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December 10, 2016, 05:50:08 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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26  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: My new "We Are The 99%" tattoo on: November 01, 2016, 11:49:25 am
Anyone who, without an ounce of irony, uses the term "99%" is not a genuine leftist*.


*Of course I mean of the more radical variety, left-liberals and soc-dems are safe from this criticism

I'm an alt-left populist.
27  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: My new "We Are The 99%" tattoo on: November 01, 2016, 10:08:19 am
This is depressing for a slew of reasons.

But it's cool for many more reasons.
28  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should the House UnAmerican Activities Committee be reinstated? on: November 01, 2016, 06:13:41 am
Absolutely. And the first thing they should do is a thorough investigation of Trump and Stein.

For Trump, yes. I don't see why they need to go after Jill Stein.

I do think they need to go after Fox News and the Tea Party.
29  Forum Community / Forum Community / My new "We Are The 99%" tattoo on: November 01, 2016, 04:15:52 am
I have something new to display, because it's just so cool...



I just got this tattoo of "We Are The 99%", an unassailable slogan originated by the Occupy movement. It's an amateur tat, but it's permanent. Most tattoos are. Permanent as can be.

Isn't this cool?

I don't obsess over this tattoo, but a few people have, because it was just so cool. I sort of forgot it was there, until people brang it up yesterday.
30  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: If your ballot had IRV, how would you vote? on: November 01, 2016, 03:24:44 am
In this order:

Stein
Clinton
Johnson
Trump

Evan McMuffin might be on the Kentucky ballot too, but I guess I'd put him right ahead of Trump.
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Leg Predictions on: November 01, 2016, 03:14:29 am
In case anyone is interested in the power struggle over the last legislative chamber in the South still controlled by Democrats:

Kentucky Democrats, Republicans Pull Out All The Stops In Fight Over State House

By Ryland Barton
October 31, 2016


Quote
Lurking beneath the headlines of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton’s bids for president, there’s a battle waging for Kentucky’s state House of Representatives. Democrats have much to lose — it’s the last legislative chamber controlled by the party in any Southern state. Republicans have everything to gain — if they net four more seats, they’ll have power over the entire legislative process in Frankfort.

This has all happened before. Republicans crusaded for control of the state House in the 2014 and 2012 elections but came up short. And though Republicans have trounced Democrats in most federal races for about 20 years now, the state still has a preponderance of Democrats registered to vote and recent House elections have still shown Democratic bastions in rural parts of the state.

GOP leaders say this year is different because they fielded candidates in 91 of the 100 House district elections. And they say they have momentum after Republican Gov. Matt Bevin’s election last year, along with the advantage of having the state’s chief executive on fundraising duty for the state GOP and local candidates.

In one sense, House races are highly local affairs — each of Kentucky’s House districts represent about 43,000 people, giving candidates and legislators the opportunity to interact with a large number of their constituents and local officials in the area.

But this year, the battle seems to be more about personalities higher up the political food chain than it is about local candidates.

I wouldn't accept the results if the GOP did take control of the House.

My relationship partner has said it would be against her religion to have to follow the GOP's policies. We're supposed to have freedom of religion, but the Republicans deny it to anyone who dissents from their dominionist program.

Whatever our beliefs, it is our duty to fight the Kentucky GOP.

For what it's worth, the Republican candidate in our district dropped out of the race, leaving the Democratic incumbent unopposed.
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KY-Cygnal/RunSwitch: Trump +24 on: October 31, 2016, 09:58:06 am
It won't be +24, I'm pretty sure of that.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AK-Craciun Research: Clinton +4 on: October 29, 2016, 09:05:28 pm
Didn't I say Alaska was gonna be the sleeper state?
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY-Sen: Is Paul really vulnerable? on: October 24, 2016, 03:09:08 pm
I'm sure he's favored, since the right-wing media has swept his plagiarism scandal and other scandals under the rug.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Leg Predictions on: October 23, 2016, 04:09:24 pm
United Mine Workers just endorsed pretty much all Democrats in the Kentucky legislature (with very, very few exceptions). That should carry more weight than Donald Trump's big mouth, or The Media's bottomless GOP support.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Leg Predictions on: October 22, 2016, 03:02:38 pm
Wouldn't 2018 (as opposed to 2016) be a more logical year for them to pick up this chamber, and complete their takeover of every state legislature in the South?  

Considering the disaster that midterms always are, we might think so, except that assumes the GOP doesn't rip apart completely by then.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Leg Predictions on: October 21, 2016, 03:27:29 pm
I think Miles is fine. She won in a special election certainly, but I think she has established her incumbency for the 1.5 terms she has been there. I wasn't accounting for Gooch, did his party-switch not go over as well? Isn't it an R+ district?

I think Gooch's opponent is a high-profile county judge-exec.

Suzanne Miles's daddy was charged with rape, so that doesn't help:

http://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/crime/2016/09/06/former-uk-board-chair-billy-joe-miles-charged-rape/89934266

Not sure what makes the GOP great enough to gain many seats this time around.
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Leg Predictions on: October 21, 2016, 03:15:15 pm
I am certain the GOP will lose the one where the Democrat switched to Republican in the D+5 district.

I think the GOP is pretty much done in the district around Bardstown also.

There's a couple of GOP incumbents who very well may lose, namely Jim Gooch and Suzanne Miles and possibly even someone else who I forgot about.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: University of Nevada POTUS debate at 9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: October 19, 2016, 09:03:59 pm
Of course Trump is losing (he always does), but just not as spectacularly as I'd think.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cofounder Pulse (R) - KY: Trump + 3,4 on: October 18, 2016, 07:05:48 pm
What it actually means for all voters in November is completely debatable, but I don't see KY as being anywhere remotely close this election cycle, even if a ton of evangelicals stay home, coal country decides to put some clothespins on their noses and not completely abandon the Democratic Party because Trump is scary with a finger on the bomb, etc....

Problem for Trump is, I don't see any support for him on the ground (other than one Tea Party member who yelled to the police because some teenagers ripped down his Trump sign).
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cofounder Pulse (R) - KY: Trump + 3,4 on: October 18, 2016, 06:57:49 pm
Don't just write off this poll. A Google poll recently had Clinton slightly ahead in Kentucky. It could be close.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Do threats of violence from Trump supporters scare you? on: October 18, 2016, 09:26:46 am
No, because I've been forced to tolerate their violence around here for 30 years.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: SD: Google Consumer Surveys - Trump +17 on: October 17, 2016, 12:35:08 pm
Has anyone seen any polls on the "right-to-work" referendum in South Dakota?
44  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Fictional lookalikes of RL politicians on: October 10, 2016, 03:25:24 pm
Phil Gramm looked like the Cat in the Hat.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the VP debate? on: October 05, 2016, 04:20:19 pm
Maybe this is a Northeastern thing, but I have no idea why anyone would be bothered by someone interrupting a stupid person as he tells lie after lie. If I were in the same room as someone like Mike Pence, I'd talk over him too.

It's not just Northeastern. Pence deserved to be called out for his lies.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the VP debate? on: October 05, 2016, 11:32:58 am
Are you seriously trying to argue that Obama won the first 2012 debate?

Yes. He did. He very clearly did.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the VP debate? on: October 05, 2016, 10:29:44 am
Where do people get this ridiculous idea that Pence won? I'm not a Kaine guy, but if I knew nothing about the candidates beforehand, I'd say Kaine ran away with it.

This is like the Obama/Romney debate when everyone insisted Romney won even though he just wanted to talk about Big Bird and 'Sesame Street' the whole time.
Pence came across as well-prepared, honest, and well-spoken, while Kaine was very rude and interrupted every 2 or 3 minutes.

Pence lost the moment he complained about how rough Donald Trump had it in 1995.

Pence and Trump don't know what it's like to have it rough.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the VP debate? on: October 05, 2016, 09:55:43 am
Where do people get this ridiculous idea that Pence won? I'm not a Kaine guy, but if I knew nothing about the candidates beforehand, I'd say Kaine ran away with it.

This is like the Obama/Romney debate when everyone insisted Romney won even though he just wanted to talk about Big Bird and 'Sesame Street' the whole time.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Portraits of all the Presidents with punk rocker teeth? on: October 02, 2016, 11:42:21 am
...most punk rockers have normal teeth?

But the ones who have punk rocker teeth are even cooler.
50  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Portraits of all the Presidents with punk rocker teeth? on: October 01, 2016, 06:21:08 pm
Pzt! Papp! Challenge!

I'm coming up with another new goal. Just for the sheer uproariousness of it, I'd like to find portraits of all the Presidents and add punk rocker teeth to them. This project would include Democrats, Republicans, Whigs, and Federalists alike. It will not discriminate on the basis of political affiliation.

Punk rocker teeth are defined as crooked teeth that look cool.
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