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October 24, 2014, 04:39:14 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Rasmussen: McConnell+8 on: October 17, 2014, 12:03:23 pm
For what it's worth, it is Rasmussen.

And it does contradict the past 3 polls that show Grimes ahead.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!) on: October 17, 2014, 12:13:23 am
Isn't Mills a Sandy Hook conspiracy theorist?
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: MN-08: SUSA: Nolan down 8 (!) on: October 17, 2014, 12:08:17 am
A different poll has Nolan up by 11. That poll is of course ignored.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Will the CO GOP finally break the hex this year (Senate/Gov?) on: October 16, 2014, 09:33:58 am
Have we figured out yet why Udall isn't doing better? I have family members who pay attention to this stuff, and they say Udall may be the best member of the entire Senate.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The DSCC pulls out of Kentucky on: October 15, 2014, 04:17:47 pm
The DSCC might be smarter than it appeared - if we're lucky...

http://www.politicususa.com/2014/10/15/no-dscc-pull-kentucky-senate-race-abandon-alison-lundergan-grimes.html
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Gravis: Grimes with the momentum! on: October 14, 2014, 07:04:08 pm
Dang, even Bandit is giving up?

No, because the debate and the ground game offset this.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Gravis: Grimes with the momentum! on: October 14, 2014, 07:02:19 pm
Grimes is closing in on the obstructionist turtle.

Too bad the DSCC just pulled the rug out from underneath her.

Grimes raised $4.9 million in the last quarter, has $4.4 million COH and has the resources to close the gap.

Problem is, McConnell probably has more.

It's a damn shame, but probably true.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: October 14, 2014, 04:28:12 pm
The internals probably aren't bad, but it sounds like the internals are looking better in Georgia (where Nunn is a better candidate and would actually be able to hold on to the seat if she ran for re-election).

David Perdue is a truly bad man. But the Democrats' comeback of the late 2000s proved a strategy covering more states is better. (Remember the 50-state strategy?)
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: October 14, 2014, 01:03:32 pm

Wow, the DSCC is dumb.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins in Kentucky? on: October 13, 2014, 08:01:31 pm
I just watched the debate. McConnell's performance was embarrassing.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-InsiderAdvantage/FOX5 Atlanta: Perdue up 4 on: October 03, 2014, 12:20:51 pm
After that horrible ad?
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: National Senatorial Poll on: October 03, 2014, 10:10:52 am
7% MoE?

Junk poll.

Fox News?

Junk poll.
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2014 state legislature (general) elections on: October 02, 2014, 06:58:12 pm
Anyone want to make any predictions (or updates) now that we are a month away from election day? 

Kentucky House: 56-44 D.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Has Pat Roberts Already Lost? on: October 01, 2014, 08:03:34 pm
If a Democrat was down by this much, people would be insisting that it was already lost. For instance, Braley and Grimes are actually winning in today's polls, but people insist they've lost already.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Mellman Group (D): Grimes-internal has her ahead by 2 on: October 01, 2014, 12:01:11 pm
Doubt it. Doubt it very much.

I don't doubt it at all.

I think there's a very real chance that the Republicans can actually win the Senate even with McConnell losing.

If so, who becomes Majority Leader?
41  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: IA-04: DFM: King +3 on: September 30, 2014, 03:07:01 pm
Good news! King is one Pub whom I wish would bite the dust. He makes my skin crawl.

Uh, he's winning.
42  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA 2016: PPP: Grassley leading on: September 30, 2014, 01:20:49 pm
Will he even run again? Isn't he basically a fossil by now?
43  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: PPP: Ernst +2 on: September 30, 2014, 11:36:18 am
The way everyone was talking up this poll, I thought Ernst was going to lead by about 12.
44  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California Adopts 'Yes Means Yes' Sexual Assault Rule on: September 29, 2014, 03:19:11 pm
This is a good law.

Naturally, the Tea Party opposes it.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grade Bruce Braley's campaign on: September 29, 2014, 02:07:34 pm
Unfortunately, the media's support of Ernst doesn't help matters.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: SD: Nielson: Rounds leading on: September 29, 2014, 01:42:38 pm
If Weiland and Pressler could get their poop in a group, they could actually swing this away from Rounds. I know it's too late for Weiland to be removed from the ballot, but if he comes out and says, "Hey, don't vote for me," that could swing it.

And who is Howie?
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Iowa Senate Debate. on: September 29, 2014, 12:38:08 pm
I found it on YouTube. Braley won easily.
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grade Bruce Braley's campaign on: September 28, 2014, 08:24:02 pm
Is there any truth to the rumor that Braley utterly humiliated Ernst at tonight's debate (especially when Ernst denied climate change)?
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grade Mitch McConnell's Campaign on: September 28, 2014, 07:48:31 pm
Mitch's campaign stinks, but he's lucky, since The Media has been carrying him.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-CNN: Hagan +3 on: September 28, 2014, 01:52:36 pm
She keeps putting up decent numbers even as other Dems slip behind. Weird.

I think it's because North Carolina has the Moral Monday movement. Folks in other states haven't figured it out yet.
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