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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should foreign policy doves vote for Trump? on: April 29, 2016, 09:07:34 am
He is certainly less agressive than Hillary. Military force will be his last resort.

Considering he doesn't have much to fall back on, it'll be a first resort pretty quickly.

There is no doubt that Hillary shoots first and asks questions later, while it's the opposite with Trump. Can you claim otherwise?


Trump shoots without ever asking any questions. He is not interested in the answers anyway: uless these come from his own "brain".
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump? on: April 28, 2016, 05:05:32 pm
She should, but she will not.

I will not feel safe for a moment between now and November. Shyte has the propensity to happen, and Trump, unfortunately, cannot be dismissed.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican state elections 2016 on: April 28, 2016, 03:58:54 pm


PRI ahead in Sinaloa 35.1 vs 24.6.   I guess PAN rebel Manuel Clouthier did not end up running or else PAN would be even worse shape.

Remember: last time PAN's victory was only "technical". Malova, the incumbent governor, is a caudillo, with zero party allegiance. He happened to choose the PAN/PRD lines, because these were made available to him. Counting him as a "panista" is not, really, proper.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Are Reagan Democrats beginning to turn to Trump? on: April 28, 2016, 12:19:19 pm
"Reagan Democrats"? They've been with Trump from the beginning. But, then, they haven't voted for a Democrat in over 35 years now.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hispanic Voter Registration Spikes on: April 28, 2016, 12:15:23 pm
Reason why Susana Martinez is the no brainer choice for Trump as VP. She checks all of the boxes he should be looking for in a running mate, I don't think there is another person out there who does.

Not saying this will make that much of a difference with this hispanic vote because people vote for the top of the ticket not the VP. BUT it certainly couldn't hurt him with trying to win over more of their votes.

She would severely hurt her social relationships if she accepts. I would not be surprised if much of her  family would disown her publicly if she does.

I do not think you really understand the feeling this guy has generated.
6  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Ethnic groups, assimilation and voting on: April 27, 2016, 07:55:02 pm
I always like to quote the old interview of the original leader of Russian Socialist Revolutionary terrorists, Grigory Gershuni, which he gave upon arrival into the US after fleeing the Siberian prison he had been sent to (this was in the 1900s, Teddy Roosevelt's time). Apparently, when he came to San Francisco, a "delegation" showed up in his hotel, asking that he make a speech. As he told the journalist, Gershuni was surprised (Revolution in the US was not on his radar) and asked if there would be people in the city, for whom it would be interesting. The response was that the town was full of Jews. Gershuni, then, asked, if they (the Jews) were ready for the revolution. "Jews are always ready for the revolution" was the obvious response of the "delegates".  

Of course, some of the more prosperous German Jews were on the conservative side. But, overwhelmingly, back then Jews were urban migrant rif-raf, and urban migrant rif-raf back then voted for Democrats (if they voted), or, else, for somebody on the extreme left. For many Jews FDR, when he emerged, was a fairly conservative mainstream politician. As late as in the late 1940s in New York "right", if said in Yiddish, meant a socialist (a Bernie Sanders type, though, perhaps, a tad more radical). "Left" was reserved for the proper Communists.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: April 26, 2016, 05:08:57 pm
°!
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 04:39:07 pm
For Pennsylvania:
The Democratic Campaign..
71% energized the party
24% divided the party

Broken down by candidate:
Clinton:
82% energized the party
12% divided the party

Sanders:
58% energized the party
37% divided the party

Implying 54% Clinton, 46% Sanders Smiley
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When it comes to Sanders' electability, don't believe the polls on: April 26, 2016, 11:50:17 am
Wow! I haven't even heard half the stuff mentioned in the article. Ol' Bernie is really a Republican oppo research team's dream come true.


Of course. Republicans have not even started to attack Sanders, because a) it is a waste of time since he is not going to be the nominee and b) they would much prefer him to be the nominee in any case. If he were to be nominated, within weeks he would be made the scary socialist enemy of America No.1 in the popular mind. Full disclaimer: I myself do not consider him that (at least, not the "enemy of America" part). But his current popularity in the general public is a direct consequence of him not being the likely nominee.
10  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of Leon Trotsky on: April 26, 2016, 06:29:12 am
The Mexican surrealist?
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican state elections 2016 on: April 26, 2016, 12:52:13 am
For Veracruz and QR this would be the first non-PRIista victory. Tlaxcala would confirm its status as a never-repeat state. It has been PRI/PRD/PAN/PRI in as many elections, so it would seem to be continuing on the second circle Smiley Zacatecas has been in the past a PRDista stronghold, and Chihuahua and Ags. have both seen PAN governments. Durango, Tamaulipas and Hidalgo are always faithful to the old party, it seems.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WaPo: The ĎNever Trumpí movement had the Worst Week in Washington on: April 24, 2016, 11:17:36 am
The "Never Trump" folks and people like George Will and the dipsh**s at National Review have to pray that Trump is not the GOP's next Reagan.  They are now invested in his failure, because if he makes the country great again they will be exposed as frauds.

I think, this is a very easy bet to make. As easy as betting he is not the next Mother Theresa or Grandma Moses.
13  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of William Jennings Bryan on: April 23, 2016, 12:34:33 am
I pretty much would have disagreed with him on every single thing, and generally believe him to be wrong on pretty much anything he ever cared about, but he was an honest man.
14  General Discussion / History / Re: Could Yugoslavia have been saved? on: April 23, 2016, 12:31:38 am
Only as a ruthless dictatorship and only as long as that would last.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos on: April 22, 2016, 08:08:19 pm
I live in a latino neighborhood, married into a latino family, and my clients at work are predominantly latino.

Trump is more than toxic. He's literally the devil here. Just saying his name puts a sour look on people's faces.

I have not, yet, met a Mexican who merely dislikes Trump. It is universally ranging between "dead scared" and "hate passionately". I do not think most Anglos realize just how toxic Trump is at this point.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos on: April 22, 2016, 08:05:16 pm
11%? Come on. If MITT ROMNEY could get over 20%, you really think Trump will get 11%? I just don't buy it.

Yeah, sounds a bit too high, I would have expected single digits. But, then, Latinos are rather heterogeneous.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When did Clinton become the prohibitive favorite? on: April 21, 2016, 11:20:37 pm
When Biden declined
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Reaction to a Trump nomination from the governments of USís Western allies on: April 21, 2016, 01:29:33 pm
The only people who will comment from overseas are people who don't like him.

People who agree that you can secure your borders and control foreign trade wont say a word.

So it will be very biased.

Australia closed its borders to illegal boat arrivals, and not one illegal has arrived by boat since 2013/14.

Yet no one bats an eyelid anymore, left wing or right wing. Its a nil political debate when your borders are secure.

Mexicans are getting ticked off because Donald Trump wants to control our southern border?

No, because we all are rapists and robbers.

And that is something Mr. Trump and his followers will never live down. Next time, when you talk about how much you like Mr. Trump in the presence of a Latino gardener or hotel maid, or, for that matter, a Latino Ivy League Prof., keep in mind what he thinks about you. Hint: S/he thinks you are a rapist and a bandit.

You're absolutely right. What Trump should say: "I'd like to clarify something I said earlier. All of those illegal immigrants that dislike me so much? Well, I can tell you with 100% certainty that 100% of them have broken the law."

You see, despite the objections of the PC police, there's a reason for someone being called an illegal immigrant...

So you think all Mexicans are rapists? Because that is what they are pissed about.....

Of course we can do our own generalization. All Trump supporters are human trash! Racist pieces of sh**t.

And, in fact, they are. Every day one of them goes through without being publically called a worthless piece of sh**t at least four or five times is a day that God chose to look the other way.
19  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: "Oriental Republic of Uruguay" and other weird official state names on: April 21, 2016, 01:23:33 pm
Why do we say THE Ukraine? Is that just an English thing? Do people elsewhere say, "I'm going to Ukraine" without the "the"?

I understand the Bahamas, the United States, the Phillipines, etc. but THE Ukraine always stood out to me.


Also, I noticed that Gambia is listed as "The Gambia", but I've never heard anyone use the definite article in front.

Actually, Ukrainians insist on dropping the "the" in English. Of course, Ukrainian itself has no articles.

Nor does Russian: yet,there is a similar argument about Ukraine in Russian. Traditionally, in Russian people would say "on Ukraine" when they meant either "in Ukraine" or "to Ukraine" ("na Ukraine/na Ukrainu" vs. "v Ukraine/v Ukrainu") and "off Ukraine" wheny they meant "from Ukraine" ("s Ukrainy" vs. "iz Ukrainy").  Ukrainians are mad about this. Before the war I was of the traditionalist opinion about this quirk of the Russian language, but, of course, ever since Russia invaded, it also took away my ability to insist on the traditional usage. Though it does not sound natural, I am doing my best to keep to "v Ukrainu/iz Ukrainy" now.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NYC vote by precinct on: April 20, 2016, 05:35:09 pm
Are there still 350 precincts not in? or is that just geographic noise?

NYT says it is 60 for Dems and 101 for Reps.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Treasury Sec. to announce Harriet Tubman will replace Jackson on the $20 bill on: April 20, 2016, 03:28:17 pm
This move honors both of them quite nicely, considering what Jackson thought about paper money anyway.

As well as what he thought of the central banks.

Good choice.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NYC vote by precinct on: April 20, 2016, 03:17:11 pm
If anything the "affluent liberal Jewish" demographic may be more centered in Manhattan than it was in the John Lindsay era, when the Forest Hills and Riverdale outposts would have been larger.

The ex-Soviet non-Ashkenazic Jewish communities are something of their own world. I wish we would know a bit more about what is going on in there.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NYC vote by precinct on: April 20, 2016, 03:09:10 pm
Does Forest Hills still have a lot of affluent liberal Jews, or is that perception about 40 years out of date?

From a little digging, it seems to now have a lot of post soviet Bukharan immigrant Jews.

Also the Georgian Jews. These are not quite the same.
24  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Sixty Minutes Australia on: April 18, 2016, 05:39:14 pm
An Australian woman hired a bunch of goons to get her kids back from their father, with whom they live in Lebanon. On top, she somehow got an Australian TV channel involved. All of them (including the woman and the journalists hoping for a great reality TV scoop) got arrested - in Lebanon. The father, unsurprizingly, wants everybody to be prosecuted to the full: and, I bet, he will get his wish.

A nasty divorce story will, it seems, become a gigantic international Jerry Springer show. With a nasty jail included for free.  
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is the most moderate Republican candidate running (TRUMP, Kasich, or Cruz)? on: April 18, 2016, 03:00:29 pm
Trump is not a moderate at all - he is simply not quite a Republican. He is very radical, just not in the dimensions American politicians tend to be radical.
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