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October 06, 2015, 11:28:12 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Lion and the Rose, the II ASOIAF Game (Sign Up - Rules Thread) on: Today at 06:26:08 am
I think it might be quite fun if we posted summaries of our campaign rationales, turn by turn! I'll have a go when I can catch a moment

Yeah, I'd be down with that as well.  Post-game analysis is always fun!
2  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Bill Cosby on: October 04, 2015, 07:48:48 pm
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1992 Election (The Hearse at Monticello) on: October 04, 2015, 07:35:24 pm
I think the only positive thing coming out of this election will probably be the comedy goldmine of Vice-President Dornan's press conferences...

You're welcome, America Tongue
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1992 Election (The Hearse at Monticello) on: October 04, 2015, 05:09:19 pm
I voted for The People's Pat and B-1 Bob in the primary and the general.  President Goldwater didn't start a nuclear apocalypse, so this will have to do Tongue
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Give the previous poster some advice about his/her "name". on: October 04, 2015, 05:01:29 pm
Don't change your username.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which poster does the last poster remind you of? on: October 04, 2015, 04:59:09 pm
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Crocodile vs Alligator on: October 04, 2015, 04:52:25 pm
Alligator (sane, normal, etc)
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Tell The Previous Poster To Leave Atlas... Creatively on: October 04, 2015, 11:22:04 am
The R-CA avatar is already Torie's intellectual property.  Copyright infringement is VERY serious business!  Obviously, you can't escape Ernestman's wrath, but if you leave the forum now and never come back then maybe you'll be able to prolong the inevitable for a few days.  Dave have mercy upon your soul...
9  Forum Community / Mock Parliment / Re: The Social Liberals on: October 04, 2015, 11:03:13 am
I don't know if this would be the place to do it, but I'm gonna resign from the executive.  I just haven't had as much time as I thought I would and sadly, I don't see that changing any time soon for a variety of reasons.  I was worried this might happen, hence my request for a low slot on the list in the run-up to the first parliamentary election.  Our executive should lead by example with regard to activity and since I don't think I can do that right now due to RL, resigning seems like the right thing to do.  Hopefully, I'm not letting anyone down Sad
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The last movie you've seen thread 2014 and 2015 on: October 04, 2015, 10:34:37 am
I saw Sicario last night.  It was alright, but nothing amazing like I was expecting (not awful or anything, just above average).  With a few big exceptions (two scenes in the first third and one near the end), this was a pretty slow, thoughtful film which is not necessarily a bad thing, but it really wasn't advertised as such and that was a bit jarring at first. 

One thing that is clear from this movie is that Denis Villeneuve can create suspense like nobody's business.  Prisoners was an excellent film, but I feel like even a lesser director could've made it very suspenseful even if they failed to pull it off overall.  However, despite being a fairly slow film (especially after the first third), it always feels like everything is building to something absolutely horrifying and this constant sense of dread hangs over even the slowest of scenes.  I suspect that's a pretty tough thing to pull off and if Villeneuve's next movie (The Story of Your Life) has the same sort mounting sense of dread in even the slower scenes then he may well deserve to join directors like David Nutter, John Carpenter circa 1976-1982, and Alfred Hitchcock circa 1951-1963 as one of the great masters of suspense. 

But I digress, there were some other good elements of Sicario that are worth mentioning.  The highlight of the film was definitely Benicio del Toro's performance (easily his best to date), but it's hard to talk too much about why or even his character without spoiling the best part of the movie.  All I'll say is that it's clear from the moment we see him that there is something very dangerous lurking just beneath his calm, quiet demeanor.  As for what that something is, that's the mystery at the heart of Sicario.  For most of the film, he exists on the outer edges of the plot like a single shark fin ominously circling a shipwreck survivor from a distance.  When he finally strikes, well...you really have to see it to fully appreciate it.  I don't think I can do it justice, tbh.  It may not be a flashy enough performance, but I wouldn't be surprised if del Toro gets a best supporting actor nomination, especially if it ends up being a weak year in that category.  That said, he could also easily get lost in the shuffle.  We shall see, not that it really matters or anything Tongue

From a technical standpoint, the cinematography was excellent and it is quite possible that Roger Deakins will finally win an Oscar for his work here after 12 (IIRC) previous nominations.  The music was also really good and while it was effectively used in certain scenes to ratchet up the tension and add to the sense of dread that I mentioned earlier, it was never used as a crutch to tell the audience how we're supposed to feel in the heavy-handed, lazy way that it is in certain movies.

TL;DR: For better or worse, Sicario is not the type of movie it has been advertised as and is simply a good, but not great movie with an excellent performance by Benicio del Toro.  It's also the sort of movie where one will likely come away admiring a number of individual components (some of the performances, the cinematography, etc) without necessarily enjoying the movie itself.  As good as some of those individual components are, I'd give the film itself a B-
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-Sen: Salmon, Schweikert considering on: October 03, 2015, 03:07:02 pm
You all don't think that similar to Uncle Barry in 1980 (a very strong GOP tidal wave year), that Mac wouldn't win again out of principle?

No, not really Tongue  I don't expect 2016 to be a Republican tidal wave, even if they win the Presidency.  At this point a Democratic tidal wave is far more likely (although I'm not expecting that either).  I'd also Goldwater was a much stronger incumbent in 1980 than McCain is today.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-Sen: Salmon, Schweikert considering on: October 03, 2015, 09:44:46 am
Sabato moves it to Lean R.
Really dumb. McCain hasnt any great primary challenger yet and he has really great political skills.

Kirkpatrick is by far the strongest GE opponent he has ever received. And while Ward can't win, she can still give McCain an embarrassing margin of victory in the primary (say, less than 15 points) and send him into the general significantly damaged. And Schweikert outright saying McCain can't win the general (whether he actually believes it or is just saying it to swing donors) is definitely a good sign for those who want him (Schweikert) to run.
Oh just to be clear,
I really would love to see him go down. But he has politically skills. And I do believe he will survive.  I don't see a primary challenge beating him. I mean, we're not even sure Schweikert is running.

And even if Kirkpatrick is indeed a very good candidate, Mccain will quite overperform among the latino voters allowing him to be reelected easily.

Actually McCain is extremely unpopular in Arizona, including among Latinos (IIRC).  Not Jeff Flake-level unpopularity, but in that ballpark.  Kirkpatrick could definitely win this race.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Murphy In on: October 03, 2015, 09:41:49 am
Grayson is really the Democrat Akin. Not because of his ideology, but because he's just a ticking time bomb of dickish things to say, and his general baggage.

I mean, when you get to the point where the Democrat (Grayson) is so bad that I wouldn't even consider voting for him if I lived in the state...
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-09: MBQF: Sinema up 13 in hypothetical on: October 03, 2015, 09:40:03 am
Sinema would be beatable with a strong candidate (she has tons of skeletons in her closet), but Jones is a C-lister.  IIRC, Jones has god-awful approvals in Arizona (and as Maxwell said, ran an awful campaign in 2014).
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Say something nice about the preceding poster. on: September 30, 2015, 07:37:41 pm
One of the two best blue avatar posters on the forum.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas Forum IRC Channel, Thread 2 on: September 30, 2015, 07:29:53 pm
I logged in and pkemp immediately banned me (literally immediately, I hadn't typed anything yet) WTF?!?

They sometimes ban non-IRC regulars when important/sensitive stuff is being discussed, so that could be it.  If so, then speaking from experience, you'll probably be unbanned in a day or two.  Btw, no offense or anything, but you also shouldn't complain about being banned in this thread.  It's poor form and may lead to you being banned longer on principle (just saying).
17  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2 Best acting performances in each Star Wars Movie on: September 30, 2015, 06:48:45 am
Other than Alec Guiness, Peter Cushing, and James Earl Jones' voice acting, I don't think there were any performances in the Star Wars movies that were particularly good (a few others were okay, but there's a reason we don't remember the series for the acting).
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the Previous Poster on: September 29, 2015, 09:57:37 pm
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do You Intend to Hold a Relevant Political Office in the future? on: September 29, 2015, 06:34:46 pm
Anyone who openly posts here about wanting to hold office is probably not fit to hold office.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Priebus: Iowa and New Hampshire Aren’t “Sacred Cows” After 2016 on: September 29, 2015, 06:24:27 pm
Put California, New York, and Texas first. Diverse, and if you can't raise the money to compete you simply don't belong.

All of them are too inelastic and polarized and the minority party in each state is way afield from representing the rest of the country. I would go with Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio.

1. Ohio
2. Oregon
3. North Carolina

This allows the different regions to be fairly and equally represented. All other combinations are too close or lack diversity or unrepresentative of the national parties.

No!  We're already getting spammed with ads Angry
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Rise and Fall of Tender Branson (Cranberry's Revenge) on: September 29, 2015, 04:54:33 pm
So Cris and Rpryor escaped?  Glorious news!
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-08: Boehner resigning. on: September 29, 2015, 12:38:59 pm
Faber has right of first refusal here.

Does Faber live here? I was under the impression he was intentionally drawn out of OH-8 by the Mercer Country tri chop. Not that that stops anyone from running, but it matters still.

I thought he did, but maybe I'm misremembering.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: House Leadership Election(s) Megathread on: September 29, 2015, 12:35:56 pm
Whoah, Paul Ryan also supports Price.

Price is pretty right of center, no?

Price is very right of center, but so is Scalise, and Price doesn't have the baggage that Scalise has.

And being from Oklahoma and knowing the congressionial field, I'm very surprised that Tom Cole, a Boehner ally and a guy obviously rising through the ranks, isn't going for spot #3 and Markwayne Mullin (who, for all intents and purposes, is a backbencher even compared to Cruzite Jim Bridenstine from my district) is running for it.

I feel like Cole really, really screwed something up in leadership a while back, but I can't remember what. 
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1992 Primaries (The Hearse at Monticello) on: September 29, 2015, 12:33:00 pm

You sure you're a democrat?

Anyways, Cuomo.

You sure you're not bored with the same people with the same ideology winning in the same year whenever we do one of these interactive timelines yet?
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 9/11 Conspiracies on: September 28, 2015, 09:53:20 pm
I wouldn't say we were friends, but I knew someone in college who thought the CIA was behind 9/11.
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