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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should Trump champion direct democracy? on: Today at 06:11:41 am
It would feed the Louis Napoleon comparison.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: #NeverTrump GOP endorsements LATEST: 57 GOP ambassadors endorse Clinton on: September 23, 2016, 03:58:23 pm
Calling these ambassadors "Republican appointees" is misleading, "GOP ambassadors" is flat-out false. To be fair the article doesn't do a good job explaining this, but the letter is clear:

"The undersigned have each previously served the people of the United States as career diplomats in our nationís Foreign and Civil Services..."

Career FSOs and CSOs are as such nonpartisan. While they are appointed by the President, this is usually on the recommendation of the relevant Foreign/Civil Services Commission, broadly comparable to how senior positions are filled in the armed forces. They are to be contrasted with political appointees, who are chosen from outside the diplomatic services.

Hence none of these ambassadors served as Republicans; their political affiliation, if they had any, would have been a strictly personal and private matter while they were in their respective services. While this is good news for Clinton, it's simply incorrect to claim it is some massive Republican defection.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Celebrity endorsement megathread on: September 23, 2016, 03:40:14 pm
How on God's green earth can you be married to Kanye West and still contemplate voting for Donald Trump?

I can only assume this is a ploy for the ratings/headlines, although I would be totally unsurprised if you told me that Kellyanne Conway had a hand in this, somehow, I'd imagine as a way of diverting media attention from the latest damming revelation about Trump, although experience shows us that wouldn't be too hard.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Colombia General Discussion on: September 23, 2016, 10:19:00 am
As for why this is happening now and not in the past, well, the answer would really require a book or something quite close to it (and also a deeper understanding of the FARC's internal mentality that nobody - myself nor most Colombian analysts - really seem to grasp).

Given what you've already written, it might not be that great a leap if you actually did write a book. Perhaps a dissertation?

But the most trusted institutions are the Church, the Army, and the United States? What a country!
5  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: not IMPORTANT: 1984 Adams County, CO Data Incorrect!!!!!!!! on: September 22, 2016, 02:21:00 pm
I demand a recount. If Mondale had gained the vote here rhen the megacoattails would have reached to California and New York swinging the election. Maybe Mondale can finally take his real office instead of$hillary.

Sadly, Mondale is dead. Sad
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dave's Mock Election 2016 is now open!!! on: September 22, 2016, 02:11:13 pm
Hi - turnout update: so only 265 votes so far.  There have been over 735 active forum members in the last 5 days (nearly 600 in last 24 hrs) but only 265 votes so far. (only 36%).  Lets get those turnout numbers up! (note vote can be private or endorsement, individual preference)

http://uselectionatlas.org/MOCK/PRESIDENT/2016/mock.php

If you don't have an Atlas account, easy setup at:
http://uselectionatlas.org/membusers.php  or
http://uselectionatlas.org/members.php?type=form

(use the latter if you only have interest in site paid features, use the former if only interested in mock election/endorsements/predictions)

Enjoy,
Dave

"Enjoy"! Cheesy

Hello Dave,

How is progress on the forum modernization coming along?
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative election, 18 September 2016 on: September 22, 2016, 09:28:01 am
Yabloko won a seat? That's surprising.

Not really. They won a constituency

Actually, we still do not know even that.

For the results of the 2020 Duma election please enquire at Moscow, Staraya Ploshchad 4. Results will be available in a week or two.

Well, no... Before 2020 there will be presidential elections of 2018 with possible repercussions. And crisis will not go away by 2020, while "Crimea is ours!" - gradually will. Though i expect real changes in 2024, when Presidential and Duma elections will coincide, and Putin (at least - technically) will not be eligible to run...

Why did they even bother putting in term limits when they amended the presidential term? Whom was this meant to appease?

To prevent obvious comparisons with monarchy, which was so typical for Russia most of the time. In addition - Constitution was ratified in much more liberal 90th)))
I'm talking about after 2012, when the term was extended from 4 years to five years.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Don King uses The "N word" at rally, Trump laughs at it on: September 22, 2016, 08:17:22 am
We really need to be less sensitive to this stuff, and more sensitive to the filth in our popular culture.
By the way, is it racist to laugh at old Richard Pryor comedy records?  He used the n-word in them, and it was funny.

This is the filth in our popular culture.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Seriously? Theatre of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts V on: September 22, 2016, 08:08:43 am
In an attempt to court black voters, Trump has called for the use of 'stop-and-frisk' around the country as a means to combat violent crime in America's inner cities.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump may have just won NC for good on: September 22, 2016, 07:48:07 am
Could we get someone who's actually African-American in here to shut these fools up? Echo chamber arguments are pointless.

You called?
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: #NeverTrump GOP endorsements LATEST: Schrodinger's voting intentions for GHW Bush on: September 22, 2016, 07:42:51 am
Former HHS Secretary Louis Wade Sullivan endorsed Clinton:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/louis-w-sullivan-hillary-clinton_us_57cf06dee4b06a74c9f0cf74

Bush 41 supposedly told a group of ~40 people that he intends to vote for Clinton, but he won't actually confirm that on the record:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/20/politics/george-hw-bush-hillary-clinton/index.html?adkey=bn

Not sure what category to include him in then, as he won't actually go on the record with this information.  Sources who were there say he said it, but he won't confirm that.  Thoughts?

Unless anyone explicitly contradicts this, I'd say include it. That being said Kennedy Townsend's public disclosure seems to have been in rather poor taste.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Nations Secretary-General selection, 2016 on: September 22, 2016, 07:32:41 am
Hoping it will be António Guterres

I'm increasingly hearing the Russians won't allow it.

Certain members saying the General Assembly might even revolt if the Security Council puts him forward (because a) he is not Eastern European, breaking the rotation convention, b) he is, on top of that, a Westerner, raising the spectre of continually electing Westerners if the convention is broken, and c) he's not a woman) but I doubt that.

On the other hand I'm quite certain the belief of some (within the UN!) that the General Assembly must approve the Council's selection is incorrect. Dag Hammarskjold and U Thant were elected by secret ballot. But there is a lot of demand for an actual, substantive appointment resolution making all sorts of demands of the new SG rather than a pro forma resolution adopted by consensus that says "The General Assembly hereby appoints xxx as Secretary-General for a term of five years...", although I don't necessarily see any real movement towards starting the process for drafting an actual resolution.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative election, 18 September 2016 on: September 22, 2016, 07:15:02 am
Vladimir Volfovich Eidelstein Zhirinovskiy

Wait.

Wait.

Zhirinovsky is a Jew? Zhirinovsky?!
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative election, 18 September 2016 on: September 22, 2016, 07:10:09 am
Yabloko won a seat? That's surprising.

Not really. They won a constituency

Actually, we still do not know even that.

For the results of the 2020 Duma election please enquire at Moscow, Staraya Ploshchad 4. Results will be available in a week or two.

Well, no... Before 2020 there will be presidential elections of 2018 with possible repercussions. And crisis will not go away by 2020, while "Crimea is ours!" - gradually will. Though i expect real changes in 2024, when Presidential and Duma elections will coincide, and Putin (at least - technically) will not be eligible to run...

Why did they even bother putting in term limits when they amended the presidential term? Whom was this meant to appease?
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Donald Trump wins, will government workers stop being paid? on: September 21, 2016, 05:36:30 pm
I don't know why, but I feel like Ebowed's recent posts have a hackish quality to them. It might have been one post going on about his tax plan that did it for me, in which the things Trump was being condemned for could be applied to any standard Republican. The outrage loses its potency if it's directed towards Generic (R) policies; it seems less sincere if you'd be just as fulminous towards Mitt Romney.

And on another level it's simply pointless to take something like Trump's tax plan seriously, beyond the fact that it'd put an $11 trillion hole in the budget, much less try to get other people agitated about it.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +7/+6 on: September 21, 2016, 05:25:52 pm
Even if these are the sort of Trump favorables I'd like to see, the fact they're so low seems like a clear red flag suggesting the sample is excessively tilted against him.

Of course, one can only hope that that the numbers have actually turned against Trump.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Don King uses The "N word" at rally, Trump laughs at it on: September 21, 2016, 05:05:16 pm
Meh. The black community has reclaimed the word on their terms. Let me know when Donald Trump says it. Then I'll be outraged.
No. No they have not. I worry you have been drawn too deeply into the "intersectional social justice" mindset.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Obama to Spend 1-2 Days a Week Only Campaigning for Hillary on: September 21, 2016, 07:55:19 am
Bad news for the GOP. Obama is a political juggernaut. Remember when he campagined in Philadelphia last week? Immediately after that a poll dropped showing Hilldawg with an 8 point lead. That was all Barry O. baby
On Ignore you go baby

Are you sure you're not a German speaker?
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump implies Slavery/Segregation were better for blacks than the Obama Years on: September 21, 2016, 07:53:39 am
I think this interpretation is a stretch that would be decried as intellectually dishonest if you were to say it publicly.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 9/20 - Trump +4.1 on: September 21, 2016, 07:47:39 am
Despite its immediately obvious shortcoming(s), this poll is actually useful.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Breaking: George H.W. Bush to vote for Hillary on: September 21, 2016, 07:44:21 am
I view immigrationism and globalism as nothing more than ideology, wishful thinking, virtue signalling, and Brazilification. If the Donald Trump phenomenon makes the party rethink its approach to immigration, trade and social cohesion, it's fine by me. 

It's a shame that "virtue signalling", a rather useful term, has so quickly been overused to the point of oblivion. What on earth is "Brazilification" or "immigrationism", anyway? We are and have always been a country of immigrants.  But then again what is to expected from someone whose username might as well be "I am a racist hick"?
22  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Serious question: When will the US start taking in asylum seekers ? on: September 20, 2016, 06:54:40 am
But how has that worked out for you Europeans, socially and politically? Is a USA taking in 600,000-1,500,000 refugees a year (to which I'm not even necessarily opposed!), wise idea, a viable long term solution to your problem? All while propping up the Continent militarily? It is not a solution at all. Particularly when you tout the "need" to get our population growth "under control".

Can you imagine the political backlash? An American version of the anti-immigrant right?

Hoo boy.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kasich: Trump owes Obama an apology for birthersim on: September 19, 2016, 05:22:36 am
I liked Kasich. In January 2015, I considered him a serious contender for the GOP nomination. Now I see that he's just a disgusting, little, weak, pathetic baby.

No. That's Priebus.
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Election, September 2016 on: September 18, 2016, 09:26:18 pm
Fremont Governor
[  X ] Pikachu
[   ] Write-in:

Fremont Assembly:
[ X  ] GAWorth
[   ] Write-in:
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kasich: Trump owes Obama an apology for birthersim on: September 18, 2016, 08:56:23 pm
Kasich continues to make me proud to have supported him.
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