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May 28, 2015, 03:26:18 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Quadripoint now involving ISIS on: May 22, 2015, 06:39:20 pm
This map has been on Wikipedia for ages. It's constantly being updated and always fascinating.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WA-PPP: Walker leads Rubio, Sanders at 24% on: May 21, 2015, 07:52:00 pm
2008 Primary: 51-46 Obama
2008 Caucus: 68-31 Obama

All of WA's delegates are based off the caucus, and Clinton significantly under performed in our 2008 caucus. I could see Sanders winning, maybe.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WA-PPP: Inslee leading by double-digits, except against McKenna on: May 20, 2015, 03:02:29 pm
Hill would be the strongest of that bunch, IMO. Mostly just a name recognition thing at this point... But yeah, Inslee will probably be re-elected.
4  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Estimating Religion from Census Data on: May 17, 2015, 01:22:09 pm
Very cool, and it seems more accurate than the ARDA map. How Catholic are you saying Hispanics are? I would have expected places like East Pasco to be darker shades of red.

Also, do you have a color key?

Hispanics in eastern Washington tend to be more LDS than in other places.

The key is standard Atlas shades (>20%/>30%/etc.) with Red being Catholic, Blue being Protestant, Green being Non-religious, and Yellow being Mormon. The grey area in Benton didn't have any people reporting an ancestry.

I'm just using East Pasco as an example, but it is around 85% Latino if I recall correctly, but you have it only >30% Catholic. That doesn't seem like enough. I'm not saying you're wrong - just curious what inputs you used and where you are getting this data (such as the LDS fact).

Are you using a universal formula for the entire country, or by state? County?

I am only nitpicking because I really like this, btw. Smiley
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See on: May 16, 2015, 12:23:01 pm
Balducci challenging Hague for King County Council seat

Hague has had some extraordinary luck running against sub-par opponents in the past. Looks like her luck is finally running out.

(this news is a few months old at this point but I only just noticed Tongue)
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary backs Tubman on $20 on: May 15, 2015, 01:24:06 pm
Is there any reason dollar bills can't just have rotating portraits? They're always changing quarters. I don't see why you have to keep one person on there indefinitely.
7  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Estimating Religion from Census Data on: May 14, 2015, 06:46:19 pm
Very cool, and it seems more accurate than the ARDA map. How Catholic are you saying Hispanics are? I would have expected places like East Pasco to be darker shades of red.

Also, do you have a color key?
8  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Pew releases 2014 religious survey results on: May 12, 2015, 07:55:53 pm
http://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/americas-changing-religious-landscape/

Links on the right will provide you with state and metro data
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Boston University professor: White Males a "problem population" on: May 09, 2015, 02:40:40 pm
I don't really care about this. But it's not hard to figure out why no one really takes non-STEM academia seriously.

The real victims are her students who will find themselves 100K in debt just to end up pouring cups of coffee.
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What men hate about other men on: May 09, 2015, 11:33:31 am
Why is Torie posting clickbait
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of bgwah on: May 08, 2015, 12:27:16 pm
I knew I would be getting one of these. You're quite predictable. Smiley
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: My Leave of Absence on: May 05, 2015, 10:55:49 pm
Haha
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Texas: two gunmen shot dead after opening fire at Mohammed cartoon contest on: May 04, 2015, 10:18:28 am
I'm sure the organizers and the Islamophobic crowd are happy about this. Just more ammo for them to trash Islam and Muslims with.

Yeah, who doesn't want their art exhibition shot up? Roll Eyes
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: More shady Clinton foundation stuff uncovered on: April 26, 2015, 11:45:40 am
so not interested in another 1.5 to 9.5 years of this
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: do u hate women? on: April 26, 2015, 10:48:02 am
yes

they have cooties
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Vote No to the Electoral Reform Amendment on: April 25, 2015, 05:59:22 pm
You make a good point homelycooking.

In the past there were instances of people saying, "So and so is safe" vote for me, and this actually cost Feds their second seat back in April 2013. This time, I assumed the quota would be 21 or 22 but it hit 23 and that was with much lower Fed Turnout then I was hoping for.

I don't think people don't understand this though homely. In the past the preference counts were usually rather close. This time there was a group of people who didn't much care for labor, loved Polnut and there was no one else they were extremely passionate about so blew Polnut through the ceiling (whereas I merely danced on the ceiling. Couldn't resist Wink). They know that some flexibility is necessary to get your prefered guys in, what they often aren't aware of is the latest count and that was always a problem on the right. I remember in December 2013 at the end not knowing who to vote for at that point because the counts hadn't been updated. And so aside from bgwah who knew exactly how someone needed to vote as each vote was cast and therefore was able to message people accordingly to get them out and win that second seat by a fraction of a percent, most people don't have the latest numbers in their head.


Yeah, homely, I was pretty good at working the STV system. Nobody else has bothered, which is a shame, since it can be very competitive.


http://uselectionatlas.org/AFEWIKI/index.php/March_2011_Special_Senate_Election
http://uselectionatlas.org/AFEWIKI/index.php/April_2011_Senate_Election

There are other elections where the final round doesn't look as close because later voters strategically knocked out candidates stronger in later rounds.
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Ugh on: April 25, 2015, 05:54:40 pm
Just FYI, nobody cares what the GM does.
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Vote Aye: Atlasians for Electoral Reform on: April 25, 2015, 05:50:02 pm
How many of you actually remember district elections? lol
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Pacific Voting Booth: Electoral Reform Amendment on: April 25, 2015, 05:48:26 pm
nay
20  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Pacific Voting Booth: The Twenty-First Amendment on: April 25, 2015, 05:47:50 pm
aye
21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: April 2015 At-large Senate Election on: April 19, 2015, 09:06:14 pm
1) Lief
2) Polnut
3) NC Yankee
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Inappropriate content on the forum on: April 16, 2015, 08:58:19 pm
Oh, shut up.
23  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Muslims on refugee boat throw Christians overboard for being non-Muslims on: April 16, 2015, 08:05:20 pm
The religion of peace strikes again.

Unclear is why people who hate Christians that much were trying to illegally immigrate to a country full of them.

Clearly we need to embrace such immigrants in the name of tolerance.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: It's official on: April 12, 2015, 02:20:26 pm
Her logo is hideous.
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of PFAdmin on: April 12, 2015, 01:07:50 pm
He is a double agent who will infiltrate Atlas, become a moderator, replace Nym90 as admin, and then wreak havoc upon the Atlas Forum in a quest of vengeance.

You've been warned.
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