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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 24, 2013, 08:08:22 pm

77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 24, 2013, 07:18:42 pm
I'm currently working on city/township results for state elections from 1998-present, and possibly with governor's races as far as they go.  Great job on your maps!


thanks, so you are going to do presidential vote by city/township post 1998 and city/township maps for governor elections? I'm just wondering so I don't accidentally do the same thing as you. I wasn't planning on doing any of those elections anyway so we should be good. Do you have a statewide city/township map that you are going to use?
Yes.  There's a city/township map on the Atlas that I colored for a default, but some of the cities and townships are hard to see.  Another one would be nice, but it's not necessary.  I was also planning on doing elections for Senate, Attorney General, and Secretary of State.

Ok, cool, I think I will just keep using the maps I'm currently using. I was planning on doing city and township maps for the Presidential elections before 1992. and congress district maps showing presidential vote. I have no plans on doing Senate, Attorney General, and Secretary of state, there all yours, same with Governor elections.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 24, 2013, 07:03:13 pm
Ok here is 1980 presidential vote percent for Reagan. I hope the contrast between colors is enough

The levels are below 20%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 45%, 50%, 55%, 60%, 70% and 80% and up.

I really tried to make the contrast enough but it may be hard to see the different shades of blue. If you are familiar with metro Detroit, River Rouge, Ecorse, and Hamtramck are  20%, Hazel Park and Oak Park 30% can you tell the difference?



79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 24, 2013, 04:01:19 pm
Oh wow, this thread is awesome.  Could you make some maps indicating the exact streagth of both Reagan and Carter in each town?  

Great job, btw!  Cheesy

thanks

Do you mean a map showing Reagan's percent in all towns then one showing Carters. that may be tricky since I don't have that many colors, I will try to make something.

Here is a map showing the percent of the vote the winning candidate got in each town.

light red or blue is under 50%
the next shade is 50%
then 55%
then 60%
then 70%
then 80%
there were no cities or townships over 90%.


80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 23, 2013, 11:46:51 pm
damn that is way to small sorry.

Also cities that are split between two districts the color is for who won that section of the city. For example West Bloomfield is split between the 11 and 14th districts, Obama won the city as a whole but Romney won the part in the 11th district and Obama won the part in the 14th. I was able to match the precinct map lines to the congress district lines exactly except for Scio township (the area west of Ann Arbor) The precinct map does not match the congress district lines, but the whole township is so Democratic that Obama surely won both parts and especially the part in the 12th district.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 23, 2013, 11:42:23 pm
how about some more recent elections. Here is the 2012 Presidential vote by congress district for Metro Detroit (districts 9,11,12,13, and 14), under the current district lines.



82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 22, 2013, 06:51:09 pm
I just checked the 1980 map would look exactly the same.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 22, 2013, 06:47:28 pm
Here is the 1976 Presidential vote by city and township for the 5th Congressional district.

Not really any surprises here. Gerald Ford dominates his old congress district area. Only one township votes for Carter. A shaded map would show Ford winning 60-70% of the vote throughout this district.


84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 22, 2013, 01:56:59 am
I should have done this as a city and township map not one with congress districts.


Warren and Southgate should be light blue. Avon would be light red.

I'm missing data for Highland Park and Hamtramck for 1980 so I can't calculate a swing.

Southgate is the city in Wayne county, Avon is in Oakland and Warren is in Macomb county just in case you aren't familiar with metro Detroit.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 22, 2013, 01:34:24 am
Ok I don't think this is how you make a swing map. Here is a map that shows if Reagan received a higher or lower percent of the vote than Ford did in 1976. So if Reagan got 60% and Ford got 56% of the vote it would be colored blue as it swung Republican but if Ford got 60% and Reagan got 56% it would be red as it swung away from Republicans. The map is shaded as follows, Light blue means Reagan got more than 5% more than Ford, Regular blue means 5-9.9% and dark blue means over 10% more than Ford. The same goes for Red but it means Reagan got less than Ford by 5% for light red, 5-9.9% for regular red, and over 10 for dark red.

Is this how you make a normal swing map like you see on the Atlas site election results. It doesn't seem right, but it seems like it would be a interesting map anyways.


86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 08:16:07 pm
I'm currently working on a swing map for 1976 to 1980. Should be posted later.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 02:43:40 pm
I should have just left the Detroit lines on the map. Carter almost surely won all of the Detroit parts of the Congress districts. Ford actually came within 5,000 votes of winning the Detroit part of the 14th district in 1976 (he won the whole thing). But by 1980 The city of Detroit was 66% black as opposed to 56% white in 1970. I'm certain that enough black voters are in the 14th in 1980 to easily give it to Carter. Nixon in 1972 is most likely the last Republican to win the Detroit part of a congress district, probably the 14th and maybe the 17th.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 02:37:57 pm
Here is 1980 by city/township map with congress districts over it. I had to delete the Detroit ones because the data I have for 1980 was organized by city and township and not by congressional district then city and township. There are only 6 splits including Detroit. I only have the total vote for all of Detroit. Livonia is split into 2 districts but it voted heavily for Reagan so I'm assuming both parts went Republican, same with Avon township. But Warren was close (Reagan won it by 3K votes) and Southgate was close, Carter won it by 200 votes so they are gray. hopefully this isn't too confusing.



89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 01:24:11 am
and the congressperson for these districts

1st      John Conyers (D)
2nd     Carl Pursell (R)   first elected in 1976
12th   David Bonior (D) first elected in 1976
13th   Charles Diggs Jr (D)
14th   Lucien Nedzi  (D)
15th   William Ford (D)
16th   John Dingell (D)
17th   William Brodhead (D)
18th   James Blanchard (D)   future governor of Michigan
19th   William Broomfield (R)
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 01:14:21 am
totals for each congress district

Carter/Ford/total

1st    128,858/14,916/145,423
2nd    90,744/108,566/204,756
12th   87,656/104,006/195,289
13th   88,245/12,877/102,435
14th   87,863/93,407/184,493
15th   91,514/82,284/176,839
16th   94,568/76,028/173,859
17th   92,438/94,131/190,185
18th   93,179/109,093/206,270
19th   77,016/132,693/213,425
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 01:03:39 am
here are the results for the city of Detroit by congress district

1st district       Carter: 121935  Ford: 13388
13th district     Carter: 88245    Ford: 12877
14th district     Carter: 42859    Ford: 37064
16th district     Carter: 24867    Ford: 9709
17th district     Carter: 53140    Ford: 34921
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 21, 2013, 12:53:39 am
Ok here is the 1976 presidential election results by city/township but with the 1970's congress districts drawn on it. It includes congressional districts 1,2,12,13,14,15,16,17,18, and 19th.


93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 20, 2013, 07:34:03 pm
I'm currently working on city/township results for state elections from 1998-present, and possibly with governor's races as far as they go.  Great job on your maps!


thanks, so you are going to do presidential vote by city/township post 1998 and city/township maps for governor elections? I'm just wondering so I don't accidentally do the same thing as you. I wasn't planning on doing any of those elections anyway so we should be good. Do you have a statewide city/township map that you are going to use?
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 20, 2013, 02:21:34 am
here is 1872 by city and township for metro Detroit. This is all I have for now as far as presidential results below county level for Metro Detroit. 1972 and 1984 could be coming later by the end of the week maybe.



95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 20, 2013, 12:05:20 am
If anyone cares here are the townships/cities

the townships and cities in Wayne county starting in the northwest corner and going east are

Plymouth, Livonia, Redford, Greenfield, Hamtramck, grosse Pointe

Below Plymouth going east: Canton Nankin, Dearborn, Springwells, Detroit

Below Canton going east: Van Buren, Romulus, Taylor, Ecorse (Wyandotte came from Ecorse)

Below Van Buren: Sumpter, Huron, Brownstown, Monguagon.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 19, 2013, 11:51:12 pm
Here is a very special treat, a map of the 1868 presidential election by city/township for metro Detroit

I had to hand edit these maps since most cities didn't exist back then. Detroit, Pontiac and Wyandotte were the only cities. Also Detroit was a lot smaller in size and several townships that don't exist did. I did my best to recreate them.

These results were in the 1869-70 Michigan Manual. The 1872 election results are also available (in the 1873-74 Manual) and I will make that map next. But that is the last of the Michigan election results for president by city and township in the Michigan Manual. Also there are no results before 1868 that I can find.

I couldn't tell the geographical size of Pontiac and Wyandotte back then so I make Pontiac a little smaller but left Wyandotte with the current boundaries.



97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 19, 2013, 09:41:14 pm
here is 1964 I need to do a shaded republican map. There are a few over 40% cities/townships.





98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 19, 2013, 09:16:40 pm
here is 1980 presidential vote by city and townships for Metro Detroit.




99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan maps thread on: March 19, 2013, 08:36:55 pm
Here is something different from the Michigan state house/senate maps.

here is the 1976 Presidential election results for Metro Detroit area by cities and townships.






100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NYC Mayoral 2013 on: March 17, 2013, 10:54:59 pm
I don't know much about the NYC mayors race but New York has the best public transportation of any American city. You would think most politicians would be very pro public transportation. I have only been to New York city once but was very impressed with the public transportation options, of course I come from Detroit where there is almost no public transportation. New York city is not a car city at all and should not be, increasing the public transportation options should be a top issue for all elected officials in NYC. NYC should build some bike highways like they have in Copenhagen.
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