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21626  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Unemployment trends during the first Obama term on: October 22, 2011, 08:49:01 am
Here is a chart I made, analyzing the unemployment rates between February 2009 (the month after Obama took office) and the latest available rates from September 2011:



As you can see, Montana had the biggest "real" increase in the unemployment rate (+35%).

North Dakota had the biggest decrease, at about 15%.

...

You probably have to open the picture in a new tab to see the full size.
21627  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Energy drinks on: October 22, 2011, 07:37:41 am
I only drink a Red Bull Cola once in a while.

Other than that, I drink mostly tap water, mango- or elder juice.
21628  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Obama Forum Approval Rating - October 2011 on: October 22, 2011, 07:30:08 am
It seems we didn't have one of these for a long time and a lot has happened:

Gadaffi killed, complete Iraq troop withdrawal announced and an economy/stock market that's getting slightly better.

What do you think ?

I would say "Somewhat Approve".
21629  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Swiss General Elections 2011 (1 day until election day!) on: October 22, 2011, 07:09:06 am
I've just returned from my vote counting shift in my election district in Zurich. This year we started counting votes on Saturday so that the counting will be finished earlier on Sunday. We are not allowed to publish any numbers before noon tomorrow, but I will give you a hint regarding two parties: expect a very strong SVP and a great result for the Green-Liberal Party in the elections to the National Council.

ZuWo, did you count all the early postal votes today ?

What percentage historically are the early postal votes compared with the total votes cast ?

And as you say, you expect a good result for the SVP based on the postal votes that you counted: Is it the same in Switzerland like in Austria that the SVP and GLP (like the ÷VP and Greens) are better with postal votes than with actual election day votes ?

Yes, we counted all postal votes (roughly 8800 votes) in my election district, which accounts for more than 80% of the total number of votes. Thus, with around 20'000 people eligible to vote turnout will be a bit higher than 50%, which is quite high. More and more people have voted by post in the recent years, and as far as I know there is no great discrepancy between the postal vote and the votes cast on election day. (In Switzerland you can cast your vote on election day between 10 and 12 am, that's only 2 hours!) That's why I think the results are not going to change by much when the few remaining votes that will be cast tomorrow are counted.

Thx.

Yeah, if 80% of Swiss voters already voted with a postal ballot in advance you already have a good picture of what's going on.

Also, if only 20% of voters are voting on Sunday, I think 2 hours for them is enough ... Tongue

How was it in the past, when postal voting was not so common ? Didn't people complain about the 2 hour opening period ? Or was the opening period longer in the past ? And if it has always been only 2 hours, why wasn't it changed so people could vote between 8am and 6pm for example ?

BTW: In Austria, only 10% are voting with postal ballots - so there is a discrepancy between election day votes and postal votes. Postal votes always favor the ÷VP and Greens, while the FP÷ and the BZ÷ loses. The SP÷ is flat.
21630  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: OCTOBER 2011 FEDERAL ELECTION - PRESIDENT AND SENATE on: October 22, 2011, 06:51:16 am
President: Snowguy716/Bacon King
Pacific Senator: Bgwah
21631  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Swiss General Elections 2011 (1 day until election day!) on: October 22, 2011, 06:49:25 am
I've just returned from my vote counting shift in my election district in Zurich. This year we started counting votes on Saturday so that the counting will be finished earlier on Sunday. We are not allowed to publish any numbers before noon tomorrow, but I will give you a hint regarding two parties: expect a very strong SVP and a great result for the Green-Liberal Party in the elections to the National Council.

ZuWo, did you count all the early postal votes today ?

What percentage historically are the early postal votes compared with the total votes cast ?

And as you say, you expect a good result for the SVP based on the postal votes that you counted: Is it the same in Switzerland like in Austria that the SVP and GLP (like the ÷VP and Greens) are better with postal votes than with actual election day votes ?
21632  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / IA PrimR: University of Iowa: Herman Cain far ahead on: October 21, 2011, 01:50:34 pm
New Poll: Iowa President by University of Iowa on 2011-10-19

Summary:
Cain:
37%
Romney:
27%
Paul:
12%
Gingrich:
8%
Perry:
6%
Other:
10%
Undecided:
0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21633  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Civitas poll: Cain leads Obama by 5% in NC on: October 21, 2011, 01:38:30 pm
Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 68 percent to 19 percent margin.

What ?

Certainly not over Cain ... Try again.
NC does have a larger number of self-identified Democrats who vote GOP in Presidential elections than most states.

Obama won 90% of them in 2008. I don't think he could even drop below 80% there. Even Kerry managed to get 84% of Democrats. 68% is just crazy, that would even be below or at WV level.
21634  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What's the highest ... on: October 21, 2011, 01:33:07 pm
Is it an Austrian or "Euro" thing to put the currency after the amount? I've never seen this in the US (or, for that matter, any Anglophone country).

Most likely, yes. I write it as I speak it. I've never done it the other way round.
21635  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Civitas poll: Cain leads Obama by 5% in NC on: October 21, 2011, 01:29:11 pm
Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 68 percent to 19 percent margin.

What ?

Certainly not over Cain ... Try again.
21636  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage: 4-model-poll shows Obama in trouble on: October 21, 2011, 01:13:01 pm
A weird poll, read it yourself:

"Romney Wins in Blowout Over Obama in 2012"
21637  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / V - The Visitors on: October 21, 2011, 12:58:19 pm
I just watched the final episode of this series. Really interesting ending ... Tongue

And now I have looked it up on the Internet that they are not filming a 3rd season.

Does that make any sense after what happened in the final episode of season 2 ?

...

Besides, did anyone who watched the series also see the similarities between the Visitors/Obama and the 5th Column/Tea Party ?

"Blue" Energy, free healthcare, the "bliss" similar to the DNC convention, 5th column protests similar to Tea Party protests, visitor voluntary centers similar to community organizing, 538 mother ships in the orbit around earth lime the US electoral college and so on ...

If the similarity is correct, Obama will win re-election ... Tongue Wink
21638  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Bachmann in real NH trouble on: October 21, 2011, 10:42:10 am
All paid New Hampshire staff for Michele Bachmannís presidential campaign have quit over deep frustration with the campaignís lack of commitment to New Hampshire.

http://politicalscoop.wmur.com/exclusive-all-bachmann-nh-staffers-quit
21639  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What's the highest ... on: October 21, 2011, 09:37:06 am
PS: If you inherited a large amount of money or non-monetary, it does NOT count. Only winning something by "luck" or "skills".

On the other hand, inheriting something from your parents or relatives while showing skills during your work in your relatives's company or something might also be considered "winning".

So, I think you can vote if that is the case.
21640  Forum Community / Forum Community / What's the highest ... on: October 21, 2011, 09:24:16 am
I mean not only in the lottery, but online-gaming, poker or just any sort of thing as well where you can win a prize.

If you won a car or something non-monetary, just look up or guess what the price would be (normally option 2-5).

PS: If you inherited a large amount of money or non-monetary, it does NOT count. Only winning something by "luck" or "skills".

...

As for me, I have once won about 800Ä in the lottery, which is something like 1100$.

Iīm not playing in the lottery very often, maybe every 3 months or so.

But I never won a jackpot yet ... Tongue

What about you ? Anyone very lucky among us ?
21641  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What ethnic communities is your area known for? on: October 21, 2011, 02:32:55 am
Tourists.

Yeah, here as well.

Lots of them: Germans, Arabs, Dutch, Italians, Czechs, Hungarians, Russians, English, Americans and so on.

While the registered foreigners who live here are mainly Turks and people from former Yugoslavia and an increasing number of Germans.
21642  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OR-01 special election: primary 11/8, general 1/31/12 on: October 21, 2011, 02:24:08 am

No general election matchup ? Meh.
21643  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Who'd you vote for if election night was tonight? on: October 21, 2011, 02:21:55 am
How is Obama only getting 55% of the vote, on this forum?Huh

Because it's a jungle primary and this Forum has seen an invasion of Republicans lately.
21644  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IL: Southern Illinois University: Obama leads Cain by 12, Romney by 7 on: October 21, 2011, 02:01:34 am
This is the pollster that underestimated Pat Quinn by about 20 points last year ... Tongue
21645  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IL PrimR: Southern Illinois University: Cain slightly ahead in Illinois on: October 20, 2011, 12:08:18 pm
21646  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / IL: Southern Illinois University: Obama leads Cain by 12, Romney by 7 on: October 20, 2011, 12:03:17 pm
New Poll: Illinois President by Southern Illinois University on 2011-10-16

Summary: D: 46%, R: 34%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21647  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / IL PrimR: Southern Illinois University: Cain slightly ahead in Illinois on: October 20, 2011, 12:00:29 pm
New Poll: Illinois President by Southern Illinois University on 2011-10-16

Summary:
Cain:
23%
Romney:
21%
Gingrich:
8%
Paul:
7%
Perry:
7%
Other:
9%
Undecided:
25%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21648  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / YouGov: Obama ahead on: October 20, 2011, 11:48:17 am
45% Obama (D), 42% Cain (R)
45% Obama (D), 41% Romney (R)
46% Obama (D), 39% Perry (R)

...

Obama Job Approval: 38% Approve, 53% Disapprove

...

2012 President: Republican Primary

31% Cain
21% Romney
11% Gingrich
10% Paul
8% Perry
4% Bachmann
3% Huntsman
3% Santorum

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/20/us-obama-approval-38-appr_n_1021881.html
21649  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Democracy Corps (D): Obama tied with Romney on: October 20, 2011, 11:39:30 am
October 15-18, 2011
1000 Likely Voters

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

40% Approve
53% Disapprove

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election in 2012, if the election
for president were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote?

45% Obama
45% Romney

I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the
election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE
CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)?

46% Democratic candidate
46% Republican candidate

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/PoliticalFQDCorps101811.pdf
21650  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Swiss General Elections 2011 (3 days until election day!) on: October 20, 2011, 11:28:30 am
The Austrian "Standard" newspaper has a good overview:



They are just throwing anything into the picture ... Wink

BTW: I think the SVP will remain at about 26-28%, while the BDP could get more than 5%.
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