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September 26, 2016, 03:45:31 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: New poll hype thread on: September 25, 2016, 07:26:22 pm
What polls should we expect this week?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH on: September 25, 2016, 07:25:25 pm
And the crosstabs are too GOP friendly. This poll is a outlier.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4 in CO, +1 in OH on: September 25, 2016, 07:18:28 pm
I was gonna panic but until I seen Breitbart lol.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win the first debate? on: September 25, 2016, 01:20:52 pm
Lol at all these Clinton supporters thinking Trump will win. What's wrong? Did Beet get to you?
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / How would Rubio/Kasich be doing against Clinton/Kaine? on: September 24, 2016, 08:04:29 pm
Honestly, Hillary would be toast. I remember hearing somewhere that this is the ticket Clinton campaign feared.

6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PA-Morning Call: Clinton +3 on: September 24, 2016, 07:55:48 pm
Hillary leading by only 3?! Oh no! Say hello to President Trump!!!! Kidding.

There were polls in 2012 that had Obama ahead by only 2 points so I'm not worried at all. Plus we had that democracy now poll which is better.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state does Clinton have the best chance to bring back to her tent? on: September 24, 2016, 12:47:05 am
Hillary will take back the lead in Ohio after the 3rd debate. As for Iowa... it will be close in the end but Trump probably squeeks out a narrow win.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 15 year olds dude. on: September 23, 2016, 07:08:08 pm
Can't expect good from a guy whose last name is wiener lol.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: GE Wk 8: Who won the week? on: September 23, 2016, 07:06:28 pm
Definitely Hillary. Man can't believe election year is almost over. It went by so fast.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz to announce who he's voting for, likely Trump on: September 23, 2016, 01:43:17 pm
Kasich is still holding out though.

As are Bush, Fiorina, Graham, and Pataki, AFAIK.


Fiorina endorsed Trump a few days ago.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Ted Cruz to announce who he's voting for, likely Trump on: September 23, 2016, 01:13:24 pm
Looks like Lyin' Ted is now bowing to Trump after all. Will Little Marco as well?

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/trump-rival-cruz-to-throw-support-to-gop-nominee-228584
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Siena/News 12 Long Island, NY Poll - Trump +4 (4-way)/Even (2-way) on: September 22, 2016, 11:38:28 pm
Whatever makes the trumpbots sleep at night.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-Suffolk(9/19-9/21): TRUMP +1.4 on: September 22, 2016, 11:16:12 pm
This poll is leaning D cause of parties affiliations in this poll, 39% D, 36% R and 23% I, while in 2012

Florida exit poll  shows the parties affiliations 35% D, 33% R and 33 I.In this poll they did under sample

I.If we use 2012 data in this poll we will come up with a result like 46% Trump vs 42 % Clinton.The

difference here independents went by 14 % margin for Trump while in 2012 Obama won independents

by 3 points.


Damnnit we have another one!

It's probably statespoll using another account lol
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Who comes out on top in the first Debate? on: September 22, 2016, 04:36:18 pm
I have a feeling this debate will be a draw.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NC-NYT/Siena/Upshot: Tied (3 way), Clinton +2 (2 way) on: September 22, 2016, 01:14:04 pm
Buhhhh the Fox News polls!
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown on: September 22, 2016, 12:28:57 pm
Google Consumer Surverys  9/14-9/20

https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/GsS


1. Florida, 9/14-9/20, 1125 LV   
TRUMP 43.12% | Hillary 30.25% | Johnson 8.07%
2. Georgia, 9/14-9/20, 543 LV   
TRUMP 44.88% | Hillary 30.02% | Johnson 6.65%
3. North Carolina, 9/14-9/20, 708 LV
TRUMP 39.54% | Hillary 32.31% | Johnson 8.51%
4. Pennsylvania, 9/14-9/20, 772 LV 
TRUMP 36.05% | Hillary 34.81% | Johnson 7.56%

5. New Mexico, 9/14-9/20, 216 LV
Hillary 30.14% |TRUMP 29.76% | Johnson 17.9%



6. New Jersey, 9/14-9/20, 655 LV   
TRUMP 36.19% | Hillary 35.6% | Johnson 5.48%

7. Virginia, 9/14-9/20, 616 LV 
TRUMP 36.84% | Hillary 36.26% | Johnson 7.64%




8. Iowa, 9/14-9/20, 387 LV   
TRUMP 30.86% | Hillary 29.97% | Johnson 11.39%
9. Ohio, 9/14-9/20, 846 LV
Hillary 33.76% |TRUMP 32.71% | Johnson 7.79%
10. Michigan, 9/14-9/20, 613 LV 
Hillary 34.85% |TRUMP 33.58% | Johnson 7.93%

11. Nevada, 9/14-9/20, 236 LV 
TRUMP 33.54% | Hillary 32.23% | Johnson 15.06%
12. Connecticut, 9/14-9/20  307 LV
Hillary 39% |TRUMP 31.8% | Johnson 6.07%
13. Minnesota, 9/14-9/20, 579 LV
Hillary 37.2% |TRUMP 26.85% | Johnson 8.74%




14. Arizona, 9/14-9/20, 572 LV
Hillary 37.46% |TRUMP 32.1% | Johnson 9.91%
15. Colorado, 9/14-9/20, 550 LV 
Hillary 40.6% |TRUMP 28.49% | Johnson 9.36%
16. Wisconsin, 9/14-9/20  748 LV 
Hillary 42.22% |TRUMP 24.49% | Johnson 8.14%







Statespoll blows his load every time he talks "TRUMP". That's why many of his supporters are single.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: After a 100 million dollars in advertising... on: September 22, 2016, 02:33:28 am
Are traditional campaign ads in the internet age becoming irrelevant?

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/e80b356a03204fff8b260618cb458017/clinton-campaign-raced-through-50-million-last-month

- 35,714 ads
- Stretched across 11 battleground states
- 10 million dollars per week
- Plus an additional 20.6 million from Super PAC Priorities USA

And we get:
OH: T+2.5
FL: T+0.7
IA: T+4.3
NC: T+1.2
GA: T+3.8
VA: C+5.2
AZ: T+2.2
NV: T+2.3
ME2: T+5.2
WI: C+4
MI: C+5.2
PA: C+7.3
CO: C+7.7*

*CO includes polls from early July. If we only use polls from mid-august to now we get 40 - 37 C+3.

With leaners, Clinton now holds a razor thin 272 - 266 EV lead.


Oh great another Trump loser.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump may have just won NC for good on: September 21, 2016, 10:41:38 pm
These riots won't help Democrats, because they'll be blamed for "inciting" tensions. White suburbanites turn out for Trump, and some of them switch from Clinton to Trump, blame the riots. Yes, it's blunt, but those voters care a lot more about their safety than social issues in my opinion.

Shut up.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Celebrity endorsement megathread on: September 21, 2016, 09:12:38 pm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dewey_F._Bartlett

Oh, I thought you meant the Administration of former Gov. Dewey Bartlett (R-OK).

I could care less what Hollywood stars think.  The Hollywood Republicans just want to hoard their money.  The Hollywood Democrats just want to twist the arm of America until Middle America is forced to affirm their libertine lifestyles and condemn anything close to Biblical morality.  Hollywood is an all-out sewer, and I could care less about what anyone in the entertainment industry thinks.

Who do you guys have? Scott Baio? Lol
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: HuffPo: Trump Reverses on Birtherism Declaration on: September 21, 2016, 09:05:20 pm
Donald Trump doesn't have any honor or respect for the American people. He is a real piece of scum.

Yet we have all these dumb asses supporting him.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC on: September 21, 2016, 09:04:11 pm
NC seems off, but I do think Trump is going to win there, because of the violence in Charlotte.  A possible exception is if McCrory/Burr/Tillis say something very racist to the media, but I would have Trump favored there as of tonight, sadly.

Why is it when there's ever a shooting or a bombing,  people say Trump will win.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC on: September 21, 2016, 07:57:29 pm
Disgusting and sad. F-ck your country, Americans.

Have a snickers lol. You're seriously gonna believe a poll by Fox News?
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC on: September 21, 2016, 07:56:25 pm
Trump isn't going to win Nevada, and a win in NC will only be by the wispy hairs on his ass.

Lmao
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC on: September 21, 2016, 05:28:54 pm
Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
Fox has a pretty good polling division people respect them on all sides. Don't they skew a little Democratic right?

2 words

Karl Rowe.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Trump leads by 3 in NV, 5 in OH, and 5 in NC on: September 21, 2016, 05:25:10 pm
Sorry but it seems to be little R friendly and plus it's Fox News.
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