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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Eharding on: March 28, 2017, 10:41:34 pm
HP
2  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Iron Throne, the V ASOIAF Game (Sign Up - Rules Thread) (Turn Open) on: March 28, 2017, 09:57:15 pm
For the record, this turn starts on Tuesday night.

Will we get player crises, or at the least the troop numbers/map post too?  That stuff's kinda important Tongue

I'm trying to do that, yes. Tuesday night hasn't ended yet (although I do have a different timezone).

Fair enough.  As you were Tongue
3  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 28, 2017, 09:55:26 pm
I know my history has a few things against me but I believe I would be an excellent, fair and unbiased mod.

Jimmie, I like you, but the fact that you would even making this post is one reason why you almost certainly wouldn't be.

This
4  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Iron Throne, the V ASOIAF Game (Sign Up - Rules Thread) (Turn Open) on: March 28, 2017, 09:34:42 pm
For the record, this turn starts on Tuesday night.

Will we get player crises, or at the least the troop numbers/map post too?  That stuff's kinda important Tongue
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Reuters: Breaking with tradition, Republican orgs. to go after Democratic AGs on: March 28, 2017, 08:21:50 pm
Which states do Democrats even still have elected AG's in that are up in 2018?  Probably not too many states where Republicans can win.
Iowa is the big one. If he runs for reelection he'd be favored, but if not the GOP is free to pick it up. Minnesota is also an outside shot if Swanson doesn't run for reelection, but if she doesn't I still think Democrats are favored to hold it.

This. If anything, GOP has some exposed seats. NV and MI, for starters, and maybe a few scattered ones here and there.
Nevada I think falls, especially with Laxalt likely to run for Governor. Michigan, Schuette is termed out, I think Tonya Schuitmaker holds it for Republicans but she'll have to work for reelection, unless Democrats punt to go all in on the governor race (kind of like what happened in 2014 IIRC), but there are some potential governor candidates who are lawyers and could drop down to that race. Ohio could be at risk potentially but Dave Yost is a strong candidate and Democrats will likely go after other row offices.

In 2019, Jim Hood (MS) and Andy Beshear (KY) are up. Let's see if either of them run for reelection, or run for governor.

I actually think Diettelbach has a pretty decent chance of picking up the AG office for the Democrats if 2018 is a Democratic year.  Yost is a far weaker candidate than he appears on paper and Diettelbach is already running one hell of an energetic campaign.

It doesn't look like he's said anything on the race since January. He doesn't have a website or anything.

Just reporting back what I've been hearing down here in Ohio Tongue
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Are there any downballot races(SOS,AG,etc.) where the incumbent party is DOA? on: March 28, 2017, 08:20:10 pm
Probably way too early to say
This, but if Republicans held any downballot offices in Illinois, I'd say those.

In Iowa, if the longtime Democratic AG and/or Treasurer retire, I'd instantly put those at Likely R, but DOA is a stretch.

Nah, the Democrats have some solid potential candidates who would probably run.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Reuters: Breaking with tradition, Republican orgs. to go after Democratic AGs on: March 28, 2017, 07:38:40 pm
Which states do Democrats even still have elected AG's in that are up in 2018?  Probably not too many states where Republicans can win.
Iowa is the big one. If he runs for reelection he'd be favored, but if not the GOP is free to pick it up. Minnesota is also an outside shot if Swanson doesn't run for reelection, but if she doesn't I still think Democrats are favored to hold it.

This. If anything, GOP has some exposed seats. NV and MI, for starters, and maybe a few scattered ones here and there.
Nevada I think falls, especially with Laxalt likely to run for Governor. Michigan, Schuette is termed out, I think Tonya Schuitmaker holds it for Republicans but she'll have to work for reelection, unless Democrats punt to go all in on the governor race (kind of like what happened in 2014 IIRC), but there are some potential governor candidates who are lawyers and could drop down to that race. Ohio could be at risk potentially but Dave Yost is a strong candidate and Democrats will likely go after other row offices.

In 2019, Jim Hood (MS) and Andy Beshear (KY) are up. Let's see if either of them run for reelection, or run for governor.

I actually think Diettelbach has a pretty decent chance of picking up the AG office for the Democrats if 2018 is a Democratic year.  Yost is a far weaker candidate than he appears on paper and Diettelbach is already running one hell of an energetic campaign.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Kalwejt Foundation for the Promotion of Atlas Hilarity on: March 28, 2017, 04:00:43 pm
Name it after this loser.

Excuse me? From the day I was born, I was destined for success. I was brought into this world by a software engineer and a prominent actuary, both of British decent. From the moment that the curtains were raised, I was set to dominate the STEM fields. And because I had guardians that actually cared about me, I flourished. Pretty soon, I was placed into a special school of correspondence, specifically the school for gifted children in Santa Barbara. I not only reached my parent's expectations, but I passed the with flying colors. I had raw talent. I was better. I was surrounded by 6th graders, many from Hong Kong, whom were smarter than half the posters in this website. And now where am I? At Caltech, getting my double BS in Electrical Engineering and Physics, with a Stanford-Binet tested IQ of 147 at age 17.

Get this through your head: I am worth more than your entire goddamn family. I'm smarter than you, better looking than you, taller than you, wealthier than you, and more employable than you. While you type out another comment, I'll be simultaneously working with the brightest minds in the world and fornicating with my beautiful girlfriend. It gets on my nerves when people pretend to be better than me. Know your place. Never, ever use me in your posts again.

This is just an abridged version of something from another site that some D-CA forumite posted the last time someone tried to troll people this way Tongue
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Eharding Landfill for Absurd, Ignorant, and Deplorable Posts VI on: March 28, 2017, 03:57:31 pm
Does it have to be named after someone?  Just a thought.

Yeah, we could just not name it after anyone.
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Rod Serling on: March 28, 2017, 03:48:03 pm
Massive FF
11  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 28, 2017, 03:44:14 pm
Eharding is permabanned.

Glorious news!  Hopefully Famous Mortimer will soon be banned too Smiley
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor on: March 28, 2017, 02:56:01 pm
It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there.

I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested.
DiPiero perhaps, as he was Celebrezze before Celebrezze. There will be a challenger but it would be really hard to have anyone be the guy to go against Patton. It's tough to run as a democrat when the unions will endorse your opponent.

Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton.
Not all of them, and Patton is guaranteed FOP no matter what he does, I don't see how Celebrezze gets in now. No Patton yeah, but why dump that seat.

No one is talking about the FOP when they say the unions Roll Eyes

Honestly I'm not convinced any unions will actually back Patton unless the Democrats don't bother making a serious play for this seat and I say that as someone who considers Patton an A-list recruit.  I know you really want this to be safe R, but it simply isn't, especially not the way the national mood is right now.  That could change and yes Celebrezze might not run (although I think this will look a lot like the race for Regula's open seat if 2018 is a Democratic wave and Celebrezze runs).  I could see Celebrezze jumping in later on if 2018 is still looking like a Democratic wave.  Plus, Patton does admittedly have a tendency to say stupid sh!t from time to time.  You guys have an A-list recruit, but hardly an unbeatable one.  Patton is definitely the frontrunner, but I think you're getting a bit ahead of yourself.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor on: March 28, 2017, 06:07:39 am
It's also Patton's reputation out of the district, but that's neither here nor there.

I assume Celebrezze is probably the only Dem that could take on Patton? It seems doubtful he abandons his role as Asst. Minority Leader unless it looks like we're headed for a giant wave. Though it seems to me Democrats would be gravely mistaken to let this go uncontested.
DiPiero perhaps, as he was Celebrezze before Celebrezze. There will be a challenger but it would be really hard to have anyone be the guy to go against Patton. It's tough to run as a democrat when the unions will endorse your opponent.

Part of why I suggested Celebrezze is that unions would enthusiastically back him over Patton.
14  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 27, 2017, 10:15:55 pm
tbh that return post shows he's learned absolutely nothing from his tempban
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor on: March 27, 2017, 09:40:40 pm
GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner

Well sh!t Sad

I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher.
I don't know too much. Is he considered super strong and (almost) unbeatable in both the primary and general?

Unbeatable is a bit of a stretch, but Patton is an extremely strong candidate.
16  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 27, 2017, 06:35:48 pm
Mr Mortimer is one of the best and most valuable contributors to this forum.  I guess by "reform" you all mean "renounce your mainstream views that I dont like".  He is one of the few posters on here who has the respect of all sides. 

Obvious troll is obvious.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-16: Renacci vacating to run for Governor on: March 27, 2017, 06:32:18 pm
GOP State rep Tom Patton is in. He should be the front runner

Well sh!t Sad

I still think Celebrezze could win if 2018 is a Democratic wave, but this race just got a lot tougher.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Neil Gorsuch Confirmation Hearing *DISCUSSION AND LIVE COMMENTARY* on: March 27, 2017, 03:52:28 pm
Looking at that list, it reads like 57-43 to me, with Manchin, Tester, King, Donnelly, and Heitkamp going for cloture. Followed five minutes later by the nuclear option.

add Warner, Bennett, and Coons, and that's 60.
A) I think its more 56-44 I don't see King going over heck I can see Tester as well also B) Warner, Bennett, and Coons are not likely yes

They may not vote for him, but they will support allowing a vote and save the filibuster for another day.

Except on Politico it says (well more than says, it has up a video of Coons actually saying it) that Coons thinks there is not 60 votes, and the "tragedy" of the nuke button being successfully pushed is "almost a certainty."  So Coons has trouble getting to the number 60.


Schmuckey better cut a deal with McConnell because the next guy isn't going to be anywhere near as milk-toast as Gorsuch, and if McConnell pushes the button then, the Dems are truly screwed.
There is no guarantee Trump gets a next guy an if he does it might be replacing a consertive justice so go for it

Agreed, no guarantee but at 84 for Ginsburg it's reasonable to suggest she may be next.  Kennedy is no spring chicken either.
That generation is still holding on so I wouldn't beat on it an Kennedy is replacing rw with rw

There are degrees of right wing (if that's what rw stands for), and the future options for SCOTUS will make Gorsuch look like a gift.

And having stage 4 lung cancer in one lung is better than stage 4 lung cancer in both lungs, what's your point?
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Josh Mandel running again on: March 27, 2017, 03:41:29 pm
Don't discount the dweeby sophomores, they make good politicians you know.

You realize Mandel is about as popular as testicular cancer, right?
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Josh Mandel running again on: March 27, 2017, 01:53:35 pm
Josh Mandel has a shot now that the Trump swept Ohio. Brown is certainly far from being safe. Mandel could capitalize on Brown being a dinosaur of DC and he could win on that sentiment.

Keep dreaming Smiley
21  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 27, 2017, 08:32:33 am
I don't have much to add but I've posted on other forums. I've trolled ahd been a serious poster alike and I was pretty trollsome in December and November. The mods here are among the least restrictive and most free speech friendly groups I've met. Look at people like English Pete who's the British version of Mr Mortimer, who still goes free.

The Right here is largely silent due to outside factors, namely Trump. I know under a different Republican President I would be a partisan blue avatar. Regardless, conservative opinions are represented, albeit in the minority but that's the case since forever. There is also the fact the online left has been more visible than the Right. (I should try to be an intelligent Trump (devil) advocate for a while to see how it goes)

In short, the mods are fine, if outright lackadaisical.

I don't think the mods are biased towards the right, I do think they are biased against Harding. Kalwejt has been gunning for him. I mean if Bronze can make posts about former city comptrollers for president and not get muted is trolling even a real criteria?

It's pretty clear that Bronze's posts - whatever else can be said about them - aren't trolling.  OTOH, at least a good 90-95% (if not more) of Eharding's posts are spam and/or trolling.  There's really not a credible case that can even be made for not perma-banning Eharding at this point given that he's already been given every opportunity to change his behavior and clearly has no interest in being anything other than a toxic, malicious presence within the forum community.  There are rules on this forum and the mods have a responsibility to enforce those rules.  It's really quite simple.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If Democrats filibuster Gorsuch until the next election... on: March 27, 2017, 07:22:23 am
...and there is a Democratic president and a Republican Senate in 2021, how likely is it that the Democrats will get their SCOTUS candidate cofirmed?
Do you really believe McConnell Wouldn't nuke the filibuster for SC?

Maybe he'd do it if there were truly no other way to confirm a nominee...maybe.  However, I get the sense he doesn't want to do so and McConnell (like Harry Reid before him) is definitely smart enough to understand that abolishing the filibuster for SC nominations could have extremely serious (and possibly unforeseeable) long-term consequences for the Republicans.  More importantly, I'm not convinced the Republicans have the votes to abolish the filibuster.  Lindsay Graham recently went on record saying he'd vote against any attempt to abolish the filibuster, regardless of the circumstances.  That means the Republicans can only have two more defections if they want to do this.  While I think he'd end up biting the bullet and towing the party line, Orin Hatch has repeatedly expressed serious concerns about abolishing the filibuster just to fill a SC vacancy and could easily end up voting against abolishing the filibuster (I suspect some of the other longtime establishment flavored Senators feel this way too).  Murkowski is also a bit of a wildcard on certain issues and I could easily see her voting to keep the filibuster.  Then you have Isakson who may not even be able to vote due to back issues.  Lastly, Collins is a hyper-partisan Senator, but she's gotta know that she's probably not going to win re-election if she's the decisive vote in favor of abolishing the filibuster (you can't keep your partisanship under voters' radars after something like that).  It is entirely possible that the nuclear option is used in a 51-49 or 50-49 vote, but it's not the sure thing many folks have been making it out to be.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 26, 2017, 08:54:33 pm
Blame should lay with Paul Ryan trying to sell a literal turd as a healthcare bill.

That's not fair; it's pretty common for a turd to have a little bit of substance in it (I assume).  The healthcare bill had none.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Matt Damon on: March 26, 2017, 08:48:28 pm
HP for his disgusting and repeated defense of Casey Affleck.
25  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Harding for Northern Assembly- Campaign Office on: March 26, 2017, 07:38:57 pm
Mods, clearly the ban wasn't long enough
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