there disco stuff?
22  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / do other metro areas besides New York have accent variation within on: May 06, 2016, 12:40:25 am
the area? As I just alluded to, New York has sort of an insider-outsider feel to it with Manhattan (and the parts of Brooklyn near Manhattan) being full of outsiders and with there being no accent. In Brooklyn and Queens - that's where you find much of the descendants of the population of New York City in 1950 and where you'll find the whole stereotypical New York accent.

My guess is that you'll see this in some southern metro areas. Like in Atlanta, I would say much of the descendants of the population that lived inside the 285 50-60 years ago have probably moved outside the 285 while the people living inside the 285 now are mostly from out-of-state. So in places like Cobb County you have what you call the "townies" - people who have lived in the metro area for at least three or more generations.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / describe a Goldwater/McGovern voter on: May 03, 2016, 01:32:32 pm
I wouldn't be surprised if there were at least some. My view is that it was someone who suffered some sort of midlife crisis in the eight intervening years. Someone who was a super mainstream type who went "off the grid". For someone who was fairly young in 1964, it was probably someone who became radicalized by something.
24  General Discussion / Alternative History / how would the dems downballot #s look like if McCain won in 2008? on: April 27, 2016, 05:49:39 pm
I mean I'd like to think the dems could keep winning downballot. But I also wonder if 2010 would simply happen under the next democratic president and that seats like TN-6 were like bombs that Obama accidentally detonated
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / any of you guys heard of Davis Aurini? on: April 23, 2016, 08:33:48 pm
I've seen some of his videos and a lot of them are good. However, he does seem like the most pretentious person I've ever seen on youtube. Here is his newest video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rv6S_lRkh-w
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