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1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Orthodox Jew stabs six at Jerusalem Pride...again on: July 31, 2015, 09:07:58 pm
Yeah, seriously, if you don't know the difference between Orthodox and ultra-Orthodox, don't comment on Israeli politics. How can you know what Jewish Home is but not know the difference between those two?

On one hand, this is true - the poster is clueless. On the other hand, there is no question that every single ultra-Orthodox party that got into Knesset is in Netanyahu´s government.

Yeah, he was essentially boxed into allowing UTJ/Shas to set terms for their inclusion when ZU/YA flat-out refused to sit in his coalition. Shame. That's going to make it much harder to root out the radical elements in the community.

Well, Netanyahu and the crowd are, of course, much more objectionable to any sane person than UTJ or Shas. I much prefer the ultra-Orthodox pigheadedness - which, of course, is representative of what our ancestors have been for millenia - than the pseudo-modern nationalism of Likud. Because the ultra-Orthodox are merely ignorant. But Likudniks are knowingly evil.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Republika Srpska referendum on most loaded poll question ever - September, 2015 on: July 31, 2015, 08:12:59 pm
So, to sum up: a joke referendum with a joke question in a joke autonomous entity within a joke country.

Can't we be more creative... Or should I say Churchillian?...  A farcical referendum with a ridiculous question in a laughable autonomous entity within a parody of a country?
3  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Who will be head of government in each of the following on Jul 30, 2020 on: July 31, 2015, 08:08:40 pm
I don't understand why so many people are picking a different Tory leader in the UK.

You may have a point.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Who will be head of government in each of the following on Jul 30, 2020 on: July 31, 2015, 08:03:29 pm
Won´t be very original

UK - Theresa May
USA - Hillary Clinton
Canada - Thomas Mulcair
France - Nicolas Sarkozy
Germany - Angela Merkel
Australia - Bill Shorten
Italy - Matteo Renzi
Greece - Gen. Michail Kostarakos (at the head of the Helenic National Salvation Council)

I briefly thought of an all-female list, though Smiley
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Orthodox Jew stabs six at Jerusalem Pride...again on: July 31, 2015, 07:53:46 pm
Yeah, seriously, if you don't know the difference between Orthodox and ultra-Orthodox, don't comment on Israeli politics. How can you know what Jewish Home is but not know the difference between those two?

On one hand, this is true - the poster is clueless. On the other hand, there is no question that every single ultra-Orthodox party that got into Knesset is in Netanyahu´s government.
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Russia poses 'existential' threat to US on: July 31, 2015, 07:52:20 pm
Is Russia really that dangerous?

More than that - right now it's on par with ISIL (though - in different ways) - one of 2 biggest threats to Western world

Um, no.

Only in the sense that it is a much bigger threat than ISIL.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Republican will do best among African-Americans? on: July 31, 2015, 12:43:36 am
Ben Carson or Rand Paul. Cmon, these are obvious questions.

Yeah, Carson might even get, say, 8% - or, under exceptional conditions (e.g., if Bill Clinton allows himself a racial slur in public), perhaps, 10%.
8  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Russia poses 'existential' threat to US on: July 24, 2015, 10:57:30 pm
There's also zero chance Putin is dumb enough to invade a NATO state, even with its usual proxies.

You are WAY more optimistic than I am.
9  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: 70th Anniversary of Germany's surrender in WWII. on: July 24, 2015, 10:32:04 pm
BTW, I have discovered this wonderful Russian version of the Njet Molotoff. There are still compatriots that have the right spirit out there Smiley

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bW8_iAlGo3E

10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can the Trump phenomenon change the GOP rethoric about immigration? on: July 24, 2015, 10:01:16 pm

At the same time, I agree with the notion that we should limit family unification and instead get folks to come here legally that can work here. Immigrants are twice as likely as native born citizens to start a business and thus, create jobs.


The businesses that immigrants start typically create very few jobs and usually only for other immigrants and very low paying/under the table.

Like this one

www.google.com
11  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: How is President Trump going to deal with Russia? on: July 24, 2015, 07:37:20 am
There will be none of this "seeing into Putin's soul nonsense."

It will be a continuous sequence of diplomatic incidents and recalling of ambassadors, interspersed by hard ball deal making.

But one thing to watch out for is the possibility that Trump will form an anti-Chinese and anti-Mexian alliance with Russia, recognizing where the true threat to America lies. Trump is an opportunistic strategerist at heart.

Actually, Putin, after a joint bunga-bunga session, will appoint Trump Russian economics minister. Are you trying out for a position in the ministry?
12  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Favorite Churches on: July 24, 2015, 12:07:08 am
We need a bit of Mexico

Ocotlan, Tlaxcala


Tonantzintla, Puebla


Santo Domingo, Oaxaca City, inside



outside

13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The cause of the Trump surge. on: July 23, 2015, 11:59:22 pm
Reading Fuzzybear's posts makes me realize why low-income southern whites are staunch Republicans.

But that does not explain why non-southern whites aren´t Smiley
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb's Wife on: July 23, 2015, 11:35:43 pm
The racism in this thread is appalling, and besides the very premise of it is flawed: while Columba Bush's native language is Spanish, and while her marriage ceremony with Jeb was indeed conducted in Spanish, Mrs. Bush has been a U.S. citizen since 1979 and the fact that she has learned English since then is well-documented.

Well, yeah, on my side there is quite a bit of a typical defeño fresa attitude towards a poor girl from Guanajuato Smiley Most definitely counts as racism Smiley

Anyway, her English is much better than my Spanish. And I have been Mexican for many years now Smiley
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Who were the few R voters in the Deep South until 1944? on: July 23, 2015, 11:05:02 pm
On the surface it would seem that with Democrats winning such high percentages, there is no way the GOP would ever win the popular vote. But the substantial decline in turnout in the South's general elections meant that the mid 50's numbers the GOP would get in the big Northern states would be sufficient to win the popular vote as a result.

This is why it makes no sense to calculate nationwide popular vote in the US - or, at least, to take it is a measure of nationwide popular will. States have different electoral laws. The president is not elected by the popular vote. If s/he were, turnout patterns would have been very different.

In any case, adding popular vote in SC in 1924 to the popular vote in New York that same year is akin to calculating an average body temperature in a hospital (including the morgue): pretty damn stupid exercise.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb's Wife on: July 23, 2015, 10:55:29 pm
I would imagine that most of her accent is not a result of a lack of knowledge, but simply a lack of practice (living in Coral Gables and all). That's something that can be remedied.

Too late at this age, probably. It is, actually, pretty difficult to correct an accent once it sets - unless the person has particularly good musical abilities, which she, probably, does not. Might be partially doable with some acting training, but not worth the effort, really. And, in fact, it does seem quite likely that they speak a lot of Spanish at home. Probably, a lot more than I do in Mexico Smiley
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb's Wife on: July 23, 2015, 08:56:45 pm
It was surprisingly difficult to find a video of Columba Bush speaking English, but I managed to unearth one from 2003 (she speaks for about 2 minutes starting at around the 22:00 mark): http://www.c-span.org/video/?174950-1/girls-substance-abuse.

She has an accent but is clearly fluent. People who describe her English as "broken" or "halting" either have unrealistic standards for language proficiency or just simply don't like Hispanics. Of course, attacks on her accent/English ability will doubtlessly be made, considering that this is the Republican primary, where all-Americanness is celebrated and racial dog-whistling and sometimes overt appeals to racism are standard fare.

As an "Anglo-Mexican", I might be more tolerant of English accent in Spanish than the reverse (my own accent in Spanish is awful), but, I must say, I think Jeb speaks better Spanish than her English (actually, I think he speaks better Spanish than his own Hispanic son). She is ok - if she were Chinese, it would have been excellent. But, frankly, many of my Mexican students manage better. She speaks about as well as Pena Nieto, I guess - certainly, Felipe Calderon does better.

Now, that was a badly "fresa" comment on my part Smiley
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can the Trump phenomenon change the GOP rethoric about immigration? on: July 23, 2015, 08:48:02 pm
Yes, but I think Trump could drive the candidates to the left on immigration.  This press he has received over his comments has been so negative I think it will scare away any more candidates from saying anything radical on the subject.  Ever since this whole thing blew up we haven't really heard any other candidates say anything inflammatory about it

Inflammatory stuff - on any issue - is not what wins elections in a two-party system. Radical anti-migrant parties in Europe would be extremely happy about getting, say, 35% of the vote - 35% would be a horrid landslide loss in the US. That is, basically, the difference.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can the Trump phenomenon change the GOP rethoric about immigration? on: July 23, 2015, 08:46:04 pm
...in a European Populist way, making it the main issue for some candidates (not the pseudo hispanics) and opposing it in a radical way?

Explain with maps.

And it has not happened long before Trump? I thought it had.

Now, of course, to the extent Trump makes it even more associated with the Republican party, it is a great gift for the Dems. Remember, US has FPTP a two-party system. Getting 40% of the vote is not enough to win elections. Both parties have to be grand coalitions, which means radicalism - in any dimension - is damaging. Limiting partisan base to just whites and desperately losing cities has already been a problem for the Republicans. The more openly anti-migrant speech will force minorities and urbanites even further into the Dem column.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 05:42:45 pm
Retrumplican is an obvious sock/troll who needs to be banned pronto. I hate to feed the troll, but his case requires quick action. 67 posts per day? Seriously? Stop this guy from derailing the 2016 board even more.

But he is trully funny. We can enjoy his chatter in the background without him derailing the rest of the conversation. It might not be as good as Steven Colbert in his prime, but it is a solid comedy effort.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 05:39:40 pm
America is a great country, which I admire and love. Do not say such cruelly dismissive things about it.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 05:38:50 pm
We get it. You're troll persona shtick is that you're an unironic Trump hack. But you're supposed to ease into the trolling if you want to get people to take the bait.  

I am not a troll any more than Donald Trump is.

That is, pretty much, a confession.

Nice, can you deal with him now?

 Maybe from a perspective that you don't like.

Rather, find hilariously funny.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 05:37:06 pm
I am not a troll any more than Donald Trump is.

That is, pretty much, a confession.

Huh?

Well, you've pleaded guilty to the trolling charge in front of you. Case closed and filed.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 05:24:10 pm
We get it. You're troll persona shtick is that you're an unironic Trump hack. But you're supposed to ease into the trolling if you want to get people to take the bait. 

I am not a troll any more than Donald Trump is.

That is, pretty much, a confession.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What could take down Trump? on: July 23, 2015, 05:22:50 pm
Donald Trump, of course.
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