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51  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bangladesh PM accuses Hillary of pay for play regarding Clinton foundation ! on: May 13, 2017, 12:19:42 pm
The Election ended months ago, so "But Hillary" is no longer a credible or viable argument to defend Dear Leader.
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Had Clinton won, would the GOP have had a filibuster-proof majority in Senate? on: May 13, 2017, 12:17:20 pm
They'd be on track for one: Clinton would be in a very weak position and her approvals would quickly have collapsed to Holland/Park levels. The 2016 Election was a poisoned chalice.
53  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Lyin' Ted tried to act tough - Sally Yates made made him her bit*h on: May 08, 2017, 11:57:26 pm
I know it's still unlikely, but if Lyin' Ted loses in 2018, the horror of Election Night 2016 will almost have been worth it.
54  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: May 08, 2017, 01:25:43 pm
I saw this on DK today, and I have to ask, who exactly is putting together these emails for Ossoff?




Is trying to digitally guilt someone really the best way to solicit money?

Many of the Democratic PACs & whatnot that have my email are written in this style: it must work in getting liberal old ladies to fork over their money, but I hate it.
55  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Does Leslie Rasmussen deserve a comeback? on: May 08, 2017, 02:01:42 am
Did anybody click this link assuming Scott Rasmussen had come out as transgender?
*raises hand* Also, is Leslie Rasmussen Scott Rasmussen's daughter? The Internet must know!
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state will be more Republican, Ohio or Texas? on: May 06, 2017, 12:17:15 pm
Ohio: it's much more elastic, and Trump is basically governing like George W. Bush, just with more racism, rather than through Trumpist Nationalism or whatever.
Wouldn't governing like GWB be more conducive to winning Texas than Ohio?

Sorry, I read the thread title wrong: Trump will do better in Texas
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AL-SEN 2017: Moore +10 in GOP Primary on: May 06, 2017, 10:22:04 am
Moore is 70, which is pretty old to be starting a career in the U.S. Senate. Still, this is pretty much the only thing that could put the Dems in striking distance of a win, but even then everything would have to go right and there would be no margin for error.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state will be more Republican, Ohio or Texas? on: May 05, 2017, 10:18:01 pm
Ohio: it's much more elastic, and Trump is basically governing like George W. Bush, just with more racism, rather than through Trumpist Nationalism or whatever.
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AHCA Impact on 2018 Elections Part II on: May 05, 2017, 12:18:54 am
If it really passes and becomes law, they could lose the senate too.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: May 05, 2017, 12:18:15 am
Well Republicans got 51% or so of the combined vote in the primary, so assuming turnout is the same, he needs to pick up votes somewhere.

Yes, but in the primary there was a Republican candidate for everyone. Will Trumpists and Teabaggers support a country-clubber like Handel? We know the reverse is true, but I need to see further convincing that the reverse is. And remember, Handel can't afford to lose even 10% of the other R candidates' votes.
61  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Journal apologies & retracts paper on Transracialism after social media backlash on: May 04, 2017, 03:50:05 am
Great arguments lads. If the left accepts [thing], then we are massive hypocrites because we don't accept [other, completely different thing]. Reminds me, wasn't gay marriage supposed to a slippery slope leading to men marrying houseplants by this stage?

Gender identity and racial identity are different, but the latter has actually been much more fluid and malleable in most Western cultures for most of modern history, see my earlier reference to passing. I guess what I'm missing here is why gender identity is fluid but racial identity is rigid and unchangeable: why is it that in so many left-wing circles these days, a white woman passing as black and trying to live as a black woman to the extent she can compared to blackface and minstrel shows, while a biological man transitioning to living as a woman is held up as an exemplar of courage and progress, rather than accused of being a disrespectful mockery towards women. If I have offended anyone, I am truly sorry because I know how delicate and sensitive this issue can be, but I just want to get a better understanding of the issue.
62  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The TrumpCare comes back from the dead (...and dies again!) thread on: May 04, 2017, 03:38:43 am
So what are the chances this passes the Senate and is signed by Trump?

Around 90%.

I'm very, very skeptical that it will pass the Senate even if McConnell nukes the filibuster, and even if he does, any possible reconciled version will have a hard time passing either house.

The filibuster doesn't apply here. It will be passed through reconciliation, which has never been subject to the filibuster.

See my second point, which is actually the more important one here. Getting the moderates on board (Murkowski & Collins) while keeping the hardliners (Cruz, Lee, Paul on this issue, etc.) will be the hard part.
63  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The TrumpCare comes back from the dead (...and dies again!) thread on: May 04, 2017, 01:08:55 am
So what are the chances this passes the Senate and is signed by Trump?

Around 90%.

I'm very, very skeptical that it will pass the Senate even if McConnell nukes the filibuster, and even if he does, any possible reconciled version will have a hard time passing either house.
64  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Journal apologies & retracts paper on Transracialism after social media backlash on: May 03, 2017, 10:35:54 am
Transracialism is NOT A THING. Have we already forgotten Spokane's greatest contribution to America since Bing Crosby and Tom Foley, the one, the only, the incomprable Rachel Dolezal?
Agreed that "transracialism" isn't a thing because race isn't a thing either. And the woman in Spokane did nothing wrong - by all accounts she was doing excellent work for the NAACP until some doofus journalist decided to "expose" her or whatever.

She was doing good work, but the black community of Spokane was still not amused that a blonde white girl from Montana basically performed benign blackface for several years and held herself out as sharing their cultural experiences (race may be a construct, but there is certainly an African american culture, just like there is Italian-American culture, ChineseAmerican culture, etc)

I get what you're saying here, but this sounds an awful lot like the rhetoric that TERFs use against transwomen (i.e. that you're only a true woman if you were born as a woman and that those not born as women cannot possibly understand, etc.). I think part of the problem for some on the Left is that transracialism carries uncomfortable echoes of "passing" in former times, which has a long and painful history in American culture. 

However, we have to accept that if gender is socially constructed, then race is too. If it's possible to change your gender (and I think it should be), then it has to follow that it's possible to change your race too.

65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: drftghu jksd fghjkl sdfg hjklsd fghjkl on: May 03, 2017, 03:14:32 am
Discuss with maps!
66  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The TrumpCare comes back from the dead (...and dies again!) thread on: May 01, 2017, 05:17:07 am
If they're still drastically raising premiums for old people (both by cutting subsidies and increasing the age variation from 3:1 to 5:1), this bill is certainly DOA.
The only possible explanation for this is that Trump is a con-man who sees his voters as marks to be taken advantage of. The GOP is damned if they do and damned if they don't on this.
67  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump to NRA: "Republicans have a tremendous disadvantage in the EC" on: May 01, 2017, 05:13:00 am
The only election where the EC gave a clear advantage to the GOP was last year. 2000 had a very close popular vote margin and there's a good argument to be made given that and also the fact that Bush was from Texas that he could've won a popular vote election by putting more of his resources into Texas.

Conversely, Bush actually put a ton of resources into California and spent time there trying to flip it and get an EV landslide (no joke), which while he didn't even come close to actually winning it, helped him in the PV.

He almost certainly would have won the PV if the DUI thing hadn't come out the week before the election.
68  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What's really behind Chaffetz potentially leaving his seat early?? on: April 28, 2017, 09:13:45 am
Obviously it's some sort of scandal, but I can't really speculate as the possibilities are endless.
69  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What on earth are people on about Le Pen? on: April 24, 2017, 10:37:51 am
Oh this guy: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Benjamin

"His channel first drew attention to itself during the GamerGate controversy,[7] when he argued in one of his videos that members of the Digital Games Research Association (DiGRA) were actively plotting to influence video game development to conform to their "ideological feminist agenda"."

"However, the article in the The Daily Dot stated that even though Benjamin doesn't consider himself part of the alt-right, his videos concern "favourite alt-right targets" such as "feminism, Islam, Black Lives Matter, and the notion of straight white male privilege".[7] Mic described him as one of "YouTube's conservative firebrands" and a "right-wing pundit".[19] Vice also described Benjamin as a "right-wing commentator".[20]

Benjamin has opposed movements that purport to defeat online misogyny, such as the British group 'Reclaim the Internet', which he called "social communism".[4] He has expressed concern for the working class and the impact of immigration and neo-liberal policies from both the left and right. Benjamin was a vocal supporter of Brexit[21] and described Donald Trump as the "lesser of two evils" against Hillary Clinton."

"In May 2016, in response to Labour Party politician Jess Phillips' statement that rape threats are commonplace for her, Benjamin said "I wouldn't even rape you in a YouTube video and repeated this on Twitter.[4][20] Benjamin declined to apologize for the comments,[4] saying he would never apologize for refusing to rape someone, and that it was offensive to ask him to do so."

Sargon/Carl has degenerated into a Trump hack in much the same category as Dilbertman, a hardcore Trumpist who supports Trump because he thinks that he represents the final victory against feminism, Islam, and political correctness. At this stage, he's a true believer type who'll keep supporting Trump even if he has a major scandal or foreign policy disaster and ends up getting kicked out of office at Hollande/Park approval levels.
70  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Putin planning to resign soon ??? on: April 21, 2017, 10:47:10 pm
I'm going to need more than poorly-written, poorly-sourced articles in tabloids before I take this rumor seriously.
71  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Breaking News: US officals preparing charges against Assange on: April 20, 2017, 09:35:35 pm
So Trump is a sociopath who couldn't care less about that idiot. SHOCKER. Trump had no problem backstabbing Flynn and likely Bannon now.

Not really surprising: Assange helped him get elected, but now is no longer of use to him and thus can be discarded.
72  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT - AL (May 25) Predictions Thread on: April 20, 2017, 05:05:41 pm
Okay what the hell (subject to change)

Quist - 49%
Gianforte - 47%
Wicks - 4%
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: scandals for each of the prospective 2020 Democratic presidential candidates on: April 19, 2017, 09:51:03 pm
Cory Booker is a gay

Yeah, I think it's pretty obvious at this point. Would he benefit from coming out though, or is America not ready yet for a gay president?

If America was ready for an admitted sexual assaulter President, they're ready for any type of President.
The fact that Cory Booker isn't out makes me suspect he isn't gay. Coming out is something that the majority of Americans celebrate now. It makes no sense for him to avoid it.
Not to mention he's from a solid blue state and him coming out would increase his national profile and improve his approval ratings among Democrats. But if he is solely motivated by the Presidency then he may be afraid the country isn't ready for a gay president.
I honestly don't think it would be a big deal nowadays. I mean yes maybe in places like Mississippi and Oklahoma, but hell, even in Kentucky, Rand Paul's gay city boy opponent at least won Elliott County, running 31 points ahead of Hillary there!
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Wisconsin a new deep red state? on: April 19, 2017, 08:19:24 pm
Well people are calling it Wississipi but in all seriousness Republicans aren't as loved right now in the state either. The dairy farms were all gung ho on Trump and now they're terrified. They are living scared because they need the illegal immigrants to survive and plants in Canada are no longer buying their milk so they'll have to start dumping soon. They're begging Trump to do something, it's sad and amusing at the same time.

Well in all fairness, what the f[inks] did they think was going to happen?
75  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Gnosticism, or mainstream Catholic/Orthodox/Anglican/Protestant Christianity? on: April 18, 2017, 09:37:52 am
Not the one based on special esoteric knowledge for a secretive elite few.

BUT MUH SACRED FEMININE!
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