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August 25, 2016, 03:11:59 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why has the shakeup resulted in a more moderate approach? on: August 24, 2016, 10:13:27 pm
It hasn't
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Former FNC host sues; claims sexual harassment by Ailes, O'Reilly, Scott Brown on: August 24, 2016, 06:51:45 pm
To think these people wanted Bill Clinton's head on a platter because of a blowjob.
I don't get what Bill Clinton has to do with this. I would agree with you though if Bill Clinton wasn't married to Hillary in 1998 who would care about a blowjob that he was getting at the White House but he is/was married to Hillary.

I mean, I'd care that the most powerful man in the world was in a sexual relationship with an intern decades younger than him.

The power dynamics are icky, though I don't think that's what the pro-impeachment crowd was concerned about.

True, but he still should've been impeached and certainly would've been if it happened today.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should Hillary renominate Garland on: August 24, 2016, 06:49:19 pm
No (sane)
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-19: Dan Bongino explodes during recorded call with reporter on: August 24, 2016, 06:45:05 pm
In fairness, the reporter was also being a dick.  They both come across as awful manchildren.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA/OH-CBS/YouGov: Grassley & Portman both +7 on: August 24, 2016, 06:44:00 pm
These races are starting to make more sense. Grassely being way up and Portman being slightly down early on always puzzled me. Looks like the name recognition game helped Strickland early, and after people payed attention for a few months, Portman's numbers went up. With Grassely, I thought lack of ticket splitting in modern politics was going to hurt him, and it is.

They will both lose because split ticket voting doesn't exist anymore. /hacks

But in all seriousness, Portman is probably running the best campaign of any Republican Senator this year. Strickland's record as governor is pretty terrbile, but there is no other Democrat in Ohio who could have made this competitive IMO. Still, the fact that Strickland is struggling so much in a presidential year doesn't bode well for Sherrod Brown in 2018.

Strickland's not an incumbent while Brown is.  I'm not saying that Brown won't be in trouble, but comparing this race to Browns is comparing apples to oranges.
Well, Strickland is basically a generic D with statewide name recognition. Portman is not a generic R and has been doing really well with campaigning and presenting himself to voters. Brown, on the other hand is an unapologetic liberal who, despite representing an R+1 state, legislates like its a D+15 state. Even Mandel would win in a neutral year, assuming Scott Rupert doesn't run. He is not as bad as the red avatars paint him, though since he didn't endorse Kasich, I imagine Kasich and Friends will back someone else (Tiberi, Stivers, Husted, etc.) in the primary.

What is he then?
He is a maverick on SSM and clean energy research. He also over performed Kasich in 2010, and has picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters Union. He is also very decorated (former Trade Rep. and OMB Director, though that may be a liability this year). I do not consider him a generic Republican.

Most Ohioans consider him generic R Tongue
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would Sittenfield be doing better than Strickland? on: August 24, 2016, 06:40:14 pm
wow, why is everyone so anti sittenfield? We need some fresh blood in the dem party stop pushing these dinosaurs. Portman success is due to him running a good campaign and the infrastructure OH republicans have.

Because Sittenfield would've gotten crushed.
7  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Any game of throne games? on: August 24, 2016, 05:56:44 pm
I know Lumine was gonna do one at some point down the road (or at least was planning to, last I heard).  We've had four so far.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would Sittenfield be doing better than Strickland? on: August 24, 2016, 05:48:51 pm
If Sittenfeld was a good candidate he'd have beaten Strickland in the primary.

*snip* I see this as a testament to Portman's strengths rather than Strickland's weaknesses.

It's really has nothing to do with Portman.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump Campaign Manager's History of Anti-Catholic Rhetoric on: August 23, 2016, 09:30:44 pm
I'm a very very very devout Catholic, I don't find this offensive at all.

Yeah, but you're also kind of a moron.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would Sittenfield be doing better than Strickland? on: August 23, 2016, 07:12:22 pm
No, I doubt it. Portman's just not as vulnerable as people thought. I'm not even sure Tim Ryan could have taken him down.

Yes he was, Strickland simply blew it.

Just curious, but what's going on in-state/how is he a bad candidate? I haven't picked up much other than the fact that he is, but I'm 1/3 of the way across the country.

He's going a bit senile and saying a lot of stupid stuff, he's had weak fundraising, and he's been doing a lot of pretty transparent anti-Asian race-baiting.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would Sittenfield be doing better than Strickland? on: August 23, 2016, 06:14:24 pm
No, I doubt it. Portman's just not as vulnerable as people thought. I'm not even sure Tim Ryan could have taken him down.

Yes he was, Strickland simply blew it.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would Sittenfield be doing better than Strickland? on: August 23, 2016, 02:55:02 pm
ROTFLMFAO

No, Sittenfield would get like 38% at best.  Strickland will probably lose, but it'll still be by something like 53-47%.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Gary Johnson polling so well but Stein is at 1-2%? on: August 23, 2016, 06:51:03 am
Gary Johnson is a credible candidate, Jill Stein is a far left kook. Plus Johnson has gotten a lot more exposure and the Green Party has a smaller base and is seen as a one issue party.
Exactly. Johnson, by running as a John Anderson-esque low tax liberal, has been able to gobble up these votes. Stein stands for everything Bernie does, but she doesn't have the political record to stand on, nor the exposure.

Lol, Johnson is not running as a liberal by any stretch of the imagination.  He's a generic 90s establishment has-been with a few random issues where he diverges which makes him a passable protest vote for many #NeverTrump Republicans.  Stein is a crazy person who doesn't even reflect the beliefs of most Sanders supporters.  Plus, most Sanders voters' love of country/fear of Trump outweighs their dislike of Hillary.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Trump is one of the reasons why I didn't support Obama in the '08 on: August 22, 2016, 06:42:35 pm
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary loses, will she claim sexism as a reason for it? on: August 21, 2016, 06:45:40 pm
Hillary's main problem isn't that she's a woman but that she's not a very likeable woman. Unlikeable women tend to struggle more than unlikeable men unless they are political geniuses. And Hillary isn't a political genius but Thatcher, another unlikeable woman, was.

Moderate Heroish answer I know.

This
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA/OH-CBS/YouGov: Grassley & Portman both +7 on: August 21, 2016, 02:06:03 pm
I don't think this is all because of Strickland. Portman's not exactly unpopular, and he's a relatively inoffensive senator. I always had a hard time believing that he was in as much trouble as earlier polls suggested. I initially thought he'd be less vulnerable than Toomey or Rubio, and it looks like I was probably right about that. Strickland's not totally done yet, but this race is at at least Lean R, by this point.

It has nothing to do with Portman (who isn't very entrenched).  Strickland has run an awful campaign, he'll still do much better than Sittenfield would've though.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Newspaper Endorsement Thread on: August 21, 2016, 02:01:49 pm
The Columbus Disgrace will probably endorse Trump.

I seriously wonder. I think the Dispatch will go "no endorsement". It'll never back Hillary , but is too close to Kasich and respectable to go for Trump.

I guess I could see them going "No Endorsement," but I think they'll end up sticking with Trump.  They're simply that partisan.  It'll be a hilariously unenthusiastic "endorsement" though.
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy birthday Kalwejt! on: August 20, 2016, 10:25:42 pm
I'm real late, but happy birthday!
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do you think the previous poster thinks of you? on: August 20, 2016, 12:39:15 pm
Probably thinks my political views are crazy.

On polygamy? Yeah, definitely.  And if you were one of the pro-legalizing incest people (I forget), that's pretty nuts too.  Of course, neither of those are anywhere near as bad as the time you said Heath Ledger was the worst Joker Tongue

*SKIP*
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is your reaction most of the time you read a Seriously? post? on: August 20, 2016, 11:48:26 am
I forget if I have him on ignore or not, but either way I barely notice him.  I've been on Atlas since 2005 and eventually you develop a sort of selective blindness for some (but certainly not all) bad/troll posts, or at least I did.  Given that all Seriously? does is troll in such an obvious and OTT way that it's hard to take anything he posts...err...seriously, he's pretty easy to ignore and if people weren't always making threads like this, I'd probably forget he even posted here, tbh.  Having a thicker skin and being able to ignore some of the crazy is really the only way to keep your sanity here Tongue (although I admittedly probably still get annoyed more than I should, especially when I'm already upset about RL stuff)

21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do you think the previous poster thinks of you? on: August 20, 2016, 11:43:47 am
I don't think he has an opinion of me, tbh.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the Previous Poster on: August 20, 2016, 11:42:25 am
HP, but one of those non-entity ones that you always forget exists about five seconds after seeing one of their bad posts.
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Who is, in your opinion, the best Joker? on: August 19, 2016, 06:27:43 pm
Heath Ledger is objectively the only correct answer to this question.
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Justice Department says it will end use of private prisons on: August 19, 2016, 06:21:27 am
I echo everyone, this is really fantastic news. I really didn't think I'd see this happen any time soon, and frankly I doubted I'd even see it in my lifetime. Private prisons are an utter abomination, a mockery of justice and human decency that should never have been allowed to exist in the first place. This is truly a good and important day for America.

Sincerely, thank you, Obama.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sabato Crystal Ball Megathread: Latest NH to Likely D on: August 18, 2016, 06:46:25 am
B-b-b-but muh elastic swingy White Granite Staters Sad Sad

lol, did you like the opening paragraph?

Quote
New Hampshire may just have four electoral votes, but itís important. If you doubt it, just ask any Granite State citizens, and theyíll tell you about their first-in-the-nation primary. Even that quartet of electoral votes can matter; in 2000, if Al Gore had just won them (and without Ralph Nader on the ballot, he probably would have), Gore would have been president even without Florida. He didnít and he wasnít.
Look, 2000 was just a fluke, Bush was a good fit for the state (in 2000) and had family connections to New England. Since then, the nation has become more polarized and New Hampshire has swung hard to the left. The state is still important due to the primary, but that's it. It is NOT a swing state. Period. End of story. People need to stop fussing over that stupid little state.

That's not it and IIRC, it was pretty close in 2004 too.  Until 2006, its whole congressional delegation was Republican and had been since 1994.  However, the Republican Party has changed quite a bit since then and in doing so, has alienated many voters who used to vote straight ticket Republican.  And it isn't like the Dems have a lock on the state.  Sununu clearly would've won had he been up in 2010 rather than 2008 and Shaheen (along with John Lynch) was considered one of the only two Dems with a shot at unseating him.  Scott Brown coming as close as he did was a fluke, but Ayotte destroyed Hodes in 2010.  She's doing badly now b/c she's run a piss-poor campaign.  Ayotte used the same strategy with Trump that Blanche Lincoln used for Obamacare with predictable results.  She was narrowly leading until that happened and never recovered.
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