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July 22, 2014, 04:35:23 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Your favorite kind of pie on: Today at 12:44:36 pm
Does "pie" mean cake in German?

Pie and cake is what Kuchen and Torte is in German.

"Pie" can be used for both German names, as can "cake".
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-PPP: Hagan expands lead, but Haugh at 8% on: Today at 12:25:01 pm
You forgot to mention an important thing:

Quote
Q5 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Kay Hagan, Republican Thom Tillis, and
Libertarian Sean Haugh. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?

Kay Hagan...................................................... 41%
Thom Tillis ...................................................... 34%
Sean Haugh.................................................... 8%
Undecided....................................................... 16%

Q6 Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to
whether they lean Hagan or Tillis:

Kay Hagan...................................................... 42%
Thom Tillis ...................................................... 39%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%

If the Lib dude drops towards election day, the race is getting close.
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Your favorite kind of pie on: Today at 12:23:16 pm
Key lime, strawberry, peanut butter. Pumpkin is good if it has a custard base or consistency. It's a holiday staple around here.

I'm not sure if everywhere has peanut butter pie, though (I never really encountered it elsewhere). It's unbelievable. A local restaurant makes it with an oatmeal crust, and it's a true signature dessert. You get a piece for takeout, put it in the refrigerator, and it lasts like three days the thing is so rich. Yum. You take a couple bites, savor it, and put it back. I can't imagine eating the whole piece at one time.

Oh yeah, I forgot Tiramisu and Gugelhupf Tongue

Tiramisu, yes. And cannoli are good too. Never heard of Guglhupf!

4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Your favorite kind of pie on: Today at 10:05:55 am
Damn, I forgot apricot - when in fact there's a tree outside the house of mum's.
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Your favorite kind of pie on: Today at 09:59:31 am
My mum makes the best cakes out there, incl. all sorts of Guglhupfs (Schoko, Nuss, Zucchini), Sacher, Apple, Strawberry, Banana/Grapes, Linzer, Bienenstich, Schwarzwälder-Kirsch, Moosby-Kuchen (blueberry) and Tiramisu.

The last 2 are the best of all.

Since Tiramisu is missing in the poll, blueberry.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Indonesian presidential election on: Today at 09:46:56 am
The official result:

53.15% - 70.997.833 votes - Joko Widodo & Jusuf Kalla
46.85% - 62.576.444 votes - Prabowo Subianto & Hatta Rajasa

Valid votes: 133.574.277 (98.98%)
Invalid votes: 1.379.690 (1.02%)
Total votes cast: 134.953.967 (100.00%)

Registered voters: 193.944.150
Turnout: 69.58%

http://indonesiasatu.kompas.com/read/2014/07/22/20554461/kpu.pastikan.pasangan.jokowi-jusuf.kalla.pemenang.pilpres.2014

Clickable map with results by province:

http://news.detik.com/pemilu2014/realcountpilpres
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / IA-Gravis Marketing: Braley (D) in close race with Ernst (R) on: Today at 06:18:11 am
44% Braley (D)
43% Ernst (R)

Results for 7/17/2014-7-18/2014 Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 1,179  likely registered voters in Iowa regarding statewide candidates.  The poll carries a margin of error of  3% with a 95% confidence level.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-gravis-marketing-human-events
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / IA-Gravis Marketing: Gov. Branstad (R) up 8 on: Today at 06:17:13 am
50% Branstad
42% Hatch

Results for 7/17/2014-7-18/2014 Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 1,179  likely registered voters in Iowa regarding statewide candidates.  The poll carries a margin of error of  3% with a 95% confidence level.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-gravis-marketing-human-events
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: SC-PPP (for SCDP): Haley up 3 on: Today at 06:09:00 am
WYFF News 4 will have a new poll out later today for SC, most likely from SurveyUSA:

Quote
GREENVILLE, S.C. —WYFF News 4 wanted to give you a look at what voters across the state are thinking as election day gets closer.

For the past few weeks we've been conducting our own scientific poll, its called the Palmetto Politics Poll.

With the help of a national polling agency we contacted 1,000 people from all walks of life, from across the state of South Carolina.  

We asked would-be voters questions about the governors races, the state legislature, as well as questions on taxes, gambling and even their thoughts on approving medical marijuana in the palmetto state.  

Margin of error for our our poll usually ranges 3 to 4 percent, that is a 95 percent confidence level.

WYFF News 4 will start releasing the results of the Palmetto Politics Poll Tuesday at 6pm.

Read more: http://www.wyff4.com/news/palmetto-politics-poll/27072976
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Indonesian presidential election on: Today at 05:30:28 am
Prabowo goes sore-loser and withdraws from the process and aims to challenge the election at the highest court:

Quote
Indonesian presidential election candidate Prabowo Subianto has said he is withdrawing from the election process, alleging massive fraud.

The results of the hotly-contested poll are due in the next few hours. Early projections have put Joko Widodo in the lead.

But Mr Subianto told reporters there was massive systemic fraud and vowed to challenge the results in court.

He added that his camp would not resort to violence.

Most "quick counts" after the 9 July election had placed Mr Widodo, the popular Jakarta governor, in the lead.

But his rival Mr Subianto, a former military general under Suharto, said earlier that other polls showed he had won.

The Election Commission has since been tallying votes. Outgoing President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has urged both parties to respect the result.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-28400752
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Indonesian presidential election on: Today at 12:51:01 am
The official results will be released in 3 hours.

Jokowi now has already more votes than Obama in 2008 (ca. 71 million).

His lead is 53.2-46.8 right now.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Texas' turnout surpass California's/New York's in 2016? on: July 21, 2014, 12:59:41 pm
Turnout would be higher in TX ... among Republicans, coming out in droves against Hillary.

She'd probably lose the state by about 10-15 points.

When it comes to turnout, TX will continue to have one of the lowest in the US - because Dems and the Hillary campaign won't invest any money in the state.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT-PPP: Daines up 7 on: July 21, 2014, 12:49:52 pm
It's still 7 points and the MoE could play a role, so it could be higher.

I'd wait for another poll here ...
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / NY-Siena: Gov. Cuomo (D) up 37 on: July 21, 2014, 12:49:01 pm
60% Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic, Working Families and Independence Party lines
23% Rob Astorino on the Republican and Conservative Party lines
  6% Howie Hawkins on the Green Party line
11% Don't know/No opinion

Siena College Research Institute
July 13-16, 2014
774 Likely New York State Registered Voters
MOE +/- 3.5%

https://www.siena.edu/news-events/article/cuomo-leads-astorino-by-37-points
15  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Actress Skye McCole Bartusiak dead at 21 on: July 21, 2014, 09:11:20 am
Actress Skye McCole Bartusiak, best known for her role as Mel Gibson’s daughter in The Patriot, has died. She was 21 years old.

The cause of death of the former child star remains unknown, but it has been reported that she passed away in her sleep in her family’s home in Texas Saturday, TMZ reported.

Bartusiak was seven years old when she was cast in the role of Susan Martin, the daughter of Benjamin Martin played by Gibson in the 2000 hit film directed by Robert Emmerich.



http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2699588/Child-star-played-Mel-Gibsons-daughter-The-Patriot-dead-age-21-died-having-seizures.html

Horrible. RIP Sad
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (Next: Vorarlberg state election - Sept. 21) on: July 21, 2014, 07:43:24 am
The Pirate Party has now also managed to be on the ballot in the Vorarlberg state election on September 21.

About 2 weeks ago, NEOS already announced that they have more than 400 signatures.

The Men's Party already has 320 signatures.
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Have you ever been to a KZ (concentration camp) ? on: July 21, 2014, 02:48:17 am
With the 80th anniversary of the "July-Putsch" coming up on Friday and the 70th one of the Stauffenberg murder attempt of Hitler recently, I have once again read a lot about the Nazi- and Austro-Fascism time.

And yes, we have been at the Mauthausen-Gusen KZ (ca. 200.000-500.000 murdered) during high-school and at the Hartheim T4 euthanasia castle (roughly 20.000 murdered disabled people, mostly children and old people).

Both of them are located in Upper Austria, near Linz - not far away from where Hitler was born.

It's really odd and depressing feeling when you walk around in there and in the gas chambers.

What about you ?
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: NY-18/Gravis Marketing: Rep. Maloney (D) trails Hayworth (R) by 4 on: July 21, 2014, 12:59:35 am
Maloney was also trailing Hayworth in polling conducted before the 2012 election, but then won by 4 points:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_New_York,_2012#District_18

Of course, it was a presidential year with bigger turnout and this year it is not, so everything is possible ...
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / NY-18/Gravis Marketing: Rep. Maloney (D) trails Hayworth (R) by 4 on: July 21, 2014, 12:56:11 am
44% Hayworth (R)
40% Maloney (D-Inc.)

Both have positive favorable ratings though, but Obama suxx in the district:

Quote
Congressman Sean Maloney had 37% having a favorable opinion of him versus 34% having an unfavorable opinion.

Nan Hayworth had 41% of the respondents having a favorable opinion of her with 40% having an unfavorable opinion.

Congressman Maloney also supported a 36% job approval rating with only 31% disapproving of his job performance in the district.

However, respondents in this district viewed President Obama’s job approval differently, with 34% approving of the President’s job performance and 56% disapproving.

Human Events and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 523 registered voters in New York’s 18th Congressional District regarding current candidates. The poll carries a margin of error of ±4%. The survey was conducted 7/17/2014-7/19/2014.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/ny-cd-18-telephone-survey-july
20  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Is the previous poster to the left/right of you? on: July 20, 2014, 12:34:30 pm
Cranberry is about me, 11 years ago.

Which means more to the left, because I have moved more to the center over the time.
21  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Star Trek on: July 20, 2014, 12:22:06 pm
Q Who was among the creepiest episodes with the introduction of the Borg (and probably the best episode I've seen as of yet).

Yep, I assume you have never seen the movie "First Contact" yet then ?
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Star Trek on: July 20, 2014, 12:06:30 pm
If you like TNG, you will love DS9 - because Sisko vs. Dukat is virtually Star Trek's version to the Obama vs. Romney election.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Communes mapgasm on: July 20, 2014, 11:48:00 am
ARE YOU READY

Ready for what ?

EP maps for France ?

That would be great.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Communes mapgasm on: July 20, 2014, 11:45:10 am
Hills don't like Le Pen.

True (+Paris, Loire and Bretagne people):



25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Adelson might spend up to $100M on Pub Senate candidates on: July 20, 2014, 10:09:14 am
OK, if he wants to get rid of his money ...

But we already saw how much his spending helped President Mitt Romney.

Money only helps to some extent.
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