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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: White supremacist donated to Bevin campaign on: June 24, 2015, 10:32:12 am
Yeah, the average of recent polls is still Conway +4. Folks on Facebook are saying the PPP poll is essentially bunk gas.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Paul leads Democratic opponents; Massie in a close race with Dems on: June 24, 2015, 08:38:21 am
Massie is unpopular in his own district, largely because of his stupidity in the government shutdown.

Granted, he seems to make occasional forays into sanity, but for the wrong reasons.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 24, 2015, 08:34:45 am
How on earth does Clinton impact this race?

Maybe Clinton is just so far ahead so early that it helps the Democrats overall.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 24, 2015, 08:33:57 am
Clinton is competetive in Ohio, Colo and Va states that are more friendly towards Dems. Conway had ethical issues in 2010.

What ethical issues are these? If he had ethical issues, trust me, it would be all over the Kentucky media by now.

I know he's not that great. But ethical issues???
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 23, 2015, 11:11:57 pm
I guess we'll just have to wait and see.

The Democrats will come back in all 50 states sooner or later, thanks to the age gap - unless the current 2-party system somehow falls by the wayside, which is possible but not probable.
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 23, 2015, 10:59:01 pm
Kentucky Democrats can survive.

They will, sooner or later. Even this poll has Conway handily winning the youngest voters.

My big worry is that it'll happen too late.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / White supremacist donated to Bevin campaign on: June 23, 2015, 07:46:27 pm
Oops...

http://www.kentucky.com/2015/06/23/3913958_report-white-supremacist-donated.html
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 23, 2015, 07:36:41 pm
PPP is not known for being junk. There is nothing to counter their data at this point.

Bevin losing the last poll by 11 sort of counters it.

Bevin being Bevin sort of counters it too.
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 23, 2015, 07:19:41 pm
This poll is a complete joke: Grimes and Edelen aren't going to lose, obviously, let alone to such weak opponents.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How did Reagan Democrats vote post Reagan? on: June 19, 2015, 10:13:16 am
Wallace in the end only received something like 13% of the vote mostly from southern states, but for awhile he was polling around 30% and had significant support in many midwestern states and even liberal states like Massachusetts.

I do remember that some of the "Nixon Democrats" I talked to in my day thought Wallace was a backwards joke. I'm pretty sure the "Nixon Democrats" I knew were for Humphrey in '68.

I remember reading that McGovern lacked labor support that other Democrats had. I think he was against "right-to-work" per se, but he voted against repealing Taft-Hartley.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How did Reagan Democrats vote post Reagan? on: June 17, 2015, 10:47:37 pm
I remember in the era of Mondale and Dukakis a lot of people telling me the only time they ever voted Republican was Nixon in 1972. They voted for Mondale and Dukakis, but not McGovern.
37  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Democratic Tea Party on: June 17, 2015, 01:47:11 pm
There is no Democratic Tea Party because the Democrats are not the Republicans.  The actual Tea Party have shown that they care more about fanatical purity than they do about governance - in fact, they are openly contemptuous about governance, along with expertise, tolerance, diversity, rationality,  empathy (for those not in the in-group), empiricism, and everything else that anyone even vaguely liberal or center-left in the US ostensibly cares about.  It's in the Tea Partiers' DNA - hell, it's in the DNA of Americans in general. Furthermore, they are driven by a fundamentalist, absolutist mindset that regards compromise as weakness and diversity of opinion as a bad thing.

The vulgar Right is antithetical to everything Democrats stand for. It would be insane and  foolish of the Democrats to attempt to emulate them.

I'm not saying the Democrats should take Tea Party-like stances. I just think a Democratic Tea Party should use Tea Party-style techniques.
38  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Democratic Tea Party on: June 17, 2015, 12:41:41 pm
If only the Democrats had a Tea Party.

Six whole years of the Republican Tea Party, and what's the Democrats' response?
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How did Reagan Democrats vote post Reagan? on: June 12, 2015, 08:25:20 pm
I remember people who fit The Media's description of "Reagan Democrats" were actually the most anti-Reagan folks around. Today they still vote Democratic.

I don't know why suburban Cincinnati would be different from someplace else.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio: Mixed results for Hillary Clinton in match-ups against Republicans, PPP on: June 11, 2015, 06:10:30 pm
What about Mark Udall?
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio: Mixed results for Hillary Clinton in match-ups against Republicans, PPP on: June 11, 2015, 01:26:59 pm
Kaine is fairly liberal than Clinton. He's the right choice for this time.

Sherrod Brown is probably a much better choice.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio: Mixed results for Hillary Clinton in match-ups against Republicans, PPP on: June 11, 2015, 12:15:46 pm
She's been ahead a long time in Ohio. Ted Strickland is tied with Portman. Kaine is most likely the VP.

She needs to pick a progressive VP. Not Tim Kaine.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio: Mixed results for Hillary Clinton in match-ups against Republicans, PPP on: June 11, 2015, 01:21:04 am
Probably most of the undecideds break toward the Republicans once they unify around a candidate rather than having a 5 way tie for 10%.

This will be a higher turnout election, so it's hard to see that not being offset.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio: Mixed results for Hillary Clinton in match-ups against Republicans, PPP on: June 10, 2015, 05:01:30 pm
This poll polled 411 Republicans and 306 Democrats. Ohio was +7 D in the last presidential election.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VT-Gov: Shumlin not running on: June 08, 2015, 12:39:58 pm
Good. Maybe now Vermont can get single payer like it was supposed to before he ruined it.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Keys to the White House on: June 06, 2015, 11:49:26 am
Well according to me:
The democrats lost: Key 1, Key 3, Key 7, Key 11, Key 12
The democrats will get: Key 2, Key 4, Key 9, Key 10
Not sure: Key 5, Key 6, Key 13

So, it will depend about:
-the GOP candidate
-the economu

So I guess it will be a really tight election?

The Democrats would have #1 if it wasn't for gerrymandering. They have #7 (heath care reform) and #11 (bin Laden's takedown). Mark my words, they'll get #5, #6, and #13. The economic ones were largely because the economy was just so bad before Obama.
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California raises smoking age to 21 on: June 03, 2015, 10:30:45 am
Age of majority is 18. Period. Full stop.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: What explains Elliot County, KY? on: June 03, 2015, 09:52:12 am
Everyone here thinks Kentucky is like the Deep South. It isn't yet - and might not ever be.

Kentucky had some of the first civil rights laws in America, and it's never had a statewide "right-to-work" law yet - and might not ever.

Strom Thurmond, George Wallace, and Barry Goldwater were electorally demolished in this state.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: KY: 2015 Statewide Primary Results on: May 30, 2015, 05:33:19 pm
Where exactly has the Dem vote been rising in recent years? Louisville, Lexington, and... ?

Frankfort, some places in northern Kentucky, some places around Glasgow, and Woodford County.

Also known as the fast-growing areas.
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you describe Rand Paul's ideology? on: May 30, 2015, 09:31:17 am

Where do people get the idea that Rand Paul is libertarian? He not only supports "right-to-work" laws, but he also supports making them mandatory nationwide.
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