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October 25, 2014, 07:24:37 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How did you/will you actually vote this year? on: Today at 04:40:22 pm
If I actually registered (I didn't for financial reasons) I would vote like this:

Governor: Tom Ervin (I)
Senator: Thomas Ravenel (I)

Senator (Special): Tim Scott (R)
Representative: Jeff Duncan (R)


Does South Carolina have poll taxes?!?

$47 per ballot minus 52 cents per year that you have been a lawfully registered voter.

The additional $5 for a valid ID if one does not have one is offset by a refund offered by the State, although you do have to pay the postage to mail in the forms to get the $5 refund.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How did you/will you actually vote this year? on: Today at 03:02:51 pm
WA-2 Representative: Rick Larsen (D)
Initiative 1351: YES
Initiative 591: NO
Initiative 594: YES
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: HI: Star-Advertiser/HNN Hawaii Poll (by Ward Research): Schatz +51 on: Today at 02:47:54 pm
I suppose Schatz is the incumbent Senator and Hawaii loves to re-elect its Senators in blow-outs.  I still have a hard time believing that he is ahead by over 50 (or even 40) points.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10 on: Today at 02:45:45 pm
I don't know why many here are so quick to pile on the very idea of Begich even pulling off a re-election when he generally led until a couple of months ago, has never trailed by that much, and has developed ties with the Native community (which I assume are a part of why Alaska is so difficult to accurately poll).  He is one of the better bets for a victory that will be unpredicted by the polls, if you are looking for one, IMO.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Keating Research (D): Udall +1 on: Today at 02:42:00 pm
Keating is one of the most accurate pollsters in CO.

Click on Lief's quote and read the thread.

That doesn't make it not an internal.

That is not being disputed by anyone.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cotton or Hagan- who is in better shape? on: Today at 02:36:41 pm
They both seem like they're in pretty good shape to me.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Mark Udall (D-CO) survives, what will be the factor that did it? on: Today at 02:33:46 pm
All of this talk of superior ground game in Colorado will be put to the test, that's for sure.

I'm growing less confident by the day on this one, as it feels like the last reason to think Udall can survive is because Bennet outperformed his polling in 2010.  There's no reason to necessarily assume that will happen again (although I do recall the polls in 2012 being off as well, come to think of it).
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If you thought Obama's response to Ebola hasn't been ideal... on: October 24, 2014, 07:17:36 pm
It might be worth noting however that Reagan advocated against a California ballot measure that would have prohibited homosexuals from serving as public school teachers, which only failed narrowly.  (Then-President Carter also spoke out against it.)  Whatever backbone he had as a California politician on this issue clearly evaporated as he adopted a decidedly anti-humanitarian attitude of neglect towards AIDS due to stereotypes of its victims.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: Drudge Report: BROWN LOSING on: October 24, 2014, 06:29:26 pm
Also, Brown can still probably win whites anyway.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: will bushie actually practice with autocadd? on: October 24, 2014, 06:10:46 pm
Will cats learn Swahili?  Will there be a breakthrough in which we learn that farts could prevent global warming?  Can Burger King start selling Pepsi products instead of Coke?
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Simple Truths Silver Mine on: October 24, 2014, 05:24:19 pm
Udall not making his stand against security state overreach central to his campaign is one of the worst political decisions of this cycle.

That doesn't really seem like a winning issue.  Udall should have made the campaign about raising the minimum wage and overturning Citizens United, and maybe brought up abortion around this time in the campaign instead.  Tongue

[Exiting Silver Truths, apologies for interruption]
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Electoral-vote.com on: October 24, 2014, 04:46:00 pm
Yeah, I followed them in 2004 actually.  They were ok in 2008 too.  I dunno how their record is on midterms.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Which Democratic Congressmen/Governors DON'T support SSM? Which Republicans DO? on: October 24, 2014, 04:41:43 pm
Oh now they do, I just remember there were 6 Democratic Senators that were holding out, but yeah I s'pose they had to eventually.

No, I think it's only Manchin.  Pryor and Landrieu have made ambiguous statements to the effect that they may not necessarily vote in favor of it in a legislative capacity, if I understand them correctly.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Which Democratic Congressmen/Governors DON'T support SSM? Which Republicans DO? on: October 24, 2014, 04:20:28 pm
You've forgotten Heidi Heitkamp (ND) and Joe Donnelly (IN), they haven't endorsed it.

How could you forget that amazing barrage of endorsements last year? Wink

It's pretty much mandatory for any Democratic politician of any national significance to bear the party line on marriage equality.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Udall messes up introduction on: October 24, 2014, 04:06:18 pm
Not a big deal.
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Vote Al/Hash for free booze on: October 24, 2014, 03:11:53 pm
I voted Al/Booze for free Hash.
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: October 2014 General Election - President and Regional Senators on: October 24, 2014, 03:09:22 pm
President/VP
Sibboleth/Hashemite

Pacific Senate
The Cranberry
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So what exactly did Udall do that made Colorado voters mad at him? on: October 18, 2014, 03:34:22 pm
There is a Republican wave this year and Colorado is not immune to it.  That doesn't mean Udall will lose, it just means that he will have to fight tooth-and-nail to keep his seat.
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Joe Republic on: October 17, 2014, 06:39:11 pm
An intelligent and creative member of our community.  FF
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: October 17, 2014, 06:35:31 pm
He can always just explain to the pizza customers that due to the inclement weather, he'll need to make a pit stop at a motel for the night first.  They'll get their pizzas in due course.

I'm just imagining Our Dear Friend doing exactly that, eating the pizzas as he lies in bed watching television at the motel, knowing that it's better that they not go cold and that he can buy more pizza from another place to take to the customer the next morning, thinking that he can charge it (and the motel stay) to his pizza store, only to find that nobody is cooking and selling pizza early enough the next day, and when he makes a trip to the customer's house to explain what has happened, the hapless, disturbed resident explaining that it's 11 AM and they don't want the pizza anymore, and Jeff driving back to the pizza store and being asked to return his hat.  But it would be okay, because there are other pizza stores that are also hiring delivery drivers.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The t_host1 Institute of Comedy on: October 17, 2014, 06:24:53 pm
Yes, yes. Say what you will about the mormen, but at least they're not goddamn snake worshippers.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How is your opinion of Charlie Crist affected by his need for fan for his legs? on: October 17, 2014, 06:14:01 pm
I don't care

#GoRickScott

To prison?  Yes, that's probably a good idea.

As for Charlie Crist, I think this really refreshed a hitherto milquetoast campaign.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arizona gay marriage ban struck down on: October 17, 2014, 06:06:45 pm
As a sidenote: please Jesus let Wyoming be next.

Ding Ding Ding


Quote

CHEYENNE -- A federal judge in Casper has issued an order that strikes down Wyoming’s ban on same-sex marriage.

However, the order is on hold until Thursday, unless the state notifies the court sooner that it will not appeal the ruling.

During Thursday’s gubernatorial debate in Riverton, Gov. Matt Mead said he would not appeal if Judge Scott W. Skavdahl ruled in favor of gay marriage.

“If the court rules, with the 10th Circuit already ruling, I don’t see there will be merit in appealing the judge’s order,” Mead said.

http://www.wyomingnews.com/articles/2014/10/17/breaking_news/01break_10-17-14.txt#.VEGf_fldX3Y

Outstanding!
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws on: October 15, 2014, 05:39:52 am
PPP - ID

Same Sex Marriage?

No - 57%
Yes - 38%

Opinion on recognition?

Full Marriage - 39%
Civil Unions - 30%
No legal recognition - 29%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_ID_1014925.pdf



It's nice to see that the 'no' side is a lot more flexible than the 'yes' side...
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Remington: Roberts +2 on: October 15, 2014, 05:13:38 am
Going to need a bulldozer to scrape that omlette off your face, Atlas Forum.

Of all the politicians to feel passionate about, why Pat Roberts?  He seems extraordinarily dull, mediocre.  Unless it's just purely the sake of seeing the GOP succeed, then I get that.
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