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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How Coal Country is Voting (Images) on: May 18, 2016, 05:05:34 pm
Unless you live in Louisville, your county will probably go to Trump.

I'm certain Clinton will win the counties with Lexington and Frankfort.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How Coal Country is Voting (Images) on: May 18, 2016, 04:42:53 pm
How will non-coal areas in coal states vote? I live in a non-coal area in what is otherwise a coal state, and everyone I meet thinks Trump is a joke.
28  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Girl, 5, suspended for a bringing a "gun" to school on: May 18, 2016, 04:19:26 pm
I'd sue the school.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Oklahoma-Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates/Trump Maintains +20 Lead on: May 18, 2016, 04:13:49 pm
The big story is that this is a 13-point improvement for the Democrats.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Kentucky (D) and Oregon on: May 18, 2016, 10:57:19 am
But no "uncommitted"? That's a pity. I wonder in whose favor conservative misogynists would decide if they could choose between Bernie and none.
Or does anyone know if a blank ballots counts as "uncommitted"?

No "uncommitted."

That's strange? Where do the "uncommitted" votes come from?

I have no idea, but there was definitely no "uncommitted" on the paper ballot I was given.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump win Elliott County, KY in the general election? on: May 18, 2016, 10:48:43 am
Clinton didn't lose eastern Kentucky in the primary by nearly the margins she lost in southern West Virginia. This whole "war on coal" lie that the Far Right keeps pushing might be starting to backfire, if it hasn't already.
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Kentucky (D) and Oregon on: May 17, 2016, 04:38:54 pm
But no "uncommitted"? That's a pity. I wonder in whose favor conservative misogynists would decide if they could choose between Bernie and none.
Or does anyone know if a blank ballots counts as "uncommitted"?

No "uncommitted."
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Kentucky (D) and Oregon on: May 17, 2016, 04:14:32 pm
2.) Do you happen to know if the Democrats can vote for "uncommitted" in Kentucky, like four years ago?

I voted in Kentucky today. The ballot had Sanders, Clinton, O'Malley, and some person I've never heard of before.

Maybe Rocky de la Fuente Guerra?

I think so.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Kentucky (D) and Oregon on: May 17, 2016, 04:00:59 pm
2.) Do you happen to know if the Democrats can vote for "uncommitted" in Kentucky, like four years ago?

I voted in Kentucky today. The ballot had Sanders, Clinton, O'Malley, and some person I've never heard of before.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NM-PPP: Clinton +8%, Johnson in double digits on: May 17, 2016, 11:25:10 am
Anyone who thinks New Mexico will be that close is delusional.
36  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Southern Ohio vs. Northern Kentucky on: May 16, 2016, 10:53:32 pm
Lewis County was Republican even when neighboring Kentucky counties were Democratic. I'm not sure why.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump win Elliott County, KY in the general election? on: May 16, 2016, 10:57:49 am
A New York billionaire isn't exactly a good fit for Elliott County.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Kentucky (D) and Oregon on: May 15, 2016, 12:35:36 pm
I think Kentucky will be Sanders +3.

Clinton can forget Oregon.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump get more newspaper endorsements than Romney? on: May 14, 2016, 11:39:56 pm
I honestly imagine that some previously loyal Republican newspapers will defect and endorse Clinton this cycle.  I mean, the guy is just totally unfit to be president. 

It's not as if Bush was really very fit, but they endorsed him anyway. But at least Bush had some experience as a public official (even if he accomplished nothing positive).
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: To the people hating on "racist", self-interest ignoring West Virginia... on: May 14, 2016, 11:15:08 pm
My experience has been that rich whites are much more racist than poor whites. That's based on what I see in suburban Cincinnati, where the conservative base is mostly made up of people with a lot of money who try to act like they're smarter than everyone else, but aren't really.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Trump get more newspaper endorsements than Romney? on: May 14, 2016, 11:02:38 pm
Newspapers loved Romney. In fact, in every presidential election going back for years and years, the Republican nominee wins a majority of newspaper endorsements (even when the GOP loses the election handily).

But will Donald Trump get more newspaper endorsements than Romney got in 2012? I know there's a perception that newspapers represent the "uptown GOP" that probably wouldn't be as keen on supporting a reality show candidacy, but I think Trump will get about as many newspaper endorsements as Romney did.

Let's face it, The Media loves the guy.
42  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 14, 2016, 11:01:42 am
The legislation he's helped get passed in CT is very progressive:

Didn't he allow Paul Vallas to destroy the Bridgeport school system?
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama mandates All Public Schools to let Trans students use bathroom of choice on: May 13, 2016, 12:38:43 pm
I support this order.

I hope he also issues an executive order abolishing mandatory uniforms in public schools.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 13, 2016, 08:37:21 am
What's the deal with Dan Malloy?

He's sort of a Clinton/DLC type, not really a progressive.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 12, 2016, 10:02:52 pm
It occurred to me after posting that, by moving the Gubernatorial election to the Presidential year, Gubernatorial candidates would get linked to the national party, which might well be a bad thing. Does anyone know if Democratic Senate candidates have faired any better in Presidential years?

In 2004 and 2008, the Democrats nearly pulled off upsets, so yes.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 12, 2016, 09:16:09 pm
The State Legislature is trying to change Statewide elections to Presidential years, is it not? That cold really help Andy Beshear.

A few lawmakers wanted to do it. It might help Democrats by increasing turnout, but it might help Republicans by bringing in more national money.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 12, 2016, 07:30:11 pm
Figures Kentucky would get some buyer's remorse. It doesn't matter, though. Bevin will still win re-election.

What if Andy Beshear runs?

He'd win.
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 12, 2016, 04:17:54 pm
Brownback is the least popular in the country, with a 26-65 approval rating. He still got re-elected. Bevin likely will as well.

...if the Republican Party even still exists in 2019.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Matt Bevin's approval numbers are in the toilet on: May 12, 2016, 04:07:45 pm
About Matt Bevin's approval numbers: They're in the toilet...

https://morningconsult.com/state-governor-rankings

This story has of course not been picked up by the Kentucky media.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Democratic WV state senate candidate gets beaten up and nearly killed on: May 12, 2016, 12:52:03 pm
I think I'd rather have poor Appalachian counties than rich suburbs in my party. Probably most policies are enacted by the states, where rural areas dominate the legislatures. And wasn't it the rich suburbs that fueled the DLC ruining the Democrats in the first place?
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