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May 23, 2013, 02:35:24 pm
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News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Lief on: May 15, 2013, 03:26:44 am
Usually right, often funny.
J'approve.
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ireland General Discussion on: April 25, 2013, 08:46:47 am
I see some of our TDs are doing their best to promote irony.
3  General Discussion / History / Re: Eric Hobsbawm, 1917-2012 on: April 23, 2013, 02:55:46 am
Remembering Dad - Julia Hobsbawm, Financial Times
4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Flying to Kenya on: April 13, 2013, 04:31:53 am
Not what I expected when I opened the thread.
I am flying to Kenya next week though for a short visit.
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Margaret Thatcher dies at 87 on: April 12, 2013, 09:50:52 am
R1 'will not' play full Thatcher song - BBC

Quote from: BBC
The Wizard of Oz song at the centre of an anti-Margaret Thatcher campaign will not be played in full on the Official Chart Show.

Instead a clip of the 51-second song will be aired as part of a Newsbeat report, Radio 1 controller Ben Cooper has said.

Sales of Ding Dong! The Witch is Dead have soared since the former Prime Minister's death on Monday, aged 87.

Mr Cooper called the decision "a difficult compromise".

The song is set to take the number three spot in Sunday's countdown, according to the Official Charts Company.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Myers/Briggs personality type on: March 20, 2013, 10:19:43 am
INTJ

You have strong preference of Introversion over Extraversion (89%)
You have moderate preference of Intuition over Sensing (25%)
You have moderate preference of Thinking over Feeling (50%)
You have marginal or no preference of Judging over Perceiving (1%)
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish Elections - Referendum, Presidential, and General (polling or byelections) on: March 15, 2013, 10:57:11 am
Keddy and Tallon are perennial candidates.


Mr Keddy's photo for the ballot paper.

We don't have anyone in the Dáil who can compete with that beard.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish Elections - Referendum, Presidential, and General (polling or byelections) on: March 08, 2013, 08:52:02 am
Meath East

Dáil Results2011   2007
Fine Gael4126
Labour2112
Fianna Fáil2044
Sinn Féin  9  4
Ind/Other  9  9
Green  1  3
Progressive Dem     -  2

The constitutency boundary was changed between these elections in 2009 to include the town of Kells (from Meath West), and to exclude some Drogheda hinterland (to Louth). These changes shouldn't have had very significant impact on the nature of the constituency (Kells being much in line with the county in general [if slightly more SF friendly]).


History suggests that it is unlikely that a Government party can win a by-election - that having happened only once (though he only lasted a month as a Government supporter) in 22 attempts since 1982.

One suspects though that Ms McEntee will garner a hefty sympathy vote. Family inheriting seats through by-elections being another of our traditions (Dublin South in the last Dáil being the exception that comes to mind).


And so from facts to (science-)fiction:
the current Jas super-guestimate* for the First Preference Vote for the by-election bist...
Fine Gael33
Fianna Fáil32
Sinn Féin20
Labour12
Green  1
Workers'  1
Direct Democracy     1

Ms McEntee gets the coveted Jas favourite tag in this by-election which really doesn't matter much at all.
 
Feel free to add your own predictions so that together after the election we can discuss where the voters went wrong in not living up to our expectations.

*Subject to change. Terms and conditions apply. What comes up, must come down. Don't bet your house on these, as I suspect the sun itself would reconsider things if I predicted it would rise again tomorrow. Etc. etc.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mid-Ulster by-election on: March 08, 2013, 02:17:01 am
Stat review on Slugger

So, was it worth it, Mr Nesbitt?
10  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Evangelical Catholics? on: March 06, 2013, 09:57:42 am
This just kind of shows that "evangelical" is kind of a silly term, as all Christian churches and denominations evangelize.

I'm open to correction but IIRC, the Amish disavow evangelisation.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: When you were born on: March 06, 2013, 08:55:20 am
I was born during the 53 days when the below was the case...

Prime Minister of Malta: Dom Mintoff
Prime Minister of India: Rajiv Gandhi

12  General Discussion / History / Re: Nuremberg verdicts on: March 01, 2013, 11:51:04 am
Discuss.

My views haven't changed...

No - not even close.

I think the process of making up crimes to charge people with, after the event, and then deigning upon them a sense of legal righteousness is very disturbing - it attempts to give the impression of upholding the rule of law but actually cynically undermines it.

I was glancing at the wiki article on the Trials and I think the quote of US Chief Justice Stone fits most closely with my own views:
"[Chief US prosecutor] Jackson is away conducting his high-grade lynching party in Nuremberg....I don't mind what he does to the Nazis, but I hate to see the pretense that he is running a court and proceeding according to common law. This is a little too sanctimonious a fraud to meet my old-fashioned ideas."
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Bushie: The Final Frontier - Update Season V on: March 01, 2013, 11:36:53 am
Couldn't help thinking of Bushie when I heard this story.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 Census Maps (England and Wales) on: February 28, 2013, 11:10:10 am
May be of interest...
The UK census: mapping languages -- FT Data blog (Financial Times)
15  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Should The Onion fire whoever posted its controversial Oscar tweet? on: February 27, 2013, 02:45:47 am
http://www.flickfilosopher.com/blog/2013/02/a_feminist_film_critic_defends.html
16  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: "Blade runner" Oscar Pistorius (mistakenly ?) shoots & kills his own girlfriend on: February 21, 2013, 01:30:45 am
Why does it take 3+ days to hold a bail hearing?
Why is it going into the substantive detail of the prosectuion and defence?
Is this at all normal for RSA's justice system?
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ireland General Discussion on: February 20, 2013, 10:31:47 am
More important than all these polls... the Healy-Raes are split on the issue of gay marriage.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Vatican City 2013 papal election on: February 20, 2013, 10:23:55 am
Vatican may bring forward conclave for next pope - BBC
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If you could eradicate any disease... on: January 31, 2013, 03:26:06 am
Malaria
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Liechtenstein Parliament 2013 on: January 31, 2013, 02:27:06 am
Fun fact: Liechtenstein is the last remaining state of the former Holy Roman Empire.

What of Luxembourg and Austria?
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australia - 14 September 2013 on: January 30, 2013, 07:07:51 am
Candidate declaration from the London-Ecuador constituency
22  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: This must end. on: January 30, 2013, 03:55:17 am
Dave's apathy is why there's unlikely to be much/any moderator turnover in the future.  "Poster confidence" has nothing to do with it.

But maybe it should.
Though, as noted before, Inks doesn't care for the opinions of posters in that regard.


It took us about six months to harass him into making Torie a mod.  How long has it been since he last  *removed* a moderator?  Years?  It doesn't actually matter if either Al or Inks "resign", as the chances of Dave de-modding either of them is negligible.

The last mod removal was Sam Spade in February 2012 - on email request by Nym to Dave.

This was done in the midst of a previous Inks moderation scandal when he, some might say disingenuously, offered his  resignation. He has since been very helpful in pointing out to people that to contact Dave they should email him - something he didn't care to do with his resignation.

At any rate, I disagree with the sentiment that a mod resignation is of no matter absent de-modding. Mods have resigned before simply by giving notice and abdicating responsibility for moderation (again Sam Spade comes to mind here).
23  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: This must end. on: January 30, 2013, 03:03:55 am
Inks' position has become untenable. He has lost the confidence of the Posters. He (and preferably all the other moderators) must resign immediately.

During a previous scandal, Inks indicated that he doesn't care about poster confidence, and would only resign if Dave asks him too.

He made these comments at a point when his approval was relatively high, but still net negative (-2% - considerably above where he was polling earlier in 2012 at -19% and -26% net disapproval.)
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Google Releases Detailed New Map of North Korea on: January 30, 2013, 01:49:44 am
It's not the most detailed publically available map of North Korea.
It's not even the most detailed publically available map of North Korea from Google.
See the 6 year old project North Korea Uncovered for that.
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ireland General Discussion on: January 26, 2013, 12:54:57 pm
The two main components (the Irish franchises of the Committee for a Workers' International and the International Socialist Tendency) are, of course, circling each other like two tomcats at a barndance.

Indeed.
Socialists withdraw from ULA
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