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February 07, 2016, 07:02:08 pm
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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: is the previous poster a dom or a sub? on: Today at 05:08:46 pm
sub.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What if someone gave this answer to the mosque question? on: Today at 05:06:22 pm
It seems offensive to say I would go to a Mosque for the purpose of trying to convert them to another religion. That is just rude to invade someone else's space that way. So I think many Democrats would find the comment unacceptable - and stupid. Some Pubs would too, but far fewer. Do you plan to go a Mosque for the purpose of trying to wean them away from their religion? If I were running the show there, I would tell you that your role while there is to be seen, not heard.

Democrats would find it unacceptable? In 2012 I heard about some hipster Christians were lit dropping liberal Christian pamphlets at mosques and Catholic/Mormon/fundamentalist churches about how they were evil if they supported the gay marriage ban in the Twin Cities. How much would you wager these people are Democrats?

That is not trying to convert them to Christianity. And it is dropping off paper, not approaching people, to boot. Surely you understand the difference don't you? You don't proselytize in someone else's house of worship. You just don't.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What if someone gave this answer to the mosque question? on: Today at 04:58:19 pm
It seems offensive to say I would go to a Mosque for the purpose of trying to convert them to another religion. That is just rude to invade someone else's space that way. So I think many Democrats would find the comment unacceptable - and stupid. Some Pubs would too, but far fewer. Do you plan to go a Mosque for the purpose of trying to wean them away from their religion? If I were running the show there, I would tell you that your role while there is to be seen, not heard.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which would be a better campaign slogan for a Democratic presidential candidate? on: Today at 04:04:02 pm
They both suck.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Dixville Notch, the midnight voting city? on: Today at 04:03:02 pm
Poor Dixville Notch. It used to have a lot more votes before the hotel shut down (which was basically the all there was in the Notch), that the owner ran himself until he died at age 102 or something.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict NH Dem numbers on: Today at 03:49:15 pm
Sanders 57
Clinton 43
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio will still receive over 20% of the vote in NH on: Today at 03:26:12 pm
And I don't hate Rubio, but on this one I pounded him hard

oh my gods torie stop shoving your homosexuality in our faces

Grow up. If my choice of words offends you, put me on ignore, and you shall be spared the discomfort.

it was a joke, ya old dodo

Too subtle for me then.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio will still receive over 20% of the vote in NH on: Today at 03:23:14 pm
And I don't hate Rubio, but on this one I pounded him hard

oh my gods torie stop shoving your homosexuality in our faces

Grow up. If my choice of words offends you, put me on ignore, and you shall be spared the discomfort.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio will still receive over 20% of the vote in NH on: Today at 03:18:49 pm
I'd be shocked if you're wrong.  This forum hates real conservatives like Rubio and Walker and wants to bury them at any possible moment.

This forum is made up of individuals. Those individuals have widely varying views. And I don't hate Rubio, but on this one I pounded him hard, because he deserved it, and it does raise concerns about his competence. I call them as I see them. Anyway, when folks go about characterizing "the forum" in such an over-generalized way, I tend to cringe. It is just false really.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 03:13:50 pm
So Lief needs the headline changed, but no infraction.
I'm confused as to why you still talk about infraction (not only in this case). These points don't exist anymore, do they?

There are no points, but posts can be infracted. That has no meaning, unless a poster is up for review for possible punishment, and then one can access the infracted posts for review. Other than this sorting function, to use in this one context, infractions have no function anymore.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 02:59:15 pm
Oh never mind, this is a false alarm. Cruz was referring to the enemy as psychopaths, not American troops in the foxhole with his daughter.

"“But the idea that their government would forcibly put them in a foxhole with a 220-pound psychopath trying to kill them doesn’t make any sense at all,” he said.



Darn it. I was hoping that this would end his campaign. This was a huge disappointment.




True, but it had to be too good to be true. The reporter who twittered the false spin, John Harwood, needs to be fired, and scorned. He's either dishonest or incompetent. This one is not Lief's fault. It's the reporter's. So Lief needs the headline changed, but no infraction. He's as innocent as a newborn babe on this one - for once. Smiley
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 02:56:48 pm
Oh never mind, this is a false alarm. Cruz was referring to the enemy as psychopaths, not American troops in the foxhole with his daughter.

"“But the idea that their government would forcibly put them in a foxhole with a 220-pound psychopath trying to kill them doesn’t make any sense at all,” he said.



That makes more sense.

The headline needs to be changed. I am going to report this.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 02:54:41 pm
Oh never mind, this is a false alarm. Cruz was referring to the enemy as psychopaths, not American troops in the foxhole with his daughter.

"“But the idea that their government would forcibly put them in a foxhole with a 220-pound psychopath trying to kill them doesn’t make any sense at all,” he said.

14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 02:52:07 pm
I have trouble believing Cruz really said that. If he did, it will be interesting to see how he walks it back. Maybe he will just deny that he said it. Is it on film?

Not sure. So far I've only seen reporters who were at the event tweeting about it.

We need the film Lief. Get your investigative team off Rubio's sex life for a moment, and on to this one, immediately.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: Today at 02:47:43 pm
I have trouble believing Cruz really said that. If he did, it will be interesting to see how he walks it back. Maybe he will just deny that he said it. Is it on film?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who lost the ABC debate? on: Today at 02:28:55 pm
Let's dispel with this fiction that we don't all know who lost tonight. We all know exactly who lost tonight.

You must have loved that debate. Well, it's good to get this all out now. In that sense, the debate was most informative.

Yes, it exceeded my wildest hopes and dreams. I assume you are on the Kasich train now?

Yes, for the moment. I am really frustrated with Rubio. Kasich is closest to my RINO views anyway (I make no secret that I am estranged from much of the Pub agenda, some of which is just silly), and his debate performance is now at least tolerable, where before it was intolerable.

Uh, oh, listening to Bill Kristol he agrees with me, that Kasich is now well positioned to get second in NH, and that Rubio hurt himself by showing that he may not be the most electable candidate, e.g., Hillary would eat him for lunch in a debate. I get nervous when Kristol agrees with me. Smiley
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH - Monmouth poll on: Today at 02:02:54 pm
Sanders has lost only 1% & the MOE is 4.4%. Clinton gains 3%. O Malley had 5% which is 0 now. So Clinton gains half of Malley's votes.

And interesting things is 58% Women & only 13% people between 17-35 in this poll, can't be any better for Hillary.

in Iowa between 17-29, the voteshare vis-a-vis total vote share was 18% which was considered much lower than Obama's 23% in 2008. Now in 17-35 (not 29), noway it is only 11% & not way is 35%(more than 1/3rd the electorate) between 50-64.

The demographic is complete BS & has very little young voter representation. 11% from 17-35, really?


If young people vote anything higher than the deplorable numbers suggested, it will be a really good win for Bernie. Anyways I personally think 15% win is very satisfactory, 20% is huge & Bernie should target 15-20% win which is still achievable.

Talk about a junk sample.  They think almost 90% of the primary is going to be people over 35?  Yikes!  What dumbs. 

In Iowa it was 18% (17-29) so 17-35 should be like 27% odd? 1000's of unpaid passionate people have gone to NH to canvass to bring a higher turnout .

In this age group Bernie is getting 80-90% of the votes, so if this was 27% instead of 11% (considering same proportion of young voters as Iowa) , the lead could be 20-22% comfortably.

We should study the break-up & methodology of all polls before commenting

Are you sure that the poll did not re-weight to make up for the small sample of younger voters?
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I really don't understand... on: Today at 01:44:53 pm
It would be nice if Rubio had an explanation as to why his attendance was so poor prior to running for POTUS. Whomever told Rubio about the inexperience charge, was to respond that Obama was inexperienced on paper, but proved to be effective and smart, but was just using his talents for evil rather than good, was quite insane. Not only is to too complicated, but part of the rap against Obama, certainly as made by the Pubs, is that he made a lot of stupid decisions, like not arming the Kurds for over a year, and otherwise dithering in the middle east, getting taken on the Iran deal, incompetently handling the introduction of Obamacare, and the stimulus, with that money sitting around with no shovel ready projects, and much of it wasted, not being effective in his relationships with Congress, being gratuitously divisive, and so forth - in short, just not ready for prime time.

Rubio just needs to list his accomplishments, and he does have a list, and that includes making a good faith effort on immigration, of which he should be proud, and not defensive. Self confidence baby. And then impress with his answers, demonstrating that he can give the most well thought out, and well, nuanced, answers, rather than just tossing out mindless red meat slogans, as so many of the candidates spend far too much time doing.

I find it all very frustrating. This should not really be that hard.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH - Monmouth poll on: Today at 01:33:33 pm
Sanders is bombing.

Yeah losing 1% from the previous poll definitely means he's finished.

Did I say he's finished? He'll win New Hampshire. But the majority of New Hampshire polls aren't showing 25% leads anymore.

You act as if the sky is falling because of 1% change. That is just statistical noise.

His point was not that Sanders is tanking, but rather that over time, Sanders has seen his lead erode down to around 10% more or less, depending on the poll, and that figure is not enough to generate more propulsion for Sanders, but rather is more of a yawn. A 20%+ margin would have given Sanders another kick start. That is all.

Oh, just for the record, if Bernie fails, unlike with Rubio, if and when he fails, and has more time, I have no interest in Bernie. Write that down Holmes for future reference. Tongue
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / NH - Monmouth poll on: Today at 01:04:49 pm
This poll was completed before the debate, and it shows Rubio stuck in the pack.

Donald Trump 30%
John Kasich (14%),
Marco Rubio (13%),
Jeb Bush (13%),
Ted Cruz (12%).
Chris Christie (6%),
Carly Fiorina (5%),
Ben Carson (4%).

Sanders 52% (-1% from last poll)
Clinton 42% (+3% from last poll)
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Christie keep going after New Hampshire? on: Today at 12:46:52 pm
Yeah, what he did was help Kasich and Jeb. He probably will drop out if he runs way behind them.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How I would beat Rubio on: Today at 12:46:02 pm
You're assuming he has the same canned answer ready for both questions A and B?
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Insiders: Marco Rubio crashed and burned on: Today at 12:00:44 pm
In other news, 538 thinks while Rubio did poorly, everything might nevertheless being reasonably OK for him. I don't agree.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What were Carson and Trump doing before the beginning of the debate? on: Today at 11:16:36 am
When the moderators called a name, and the candidate did not come out, why didn't they react to that, and ask someone to escort the candidate out, and that there must be some sort of glitch? That was really poorly handled.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict NH GOP results (post-debate) on: Today at 11:09:55 am
27% Trump
18% Kasich
14% Bush
12% Cruz
11% Rubio
10% Christie
  4% Fiorina
  3% Carson
  1% Others (big field)

Dems:

57% Sanders
42% Clinton
  1% Others (big field)

Those predictions seem quite reasonable to me.
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