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April 17, 2014, 04:43:01 am
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1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Lawn poll on: April 16, 2014, 11:25:03 pm
Please make sure you view my thread "How do you mow your lawn ?"

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154219.0
2  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Lawn poll on: April 16, 2014, 11:19:31 pm
No it's only about 2 inches high yet.
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How can I get cash? on: April 16, 2014, 11:11:13 pm
Happened to me too about a year ago when I stupidely put the magnetic leather case of my smartphone in the same pocket where my wallet was in.

I went to the ATM to get some money but the card was dead. Then I went to my bank and told them and they sent me a new card via post 2 days later.

Because I always have something like a 100 € reserve at home it didn't bother me much.

...

But with your bank location problem BRTD, it would probably best to do 3 things quickly soon:

1. Ask someone to borrow you the money
2. Call your mum at the bank to send you a new card by post so you don't have to drive around the entire state
3. It would probably be more convinient to switch banks to one nearby
4. Make sure your card is not blocked anymore in the future

Or, if you have one - use your additional credit card instead of your debit card at the ATM ...
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: April 16, 2014, 02:55:21 pm
New IMAS poll for the Kronen Zeitung shows the FPÖ losing 3% in the past month compared with their March poll and the SPÖ in first place again (sample is 1000):

26% SPÖ
23% FPÖ
22% ÖVP
13% Greens
12% NEOS
  4% Others

http://www.krone.at/Politik/Moelzer-Wirbel_kostet_FPOe_Platz_eins-SPOe_wieder_vorne-Story-400989
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Gov. LePage (R) leading for the first time on: April 16, 2014, 11:41:25 am
LePage is up 1.3 points:

38.6 LePage
37.3 Michaud
20.3 Cutler

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/PanAtlanticSMS_0414.pdf
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KS: Sebelius considering run on: April 16, 2014, 09:17:18 am
Sebelius is toxic right now.

Hopefully she stays out.

Better if the Dem. sacrificial lamb loses, than Sebelius losing and giving the Republicans a big laugh.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Gov. LePage (R) leading for the first time on: April 16, 2014, 09:15:54 am

How so ?

Their results are not much different than PPP polls that were done at the same time they did their polls ...

1) They use decimals.
2) Now PPP is saying that Michaud leads by 8, a 6 points increase compared with the last time. So now, it's impossible Lepage is leading right now.

Using decimals does not make a poll wrong: That's like saying a car is worse just because it has a seat warming system, which another car has not.

And: Nothing is impossible. But I'd like to see other polls as well.
No, this is like saying a car from a company is failing because all previous cars built by the company failed before Tongue

Well, if it helps - Pan SMS group had much better polls than a lot of other pollsters in the 2010 Gov. race (especially better polls than PPP).

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/me/maine_governor_lepage_vs_mitchell_vs_cutler-1231.html

They also did well in 2012 (Pres. and Senate).
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Gov. LePage (R) leading for the first time on: April 16, 2014, 09:04:18 am

How so ?

Their results are not much different than PPP polls that were done at the same time they did their polls ...

1) They use decimals.
2) Now PPP is saying that Michaud leads by 8, a 6 points increase compared with the last time. So now, it's impossible Lepage is leading right now.

Using decimals does not make a poll wrong: That's like saying a car is worse just because it has a seat warming system, which another car has not.

And: Nothing is impossible. But I'd like to see other polls as well.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Gov. LePage (R) leading for the first time on: April 16, 2014, 08:55:07 am

How so ?

Their results are not much different than PPP polls that were done at the same time they did their polls ...
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / ME-Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Gov. LePage (R) leading for the first time on: April 16, 2014, 08:43:42 am
The new SMS Pan Atlantic 43rd Omnibus poll will show Governor Paul LePage in the lead for the first time since Congressman Michael Michaud and Eliot Cutler entered the race. Michaud will be in second and Cutler in third.

The official numbers, along with the full poll, will not be released until 10 am. Look for stories later or go to Pan Atlantic SMS Group.

http://agreetodisagree.bangordailynews.com/2014/04/16/maine-politics/new-poll-will-show-gov-lepage-leading-race
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever fix yourself non-meat dinners? on: April 16, 2014, 04:46:36 am
Of course.

I only eat real cooked meat (chicken, beef, pork) about once or twice a week.

The other days, I eat:

* Müsli, or just joghurt and/or fruits
* noodles/spaghetti (with different sauces)
* bread/baguettes with different spreads, cheese and vegetables like tomatoes, paprika etc.
* lasagne
* all sorts of cakes (apple, Sacher, strawberry, poppy-seed cake, etc.)
* pancakes
* tortellini
* sometimes pizza
* all sorts of toast

And so on.
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ukraine Crisis on: April 16, 2014, 04:11:19 am
Russian tanks and soldiers have now entered Eastern Ukraine, near Slawjansk:



Ukrainian tanks and soldiers are being deployed to the East as well:



http://kurier.at/politik/ausland/ostukraine-panzer-unter-russischer-flagge-fahren-auf/60.803.743
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How many kids do you want? on: April 16, 2014, 04:08:51 am
I don't have any and fully intend to keep it that way.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 on: April 16, 2014, 03:51:58 am
My Electio results:

EU-wide candidates (top matches)

Caroline Saal - 80% - Greens/EFA - Belgium
Jean-Paul Besset - 76% - Greens/EFA - France
Jason Kitcat - 76% - Greens/EFA - UK
Lorena Müller - 76% - Confederación Pirata - Spain
Ana Luisa Texeira - 76% - Greens/EFA - Luxembourg

EU-wide fractions (top matches)

64% Greens/EFA
64% GUE-NGL
62% S&D
38% ALDE/ADLE
36% EPP

Austrian candidates (top matches)

Gerhard Kilga - 74% - SPÖ
Lukas Daniel Klausner - 74% - Europa Anders
Ulrike Lunacek - 73% - Greens
Thomas Waitz - 72% - Greens
Martin Gössl - 70% - SPÖ

Austrian fractions (top matches)

74% Europa Anders
70% Liste Martin (why are they still included ?)
64% Greens
64% FPÖ (!!!, what the f**k ?)
50% SPÖ
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: SUSA: Crist leading by 5 on: April 16, 2014, 03:30:33 am
Looks ok.

But the troubling thing is that Scott starts doing better among Indies lately (he already leads by 3 in this poll).

FL's economy improved by a lot over the past 2 years, which might help Scott in the next months and turn this into a really close race again.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 on: April 15, 2014, 01:23:52 pm
Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.

You should know that Kreuzer better than me. It's just a silly typing error, very common on the other hand.

Maybe some candidate way back on the SPÖ list ...
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: April 15, 2014, 01:09:34 pm
This is great: PULS 4 channel yesterday had a debate with FPÖ-leader Strache and many black guests in the audience about the use of "negro/nigger" in the public (Thilo Sarrazin was also present in the debate).

Strache: "I know a lot of black people who don't mind being called "Neger".

Black audience members: "We do mind being called that."

Strache: "I'm not the speech police."

And so on ...

A must see debate.

http://www.puls4.com/video/austrianews/play/2419968
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI: Mitchell Research: Land leading by 6 on: April 15, 2014, 01:03:17 pm
Poll results from Michigan-based pollsters should be ignored.

They simply can't poll their own state.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 on: April 15, 2014, 01:01:11 pm
Gerald Keuzer (SPÖ)

Who is this ?

Never heard of this guy.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: TX-PPP: Cornyn up 17 on: April 15, 2014, 11:04:32 am
Looks about right.

Alameel is no opponent for Cornyn, even if he has very crappy approvals.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: TX-PPP: Republicans in charge in all major statewide races on: April 15, 2014, 11:03:02 am
Yeah, Texas ... Roll Eyes
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: TX-PPP: Republicans in charge in all major statewide races on: April 15, 2014, 10:58:43 am
GOVERNOR:

51-37 Abbott/Davis

LT. GOVERNOR:

50-32 Dewhurst/Van de Putte
51-35 Patrick/Van de Putte

LAND COMMISSIONER:

50-32 Bush/Cook

...

Obama approval: 36-58

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_TX_415.pdf
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Chelsea Clinton (now) open to running for office on: April 15, 2014, 08:04:25 am
Where's CC living these days ?

NY somewhere ?
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: April 15, 2014, 07:42:28 am
What sort of close-minded individuals make up the Mauthausen committee?

It's totally legitimate that an umbrella organisation of Holocaust survivors in that KZ call for the removal of Nazi symbols in public space.

How is that "close minded" ?
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Forum turnout poll: Will you/Would you vote in the EP elections next month ? on: April 15, 2014, 05:38:54 am
Well, I would vote, for the Greens; but... I'm turning 16 just two weeks after the election. So, if they moved this whole elections just two weeks back, they'd have an additional Austrian voter (which they desperately need, I'd suppose). So however not -.-

Don't worry, I was in about the same situation in 2004 (when the voting age was still 18 and not 16):

Because I was 17, I missed the chance to vote in:

* The 2004 Presidential Election
* The 2004 EU elections
* The 2004 Salzburg state election

Sad
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