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May 03, 2016, 05:09:46 pm
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would you rather have as President? Cruz or Trump? on: Today at 03:24:39 pm
Cruz. I would be shyte-scared of him, of course.  But he is less dangerous.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Bernie supporters who unironically intend to vote for TRUMP in the GE on: Today at 02:53:26 pm
Let me just remind everybody, that I firmly consider everyone who will vote for Trump (and their mothers) to be worthless piece of subhuman shyte. That does, of course, include all such posters here Smiley
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican state elections 2016 on: Today at 10:56:18 am


Tlaxcala has 3 way fight with PAN 30 PRD 29 PRI-PVEM-PANAL-PS 26

The one consistently 3-party state of Mexico is true to its reputation Smiley
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What could Bernie have done to win? on: May 02, 2016, 07:56:57 pm
Get Hillary Clinton indicted between mid March and early April. Pretty much the only thing he could do. Any earlier, and somebody else would have run on her machine. And by now even that may be too late.
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Venezuela Runs Out of Beer on: May 02, 2016, 06:41:28 pm
Not the worst thing, Chavez has done a lot of good things for Venezuela and the poor. Maduro not so much, they're still better then they're opponents though.

Will you continue saying this when Venezuela's poor start starving to death? I guess, most likely, you will.

"Their opponents" at this point, is a catch-all for pretty much everything and anything in Venezuelan politics, starting with pretty far damn left. The only thing that unifies them, is the realization that Venezuela is rapidly approaching a humanitarian and social disaster. At this point, it is not clear how the country is supposed to survive till the end of the year without, literally, people going hungry. Frankly, it is hard to see how that would be possible without a massive international aid program. It is not about beer, for god's sake: it is bread we are talking about. Bread and arepas. Venezuela is collapsing to the point that we should be thinking of how to help Colombia deal with the refugee flows. This ongoing collapse is entirely self-inflicted: caused by a series of insane government policies (though, I am afraid, at this point we may be past the moment when merely stopping those policies would rectify the situation). 

And you, meanwhile, are still talking of "Maduro doing some good" and "being better than his opponents". At this point, I am afraid, whatever your ideological preferences, the only sense in which Maduro could be better than even the more unpleasant than his opponents, is the same sense in which smallpox is "better" than chicken pox. I guess, you always can find some upside. For instance, smallpox is "better" in that it guarantees more work for the undertakers.
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Most futuristic-looking cities in the world? on: May 02, 2016, 03:20:08 pm
(This picture is from Atyrau on the Kazachi Caspian Sea coast, so not technically Astana; but you probably wouldn't need to look far to find similar in Astana)

You'd probably struggle to find something exactly like that in Astana, if only because Astana was basically built from scratch to be a purpose built capital city just because Nazarbayev wanted a different capital city;

Not quite true. Akmolinsk/Tselinograd/Akmola/Astana does have some history.  Officially, it was founded in 1830.  There are still Soviet streets like this over there



And even pre-Soviet places like this (apparently, the building currently houses Ukrainian embassy)



and



There are still quite decrepit looking parts



Most of it I take from this pretty good overall survey of the surviving pre-Nazarbayev Astana over here (in Russian, but the pictures talk for themselves):

http://varandej.livejournal.com/456406.html
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should foreign policy doves vote for Trump? on: April 29, 2016, 09:07:34 am
He is certainly less agressive than Hillary. Military force will be his last resort.

Considering he doesn't have much to fall back on, it'll be a first resort pretty quickly.

There is no doubt that Hillary shoots first and asks questions later, while it's the opposite with Trump. Can you claim otherwise?


Trump shoots without ever asking any questions. He is not interested in the answers anyway: uless these come from his own "brain".
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary reach 55% in the upcoming general election against Trump? on: April 28, 2016, 05:05:32 pm
She should, but she will not.

I will not feel safe for a moment between now and November. Shyte has the propensity to happen, and Trump, unfortunately, cannot be dismissed.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican state elections 2016 on: April 28, 2016, 03:58:54 pm


PRI ahead in Sinaloa 35.1 vs 24.6.   I guess PAN rebel Manuel Clouthier did not end up running or else PAN would be even worse shape.

Remember: last time PAN's victory was only "technical". Malova, the incumbent governor, is a caudillo, with zero party allegiance. He happened to choose the PAN/PRD lines, because these were made available to him. Counting him as a "panista" is not, really, proper.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Are Reagan Democrats beginning to turn to Trump? on: April 28, 2016, 12:19:19 pm
"Reagan Democrats"? They've been with Trump from the beginning. But, then, they haven't voted for a Democrat in over 35 years now.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hispanic Voter Registration Spikes on: April 28, 2016, 12:15:23 pm
Reason why Susana Martinez is the no brainer choice for Trump as VP. She checks all of the boxes he should be looking for in a running mate, I don't think there is another person out there who does.

Not saying this will make that much of a difference with this hispanic vote because people vote for the top of the ticket not the VP. BUT it certainly couldn't hurt him with trying to win over more of their votes.

She would severely hurt her social relationships if she accepts. I would not be surprised if much of her  family would disown her publicly if she does.

I do not think you really understand the feeling this guy has generated.
12  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Ethnic groups, assimilation and voting on: April 27, 2016, 07:55:02 pm
I always like to quote the old interview of the original leader of Russian Socialist Revolutionary terrorists, Grigory Gershuni, which he gave upon arrival into the US after fleeing the Siberian prison he had been sent to (this was in the 1900s, Teddy Roosevelt's time). Apparently, when he came to San Francisco, a "delegation" showed up in his hotel, asking that he make a speech. As he told the journalist, Gershuni was surprised (Revolution in the US was not on his radar) and asked if there would be people in the city, for whom it would be interesting. The response was that the town was full of Jews. Gershuni, then, asked, if they (the Jews) were ready for the revolution. "Jews are always ready for the revolution" was the obvious response of the "delegates".  

Of course, some of the more prosperous German Jews were on the conservative side. But, overwhelmingly, back then Jews were urban migrant rif-raf, and urban migrant rif-raf back then voted for Democrats (if they voted), or, else, for somebody on the extreme left. For many Jews FDR, when he emerged, was a fairly conservative mainstream politician. As late as in the late 1940s in New York "right", if said in Yiddish, meant a socialist (a Bernie Sanders type, though, perhaps, a tad more radical). "Left" was reserved for the proper Communists.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: April 26, 2016, 05:08:57 pm
°!
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 04:39:07 pm
For Pennsylvania:
The Democratic Campaign..
71% energized the party
24% divided the party

Broken down by candidate:
Clinton:
82% energized the party
12% divided the party

Sanders:
58% energized the party
37% divided the party

Implying 54% Clinton, 46% Sanders Smiley
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When it comes to Sanders' electability, don't believe the polls on: April 26, 2016, 11:50:17 am
Wow! I haven't even heard half the stuff mentioned in the article. Ol' Bernie is really a Republican oppo research team's dream come true.


Of course. Republicans have not even started to attack Sanders, because a) it is a waste of time since he is not going to be the nominee and b) they would much prefer him to be the nominee in any case. If he were to be nominated, within weeks he would be made the scary socialist enemy of America No.1 in the popular mind. Full disclaimer: I myself do not consider him that (at least, not the "enemy of America" part). But his current popularity in the general public is a direct consequence of him not being the likely nominee.
16  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of Leon Trotsky on: April 26, 2016, 06:29:12 am
The Mexican surrealist?
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican state elections 2016 on: April 26, 2016, 12:52:13 am
For Veracruz and QR this would be the first non-PRIista victory. Tlaxcala would confirm its status as a never-repeat state. It has been PRI/PRD/PAN/PRI in as many elections, so it would seem to be continuing on the second circle Smiley Zacatecas has been in the past a PRDista stronghold, and Chihuahua and Ags. have both seen PAN governments. Durango, Tamaulipas and Hidalgo are always faithful to the old party, it seems.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WaPo: The ĎNever Trumpí movement had the Worst Week in Washington on: April 24, 2016, 11:17:36 am
The "Never Trump" folks and people like George Will and the dipsh**s at National Review have to pray that Trump is not the GOP's next Reagan.  They are now invested in his failure, because if he makes the country great again they will be exposed as frauds.

I think, this is a very easy bet to make. As easy as betting he is not the next Mother Theresa or Grandma Moses.
19  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of William Jennings Bryan on: April 23, 2016, 12:34:33 am
I pretty much would have disagreed with him on every single thing, and generally believe him to be wrong on pretty much anything he ever cared about, but he was an honest man.
20  General Discussion / History / Re: Could Yugoslavia have been saved? on: April 23, 2016, 12:31:38 am
Only as a ruthless dictatorship and only as long as that would last.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos on: April 22, 2016, 08:08:19 pm
I live in a latino neighborhood, married into a latino family, and my clients at work are predominantly latino.

Trump is more than toxic. He's literally the devil here. Just saying his name puts a sour look on people's faces.

I have not, yet, met a Mexican who merely dislikes Trump. It is universally ranging between "dead scared" and "hate passionately". I do not think most Anglos realize just how toxic Trump is at this point.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Trump Poised to Get Lowest Vote Ever Among Latinos on: April 22, 2016, 08:05:16 pm
11%? Come on. If MITT ROMNEY could get over 20%, you really think Trump will get 11%? I just don't buy it.

Yeah, sounds a bit too high, I would have expected single digits. But, then, Latinos are rather heterogeneous.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When did Clinton become the prohibitive favorite? on: April 21, 2016, 11:20:37 pm
When Biden declined
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Reaction to a Trump nomination from the governments of USís Western allies on: April 21, 2016, 01:29:33 pm
The only people who will comment from overseas are people who don't like him.

People who agree that you can secure your borders and control foreign trade wont say a word.

So it will be very biased.

Australia closed its borders to illegal boat arrivals, and not one illegal has arrived by boat since 2013/14.

Yet no one bats an eyelid anymore, left wing or right wing. Its a nil political debate when your borders are secure.

Mexicans are getting ticked off because Donald Trump wants to control our southern border?

No, because we all are rapists and robbers.

And that is something Mr. Trump and his followers will never live down. Next time, when you talk about how much you like Mr. Trump in the presence of a Latino gardener or hotel maid, or, for that matter, a Latino Ivy League Prof., keep in mind what he thinks about you. Hint: S/he thinks you are a rapist and a bandit.

You're absolutely right. What Trump should say: "I'd like to clarify something I said earlier. All of those illegal immigrants that dislike me so much? Well, I can tell you with 100% certainty that 100% of them have broken the law."

You see, despite the objections of the PC police, there's a reason for someone being called an illegal immigrant...

So you think all Mexicans are rapists? Because that is what they are pissed about.....

Of course we can do our own generalization. All Trump supporters are human trash! Racist pieces of sh**t.

And, in fact, they are. Every day one of them goes through without being publically called a worthless piece of sh**t at least four or five times is a day that God chose to look the other way.
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: "Oriental Republic of Uruguay" and other weird official state names on: April 21, 2016, 01:23:33 pm
Why do we say THE Ukraine? Is that just an English thing? Do people elsewhere say, "I'm going to Ukraine" without the "the"?

I understand the Bahamas, the United States, the Phillipines, etc. but THE Ukraine always stood out to me.


Also, I noticed that Gambia is listed as "The Gambia", but I've never heard anyone use the definite article in front.

Actually, Ukrainians insist on dropping the "the" in English. Of course, Ukrainian itself has no articles.

Nor does Russian: yet,there is a similar argument about Ukraine in Russian. Traditionally, in Russian people would say "on Ukraine" when they meant either "in Ukraine" or "to Ukraine" ("na Ukraine/na Ukrainu" vs. "v Ukraine/v Ukrainu") and "off Ukraine" wheny they meant "from Ukraine" ("s Ukrainy" vs. "iz Ukrainy").  Ukrainians are mad about this. Before the war I was of the traditionalist opinion about this quirk of the Russian language, but, of course, ever since Russia invaded, it also took away my ability to insist on the traditional usage. Though it does not sound natural, I am doing my best to keep to "v Ukrainu/iz Ukrainy" now.
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