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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: When/why did "Liberalism=Left" in American politics? on: July 31, 2012, 02:22:55 am
All the main political ideologies of the United States were Liberal of some stripe throughout our existence as a sovereign nation. The Federalist v. Democratic-Republican issue was over how centralized our system was going to be. Whig v. Democrat was over a more refined Liberalism of the Whigs and a more populist Liberalism of the Democrats. Republican v. Democrat until the Progressive era was almost entirely a regional interest argument (North v. South). The Progressive era through the New Deal era was the transformation of a particular strand of Liberalism into a staunchly reformist and progressive version with the popularity of Evolution spreading such a notion, alongside eugenics.

The Progressive reformers finally won control over the Democratic Party under FDR causing much of the Classical Liberals to be left in the GOP camp. It was not until the 1960-80 period when the remaining force of Progressive Republicans and Classical Liberal Democrats jumped their respective ship. At the same time the Culture Wars began, which is where I believe the first true identification of a large amount of Americans as "Conservative" began. In a book I had read, by Murray Rothbard I believe, he stated the "Old Right" such as Robert A. Taft hated the term Conservative because it was equated with the British Tories whereas he believed all American politics, especially his own, was Liberal.

2  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: What GOP decade does Romney fit in? on: January 04, 2012, 05:56:09 pm
Barry Goldwater was a Keynesian?

The 1960s GOP was dominated by the Rockefeller - Nixon establishment, Goldwater was an outsider at the time. I could not exclude him though because I included every other GOP nominee. He was not a Keynesian; we all know that.
3  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / What GOP decade does Romney fit in? on: January 04, 2012, 05:14:23 pm
Mitt Romney can often seem to not fit in well with the Republican Party of this decade so far. Many claim he is a pseudo – Conservative or, RINO, because of his often moderate stances on the issues. With that in mind, what decade of GOP history do you believe Mitt Romney would be best suited for?

1920 – 29: Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover; Laissez – faire economics
1940 – 49: Wendell Willkie, Thomas Dewey, Earl Warren; Moderation
1960 – 69: Richard Nixon, Nelson Rockefeller, Barry Goldwater; “We’re all Keynesians now”
1980 – 89: Ronald Reagan, George H. W. Bush, Pat Buchanan; Reaganomics
2000 – 09: George W. Bush, John McCain, Dick Cheney; Neoconservatives

Note: I am not using 'Neoconservative' as a derogatory term.
4  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Santorum's speech was EXCELLENT!!! on: January 04, 2012, 01:12:58 am
I really enjoyed Rick Santorum’s speech. He spoke of the real issue of our day; the collapse of manufacturing, the one thing that has probably hurt more working class Americans than anything else. Add to that he sounded almost Buchanan like tonight, even quoting C.S. Lewis which I thought was fantastic. Pat Buchanan is my favorite Republican, hands down, but Santorum is still not my candidate of choice. His staunch interventionism goes against my non – interventionism, he is also a major Zionist which I am not.
5  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Final IA predictions - pick winner and order on: January 03, 2012, 12:33:13 pm
These are my predictions:

23% | Ron Paul
21% | Rick Santorum
19% | Mitt Romney
13% | Newt Gingrich
11% | Rick Perry
07% | Michele Bachmann
04% | Jon Huntsman, Jr.
02% | Other
6  Election Archive / 2012 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: WV-PPP: Sen. Manchin (D) would beat any Republican on: September 15, 2011, 08:28:24 am
I am very glad to see this poll result. Joe Manchin is one of my favorite Senators and any day of the week I would gladly vote for him; if I lived in West Virginia. It is good to see that state is holding onto their conservative Democratic tradition.
7  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: 2012 oppenent for Obama on: September 09, 2011, 02:03:59 am
Where is Jon Huntsman on that list? You did not ask who is expected to win just who you would want to debate Obama. My pick is Huntsman. But since he is not there I will go with Mitt Romney. A businessman against a community organizer that would be exciting.
8  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Republicans: Romney or Perry? on: September 09, 2011, 01:54:15 am
My pick is definitely Mitt Romney. Besides Jon Huntsman (who is my favorite) and Ron Paul (who I deeply respect), Romney is the only one running for President that I think is actually competent. Plus he tries to show himself as a Conservative but all of us Moderates know that he is really a Pragmatist in Conservative clothing. At this time in our country there is only on way for a Moderate to win… pretend to be something else.

Romney – Obama | Romney
Perry – Obama | Neither
Bachmann – Obama | Neither
Huntsman – Obama | Huntsman
Gingrich – Obama | Not sure
Cain – Obama | Not sure
Paul – Obama | Paul
9  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney's Economic Plan: Cut Jobs, Cut Taxes on: September 07, 2011, 04:53:36 am
Well, the voters never seem to get a choice that isn't for "free trade".
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / 2016 hypothetical: LePage v. McCaskill on: September 06, 2011, 04:20:02 pm
Barack Obama faced off against Gov. Rick Perry in the 2012 Presidential election and won a weak victory. The GOP went soul searching for the next 3 years until in 2015 the new crop of candidates had arrived. An early expected favorite was Marco Rubio but he decided against running. Bobby Jindal was the next candidate of choice alongside Maine Governor Paul LePage. He was viewed as a viable candidate for national office coming from a rather Liberal state.

Democrats furthered their decline among white working class individuals, especially in the Midwest. As they felt their support eroding pressure was applied to find a compromise candidate which could bring together the urban, labor, and working class vote. O’Malley of Maryland was an early pick but he did not want to run as the party was weak with Republicans expected to triumph. Andrew Cuomo decided to run on a socially liberal program emphasizing equality. Claire McCaskill joined the race and was a viewed as a more populist Democrat able to take on the Republicans.

Paul LePage and Claire McCaskill won their respective nominations and were competing in the polls until when LePage was beginning to come out ahead. There was still hope for the Democrats but it was fading each day. By the end of October LePage had grown to a 5 point lead with still 9% undecided, leaving LePage 48% to McCaskill 43%. Today is Election Day 2016, who do you pick?

Also if you would like please discuss with maps as well.

*If this is not a very good timeline please forgive me it is my first attempt*
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: European Political Ideologies. Test yourself! on: September 06, 2011, 04:16:27 am
European Political Ideology:

1. Fascist (I am a National Conservative, which is not Fascist but since they did not have that as an option this is probably closest considering the options)
2. Christian Democrat (This is rather close to my ideas but lacks the nationalism and protectionism I support)
3. Libertarian Conservative (Seems quite different than the first two)

Vosem Chart Locator:

1. Traditional Societies - 100%
2. Anarcho-Syndicalist - 81%
3. Conservative - 81%
4. Totalitarian - 77%
5. Libertarian - 72% (strange arrangement)
6. Authoritarian - 66%
7. Liberal - 61%
8. New Labour - 52%
12  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: i feel that the democrats don't have a cohesive economic agenda on: August 05, 2011, 03:17:21 pm
You must have a fertility rate of 2.10 at minimum for replacement levels. Should we implement such a policy as you have suggested the fertility rate would unarguably collapse to levels comparable to Eastern Europe which would quickly create a demographic crisis leading inevitably to an unsustainable strain on the social safety net eventually leading either to its abolition or significant reduction, so if you are a Liberal who believes in the welfare state I would highly recommend to encourage more births rather than discourage it.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Summary of political beliefs on: July 25, 2011, 09:01:26 pm
Social Policy:  I believe in Federalism on this issue allowing states to make their individual choices without interruption by the federal government so long as they do not violate any principles of the Bill of Rights. On the state level however I am culturally moderate with liberal views on gun restriction, drug laws, abortion, gay marriage, evolution, and stem cell research while holding conservative views on crime/punishment, language laws, immigrant assimilation, and school prayer.

Foreign Policy:  On this issue I break with both parties. Overall I am an Isolationist believing in no intervention abroad unless we are facing an immediate and direct threat, a strong military which does not require massive spending, closing all foreign military bases, exiting all international organizations, ending free-trade in favor of import tariffs which equalize the cost of production between our country and the country which we enter a trade agreement with, and drastically reducing immigration until we have assimilated all current immigrants into our society (learn English, pay taxes, do not commit crimes, excluded from welfare benefits until 3 years taxes are paid).

Fiscal Policy:  Balance the budget which includes raising taxes and cutting spending, reform the disability benefits system to check on recipients every few years and give rewards for turning in those committing fraud, strengthening Social Security and Medicare, creating a system of Medicare for all, reduce taxes on corporations to a flat 27% rate, end all tax loopholes, make the income tax more progressive, eliminate several federal departments which would be better handled at the state level (EPA, Transportation, Education), support labor unions right to collectively bargain, spend more on infrastructure development, set a cap for the size of all banks and bust up the ‘too big to fail’ banks.

Government Philosophy:  I support the power of the judiciary, elimination of 17th amendment, strengthen rights of states, believe in strict interpretation of the constitution, favor a very weak executive with a strong judiciary and legislature.

Overall I would say my philosophy is hard to understand but is similar to the Republican Party to the early 20th century with some notable differences. Overall I consider myself an Economic nationalist and Conservative Federalist.
14  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Could Obama Win OH while losing PA? on: July 20, 2011, 06:43:56 pm
The last time Ohio went Democrat while Pennsylvania went Republican was in 1948. That election was between Truman and Dewey; a Midwestern Democrat against a Yankee Republican. If 2012 happens to be Obama against Romney that would be basically the same set-up although it does not mean the results will turn out OH going Democrat and PA going Republican. What is strange however is that so far the polls are showing Obama is stronger in Ohio than Pennsylvania now.
15  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Forum Republicans on: July 16, 2011, 10:22:23 pm
1. Jon Huntsman, Jr.
2. Mitt Romney
3. Ron Paul
16  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: States most likely to flip to the Republicans? on: July 09, 2011, 01:42:34 pm
States which could flip from Democrat to Republican are as follows:

New Hampshire
North Carolina
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Vermont: Sanders v. Douglas on: July 03, 2011, 07:55:36 am
Former Vermont Governor Jim Douglas is a potential challenger for the 2012 Vermont Senate election against incumbent Bernie Sanders. In a hypothetical match-up between these two who do you think would win and by what margin of victory?

Please note that Jim Douglas in June 2010 had an approval rating of 65% to a disapproval rating of 34%.

Source: 'Toplines - 2010 Vermont Governor - June 17, 2010' by Rasmussen Reports.
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who would you have voted for... on: July 01, 2011, 08:43:18 am
1904 – Alton Parker (D)
1908 – William Taft (R)
1912 – William Taft (R)
1916 – Charles Hughes (R)
1920 – Warren Harding (R)
1924 – Calvin Coolidge (R)
1928 – Herbert Hoover (R)
1932 – Herbert Hoover (R)
1936 – Alfred Landon (R)
1940 – Wendell Willkie (R)
1944 – Thomas Dewey (R)
1948 – Thomas Dewey (R)
1952 – Dwight Eisenhower (R)
1956 – Dwight Eisenhower (R)
1960 – Richard Nixon (R)
1964 – Barry Goldwater (R)
1968 – Richard Nixon (R)
1972 – No Vote
1976 – Gerald Ford (R)
1980 – Ronald Reagan (R)
1984 – Ronald Reagan (R)
1988 – George Bush (R)
1992 – Ross Perot (I)
1996 – Ross Perot (I)
2000 – George Bush (R)
2004 – No Vote
2008 – No Vote
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Should the Republicans lose in 2012 on: July 01, 2011, 07:22:12 am
If Obama winning another four years and the Republicans losing bad in 2012 is the only way to pull the party away from its current platform I am all for it. Hopefully we can put these Evangelicals at the back of the bus. The GOP was not a party designed to be Populist in rhetoric or appearance as it has been (or at least trying to be) since 1980. For me it does not matter if the party becomes TR Progressive, Eisenhower Moderate, or Taft Conservative (this being my preference though) so long as these lunatics are thrown out of leadership.
20  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Your Top 3 and Bottom 3 for the GOP Primary on: July 01, 2011, 07:13:06 am
Top 3

Jon Huntsman, Jr.
Mitt Romney
Ron Paul

Bottom 3

Michele Bachmann
Tim Pawlenty

I did not add Sarah Palin because I do not expect her to enter the race.
21  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: 70% in vt for obama? on: July 01, 2011, 06:58:38 am
The only way Obama wins over 70% in Vermont even in a good election for 2012 would be if the R was an Evangelical. With so much discontent in Vermont for Obama especially on the Left it would be hard for him to motivate the hard-left base in the state. If we expect a bad election for Obama (losing by 3% or more nationally) against per se Romney then Vermont dipping below 60% would not be a surprise.

If the Republicans can hold back much of their social conservatism and attack his foreign policy for being too expansive then Vermont could definitely drop below 60% for Obama. I would predict 56-61%.
22  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Will Obama get more than 71.85% in Hawaii? on: July 01, 2011, 06:53:55 am
Obama would not get below 67% without it being a horrible election for him. Basically 69-74% is what I would expect.
23  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Could Romney win any New England states? on: March 28, 2011, 11:57:41 am
Since Mitt Romney was the former governor of Massachusetts, a New England state, and is a moderate Republican who tends to stay away from many of the divisive social issues do you believe this will give him enough leverage to win more than just New Hampshire in New England? As all of us know these states used to be strong states for the Liberal-to-Moderate Republicans, arguably Romney is a Moderate, so is there any chance he could win enough Rockefeller Republican votes to tip a few states in his favor?
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