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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Mitt Romney, high school bully? on: May 12, 2012, 02:25:49 am
(e.g., even Elton John wasn't having sex with men before 1980).

Elton John was open about gay sex as early as a 1976 Rolling Stone interview.  Not that you got anything else right either.
2  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread on: April 03, 2012, 12:19:58 am
This is INFURIATING. Why does the GOP want a brokered convention?

Because Romney's a twat.
3  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL: Datamar: McCain (R) 48%, Obama (D) 47% on: November 03, 2008, 11:58:14 pm
I think McCain will win Florida, but despite this poll, not because of it.
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What 5 races are you most looking forward to following tomorrow? on: November 03, 2008, 11:48:14 pm
I'm not necessarily "looking forward" to the races most important to me, so I don't know how to respond.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sam Spade's 2008 Senate/House Election Prediction Thread on: November 03, 2008, 11:46:05 pm
While all the focus was on FL-21, I was more worried about FL-25.  I can see Joe Garcia squeaking through before a felon like Raul Martinez.
6  Election Archive / 2008 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MN-3 and MN-6 SUSA says... on: November 03, 2008, 11:35:16 pm
We have Musgave, who will be departing Congress, and that horrific Schmidt woman who should be, except that she has such a heavy GOP district,

Schmidt is one of my favorites in Congress because she was right about Murtha all along.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FINAL predictions: MN-SEN on: November 03, 2008, 10:01:03 pm
My honest take:  Franken would have won last week but has lost ground.  Not sure how much.
8  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Post your Election Night Guide on: November 03, 2008, 01:16:02 pm
If Georgia is too close to call: Game Over.

Not quite.  They said South Carolina was too close to call last time.  What was the margin, 16%?
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Dole is attacking atheists on: November 03, 2008, 01:14:16 pm
I think what's more disturbing about this situation is not that Dole put out the ad, but that in order for Hagan to keep herself alive, she felt she had to denounce the group.

That's the interesting part.
10  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Which state is going to be the wildcard of the night. lets be bold. on: November 03, 2008, 12:32:15 pm
If we're going to be bold, Minnesota.

Coerced "bold" predictions tend toward stupid.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Dole is attacking atheists on: November 03, 2008, 12:19:49 pm
I was born and raised in North Carolina, and I am not Vander Blubb.  Please read more carefully next time.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Dole is attacking atheists on: November 03, 2008, 12:13:44 pm
But I'll take a page out of General Powell's playbook here.  What's the problem if Hagan IS an Atheist?

Absolutely nothing.  Hagan should hold a press conference today and say she is proud to be an atheist.
13  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: I was just thinking on: November 03, 2008, 12:04:53 pm
Quite the opposite here.
14  Election Archive / 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MT-PPP: Obama up by a single point on: November 03, 2008, 03:44:19 am
Longshot prediction:  after the election, PPP will turn out to be "the Hagan family."
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is Coleman headed to jail? on: November 03, 2008, 01:48:21 am
You can't polish an Al Franken, but with enough effort, you can create the impression the other fellow might be an Al Franken, too.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Dole is attacking atheists on: November 03, 2008, 01:43:16 am
And I'd be fine with Hagan either standing up for her donor base or returning the money, but not trying to have it both ways.
17  Election Archive / 2008 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NM: Survey USA: Udall (D) Leads NM by 14% on: November 03, 2008, 01:40:30 am
This has been an unusually (but unsurprisingly) static race.  Compare to Colorado, where Schaffer has been down anywhere from 3% to 15%.  Pearce?  Down by 14% the whole time.
18  Election Archive / 2008 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MN-3 and MN-6 SUSA says... on: November 03, 2008, 01:37:31 am
I give Bachmann better odds than Paulsen.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Undecided on: November 03, 2008, 01:35:03 am
I have to admit that is my primary problem with John. Palin and other people make me leery about supporting him.

See, the most reassuring thing to me about McCain is that he has surrounded himself with people like Palin who have stood up to the Good Ol' Boys.  Conversely, the most upsetting thing to me about Obama is that in Democratic primaries in Illinois, he has endorsed machine hacks over reformers in races where there was no reason for him to get involved.  I could understand him endorsing Democrats over Republicans, but bad Democrats over good Democrats on the basis of nothing but cronyism and patronage?

And then Biden over Bayh or Kaine.
20  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: True or False: If McCain fails to win Pennsylvania, he has lost the election on: November 02, 2008, 09:24:38 pm
Also, this puts McCain over the top:


Heh, that took me a minute.

Scary thing is, two political gurus tried to tell me in August it could happen.  Gurus are so overrated.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict two complete surprise upsets on: November 02, 2008, 09:20:09 pm
One Republican upset of a Democrat: ME-01 (Charlie Summers did win the student mock election in that district; do I really think he'll win? no, but I wanted to name one somewhat plausable one that hasn't been on the national radar, although Summers did speak at the Republican National Convention)

Good post.  In a Republican landslide, Pingree would have to work to win.

In a Democratic landslide, on the other hand, Pingree can have her pie and eat it too.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sam Spade's 2008 Senate/House Election Prediction Thread on: November 02, 2008, 09:13:21 pm
I think there is a good chance Merkley (D-OR) wins by more than Udall (D-CO).
23  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Georgia on: November 02, 2008, 08:05:43 pm
In my best estimate, Obama has a minimum lead of 4% right now and maximum lead of 9% or 10%. My best estimate is a 7% lead (shown above). And it should be remembered that Bob Barr will probably get 1%-3% of the vote in Georgia, which could be the difference in who wins or loses.

Perhaps you should see a doctor.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Dole is attacking atheists on: November 02, 2008, 07:30:49 pm
Godless Americans promote a secular society and don't want government associated with religion at all. It opposes Christmas being a federal holiday and any mention of in the Pledge of Allegiance or on U.S. currency. Hagan said she doesn't support the group's agenda.
25  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Georgia on: November 02, 2008, 07:24:47 pm
Obama loses by at least 5%.
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