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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: Public Policy Institute of CA: Brown+16 on: October 25, 2014, 01:21:03 pm
When Governor Jerry Brown is re-elected, he will owe his victory primarily to his popularity among Latinos -Kashkari is at least running even with him among whites.  

Well, this poll has Kashkari ahead by 1 point with whites.

Yes?  A one point lead that is obviously within the margin of error.  Hence, even. 

The Field poll has Brown ahead 11 points among whites, but it's a few months older than this one. YouGov (which is terrible, but slim pickings for CA polls) has Brown ahead 12 among whites.

Interesting info -between Field and PPI, which poll firm is more reliable in your view?
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: Public Policy Institute of CA: Brown+16 on: October 25, 2014, 01:11:29 pm
When Governor Jerry Brown is re-elected, he will owe his victory primarily to his popularity among Latinos -Kashkari is at least running even with him among whites.  
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: October 25, 2014, 12:40:37 pm
It doesn't help Grimes that more Kentuckians are identifying themselves as Republicans as opposed to Democrats for the first time ever:

29  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Snowguy's Climate Change Discussion Thread on: October 25, 2014, 12:31:08 pm
So why is the Earth still 2 to 3 degrees cooler than it was three million years ago despite having equivalent levels of CO2?  Changes in oceanic circulation is a big reason why:

Past Climate Change Was Caused by the Ocean, Not Just the Atmosphere, New Rutgers Study Finds

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Most of the concerns about climate change have focused on the amount of greenhouse gases that have been released into the atmosphere.

But in a new study published in Science, a group of Rutgers researchers have found that circulation of the ocean plays an equally important role in regulating the earth’s climate.

In their study, the researchers say the major cooling of Earth and continental ice build-up in the Northern Hemisphere 2.7 million years ago coincided with a shift in the circulation of the ocean – which pulls in heat and carbon dioxide in the Atlantic and moves them through the deep ocean from north to south until it’s released in the Pacific.

The ocean conveyor system, Rutgers scientists believe, changed at the same time as a major expansion in the volume of the glaciers in the northern hemisphere as well as a substantial fall in sea levels. It was the Antarctic ice, they argue, that cut off heat exchange at the ocean's surface and forced it into deep water. They believe this caused global climate change at that time, not carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.

“We argue that it was the establishment of the modern deep ocean circulation – the ocean conveyor – about 2.7 million years ago, and not a major change in carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere that triggered an expansion of the ice sheets in the northern hemisphere,” says Stella Woodard, lead author and a post-doctoral researcher in the Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences. Their findings, based on ocean sediment core samples between 2.5 million to 3.3 million years old, provide scientists with a deeper understanding of the mechanisms of climate change today.
30  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Modern Humans Interbred with Neanderthals According to 45,000 Year-Old Genome on: October 24, 2014, 12:10:15 am
So whenever someone clearly of European descent starts jabbering about the superiority of the 'white race', point this out.  Like it or not, being considered part-Neanderthal is derogatory. 
31  General Politics / International General Discussion / EU Reaches Deal to Cut Greenhouse Gas Emissions on: October 24, 2014, 12:05:07 am
European Leaders Agree on Targets to Fight Climate Change

OCT. 23, 2014

BRUSSELS — The 28 leaders of the European Union agreed early on Friday on targets for protecting the climate and generating greener power despite deep divisions among their nations over how to produce energy.

The main target that won approval was a pledge to slash emissions by at least 40 percent, compared with 1990 levels, by 2030.

The new target “will ensure that Europe will be an important player, will be an important party, in future binding commitments of an international climate agreement,” Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, said at an early-morning news conference.

The accord makes the European Union the first major global emitter to put its position on the table ahead of an important United Nations climate meeting in Paris at the end of 2015.

The bloc also agreed on a target of generating at least 27 percent of its energy from renewable sources, a goal that will be binding at the European Union level but not the national level. A separate target for improving energy efficiency by at least 27 percent was “indicative” only, meaning it would not be binding even at the bloc level. Both of those targets raised questions about their enforceability.
32  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Modern Humans Interbred with Neanderthals According to 45,000 Year-Old Genome on: October 22, 2014, 11:07:51 pm
Man’s Genome From 45,000 Years Ago Is Reconstructed

Scientists have reconstructed the genome of a man who lived 45,000 years ago, by far the oldest genetic record ever obtained from modern humans. The research, published on Wednesday in the journal Nature, provided new clues to the expansion of modern humans from Africa about 60,000 years ago, when they moved into Europe and Asia.

And the genome, extracted from a fossil thighbone found in Siberia, added strong support to a provocative hypothesis: Early humans interbred with Neanderthals.

“It’s irreplaceable evidence of what once existed that we can’t reconstruct from what people are now,” said John Hawks, a paleoanthropologist at the University of Wisconsin who was not involved in the study. “It speaks to us with information about a time that’s lost to us.”

The discoveries were made by a team of scientists led by Svante Paabo, a geneticist at the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology in Leipzig, Germany. Over the past three decades, Dr. Paabo and his colleagues have developed tools for plucking out fragments of DNA from fossils and reading their sequences.
33  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How partisan are you in your voting? on: October 22, 2014, 10:51:39 pm
With the exception of local races, I have been voting straight Dem since 2004.   
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Republicans pick up the senate, what would actually happen? on: October 22, 2014, 09:05:08 pm
If Republicans pick up the senate in two weeks, what will they actually accomplish in 2015/16? That is, besides appointing a conservative justice or two and making a whole bunch of joke proposals that get filibustered out of existence. In other words, what can a united congress get past Obama's desk that the current divided congress can't?



You do realize that Barack Obama is still President of the United States, right? 

And to respond to the OP, to take an optimistic view, a number of things could get done with a Republican Congress and a Democratic President -just not to the liking of the most liberal of Democrats here. 

Of the things that could get accomplished, completing the Keystone pipeline is the most obvious.  And there is a chance (however unlikely it may seem now) that President Obama could get trade promotion authority, with which he could get the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership trade agreements through Congress on a straight up-or-down vote without amendments. 
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / GOP Positioned for Midterm Sweep -National Journal on: October 22, 2014, 07:23:51 pm
Running Against Obama, Republicans Positioned for Midterm Sweep:
Most of the battleground Senate races are trending in the GOP's direction, while Democrats are playing defense in the House.

October 20, 2014

All told, the cascading number of controversies and scandals in the president's second term has fed into the perception that this administration is out of its depth in doing its primary job: managing government. And that's not good for Democrats, both the party in power and the party associated with an activist federal government. The dominant theme in the campaign's final month is Democratic Senate candidates struggling to distance themselves from the president, from Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor's awkward assessment of the president's handling of the Ebola crisis to Kentucky Senate candidate Alison Lundergan Grimes's refusal to discuss whom she voted for in the 2012 election.

Republicans now are positioned to net between six and nine Senate seats in the upcoming midterms, with the higher end looking more likely. Most of the battleground Senate contests are now either trending in a Republican direction or remaining stable with a GOP advantage. Trailing in the North Carolina Senate race throughout much of the fall, Republican Thom Tillis has lately put Sen. Kay Hagan on the defensive by connecting her to the president's management of the ISIS threat and the outbreak of Ebola. In Colorado, GOP Rep. Cory Gardner has led in all of the six public polls released in October, with leads ranging from 2 to 6 points. Early voting data out of Iowa is looking favorable for Republican Joni Ernst, consistent with public polls showing her with a small advantage. The Cook Political Report recently moved the New Hampshire race between Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown into toss-up status, indicative of polling showing Shaheen still ahead but with a rapidly narrowing lead. Outside of Kansas, political analyst Stuart Rothenberg now has Republicans holding an edge in all the red-state races, reflecting a nationalized environment against the party in power.

Democrats are hoping to upend the rough environment in conservative states like Kansas, Georgia, and South Dakota. All those GOP-held seats feature Republican candidates who have run weak races. Thanks to effective ads targeting David Perdue's history of outsourcing (and his ham-handed responses to the attacks), Democrat Michelle Nunn holds the momentum in the Georgia Senate race, though it's still likely to head into a January runoff. A late Democratic investment in South Dakota is keeping the four-way race competitive, but GOP reinforcements should push former Republican Gov. Mike Rounds over the finish line. Even Sen. Pat Roberts of Kansas, who has run a dismal campaign, has gotten some late traction against independent candidate Greg Orman, thanks to a flurry of outside GOP involvement. In a neutral environment, Democrats would hold a good shot at an upset or two. But in a nationalized midterm, Republicans should catch breaks in states where the fundamentals favor them.

36  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California High-Speed Rail Thread on: October 22, 2014, 06:59:40 pm
China is taking an interest in California's effort to jumpstart its high speed rail network, and wants to sell its high speed rail trains to the Golden State

Should we accept the offer? 
37  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Sleep problem, is this what's going on? on: October 22, 2014, 06:48:54 pm
opebo is not worth losing sleep over.  
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: October 21, 2014, 06:55:39 pm
Here are all the promises Labour is making in detail -which do you think they will most likely accomplish assuming they win back the government next month?
39  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Our President continues to be the best on: October 21, 2014, 06:37:13 pm
Our capitalist media reports on fluffy human interest stories rather than the destruction caused by rapacious predatory capitalism. Typical.

Oh stop.

Being a Marxist means breaking from the liberal-humanist frame of mind. It was hard for me and it will be hard for you.
Or you could just quit trying to be a Marxist and be normal you know?


Seconded.  Whenever you feel like dropping this pseudo-Marxist act of yours, Snowstalker, you let us know.  It's no longer entertaining -it's just irritating.  It's making me miss the old you, back when you were just another left-wing Democrat with a populist bent.

Remember this?
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / 2020 is the Election Democrats Should Really Be Focusing On..... on: October 21, 2014, 06:03:32 pm
Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020

08/26/14 07:34 AM—UPDATED 08/27/14 09:55 AM
By Benjy Sarlin

As President Obama’s second term winds down and Hillary Clinton’s likely presidential campaign winds up, it feels like the 2016 election is drawing even more attention than the upcoming midterm races.

But there’s another election increasingly on the minds of Democratic lawmakers, party operatives, big money donors, and progressive activists: 2020. That’s the year voters will elect state lawmakers who will redraw congressional and state legislative districts all over the country.

Last week, the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee announced it would commit at least $70 million to Advantage 2020, a program aimed at targeting legislative chambers in key states over the next four election cycles with the specific aim of influencing redistricting. The plan calls on Democrats to invest resources not just in state chambers the party has a shot at winning this November, but in legislatures where they might have a chance at slowly eroding a GOP majority over time thanks to demographic trends.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which "Clinton but not Obama" states could Hillary carry in 2016? on: October 21, 2014, 05:57:48 pm
They're all too far gone at this point.  At least the ones on this list. 

I can see why one would argue that for most of those (even Arkansas), but Missouri? Obama lost it by 0.1% in 2008, and Hillary is a far better fit for the state than he is. Yes, he lost it by 9 points in 2012, but he also didn't even try to contest it.

I am not saying she shouldn't compete for them -particularly Missouri.  I am simply saying she shouldn't expect to win them.  Which was the question posed, was it not?
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which "Clinton but not Obama" states could Hillary carry in 2016? on: October 21, 2014, 04:57:54 pm
They're all too far gone at this point.  At least the ones on this list. 
43  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Oregon Measure 90 (2014) on: October 21, 2014, 04:51:18 pm
Vote 'yes' -we can thank the closed primary for helping contribute to the polarization we see today.  Anything that can cut down on the partisan rancor is much appreciated.   
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Legislatures in Play on: October 20, 2014, 09:50:04 pm

Is there an updated version of that, now that Election Day is only a couple of weeks away?

Not that I've seen, but RRH had a good post today about state legislatures.

Thanks!  Smiley

 I was hoping for something more extensive like that article you posted a month ago, but beggars can't be choosers, I guess. 
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: State Legislatures in Play on: October 19, 2014, 06:38:57 pm

Is there an updated version of that, now that Election Day is only a couple of weeks away?
46  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you think this FORUM ... on: October 19, 2014, 12:01:58 pm
I think we'll be fine this November -it's only a midterm election.  I don't recall anything disastrous happening to this site in 2010.  For presidential elections, I am a little less optimistic about 2016 if 2012 is anything to go by....    Tongue
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Alabama treats inmates like Victorian debtors at best, stray animals at worst on: October 19, 2014, 10:43:30 am
The American prison system practices amoralist treatment of inmates? No way.

So, what would you do? The state has to signal its disapproval of the actions of criminals (in a way that is easy for everybody to understand), thus, naturally, prisons must be unpleasant places to be. Far from being a violation or dereliction of duty, these prisons are in fact performing to a tee the role that prisons should perform; that is, to be hard, nasty places of punishment and suffering for the inmates.

Not all inmates are alike.  Not all of them are there for the most heinous offenses that you're probably envisioning (rape, murder, child molestation, etc.).   For the purpose of this conversation this is assuming, of course, that everyone who is in prison is there because they deserve to be there -and that law enforcement caught the right man in every one of those cases.  Prisons should be places of punishment for those inmates who are truly forsaken, certainly, but for those inmates who can be redeemed, rehabilitation as well.  

So is this really the right way to go about it?  Especially considering that many prisoners are there for nothing more serious than drug offenses?  
48  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you enjoy seeing politicians getting spanked? on: October 18, 2014, 11:35:32 am
KCDem -find yourself a BDSM club near you, and leave us alone.

49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: VA: Gillespie canceling his ads, apparently out of money on: October 16, 2014, 10:49:58 pm
Yes, in Northern Virginia.  He's still running ads elsewhere in the state.  There's no need to be misleading.  
50  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California High-Speed Rail Thread on: October 16, 2014, 10:42:47 pm
The saga of high speed rail in California bears an uncomfortably close resemblance to that of Obamacare:

High Court Clears California Bullet Train But Problems Remain
Posted: 10/16/2014 8:37 am EDT Updated: 10/16/2014 8:59 am EDT

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California will forge ahead with plans to build the nation's first bullet train by buying land in the Central Valley and demolishing buildings in the path of the $68 billion rail line after the state Supreme Court decided not to hear an appeal from opponents of the project.

The California Supreme Court's decision Wednesday to reject an appeal of a lower court ruling allowing Gov. Jerry Brown's signature transportation project to proceed was another win for the beleaguered project that has suffered repeated legal setbacks.

Demolition and engineering work has already begun around Fresno, one of the hubs on the first 28-mile stretch of high-speed rail planned for the Central Valley, but the agency is far behind schedule in acquiring all the land needed to actually begin construction, and the state has only found a fraction of the money needed before tracks will be installed.
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