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August 01, 2015, 06:49:19 am
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Forum Poll: Favorable Ratings of announced GOP candidates (August 2015 edition) on: Today at 01:14:49 am
Vote.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Forum Poll: Favorable Ratings of announced DEM candidates (August 2015 edition) on: Today at 01:06:54 am
Vote.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is it just me, or does Trump seem untouchable? on: Today at 12:55:04 am
The FP says stuff like this all the time and they are still here (and stronger than ever before as well).

So why should the situation with rightwing-populist Trump be any different ? These comments only make them stronger, not weaker.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: Today at 12:27:25 am
The FP pulls within 2% of the SP in a new Gallup poll for the Oct. 11 Vienna state election:



This is the closest gap so far. Also, turnout could benefit from this coming SP-FP mobilisation battle.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Wien-Strache-knapp-an-Haeupl-dran/198553564
5  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Where do you stand on the killing of Cecil the Lion? on: July 31, 2015, 02:38:07 pm
I support Lion hunting.

But old school: naked human hunter with self-made natural weapon vs. Lion

... then we'll see who comes out alive.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: July 31, 2015, 01:54:16 pm
Meanwhile here in Salzburg, where the FP split into 2 pieces recently, the splinter-party of Karl Schnell lost a legal battle against the federal party of HC Strache:

After the split, Schnell named his party FPS (Freedom Party of Salzburg), but the court issued a prohibition order that requires the FPS to remove the word "freedom" or "freedomite" (=> freiheitlich) from its party name, because this is a USP for the FP and therefore cannot be used by another party, also to avoid confusion for future voters.

Schnell now said the party will be called "Free Party of Salzburg", which means FPS could be retained.

http://derstandard.at/2000020052513/Gericht-untersagt-Namen-von-Schnells-Freiheitlicher-Partei-Salzburgs
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: July 31, 2015, 01:46:28 pm
An apparent illegal party financing scandal hits the FP (apparently, suitcases full of money have been transferred from a Carinthian think-tank agency to the FP's headquarter in Vienna).

The FP denies it, saying the accusations are coming from the marxist "Falter" newspaper.

The Austrian corruption prosecution office is still investigating it.

http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/4783803/Illegale-Parteienfinanzierung_Nur-Schall-und-Rauch-?

New Gallup poll shows that it's not having any impact on the FP numbers so far:



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/FPOe-Affaere-schadet-Strache-nicht/198426162

Understandable, because the FP is like teflon right now in this heated asylum-climate ...
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Marist: Hillary leads all 17 candidates by between 5-21 points on: July 31, 2015, 01:41:47 pm
So Hillary is trailing the Republicans or tied with them in many swing states but leading them nationally? Hmmm....

Summer polls are always bad.

But I think the fact that Hillary is doing badly in states like CO and IA is A) because she was always doing badly in these states and B) because the Republicans ran a couple million worth of anti-Hillary ads in recent months in the swing states of 2012. It could mean that Hillary does badly in the swing states, but makes up the margins elsewhere for a decent national lead against Bush etc.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Marist: Hillary leads all 17 candidates by between 5-21 points on: July 31, 2015, 01:29:32 pm


Also, 3-way:

44% Clinton (D)
29% Bush (R)
20% Trump (I)

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/731-trump-as-independent-gives-new-meaning-to-name-billary
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump far ahead, Jindal and Kasich surging on: July 31, 2015, 01:21:51 pm
I think Gravis is just keeping Warren in their polls to suppress the Sanders-vote and to make Hillary look stronger than she really is ...
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump far ahead, Jindal and Kasich surging on: July 31, 2015, 01:14:17 pm


Also, someone please tell Gravis that Warren won't run:



http://www.oann.com/polliowa/
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: July 31, 2015, 12:41:46 am

Both Austrian and Hungarian officials will be involved in border checks, and controls are already taking place on trains leaving Budapest for Austria, Interior Minister Johanna Mikl-Leitner told 1 radio.

She added that she is talking to her Hungarian counterpart about how to facilitate a complete control of all incoming trains from Hungary, and how to monitor Hungarian railway stations.

Are these people coming by train?

With regard to the roads, I guess Klingenbach and Nickelsdorf are the most important border crossings at which they will implement strict border controls?

Yes, many asylum seekers are coming by overnight train from Budapest. Just recently, there have been many cases with hundreds of asylum seekers coming out of night trains in Salzburg and Vienna, because the German train conducter threw them out before entering Germany or was about to call the police ahead of the German border. People smugglers provide them with the train tickets in Hungary. Others are crammed into small buses, like a recent case in which 40 people were stuck in there in a small van and the doors locked. All of this is disgusting, but that doesn't mean we should not step up the border enforcement ...

PS: Yes, the Hungarian border will be the most checked in the coming months, especially the border checkpoints near the highways and the last stops in Hungary for the overnight-trains.

(picture of Strache with cross)

Please explain what your post means ... Tongue

Are you a supporter of people smuggling ? What exactly do you find wrong about these common-sense policies that I posted in the article ? It seems the naivity of the left-left wingers on this forum is becoming increasingly evident ...
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The 2015-16 Club Football ("Soccer") Thread on: July 30, 2015, 12:31:23 am
Yesterday, the Champions League qualification round 3 took place.

* In the home games, Red Bull Salzburg (Austria) defeated Malm (Sweden) with 2:0

* Also, Rapid Vienna (Austria) tied Ajax Amsterdam (Netherlands) 2:2

In the Europa League quali round 3, there are 3 games today:

* WAC (from Carinthia) will host Borussia Dortmund (Germany), in the sold-out 30.000 stadium in Klagenfurt

* Sturm Graz (from Styria) will host Rubin Kazan (Russia)

* Altach (from Vorarlberg) will host Vitoria Guimaraes (Portugal)
14  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / The 2015-16 Club Football ("Soccer") Thread on: July 30, 2015, 12:27:38 am
Post everything about it + CL and EL here.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult: After remarks, Trump remains solidy ahead. Kasich in the Top-10 on: July 29, 2015, 01:53:11 pm
All the polls in last week show Kasich has bounced into top 10. Unfortunately only one (CNN) will count. There are 6 days left for more live polls to come out and prove he is an announcement timing genius. Otherwise he may have waited too long

That's right.

According to RCP, the last 5 live-caller polls are from CNN, WaPo/ABC, FOX, USAToday/Suffolk, Monmouth.

Kasich has an average of 2% in these polls, while Perry has 2.2% - which means currently Perry would be the 10th in the FOX debate.

But if there's at least 1 poll coming out the next week showing Kasich doing 1% better than Perry, Kasich would be 10th.

If a poll comes out and shows them tied, they would also be tied on the 5-poll average - with Monmouth being the dropout poll ... Wink
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: July 29, 2015, 01:27:35 pm
Finally, the SPVP government is stepping up their game in enforcing the borders and rounding up the smugglers and illegals before they cross the border (well, 1 year too late, but it's better than the cluelessness that they portrayed until now):

Austria to get tough on people smugglers

 The interior and justice ministries have pledged to step up the fight against people smuggling, and have presented a five point plan. This includes an increase in the number of specialized investigative teams, stricter punishments for smugglers, more specialized prosecutors and increased enforcement along Austrias borders.

Both Austrian and Hungarian officials will be involved in border checks, and controls are already taking place on trains leaving Budapest for Austria, Interior Minister Johanna Mikl-Leitner told 1 radio.

She added that she is talking to her Hungarian counterpart about how to facilitate a complete control of all incoming trains from Hungary, and how to monitor Hungarian railway stations.

The Ministry of Justice is planning to establish a team of specialized public prosecutors to deal with people smuggling cases.

http://www.thelocal.at/20150729/25-percent-increase-in-people-smuggling
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Morning Consult: After remarks, Trump remains solidy ahead. Kasich in the Top-10 on: July 29, 2015, 01:17:04 pm
24% Trump
13% Bush
  9% Walker
  8% Carson
  5% Rubio
  5% Christie
  4% Huckabee
  4% Cruz
  4% Kasich
  3% Paul
  2% Santorum
  1% each for Fiorina, Graham, Jindal, Perry & Pataki
14% Undecided

The Morning Consult national tracking poll was conducted July 23 through July 27 among a national sample of 1,979 registered voters. The poll, conducted online, carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

The poll included a subsample of 750 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents that carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.57 percentage points.

http://morningconsult.com/2015/07/week-before-debate-trump-has-the-lead
18  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: EU population estimates for 2015 out (EUROSTAT): 508.2 million people on: July 29, 2015, 01:00:55 pm
I actually remember how 10 years ago everybody said Germany was heading for a major population decline, and that it would be under 80 million by the mid 2010's.

Germany's population would actually decline a lot if there were no immigration.

There's a 200.000 birth deficit each year (look at the chart I posted above), which means the population would decline by some 2 Mio. every decade.

But thanks to the immigration (600.000 each year now), that deficit is more than balanced.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Monmouth: Trump doubles Bush's support on: July 27, 2015, 11:28:45 pm
The Marist NH poll had Trump's support dropping in the part of their sample post-McCain comments.  But this one is entirely post-McCain, and he's still at 24%.


The sample size of that Marist poll part was rather small though. Maybe Trump never really dropped.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Monmouth: Trump doubles Bush's support on: July 27, 2015, 11:26:34 pm
Just confirms that Trump will be here to stay (or even gain) in the next months ...
21  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the political views of the previous hypothetical person - Int'l Edition on: July 27, 2015, 01:45:54 pm
CDU or AfD.

Age: 28
Gender: Male
Race: White Austrian
Occupation: Logistics/Sales Employee
Family: Hetero single, no kids
Religion: None
Location: Zell am See, Austria
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Here comes ZOGBY (read at your own peril) on: July 27, 2015, 12:23:49 am
Quote
Riding a wave of non-stop publicity, a new poll this past week shows mogul Donald Trump solidly in first place among likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. The new Zogby Analytics poll of 256 likely voters was conducted online July 22-23 shows Mr. Trump leading with the support of 20% of those polled.

He is followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush with 16%, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker 12%, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul 9%, neurosurgeon and author Dr. Ben Carson 7%, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 6% each, Texas Senator Ted Cruz 5%, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie 3%, Ohio Governor John Kasich and Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal 2%, and everyone else at 1% or less.

http://www.zogbyanalytics.com/news/610-trump-leads-in-new-zogby-poll
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Eugene, OR vs. Tucson, AZ on: July 27, 2015, 12:21:56 am
Who the f**k wants to live in a place like Tucson, AZ when you can live in Eugene, OR ?
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you have Uber/Lyft available where you live? on: July 26, 2015, 01:44:04 pm
No, because they are only in & around Vienna.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Marist: Trump and Clinton ahead, momentum for Kasich. on: July 26, 2015, 01:31:13 pm
Part of the GOP sample that was conducted before the Trump comments:

26% Trump
15% Bush
10% Walker
  7% Christie
  6% Paul
  6% Rubio
  5% Cruz
  5% Kasich
  3% Carson
  2% Huckabee
  2% Fiorina
  2% Pataki
  1% Jindal
10% Undecided

Part of the GOP sample that was conducted after the Trump comments:

14% Trump
14% Walker
12% Bush
  9% Kasich
  9% Carson
  6% Christie
  4% Rubio
  4% Cruz
  4% Huckabee 
  2% Fiorina
  2% Pataki 
  1% Paul
  1% Perry
  1% Santorum
16% Undecided
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 1445


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