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51  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 80 years later, LSU honors man that it expelled for criticizing Huey Long on: December 10, 2013, 06:50:31 pm
Better late than never, I guess.
52  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Do you think Vermont should secede from the US and join Canada? on: December 06, 2013, 07:15:37 pm
No, and Canada isn't the left-wing paradise that American liberal lore holds that it is. Sadly, it will stray ever farther from that ideal as oil sands continue to give Alberta more money, population, and influence.
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Texas Megathread on: December 06, 2013, 06:59:25 pm

lol. Didn't know he was such a Dewhurst fan. This has to be red meat more than actual conviction, because the cognitive dissonance is remarkable.
This is actually a pretty popular idea on some of the fringes of the right.
54  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Nelson Mandela has died on: December 06, 2013, 01:27:22 pm
Farewell to one of the few truly great men of our time. May he Rest in Peace.
55  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: HHS in 2010: 40-67% of those with individual insurance won't be able to keep it on: November 21, 2013, 11:40:49 am
A large percentage of these people who have the low premium plans are going to be too poor to qualify for subsidies. Many will go on Medicare, unlikely to be better than what they have now, and won't help at all with making prices more competitive.


Medicaid (not Medicare) is going to be a lot better than some awful $10,000 deductible plan with high copays, not to mention it should have a bigger network.

Even better, those are the exact people who need to be OFF of $10,000 deductible plans.  I personally wouldn't have a problem with a rich person having a $10,000 deductible, but no one should be allowed to have a deductible they can't potentially afford.

Exactly. Selling such a plan should be illegal.
56  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obamacare enrollment sees sharp increase in November on: November 20, 2013, 02:05:35 pm

Unlucky PlayStation 4 owners face 'blue light of death'

iPhone 5 wifi issues

Feds open formal probe into Tesla electric car fires

About 15,000 Medtronic devices used in heart procedures are being recalled

Keep in mind those last two are about cars bursting into fire and burning to the ground and peoples hearts stopping and killing them... not 404 errors on your internet machine.

Even bigger than the iPhone 5 wifi issue was the iPhone 4 antenna controversy. My favorite part was Steve Jobs indignantly replying to one email with "You're not holding the phone right." They had to give everybody free phone cases for months!

Not to mention the Apple Maps Fiasco: even though it's vastly improved over the past year, I know plenty of people who still won't use it because of the early horror stories.
57  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What % of the vote would Sanders get in Vermont as a 3rd party candidate? on: November 19, 2013, 12:18:27 pm
Remember that 3rd parties almost always overpoll. I think he'd get around 10% in Vermont, 5% in the rest of New England, and 1% nationwide.
58  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is Barack Obama's personality crippling his presidency? on: November 17, 2013, 08:27:53 pm
I am aware that the votes didn't exist. You make them exist. And if you can't get the renovations, you might as well burn the damn house down.

That's not how real life works.

It's certainly not how American politics works. For all of its many flaws, America is still a democracy, and the president can't "make" votes exist in congress.
59  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Obamacare Implemented in October 2012 on: November 16, 2013, 05:41:12 pm
I suspect not. Presidents don't win re-election with 40% approval, whether or not it's justified.


No, because Romney would have somehow bungled it, either by overplaying his hand or by making a gaffe that made him look out-of-touch.
60  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What foreign language do middle school students learn in the US? on: November 13, 2013, 04:41:59 pm
Middle Schools usually only offer Spanish and French, if they offer foreign languages at all. Occasionally, they'll have German, Chinese, or Japanese, but these are much less common. Catholic Schools and elite, highly-prestigious prep schools will usually offer Latin.
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which 2016 Candidate is most likely to self-destruct? on: November 13, 2013, 04:36:51 pm
Did Hillary really self-destruct in 2008 or did she just run a sub-par campaign? Her Iraq War vote was ultimately what did her in, but that was five years before the fact, and in late 2002 (really until mid-2005, actually), supporting the war was the politically safe position.
62  Questions and Answers / Presidential Election Process / Re: The way of electing the President in the presidential system in USA on: November 11, 2013, 06:09:04 pm
1. Male
2. 28-37
3. Master degree
4. Yes
5. Falls Church, Virginia
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. Probably, but I would guess that it's a relatively minor factor
9. Yes
10. 3
11. No
12. Yes
13. Direct national popular vote, with a runoff between the top two vote-getters if no one candidate wins at least 40% of the vote in the first round.
63  Questions and Answers / Presidential Election Process / Re: Overlooked Election doomsday scenario on: November 11, 2013, 11:25:45 am
Scenario 1: the GOP House votes for a Republican, most likely Christie's VP

Scenario 2: the Democratic House votes for a Democrat, most likely Clinton's VP

Scenario 3: the Democratic House votes for a Democrat, most likely Clinton's VP. Remember that Al Gore won the popular vote in 2000, and fat lot of difference that made.
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Next President of the United States on: November 08, 2013, 10:44:05 pm
Yeah, this has a lot of shades of Giuliani '08. Not that I expect Christie to fail as badly as Giuliani did, but there are parallels.
65  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: what rules does ICE have to use on: November 07, 2013, 10:02:01 pm
constitutional protections against warrantless searches still apply
Yes, which means probable cause is required. And no, living in a certain area or having a certain skin tone are not probable cause.
66  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What is Peronism? on: November 06, 2013, 08:27:07 pm
Basically, it's Argentine populism. Aside from that, it's a completely meaningless term.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary runs, what is the most likely primary result? on: November 05, 2013, 06:36:14 pm
Option 4: Howard Dean will run and emerge as the anti-Hillary: he'll put up strong showings in New Hampshire and Iowa, but will come up just short in both, but he'll get buried in Nevada and South Carolina, after which it will be over.
68  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate Dems now unanimous on ENDA on: November 05, 2013, 11:28:30 am
Hopefully this doesn't make it to the floor, no need to make Democrats in conservative states make a tough vote.

Most Democrats in conservative states support this.

Again, this isn't a tough vote in 2013. Maybe in 2003 or even 2009, but not in 2013. Social attitudes have changed hugely in the last 5-10 years.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: RNC: Kansas City v. Las Vegas on: November 03, 2013, 11:14:02 am
Prudes from the Deep South and the Heartland can't be trusted to behave themselves in Sin City. Just as big a concern is that the NV-GOP has been seized by Paulites and is in pretty much open rebellion against the national party. Also, Adelson is sure to loom large over any convention held there, and it will be easy for Democrats and some of the more left-leaning media outlets to make it look like he's running the show.
70  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why does the Tea Party hate Wal-Mart? on: November 01, 2013, 06:30:58 pm
Because in Tea Party World, Walmart employees are on Welfare and Food Stamps because they're lazy, not because their employer won't pay them a decent wage.
71  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: West Virginia: A blue states road to red on: October 30, 2013, 02:19:25 pm
Somewhat off-topic, but I wonder what's the Democratic equivalent of West Virginia - i.e. the state that has gone the most from solidly Republican to solidly Democratic in recent decades?
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which State is Most Likely to "Flip" in 2016? on: October 29, 2013, 10:01:16 am
If the GOP is stupid enough to nominate Cruz, North Carolina with a bunch of others to follow.  Even if the GOP nominates someone halfway sane, NC is still the most likely one.  The Teavangelicals have completely destroyed the party.

What makes you think Cruz will be nominated at all?
Republican primaries these days are won through a combination of fundraising, demagoging, and throwing red meat at the base, all of which Cruz excels at.
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How Much Vote (%) Will Sarvis get? on: October 28, 2013, 02:51:30 pm
Third party candidates almost always overpoll. I'm guessing he'll end up at around 5% or so.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Odds of an anti-SSM Democrat winning any primary? Odds of a pro-SSM Republican? on: October 28, 2013, 09:15:09 am
There are already about an even number of pro-SSM Republicans as there are anti-SSM.  It is no longer as taboo of a subject or a position even for the Republicans.

It really isn't and Republicans are much more accepting of gay marriage than the dinosaur media wants people to think. Also, it's not an issue they're really very passionate about compared to Democrats. Regardless of what my party thinks, I think we should help to legalize it just to take an issue off of the table for Democrats.

Very true.
Sorry guys, but this is wishful thinking. The Republican Party will not nominate a pro-SSM candidate in 2016. Maybe they will in 2020, after Ted Cruz or someone like him leads them to disaster, but the Republican base, which is much older, more rural, and more religious than the country as a whole, is still implacably opposed to gay marriage.
75  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Pro-lifers, how do you explain Romania under Ceausescu? on: October 26, 2013, 08:13:23 pm
Pro-choicers, how do you explain North Korea, PRC, and the Soviet Union which performed forced abortions and were /are ultra-pro-choice?.

Forced abortion =/= pro-choice
Pro-choice =/= pro-abortion
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