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27751  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re:McCain vs. Zell Miller on: April 04, 2004, 04:49:47 pm
in a miller-mccain matchup, ralph nader would have a field day.  he would probably get over 10% of the vote.

Good point
27752  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re:Will you vote for Nader... on: April 04, 2004, 04:48:13 pm
No way!

Down to 21%
27753  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re:georgia--1972 & 1976 on: April 04, 2004, 04:26:06 pm
And another!

Mississippi 1944:


Mississippi 1948:


Yaaah! Cheesy
27754  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Kerry up by 12 points in Minnesota on: April 04, 2004, 04:23:07 pm
this poll is whack

Lets here something about the methodology before we dismiss it like that shall we….


Ok, relax, everybody take a deep breath here... It's prozac time....

Point 1:

30 weeks out polling just doesn't work all that well.

Point 2:

This was a "likely voter" poll taken right smack in the middle of the Richard Clarke matter - of course Democrats "were paying a lot of attention" to the race, and "following closely" and all the other likely voter screening questions....

Given the timing and methodology, A big spike for Kerry 30 weeks out is entirely predictable....

I have Kerry leading by low to mid single digits, this poll is a blip....

If you took another poll this weekend of "likely voters" on the heels of 308,000 jobs Bush would show a "spike"...  It wouldn't mean anything either...

It's 30 weeks out folks.. Smiley


Change your signature.

What don't you like...?

It takes up too much screen space.
27755  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re:georgia--1972 & 1976 on: April 04, 2004, 04:22:22 pm
I found another one.

Utah 1916:


Utah 1920:


Yaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhh!!!
27756  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Kerry up by 12 points in Minnesota on: April 04, 2004, 04:09:54 pm
this poll is whack

Lets here something about the methodology before we dismiss it like that shall we….


Ok, relax, everybody take a deep breath here... It's prozac time....

Point 1:

30 weeks out polling just doesn't work all that well.

Point 2:

This was a "likely voter" poll taken right smack in the middle of the Richard Clarke matter - of course Democrats "were paying a lot of attention" to the race, and "following closely" and all the other likely voter screening questions....

Given the timing and methodology, A big spike for Kerry 30 weeks out is entirely predictable....

I have Kerry leading by low to mid single digits, this poll is a blip....

If you took another poll this weekend of "likely voters" on the heels of 308,000 jobs Bush would show a "spike"...  It wouldn't mean anything either...

It's 30 weeks out folks.. Smiley


Change your signature.
27757  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re:Political Assassinations on: April 04, 2004, 03:50:06 pm
Bin Laden wil be caught between now and November, I know it.

Either caught or "caught".
27758  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:Bye Shapey! on: April 04, 2004, 03:35:33 pm
YOUR party?

Ha!

You seem to be a BIG asset to your party.

I got our guy elected by projecting Super the winner.

why are yoyu so proud of that miami?

Just a classic example of how I know what buttons to push, and when to do it.

hmmmm, I still don't understand why you are proud of these dirty tactics.

Because they WIN!  Just ask CNN!  You know how happy I was when they called FLORIDA FOR GORE???!?!?!?!  I'm getting back at the world now.

Here's my slogan:

A vote for Hughento is a vote for losing fairly.
A vote for the Boss is a vote for winning unfairly.
27759  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:Bye Shapey! on: April 04, 2004, 03:30:31 pm
YOUR party?

Ha!

You seem to be a BIG asset to your party.

I got our guy elected by projecting Super the winner.

why are yoyu so proud of that miami?

Just a classic example of how I know what buttons to push, and when to do it.
27760  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:Bye Shapey! on: April 04, 2004, 03:28:49 pm
YOUR party?

Ha!

You seem to be a BIG asset to your party.

I got our guy elected by projecting Super the winner.
27761  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re:Will you vote for Nader... on: April 04, 2004, 03:24:11 pm
23% said yes lol
27762  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re:McCain vs. Zell Miller on: April 04, 2004, 03:22:59 pm


McCain 465
Miller 73
27763  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Kennedy vs Reagan on: April 04, 2004, 03:19:49 pm
Kennedy would have been a stonger candidate than Carter.
27764  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Kerry up by 12 points in Minnesota on: April 04, 2004, 01:40:24 pm
Let me show you how much people "know" about how their home states will vote.

Texas Exit poll (done day of 3/9 TX Primary):

Will Kerry beat Bush in TX?

Very likely 43%
Somewhat Likely 35%

----

Mississippi Exit Poll (done day of 3/9 MS Primary):

Will Kerry beat Bush in MS?

Very Likely 47%
Somewhat Likely 32%

---

So as you can see, people are optimistic fruitcakes.  79% of MS Dems think Kerryy will win the state.

27765  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:JohnFKennedy's membership revoked on: April 04, 2004, 01:23:51 pm
Oops, sorry, just read your retraction of this claim.

I still support hughento, though Tongue

But you're a prog
27766  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:JohnFKennedy's membership revoked on: April 04, 2004, 01:21:30 pm
Why couldn't the Dems have been smart and voted hughento?

A vote for Hughento is a vote for losing fairly.
A vote for the Boss is a vote for winning unfairly.
27767  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:Screw the progressives. on: April 04, 2004, 01:20:40 pm
We hate you.  Go away progressives.  Don;'y you dare vote for us.

IIRC your opinion of Progressives was 'Favorable' when you were running for Party Chairman against hughento.  Excellent flip-flopping Tongue

Stop bringing up all of these threads!
27768  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re:2008 ... just for fun on: April 04, 2004, 01:18:32 pm
Frist/Pataki!!!!!

Hate to post 3 times in a row here...but, Pataki will LOSE his Governor's seat if he runs in 2006.  If Spitzer is the Dem, he could lose by over 15%.
27769  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re:2008 ... just for fun on: April 04, 2004, 01:17:41 pm
I voted for Jesse Ventura, since NY wouldn't be a swing state.
27770  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re:2008 ... just for fun on: April 04, 2004, 01:17:02 pm
Frist/Pataki!!!!!

Pataki is an anti-middle class anti-public school joke.
27771  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Clinton/Buchanan/Perot 1992 on: April 04, 2004, 01:14:08 pm
Buchanan would come in third. He'd carry the southern states Clinton lost, Perot would carry most of the west, and Clinton would win everything else.

Agreed...plus Utah for Pat.  perot would have won Maine.
27772  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Kennedy vs Reagan on: April 04, 2004, 01:13:34 pm
TEDDY!

He won New York Primary in 1980, and I was in the crowd for his victory speech!  Go Teddy!

Very interesting that you love Ted Kennedy so much, but have contempt for John Kerry.

That's just the way it is.
27773  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Bye Shapey! on: April 04, 2004, 01:11:36 pm
Shapey,

Nice to see that you left my party.  I can't say that I'll miss you.

-The Boss.
27774  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign / Re:a kerry/kerrey ticket? possible? on: April 04, 2004, 01:07:39 pm
Selecting Kerrey would just arouse rumors that he shot citizens in vietnam.
27775  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Bush/Cheney v Gore/Kerry on: April 04, 2004, 09:56:45 am
Kerry wouldn't have swung NH, remember, NH hates MA.
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