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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: December 06, 2014, 09:26:56 am


Above is an AIDS fundraising event in Albany, and below is a protest by Hudsonites over the failure to indict the police officer with respect to the death of Eric Garner. I'm on the sidewalk in back holding the the sign "justice for all." Man it was cold! Partner Dan can be seen lying on the street. I was a bit too bourgeoise to go that far. Smiley


2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Cop in Eric Garner's death not indicted on: December 04, 2014, 04:17:48 pm
I don't claim to know all the facts (and won't be able to know anything more than was on the video until the grand jury transcript is released), but inasmuch as 1) Garner was committing a petty crime (selling cigarettes illegally), and the cops felt the need to handcuff him nevertheless, and when he resisted, shoved him to the ground, and then the cop uses a choke hold that is against police policy and unnecessary to boot, and then Garner says he can't breathe, and the choke hold continues even though there was no life threatening situation here to the cops, then 2) assuming the choke hold was the cause of death, my tentative view is that we have a case of criminal manslaughter here, to wit, gross negligence that showed a reckless disregard for human life that shocks the conscience, and thus rises from a civil tort to the level of a criminal act. So if causation can be shown, it seems to me that we do indeed have a miscarriage of justice here, in a way that is far clearer than the Brian Wilson episode in Ferguson. JMO.  
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: If a poster on this forum ran in real life for public office.......... on: December 04, 2014, 08:26:34 am
Doing such a thing to any poster here would be totally infra dig in my opinion.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: If you could ban the previous poster, would you? on: December 04, 2014, 08:25:17 am
Tempting, but no. He's totally incorrigible, and is after me like a predator is to prey, but yes - still lovable. I think he might like to ban me though. Tongue
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Regicide of All Time on: December 01, 2014, 06:50:35 pm
The fact that you're celebrating the death of my relatives is disgusting. Again, mods please infract/ban at will.

At least the centuries of inbreeding provides a fairly good excuse for you if someone ever points out how much of a dunce you are.

This post however is a bit beyond the line - as a personal attack. Perhaps you might want to revise, in which event I shall delete my post?
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Regicide of All Time on: December 01, 2014, 06:47:13 pm
I received a report about this thread. Yes, killing to effect change is not my cup of tea, absent the most unusual circumstances, but opinions that are not outside the terms of use on this site, no matter how otherwise offensive or uncomfortable to some, is what the public square is all about. So I took no action.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: whatever happened to the overperforming heavyweights? on: November 30, 2014, 06:03:04 pm
Gibson in NY-19 cut deeply into the Democratic vote by being a moderate Pub. Sure, his opponent, the well funded Sean Eldridge, was flawed, but winning by a 2 to 1 margin in a CD with a +1 Dem PVI is quite an achievement. Granted, upstate NY might be one of the least partisan places in the U.S. at this point. There can be large swings. As an example, Hudson, NY, which voted about 77% for Obama (58% for Sean Eldridge), has a Pub mayor, who won on the GOP line against a Dem running on the Democrat line in 2011,  and NY has partisan local elections, which I think is nutter, but that is the way it is. And then for re-election in 2013, he beat another Dem, by about a 14 point margin. The Dem he beat the second time has become a close friend of mine by the way. Interestingly, as to local issues, we agree about almost everything. And there you have it. Smiley
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Washington Post: Physical Evidence Supports Wilson's Account of Brown Shooting on: November 30, 2014, 12:29:53 pm
You need enough evidence to establish probable cause that a person committed a crime to proceed with a prosecution thereof. "Maybe" isn't enough.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Most Underrated US City on: November 29, 2014, 11:43:42 pm
Pittsburg, Chicago, and Kansas City. Most overrated is San Francisco. Portland Maine is indeed fantastic (Maine in general is just a pleasure to spend time in), but I don't think that place is on the radar screen for most. It's not a major city.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who is opebo? on: November 28, 2014, 11:03:22 am
It happens regularly.

But are there any examples? Other than jmfcst, who pretty clearly wasn't banned for being a conservative...
^^^^^^^^^^
jmfcst was given extra special leniency because of his nutter convictions. American religious nutterism being such a prevalent political position, it was thought by the Mod Squad that it ought to be represented (and there really was/is no other poster who fit the bill) here.

Nope. What is true is that there is a reluctance to ban long term posters, particularly those with a following who contribute something, except as a last resort. That is certainly true of myself, and I think of Nym. One's interests or views, if within the terms of use, are, and should be, absolutely irrelevant, be it about religion, or ideology, or otherwise.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who scorns me the most? on: November 28, 2014, 10:56:03 am
Why would you think that other posters are obsessively monitoring what others say about you to the point that they would actually have the knowledge to answer your question?  You are not the center of the Atlasian universe around which all else revolves - at least not yet. You might hit up BRTD come to think of it, for some pointers about how to move closer to that goal however. He does have some skill in that department, but even he as of yet falls short of having all Atlasian roads (threads) lead to him, and from him.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Americans favor immigration executive action, 67-28 on: November 28, 2014, 08:23:11 am
The way the questions are phrased, sort of predetermines the result.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP Mulls Not Inviting Obama to Give State of the Union on: November 28, 2014, 08:21:36 am
This is asinine.

My sentiments exactly. One should respect the office at least, if not the occupant. Hopefully cooler heads will prevail.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: November 27, 2014, 02:56:10 pm
Happy Thanksgiving everyone. The tracks are the RR line from NYC to Albany, which runs right next to the east side of the Hudson River. The other pic is at the end of the main commercial street in Hudson (Warren Street), at which beyond in the direction I am facing lies Promenade Hill and then the Hudson River.



15  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 27, 2014, 02:45:06 pm
"A competitive district has a PVI of 2 through 5 (-0.054 to -0.015 and +0.015 to 0.054) and statistically such districts have an 3 out of 4 chance of being held by the favored party."

That seems like a very wide range to me, with 1.5 to 2.5 quite competitive, and 4-5 not much, although I suppose an examination of results in the past would be instructive. In my brain, once you hit 4, a seat is pretty safe absent unusual developments, or a significant trend going on. Is there an advantage in bifurcating this category, and adjusting the point count some?
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Does Chris McDaniel have a political future? on: November 27, 2014, 02:39:26 pm
Nope, none, nada. He's toxic.
17  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 25, 2014, 07:58:06 pm
Muon2, are you going to use the state highway chop count as a proxy to measure erosity? Do highway chops within chopped counties count for this category?  Is there going to be some pareto optimality metric?

Thank you. I look forward to your thoughts on intra county chops. Pity I got deflected from our project. In my semi retirement there are just not enough hours in the day, and now I have Hudson on my mind.
18  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 25, 2014, 10:23:51 am
Muon2, are you going to use the state highway chop count as a proxy to measure erosity? Do highway chops within chopped counties count for this category?  Is there going to be some pareto optimality metric?
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Does Greg Orman have any political future? on: November 25, 2014, 09:18:46 am
Nope.
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your height? on: November 23, 2014, 10:33:36 am
6' 1"
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Summarize the Previous Poster in One Sentence or Less on: November 18, 2014, 10:46:02 am
Erudite chap from across the pond who does not suffer fools easily.
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: I've been busy in Hudson on: November 18, 2014, 10:35:05 am
Already been a pain in the butt, old man. But I'm just getting warmed up. Lot's more stuff to do - lot's more.
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / I've been busy in Hudson on: November 18, 2014, 10:23:18 am
causing a bit of a ruckess, here (look under documents, where you will see three attachments with my name on them) and there.

So much of my material of the Hudson weighted voting system is due to the indefatiguable energy and expertise of Jimtex, who has taken such an interest in Hudson. I simply cannot thank him enough. He has made a real difference in the civic affairs of Hudson. He has helped me to understand that which, without him, I would not have a prayer of understandng. His ability to secure and analyze data is just outstanding. In part, as a consequence of his efforts, not only is the weighted voting system going to come crumbling down, but the fallout of that and other matters is beginning to cause certain plate tectonic shifts in Hudson. One thing leads to another. I wonder where it will all end.

My latest foray is into Hudson's budgetary affairs (that is what the "there" document is about). Tonight's common council budget committee meeting, the Mayor's open meeting on the Budget, and then the common council's formal meeting on that issue, weighted voting and others, will be most interesting to witness.
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: November 2014 Special At-large Senate Election on: November 16, 2014, 12:03:44 pm
1. Bacon King
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 US Congressional Election Results on: November 12, 2014, 08:07:38 pm
If you are going to be critical, at least know what you are talking about. The portions of the former AZ-8 that were moved to AZ-1 are Republican-leaning areas, areas that Kirkpatrick lost by double digits, so I highly doubt Barber would have been saved by those precincts.

Second, the commission allows for competitiveness to be taken into account and that is just how they drew the map.

Did you mean from AZ-02 to AZ-01?  Maybe that is the fail of communication here? Or is the former AZZ-08 now AZ-02? If so, I will check back on the AZ redistricting thread, and get back to you. No need to stick the knife in. That is just political data, no more, no less. It is what it is.
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