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27751  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Predicting the vote by race and religion on: February 15, 2004, 02:33:42 pm
You try it.

White: Bush 55% Kerry 44%
Black: Kerry 90% Bush 9%
Hispanic: Kerry 59% Bush 39%
Asian: Kerry 63% Kerry 35%

Catholic: Kerry 55% Bush 44%
Protestant: Bush 61% Kerry 38%
Jewish: Kerry 76% Bush 23%
27752  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re:Center Party USA on: February 15, 2004, 02:05:01 pm
How about 7 parties:

Socialist Party USA (leftist fringe group)
Progressive democratic Party (left-wing, like the ted Kennedy Party)
National Democratic Party (like the Dems today)
Centrist Independent Party (center-right)
Public Conservative Party (like the current GOP)
Christian Conservative Party (John Ashcroft, Roy Moore, etc.)
National Fascist Party (right-wing fringe group)

Abreviations are: SPUSA, PDP, NDP, CIP, PCP, CCP, NFP.
Here are the 2004 nominees for president:

SPUSA: Dennis Kucnich (Ohio)
PDP: Howard Dean (Vermont)
NDP: John Kerry (Massachusetts)
CIP: John McCain (Arizona)
PCP: George W. Bush (Texas)
CCP: Roy Moore (Alabama)
NFP: Howard Phillips (Virginia)

The SPUSA and the NFP would win no states.  CCP nominee Roy Moore wins Alabama and Mississippi, and Howard dean takes Vermont.  The rest of the states are divided between Kerry, McCain, and Bush.

What do you think?
27753  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Phil Bredesen on: February 15, 2004, 01:47:05 pm
Bredesen's name is too long. He could suffer the same problems Lieberman did. And name length does matter.
Huh?  Edwards is almost as long....but Bayh is a short name, but an odd-looking name.
27754  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Canadian Federal Election 2004 on: February 15, 2004, 10:11:05 am
But isn't Ipsos-Reid Tory leaning?
27755  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re:What does your username mean? on: February 15, 2004, 10:01:54 am
Yyrah sounds like a biblical name.
27756  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:2008 dem primary on: February 15, 2004, 09:55:44 am
"Either Edwards or Gore or me", you wanted to write.
No, I meant to say 'either Edwards or Gore for me.' I wrote it correctly.
27757  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re:The end of time indicator on: February 15, 2004, 09:53:06 am
Sharpton has said that he won't drop out, no matter the circumstances.
27758  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re:My 2008 prediction.... on: February 15, 2004, 09:50:54 am
Larry Sabato's map isn't for what he thinks would happen, but what the best case secario for the Dem could be.  Keep that in mind.
27759  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Will Nader run? will it matter? on: February 15, 2004, 09:48:04 am
Actually it's because there was a strong 3rd party candidate in 1992 and 1996.
Not really the case in 2000 though.
27760  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Phil Bredesen on: February 15, 2004, 09:46:24 am
Yes of course he would... but it's an academic point as Bredesen (unlike Warner) isn't term limited.
You don't an oppurtunity to prop up Gov. Warner, do you?
27761  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re:Community descriptions on: February 15, 2004, 09:45:27 am
Very conservative Republican area here.
27762  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re:What does your username mean? on: February 14, 2004, 10:40:57 pm
I noticed, but "nobody knows but miamiu" didn't fit the melody.
Good point.
27763  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:2008 dem primary on: February 14, 2004, 10:33:23 pm
What?
27764  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re:What does your username mean? on: February 14, 2004, 10:25:07 pm
I'm not staples anymore.
27765  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / 2008 dem primary on: February 14, 2004, 10:15:14 pm
Assuming Bush wins re-election.

Either Edwards or Gore for me.
27766  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re:My 2008 prediction.... on: February 14, 2004, 10:09:32 pm
Bushalva had a strange prediction....the Dems won't nominate barnes when they have big names like Hillary, Gore, and Edwards on the table.
27767  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Phil Bredesen on: February 14, 2004, 10:06:52 pm
Yeah, it was Weld.
27768  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re:My 2008 prediction.... on: February 14, 2004, 08:57:34 pm
That's what I mean't.
I hope Hillary loses to Rudy in 2006, because then we can get a halfway electable canddiate for 2008.

Why is Hillary Clinton unelectable?
Waaaay too polarizing.
27769  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re:My 2008 prediction.... on: February 14, 2004, 08:53:46 pm
That's what I mean't.
I hope Hillary loses to Rudy in 2006, because then we can get a halfway electable canddiate for 2008.
27770  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re:My 2008 prediction.... on: February 14, 2004, 08:47:15 pm
While a Rice run is a possible situation, Giuliani is more likely since he says he might run for NYC SENATE in 2006.
New York City Senate?  No such thing.  There is a City Council, a State Senate, and the US senate (what I think you mean).
27771  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re:Best 20th century president on: February 14, 2004, 08:46:19 pm
Back to the topic at hand..

TR!
The grand father of progressivism!  LaFollette was better than him though Sad
27772  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Will Nader run? will it matter? on: February 14, 2004, 08:44:01 pm
Yep, three straight elections with under 50%.  It's shows the closely divided nation we've got on our hands...the center-rights and the rights.
27773  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Phil Bredesen on: February 14, 2004, 08:42:51 pm
I think he would...Bredesen's approval rating is sky high at 72%.
27774  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Will Nader run? will it matter? on: February 14, 2004, 08:41:21 pm
I would be very surprised if Nader ran again.  I think the pressure on him from left wingers not to run will be too great. If he does run, Bush will win a second term with EASE, but I don't believe Nader would do it again.
Roy Moore would more than cancel out Nader.

I actually think if the Greens nominate someone that nobody ever heard of, the nobody would get more votes than Nader would have.
27775  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Nevada Caucus (Event) on: February 14, 2004, 08:39:08 pm
Yep.
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