|
1
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israel 2009
|
on: February 20, 2009, 10:04:19 am
|
|
Kadima seems to think they have more leverage than they do. They should join the government. The rotating PM stuff was never going to fly.
Looks like the days of ignoring Iran are over for at least the present. Iran might want to tread a little lighter in the near future until the left regains control. At that point they can resume their drive to destroy Israel.
|
|
|
|
|
5
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Lynch is out
|
on: January 15, 2009, 11:00:45 am
|
|
One of the few bits of good news for the GOP. I wouldn't call Gregg safe, but he's pretty close to it. He's solid. Lynch's decision not to run is one of the few recruiting failures for senate Democrats over the last four years. You win some - Jeb in Florida, and you lose some - Lynch in NH.
|
|
|
|
|
6
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MN Sen Recount Results
|
on: December 18, 2008, 03:13:53 pm
|
|
In spite of the way this is going, I will say that the canvassing board has played it straight down the middle. Even the moveon.org SOS has appeared to be objective as he's chaired the reviews according to what I've seen on their webcam.
All I ever asked was that this thing be conducted fairly and Minn has done a good job IMO.
If this thing got decided by a bunch of partisan county election boards each using different standards in deciding to reject or accept the absentee ballots that weren't originally counted I'd have a major problem. That could result in Republican county boards using a standard benefitting Coleman and say, Ramsey County using a different standard to benefit Frankin. That would have made the whole thing a farce.
At least those absentee ballots don't seem to be the deciding factor and that is good.
|
|
|
|
|
7
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MN Sen Recount Results
|
on: December 18, 2008, 01:16:55 pm
|
|
800 challenges?
Yep, Coleman is toast. Turns out many more Coleman challenges were Hail Mary like.
It also turns out that Franken wins regardless of the court ruling on rejected absentee ballots.
I might add that I have no problem with the SOS and the canvasing board. They appear to have played it down the middle. Coleman's lead was fool's gold and I bought it until today, but I assumed Coleman had more than a handful of valid challenges relative to Frankin's.
Congrats to Senator elect Frankin. As it turns out, this race was decided when the original canvasing gave Frankin the pick up of 480 votes prior to the recount.
Topic closed as far as I'm concerned.
|
|
|
|
|
9
|
General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Shoes thrown at Bush on Iraq trip
|
on: December 14, 2008, 04:40:54 pm
|
|
The NYT did a study after the 2000 election which, after examining the ballots remaining, determined that had the Supreme Court not stopped the count Bush would still have won the count.
Yeah, THAT New York Times. That Bush loving, RNC controlled, Rush Limbaugh parroting, right wing partisan rag New York Times.
Shut up with the we was robbed in Florida bit. It has long since gotten waaaaay beyond tiring.
|
|
|
|
|
16
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John Sharp declares bid for Texan Seat
|
on: December 13, 2008, 01:18:46 pm
|
|
Mayor White said he will run according to this morning's Chronicle. Therefore, Sharp doesn't even have a clear path amongst Democrats.
Kay Baily has hinted that she will resign late next year allowing Perry to appoint a Republican. That gives the incumbent Republican the poll position for any special election. Very uphill for any Democrat to take Kay Baily's seat.
This one stays R. I might add that we aren't talking a 2012 November presidential election. No Obama on the ballot to get out the black vote (see the Georgia senatorial runoff three weeks ago). Even in November with maximum Obama turnout numbers among minorities, Cornyn won his race by 12 points.
I know my state and for the reasons I stated above, this is a race that won't seriously be in question.
|
|
|
|
|
17
|
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John Sharp declares bid for Texan Seat
|
on: December 10, 2008, 12:52:56 pm
|
|
He might could reach 47% in a two man race. No Obama to bring out the blacks in 2010. Sharp can't even have Obama campaign for him as that would cut into the white vote he absolutely needs. Can't have your cake and eat it too.
Moderate? Tie him to padding Harry Reid's majority in congress which will show it's colors over the next two years. It won't wash in Texas, but keep telling yourself that Democrats will gain the seat. Cornyn got 55% of the vote for reelection and that was a year with Obama bringing out record minority support. Won't have that in 2010.
Next.
|
|
|
|
|
|