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December 20, 2014, 03:52:48 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: opinion of the university of oklahoma on: October 10, 2014, 09:27:28 pm
It's a good school for sure, but to say it's one of the best in the world is a stretch.
52  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Possible coup in North Korea on: October 07, 2014, 02:46:43 pm
Yeah, like you said, the media has cried wolf too many times for me to believe it at this point.

Pretty much. I wish beyond words this was real, but there's too much wishful thinking in rumor after rumor. It's getting cruel.

The lack of hard information from North Korea means that even wild, poorly-sourced rumors are often reported as fact. Of course, the documented facts we know about North Korea are crazy enough that it's little wonder rumors take hold. That being said,  Kim Jong Un is clearly unhealthy and it's possible that he's been incapacitated leaving a power vacuum (this is more believable than a coup anyway). Either way, we won't know for months or possibly years.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Jeb Bush win California against Hillary Clinton? on: October 06, 2014, 06:44:12 pm
lolno.  though he could lose it like his brother did (by 10%)
CA has become more Democratic since then. He'll probably do a point or two better than Romney did in 2012, but not seriously contest the state and still lose it. He also won't win NJ or MI.
54  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Is Israel like ISIL? on: October 03, 2014, 10:22:58 pm
I'm no fan of Israel and even I think this thread is incredibly retarded.
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders: "I Am Prepared to Run for President of the United States" on: October 03, 2014, 10:32:05 am
Run and independent general election campaign against Hillary please!

Totally support this suggestion, albeit for different reasons, I'm sure. Tongue

You would be correct, split the vote and have a new President Bush! Tongue

If Sanders does this, I will lose ALL respect for him.
56  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: what should be the burden of proof for campus justice system sexual assaults? on: October 02, 2014, 11:57:03 am
what should be the burden of proof for campus justice system sexual assaults?

Option 3: campus justice systems shouldn't have jurisdiction over violent crime. All sexual assaults, regardless of where they take place, should be dealt with in the criminal justice system. I realize that in many places, the police/judicial system response to sexual assault is inadequate, but on the whole it's much better than school administrators who have a very real incentive to cover up or minimize sexual assault.
57  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: if Stephen Hawking is right on: September 30, 2014, 09:15:26 pm
better link:

http://www.foxnews.com/science/2014/09/08/stephen-hawking-god-particle-could-destroy-universe/

Quote
Hawking acknowledges in the essay that this threat is highly theoretical. A particle accelerator that could even reach 100bn GEV would need to be larger than the Earth itself, and would “unlikely to be funded in the present economic climate.”

Who says that humans would be the ones to build it?  This sounds like the sort of project that Kang and Kodos might get Rigel IV to fund.

If the Universe can indeed be destroyed by a scientific experiment done by an alien civilization many light years away that we have no means of contacting, it's something we have no control over and shouldn't waste our time worrying about.
58  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Middle-Class Americans Moving to Fly-Over Cities on: September 23, 2014, 11:45:02 am
There are very few phrases in the American vocabulary that I detest more than "Flyover Country" and the rank elitism and classism of those who say it.
59  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Reuters/Ipsos: 24% of Americans support secession for their state on: September 21, 2014, 06:15:45 pm
New England probably would have had the highest support for secession during the Bush years, which shows that the real issue is frustration with and alienation from the Federal Government rather than actual desire for secession.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Former Governor Marvin Mandel of Maryland running? (lol) on: September 21, 2014, 10:02:31 am
Yay, the Buddy Roemer of 2016!
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) on: September 18, 2014, 11:06:13 pm


Okay, I'll bite: what does Bobby Sands have to do with any of this?
62  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the Cornish National Liberation Army on: September 18, 2014, 10:28:11 pm
I'm not convinced that this is an actual thing and not a hoax or a parody.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What is Jeb Bush's base? on: September 08, 2014, 09:41:02 pm
In most polls where Jeb is included, he tends to do respectably. Why? What is his base?

The Tea Party.

There will be at least a half dozen Tea Party candidates. Of course they'll support him in the general, but they'd much prefer a fire-breather in the primary.

To answer the question, Jeb's base is moderate and somewhat conservative Republicans. While there probably aren't enough of them left for him to win the nomination, his only hope is to win the New Hampshire primary against a divided field of Tea Partiers and SoCons, and then build on the momentum from that. All easier said than done.
64  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Scott Brown sums up the bottom line of the American Right on: September 08, 2014, 09:28:19 am
What if I told you both the private sector and public sector provide goods and services that are delivered by people being paid for their work?



Mind = blown.
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hilary Clinton being a feminist hurt her? on: September 07, 2014, 10:37:37 am
To be fair, I'm almost certain she made that statement before Tumblr Feminists became a thing.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: September 04, 2014, 08:30:32 pm
Portman will be dead on arrival in a GOP primary for the simple reason that he supports gay marriage. The Republican base might be prepared to accept a nominee who supports gay marriage in 2020, but not in 2016.

Add to that, the reason that Portman came around to supporting marriage equality was that his son is gay. Most of the Republican base still views having a gay child as a a source of deep shame at best and a character flaw at worst. I do think they'll come around eventually, but not in the next 2 years.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which potential candidates will get cabinet positions? on: September 03, 2014, 10:38:03 pm

I could see Rick Perry in some sort of cabinet position but I'm not sure where. Mayyybe John Bolton as Secretary of State in a Christie administration, but that might be a bit too aggressive.


Perry as Secretary of Commerce would be hilarious (leading the agency he forgot he wanted to eliminate), but I can't think of any good reason a Republican president would want him in the cabinet.

Bolton would have a hard time getting confirmed, even with a Republican Senate.
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Buchanan: Hillary has never been right on Foreign Policy. on: August 31, 2014, 12:01:40 pm
I love how all of the Clinton-hacks in this thread are just using ad-hominem rather than addressing the points made in the article. They don't want to admit that Hilary has been wrong on everything she's said when it comes to these key foreign policy decisions.

You know the anti-Hillary hacks are desperate when they resort to pimping a column written by a racist Holocaust-denier.

Thanks for proving my point about no one wanting to adress the points made in the article.

Who cares what points he made?  If you want to make points about Hillary's foreign policy, perhaps you should use a column from someone other than a racist Holocaust-denier.

Buchanan is a Hitler apologist who's flirted with Holocaust denial. He has no credibility to speak on anything. I don't care what David Duke or Shirley Phelps Roper have to say about a Hillary candidacy either.
69  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Can Jordan remain a bastion of stability and moderation in the Arab World? on: August 31, 2014, 09:59:07 am
If it fell into chaos, would the King...
1. grab power and crack down hard on protests/riots
2. be overwhelmed and defeated relatively quickly
3. flee to safety
?

He seems like a good guy, but he's still a king in the Middle East, so I'm not sure.
Option 1. Despite the image they project in the West, the Hashemites haven't held on this long by being soft or stupid.
70  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Do any regions in Estonia or Latvia want to break away and join Russia? on: August 30, 2014, 11:13:48 pm
Narva might, but nowhere else.
71  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: If USA/Russia/China are the 3 most powerful countries, who are 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 ? on: August 30, 2014, 10:16:05 pm
China is far more powerful than Russia.

My ranking would look something like this:

1. USA




2. China
The problem with putting the PRC so high is that they don't really deserve it.  HUGE internal issues.  Issues much harder to overcome than anything the other 9 might have to deal with.  They have a large military that is rapidly improving, but it's still a long LONG way behind the West in tech and even Russia.  (stealing tech sounds good on paper and even occasionally works out for the thief, but more often then not, in actual use they are almost never as good as the thing copied and often quite inferior)  They can't project the sh**tty power they do have.  And they don't have any friends that aren't bigger basket cases than they are.

China has the world's second largest economy, largest industrial base, and the world's largest population, which unlike 30 years ago, is now reasonably well-educated and healthy by global standards. I certainly agree that they have a lot of internal issues (the demographic bomb their rulers planted by failing to repeal the One Child Policy in time is at the top of the list, and their environmental problems are nothing to scoff at either), but so do all the other major powers. None of the other major powers, save the US, can match China in economic power.

Putin's Russia, like the Soviet Union and Russian Empire before it, appears vastly more powerful than it actually is. Without nuclear weapons, it probably wouldn't even be in the Top 10. France and the UK still have projection power left over from their days of Empire (though France more than the UK these days), though both are small compared to China. Germany ranks as high as it does due to its dominance within the EU. On that note, if the EU were one country, it would be more powerful than China, but it doesn't have a common foreign or defense policy, so it isn't.

India still punches below its weight, but it's a rising economic power, has nukes, and has pretty good strategic reach.

China is far more powerful than Russia.

My ranking would look something like this:

3. Russia
4 (tie). France, Germany, India
7 (tie). Japan, UK

India doesn't belong in that category, they're weaker, I'm not sure I would place them above Italy. As for the position of Japan, Germany UK and France, I think it's really unclear who are strongest.
If we talk about economic power Japan are biggest, but through the German position in EU, they're more economic powerful. France and UK are somewhat equal here.
Political well I think Germany wins, no one wish to offend them, so most states listen to Germany when they talk, most of EU to large extent looks to Germany before they act. The political power of France and UK are weaker but still signifacant. Japan are likely the weakest on this
Military UK and France are around equal and both are miles ahead of Germany and Japan. Of course Germany doesn't need to have the projective power of UK and France, simply because they have fewer of the kind of interest, where they need to intervene across the world.

So I would place them with Germany first, France and UK sharing their position as the 5th strongest powers in the world, and Japan below them.

Quote
9. Brazil
10. South Korea

Neither of these states belong above Italy.

Brazil dominates its region, and South Korea is an economic powerhouse and is a major innovator for a country of its size. Italy is locked in demographic and political decline and suffers from chronic corruption, poor leadership, and dysfunctional government.
72  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: If USA/Russia/China are the 3 most powerful countries, who are 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 ? on: August 30, 2014, 10:56:03 am
China is far more powerful than Russia.

My ranking would look something like this:

1. USA




2. China





3. Russia
4 (tie). France, Germany, India
7 (tie). Japan, UK




9. Brazil
10. South Korea
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Andrew Cuomo electable for America in 2016? on: August 29, 2014, 01:28:39 pm
There's no chance he'll make it through the Democratic primary.
74  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Making what is "bad" not bad? on: August 27, 2014, 10:23:24 pm
I'm a nerdy, skinny white dude from the suburbs, and I wore a hoodie and baggy pants throughout high school and college. Believe me, I am the furthest thing from a thug. People wear hoodies because they are functional and utilitarian.
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nobody is noticing but Democrats are absolutely flooring the GOP with SuperPACs on: August 26, 2014, 08:16:45 am
Better pass that Constitutional amendment ASAP!

I unironically agree with you, all this money in politics is pretty sickening. There's certainly a lot of hypocrisy from the left regarding campaign finance reform but I guess the go-to argument would be "sticking to principles is electoral suicide" much in the same way that a lot of politicos speak out against gerrymandering except when it's their own party doing it in a state where it's the norm

Same here. We need to get money out of politics regardless of which party happens to be benefiting at the moment.
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