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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 23, 2014, 02:15:20 pm
A graphic I made today to show you in a nutshell what's going on within the Team Stronach:



Headline: "Team Stronach Co-party leader Kathrin Nachbaur leaves party because Frank Stronach wants a 'strong man' to lead the party."

Stronach (Cartman): "Bad, BAD Kathrin Nachbaur ! Respect my authoritahhhh !"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZh10Ez0op8
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 23, 2014, 01:48:22 pm
Is Fayman likely to go before 2016? Who would follow him?

It is always a possibility, yet as long as he keeps the backing of Michael Hupl, the mayor of Vienna, he should be fairly safe. SP leaders generally "live" longer than VP leaders, the one before Faymann, Gusenbauer, was leader for eight years, of those six years in opposition. I would say this is due to two reasons, firstly all of them since Kreisky being Bundeskanzler, and secondly since they usually come all from Vienna or are at least well settled within the Viennese establishment. The VP leaders have to please all, farmers, the VP-unions, Lower Austria, the Western States, Upper Austria etc. etc. The SP leader on the other hand "just" needs to please Vienna and the unions (usually mutually exclusive). As such, I would deem it unlikely for Faymann to go away anytime soon, barring anything unforeseen happens.

If that should happen however, I have to say I have no clue, and probably the SP as well has no clue, as to how could succeed him. About every SP "hope" in the last years (Schmidt, Heinisch-Hosek, Darabos...) have put themselves to the outside, through political errors of one sort or another (Darabos led the debacle around the draft-reform in 2013, Schmidt with the "reform" of our education system...). So, I really have no clue.

Plus: The SP's leadership election is taking place next weekend in which Faymann will be re-elected party leader for the next years.

If the SP has a bad 2015 state election year (and they might as well have it, according to all the polls, losing big in Vienna/Upper Austria & Styria), then the pressue for Faymann to step down will increase extremely.

I could then see the Burgenland Governor Hans Niessl following him.


Niessl left, Faymann right.

Niessl has to fight his own state election early next year, but polls show that "his" state SP is doing relatively well at around 47% (losing only 1%).

Because the other state elections will follow at a later date and the SP is projected to lose by a much higher percentage there, Niessl could serve another year as Burgenland governor. Then, the SP calls another leadership vote in early 2016 and Faymann quits in favor of the popular Niessl. That would leave Niessl with a more than 2-year timespan to position himself for the 2018 federal election and leave also enough time for the person who follows him as Burgenland-governor.
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever spent money on "walking gear"? on: November 23, 2014, 11:40:10 am
No, but my mum got herself hiking poles:



Even though I often hike through the woods and mountains, I don't need them because I'm not an "old" yet.

The only thing that I occasionally buy for walking are new waterproof/warm walking shoes with a good grip. For longer day-tours, I just use my old backpack. Other than that I don't need anything for hiking.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 23, 2014, 11:13:58 am
The questions below the "election poll" and on the right side of the "Chancellor vote":

"Should the SP head into the next federal election with Chancellor Werner Faymann or someone else ?"

35% Faymann (Among SP-voters though: 79%)
48% SOMEONE ELSE
17% don't know

"Should the VP head into the next federal election with Vice-Chancellor Reinhold Mitterlehner or someone else ?"

53% Mitty (Among VP-voters though: 86%)
28% SOMEONE ELSE
18% don't know

"Did the climate and the teamwork improve within the SPVP coalition since the VP changed their leader ?"

32% has become better
42% it stayed the same
12% became worse
14% don't know

"Will the SPVP government remain together until the next election in 2018 or will there be early elections ?"

59% remain together
26% there will be early elections
15% don't know
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Miss Curvy Africa on: November 23, 2014, 10:54:05 am
It's OK I guess, but some of the girls on the picture are simply "too broad" for my taste.

The 2nd and 3rd from left are OK, as is the small one in the middle and the 2nd and 4th from right.
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: F1 World Championship to be decided today in Abu Dhabi on: November 23, 2014, 10:40:01 am
Hamilton is the new WC and he deserves it because he's been much better throughout the season.

Rosberg didn't deserve all the technical problems today though ...
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 23, 2014, 10:33:53 am
The conservative VP could soon be 1st in federal polling again and overtake the SP and FP for the first time since mid-2010.



New OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper today:



http://kurier.at/politik/inland/ogm-kurier-umfrage-django-effekt-katapultiert-vp-zur-nr-1/98.558.612
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you like cranberries? on: November 23, 2014, 10:27:47 am
Yes, of course.

It's what you put on the Schnitzel here.

My brother is a big cranberry harvester during the summer, collecting about 100 liters or so. I help to sort them out and my mum makes the jelly out of it.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / How far is the next oil or gas pipeline away from you ? on: November 23, 2014, 04:41:38 am
25km (15 miles).

Quote
Transalpine Pipeline

The Transalpine Pipeline (TAL) is a crude oil pipeline, which connects Italy, Austria and Germany.

The capacity of the pipeline is approximately 43 million tons of crude oil per year. In 2012 the throughput of the pipeline was 34.9 million tons of crude oil.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transalpine_Pipeline
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / We could definitely need some snow right now on: November 23, 2014, 04:03:01 am
... and by "snow" I mean 1-2 feet of it.

The skiing season is scheduled to start in 1 or 2 weeks and the landscape here still looks like in September or October. Yesterday it briefly had 10-15C.

There's some snow on the mountains but not enough yet. At least there's clear skies now and temps are down to freezing levels during the night and early morning hours, but they are way too high during the day for the snow cannons.

I wish it would snow here like in Buffalo ... Sad
11  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Last round of negotiations on Iran nuclear program on: November 23, 2014, 03:50:24 am
John Kerry (USA) talking on the phone @ some park in Vienna:



Kerry also went to the local Christmas Market to buy some presents and drink Glhwein.

FF.
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / F1 World Championship to be decided today in Abu Dhabi on: November 23, 2014, 03:22:42 am
Hamilton/Hamilton



Is anyone else watching too ?

Currently, Lewis Hamilton (GBR) has 334 points and Nico Rosberg (GER) has 317.

The winner of today's race will get double the points though (50 instead of 25), the 2nd placed will get 36 instead of 18, the 3rd placed 30 instead of 15.

Rosberg will start from poleposition though, but even if Hamilton comes in 2nd Hamilton will become WC (Rosberg needs to win and Hamilton needs to come in at least 3rd).

So this will be highly interesting.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Abu_Dhabi_Grand_Prix
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Opinion of Bear Grylls ? on: November 22, 2014, 12:27:49 pm


http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x23qcwo_man-vs-wild-s01e02-moab-desert-utah_travel

Edward Michael "Bear" Grylls (born 7 June 1974) is a British adventurer, writer and television presenter. He is widely known for his television series Man vs. Wild (2006-2011), originally titled Born Survivor: Bear Grylls in the United Kingdom. Grylls is also involved in a number of wildnerness survival television series in the United Kingdom and the United States.

Grylls grew up in Donaghadee in County Down, Northern Ireland, until the age of four when his family moved to Bembridge on the Isle of Wight.

He is the son of the Conservative party politician Sir Michael Grylls and Lady Sarah Grylls. Lady Grylls was the daughter of Patricia Ford, briefly an Ulster Unionist Party MP, and cricketer and businessman Neville Ford. Grylls has one sibling, an elder sister, Lara Fawcett, a cardio-tennis coach, who gave him the nickname 'Bear' when he was a week old.

Grylls was educated at Eaton House, Ludgrove School and Eton College, where he helped start its first mountaineering club, and Birkbeck, University of London, where he graduated with a degree, obtained part-time, in Hispanic studies in 2002.

(...)

Military service

After leaving school, Grylls briefly considered joining the Indian Army and hiked in the Himalayan mountains of Sikkim and West Bengal. Eventually, Grylls joined the Territorial Army and, after passing selection, served as a reservist with the SAS in 21 SAS Regiment (Artists) (Reserve), for three years until 1997.

In 2004, Grylls was previously awarded the honorary rank of lieutenant commander in the Royal Naval Reserve; and in 2013 he was awarded the honorary rank of lieutenant colonel in the Royal Marines Reserve.

(...)

Television series

Grylls hosts a series titled Born Survivor: Bear Grylls for the British Channel 4 and broadcast as Man vs. Wild in Australia, New Zealand, Canada, India, and the U.S.A., and as Ultimate Survival on the Discovery Channel in Europe, Asia, and Africa. The series features Grylls dropped into inhospitable places, showing viewers how to survive. Man vs. Wild debuted in 2006, and its success led it to lasting seven seasons over five years.

The show has featured stunts including Grylls climbing cliffs, parachuting from helicopters, balloons, and planes, paragliding, ice climbing, running through a forest fire, wading rapids, eating snakes, wrapping his urine-soaked t-shirt around his head to help stave off the desert heat, drinking urine saved in a rattlesnake skin, drinking fecal liquid from elephant dung, eating deer droppings, wrestling alligators, field dressing a camel carcass and drinking water from it, eating various "creepy crawlies" [insects], utilising the corpse of a sheep as a sleeping bag and flotation device, free climbing waterfalls and using a bird guano/water enema for hydration.

(...)

Charities

Grylls is an ambassador for The Prince's Trust, an organisation which provides training, financial, and practical support to young people in the United Kingdom. He is also vice president for The JoLt Trust, a small charity that takes disabled, disadvantaged, abused or neglected young people on challenging month-long expeditions.

In 2011, Grylls was in New Zealand during the February 2011 Christchurch earthquake. Following the incident, he appeared on New Zealand advertisements encouraging people to donate money to help rebuild the city.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bear_Grylls

...

Massive FF.
14  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Flash on: November 22, 2014, 11:43:35 am
What the [Inks] are you talking about?

The flash-button () next to the image ()-button.

Don't know really what it is for, maybe a relict from the old times.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What are you listening to right now? II on: November 22, 2014, 11:17:23 am
Bleachers - Rollercoaster
16  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Last round of negotiations on Iran nuclear program on: November 22, 2014, 11:10:02 am
The German foreign minister says that "a deal has never been closer, but Iran has to move".

The American foreign minister says that "there are still huge differences".

The Austrian foreign minister says that" there's still a long way to go."



Steinmeier (Germany) & Kerry (USA)



Kurz (Austria) & Zarif (Iran)

http://derstandard.at/2000008501817/Atomgespraeche-in-entscheidender-Phase
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 22, 2014, 10:45:41 am
The Team Stronach is going the way of the joke party BZ:


So, as you can see the TS is in deep sh*t and likely gone by 2018.

http://derstandard.at/2000008480051/Team-Stronach-Nachbaur-tritt-aus-Partei-aus

As far as I can see members of BZO and TS should defect en mess/merge with each other or  NEOS or FPO if they want any chance of survival. Those parties isolated are useless.

NEOS doesn't need (or want) any of these failed personalities from the TS or the BZ. Would be bad for the party image.

And while the FP would be the best choice for these failed personalities, they won't take them either (despite the fact that the FP is already made up of failed personalities as well ... Tongue)

I agree. It's a question of where TS & BZO voters go now. I assume most will go FPO with a significant minority going OVP and NEOS.

The question has already been answered, because the TS polls only 1% anymore and the BZ has no support whatsoever anymore.

The voters from both parties are socially-conservative and/or business-minded. Which means they have almost exclusively gone to the FP and VP already.

NEOS is more of an urban/suburban party that attracts more socially liberal and/or business-minded people, which makes it unlikely that former TS/BZ voters went to them.

Besides, NEOS is now losing voters as well - which means they need to be careful as to not end up like TS and the BZ in the long run ...
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: President Obama approval poll on: November 22, 2014, 10:13:17 am
Gone from "neutral" to "mildly approve".

After all, it's much better to have Obama in office than virtually any Republican.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 22, 2014, 09:53:39 am
The Team Stronach is going the way of the joke party BZ:
...

So, as you can see the TS is in deep sh*t and likely gone by 2018.

I love how you're qualifying it with a "likely". Is there any conceivable scenario in which TS comes even close to the Nationalrat? Do they even have any local party machines?

Nope and ... nope.

The Team Stronach is going the way of the joke party BZ:


So, as you can see the TS is in deep sh*t and likely gone by 2018.

http://derstandard.at/2000008480051/Team-Stronach-Nachbaur-tritt-aus-Partei-aus

As far as I can see members of BZO and TS should defect en mess/merge with each other or  NEOS or FPO if they want any chance of survival. Those parties isolated are useless.

NEOS doesn't need (or want) any of these failed personalities from the TS or the BZ. Would be bad for the party image.

And while the FP would be the best choice for these failed personalities, they won't take them either (despite the fact that the FP is already made up of failed personalities as well ... Tongue)
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the state you live in? on: November 22, 2014, 09:44:06 am
Salzburg is one of the best states to live in Austria.

Generally, all Western States are good + parts of Upper Austria and Vienna.

So, FF state.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NBC Poll: '2016 Field Is Crowded -- and Mostly Unpopular' on: November 21, 2014, 02:02:14 pm
What we should be looking at two years from the election is not the polls but positives/negatives of candidates. Hillary has 40% negatives with 100% name recognition. Negatives stay. People who form a negative opinion about somebody will keep that negative opinion.

That's true.  That's why public figures with high name recognition never see their popularity change much over time.  E.g.:




Why were her approvals so low in 2000?  Do we blame wives for he sex scandals of their husbands now? 

No, I guess because she announced a run for the Senate.

Every time Hillary runs for something, her favorables drop to record lows (not in 2006, because it was a solid Dem year).
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / LA: JMC Enterprises: Cassidy+15 on: November 21, 2014, 01:49:39 pm
New Poll: Louisiana Senator by JMC Enterprises on 2014-11-20

Summary: D: 40%, R: 55%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Gallup: US Postal Service, FBI and NASA are the best Government agencies on: November 21, 2014, 01:33:28 pm
U.S. Postal Service Gets High Marks, VA Rated Poorly





http://www.gallup.com/poll/179522/americans-ratings-cdc-down-ebola-crisis.aspx
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: November 21, 2014, 11:53:00 am
The Team Stronach is going the way of the joke party BZ:

After announcing a few days ago that she's pregnant, TS co-party leader Kathrin Nachbaur announced today that she quit the party and the co-party leader post (she wants to remain club-leader of the TS parliamentary group though).

Apparently, this comes after party leader Frank Stronach cut her 140.000 per year payment at MAGNA International for a leadership post.

So, as you can see the TS is in deep sh*t and likely gone by 2018.

Nachbaur was until a few days ago the closest person to Frank Stronach. If he dumps her (or treats her badly, so that she quits), you know that something is really wrong ...

http://derstandard.at/2000008480051/Team-Stronach-Nachbaur-tritt-aus-Partei-aus
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Cranberry's Austrian Maps on: November 21, 2014, 08:56:50 am


Thanks, homely ... Smiley
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