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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How is Kamala Harris a better candidate than Hillary Clinton on: Today at 01:29:31 am
She's not a horribly flawed robot, which adds the extra 3% that are needed to win an election.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: Today at 01:20:24 am
I am shocked to hear how bad the party is treating Pilz.

Makes my vote bullet-proof SP this time, i guess.

With Pilz kicked out, there are now reports that he's thinking about running with a list on his own - which would be terrible news for the Greens.

Pilz told the ORF report that he's at least thinking about it and will decide by the end of July. There are several other Green MPs who could join his list and enable a candidacy without collecting signatures.

This would be the worst-case scenario for the Greens, after their youth group already joined forces with the KP.

Pilz has a significant following and if they run against each other both groups could drop below the 5% threshold.

http://derstandard.at/2000059862360/Abgang-von-Pilz-Geruechte-ueber-neue-Liste
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: June 27, 2017, 01:08:37 pm
And the conservative wing of the CDU/CSU basically said: "F**k you, Merkel!"

Who cares what these backwards rednecks want ? They should go and f**k themselves.

It's time for the CDU/CSU/VP to get this issue over with and vote for it (it's long overdue already).
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 27, 2017, 10:10:53 am
The Team Stronach just announced that it won't run in the election. No name-change, no more financing from Frank.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Team-Stronach-gibt-endgueltig-auf/288952343

http://derstandard.at/2000059894099/Team-Stronach-kandidiert-nicht-mehr

One of their MPs could still run with a list on their own, but would need 2 others to enable a candidacy.
rip

Tongue

Nobody here will miss them.

So, what's next for you ?

You need to change your signature ... NEOS, FP, VP ?
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 27, 2017, 09:40:43 am
The Team Stronach just announced that it won't run in the election. No name-change, no more financing from Frank.

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Team-Stronach-gibt-endgueltig-auf/288952343

http://derstandard.at/2000059894099/Team-Stronach-kandidiert-nicht-mehr

One of their MPs could still run with a list on their own, but would need 2 others to enable a candidacy.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 27, 2017, 08:03:52 am
HC Strache (FP) has a different campaign theme right now: animal rights.

Strache and his wife Philippa were at the Vienna Zoo today and "adopted" 2 baby giraffes:

7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 27, 2017, 07:49:42 am
German gay marriage vote given green light by Angela Merkel

Quote
Angela Merkel has opened the way for gay marriage to be legalised in Germany after she called for a free vote in parliament on the issue.

The surprise announcement represents a major U-turn for the German chancellor, who has previously opposed gay marriage, citing concerns for children.

A vote could now be held as soon as next week. A majority of MPs are believed to be in favour of legalisation.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/27/german-gay-marriage-vote-given-green-light-angela-merkel

Interesting ... This comes after recent pressure from the SPD, FDP, Left and Greens - who all made YES to gay marriage a requirement for their participation in a future government.

---

And here in Austria, it's basically the same thing at the same time:

SP+Greens+NEOS all made a major push in the last week for a parliamentary vote on "marriage for all".

Like the SPD in Germany, who wants to force a free vote this week, Chancellor Kern today also called for a free vote in parliament - in which MPs can vote their conscience and not along the party line.



In the case of Austria, it means that SP+Greens+NEOS would need an additional 8 MPs from VP+FP+TS+Independents for a majority.

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/ehe-fuer-alle-kern-laesst-spoe-mandataren-freie-hand/272.097.368
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 27, 2017, 06:03:54 am
Today in 4 weeks, the signature collection period for small parties will start. They have until August 18 to present the 2.600 signatures needed to be on the ballot and to hand in their state lists.

The "Team Stronach" (does not need signatures, they have the 3 MPs needed) will have "an important meeting" this afternoon - with Frank Stronach being present via video call from Canada.

Also, Chancellor Kern started with the significant amount of TV debates and discussions over the next months. Yesterday evening, he was invited to a town-hall style interview at PULS 4 TV and a poll among a representative sample who watched it was done afterwards. Voters said that Kern has good leadership qualities by a 64-36 margin and also by a 64-36 margin voters said that he was convincing on the topics.



http://derstandard.at/2000059840788/Kerns-Kulinarik-im-Puls-4-Sommergespraech
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 26, 2017, 01:39:34 pm
So, what's up with the FP and Strache ?

Not much. In Tyrol, the FP was involved in "pig-gate": A local FP-youth group had barbecue recently and posted pictures of it on Facebook. Later in the night, they dumped the pig-head on the grounds of the local Turkish mosque (during Ramadan). In the morning, the Turks found the pig head and called the police - who called the BVT (Office for the Protection of the Constitution and Anti-Terror Agency) to investigate the issue. The BVT found the Facebook post (put online the night when the pig head was dumped). Later, the FP had to announce: "It was in fact our pig head."

Quote
Zumindest die Herkunft des Schweinskopfs drfte geklrt sein: "Es handelt sich tatschlich um unseren", sagt Benjamin Kranzl, Obmann des RFJ Schwaz und Verfasser des besagten Facebook-Postings.

https://kurier.at/chronik/oesterreich/rfj-obmann-zur-schweinskopf-affaere-es-handelt-sich-tatsaechlich-um-unseren/271.437.088

---

Meanwhile, Strache was on the 3 radio on Sunday for a couple hours and talked about various issues. He also said he's planning a future church marriage with his wife Philippa and wants some kids with her (he already has 2 young kids from a previous marriage). Sounds like he has a "Plan B" if the FP doesn't do well in the election ...



Another interesting fact: Strache will vacation with the kids in Ibiza, Spain in July - like Chancellor Kern.

https://www.news.at/a/strache-fruehstueck-bei-mir-8205378

---

Talking about 3 radio: Sebastian Kurz announced today that the popular and well-known radio moderator Peter L. Eppinger will become his campaign speaker and social media and event manager. Basically, he will serve as "voice of the movement" and be the link between Kurz and his supporters and volunteers.

Eppinger (who already quit 3 for the new political job) previously worked there for over 20 years and moderated the "Drive Time Show" between 4pm and 7pm, when people drive home from work.



http://diepresse.com/home/innenpolitik/5241598/Eppingers-neue-Sternstunde-bei-der-OeVP
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 26, 2017, 12:59:25 pm
The Young Greens (who got kicked out of the Green Party a while ago) will run on a joint platform with the Communists, called "KP Plus":



If the Young Greens and their voters really abandon the Greens for the KP on election day too, "KP Plus" could get some 2% instead of 1%. And the Green Party could drop further towards 7%.

http://derstandard.at/2000059808686/Junge-Gruene-treten-mit-KPOe-bei-Nationalratswahl-an
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Ohio websites just got hacked by IS on: June 26, 2017, 01:51:08 am
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40399425
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 25, 2017, 03:25:31 pm
Later in the day, the Green delegates axed Peter Pilz - one of the Greens' most prominent MPs - from their election list. Pilz has been a Green MP for over 30 years, from the left-populist wing of the party and "chief detective" of the party.

http://derstandard.at/2000059771938/Demontage-von-Peter-Pilz-Politisch-dumm

OMG !

Once again, this is creating huge intra-party debates.

Pilz was a major reason why people voted for the Greens in the first place with his activism and uncoverings over the past years and decades and by putting salt into the wounds in topics that badly needed a closer look.

First, the Greens kicked out Efgani Dnmez, a very realistic Green MP (like myself), who dared to be critical of violent and non-integrating immigrants (such as Turks or Arabs).

Then the Greens got rid of their long-time leader Eva Glawischnig, because a narcissistic child (Flora Petrik) threw a tantrum.

And now they kick out Pilz. No wonder the Greens are heading for 8% (or less) in this election ... Tongue
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 25, 2017, 01:19:33 pm
New "Market" poll for the "Standard" newspaper (phone + online, June 20-21, n=815):

33% VP (+1)
26% SP (-1)
24% FP (-1)
  9% Greens (n.c.)
  4% NEOS (-1)
  4% Others (+2)

http://derstandard.at/2000059778070/33-26-24-Prozent-OeVP-baut-Vorsprung-vor-SPOe-und

That's pretty similar to an internal VP-poll, reported in the ON newspaper today, which has the VP at 32%, the SP at 26% and the FP at 24%.

http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/landespolitik/Schwarze-Euphorie-Kurz-saugt-blaue-Stimmen-auf;art383,2604498
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 25, 2017, 11:17:31 am
The biggest anti-Semitic march (a total disgrace) took place in Vienna:

http://derstandard.at/2000059767075/Al-Quds-Tag-Israelfeindliche-Demo-zog-durch-Wien

It's the so-called "Al-Quds" march, in which mostly hundreds of Arabs (and a few Neo-Nazis) marched against Zionism and Israel, shouting "Zionism is Fascism".

Small 5-year old children in uniforms were also present, waving anti-Israel flags.

Anti-Fa counter protesters were also in the hundreds.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you guys have chest hair? What about your immediate family members? on: June 25, 2017, 11:05:25 am
In that regard I'm basically a missing link between apes and humans.

Same here ...

I'm a Mountain-Austrian - which includes lots of hair, everywhere.

But it gets trimmed quite nicely here and then ...
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Angela Merkel on: June 25, 2017, 10:55:10 am
This, both for her reckless immigration policy that has screwed not only her country but also the rest of Western Europe and for her push for more EU integration, which in practice means Germany will have more power over other European countries and these countries will have less power.

On immigration via the Balkans she absolutely failed, yes. She failed miserably and subjected not only Germans, but European citizens to massive violent crimes committed by these migrants. Hundreds of thousands of women in central and northern Europe would not have been raped or abused by the criminal migrant males from the Middle-East and Africa, or citizens being killed by murderers and terrorists. And there are still thousands of ticking time-bombs amongst those who have arrived. Not to mention the backwards ideology, anti-semitism, misogyny and patriarchal structures they brought with them.

But like Libya, which has become an unsupervised chaotic hellhole after Ghadafi's ousting, we also need to blame Obama and other western leaders at the time for the situation there right now, with thousands of people drowing there. Libya is simply an open door out of Africa right now, that needs to be shut down at all costs. Otherwise people from all over Africa will head north in the coming decades. Only if this door is shut for good, migrants from all over Africa "will get it" - via Internet.

On your second point: Merkel is the leader of Germany and very power-hungry. Of course, if she remains popular (and she currently has a 70% approval again), this will be good for Germany's standing in the EU. And she will keep on working to have Germany on top as the most powerful voice.

One positive thing that speaks for Merkel is the economic situation (which now trumps the migration issue again): Debt down to 65% again, economy is chugging along, 85% of Germans think their finances are good.
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Austrian legislative election, 2017 on: June 25, 2017, 07:20:51 am
Is KP more mainstream or something? If not, I'm seeing some Atlas people in a whole new lght

The KP has a very hands-on approach:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=254431.msg5449940#msg5449940
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Austrian legislative election, 2017 on: June 25, 2017, 07:06:52 am
Turnout is pretty low so far ...

Where are the additional 40 posters who voted in the Germany poll ?
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 25, 2017, 07:02:40 am
Today, the Green Party convention took place in Linz.



Ingrid Felipe (from the more pragmatic conserva-green wing) was elected new party leader with 93.7% of the delegates, while Ulrike Lunacek (from the more ideological left wing of the party) was elected frontrunner for the election with 96.5% of the delegates.

In their speeches, they said that the Greens can be the winners of the election and that they are the only credible choice for voters. They attacked the other parties of being right-wing (even the SP) or neoliberal and turning Austria into "Orbanistan 2.0" and that voting for the Greens is a vote against the FP in government.

They warned against a new VP-FP coalition, because Austria has already paid a heavy price during the previous government from 2000-2006. They attacked Kurz on his plans to fully close the Mediterranian route for migrants, saying "you cannot switch off people who are fleeing war and misery like a water tap."

The Greens are for an open, tolerant society and their focus is an election result with a strong Green showing and a strongly pro-European, ecological, social majority after the election. They said Strache = AustroTrump and attacked Trump's climate policy.

On the issues, the Greens favour an inheritance tax to finance old-age care (like the SP), but contrary to the Social Democrats who want to tax assets over 1 million , the Greens want the tax to start with assets over 500.000 already.

Other important issues for the Green campaign will be a 1750 (=15/hour) minimum wage, full wage equality for women, full marriage rights for LGBTs (not just in all-but-name) and a focus on cheap/livable housing and apartments (something usually championed by the SP and KP).

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/gruenes-fuehrungsduo-lunacek-und-felipe-gewaehlt/271.700.655
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 24, 2017, 12:05:01 pm
The first VP Kurz campaign posters will be up next week all over the country ... (there's no VP-logo on the posters).

The slogan will be:

Quote
"Walking new paths - TOGETHER."

or

Quote
"Breaking new ground - TOGETHER."

---

On the posters, Kurz either talks with retired women, children or middle-aged folks.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 24, 2017, 11:11:14 am
Does it look like FP will come in second, and if so, would that be the first time post-WWII that one of the two main parties came in third (or worse, if possible)

No, all current polls show the FP has fallen back to 3rd place again with 25% - after being first with 35% for most of 2016.

And if anything, the FP will likely keep losing during the campaign because SP and VP are hunting their voters. I guess 22-24% will be the end result for the FP.
Ok thanks. Some of the polls have been confusing, with some showing FP in second and others showing it in third

There's only 1 poll that's showing the SP doing badly, the Research Affairs poll for tabloid 24 (a notorious FP and VP-leaning paper, like the Krone). Their polls also overestimated Hofer by 2-5% in the runoffs.

I also believe that the FP's best days are behind them already, because the migrant situation has calmed down and asylum requests are down to a projected 30.000 this year, compared with 100.000 in 2015 and 50.000 in 2016.

The focus is shifting more towards long-term issues such as pensions/retirement, old-age care,  taxes and tax reform as well as improving the economy and creating more jobs. Areas where the FP has virtually no competence.

And Trump doesn't help them either ...

But: The FP will of course still do well with more than 20%, because there's a good enough segment in the population that are protest voters.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How often do you burn your mouth while eating? on: June 24, 2017, 11:02:11 am
Only when eating pizza and baguettes.

Because I hardly eat pizza or frozen stuff, virtually never.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How many WPM can you type? on: June 24, 2017, 11:01:31 am
71-80.

Got 74.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 24, 2017, 10:59:18 am
Does it look like FP will come in second, and if so, would that be the first time post-WWII that one of the two main parties came in third (or worse, if possible)

No, all current polls show the FP has fallen back to 3rd place again with 25% - after being first with 35% for most of 2016.

And if anything, the FP will likely keep losing during the campaign because SP and VP are hunting their voters. I guess 22-24% will be the end result for the FP.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 - Parliamentary Election: Oct. 15 on: June 24, 2017, 10:56:36 am
FPOe get 2nd place also in '99, with 4 hundreds votes margin on SPOe VP.

Corrected this for you.

SP clearly won the 1999 election with 33%.

FP and VP had 27% each, but the FP got 415 votes more.
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