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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Summary - Dave Leip


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Username: leip
Name: Dave Leip
Posts: 2537 (0.627 per day)
Position: Administrator

Gender: Male Male
Age: 44
Location: Newton, MA
Country: United States Country
Local Time: November 27, 2014, 05:02:26 pm
Date Registered: October 28, 2003, 12:00:00 am
Last Active: Today at 02:35:25 pm
Language: English

Contact Me :)
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Website: Website Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections


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About Me
Administrator of uselectionatlas.org
Compulsive Data Collector Smiley

My Interests
Politics, elections, solar cars...

Atlas Features
Atlas Account LinkedYesPM Graph
Atlasia Wiki Page leip
Atlas WeblogThe Atlas Weblog
Political PartyDecline to State
Home StateMassachusetts
Home CountyMiddlesex
Political Matrix Economic: 0.00
Political Matrix Social: 0.00
Weblog: The Atlas Weblog
Latest Post: More than 360,000 Voters Leave Ballot Blank in Uncontested Alabama Senate Conteston 2014-11-25 07:53:37
[caption id="" align="alignright" width="179"]AL 2014 Senate Alabama 2014 Election Results - U.S. Senate[/caption] In the 2014 General Election contest for U.S. Senate in Alabama, more than 360,000 voters left their ballot blank.  The race featured incumbent Senator Jeff Session running for re-election without a named opponent printed on the ballot.  The ballot did include, however, an option to vote for a write-in a candidate.  On November 24, the Alabama Secretary of State certified the 2014 General Election Results, publishing the final tally of the vote as 795,606 for Republican Jeff Sessions (97.25%) and 22,484 write-ins (2.75%). The county-level result, shown at right, is a solid ">90%" in every county, with exception of Macon County, where the write-in tally just cleared 10%.  Full results are available here. Looking deeper into the data though, its clear that most voters that did not want to vote for the incumbent Senator simply left their ballots blank. [caption id="attachment_534" align="alignright" width="179"]AL 2014 Senate Vote Dropoff Alabama 2014 US Senate Vote Dropoff[/caption] The drop-off vote from Governor to U.S. Senate (the difference in total vote between the two contests) is 362,323 votes (30.6%).  The total Republican Vote for Jeff Sessions in the U.S. Senate contest is only 5.7% more than Republican Robert Bentley received in the Gubernatorial vote - 795,606 vs. 750,231, a difference of 43,375 - full Gubernatorial results can be seen here. At the county level, the drop-off varies considerably, from the smallest drop-off of 10.4% in Blount County to the largest of 80.5% in Greene County. A map of the results can be seen at right.
Map Key >10% >20% >30% >40% >50% >60% >70% >80%
Dropoff
[caption id="" align="alignright" width="179"]2014 Governor Republican Vote Alabama 2014 Gubernatorial  Vote for Republican[/caption] In one example, Macon County, Democratic Gubernatorial candidate Parker Griffith received 4,830 votes (85.3%) to Robert Bentley's 829 (14.6%) and three write-in votes - a total of 5,662 votes.  In the U.S. Senate contest, Jeff Sessions, picked up 1,133 votes to 127 write-ins.  The number of blank votes in the U.S. Senate race relative to the Governor's race 4,402 votes (77.8%). Predictably, the drop-off correlates with the percentage of vote for Republican, as shown in the map to the right. The sharpness of the magnitude of this correlation may be, in part, due to the existence of the straight-party option.  As seen in this sample ballot, the voter can choose Alabama Democratic Party, Alabama Independence Party, or Alabama Republican Party at the very top of the ballot under "Straight Party Voting".  If the voter chooses the "Alabama Democratic Party" option, no vote for US Senate is cast.
Map Key >90% >80% >70% >60% >50% >40% >30% >20%
Republican
Atlas Predictions History
Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 235 138T153
P 2012 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 3 473 314T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 10/33 39/66 59.1% pie 1 268 268T343
P 2012 Governor 9/11 3/11 12/22 54.5% pie 2 268 196T228
P 2012 Rep Primary 26/52 7/52 33/104 31.7% pie 5 - 141T231
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 3 243 37T106
P 2010 Senate 30/37 14/37 44/74 59.5% pie 4 98 321T456
P 2010 Governor 20/37 10/37 30/74 40.5% pie 2 357 292T312
P 2009 Governor 0/2 0/2 0/4 0.0% pie 1 138 101T103
P 2008 President 46/56 24/56 70/112 62.5% pie 4 372 958T1,505
P 2008 Senate 25/33 10/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 362 386T407
P 2008 Governor 10/11 5/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 362 183T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 25/52 9/52 34/104 32.7% pie 4 - 134T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 11/49 3/49 14/98 14.3% pie 1 - 191T235
P 2007 Governor 1/3 1/3 2/6 33.3% pie 3 8 155T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 26/33 8/33 34/66 51.5% pie 3 7 437T465
P 2006 Governor 28/36 9/36 37/72 51.4% pie 6 199 279T312
P 2004 President 53/56 35/56 88/112 78.6% pie 15 15 359T1,994
Aggregate Predictions 397/563 191/563 588/1126 52.2% pie
Atlas Endorsements History
Endorsements #End #Dem #Rep #Ind #Oth #Non Partisan %#End
E 2014 Senate 0 0 0 0 0 36 0% pie186
E 2014 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 36 0% pie147
E 2013 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 2 0% pie79
E 2012 Senate 0 0 0 0 0 33 0% pie201
E 2012 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 11 0% pie139
E 2011 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 4 0% pie29
E 2010 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 37 0% pie162
E 2010 Senate 0 0 0 0 0 37 0% pie204
E 2009 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 2 0% pie65
E 2008 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 11 0% pie157
E 2008 Senate 0 0 0 0 0 33 0% pie219
E 2007 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 3 0% pie45
E 2006 Governor 0 0 0 0 0 36 0% pie98
E 2006 Senate 0 0 0 0 0 33 0% pie118
Atlas Presidential Mock Election Endorsement History
200420082012
Vote not publicVote not publicVote not public
Latest Poll Entries
2014 Governor
New Mexico

Survey USA
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2014 U.S. Senate
New Mexico

Survey USA
pie
2014 U.S. Senate
New Jersey

Monmouth University
pie
2014 Governor
South Dakota

Monmouth University
pie
2014 Governor
Georgia

Monmouth University
pie
2014 U.S. Senate
Georgia

Monmouth University
pie
2014 U.S. Senate
New Jersey

Monmouth University
pie
2014 Governor
Colorado

Quinnipiac University
pie
Latest Atlas Election Contributions
map
Minnesota
2014 Republican Primary
Governor
2014-08-13 @ 16:19:54
map
Georgia
2014 Republican Primary
Governor
2014-06-09 @ 15:11:43
map
Georgia
2014 Democratic Primary
Senator
2014-06-09 @ 15:08:31
map
New Mexico
2014 Democratic Primary
Governor
2014-06-04 @ 13:33:46
map
Georgia
2014 Republican Primary
Senator
2014-05-21 @ 08:25:12
map
Nebraska
2014 Republican Primary
Governor
2014-05-14 @ 17:15:00
map
New Jersey
2013 Special
Senator
2013-10-16 @ 23:07:48
map
Massachusetts
2013 Special
Senator
2013-06-25 @ 22:27:43
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Flo


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November 02, 2013, 09:22:48 pm
Thanks Dave for this great site!
PJ


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September 07, 2013, 06:15:41 pm
Thank you Dave, I love this place. Smiley 7th
Xiivi


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January 11, 2013, 03:16:36 pm
Great site! Smiley
yougo1000


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March 04, 2010, 02:32:41 pm
I love the site
hawkeye59


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January 25, 2010, 09:59:56 am
keep up the awesome work!
Alexander Hamilton


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November 08, 2009, 08:02:27 am
this is great, dave! thanks so much!
tmthforu94


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November 04, 2009, 08:39:10 pm
2nd! These new profiles are pretty cool!
Teddy (IDS Legislator)


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October 29, 2009, 01:14:22 am
FIRST! lol. But seriously, you are awesome for doing all the work to keep this place going!
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