Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 25, 2016, 07:44:20 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 229
26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What counties are you especially excited to see the results of? on: July 20, 2016, 10:32:44 am
Campbell, KY.

Last it voted Democratic was 1964, but it's near a big city, and I don't see any support for Trump on the ground. Remember, Hamilton County, OH (Cincinnati) was similar until Obama finally broke the streak in 2008, and now it's more Democratic than the national average.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: More plagiarism on: July 19, 2016, 10:41:33 pm
The Republican convention is going so horribly wrong that the Republicans may have well have farted a bubble of poo-flavored gum and floated over Cleveland for a week, before rupturing and stinking up the city for years on end.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 19, 2016, 08:51:18 pm
Does anyone actually believe any of this crap?

Unfortunately, many, many people do.

It boggles the mind, and it mindles the bog.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 19, 2016, 08:45:46 pm
Does anyone actually believe any of this crap?
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 18, 2016, 11:00:03 pm
Did this awful convention night really just happen?
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Elliott County, KY? on: July 18, 2016, 09:25:39 am
I think Elliott County's Democratic leanings actually predate the discovery of coal in eastern Kentucky. But apparently they're not Dixiecrats either, since they voted for Obama twice (once by a landslide margin).
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Elliott County, KY? on: July 18, 2016, 09:04:52 am
Sanders won it in the primary, so I'm hypothesizing that Trump ekes out a 51-47ish victory here. Like virtually all of Appalachia, Elliott County is lone gone for the Democrats.

Sanders voters are mostly turning to Clinton now.

And for what it's worth, Sanders didn't do nearly as well in eastern Kentucky as he did in West Virginia.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC National: Clinton leads by 7 and 5 on: July 17, 2016, 11:04:34 am
This pops a bubble right in CBS's stupid face.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Elliott County, KY? on: July 17, 2016, 09:18:24 am
Anti-white hate group? Not quite. Hillary! didn't help matters in that one debate where she said that she wanted to put coal miners out of work. That comment will come back to bite her in parts of WV, KY, OH and Western PA.

Then what about that interview where Donald Trump said coal miners were stupid? Why is that being covered up?
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Elliott County, KY? on: July 16, 2016, 07:58:52 pm
I'd be shocked if Clinton didn't win it.

New York billionaires like Trump are a poor fit for rural Kentucky.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Counties that have always voted Republican, can Hillary win them? on: July 15, 2016, 11:26:58 am
After seeing the poll with Clinton with a huge lead among college-educated people, I think Clinton will pick up a lot more suburban middle-class counties than I thought.

Still, she should be doing better in poor rural areas.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Allstate/Atlantic Media: Clinton +8 on: July 12, 2016, 11:45:35 pm
Non college educated white men
Clinton 20
Trump 68

I'm not buying this one - unless it's just really old guys.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Monmouth: Trump +2 on: July 12, 2016, 03:38:45 pm
If Trump is winning Iowa by 2, then he is most likely leading nationally.

Good news for Hillary: more voters think that she "looks out for the little guy" by 8%

They had an NV poll with her up 4 and the 2 national polls are +1 and +3 for her, so it would seem it's tight for now. I expect him to pull ahead after the RNC, provided it is not a complete clusterf**k.

I am of the opinion that the RNC will be just that. Smiley

When was the last time it wasn't?
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Monmouth: Trump +2 on: July 12, 2016, 03:37:19 pm
Monmouth is the new Gravis.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 02:05:52 pm
Just as Conway was supposed to beat Bevin, right?

Uh, Conway won Bellevue.

Bevin won Campbell County by 12 points.

He lost Bellevue by 13 points.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 02:02:21 pm
Just as Conway was supposed to beat Bevin, right?

Uh, Conway won Bellevue.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 12:09:05 pm
And what do you see on the ground? And which city specifically?

Bellevue, specifically. People are almost entirely for Hillary.
Doesn't Bellevue have like 6000 people?

Hillary isn't going to win Campbell county, and she isn't going to win Kentucky.

She very well may win Campbell County.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 11:06:51 am
Yeah, but other areas such as the SE have trended the complete opposite way. KY is still a strong GOP state on the Pres. level and Trump is a good fit for the state.

A right-wing New York billionaire isn't exactly a good fit for Kentucky.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 11:01:15 am
Bandit, even Bill Clinton lost your home county by wide margins. And he won the state twice.

The areas near big cities have trended Democratic since then.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 10:53:49 am
And what do you see on the ground? And which city specifically?

Bellevue, specifically. People are almost entirely for Hillary.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cofounder Pulse/Google Consumer Surveys: Trump+5 on: July 11, 2016, 10:14:00 am
I can't believe Hillary isn't winning this - judging only (I repeat, only) by what I see on the ground.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Newt Gingrich VP candidacy help Donald Trump in Florida? on: July 10, 2016, 01:41:02 pm
I know that Newt Gingrich is not from Florida but Georgia, Gingrich's home state, borders Florida. So if Gingrich is selected as Donald Trump's running mate, could it boost Trump in Florida?

By that logic, Al Gore would have a constitutional right to win Kentucky.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? on: July 08, 2016, 11:31:30 am
I thought Iowa had been rated safe for Kerry in 2004.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: When was the last time a "lean" or "likely" state went the opposite way? on: July 08, 2016, 01:16:53 am
Probably Iowa in 2004. Before that, probably West Virginia in 2000.
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Pew: Clinton +9 on: July 07, 2016, 01:52:49 pm
Why do noncollege whites support Trump at all?Huh? Noncollege grads don't have any money.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 229


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines