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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who wins Highland Heights, KY? on: August 14, 2016, 11:05:47 pm
Do you know what the approximate 08 and 12 margins were, Bandit?

I think it was maybe Romney +7 or so in 2012. I think McCain actually did better in 2008, but I'm not sure.

It is a university town, but it's NKU.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Who wins Highland Heights, KY? on: August 14, 2016, 08:16:01 pm
Who wins this town? It certainly is less right-wing than most of Campbell County. I think Romney carried it somewhat narrowly in 2012. The town has a major public university, and recently the Democrats gained a registration edge in all 5 precincts (though I don't think they still have an edge in every precinct, since it fluctuates a lot).

It's also the same town where the Tea Party guy was busted for selling drugs.

I'm guessing it would be Clinton +3.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Other source: Indiana a tie on: August 14, 2016, 11:47:54 am
I don't know if this is the right format or place for this post, but a pollster called Howey Politics has Clinton and Trump tied in INDIANA at 44% each:

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/8/14/1559993/-Are-Trump-and-Clinton-tied-44-44-in-Indiana

That's with Trump picking an Indiana running mate!
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? on: August 14, 2016, 11:39:14 am
Maryland in 1988, everybody thought Dukakis would win the state.

I thought Maryland turned out to be not even close.

I don't remember much about 1980, but I remember reading later that Carter was supposed to win New York. Someone told me Nixon was supposed to win West Virginia in 1960.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Clinton picked DWS or Alan Grayson as her VP, would FL be safe D? on: August 13, 2016, 09:57:23 pm
Grayson would help, DWS would hurt.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 on: August 11, 2016, 05:15:26 pm
Anyone who thinks Trump will win Iowa is fooling themselves. Iowa is not the new West Virginia.
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 on: August 11, 2016, 05:13:43 pm
Anyone who thinks Trump will win Iowa is fulling themselves. Iowa is not the new West Virginia.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 on: August 11, 2016, 11:53:20 am
Iowa is a mix of Illinois and Minnesota on one end and South Dakota/Nebraska/Missouri on the other.  It looks like that the trend may be now favoring the red (Atlas blue) direction. 

Eastern Iowa and the big cities like Des Moines are growing though. Western Iowa is shrinking.

Dallas county (Wealthy Des Moines Suburb) and Sioux county ( super religous Dutch republican stronghold) are both growing, and these are the two most important strongholds for republicans in the state.

But Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, and Iowa City are absolutely booming.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk: Trump +1 on: August 11, 2016, 11:45:51 am
Iowa is a mix of Illinois and Minnesota on one end and South Dakota/Nebraska/Missouri on the other.  It looks like that the trend may be now favoring the red (Atlas blue) direction. 

Eastern Iowa and the big cities like Des Moines are growing though. Western Iowa is shrinking.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Strickland: Scalia's death "happened at a good time" on: August 10, 2016, 02:10:54 pm
This is even worse than Trump's comments.

No. It is not.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is the U.S. ready for the first woman president? on: August 10, 2016, 12:14:19 pm
Yes, I am ready for Jill Stein.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Strickland: Scalia's death "happened at a good time" on: August 10, 2016, 11:24:46 am
The Republican presidential nominee just threatened to assassinate his leading opponent, and the Plain Dealer is up in arms about this???

Shame on the Plain Dealer.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: CNN: Newly released Clinton emails show favors for Foundation donors. on: August 10, 2016, 11:23:16 am
Number of people who care...

Tick tock tick tock tick tock...

ZERO!!!

Bernie was right when he said we were sick and tired of hearing about the damn e-mails.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: what is the appeal of Donald Trump? on: August 09, 2016, 05:03:28 pm
Haven't you heard?  Donald Trump is a candidate for the common man or something.

I was never fooled by him, and most other working-class people around here aren't fooled by him either. He is a fraud.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: what is the appeal of Donald Trump? on: August 09, 2016, 04:57:03 pm
Because everyone is legally required to worship random rich guys.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which of these Dem. issues should resonate most with White Working Class voters? on: August 08, 2016, 05:41:37 pm
All of them.
42  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Jill Stein? on: August 08, 2016, 04:16:12 pm
She's more qualified than Trump is. She is on a town council in Massachusetts, after all. Trump isn't.

Can't wait to vote for her!
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Poll/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump +16 on: August 08, 2016, 10:42:21 am
Why was the poll that showed Rand Paul and Jim Gray tied completely swept under the rug?
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Kentucky on: August 08, 2016, 10:03:40 am
Not only did Trump say coal miners are stupid, but he also now supports privatizing Mammoth Cave National Park. Oops.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why do the Dakota State Capitals Vote Republican? on: August 07, 2016, 04:21:35 pm
Another example is Missouri.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Kentucky on: August 07, 2016, 09:54:04 am
Downballot Democrats in KY might make a bit of a comeback this year.  Maybe.

They probably will make a net gain in the Kentucky House. There's 2 Republican-held seats that are as good as gone for the GOP, but the Democrats don't have any seats that are that bad off.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Kentucky on: August 06, 2016, 06:34:47 pm
Clinton does well in the Lexington, Louisville, Frankfort suburbs and the suburbs around Cincinnati, OH.

Clinton will win the river cities (because the Democrats always do), but I'm wondering if she's actually going to win a whole county in suburban Cincinnati this time.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Values Voters on: August 06, 2016, 10:38:59 am
"Values voters" included a lot of people who were about my age (born early '70s) who were complete hypocrites. There really never were that many, but they're voting Trump.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How long until Trump drops a racial slur? on: August 05, 2016, 08:50:52 pm
What about all this "Pocahontas" business?
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: But honestly, what states will Clinton /actually/ win? on: August 05, 2016, 11:51:09 am
I think Clinton will pick up these states from last time: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Alaska, Missouri, Montana, Indiana, and Utah. The way things are going, she has a very real chance of picking up most of the remaining states.
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