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October 20, 2014, 04:13:29 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can you say that Tom Ridge will not be on the GOP ticket? on: June 30, 2014, 10:17:59 pm
No, who said he would? He'll be 70, hasn't held elected office in years, and was in George W. Bush's cabinet.
52  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Which of these monarchies will still exist in 2050? on: June 29, 2014, 04:38:41 pm
You have not a clue what you are talking about, do you? Why would Dubai take over the UAE? Why would the Thai legislature abolish the monarchy? What motivation would Malaysia have for abolishing theirs? Same with Cambodia, and so forth. Etc, etc, etc. Then again, we've seen a great many monarchies overthrown for no reason at all, much less good reasons (well, only a very small handful could be said to have been abolished for good reasons, a very very small handful).

My answer: none of the above. Okay. Maybe the Bahraini monarchy might go. But I don't see any others, except for a commonwealth realm or two (Papua New Guinea?).

The far more interesting question is which countries will restore their monarchies. This is a pretty sizable list of plausible choices:

Libya
Serbia
Montenegro
Romania
Bulgaria
Fiji
Nepal
Laos
Yemen
Georgia

The list is rather long, and it's pretty much in order of probability. I'd say God's own form of government (Tongue) has a bright future ahead of it. If it wasn't for George Bush's meddling,  in fact, Afghanistan would probably be a monarchy right now, actually. That, I cannot forgive him for. But we cannot rule out random events resulting in restoration in strange places (Egypt? Russia?) that we didn't expect.

Please explain how any of those choices other than Libya are plausible.

In Serbia, a recent poll shows that more people support a restoration than oppose it. In Montenegro, the Royal Family there has had its properties restored, it's "historic status" denoted by law, and the Crown Prince receives a salary equal to that of the president and has been appointed an official representative of the government. In Romania, the royal family enjoys widespread approval and the former King Michael I is by far the most trusted public figure in the country. In Bulgaria the former King was elected Prime Minister a few years ago, although that's mainly dissipated now.

In Fiji, even though the monarchy was overthrown in 1989, it enjoys widespread support,particularly amongst traditional leaders, and it's so strong that an attempt by the military regime to remove the queen from banknotes was met with widespread resistance. In Nepal, where the monarchy was overthrown less than a decade ago, restorationist sentiment is palpable and growing. Monarchist parties made gains in the most recent elections and the failure to achieve stability, coupled with a BJP government in India, could lead Nepal back to monarchy. In Laos, monarchy is the only real alternative to the regime at present as far as I am aware, but I don't know much about Laos. In Yemen Saleh was making boogeymen out of monarchists a few years ago, and the Georgian opposition had been commenting on a possible restoration.

Of course, I am not mentioning the more contentious and more personal possibilities of Iranian or more importantly Ethiopian restoration. Fun fact, apparently 1 out of 5 Germans, and 1 out of 3 young people there, support restoring the Hohenzollerns. Smiley

Hate to break it to you, but the Honhenzollerns aren't getting restored. And before anyone says so, neither are the Hapsburgs, the Romanovs, or the Ottomans.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If you could see the election result of five counties, which would they be? on: June 18, 2014, 10:59:49 am
Miami-Dade County, FL
Loudon County, VA
Washoe County, NV
Harris County, TX
Sandusky County, OH

Those will tell you who won the election.
54  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How many pencils did you sharpen today? on: June 17, 2014, 01:11:40 pm
I think it's been at least 2 years since I last sharpened a pencil.
55  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Am I a liberal Republican or a conservative Democrat? on: June 16, 2014, 09:03:49 pm
Nobody should be a Republican.  Even if you're a conservative, you should be a Democrat. 

In favor of removing government entirely from marriage, but, barring that, in favor of legalizing gay marriage

This sounds like an interesting compromise, but if you think about it, it makes zero sense.  They government is not in the marriage business, they're not Yente the matchmaker.  The government is in the business of marriage law, as they provide law for every area of life.

Some of my libertarian and conservative friends support this, but it's really a cop-out rather than a compromise. Marriage impacts upon so many things, from inheritance to property rights to immigration, that it's really impossible for the government to not have laws relating to it.
56  General Discussion / History / Re: was the cold war as commonly portrayed basically over by 1963? on: June 13, 2014, 03:52:57 pm
While Anti-Communist Hysteria in the U.S. abated considerably after the early 1960s, the World remained very much divided into two clearly-defined armed camps, and the Cold War didn't end in any sense until 1989.
57  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How strongly Republican are each of the following three people? on: June 09, 2014, 06:25:39 pm
Persons A & B both vote straight-ticket Republican, but A probably gives money to Republican candidates/organizations and votes more regularly. Person C is probably a non-voter, but holds a generally conservative worldview and votes mostly Republican on the rare occasions that he does.
58  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Countries without a head of state on: June 09, 2014, 06:22:14 pm
In Iran hidden Imam is head of state and great leader is only vicar.
In North Korea, Kim Il Sung is the Eternal President of the Republic.
59  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: is Conservapedia a hate site? on: May 14, 2014, 09:49:42 pm
Not to the extent that, say, Stormfront is, but yes.
60  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Prequel Trilogy Obi-Wan Kenobi on: May 14, 2014, 11:59:23 am
Everything in the prequels was garbage.  I don't necessarily blame all of the actors, but movies are complete garbage through and through.  The writing is pathetic. 

I don't totally agree. There were bright spots, and McGregor's portrayal of Obi-Wan Kenobi was one of them. So was Ian McDiarmid's portrayal of Palpatine. Of course, both would have benefited immensely had they been given better scripts to work with.
61  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Teach for America on: May 14, 2014, 09:05:04 am
... an inner city child will be better served by being taught by one of them with zero experience than by someone from their own neighborhood who has made education his/her life's work rather than a fleeting project to pad one's resume on the way to McKinsey or Goldman Sachs or Yale Law.

There just aren't enough of "someone from their own neighborhood who has made education his/her life's work" to go around in the schools where TFA sends teachers. Having a well-educated person come in and fill in the gaps in these areas is a godsend, even if the TFA don't have always have a great grasp of what it's like to grow up poor.
True. This is why on balance, despite some rather obvious shortcomings, TFA is a Freedom Program.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 GOP on Climate Change: Yikes. on: May 13, 2014, 09:52:38 pm
What I don't understand is the rejection of such a large amount of jobs that will be produced by renewable energy. This can be maximized if we get ahead of the game and become the first to enter the wide scale market, but no, it's evil.

Big Oil calls the shots in the GOP on energy and transportation.
And, still, a sizable amount of Democrats as well. At least enough to keep this from, you know, helping us.
The GOP is by far the bigger offender and you know it. Incidentally, that's also why so many Republican politicians engage in climate change denial.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Karl Rove; Hillary Clinton had a traumatic brain injury on: May 13, 2014, 09:48:56 pm
What will Rove's next line of attack be: Hillary is a lesbian? Black love child?
64  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of this image on: May 12, 2014, 08:33:10 pm

Speaking of this topic, is anyone else here annoyed about how Japanese people like to act all butthurt and pretend they didn't do anything to deserve it?

Culturally speaking Japan more or less "got away" with WWII and it's utterly annoying. And to think they wonder why the Chinese still hate them so much.
This. So much this. Innocent people in Japan suffered and were killed, but that was first and foremost the fault of the Japanese leadership for starting the war in the first place and not surrendering once it became obvious they had lost.
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which two GOP candidates would create the longest primary? on: April 27, 2014, 11:00:48 am
Cruz and anyone else.

If you can fillibuster an issue that ended in a result you supported for twenty one hours (the Government shutdown), you're going to go to the convention (and maybe even fight the convention's nominee in court).
So basically Senators are just irrational people? Tongue

Ted Cruz is.
66  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Which world leaders do average Americans know the best (or at all?) on: March 31, 2014, 10:41:27 am
I see these stupid knowledge polls for Americans all the time but what I really want to know is the percentage of Norwegians that can identify their foreign minister. Or what percentage of Canadians can locate Calgary on a map. Or whether Swiss adults can name all the members of their federal council. Do people in Flanders know who Mark Rutte is? Can Australians locate Syria on a map?

They would probably do better on all these questions than Americans would on equivalent ones, but I'm guessing the results would still be embarrassingly bad.
67  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: In what year will Atlas first see a poster cross the 100,000 post mark? on: March 26, 2014, 10:35:15 am
My prediction is that BRTD will pass 100,000 posts shortly after the 2016 presidential election. So let's say sometime in December 2016.
68  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Why Japan shows little interest in joining worldwide effort to find MH370 Flight on: March 18, 2014, 01:45:04 pm
Because the plane is nowhere near Japan? But of course, your remarks are not surprising in the least, coming from where you are.

They should send its entire navy to the East China Sea to look for this plane.  Even if it takes years, and nothing turns up, they should continue searching for it there.

Furthermore, they should substantially increase the size of their navy to intensify their search as much as possible.

They should send their entire navy to the East China Sea to look for this plane.  Even if it takes years, and nothing turns up, they should continue searching for it there.


They could use the Senkaku Islands as their base of operations in conducting the search.

In other words, be careful what you wish for. Wink

But in all seriousness, the plane disappeared far from Japan, it wasn't travelling to or from Japan, there's no evidence that it ever approached or entered Japanese Airspace or appeared on Japanese radar, and there were no Japanese nationals on board.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: 100% of the popular vote on: March 17, 2014, 08:21:07 am
They just didn't have other people on the ballot.

What I find interesting about that election is the difference between TN and KY. KY (which Clay won by around 9 points), and then TN where Jackson romped Clay 95-5. Clay's home state was Kentucky, but I mean, does a state boundary really make that much of a difference?

In those days it most definitely did.
Elections weren't really democratic in those days, especially in that part of the country.
70  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Which ex-Soviet republics would join a 21st century, non-communist USSR? on: March 12, 2014, 09:56:44 am
Only Russia and Belarus. Kazakhstan won't: Nazarbayev likes ruling his own country, and it would never vote to rejoin Russia or the USSR in a referendum (though it wouldn't be overwhelming). However, if it gets invaded by Russia, then all bets are off.
71  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Plan to split California into 6 states advances on: February 21, 2014, 06:14:16 pm
a North/South split in CA would make some sense, but this is just ridiculous.
72  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Kansas Gay-Straight Segregation Bill Passes on: February 18, 2014, 01:13:16 pm
Wow, this is worse than the Russian anti-gay law. Much worse, actually. The good thing is that it's blatantly unconstitutional and will almost certainly be struck down in court.
73  General Discussion / History / Re: Who was the most politically adept President? on: February 07, 2014, 03:12:14 pm
Honorable mention to Dubya, who at 29% approvals at the end got everything passed he wanted.  He was marvelous at getting a lot out of Congress.

If that were true, Social Security would have been privatized and Harriet Miers would be on the Supreme Court.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chances that Howard Dean runs on: January 30, 2014, 03:42:30 pm
Low, I would hope. He did a great job as DNC Chairman, but he doesn't do well under the pressure of a campaign. He'd make an excellent HHS Secretary in a Democratic Administration.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: When will a county in Massachusetts vote for the Republican candidate? on: January 30, 2014, 03:40:35 pm
Plymouth is entirely winnable in a good Republican year.
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