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July 04, 2015, 02:01:08 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (May 31: state elections in Styria and Burgenland) on: Today at 10:12:46 am
Gov. Pühringer (ÖVP), who has a tough Upper Austria state election battle ahead in Sept., is now calling for the exact same measures like I did the last couple months (seeing how the FPÖ goes through the roof in their polling numbers):

http://orf.at/stories/2287822/2287823

Yes, the talk ... only talking but doing nothing.

As long as our incompetent, delusional SPÖVP government at the federal level continues to govern against the Austrian people in their politically correct naive world-view, nothing will change. Borders are still not going to be enforced (despite 60% of Austrians in favour of it), asylum seekers will still come in in record numbers and they will become homeless in the asylum centers or sleep in tents. 100000s of people with no education and no future, who the government lets in and this despite the 300.000 of unemployed Austrians. Good job in wrecking the country, SPÖVP.

Of course, Pühringer and his ÖVP as well as the SPÖ will get trashed at the polls because they are seen as "talkers", not "doers". And as long as this continues they will be their own grave diggers and continue to strengthen the FPÖ ... sadly.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Lief on: Today at 10:02:26 am
Great guy, but he should get rid of that Islamo-fascist pseudo-dictator Erdogan & Hillary-fetish.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (May 31: state elections in Styria and Burgenland) on: Today at 09:52:07 am
any chance the SPO will topple Faymann?

The party right now says there's no internal leadership debate, but we'll see if that's still the case after the coming brutal election defeats in September/October ...
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (May 31: state elections in Styria and Burgenland) on: Today at 09:42:35 am
Just a question regarding both the national level and in Vienna, would a SPO-Grune-Neos coalition work as a possible alternative to team Proporz or having the FPO in government?

Even with today's crappy numbers for the SPÖ, there would still be another SPÖ-Green government possible in Vienna (49% vs. 47%).

And because Vienna has an election system which favors the strongest party, even more so (note how the SPÖ got 44% in the 2010 state election, but got 49/100 seats).

Which means NEOS would not be needed as a 3rd coalition partner.

On the federal level, SPÖ+Greens+NEOS is currently impossible because Black-Blue has a solid majority in all polls.

I don't know really what you mean with Proporz, because neither on the federal level nor in Vienna there is any Proporz. This remains only in Upper- and Lower Austria and Carinthia.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Independence Day to Dave Leip on: Today at 08:44:31 am
That flag is just awesome Eraserhead. You should copyright it. Smiley

Yes. But why is there a piece of NJs border in the east missing ?

Huh
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Independence Day to Dave Leip on: Today at 08:36:10 am
Haha, well done. Cheesy

Anyway, if Atlas is the US, that means Dark Atlas is the Confederacy.

Dark Atlas suxx, because they launched a 6-page attack on me behind my back, of which I found out recently.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread (Part 2) on: Today at 08:33:31 am
Random question: Am I the only one here who checks this Twitter account once every few days, to say if there's any news?:

https://twitter.com/bobehrlich2016


Yes.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (May 31: state elections in Styria and Burgenland) on: Today at 08:21:24 am
The FPÖ breaks 30% for the first time in a (Gallup) poll for the Vienna state election (Oct. 11):



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-in-Wien-schon-bei-30-Prozent/194973364

For the SPÖ to lose Vienna would be a disaster of epic proportions ... In the 1970s, the SPÖ got 65% there and the FPÖ 5%.
9  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Europe & US/CAN getting baked the next 2 weeks on: Today at 04:57:56 am
Yeah, here in Paris we've been getting to 35-40° in the afternoon, and even after midnight it's still around 25-30°. Best summer ever! Smiley

Yeah, thank goodness I'm working just another 30 minutes and then jump into the lake or something in the afternoon ... Wink
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Europe & US/CAN getting baked the next 2 weeks on: Today at 02:57:20 am
I'm definitely getting baked here:

It's only 10am here and it already has 27°C in the office.

35-37°C projected for the afternoon.

Time to switch on the AC ...
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / NC-Civitas: Clinton/Bush ahead, but Willie Wilson-surge on: July 03, 2015, 12:38:59 am
If the 2016 Presidential Election were being held today who would you like to see as the candidate for the Republican Party? (OPEN END, DO NOT READ NAMES)

14%    Jeb Bush
6%    Ben Carson
3%    Ted Cruz
—    Carly Fiorina
1%    Lindsey Graham
4%    Mike Huckabee
1%    George Pataki
4%    Rand Paul
1%    Rick Perry
5%    Marco Rubio
—    Rick Santorum
—    Mark Everson
2%    Scott Walker
2%    Chris Christie
—    John Kasich
1%    Bobby Jindal
10%    Donald Trump
—    Skip Andrews
6%    Other (Specify)
34%    Don’t Know
6%    Refused

If the 2016 Presidential Election were being held today who would you like to see as the candidate for the Democratic Party? (OPEN END, DO NOT READ NAMES)

33%    Hillary Clinton
—    Lincoln Chafee
1%    Martin O’Malley
11%    Bernie Sanders
—    Jeff Boss
—    Robby Wells
1%    Willie Wilson
2%    Jim Webb
5%    Joe Biden
5%    Other (Specify)
37%    Don’t Know
6%    Refused

https://www.nccivitas.org/2015/civitas-poll-shows-presidential-favorites
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: [attention whoring] Antonio V, M.A. on: July 02, 2015, 01:34:50 pm
Congrats.

Smiley

Now get a job, dude ...
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jim Webb Announces 2016 Presidential Run on: July 02, 2015, 01:33:59 pm
Game changer !
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP (MI)- Clinton leads all candidates on: July 02, 2015, 01:32:12 pm
Walker 39%
Sanders 35%

We all know how relevant these numbers are at this stage:

15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2nd quarter fundraising megathread on: July 02, 2015, 01:27:43 pm
Sanders raised 15 Mio. $:

Bernie Sanders Raises $15 Million From a Wide Donor Base

Senator Bernie Sanders, the liberal Vermont senator who has been rising in recent polls in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, raised $15 million in the last two months, his aides said.

The sum represents a third of what Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign reported raising by going after high-dollar donors. Instead, Mr. Sanders appealed largely to grassroots donors who could give smaller amounts to finance his candidacy.

The figure is surprisingly large for a fund-raising effort that has been primarily from small donors. And it will allow Mr. Sanders to air ads introducing himself to voters, as well hire staff that could help him maintain his candidacy.

Aides to Mr. Sanders said that since April 30, nearly 400,000 contributions had come into the campaign, with 99 percent of those donations in increments of $250 or less.

The disclosure of his fund-raising prowess comes as he has shown continued strength in polls in early nominating states, getting the support of 33 percent of likely caucusgoers in Iowa in one new poll and narrowing what was once a wide gap with Mrs. Clinton, who had 52 percent support.

On Wednesday evening, Mr. Sanders drew a crowd of roughly 10,000 at a speech in Madison, Wis., a Democratic stronghold.

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/07/02/bernie-sanders-raises-15-million-from-a-wide-donor-base
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 52% Sanders 33%; R: Walker 18% Carson 10% Trump 10% on: July 02, 2015, 05:55:31 am
A 60% lead is down to 19% in just a few months ... she's inevitable !
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2nd quarter fundraising megathread on: July 02, 2015, 12:41:16 am
Based on the online donations until Mid-June, Sanders likely raised between 10-15 Mio. $ for the quarter alltogether.

That's likely more than almost all Republicans and that's pretty good considering that his campaign only started in May.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics (May 31: state elections in Styria and Burgenland) on: July 02, 2015, 12:17:12 am
The FPÖ surges to a new record high in the latest GMK/Bezirksblätter poll for the Sept. 27 Upper Austria state election:



Direct vote for Governor:



http://www.meinbezirk.at/linz/politik/umfrage-fpoe-am-weg-zu-30-bei-der-landtagswahl-d1401605.html
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders Attracting 9500+ People at Madison Rally on: July 01, 2015, 12:01:15 pm
You realise you guys are indistinguishable from Paultards right?

Paul (and his son) never had a chance though.

Sanders has (he's already polling much higher than Paul ever has, in NH).
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Raises $45 Million in 1st Quarter on: July 01, 2015, 11:59:40 am
Suck it Sanders supporters.

Roll Eyes

Because you need 100 Mio. $+ to compete for IA, NH, SC and NV ... lol.

All this money won't help Hilldog if she cannot win the hearts of people.

Trying to win these 4 small states with 100 Mio. $ is like trying to shoot a fly with a bazooka.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders Attracting 9500+ People at Madison Rally on: July 01, 2015, 11:56:27 am
And Hilldog can't even get 3.000 paid visitors to her campaign events.

This is going well for Bernie, Hilldog won't even know what hit her when the fun begins next year.

The dirty attacks will come out. Like that Sanders is a misogynist communist Israeli or something. And then there will be the PUMAs again.

Obama was also a black Marxist from Kenya and he still defeated her.

Which means she can be re-defeated by Bernie.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC nat.: D: Clinton 58% Biden 17%; R: Bush 17% Trump 12% Carson 8% Paul 8% on: July 01, 2015, 11:55:05 am
With GE results that are quite frankly a joke (Hillary up 15-25%), I cannot really trust these primary figures either (even though they don't look that bad, compared with the GE numbers).
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Rubio/Trump/Walker by >10 pts on: July 01, 2015, 11:50:53 am
CNN/ORC polls are not trustworthy, at least at this stage.

Last month, they relased a poll showing Hilldog with a 15-25% lead and now it's almost the same, but state polls from all other pollsters are not backing up such leads.

I don't know what they are polling right now, but certainly not the US ...
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders Attracting 9500+ People at Madison Rally on: July 01, 2015, 12:22:45 am
And Hilldog can't even get 3.000 paid visitors to her campaign events.

This is going well for Bernie, Hilldog won't even know what hit her when the fun begins next year.
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Europe & US/CAN getting baked the next 2 weeks on: June 30, 2015, 01:01:37 pm


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