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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Utah Gravis: Trump 29 Clinton 26 Johnson 16 on: June 07, 2016, 09:28:34 am
Johnson should run a three-state campaign in Utah, Idaho, and Alaska. With a few million in funding from the Koch Brothers, he might actually win some EVs that way.
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What will Gary Johnson's % be in the GE? on: June 06, 2016, 10:55:49 am
8-9%

I think he will surprise.

He'll poll 8-9% the week before the election and get 3% on election day. Third Parties always overpoll, usually by a lot.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sen. Sasse May Support Johnson on: June 06, 2016, 09:40:18 am
An endorsement from a current U.S. Senator would be just the sort of leg up Johnson needs to have a real shot of hitting 5% in a few counties in Nebraska.

FTFY
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Trump scared of Bernie and Hillary? on: June 06, 2016, 09:14:15 am
He's scared of Hillary. He's terrified of Bernie. Neither are cowardly beta males like Little Marco or Low Energy Jeb that he can bully and intimidate.
55  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The refugees continue to be super nice people. on: June 03, 2016, 10:27:17 am
I have a hard time believing this happened as described: if a woman was out in public in a full burqa, why wasn't she escorted by her husband or father?
This may surprise you, but Muslim women are actually capable of thinking for themselves and making their own decisions.
Under most interpretations of Islamic Law, women are supposed to be escorted by male relatives when they go outside. Numerous Hadith as well as much jurisprudence attest to this. In modern societies, this doesn't tend to be very practical, so it isn't really enforced outside of Saudi Arabia and rural regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan, but these are also the regions where wearing the burqa/niqab is most prevalent, and if a woman adheres to such a strict interpretation of Islamic Law that she feels she must cover her face (which most Muslim women don't do, even in Muslim countries), she should also be escorted by a male relative.

This may make you uncomfortable, but think about it this way: at the end of the day, Islam is really no more patriarchal than the other Abrahamic religions. The difference, of course, is that almost nobody in the West is still trying to follow Christianity or Judaism literally, aside from a few Fundamentalist Christians in the U.S. Heartland and Deep South, and a very small number of Ultra-Orthodox Jews in New York and Israel.  

Also, I am not arguing against the agency of Muslim women: far from it, actually. A woman who wears a buraq/niqab may in fact want to be escorted by a male relative both for physical safety and for compliance with the Sharia. Some women actually prefer this. It's just that this type of woman wouldn't be running out of the woods to attack random Georgians with their American flag.
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING: PAUL RYAN ENDORSES TRUMP FOR PRESIDENT on: June 02, 2016, 07:21:50 pm
Cowardly Beta Cuck heels, as we all knew he would. Disgraceful.
57  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The refugees continue to be super nice people. on: June 02, 2016, 07:12:07 pm
I have a hard time believing this happened as described: if a woman was out in public in a full burqa, why wasn't she escorted by her husband or father? Even if it did, it sounds to me more like a case of mental illness than terrorism or ethnic/religiously-motivated violence.
58  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE (maybe) DAVID A. FRENCH on: June 02, 2016, 07:05:18 pm
HP, and like 99.99% of the population, I had never heard of him until yesterday.
59  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Is opposing "cultural appropriation" actually a far right position? on: June 02, 2016, 07:04:32 pm
Bottom line, complaining about cultural appropriation is not right wing because it's something done fundamentally by a I oppressed minority group

I just realized that SJWs use "Cultural Appropriation" analogously to how Neo-Nazis and the Alt-Right use the term "Cultural Marxism" and with much the same intent. And people who wear Blackface, wear Native American War Bonnet Costumes, or eat Taco Bowls on Cinco de Mayo aren't practicing Cultural Appropriation, they're practicing Offensive Racial Stereotyping, which is something completely different. Cultures borrowing and learning from one another has been going on since literally the beginning of humanity, and cultures have never been strictly segregated from one another as SJWs seem to want.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who might be David French's running mate? on: June 02, 2016, 12:49:00 pm
Another random guy Kristol grabs off the street.
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NJ-Monmouth: Clinton in trouble on: June 02, 2016, 09:40:47 am
I have a feeling that this is a case of undecideds being undecided about whether they'll vote Democratic. Trump will do better than a generic R, but not by enough to win the state.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: French on: June 02, 2016, 09:38:58 am
He'd get around 10% in a few counties in UT and ID, but that's about it.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Anyone Else Think Clinton Should Be Concerned about CO? on: June 02, 2016, 09:38:29 am
Not really, no. While Clinton is a poor fit for CO, Trump is an even worse one. Unlike the Rust Belt, it has few dying White factory/mine towns, the state's White Democrats are mainly granola/latte liberals rather than unionites, limiting his crossover appeal, and the state has a relatively large Latino population.
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill Kristol announces someone will run 3rd party UPDATE: It's David French on: June 01, 2016, 09:39:23 am
What are the odds French is releasing a book about himself this fall and Kristol gets a substantial portion of the gross receipts?

People would have to actually buy it...
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How would the Florida Senate race rate if Rubio runs for Re-Election? on: May 31, 2016, 03:51:41 pm
Lean D. I think you guys are underestimating how badly he was damaged by his embarrassing, terrible presidential campaign.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Donald Trump respect the constitution? on: May 31, 2016, 11:04:18 am
No. Trump's contempt for the Constitution and willingness to govern outside of it, and ability to appoint judges who share his views, are by far the most terrifying things about him.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is Bill Kristol's mystery man? on: May 31, 2016, 08:53:58 am
Unless Kristol actually has Romney or an incumbent Senator/Governor (and the fact that we're down to random House people being bantered about shows this probably isn't the case), he needs to face that Gary Johnson, while not as interventionist as him, is much closer to his views than Clinton or Trump and is eminently qualified to be President. Recruiting a fourth candidate who isn't meaningfully better known just reinforces the duopoly.
This is probably the best shot at actually winning electoral votes that the Libertarian party has ever had.  This is the kind of year that 3rd parties dream of.
And a third party will still shrink to 2-3% at the end of the day.

Not if the media covers the candidate.

Even the most slobbering, shameful media lovefest isn't enough:

68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is Bill Kristol's mystery man? on: May 30, 2016, 10:29:46 pm
In descending order of likelihood:

1) No one
2) Random conservative activist who has never held elected office
3) Random back-bencher congressman no one outside of Atlas has heard of
4) Kristol himself
5) Discredited General (McChrystal, Petraeus, etc.)
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is Bill Kristol's mystery man? on: May 30, 2016, 09:45:27 pm


No, and I never will, even if Trump gets elected.
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Was choosing Philadelphia for the Democratic National Convention a masterstroke? on: May 16, 2016, 02:27:37 pm
I'm not convinced holding the convention in a state helps win that state. It's not even backed up historical precedent.

Yes, I never understood why people think snarling up traffic in a large city for a week in the middle of the summer and holding an event that draws in crazies from all over the country who come to protest is supposed to make people MORE likely to vote for you.
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would an ISIL-related terrorist attack affect the race? on: May 16, 2016, 01:22:48 pm
Pro-Trump media outlets are now putting out openly Anti-Semitic headlines.
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would an ISIL-related terrorist attack affect the race? on: May 16, 2016, 01:08:32 pm
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Breitbart disgraceful headline regarding Bill Kristol and his third party effort on: May 16, 2016, 01:05:42 pm
This is no surprise.  Trump's done an excellent job swinging the "libertarian" right over to the dark side.

And this is a Horowitz piece, so there you go.

The alt right doesn't claim to be libertarian. In fact, they actively dislike libertarians.

Most of those who were Right-Libertarians 5-10 years ago are on the Alt-Right now: the high water mark of Right-Libertarianism in America was probably the Tea Party Wave of 2010, but the actions of Right-Libertarians in the positions of power and influence that they've managed to achieve have made it abundantly clear why Right-Libertarianism is the ideological preserve of angsty teenage white boys rather than a credible theory for organizing society.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Unleashes Hounds of War on Donald Trump on: May 13, 2016, 09:02:08 am
I think a combination of "con man," "bull in a china shop," and "big baby" are the way to go, personally.

Cruz bombarded Indiana with "con man" and "this is how he talks about our mothers, our sisters, our daughters."  It helped a lot. /sarcasm.

The problem is that Republican primary voters, by and large, agree with Trump on these things. They've also been conditioned to accept and not think critically about what trusted sources (meaning Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Rush Limbaugh, and their Pastor in roughly that order) say. That's much less the case with the general election electorate, which is also less angry and fearful.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Donald and Melania Trump be happy living in the White House.......... on: May 12, 2016, 11:00:02 pm
The Hay Adams and Willard Hotels are across the street and would be much more to The Donald's liking.
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