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1  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 2 (Jas) on: Today at 07:12:20 am
Thanks Joe

All 6 reinforcements to Texas

Launch persistent attacks of 3 battalions from Texas to New Mexico
Ceasefire as and when my losses are 4 or greater.

If NM is taken, please pause for further commands on how to split the battalions between NM and TX.
2  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: Today at 02:44:34 am
Don't sweat our ramblings hugh. Sepp Blatter is on your side - and he's not interested in quality football, only votes. And there are plenty of votes in Africa and Asia - and precious few for him in Europe. That's the single biggest reason why there's really no chance - whatever the results or data - that AFC or CAF will lose slots.

I presume we might get the new allocation data on Friday at the qualification draw in St Petersburg.


If it comes to taking European slots in favour of Africa and Asia - I'd be surprised if that actually makes things any better for anyone though. My instinct is that things in fact only get worse as CAF and AFC sides will get fewer real chances of winning games - given the absence of the more marginal European sides.

Would the WC have been better this year with Uzbekistan and Jordan (the marginal AFC sides on this occasion) in place of Portugal, France, Greece or Croatia (the marginally qualified UEFA sides)?

I don't buy the population should get you representation argument for the WC - and if I did, I'd sooner set aside a slot for an India v China play-off, than make the argument that their combined population merits adding a slot for the marginal AFC sides (again: Uzbekistan and Jordan) at the WC.
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 21, 2014, 01:28:48 pm
There isn't really an argument to claim that UEFA is underrepresented at the world cup now. Anyway, in all likelihood they will have 14 teams next time.

For want of an argument...

i. The ELO rankings place 19 UEFA sides within the top 32 in the world.
(with 6 CONMEBOL, 3 CONCACAF, 2 CAF, and 1 AFC)

ii. A reasonable determination of the sides that are presumably least deserving of their spots might be those that come bottom of their groups. In this WC, only 1 UEFA side (England) came bottom. (4 were Asian, 2 African, 1 North American.)

iii. You noted UEFA's group stage record as 45%. But only CONMEBOL did better (72%). (Asia 0%, Africa 20%, North America 36%)


I think that the case for greater CONMEBOL representation is not unreasonable (presuming one wants a tournament of the best teams). But based on this data, it's the AFC and CAF that would be called on first to yield space.

It seems to me that UEFA's number of places is about right (but in the binary, more likely slightly under-, rather than over-represented).
4  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Tyrion) on: July 19, 2014, 05:38:25 pm
If anyone was going to deprive Hagrid of the Plains, Jas was the most likely suspect all along.

I did not assess such a move to be in my interest.
And, not that it matters much, I still don't.
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 18, 2014, 03:37:26 pm
Were I to set the criteria for confederation allocations, I'd probably do something like:
a base of 1 slot per confederation (6 slots);
1 slot for each confederation team that finished in the top 3 of the previous WC Group Stage (24);
1 additional slot for the confederation of the defending champion (1);
plus the host (1)


If rearranging confederations was on the table, I'd want to merge CONCACAF and CONMEBOL.
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 18, 2014, 07:38:46 am
FIFA rankings are generally worse than ELO rankings, as I recall.

Agreed


Also, some of the hate comes from the fact that FIFA used to be really, really horrible. I think the classic example is Honduras being ranked number 1 about a decade ago.

Honduras's highest ever FIFA ranking was 20 (Sept 2001).

The list of #1 ranked sides is limited to Germany, Brazil, Italy, France, Argentina, Spain, and the Netherlands.
7  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Jas) on: July 17, 2014, 04:12:54 pm
OK, thanks again Joe

Tactical move 2 from Missouri to Arkansas

8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 17, 2014, 02:29:18 pm
Costa Rica was moved up 12 ranks (and surpassed Mexico), for obvious reasons I think.

England fell 10 ranks and is now significantly behind the US *lol*

The US has performed more strongly than England recently. Seems reasonable.

Agreed. Away from Wembley, England have been having a pretty tough time for a while now.

The persistent idea that the Americans are some sort of joke side hasn't been true for a long time. (The rankings will always struggle to accurately place them though given that it's almost only at World Cups that they can be seriously judged.)
9  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 17, 2014, 09:23:29 am
No need for the hate on Cape Verde hugh - they're a perfectly decent footballing side who were one of the most watchable teams at last year's Cup of Nations, and were unfortunate not to go further in their World Cup qualification. Their only real competitive losses in the last 2 years have been to Ghana and Cameroon.
10  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Jas) on: July 17, 2014, 06:52:23 am
Thanks Joe

With apologies for the iterative process, the same attack order again please:

Attack Tennessee with 3 battalions from Arkansas.

Cease fire on the loss of any Arkansans.
11  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Jas) on: July 17, 2014, 02:08:39 am
Thanks Joe

Attack Tennessee with 3 battalions from Arkansas.

Cease fire on the loss of any Arkansans.
12  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Jas) on: July 17, 2014, 01:13:18 am
Thanks Joe

Action:
Persistently attack Tennessee with 3 battalions from Arkansas.

Cease fire as and when Arkansas's force drops to 9 or fewer personnel.
13  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Ask Oakvale on: July 16, 2014, 03:14:53 pm
Irish is a national language in name only - really it's the domain of a few smug hicks and pandering politicians who like to trumpet their Irishness by adding a few words in the language to a street sign occasionally.

If only it was just street signs...
14  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 1 (Jas) on: July 16, 2014, 02:55:23 pm
3 reinforcements to Oklahoma

Attack Oklahoma to Arkansas
Cease fire if:
i. Oklahoma's force level falls to level, or below, that of Arkansas
or ii. Oklahoma's force numbers fall to 8 or fewer personnel
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favorite Place You've Visited on: July 15, 2014, 01:28:51 am
16  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: July 12, 2014, 01:40:18 pm
Amendment: Brazil 2-1 Netherlands
17  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: July 11, 2014, 01:15:52 am
Netherlands 1-0 Brazil
Germany 2-0 Argentina
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Hide yo' wife, hide yo' kids - they kidnappin' errebody! on: July 09, 2014, 03:48:28 pm
So you'd rather it be proportional?

You keep raising proportionality as if it were a preposterous irrelevancy - but disproportionate  military action is a crime of war, and has been for a very long time.

The proportional response in this case would be to murder 3 innocent teenagers and then launch hundreds of rockets randomly at civilians, and no sane people would be cool with that.  Going after the launchers, the stock piles, command and control centers and the people running the show seems like a much saner option to me.  If those things are located with little regard for the people and things around them, well it sucks, but it still needs to be done and the fault shouldn't lay at the feet of the people defending themselves.

I think you're muddling the legal concept of proportionality with its ordinary english meaning.

Murdering innocent civilians would be the crime of distinction - which is related to, but quite distinct from, proportionality. Causing excessive civilian casualties in the pursuit of legitimate military objectives is what proportionality refers to.
19  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Hide yo' wife, hide yo' kids - they kidnappin' errebody! on: July 09, 2014, 10:58:09 am
So you'd rather it be proportional?

You keep raising proportionality as if it were a preposterous irrelevancy - but disproportionate  military action is a crime of war, and has been for a very long time.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 09, 2014, 12:54:04 am
Germany - better than sechs.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Malawi General Election, 20 May 2014 on: July 07, 2014, 10:14:48 am
This is wonderful work, Jas! I've been following the scene in Malawi since Banda took office two years ago. From what you've seen, was Banda ever favored for reelection, or was there little to actually go on to judge before the election?

Hi Barnes - sorry missed your post.

In the absence of credible polling, it was basically impossible to form a reliable understanding of public opinion.

As you can see from the maps, there are embedded regional/religious/tribal aspects to voting support - but beyond that the only available evidence was anecdotal. Lots of people had strong opinions and theories on who was favourite, or not, but there really wasn't much basis to give credence to any of them.
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Maps. All the maps. on: July 06, 2014, 04:05:01 am


http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2014/06/16/320356084/when-innocent-people-go-to-prison-states-pay
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: July 05, 2014, 06:19:03 pm
Brazil 1-0 Germany
Netherlands 0-1 Argentina
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 05, 2014, 06:14:39 pm
The last 9 World Cup shoot outs have been won by the team shooting first.

Every rule has eventually an exception eventually...

Indeed.
That record went back 12 years - to 2002, when we lost to Spain.
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: July 05, 2014, 06:09:50 pm
When did Tim Krul become a PK specialist?
His Premier League record is saved 2 of 20.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 363


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