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21626  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 13, 2010, 01:15:02 pm
New Hampshire (Rasmussen):

50% Approve
50% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted by Rasmussen Reports, May 11, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Link
21627  Questions and Answers / Polling / Re: Why are foreigners unable to access "American Research Group (ARG)" ? on: May 13, 2010, 01:13:17 pm
I can open it and I'm a foreignerz

Maybe you can open it from Canada, who knows ...

There are other people though who cannot open it.
21628  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / KS: Rasmussen: Republicans Moran and Tiahrt far ahead of Democrats on: May 13, 2010, 09:08:40 am
New Poll: Kansas Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-05-11

Summary: D: 25%, R: 59%, I: 6%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21629  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / NV-Mason Dixon: Tea Party endorsed Sharron Angle strongly gaining in GOP primary on: May 13, 2010, 07:59:14 am
GOP Primary:

Sue Lowden: 30%
Sharron Angle: 25%
Danny Tarkanian: 22%
John Chachas: 3%
Chad Christensen: 2%
Undecided: 18%

Would you support or oppose having Nevada enact a law similar to Arizona's that would give state and local law enforcement the power to ask people already stopped for possible violations of the law to show proof they are in the country legally and then arrest those that could not provide such proof?

Support: 85%
Oppose: 8%
Undecided: 7%

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from May 10 through May 11, 2010. A total of 500 likely Republican primary voters in Nevada were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect primary voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.

http://www.lvrj.com/news/tea-party-power-fuels-angle-93662969.html

http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/may_2010_1_polls.html
21630  General Politics / Economics / Re: Europe and the IMF to Bail Out Greece on: May 13, 2010, 07:17:03 am
A few days ago, I´ve read about the massive tax dodging in Greece, that is one of the main problems why Greece`s revenues are that low and the budget deficit is so high, in the newspaper "Der Standard". The New York Times has the english article. Take a look here:

"ATHENS — In the wealthy, northern suburbs of this city, where summer temperatures often hit the high 90s, just 324 residents checked the box on their tax returns admitting that they owned pools. So tax investigators studied satellite photos of the area — a sprawling collection of expensive villas tucked behind tall gates — and came back with a decidedly different number: 16,974 pools.

That kind of wholesale lying about assets, and other eye-popping cases that are surfacing in the news media here, points to the staggering breadth of tax dodging that has long been a way of life here.

Such evasion has played a significant role in Greece’s debt crisis, and as the country struggles to get its financial house in order, it is going after tax cheats as never before.

Various studies, including one by the Federation of Greek Industries last year, have estimated that the government may be losing as much as $30 billion a year to tax evasion — a figure that would have gone a long way to solving its debt problems.

“We need to grow up,” said Ioannis Plakopoulos, who like all owners of newspaper stands will have to give receipts and start using a cash register under the new tax laws passed last month. “We need to learn not to cheat or to let others cheat.”

But even so, changing things will not be easy. Experts point out that ducking taxes is part of a broader culture of bribery and corruption that is deeply entrenched.

Mr. Plakopoulos, who supports most of the government’s new efforts, admits that he and his friends used to chuckle over the best ways to avoid taxes.

To get more attentive care in the country’s national health system, Greeks routinely pay doctors cash on the side, a practice known as “fakelaki,” Greek for little envelope. And bribing government officials to grease the wheels of bureaucracy is so standard that people know the rates. They say, for instance, that 300 euros, about $400, will get you an emission inspection sticker.

Some of the most aggressive tax evaders, experts say, are the self-employed, a huge pool of people in this country of small businesses. It includes not just taxi drivers, restaurant owners and electricians, but engineers, architects, lawyers and doctors.

The cheating is often quite bold. When tax authorities recently surveyed the returns of 150 doctors with offices in the trendy Athens neighborhood of Kolonaki, where Prada and Chanel stores can be found, more than half had claimed an income of less than $40,000. Thirty-four of them claimed less than $13,300, a figure that exempted them from paying any taxes at all.

Such incomes defy belief, said Ilias Plaskovitis, the general secretary of the Finance Ministry, who has been in charge of revamping the country’s tax laws. “You need more than that to pay your rent in that neighborhood,” he said.

He said there were only a few thousand citizens in this country of 11 million who last year declared an income of more than $132,000. Yet signs of wealth abound.

“There are many people with a house, with a cottage in the country, with two cars and maybe a small boat who claim they are earning 12,000 euros a year,” Mr. Plaskovitis said, which is about $15,900. “You cannot heat this house or buy the gas for the car with that kind of income.”

story continues ...

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/02/world/europe/02evasion.html
21631  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / OR-Davis/Hibbitts/Midghall: Kitzhaber, Dudley on top in primaries on: May 13, 2010, 03:25:47 am
DEM Primary:

Kitzhaber: 53%
Bradbury: 23%
Obrist: 2%
Undecided: 22%

http://news.opb.org/media/uploads/pdf/0512_OMP_D_PrimarySurvey_May.pdf

GOP Primary:

Dudley: 33%
Alley: 23%
Lim: 8%
Sizemore: 6%
Others: 6%
Undecided: 24%

http://news.opb.org/media/uploads/pdf/0512_OMP_R_PrimarySurvey_May.pdf
21632  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / OR-SurveyUSA: Kitzhaber and Dudley well ahead in their primaries on: May 13, 2010, 03:20:35 am
DEM Primary:

Kitzhaber: 59%
Bradbury: 25%
Obrist: 4%
Undecided: 12%

GOP Primary:

Dudley: 42%
Alley: 24%
Lim: 8%
Sizemore: 8%
Colvin: 1%
Curtright: 1%
Forthan: 1%
Karr: 1%
Watkins: 1%
Undecided: 14%

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 Oregon adults 05/07/10 through 05/09/10. Of them, 1,850 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 449 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Republican primary; 633 were determined to have returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is term-limited to two consecutive terms and is not running for re-election. Oregon began mailing ballots on April 30; votes will be counted on May 18.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=df7ad947-6d9f-4f4e-8763-49679c436bd1
21633  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / OR-SurveyUSA: Wyden and Huffman ahead in primaries on: May 13, 2010, 03:15:45 am
DEM Primary:

Wyden: 80%
Hooker: 9%
Goberman: 4%
Undecided: 8%

GOP Primary:

Huffman: 20%
Stutzman: 11%
Waldron: 9%
Parker: 6%
Dinkel: 4%
Later: 4%
Woodland: 4%
Undecided: 43%

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 Oregon adults 05/07/10 through 05/09/10. Of them, 1,850 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 449 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Republican primary; 633 were determined to have returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is term-limited to two consecutive terms and is not running for re-election. Oregon began mailing ballots on April 30; votes will be counted on May 18.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=df7ad947-6d9f-4f4e-8763-49679c436bd1
21634  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / KY-SurveyUSA: Conway catches Mongiardo, Paul still far ahead in GOP primary on: May 13, 2010, 03:05:19 am
DEM Primary:

Mongiardo: 38%
Conway: 37%
Price: 7%
Buckmaster: 3%
Sweeney: 3%
Undecided: 12%

GOP Primary:

Paul: 49%
Grayson: 33%
Martin: 3%
Stephenson: 3%
Scribner: 1%
Undecided: 11%

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 KY adults 05/09/10 through 05/11/10. Of them, 1,882 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 448 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/18/10 GOP Primary; 660 were determined to be likely to vote in the 05/18/10 Democratic primary. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f6c7ca78-483d-4b8f-9c73-b43f616a412c&c=160
21635  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Tender Branson on: May 13, 2010, 02:22:27 am
Kind of makes me hungry.



Smiley
21636  Questions and Answers / Polling / Why are foreigners unable to access "American Research Group (ARG)" ? on: May 13, 2010, 02:00:57 am
Whenever I want to open ARG`s homepage, this appears:

Forbidden

You don't have permission to access / on this server.

Additionally, a 403 Forbidden error was encountered while trying to use an ErrorDocument to handle the request.

http://americanresearchgroup.com

.....

I have heard that other people outside the US cannot access the page either, so what`s up with these a**holes ?
21637  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / FOX News: Obama (D) tied with Generic Republican in 2-way race on: May 12, 2010, 01:27:34 pm
2 way:

Obama (D): 41%
Generic Republican: 41%

3-way:

Obama (D): 42%
Generic Republican: 29%
Bloomberg (I): 10%

Favorable Ratings:

Obama: 53% Favorable, 42% Unfavorable
Huckabee: 42% Favorable, 26% Unfavorable
Romney: 40% Favorable, 28% Unfavorable
Palin: 37% Favorable, 53% Unfavorable
Gingrich: 32% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable

Polling was conducted by telephone May 4-5, 2010, in the evenings. The total sample is 900 registered voters nationwide with a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/051210_electionpoll.pdf
21638  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / PPP: President Obama (D) beats everyone on: May 12, 2010, 01:00:40 pm
Barack Obama (D): 46%
Mike Huckabee (R): 45%

Barack Obama (D): 46%
Mitt Romney (R): 44%

Barack Obama (D): 49%
Newt Gingrich (R): 42%

Barack Obama (D): 50%
Sarah Palin (R): 43%

Barack Obama (D): 46%
Gary Johnson (R): 28%

Favorable Ratings:

Huckabee: 33% Favorable, 30% Unfavorable
Romney: 33% Favorable, 36% Unfavorable
Gingrich: 29% Favorable, 48% Unfavorable
Palin: 37% Favorable, 56% Unfavorable
Johnson: 4% Favorable, 15% Unfavorable

Obama Approval Rating:

50% Approve
46% Disapprove

PPP surveyed 707 registered American voters from May 7th to 9th. The survey’s margin
of error is +/-3.7%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may
introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_National_512.pdf
21639  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 12, 2010, 12:52:59 pm
Alaska (Rasmussen):

39% Approve
61% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 6, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Link
21640  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Critz vs. Burns for PA-12 on: May 12, 2010, 12:13:09 am
Critzmentum in PA-12 !

New poll by Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) shows Critz now ahead of Burns by 6:

Critz (D): 44%
Burns (R): 38%

Obama:

40% Approve
51% Disapprove

The poll of 400 likely voters took place Monday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/westmoreland/s_680706.html
21641  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: May 11, 2010, 01:10:40 am
The final results of the 2010 Presidential Election were announced yesterday:

Dr. Heinz Fischer (SPÖ): 2.508.373 votes (79.33%)
Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ): 481.923 votes (15.24%)
Dr. Rudolf Gehring (CPÖ): 171.668 votes (5.43%)

Eligible voters: 6.355.800
Total votes cast: 3.404.646
Invalid votes cast: 242.682 (7.13%)
Valid votes cast: 3.161.964
Turnout: 53.57%

http://wahl10.bmi.gv.at

Here`s an Excel-sheet with results from all Austrian towns, districts, electoral districts and states.

http://www.bmi.gv.at/cms/BMI_wahlen/bundespraes/bpw_2010/files/Ergebnis_E_BPW_2010.xls
21642  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 11, 2010, 12:31:34 am
Florida (Mason Dixon):

47% Excellent/Good
53% Fair/Poor

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/business/sfl-obama-florida-poll-results-05102010,0,3007899.htmlstory
21643  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 11, 2010, 12:16:31 am
Maryland (Washington Post):

1.030 adults: 62% Approve, 34% Disapprove
851 registered voters: 62% Approve, 36% Disapprove

This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone May 3-6, 2010, among a random sample of 1,030 adult residents of Maryland, including 851 registered voters. Interviews were conducted on both conventional and cellular phones, and in English and Spanish. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points; it is four points for the registered voter sample. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt SRBI, Inc of New York, NY.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_050910_koDp3.html?sid=ST2010051000829
21644  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 10, 2010, 12:27:58 am
Preliminary final result:

CDU: 2.681.736 votes - 34.6% (-10.3%) - 67 seats
SPD: 2.675.536 votes - 34.5% (-2.6%) - 67 seats
GRE: 940.770 votes - 12.1% (+5.9%) - 23 seats
FDP: 522.437 votes - 6.7% (+0.6%) - 13 seats
LEFT: 434.846 votes - 5.6% (+4.7%) - 11 seats

PIRATES: 119.581 votes - 1.5% (+1.5%)
PRO-NRW: 106.932 votes - 1.4% (+1.4%)
Others: 277.487 votes - 3.6% (-1.2%)

Eligible voters: 13.270.933
Total votes cast: 7.872.862
Invalid votes cast: 113.537
Valid votes cast: 7.759.325
Turnout: 59.3% (-3.7%)

http://www.wahlergebnisse.nrw.de/landtagswahlen/2010/aktuell/dateien/a000lw1000.html
21645  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:50:39 pm
And Bonn I goes from CDU to SPD, by 6.5%.
21646  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:47:46 pm
I don´t think we had Märkischer Kreis I yet:

SPD pickup by 2%
21647  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:43:52 pm
Krefeld I also moves from CDU to SPD by about 6%.
21648  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:40:22 pm
Another SPD pickup in Lippe I, by a margin of 10%.

As goes Lippe I, so goes Lippe II, also by a margin of 10%.
21649  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:36:44 pm
Wesel II a pickup for the SPD by 4%.
21650  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 09, 2010, 02:33:54 pm
A few other SPD pickups from the CDU:

Herford II by about 13.5%

Aachen III by about 3%
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