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December 09, 2016, 02:24:31 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump vs. Bill de Blasio on: November 28, 2016, 08:31:48 pm
Montreal.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill de Blasio 2020? on: November 28, 2016, 08:27:49 pm
Tell him to worry about 2017 first! He'll probably win by for lack of a strong enough opponent, but what achievements could he possibly point to? Guiliani and Bloomberg both had strong records as mayor of a city of 8 million people to run off of. De Blasio does not have anything. The progressives merely tolerate him. The conservatives loathe him.

Given his clear propensity for "progressive" self-marketing at a global level, though, I wouldn't rule it out. But it'd be a joke candidacy.

Universal pre-K. A tale of two Americas, just like how it is a tale of two New Yorks.

You mean Cuomo's pre-K program?
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYC General Discussion - You Hear That Giant Sucking Sound? on: November 28, 2016, 08:00:22 pm
Clueless de Blasio needs a Trump Tower traffic plan – fast

Quote
Mayor de Blasio’s response to the Trump Tower mess is turning Fifth Avenue into a yuge disaster. Why not turn it into a local good?

And by the weekend, it was clear: things aren’t going back to normal anytime soon. Jersey barriers now ring the tower, replacing the salt trucks.

Fifty-sixth Street between Madison and Sixth avenues is closed to traffic (car and foot).

On Fifth Avenue, two vehicle lanes are closed. Madison has one lane closed.

So what to do?

Ban all traffic except yellow cabs (whose owners have already paid to use the city’s densest streets), delivery vehicles and city buses, from 58th to 48th streets. Drivers prefer constrained predictability to unconstrained chaos.

That would leave room for deliveries at night and bus and cab pick-ups and drop-offs during the day, in the lanes farthest from Trump Tower, making room for more permanent protection for the tower itself.

http://nypost.com/2016/11/15/clueless-de-blasio-needs-a-trump-tower-traffic-plan-fast/
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill de Blasio 2020? on: November 28, 2016, 07:57:42 pm
Tell him to worry about 2017 first! He'll probably win by for lack of a strong enough opponent, but what achievements could he possibly point to? Guiliani and Bloomberg both had strong records as mayor of a city of 8 million people to run off of. De Blasio does not have anything. The progressives merely tolerate him. The conservatives loathe him.

Given his clear propensity for "progressive" self-marketing at a global level, though, I wouldn't rule it out. But it'd be a joke candidacy.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Who could serve as caretaker president with bipartisan support? on: November 28, 2016, 07:52:22 pm
Assume a hypothetical scenario in which the Presidency was to devolve upon a caretaker for a period of, say, two years. Who could potentially fill this role with the support of a majority of both parties?

The obvious choices are generals, but that is limited. Colin Powell is by now probably too old. David Petraeus would be a leading contender if not for that pesky scandal. Supreme Court justices likewise retire at too old an age to have much chance. The prevalence of politically-appointed ambassadorships means top diplomats are too little-known.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: It's still Her Turn on: November 28, 2016, 07:39:17 pm
She is, to quote our next President, a chocker. A choke artist. If Democrats really want to run Hillary Clinton again, they can simply nominate the version of her that's two decades younger and also junior Senator from New York: Kirsten Gillibrand. She'd have the benefit of actually knowing how to appeal to working class whites, being from upstate New York.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: General Trumpness - Twitter and real life: presidential edition on: November 19, 2016, 01:38:55 am
Pence goes to see Hamilton, is booed. Cast makes pro-tolerance statement at play's conclusion, but Pence left beforehand.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner for a cabinet position? on: November 19, 2016, 01:36:34 am
I had no idea it was banned by law for presidents to appoint their family.

This means the writer's of House of Cards made a huge mistake compared to reality when they had Frank appointing Claire as his UN Ambassador.

Eleanor Roosevelt was appointed to some UN posts, but not until after FDR died.

That would have predated the law. And she'd have been appointed, by the Secretary-General, in any case, meaning it wouldn't have applied.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump, Abe and the "Blind Trust Girl" in one room.... on: November 19, 2016, 01:28:36 am
Well, a Gulf State Monarchy-style oligarchy is definitely a "change."

They already have the decor down!
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Making English the national language on: November 19, 2016, 01:25:25 am
It seems bizarre to me that we elected a President who doesn't speak English.

Who? The closest thing we've had to one is Martin Van Buren, whose native language was Dutch, and who spoke English as a second language. I suspect his accent would have been disqualifyingly strong had there been recordings around back then.
11  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Major protests expected in Malaysia on: November 19, 2016, 12:31:51 am
Wait guys-- we now have Bersih 5. Guess I overlooked it in the election aftermath: https://twitter.com/PKinbangkok/status/799824001174339584

Interesting that anti-government protesters have chosen to wear yellow, and pro-government ones red, just as in their northern neighbor.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Making English the national language on: November 18, 2016, 08:34:49 pm
I don't really mind this-- indeed I guess I'm for it-- provided it's more or less symbolic. Restricting people's rights to speak other languages, besides being blatantly unconstitutional, would obviously be horrific. I've always felt there's something a bit weird in putting official documents, such as ballots, in foreign languages, but I don't really object to it, and am not particularly inclined towards preventing people from accessing government services or exercising their rights; anyways, that's a matter for the states.

If we had parts of the country where immigrants could live for generations without ever even learning English, that might be an concern, but history shows that such things don't really persist in that way and communities integrate in a fairly short amount of time.

I agree everyone should speak English, and should really try to do so, but I can empathise with those who cannot-- learning a new language is hard, especially when older. I can no longer bring myself to mock or complain about anyone's poor English when I know my French is almost certainly worse.

So a one line page, fine. Even then I'd be concerned people would take such a law as a license to harangue others for not speaking English, and it's hard to see such a law could serve as effective red meat without provoking such a response. Anything more than that would probably be, well, problematic.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Transition Team/Cabinet Thread on: November 18, 2016, 06:03:07 pm
You know whose name I'm surprised we haven't heard thrown about yet? David Petraeus, who has quietly been attempting a comeback of sorts.

Wait, no, him too-- for State. Although I could see him as Director of National Intelligence, or at Defense. (The restriction for ex-officers is for five years, right? In that case, he's clear.)
Quote
Also on Thursday, diplomatic sources said that David Petraeus – the former US army general and CIA director who was prosecuted for mishandling classified information – had entered the race to become Donald Trump’s secretary of state.

Petraeus resigned in November 2012 after the FBI discovered he had had an affair with his biographer, Paula Broadwell, and had shared classified information with her. He eventually pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor charge for mishandling the information. People who have seen him recently say he is anxious to return to public life and has privately refused to rule out serving in a Trump administration.

Petraeus, who was also a US commander in Afghanistan and Iraq, has made flattering remarks about Trump since the election. “He’s right to criticise Washington over its partisanship and its inability to forge compromises,” he told the German cable news channel Deutsche Welle this week. “He’s a dealmaker. Let’s see if he can make some deals in Washington.”

I have to wonder where Petraeus would be if he'd never had that scandal. He'd probably be a juggernaut looming over everything, implored to run for President,  courted for Vice-President, and (as now, amazingly enough), considered for the highest posts in cabinet. He'd probably serve as a lightning rod for-- and, as a result of his stature, generate-- rumors of military designs against the Trump administrations. not dissimilar from those surrounding Lord Mountbatten; less outlandishly, more than a few liberals would pin their indeterminate hopes on him, the former "General Betray-us".

Trump, egged on the more paranoid elements of his inner circle (e.g. Bannon), would probably come to see Petraeus as a threat and either try to neutralize him or take extraordinary measures to "placate" him and his "faction" (even if there was nothing to actually placate), possibly by making him a five-star general and/or appointing him to an increasingly absurd panoply of high offices (e.g., Secretary of State, and "Executive Secretary of the National Security Council", and Senior Advisor to the President, or some other combination). This in turn would make those fears become a self-fulfilling prophecy, as Petraeus accumulated power and had a faction form naturally around him as the Trump presidency worsens/worsened.

Something like this may still happen yet if his name is in the mix. Alternatively, the administration and/or its organs may start reviving conspiracy theories (once given consideration by yours truly!) about Petraeus's fall being the result of an Obama-manufactured plot to eliminate a rival, in order to rehabilitate him further. Indeed, many serious commentators have suggested political considerations were behind Obama's decision to pass over Petraeus for the Joint Chiefs and instead appoint him to the diminished office of CIA Director, since 2004 subordinate to the Director of National Intelligence.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Transition Team/Cabinet Thread on: November 16, 2016, 02:17:20 pm
According to the Weekly Standard, Rogers was actually purged because he wasn't sufficiently conspiratorial with regard to Benghazi(!):

http://www.weeklystandard.com/mike-rogers-out-from-trump-transition-team/article/2005396

Quote
What prompted questions about Rogers and his fitness for the new administration? Many of the CIA officers who survived the Benghazi attack have loudly opposed the Rogers report since it was released, particularly objecting to the report's claim that no CIA officer on the ground in Benghazi was told to "stand down" from a rescue attempt.

But don't worry.  Rogers is apparently being replaced by Frank Gaffney(!!!):

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/frank-gaffney-trump-transition


Der Moderatendämmerung?
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Graham: Senate Investigation Into Whether Russia Hacked DNC on: November 16, 2016, 02:08:27 pm
I agree-- can't add much more than that.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Twitter bans alt-right leaders from network on: November 16, 2016, 02:04:09 pm
Twitter suspends alt-right figureheads

Quote
Twitter has suspended the accounts of several members of the American alt-right movement, including the leader of a white nationalist think tank.

The social network has not given an explanation for its actions.

But they come the same week it announced new ways for users to complain about hateful content.

Some alt-right figures have suggested a switch to Gab, an alternative micro-blogging service that promises "free speech for everyone".

But other have their doubts.

"Gab just seems like a pointless echo chamber, there are enough alt-right blogs and forums," wrote one supporter of the movement in a discussion thread about the Twitter suspensions.

"The benefits of Twitter are interacting with normies, influencing discussion and getting alt-right memes trending."

http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37997864

This seems a bit of a beau geste considering these people have substantively moved closer to the halls of power. Who needs Pepe the Frog when you have the White House and the entire apparati of the federal and many state governments potentially at your disposal, or at least in your favour? In other words, Twitter does this once it becomes less relevant?

Those banned include Richard Spencer, Director of the National Policy Institute, the NPI's account, that of its official journal, Paul Town, Pax Dickinson, Ricky Vaughn and John Rivers.
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Pigfvcker Memorial Suppository for UK News: A Departure from EUtopia on: November 16, 2016, 01:50:33 pm
An actress! Someone should put a stop to this before it goes too far. The BBC has already published a near-hagiographic biography of her, touting her as a humanitarian and all-around modern woman. That's all fine and dandy for the actual royal family, and should generally be the norm for coverage (although I'm not saying the UK should go full Thailand, a lot of unpleasantry could have been avoided if the Sex Pistols had been jailed for a few months), but this is a symptom of our modern celebrity and sentimentality-obsessed culture. When has marriage to a divorced actress ever gone well?
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: If you faced being drafted 2.0 on: November 16, 2016, 01:44:07 pm
During peacetime? Just serve. During a war? Seek a commission, provided I'm aware I have a reasonably high chance of being conscripted.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Transition Team/Cabinet Thread on: November 16, 2016, 10:26:59 am
People talking about Kevin Warsh! Cheesy
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Alec Baldwin gets 4 more years on: November 15, 2016, 07:07:27 pm
I am just wondering whether he is a fervent Democrat who hates Trump or a supporter.

Boy oh boy.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Transition Team/Cabinet Thread on: November 15, 2016, 06:29:59 pm
CNN saying Cotton likely for Defense, sources say Kobach for AG.

Ugh.
22  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Should Ontario and Quebec be partitioned? on: November 15, 2016, 03:43:51 pm
Partition Pakistani Punjab first.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: In act of complete betrayal, LAPD won't help deport illegal immigrants on: November 15, 2016, 03:32:51 pm
It's not their job to do this unless they detain an illegal for a serious crime. I oppose sanctuary cities as much as the next Trump voter but we have other means of getting rid of the more problematic illegals while working towards a solution that grants amnesty but not total citizenship.

Sanchez, the voice of reason! This election has truly made strange bedfellows of us all.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you feel if John Kasich had been elected President? on: November 15, 2016, 02:40:38 pm
Giddy with glee.
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Keith Ellison, Howard Dean offered as possible DNC chairs on: November 15, 2016, 02:33:38 pm
In reality,  believing that "oh white people are so racist they would FREAK OUT if a black guy was leader" would be proof the Democrats have learnt the wrong lesson from 2016.

I genuinely want to believe this.
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