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September 19, 2014, 04:56:02 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 07:29:45 pm
To summarise Sibboleth's explanation, Scotland gets 50%+1 because the British government has implicitly accepted those terms in Scotland and allowed a referendum, whereas the Scottish government has not done so for Shetland.

True. But the Parliament would still have to act to implement the referendum decision. As far as I understand, it has not committed to the exact shape of Scottish independence. It would be, let us say, interesting Smiley
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 07:28:10 pm
If Scotland can dissolve its union with a 50%+1 vote, why shouldn't some of the council areas dissolve their relationship with Scotland with the same such vote?

Scotland is a nation. Council areas are not.

"Nation" is but a legal definition. The Parliament would be able to create a few, if it so desires.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would you rather be President? on: September 10, 2014, 06:02:52 pm
Cuomo, of course.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ukraine Crisis on: September 10, 2014, 01:14:06 pm
If you thought that the far-right battalions were an invention of Russian propaganda and would not create any problem:

Quote
"I have nothing against Russian nationalists, or a great Russia," said Dmitry, as we sped through the dark Mariupol night in a pickup truck, a machine gunner positioned in the back. "But Putin's not even a Russian. Putin's a Jew."
[...]
But there is an increasing worry that while the Azov and other volunteer battalions might be Ukraine's most potent and reliable force on the battlefield against the separatists, they also pose the most serious threat to the Ukrainian government, and perhaps even the state, when the conflict in the east is over. The Azov causes particular concern due to the far-right, even neo-Nazi leanings of many of its members.
[...]
Poroshenko will be killed in a matter of months, Dmitry said, and a dictator will come to power.
"What are the police going to do? They could not do anything against the peaceful protesters on Maidan; they are hardly going to withstand armed fighting units."
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/10/azov-far-right-fighters-ukraine-neo-nazis

https://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/know-your-volunteer-battalions-infographic-363944.html

Azov is an actual right-wing neo-fascist battalion - at least, its leadership is (most of the fighters by now are there simply because it was a fighting unit which they could join - they have been taking all volunteers). Unlike the Right Sector, at least, this one is not a fiction. It, also, should not be compared to the other units - it IS the one about which this is well-known and acknowledged by most Ukrainians as well. In fact, I heard a very detailed analysis of this that had been broadcast on Ukrainian TV.

The other volunteer units, for the most part, are not ideologically similar. Yes, they are real irregular forces, some of them pretty ruthless - but they do not come from the same ideological core as Azov. And, in any case, Azov is precisely local, Eastern Ukrainian - that is where such views are a lot more common. it is not a Western Ukrainian import.

Then, again, these sorts of statements are a lot more common among the "Novorossiya" fighters and among the Russians in General. They are all convinced that Poroshenko is, really, a Waltzman - and are not at all embarrassed about saying that (no more embarrassed than they are about, say, spotting Swastika-like tattoos). At this point, such views (sans accusing comrade Putin himself) come close to being Russias official ideology. They are most definitely the official ideology of nearly the entire "Novorossiya" leadership. This is not what Putin and most of the Russians call "fascism" - that is healthy patriotism for them. As far as they are concerned, Ukrainians are fascists not because of the Azov (ideologically, they find precisely these guys the most similar and easiest to understand) - but because they do not consider themselves Russian and even sometimes dare to speak Ukrainian. BTW, same is true of the Jews - they are not Russian, and, therefore, they are fascist. The word "fascist" in the current Russian parlance simply means somebody who does not like the Russian policy of reclaiming its rightful territory. That is as simple as that.

There is a good reason Ukrainian Jews are so united in support of their "fascist" government. They know what Russian "anti-fascism" means - and it means nothing good for the Jews.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 10, 2014, 12:38:16 pm
She almost hit 40% - to all the people who scoffed earlier, ha.


34.3% to be more precise (with 99% reporting). Hard to round that up to 40%, though, of course, still respectable. Cuomo is at 62.2% and Credico at 3.6%. Hochul is just a whisker below 60%.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Fracking Spurs Rust Belt Revival on: September 10, 2014, 12:55:20 am
Manufacturing is coming back because American labor is so much cheaper now.

It sounds crazy, but some manufacturing is offshored to Singapore, which has 64% higher cost of living than Detroit.

http://www.expatistan.com/cost-of-living/comparison/detroit/singapore?

If you are an expat. In the Socialist Republic of Singapore you get subsidized housing - and a lot more - if you are a native.  And you do not have to be paid much if you are a migrant worker (not to be confused with an expat). It is not a free market paradise it is rumored to be - if anything, it is a planned economy. But the government sure takes care of business.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 10, 2014, 12:37:26 am
With 98% reporting, Cuomo is at 62.1%.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 11:51:54 pm
The question is: will he win 2/3 in November?
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 11:36:53 pm
Cayuga voted for Cuomo.

By 11 votes Smiley
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 11:33:16 pm
Meanwhile, it has crept up to 61.9%
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 11:22:07 pm
96% reporting, unchanged at 61.8%

BTW, Hochul is impressively better than Cuomo in West NY. So far, she won 6 counties Cuomo lost (the only one that went the other way is Manhattan).
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 11:16:21 pm
94% reporting, Cuomo at 61.8%. Might well cross 62%.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) on: September 09, 2014, 11:03:59 pm
RIP anyone who was taking a shot for each county Teachout won. She's won almost 30.

RIP in peace Panda Express.

May be, he is Russian Smiley We will know, if we hear from him again Smiley
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:56:12 pm
61.7% with 93% reporting (the Bronx is at 80%, but Manhattan is at 83%).
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:51:00 pm
Also, Hochul is at 59.7%. Would be interesting to see if she hits 60%.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:48:23 pm
The rest of Erie came in. With 92% reporting (78% in the Bronx) it is 61.6%  Cuomo. Might make it to 62%.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:40:16 pm
91% reporting, Cuomo at 61.2% (but the Bronx is up to 76% reporting).
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:38:12 pm
Interestingly, Westchester is now also at 61.1%!
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:35:18 pm
ag, do you think Cuomo has any chance of hitting 62%?

A chance - may be. If you consider rounding to the integers - not unlikely Smiley

90% reporting, 61.1% (and he is now ahead in Orange county - by a single vote!)
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:30:48 pm
89% reporting - Cuomo at 61%
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:26:55 pm
88% reporting (the Bronx at 64%), back to 60.9% Cuomo
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:25:09 pm
Primarying people aside, New York politics is terrible.  We need actual grassroots progressive organizing.  We've never created that infrastructure because we never needed it to win statewide.  Relying on these corrupt unions and machine politics might be fine in an general election, but it leaves us with no strength to hold these bums accountable.

Dem party is, primarily, urban. You have any problem with that?

I don't know what you mean.

Where there are a lot of people, there has to be a good machine to run them Smiley
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:22:45 pm
The Cuomo-Hochul spread is a lot smaller than I thought.  The Cuomo machine did its job in getting the machine vote to Hochul well.

And whatever it did not, she did a good job compensating in the Upstate. She is a solid politician, always liked her.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:21:03 pm
With 86% reporting it is, actually, slightly down: to 60.7%. I think it was a bit of Manhattan.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 10:19:59 pm
Primarying people aside, New York politics is terrible.  We need actual grassroots progressive organizing.  We've never created that infrastructure because we never needed it to win statewide.  Relying on these corrupt unions and machine politics might be fine in an general election, but it leaves us with no strength to hold these bums accountable.

Dem party is, primarily, urban. You have any problem with that?
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