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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 31, 2014, 09:05:51 pm
Republicans: 502,961 (41.3%)
Democrats: 391,509 (32.1%)
Unaffiliated: 323,228 (26.6%)

Percentage of active voters by party registration who have already voted: (with percentage point change from last update)

Republican: 53.0% (+2.9)
Democratic: 43.8% (+2.3)
Unaffiliated: 31.3% (+3.1)
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 31, 2014, 04:40:10 pm
"And if Michelle Nunn wins, Democrats keep control of the Senate..." -Barack Obama

I have heard this line at least twenty times today in radio ads, usually coupled with Nunn's "I defer to the President's judgement". It's brutally effective

Why in the world would Barry-O say something like that anywhere near a microphone? Sad

3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Without looking, which sacrificial lambs do you recognize? (Gov. edition) on: October 31, 2014, 02:36:55 pm
haha wait there's an actual candidate named Charlie Brown
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 31, 2014, 02:32:35 pm
The Democrats easily close the gap in Colorado and abort both Personhood stooges.

New Colorado Numbers:
1,149,745 votes banked.
Republicans - 475,677 votes (41.4%)
Democrats - 371,190 votes (32.3%)
Independents - 290,600 (25.3%)
Other minor parties remains around 1%

Turnout is now at 63% of 2010 turnout of 1.821 million.

Sourcing: http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/ACE/VoterTurnout/atlas.html?indicator=i1&indicator2=i4

Active Registered Republican voters who have already voted: 50.1%
Active Registered Democratic voters who have already voted: 41.5%
Active Registered Unaffiliated voters who have already voted: 28.2%

source for the total number of voters by party affiliation here: http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VoterRegNumbers/2014/September/VotersByPartyStatus.pdf
5  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: National Atlas of Atlasia on: October 30, 2014, 09:04:42 pm
Four major party's members by state:







6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / National Atlas of Atlasia on: October 30, 2014, 08:18:19 pm
Hello, here is a thread for maps of Atlasia. I shall by start posting this map with the number of citizens per state/province (current as of right now although errors are entirely possible). I will post more maps, and others are certainly welcome to participate!

7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: BK4Senate Exploratory Committee on: October 30, 2014, 06:49:38 pm
BK4Senate Exploratory Committee announces that it has officially contracted with Atawater & Cohn to assist in conducting and organizing the BK4Senate campaign. Atawater & Cohn President A.C. Sibboleth and his organization are a valuable addition to the BK4Senate campaign team - I'm thankful for the support.
8  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The P66 Initiative on: October 30, 2014, 04:30:36 pm
You forgot about Delaware! Republitarian just moved from there to Texas so it's unpopulated now too.

Here is Atlasia's current population by state/province (click to embiggen):



62% OF OUR CITIZENS LIVE IN 20% OF THE STATES
#OCCUPYATLASIA
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: HI-01: Civil Beat: Tied on: October 30, 2014, 03:20:03 am
No clue why everyone thought this was safe D for most of the election cycle.

D+18 is a damn good reason.  This is really surprising.

Is it really though? Djou held Hanabusa to a 9 point win in 2012 even as Obama was romping with 70%+ in the state. Now there's no incumbent, it's lower turnout, more Republican friendly year, no Obama coattails, and Djou is running again. That seems like a rather obvious recipe for a very close race to me, PVI notwithstanding.

If it's D+18, a non-redistricted non-incumbent Republican should have about a 0.00% chance of winning it. The most partisan D district held by a Republican right now is CA-31, which is D+5.

In 2008, a non-redistricted non-incumbent Republican won in a D+25 district, and that wasn't even a midterm. PVI doesn't determine everything
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Gov. John Kasich's awkward interview on: October 30, 2014, 02:56:53 am
FitzGerald has some major sass!
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Mideast Telegraph Poll: Special at-large Senate election on: October 30, 2014, 02:52:05 am
as of right now:

28% Cris
26% BK
26% SWE
21% Max

it appears we are in for a close race, gentlemen Smiley
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 29, 2014, 03:31:19 am
Here's the margin shifts between last week's SUSA poll and the new one. One of these things is not like the others...

Governor: no change
Senate: Perdue + 5
Lt. Governor: Cagle + 3
Sec. of State: Kemp + 2
Attorney General: Hecht + 2
Superintendent: Woods + 3



Update: I saw a Greg Hecht ad on FOX 5 during the evening news tonight, talking about how he prosecuted child rapists. Apparently he has money for ad buys now so that's prob why he's surging

Really? I've only seen the deluge of governor and Senate ads.  My aunt claims to have seen a Casey Cagle ad but I'm not convinced.

After 9PM I think the cost for ad space drops a lot because that's when I've been seeing the downballot candidates' stuff. Yesterday I even saw a Gary Black ad!

Fun fact: excluding Deal/Perdue propaganda (which I've seen very little of), Gary Black is the only Republican candidate whose signs I've seen in NW GA. Also, I've yet to see a Perdue or Deal commercial in the general election; Nunn's team started hitting our media market about 10 days ago (was coordinated to begin the same day Sam came to Dalton) and they're running all the time. Unusual, as we never get GA Dem TV ads up here.

Here in Gwinnett it's just Perdue and Deal except for one stretch of road near Buford where there's randomly four of those big poster-sized yard signs for Casey Cagle all within two miles from each other

I do love that Nunn's uncontested in your airwaves up there, it'll surely sway at least a few votes
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 28, 2014, 11:38:07 pm
Here's the margin shifts between last week's SUSA poll and the new one. One of these things is not like the others...

Governor: no change
Senate: Perdue + 5
Lt. Governor: Cagle + 3
Sec. of State: Kemp + 2
Attorney General: Hecht + 2
Superintendent: Woods + 3



Update: I saw a Greg Hecht ad on FOX 5 during the evening news tonight, talking about how he prosecuted child rapists. Apparently he has money for ad buys now so that's prob why he's surging

Really? I've only seen the deluge of governor and Senate ads.  My aunt claims to have seen a Casey Cagle ad but I'm not convinced.

After 9PM I think the cost for ad space drops a lot because that's when I've been seeing the downballot candidates' stuff. Yesterday I even saw a Gary Black ad!
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 28, 2014, 11:00:38 pm
Here's the margin shifts between last week's SUSA poll and the new one. One of these things is not like the others...

Governor: no change
Senate: Perdue + 5
Lt. Governor: Cagle + 3
Sec. of State: Kemp + 2
Attorney General: Hecht + 2
Superintendent: Woods + 3



Update: I saw a Greg Hecht ad on FOX 5 during the evening news tonight, talking about how he prosecuted child rapists. Apparently he has money for ad buys now so that's prob why he's surging
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 28, 2014, 05:02:48 pm
Here's the margin shifts between last week's SUSA poll and the new one. One of these things is not like the others...

Governor: no change
Senate: Perdue + 5
Lt. Governor: Cagle + 3
Sec. of State: Kemp + 2
Attorney General: Hecht + 2
Superintendent: Woods + 3

16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: McDaniel forced to give in on: October 28, 2014, 02:00:53 pm
It was a 4-2 vote. Why didn't the other three participate?
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The t_host1 Institute of Comedy on: October 28, 2014, 01:06:42 pm
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=201331.0
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz writes a "2015" (cough 2016) platform on: October 28, 2014, 12:05:40 pm
For those who want to know the specific details but don't want to bother reading through the link:

Energy: Keystone pipeline, more fracking, drilling on public land, stop the EPA, repeal export ban on crude oil

Health: Repeal Obamacare, sell health insurance across state lines, more health savings accounts

Illegal Immigration: stop it, no amnesty

Things a GOP Senate Should Do: stop confirming judges who support gay marriage, hold a hearing on the IRS targeting scandal, hold a hearing on Obama's violations of civil liberties, hold a hearing on the delayed implementation of the individual mandate, hold a hearing on EPA carbon regulations, hold a hearing on Benghazi

Corruption/Reform: abolish the Export-Import Bank, cut back on corporate welfare, lifetime ban on members of Congress being employed as lobbyists

Constitutional Amendments to pass: term limits for Congress, balanced budget

Taxation: flat tax rate, no internet tax ever, abolish the IRS

Education: repeal Common Core, local control over education, "expand educational choice"

Foreign policy: get serious with ISIS and Iran, revoke the passports of Americans who join ISIS, strengthen military
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Department of Federal Elections: Homelycooking, SoFE on: October 28, 2014, 04:18:01 am
Why did you count solarstorm's Senate vote as invalid?
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: parody the preceding atlasian's postings. on: October 28, 2014, 04:00:23 am
i made my account with a disposable email, am I paranoid or maybe just a sock?? nooobody knooows
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What impression am I giving off? on: October 28, 2014, 03:52:13 am
Sure, you don't know about this, but it is kind of an inofficial rule that noone makes polls about himself. If I may give you a friendly advise, delete this thread ASAP.

he's new and he didn't know and he's apparently already insecure about what we think of him so let's let him have this one eh

New Canadaland, looking through your posts you seem to be a solid addition to the community, as you add to discussions without being trite or hostile. Welcome to the forum!
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: oh boy on: October 28, 2014, 03:38:45 am
Are we sure someone deleted a ballot? Barnes listed 33 votes when the booth was closed and there are 33 votes still in the booth. Just in case:

I think apparently someone deleted their first page vote to revote on the second page- hence Deus's vote jumping from page 2 to page 1 but the total vote count staying the same?

Also it sure is D-GA in here
23  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / A Posner decision with a great twist ending on: October 27, 2014, 09:49:51 pm
US v Jesse A Smith
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: oh boy on: October 27, 2014, 08:30:34 pm
To be honest, I haven't seen that page before with regard to NE elections.  It was passed a decade ago and was in effect for a constitution that is no longer in place (the one in '04).  The Northeast has had at least two since then. 

To my knowledge, those regulations have not been applied to elections for the Assembly since it was first established.

In my opinion, those regulations are basically defunct.  In conducting elections, I've referenced the most up-to-date version of the NE Constitution and any statute passed by the Assembly since it's establishment in 2009.



I skimmed through the Northeast statute and I haven't seen any more recent law that repealed or overwrote the clause I linked to. Although there's also this 2011 law that specifically prohibits any ballot alteration whatsoever - it was passed only a couple of months before the most recent constitution, nothing in the current constitution counteracts it, and I don't see any law contradicting it that's been passed more recently
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 27, 2014, 08:19:12 pm

Sunday early voting is the best thing

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