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27826  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Canadian Federal Election 2004 on: April 02, 2004, 07:53:58 pm
I think the libs will win *almost* everywhere.
27827  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:ARG in New Mexico! on: April 02, 2004, 07:52:10 pm
A funny thing in that poll was the more people were aware of Nader (96%) than Kerry (93%).
27828  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / ARG in New Mexico! on: April 02, 2004, 07:51:03 pm
American Research Group has conducted a poll in New Mexico.  Here are the numbers:

w/ Nader

Bush 46%
Kerry 45%
Nader 3%

w/o Nader

Bush 47%
Kerry 47%

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/nm/
27829  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / No Perot on: April 02, 2004, 07:40:36 pm
Clinton
27830  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Hmmm....what if? (interesting) on: April 02, 2004, 07:39:01 pm
What if the Democrats nominated a more moderate southern guy, and the republicans nominated a more liberal Northern guy.  Like Edwards vs. Guliani,  for example.  How would that play out?  Would the republican win the NE and the Dem win the South?  

Edwards is not a moderate. He just presents himself that way.

Yes he is.
27831  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re:Did the US sell weapons to Iraq? on: April 02, 2004, 07:32:28 pm
Actually, Russia sold the 62.5%

We sold them only 0.005%



Same idea
27832  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:who is going to win? on: April 02, 2004, 06:26:05 pm
TN-Maybe but unlikely.
MO-No way, Bush still lost it by 10%
27833  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign / Re:Kerry camp challenges Bush to six debates on: April 02, 2004, 05:51:40 pm
i hope bush wins by that much, though im certainly not expecting it.  what makes you think he will?

Kerry=weak candidate.  If somebody stronger was nominated (Edwards, Gephardt) Bush would lose.
27834  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:who is going to win? on: April 02, 2004, 05:50:55 pm
Clinton would have won anyway had Perot not run.
we had that one before
i don't think so

Even if the following states swung (and this is being VERY generous to Bush), Clinton would still have won:

CO (a Bush 88 and Dole 96 state): 8
GA (a Bush 88 and Dole 96 state): 13
KY (a Bush 88 and almost-Dole 96 state): 8
MT (a Bush 88 and Dole 96 state): 3
NH (a Bush 88 and almost-Bush 92 state): 4
NV (a Bush 88 and almost-Dole 96 state): 4
LA (a Bush 88 state and possible Bush 92 state): 9
ME (a Bush 88 state and possible Bush 92 state): 4
NJ (a Bush 88 state and almost-Bush 92 state): 15
OH (a Bush 88 state and almost-Bush 92 state): 21

Clinton/Gore 281
Bush/Quayle 257
27835  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:who is going to win? on: April 02, 2004, 05:43:06 pm
Clinton would have won anyway had Perot not run.
27836  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign / Re:Kerry camp challenges Bush to six debates on: April 02, 2004, 05:40:21 pm
boss tweed: do yu really think bush is going to win by as much as youve indicated in your signature?

Miami here Smiley

Yes
27837  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Canadian Federal Election 2004 on: April 02, 2004, 05:31:47 pm
My Tentative prediction map:



No shaded colors YET, Iw ill get to that...maybe.
27838  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:2004 User Predictions - Discussion on: April 02, 2004, 05:05:27 pm
ouch

ouch yourself
27839  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re:Did the US sell weapons to Iraq? on: April 02, 2004, 04:57:54 pm
We only sold them .5% of what they had, compared to like 50% from Russia.
27840  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Guidelines for Topics in this section on: April 02, 2004, 04:41:34 pm
is that miamiU?  Leave it to a New Yorker to bring up the tweed ring.  nice bunch of guys.  liep's admonishment seemed to have the opposite effect.  Smiley

yep it's me.

Tweed employed many immigrants and poorer New Yorkers, I don't see why people have such a beef with him.

I kind of like him... he had style Wink

He also created lots of jobs, that's why I like him.

New York's Huey Long

More like New York's Bill Clinton Smiley
27841  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:2004 User Predictions - Discussion on: April 02, 2004, 04:41:00 pm
UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:



Bush 361
Kerry 177
27842  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Guidelines for Topics in this section on: April 02, 2004, 04:33:55 pm
is that miamiU?  Leave it to a New Yorker to bring up the tweed ring.  nice bunch of guys.  liep's admonishment seemed to have the opposite effect.  Smiley

yep it's me.

Tweed employed many immigrants and poorer New Yorkers, I don't see why people have such a beef with him.

I kind of like him... he had style Wink

He also created lots of jobs, that's why I like him.
27843  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Page Width! on: April 02, 2004, 04:28:49 pm
1024x768
27844  General Discussion / History / Re:What would they be if they ran today? on: April 02, 2004, 04:26:48 pm
TR: center-left Democrat
FDR: Democrat
Truman: moderate Democrat
JFK: moderate Democrat
Nixon: Republican, but his party would hate him
27845  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:regions and districts on: April 02, 2004, 04:21:24 pm
ok thanks Dunn
welcome
I am waiting for that mail

mail?
27846  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re:Hypothetical: McCain enters race on: April 02, 2004, 04:12:08 pm
Quote

Nader would still run but wouldn't get many votes.

Has anyone seen how many states Nader is likely to appear on the ballot? He has got to spend a ton of money and coordinate his petitioners extremely well to appear on enough states to be meaningful. Perhaps Richard Winger at Ballot Access News has some insights and data. Without a party to support him, I think he is going to find it very tough to mount a truly national campaign. In short, I don't think he is going to matter much anyway.

If he only polls .25% in a superclose state it could make the difference.  If Bush wins Ohio by 300 votes (which is NOT an exaggeration after what happened last time), he could be the difference.
27847  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:regions and districts on: April 02, 2004, 04:09:18 pm
ok thanks Dunn
27848  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Predicted outcome vs. Desired outcome on: April 02, 2004, 04:08:15 pm
It would be more accurate to say that I "want Bush to lose and I think he will win."

I'm not too wild about President Kerry.
27849  Election Archive / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election / Re:Guidelines for Topics in this section on: April 02, 2004, 04:06:04 pm
is that miamiU?  Leave it to a New Yorker to bring up the tweed ring.  nice bunch of guys.  liep's admonishment seemed to have the opposite effect.  Smiley

yep it's me.

Tweed employed many immigrants and poorer New Yorkers, I don't see why people have such a beef with him.
27850  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re:regions and districts on: April 02, 2004, 04:04:43 pm
which is which
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