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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL: Grayson, DWS (among others) looking at Rubio's seat on: Today at 10:33:40 pm
SaintPetersBlog knows who we really need to run.

Quote
But there’s one name out there for the Democrats that’s the most intriguing.

Charlie Crist.

That’s right, Crist, the man who has ran for statewide office more times than Tom Brady has played in the Super Bowl.

Were Rubio to not seek re-election and there is a wide-open field for his seat, why wouldn’t Crist — with his sky-high name ID and proven fundraising prowess, seek the U.S. Senate seat he’s sought twice before.

Crist might have some problems on his left flank beating Grayson and DWS in a Democratic primary, but if he did win, he’d have his clearest shot at a spot in the U.S. Senate since he was up double digits on Rubio in mid-2009 through early-2010.

You were joking when you said Crist is the man we need to run, right?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: First predictions of a Hillary Clinton cabinet. on: Today at 10:22:32 pm
The usual neoliberal suspects.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Paul's PAC releases "secret tape" of Bush/Clinton phone call on: Today at 10:18:25 pm
lol
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH-13) now pro-choice on: Today at 10:16:28 pm
It's awesome that he made this conversion. Though to be honest this has always been his position since 2009 or so when his voting record on abortion began to become more progressive on things like contraceptives and allowing federal funding for abortion coverage.

However, just because this is what Kucinich did before he ran for President doesn't mean Ryan's running for Senate. I still think he's ultimately going to decline. He understands the risk and time it would take as a member of the House to take on Portman. Ryan's going to sit this one out just as he always has and hand the torch off to Sittenfeld.

Besides, he did this for mostly personal reasons. He had a son born last year, and when his wife was pregnant he emphasized he didn't want the government intruding on her rightful decision on whether or not she wanted an abortion.

Actually, this is a clear sign Ryan is probably running.  If so, either Sittenfield will drop out or Ryan will crush him in the primary without ever acknowledging him.
I'm not convinced he'll run even with this. He has a track record of declining statewide runs for office in Ohio as recently as 2014, and this abortion thing is being over-hyped. He's been pro-choice for years now. He's going to run statewide at some point whether it's 2018 or the new decade and when that time comes the party will support him, though it won't be right now.

The field needs to be cleared as it usually is for the ODP-backed candidate (with the exception of OH-Sen 2010) and Sittenfeld was the first to stand up to take on the task of facing Portman.

To call Sittenfeld useless here just because he's a City Councilman is absurd. He has killer fundraising skills, David Pepper's support and plenty of connections and unlike Ryan, he seems to be a lot more willing to go on the offensive in this race.

No one in the ODP or the Democratic establishment would clear the field for Sittenfield if an A-lister like Ryan were interested.
5  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: ARREST TMTHFORU94 on: Today at 08:29:10 pm
I endorse this call for mob action
6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: The Down with Imperialism and Tyranny Act (Debating) on: Today at 06:56:23 pm
Demand or what? Are we going to use any teeth with this? I returned them to the south in my regional reduction plan, but if we took away those states we'd essentially gut the Mideast.

The Mideast can have part of another region if it wants, that's a question for the Mideast government and the Senate.  Or the Mideastern carpetbaggers could stop building settlements on culturally Southern lands.  However, they must not solve their population troubles by oppressing Southerners and occupying land that rightfully belongs to the IDS.
7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: The Down with Imperialism and Tyranny Act (Debating) on: Today at 05:47:07 pm
I just want the imperial name to go away. I of course don't support going to war with other regions.

I've never understood why virginia and Kentucky were not part of the south, but I've also never understood why the Mideast existed. But it does and we won't be declaring war on them.

How is it an act of war to demand that they end their illegal, immoral, and imperialist occupation of Virginia and Kentucky?  If certain parts of this seem explicitly like a declaration of war, I am happy to amend it as I said before.
8  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: Today at 02:41:35 pm
Nym has appeared to swing the Banhammer of Justice…..

Napoleon: banned for being a Hamilton sock
Five accounts have been banned for being Giovanni socks:
Maistre
Chilltown
vytas1993
TDR1994
OpinionatedGuy


Glourious news!
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH-13) now pro-choice on: Today at 01:54:25 pm
It's awesome that he made this conversion. Though to be honest this has always been his position since 2009 or so when his voting record on abortion began to become more progressive on things like contraceptives and allowing federal funding for abortion coverage.

However, just because this is what Kucinich did before he ran for President doesn't mean Ryan's running for Senate. I still think he's ultimately going to decline. He understands the risk and time it would take as a member of the House to take on Portman. Ryan's going to sit this one out just as he always has and hand the torch off to Sittenfeld.

Besides, he did this for mostly personal reasons. He had a son born last year, and when his wife was pregnant he emphasized he didn't want the government intruding on her rightful decision on whether or not she wanted an abortion.

Actually, this is a clear sign Ryan is probably running.  If so, either Sittenfield will drop out or Ryan will crush him in the primary without ever acknowledging him.
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1825 Contingent Election (The Hearse at Monticello) on: Today at 08:25:08 am
JQA
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: The Down with Imperialism and Tyranny Act (Debating) on: Today at 08:05:03 am
While I'm not opposed to acquiring Kentucky and Virginia, don't you think declaring war against another region would be in bad taste?

Obviously, I would prefer to see this colonialization ended through peaceful means, it must be brought to an end one way or another.  I don't see this as an act of war because the Mideast's "claim" to Virginia and Kentucky has no legitimacy.  However, I am certainly open to amendments.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate GOP Might Nix Filibuster For SCOTUS Nominees on: January 28, 2015, 10:17:34 pm
I expect if Obama wound up having to nominate a replacement for Scalia/Kennedy, both sides would be forced to compromise on a moderate placeholder. Essentially an older, well-respected centrist judge who would probably serve for no more than 20 years and would essentially be another Kennedy.

Judge Merrick Garland's name has been tossed around in the past and while he doesn't fit Obama's pattern of picking judges (62 years old, white male), he's the most likely candidate to fill that slot and avoid a crisis.

Kennedy is a Libertarian-flavored Republican hack.
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: The Down with Imperialism and Tyranny Act (Debating) on: January 28, 2015, 10:13:31 pm
There is quite literally no logical justification for treating Kentucky and Virginia as a part of the Mideast.  These are culturally Southern states with a proud Southern heritage and they belong in the IDS.  Anything less is tantamount to an illegitimate colonial occupation by the Mideast.  Already prominent Mideasterners such as former Senator Shua have formed a militia for the experience purpose of defending the Mideastern "motherland" and intimidating those who would speak out for a reunion with their fellow citizens in the IDS.  We must stand with our fellow Southerners in their struggle against tyranny, imperialism, and oppression!
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: Police Surveillance Act (Debating) on: January 28, 2015, 10:08:25 pm
An amendment:

Quote

Police Surveillance Act
1. All police officers in the IDS are required to wear a body camera at all times when on duty.
2. All content of the body camera must be released weekly on the respective city police website and be on the public record.
3. Any laws prohibiting recording, videotaping, or taking pictures of officers in the middle of an arrest shall be hereby repealed.
4. This law will take effect upon passage.
5. A civilian review board shall be established for each city in the IDS to review brutality complaints against officers of their city's police department.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-Sen: Salmon, Schweikert considering on: January 28, 2015, 08:03:25 pm
I have a feeling Salmon will end up winning the primary but lose the general

Unless the democrats run Sinema or Kirkpatrick (which is a legitimate possibility, but far from a certainty), I don't really see any republican losing AZ, barring a terrible republican campaign or an utter democratic wave. Carmona/Giffords/Napolitano would make it close, but it's hard to see them actually winning.

Sinema would be an opposition researcher's dream.  Kirkpatrick, Carmona, Kelly, Stanton, and Gordon all seem like they could win statewide.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Jindal for Senate? on: January 28, 2015, 04:08:32 pm
D+1
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: Police Surveillance Act (Debating) on: January 28, 2015, 04:06:34 pm
X will have an amendment today, or at least that's what I heard Tongue

Don't worry, it'll be there this evening.
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: People of the Republic of Atlasia vs. Midwest Governor LeBron FitzGerald on: January 28, 2015, 04:05:16 pm
Frankly, I'm getting impatient too. After all, this is just a closing summary, and I think it should be in everyone's interest to conclude this trial as soon as possible.

Yeah, it's been over a week.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL: Grayson, DWS (among others) looking at Rubio's seat on: January 28, 2015, 02:21:16 pm
Folks, you are evidently unaware that Alan Grayson actually talks about the issues which affect most voters.

I agree with the poster who wants the Democrats to run Alan Grayson. If it's a presidential year won by a Democrat, and Florida will carry, then Alan Grayson can unseat Marco Rubio. Now, that of course can be disputed for those who have no problem with the Koch brothers owning Marco Rubio and figuring that Koch money will make the difference. But, there's another Atlas Forum  thread in which Republican posters (and independents who actually are Republicans) figure that has no impact.

Grayson has as good a chance of winning as Michelle Bachmann would if she ran against Klobucher in 2018.
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arizona redistricting goes to Supreme Court on: January 28, 2015, 10:44:21 am
I'll trade a mild Republican gerrymander in AZ for a major Democratic gerrymander in California any day.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Marco Rubio Wants to Permanently Extend NSA Mass Surveillance on: January 28, 2015, 10:40:38 am
Amash and Rubio are both HPs.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate GOP Might Nix Filibuster For SCOTUS Nominees on: January 28, 2015, 10:38:33 am
Uh, not quite sure why the republicans are doing this. Obama has a lot more ability to nominate a liberal replacement to whoever retires in the next two years if he only needs 5 republican votes instead of 14.

Eh, the Republicans aren't going to block a liberal replacement for Ginsburg, and not a single Republican will vote to confirm a liberal replacement for Kennedy/Scalia.

The bigger concern is if the Dems win the next election and narrowly get the Senate back. I doubt Scalia and Kennedy are holding on till 2020, to say nothing of 2024.

Yeah, it all depends on who you're replacing.  If Scalia is retiring, the Senate will only accept a stalwart conservative, or maybe a somewhat moderate one.  If Kennedy retires, then the GOP will vote for someone who's at most dead-center.  If Ginsburg retires, they'll probably let any competent liberal through.

Has a Democratic president ever been forced to nominate a "stalwart conservative"??  I know Republicans have nominated moderates/liberals, though perhaps unwittingly.

Why would a Democrat even go along with that?  They would sooner leave the seat empty.

I never said the President would nominate a stalwart conservative, only that this would be the only acceptable option to the Senate.

But yes, I believe Obama would choose a fairly conservative Scalia successor

What would make you believe that?  He's not going to throw away a chance to give his party control of the Supreme Court just so the Republicans will vehemently oppose his nominee instead of super vehemently opposing his nominee.  It may take two nominees or even three, but in the end the Republicans will fold.  They won't be able to get away with just calling for the seat to stay vacant or trying to dictate who replaces Scalia just because he was a Republican hack.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Just when I thought Cuomo couldn't stoop any lower... on: January 28, 2015, 10:31:42 am
I'm hoping he gets indicted and convicted.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1976 Primaries on: January 28, 2015, 08:56:08 am
Birch Bayh/Gaylord Nelson
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Did Reagan run on racism? on: January 28, 2015, 08:47:04 am
Reagan in a real sense ran on being all things to all people within the context of groups whose support he thought would be valuable. One of these groups was racists, yes.

Also, 'Reagan Democrats' were people like David Lynch (the real person David Lynch, not a David Lynch character), not people like Archie Bunker.

I tend to agree with the first part (to be clear he certainly dabbled in race-baiting quite a bit).  That being said, David Lynch is more of a Libertarian IIRC.  I'd argue that Reagan Democrats did tend to be more blue-collar (although the extent to which this was the case probably gets exaggerated somewhat).  I think Reagan had a great deal of appeal to a large and diverse variety of Democrats (and especially independents) due in part to his mastery of political theater and his ability to use his charisma to make people feel like the sun would come up tomorrow.  His talents in both those areas rivaled even FDR's and as with FDR, they were both a core part of his appeal to those outside of his party.
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