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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Why is The USA shifting leftward on: December 28, 2015, 11:09:09 am
most country, when young = liberal, getting older = become conservative

That's been disproved several times, hasn't it?  For example, Bush 41 ran better with the youth vote than the senior vote, and seniors voted to the left of the general electorate in 2000.  Most studies find that people make their partisan decisions based on who was in power when they were around 18.  Older voters now remember the Eisenhower years and are very Republican ... but their parents weren't.

Back in the 70s and 80s, Democrats tended to do better in Midterm elections because the senior vote actually skewed Democratic back then: the reason was the the FDR generation was still alive and were still loyal Democrats. The Silent Generation was much more conservative, and their children, Gen X, are also pretty right-wing, having come of age during the Reagan Years (there was a lot of Evangelical Christian & anti-PC stuff going on on campuses in the late 80s/early 90s when Gen X was in college).
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz TRIGGERED by Washington Post drawing! on: December 24, 2015, 10:20:02 am
At least Cruz didn't play the race card. Switch Santa Cruz with Santa Obama and every single Democrat would decry it as a racist attack.

Well yeah, he's black and it would actually be racist.

I can't believe this still needs to be said, but yes, any comparison between a black person and a monkey, ape, chimpanzee, or orangutan is racist. This cartoon is still in poor taste though. American political cartoons these days are generally terrible and have been getting worse over the years.
53  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: VA: Lesson in Arabic Ignites Widespread Rage in the 'Bible Belt' of the State on: December 21, 2015, 09:33:01 pm
I see that a number of people have already made the basic point I came here to make but yes, just imagine how liberals/secularists would have lost it if a public school teacher had done something equivalent in a lesson about Christianity. That being said, the district handled the situation very poorly, and something that should have been a non-issue got blown out of proportion because of the recent anti-Muslim hysteria.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will we see a slew of Washington 2008-esque controversies in caucus states? on: December 19, 2015, 11:18:37 am
This is why I am more confident than most others about Rubio being able to "win" an early contest (Nevada) to prove his viability.

Indeed. the Republican establishment is going to do whatever it takes to stop Trump. The problem is that a Cruz nomination is a much, much worse prospect, both for them and for the country.
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Political views of academics on: December 18, 2015, 10:37:54 pm
In my experience, humanities professors are virtually 100% liberal or left-wing. Social science professors are also overwhelmingly liberal, but not to quite the same degree. A typical political science department will have 2-3 conservatives or libertarians for instance. Economics departments tend to be the most conservative, though they obviously emphasize free market economics rather than social or foreign policy issues. The hard sciences really vary, but still skew left. Engineering profs are typically a bit more Republican though, though most have at least some libertarian leanings.
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would you be comfortable with John Kasich as President? on: December 18, 2015, 10:25:34 pm
After his comments about punching the Russians in the nose, no.
57  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Jewish dentist denied military clearance because he has family in Israel on: December 18, 2015, 10:24:04 pm
Are family ties to Israel a valid concern? Yes.
Does a dentist need a security clearance? No.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Democratic nominee distances from Obama..... on: December 18, 2015, 11:26:29 am
He/She will lose. This is one of those things that Beltway Types think is a good idea that never works out in practice. It's not like running away from Obama helped the Democrats in 2010 or 2014, nor did distancing themselves from Bush do the Republicans any favors in 2006 or 2008.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz may have released classified information during debate on: December 17, 2015, 03:52:55 pm
Senate Intelligence Committee 'Not Investigating' Ted Cruz Debate Comments

http://www.newsweek.com/ted-cruz-debate-leaks-406033

Rubio proves himself to be unknowledgeable by not getting the facts right.

And even if Cruz did technically break the law, they obviously know better than to go after him - Cruz might be the party's best choice to stop Trump.

Cruz is a far bigger threat to them than Trump. Not only because of his views, but also because he's a much weaker candidate in a general election.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Low energy LOSER Jeb below 4% on polling average on: December 17, 2015, 02:12:10 pm
I don't think Jeb actually wants to be president. You can tell his heart just isn't in it, and he's being forced to by his dad and brother's cronies.
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Republican can you see losing R-leaning Missouri? on: December 17, 2015, 02:09:17 pm
Cruz. Trump if he really does manage to push things too far.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Assuming Trump wins the GOP nomination, would it backfire on him ... on: December 17, 2015, 02:08:25 pm
No, he would gain 2-5 points in the polls.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz may have released classified information during debate on: December 16, 2015, 01:03:26 pm
Although I do not support Cruz, I believe revealing this was the right idea. Government surveillance should not be allowed, plain and simple.

I hope this means Cruz will be getting on the next plane to Russia...
64  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bergdahl to face desertion charges...... on: December 16, 2015, 11:09:26 am
Yay for jingoinism, nationalism and militarism!

This isn't a game of Ingress... you leave your post and your fellow soldiers could get killed.  What he did was a clear dereliction of duty and you don't get a free pass.

At least two American soldiers were killed during the search operation to find him, and many Afghan civilians likely were as well. Now, his superior officers should have noticed his deteriorating mental state and had him pulled out of the combat zone, but the fact remains that he deserted his post and men died needlessly looking for him.
65  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tired of "dog whistle" on: December 16, 2015, 09:56:43 am
The phrase has been around since at least the 80s, and probably since well before that. The thing is, it's become very over-used in recent years, and is now used to refer to things that are way too overt/obvious to be dog whistles. For example, Trump's Muslim Ban isn't a dog whistle: it's overt bigotry.
66  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Israel and Palestine: The One-State Solution on: December 15, 2015, 06:52:26 pm
We need a one state solution with Israel being the only state and expand it to Biblical Borders.
And include Sinai in it

Wouldn't that create a Palestinian-majority country that overwhelms the concept of a Jewish state?

Yes, which is why I wonder if Classic Conservative supports the ethnic cleansing that would be necessary for those borders to work in the 21st century.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MT-SU Billings: Clinton getting crushed, Sanders doing much better on: December 14, 2015, 11:43:52 pm
Montana Democrats are more left-wing than Democrats in other states, except perhaps for guns.

Yeah, it makes perfect sense. Sanders repersents a rural state, and Montana is a rural state. Montana Democrats are pro-gun progressive economic populists. Think of Tester and Schweitzer. So it makes perfect sense for Sanders to be doing better in Montana than Hillary.
Most of the people taking part in the poll don't know who Sanders is and don't know anything about his positions. They just know he's a Democrat who isn't Hillary Clinton.
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Christie a stronger general election candidate than Rubio? on: December 14, 2015, 01:25:00 pm
No, Christie is the quintessential "great on paper but terrible in reality" candidate that Beltway Types drool over, and are then shocked and puzzled when actual voters reject.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If he ran third party, would Trump do better than Perot in '92 on: December 14, 2015, 11:20:00 am


Clinton/Castro 49% - 387 EVs
Trump/Cuban 42% - 141 EVs
Rubio/Kasich 8% - 10 EVs
Other 1%
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump loses the primary, is it better for Dems if he goes 3rd party or not? on: December 14, 2015, 10:46:17 am
Option 1 is better for the Dems, simply because the presidency is far more powerful than the legislative branch these days.
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: The "Wealthy Vote" Pre-1952 on: December 14, 2015, 10:17:57 am
It depends greatly on the source of their wealth: people who made their money from natural resource extraction are overwhelmingly Republican. Those whose wealth comes from banking or finance tilt Republican but not as much, and tend to be awful "socially liberal but fiscally conservative" enablers. Those who made their money from tech tend to be either libertarian or liberal.   
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If he ran third party, would Trump do better than Perot in '92 on: December 13, 2015, 09:55:13 pm
Yes. He would be the de facto Republican candidate and come in second with about 40% of the PV and 120 or so EVs (Hillary would win a lot of states with pluralities due to vote-splitting). The official Republican candidate would get 5-10% of the vote and only win Utah and Idaho.
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Compromising video of young Lindsey Graham surfaces. on: December 13, 2015, 09:45:52 pm
When Lindsey Graham retires, I can see him settling nicely into being everyone's sassy old gay friend in Charleston high society. He'll be BFFs with a bunch of old, rich blue-blooded women and together they will have brunch and host garden parties for charity.
Lindsey Graham is totally straight!  I am not a supporter of him, and I hope we defeat his buddy John McCain this year in Arizona.  But let's not slander the guy!
I wouldn't be surprised if Graham is out to those who know him.  Think for a moment how statistically unlikely it is for a 66-year old college-educated white man from South Carolina to have no children and to have never married.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Compromising video of young Lindsey Graham surfaces. on: December 13, 2015, 03:24:29 pm
Not a bad show, but I still don't get how it was on for 13 seasons.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is this election yet more proof the 22nd Amendment was a bad idea? on: December 13, 2015, 03:23:12 pm
Yes. Not only would we have had the satisfaction of seeing Obama beat Bush in a 40-state landslide in 2008, he would also be well ahead in 2016.
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