|
727
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Rasmussen in 2002?
|
on: October 15, 2004, 04:01:00 pm
|
|
Vorlon, did Rasmussen poll senate, house, and govenor races in 2002? If he did, do you know how his results compared to the actual results? I thought someone mentioned that he was better in 2002 than his bad performance in 2000.
|
|
|
|
|
728
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush +4 says Zogby
|
on: October 15, 2004, 10:39:36 am
|
|
As soon as I saw the numbers, I laughed. I wish they were true, but let's get serious. Unless a couple million people were turned off by the Mary Cheney comment, this won't last.
I've been following Rasmussen's poll since early January, and I think it has done remarkably well. It has been very consistent, and it's moves have coincided pretty well with the general sense of the public. Remember, that's just my opinion.
|
|
|
|
|
732
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TIPP: Bush +3 and +4
|
on: October 14, 2004, 02:43:53 pm
|
|
Well, I was just about to ask Vorlon what he thought of the TIPP poll. I followed the 2000 election closely, but not like this year. I find all of these tracking polls interesting, but painful to follow. The ups and downs are too much.
Vorlon, what's your impression of Battleground? They seem to have done well in 1992 and 1996, but missed the DUI story in the last days of 2000. What do you know about the techniques and tendencies?
|
|
|
|
|
737
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: New ABC Poll
|
on: October 13, 2004, 02:46:58 pm
|
|
That's what I figured also. I think the ABC tracking poll has had it 50-46 for three days. I'm not sure what a one day jump like this means. Given that they use a four day average, one would think that big moves like this would be less likely. Is it a spike, I don't know.
|
|
|
|
|
738
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / New ABC Poll
|
on: October 13, 2004, 02:36:04 pm
|
|
I just read on NRO's "The Corner" that ABC has a new poll out today. I'm not sure if he was reporting new tracking numbers or a stand alone poll. Regardless, he said the rumor was 48-48. I suspect it's just the updated tracking results, but it certainly means Kerry's had a great couple of days. In ABC's tracking poll, it's been 50-46 for several days. Who knows.
|
|
|
|
|
739
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Pollwatch
|
on: October 13, 2004, 09:53:05 am
|
|
Have you posted the daily Rasmussen numbers for the last few days? The last I saw ended with Saturday. I was just curious to see what type of day Bush had that dropped him two points.
|
|
|
|
|
744
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Battleground Poll
|
on: October 11, 2004, 03:50:11 pm
|
|
With the exception of 2000, Battleground performed very well in 1992 and 1996. I saw that the numbers they released yesterday showed a move back to Bush on Wednesday. That seemed to be the consensus of the tracking poll, excluding Zogby.
Will the Battleground results only be released at the end of the week or are going to start releasing their numbers daily? Why wait until Sunday afternoon for a weekly poll dump?
|
|
|
|
|
745
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Questions for Vorlon
|
on: October 11, 2004, 10:15:06 am
|
|
Thanks for the quick response. I really appreciate it. I'm no fan of Zogby for reasons other than his polling. But your right, he did a very poor job in Senate races in 2002. But, he did well in 1996 and 2000. My hope is that he hasn't caught the surge in conservative voting since 9/11. Republicans seem to have outperformed in the big races since then. That's just my speculation and my hope.
|
|
|
|
|
746
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Questions for Vorlon
|
on: October 11, 2004, 09:51:42 am
|
|
Vorlon, I'm new here so I have a little catching up to do. First, why is Rasmussen called the BOT? Second, I saw daily results for Rasmussen's poll. Where can I find that and do those numbers exist for ABC/WP? Third, what do you make of Zogby's poll? His numbers all year have gone against most polling and today seems to be no different. Thanks in advance and I'll checking regularly.
|
|
|
|
|
747
|
Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / New poster with questions
|
on: October 10, 2004, 06:29:25 pm
|
|
I'm new to the site and I'm really glad I found it. I look at Rasmussen's site each day and I'm glad to see Bush at or close to 50%. I was wondering where the actual daily results are posted on the site? Also, has someone figured out what the daily results for ABC/WP are? I really enjoy seeing those numbers.
In my untrained opinion, it looks like Kerry got about a 5 day bounce from the first debate. With the exception of Zogby, the other tracking polls seem to show that. As a Bush fan, I'm interested to see if Bush gets any bounce from the second debate.
As I said, I'm really glad I found this site and I look forward to checking frequently.
|
|
|
|
|
|