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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Would you trust Trump with his finger on the nuclear trigger? on: May 02, 2016, 10:36:52 am
Why would I trust Vladimir Putin's surrogate candidate with anything, let alone having his finger on the nuclear trigger?
27  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you a macho man? on: May 02, 2016, 12:08:04 am
I am 5'3" tall, weigh about 135-140 pounds, I lift my weight at the gym (when I am without assistance -I can lift more if I have a spotter), and I eat plenty of meat and vegetables (supplemented by chocolate milk protein shakes after a work-out).  

But I have posted here regularly for about ten years, so I lean 'no'.    Tongue
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary? on: May 01, 2016, 11:39:05 pm
Toss-up to a lean pick-up for the Democrats. 
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Willing to Work with Sanders on Shaping Democratic Platform on: May 01, 2016, 11:36:33 pm
It's so annoying to see people move the goalposts to make their guy look better. Seriously, he lost. Nearly 3.2 million votes down, but he energized the party so he won? Apparently not enough for them to actually get out and vote. Unless they all did, and yet he still lost, which is even more sad. Get real.

Agreed. Hillary trying to satisfy and understand the needs of all in the Democratic party is frankly disgusting. Those 9 Million and 2/3rd's of caucuses are all not needed in Hillary's great plan, actually anyone that likes Bernie should be banned from voting. Hillary only needs true Democrats like Mark Warner and Evan Bayh to win.

Hillary Clinton has been moved to the left, placing her right where Bernie Sanders wants her. So yes, he has won.

Has she?  She may have given in on international trade and on Wall Street regulations, but when it comes to single-payer and other issues, she has (more or less) held her ground.  
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Process / Re: How would you reform the primary system? on: May 01, 2016, 11:26:56 pm
I would change it to a rotating regional primary system, and removing all the caucuses (with the possible exception of Iowa) by changing them to primaries instead.  Apart from that, I'm fine with what we've got.  The proportional system as far as pledged delegates goes is a very nice feature, and one I have no desire to fiddle with. 

And the super-delegates (as much as they are criticized) is a fail-safe that keeps our primaries from turning into a circus the way the GOP has.        
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Hillary Willing to Work with Sanders on Shaping Democratic Platform on: May 01, 2016, 11:01:19 pm
Clinton: I'm happy to work with Sanders on shaping the platform

By Daniel Strauss
05/01/16 09:40 AM EDT


Quote
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said she looks forward to working with Sen. Bernie Sanders on a progressive Democratic Party platform in the lead-up to the party's national convention in Philadelphia.

Clinton, speaking in an interview with CNN's Jake Tapper on Sunday's "State of the Union," said she is open to working with her rival on a liberal platform.

"I certainly look forward to working with Sen. Sanders in the lead-up to the convention, in the lead-up to the platform that will represent the Democratic Party," Clinton said. "It will be a progressive platform. I've run on a progressive agenda. I really welcome his ideas and his passion and commitment, because the most important thing" is winning in November.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/clinton-sanders-democrats-platform-222679#ixzz47T3YllZE
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton/Warren (D) vs. Trump/Webb (R) on: May 01, 2016, 05:22:51 pm
OK simple question: If Webb is such a game changer why wasn't he able to poll even above the margin of error?
He didn't have the platform because he showed up at the wrong debate. He'd be the perfect foil for Trump - experience in elected office, service under Reagan and outstanding military record. They're both mainline Protestant, share populist ideology, have foreign-born wives and have cross-party appeal. At the very least, he'd make a fine surrogate.

Republicans would've liked this?

pro-choice Democrat with a liberal voting record who supported Obamacare and endorsed/campaigned for Obama twice?

If they are willing to forgive and overlook Donald Trump's many lapses from conservative orthodoxy just so they can stick it to 'The Establishment', why not Jim Webb's?  

Some of them are. There's heavy resistance to Trump among the movement conservatives, evangelicals, the establishment, etc. for that very reason. Picking Webb as a VP would alienate them even further. And if Webb ran as a Republican to begin with, Trump would've already sucked up all that oxygen anyway.

Besides, let's not forget that Trump got his fame among Republicans for his birtherism. He might've been a liberal at certain points, but that pales in comparison to voting for Obamacare or outright endorsing the communist Muslim twice.

What you say makes sense, but Trump has already stated that he doesn't give a damn whether they support him or not.  So that leads me to think that he is definitely open to picking a running-mate as unorthodox as himself. 
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton/Warren (D) vs. Trump/Webb (R) on: May 01, 2016, 05:02:10 pm
OK simple question: If Webb is such a game changer why wasn't he able to poll even above the margin of error?
He didn't have the platform because he showed up at the wrong debate. He'd be the perfect foil for Trump - experience in elected office, service under Reagan and outstanding military record. They're both mainline Protestant, share populist ideology, have foreign-born wives and have cross-party appeal. At the very least, he'd make a fine surrogate.

Republicans would've liked this?

pro-choice Democrat with a liberal voting record who supported Obamacare and endorsed/campaigned for Obama twice?

If they are willing to forgive and overlook Donald Trump's many lapses from conservative orthodoxy just so they can stick it to 'The Establishment', why not Jim Webb's?  
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Ted Cruz May Not Win Even in a Contested Convention on: May 01, 2016, 01:08:55 pm
Ted Cruz’s Support Softens Among the Delegates He Courted

By JEREMY W. PETERS
MAY 1, 2016


Quote
Even as Donald J. Trump trounced him from New Hampshire to Florida to Arizona, Senator Ted Cruz could reassure himself with one crucial advantage: He was beating Mr. Trump in the obscure, internecine delegate fights that could end up deciding the Republican nomination for president.

“This is how elections are won in America,” Mr. Cruz gloated after walking away with the most delegates in Wyoming.

But it turns out that delegates — like ordinary voters — are susceptible to shifts in public opinion. And as the gravitational pull of Mr. Trump’s recent primary landslides draws more Republicans toward him, Mr. Cruz’s support among the party’s 2,472 convention delegates is softening, threatening his hopes of preventing Mr. Trump’s nomination by overtaking him in a floor fight.

With each delegate Mr. Trump claims, he gets closer to the 1,237 he needs to clinch the nomination outright, and Mr. Cruz’s chances of stopping him — even if he pulls out a victory in Tuesday’s Indiana primary — shrink.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton/Warren (D) vs. Trump/Webb (R) on: April 30, 2016, 09:59:49 pm
Everyone if Webb actually had a following amongst these supposed conservative working class Democrats he would've been able to poll more than the margin of error in any poll. He is irrelevant. Totally and completely. He's also probably the third most responsible person for the passage of Obamacare (after the late Arlen Specter and Al Franken) so yeah, not exactly the best choice to win over disaffected conservatives.

Way to contradict yourself in one paragraph. 
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton/Warren (D) vs. Trump/Webb (R) on: April 30, 2016, 07:51:32 pm
Won't happen.

Trump doesn't care about GOP unity, so why wouldn't he pick Jim Webb?  And as for Hillary, I wouldn't rule her out doing the unexpected (like Bill did with Al Gore in 1992) and doubling down with another woman on the ticket.  
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is the Republican party a racist party? on: April 30, 2016, 07:42:39 pm
I'm unwilling to say that it is, if only because there are some good-hearted Republicans (including on this forum) who I know are not racist, but at the same time many of the policies advocated have Lee Atwater's insidious imprint on them.   

Yes, of course there are good people in the Republican party. Though what this election has shown is that they are not the heart and soul of the party, the racists are. That is what I am pointing out.

I get that, but if I start saying the Republican Party as a whole is racist, then I am in effect calling them racist as well. 
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is the Republican party a racist party? on: April 30, 2016, 07:34:09 pm
I'm unwilling to say that it is, if only because there are some good-hearted Republicans (including on this forum) who I know are not racist, but at the same time many of the policies advocated have Lee Atwater's insidious imprint on them.   
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Clinton/Warren (D) vs. Trump/Webb (R) on: April 30, 2016, 07:21:40 pm
Let's suppose Jim Webb does a Zell Miller (he already has made clear he prefers Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton), and becomes Trump's running-mate. 

How would the race play out between the two tickets? 
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary's VP list comes down to these five, which one should she choose? on: April 30, 2016, 01:11:25 pm
I am not seeing how Hillary selecting Elizabeth Warren would alienate anyone who wasn't already planning on voting against her. 
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Has Trump essentially won the Republican nomination? on: April 30, 2016, 01:04:33 pm
Yes -even if Ted Cruz wins Indiana (which is in question), he is merely staving off the inevitable. 
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary's VP list comes down to these five, which one should she choose? on: April 30, 2016, 12:52:45 pm
Lizzy. 
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When does Hillary clinch the nomination? on: April 30, 2016, 12:09:01 pm
Well if this were a football game we are in the third quarter, if we look at it in terms of each quarter having about 1/4 of the delegates, then the first quarter ended on Super Tuesday 3/1, the second Quarter ended on Super Tuesday 3/15. The third quarter ends on 4/26.

The score so far is:

CandidateQ1Q2Q3Q4TOTAL
Clinton606566136-1308
Sanders415444237-1096
Remaining--63110161647

Sanders was 313 'points' behind at halftime and he has been doing well in the third quarter so far. If he wins 60 more delegates than Clinton from the remaining states in the third quarter (NY, PA, CT, DE, MD, RI) then you could argue he is on pace to win the game. But to extend the metaphor, Sanders is going to need Clinton to start fumbling and throwing interceptions for him to actually win more delegates out of those 6 states.  
 
If Sanders is still over 200 'points' behind at the end of the quarter (4/26), it doesn't look good for him to win the game.

I love this post....   Smiley
44  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion: Corbyn vs the Pigdiddler on: April 30, 2016, 11:34:54 am
Could this be the next Labour PM?

Muslim’s Labour Candidacy Shapes London Mayoral Race

By STEPHEN CASTLE
APRIL 30, 2016


LONDON —
Quote
The son of a London bus driver, Sadiq Khan has had a remarkable rise into the upper echelons of British politics. He grew up with seven siblings in a three-bedroom home in public housing and attended state schools before becoming a human rights lawyer and then a senior government minister.

Now Mr. Khan, 45, a lawmaker and former transport minister for the opposition Labour Party, is the favorite in the battle to become the next mayor of London. He would succeed Boris Johnson, the extroverted Conservative who has held the post since 2008 and is a leading figure in the campaign for Britain’s departure from the European Union.

A victory on Thursday would make Mr. Khan the first Muslim to lead the city, where one in eight residents adheres to that faith, and when Britain is struggling to integrate minorities and combat radicalization.

Londoners have elected their mayor directly only since 2000, and just two politicians have held the post: Mr. Johnson and Ken Livingstone, who ran as an independent in 2000 and then for Labour in 2004.

Mr. Khan’s election would be a boost for the Labour Party at a time when Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservatives are deeply divided on Europe. It would also probably strengthen the position of Labour’s left-wing leader, Jeremy Corbyn, who is at odds with many of his own lawmakers, and whose leadership has been embroiled in a dispute about anti-Semitism in party ranks.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Trump Sees Little Need to Unite the GOP Behind His Candidacy on: April 30, 2016, 11:16:06 am
Mocking Critics, Donald Trump Says He Can Win Without Republican Unity

By JONATHAN MARTIN and ADAM NAGOURNEY
APRIL 29, 2016


Quote
(...) Rather, he wrestled with whether he wanted to begin healing the fractured party he was seeking to lead. Mr. Trump, the Republican front-runner in the presidential race, mocked his conservative critics and his current and former rivals as dumb, “disgusting” and losers. He claimed at least twice that he could win even if the party did not come together. And with some conservatives still uneasy about his beliefs, he breezily dismissed questions about his principles.

“Folks, I’m a conservative, but at this point, who cares? We got to straighten out the country,” he said at a subdued luncheon of party activists who seemed more curious about seeing a celebrity than enthusiastic about their potential presidential nominee.

During the same speech, though, he called for party unity to defeat Hillary Clinton, the likely Democratic standard-bearer.

Mr. Trump’s remarks offered a vivid illustration of the current state of his campaign: As he edges closer to the nomination, he is under pressure to curb his hard-edged language and exude a more statesmanlike demeanor. But the continuing attacks from other Republicans plainly rankle him, and he appears to have little appetite to make peace with his critics.
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Gender-Based Wage Disparities are Widening for Younger Workers on: April 28, 2016, 07:58:28 pm
When men make much more than women right after college

By Danielle Paquette
April 28 at 6:37 PM


Quote
Pay disparities between men and women start earlier in their careers than frequently assumed and have significantly widened for young workers in the past year, according to a report from the Economic Policy Institute.

Paychecks for young female college graduates are about 79 percent as large as those of their  male peers, the think tank found — a serious drop from 84 percent last year.

The sudden change follows a more gradual shift. In 2000, women ages 21 to 24 with college degrees earned 92 percent of their male counterparts’ wages on average, which was unchanged from 1990.

Regardless of their education, young women typically earn less money than young men in the United States. Female high-school graduates, ages 21 to 24, now earn an average of 92 cents for every dollar paid to their male counterparts.

Some have argued that the wage gap, at any stage of a woman’s life, starts with her choices. Women are more likely than men to scale back at work when they start a family, for instance. (Employers are also more likely to reward fathers and penalize mothers.) But EPI's data shows that the gender wage gap cracks open right after college graduation, well before decisions like maternity leave can affect women’s earnings.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton Campaign legitimately printing woman cards on: April 28, 2016, 06:01:31 pm
Just so everyone knows the context since you all are doing a very good job pretending you've forgotten already:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/26/politics/election-2016-clinton-trump-women/
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton Campaign legitimately printing woman cards on: April 28, 2016, 05:46:57 pm
If I were a woman, I'd be clamoring for one too. 
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump? on: April 28, 2016, 05:35:55 pm
Easily, and the more people get spooked about Trump's chances of winning the election (he won't get close, but whatevs) the more likely she'll reach it.  The worst thing would be for everyone to think she has it in the bag, and not bother to vote. 
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Best Trump VP? on: April 28, 2016, 05:20:14 pm
If he is half as crafty as his supporters make him out to be, Jim Webb would be a very good pick for him.
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