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November 20, 2014, 03:59:04 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2014 state legislature (general) elections on: November 05, 2014, 11:01:21 pm
If the West Virginia GOP pursues "right-to-work", how much will it harm their future prospects in that state?
27  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Did the GOP move to the right, to the left, or stayed the same after GW Bush on: November 05, 2014, 10:52:12 pm
I'm not sure the GOP can go any further right than it currently is without descending into literal fascism.

It's already there. There's not even any question about it anymore.
28  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Did the GOP move to the right, to the left, or stayed the same after GW Bush on: November 05, 2014, 06:27:02 pm
Bush was as right-wing as humanly (?) possible, but the party itself has gotten more right-wing since then.
29  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: South Dakota county changes name on: November 05, 2014, 06:25:22 pm
Why?

Because it was named after Peter Shannon who helped swindle land from the Lakota people.

At least they didn't name it "Andrew Jackson County"

The county right next to it is...Jackson County. It contains the rest of the reservation.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 06:13:47 pm
Oh, it's more than +4.
31  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: South Dakota county changes name on: November 05, 2014, 05:30:29 pm
Isn't that the poorest and most Democratic county in America?

Perhaps. I briefly went through that county once on a roadtrip, and it's a cool county.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 04:15:53 pm
The pollsters will take the wrong lesson from this. Just you watch. I bet they "recalibrate" their methods again, instead of demanding to know why the election was so far off.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Tea Party judicial candidate loses in Kentucky by 20% on: November 05, 2014, 02:08:45 pm

The incumbent was by far the less conservative candidate. And she was appointed before, so this was the first time she had to face the voters for this seat.
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Tea Party judicial candidate loses in Kentucky by 20% on: November 05, 2014, 01:24:21 pm
This is how the elections would have gone if it wasn't for the rise of partisanship in recent years.

There was a major election in northern Kentucky for a Kentucky Supreme Court seat. It was on a nonpartisan ballot. The incumbent had been appointed to this seat by the governor following the retirement and death of its previous occupant. The challenger was hand-picked by the Tea Party and kept spouting the usual right-wing nonsense that goes with it.

This election was considered highly competitive. But the incumbent won by about 20 percentage points.

Remember, this was a nonpartisan election. This shows about how other elections would have turned out if it wasn't for the partisanship ginned up by the GOP in partisan races. When people get to judge things without party labels, we do much better - at least this time.

Look at how referendums turned out. It was pretty much the same thing there.
35  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: South Dakota county changes name on: November 05, 2014, 12:46:33 pm
Why?

Because it was named after Peter Shannon who helped swindle land from the Lakota people.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Manchin not switching parties on: November 05, 2014, 12:45:10 pm
I'll defend Manchin on one issue: As governor, he wanted to revoke the driver's licenses of high school bullies. It was about time someone said no to the spoiled brats, and Manchin is one of few people to publicly suggest this.

I'm tired of bullies of receiving preferential treatment.
37  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: For Democrats: Is Direct Democracy the Solution? on: November 05, 2014, 12:14:26 pm
It could too easily turn into mob rule by the 1%.

'Mob rule by the 1%' sounds scary but is a contradiction in terms.

We've had mob rule by the 1% since 1994!
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2014 state legislature (general) elections on: November 05, 2014, 12:03:00 pm
Didn't the seats in the Colorado Senate that the NRA had the do-over flip back to the Democrats?
39  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: For Democrats: Is Direct Democracy the Solution? on: November 05, 2014, 11:54:23 am
It could too easily turn into mob rule by the 1%.
40  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Here's what happens when you remind churches not to make political endorsements on: November 05, 2014, 11:53:27 am
Imagine the sh*t storm the far right media would create if the government tried to stop any of this.

They need to just do it.

Oh, is the government skeerd? They're the government, and they're supposed to govern.
41  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / South Dakota county changes name on: November 05, 2014, 11:50:46 am
I have a rather interesting note resulting from yesterday's election.

Shannon County, South Dakota, had a referendum to change its name to Oglala Lakota County. It passed with 80%. The name change is official.
42  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2014 state legislature (general) elections on: November 05, 2014, 11:35:46 am
The Lexington Herald-Leader reports Kentucky will be 54-46 D after all - slightly better than the 53-47 that was reported earlier. In other words, no net loss.

The "right-to-work" bull was toxic for the GOP's Kentucky House candidates.
43  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Manchin not switching parties on: November 05, 2014, 11:15:10 am
A lot of right-wing Democrats probably won't switch now just because the Republicans who ran against them were so nasty.

There's a far-right-wing Democrat in Kentucky named Jim Gooch who beat everyone's expectations by winning by 20 points. I'd be surprised if he switched (if he hasn't by now), because his opponent was nasty.

I wouldn't join a party that attacks me and talks about what a horrible person I am.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 11:09:36 am
Not all the polls were off.  Most of the Alaska polls showing Begich down by about 3 were right in the end.

Probably only because Alaska is geographically so far from the rest of the country.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Craziest results of this election on: November 05, 2014, 11:01:26 am
The realization that Iowa should have its statehood revoked.

West Virginia should be given back to the Confederacy.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 10:57:26 am
The real question should be "What happened to the election?"

The #1 story on the evening news on every network tomorrow should be "The election: what went wrong?" In every other country in the world, this would be considered a sign that the election was stolen.

LOOOOOOL. You think the election was stolen? Oh sorry, just saying that it would be considering stolen anywhere else. Just asking questions?

Some of the polls were off by as much as 20 points - well outside the margin of error. In fact, almost every major poll was off by more than the margin of error in every major election.

All these polls independent of each other showed roughly the same thing, which wasn't nearly as Republican as the actual results.

So the outlier is the election.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 10:55:27 am
Maybe difficulty with turnout? How was turnout compared to previous mid-terms?

Terrible (despite anecdotal statements otherwise).
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Places where Democrats exceeded expectations on: November 05, 2014, 03:07:44 am
Gary Peters. About in line with the last polls IIRC, but considering other polls had big Democratic biases, it was pretty good. Better than Durbin, Franken, Tom Udall and similar to Coons and Booker. Just goes to show how incredibly bad Land was as a candidate.

That's because "right-to-work" was such a big issue in Michigan.

Why didn't Snyder lose then?

He almost did.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What happened to the Polling? on: November 05, 2014, 02:58:44 am
The real question should be "What happened to the election?"

The #1 story on the evening news on every network tomorrow should be "The election: what went wrong?" In every other country in the world, this would be considered a sign that the election was stolen.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Places where Democrats exceeded expectations on: November 05, 2014, 02:55:51 am
Gary Peters. About in line with the last polls IIRC, but considering other polls had big Democratic biases, it was pretty good. Better than Durbin, Franken, Tom Udall and similar to Coons and Booker. Just goes to show how incredibly bad Land was as a candidate.

That's because "right-to-work" was such a big issue in Michigan.
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