(e.g., even Elton John wasn't having sex with men before 1980).

Elton John was open about gay sex as early as a 1976 Rolling Stone interview.  Not that you got anything else right either.

This is INFURIATING. Why does the GOP want a brokered convention?

Because Romney's a twat.

I think McCain will win Florida, but despite this poll, not because of it.

I'm not necessarily "looking forward" to the races most important to me, so I don't know how to respond.

While all the focus was on FL-21, I was more worried about FL-25.  I can see Joe Garcia squeaking through before a felon like Raul Martinez.

We have Musgave, who will be departing Congress, and that horrific Schmidt woman who should be, except that she has such a heavy GOP district,

Schmidt is one of my favorites in Congress because she was right about Murtha all along.

My honest take:  Franken would have won last week but has lost ground.  Not sure how much.

If Georgia is too close to call: Game Over.

Not quite.  They said South Carolina was too close to call last time.  What was the margin, 16%?

I think what's more disturbing about this situation is not that Dole put out the ad, but that in order for Hagan to keep herself alive, she felt she had to denounce the group.

That's the interesting part.

If we're going to be bold, Minnesota.

Coerced "bold" predictions tend toward stupid.

I was born and raised in North Carolina, and I am not Vander Blubb.  Please read more carefully next time.

But I'll take a page out of General Powell's playbook here.  What's the problem if Hagan IS an Atheist?

Absolutely nothing.  Hagan should hold a press conference today and say she is proud to be an atheist.

Quite the opposite here.

Longshot prediction:  after the election, PPP will turn out to be "the Hagan family."

You can't polish an Al Franken, but with enough effort, you can create the impression the other fellow might be an Al Franken, too.

And I'd be fine with Hagan either standing up for her donor base or returning the money, but not trying to have it both ways.

This has been an unusually (but unsurprisingly) static race.  Compare to Colorado, where Schaffer has been down anywhere from 3% to 15%.  Pearce?  Down by 14% the whole time.

I give Bachmann better odds than Paulsen.

I have to admit that is my primary problem with John. Palin and other people make me leery about supporting him.

See, the most reassuring thing to me about McCain is that he has surrounded himself with people like Palin who have stood up to the Good Ol' Boys.  Conversely, the most upsetting thing to me about Obama is that in Democratic primaries in Illinois, he has endorsed machine hacks over reformers in races where there was no reason for him to get involved.  I could understand him endorsing Democrats over Republicans, but bad Democrats over good Democrats on the basis of nothing but cronyism and patronage?

And then Biden over Bayh or Kaine.

Also, this puts McCain over the top:

Heh, that took me a minute.

Scary thing is, two political gurus tried to tell me in August it could happen.  Gurus are so overrated.

One Republican upset of a Democrat: ME-01 (Charlie Summers did win the student mock election in that district; do I really think he'll win? no, but I wanted to name one somewhat plausable one that hasn't been on the national radar, although Summers did speak at the Republican National Convention)

Good post.  In a Republican landslide, Pingree would have to work to win.

In a Democratic landslide, on the other hand, Pingree can have her pie and eat it too.

I think there is a good chance Merkley (D-OR) wins by more than Udall (D-CO).

In my best estimate, Obama has a minimum lead of 4% right now and maximum lead of 9% or 10%. My best estimate is a 7% lead (shown above). And it should be remembered that Bob Barr will probably get 1%-3% of the vote in Georgia, which could be the difference in who wins or loses.

Perhaps you should see a doctor.

Godless Americans promote a secular society and don't want government associated with religion at all. It opposes Christmas being a federal holiday and any mention of in the Pledge of Allegiance or on U.S. currency. Hagan said she doesn't support the group's agenda.

Obama loses by at least 5%.