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21626  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 State Elections in Germany on: March 11, 2011, 01:54:06 pm
More polls today:

Sachsen-Anhalt state election (March 20) by FGW:

32% CDU
24% SPD
24% Left
  5% Nazis
  5% Greens
  5% FDP
  5% Others

It seems that the Left is moving towards 20% territory and that the real race for number 1 will be between CDU and SPD. I expect something like 30% CDU, 28% SPD, 20% Left.

Baden-Württemberg state election (March 27) by Forsa:

40% CDU
26% SPD
20% Greens
  5% FDP
  4% Left
  5% Others

Majority for SPD-Greens.
21627  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NJ-Rutgers: Romney barely ahead in primary on: March 11, 2011, 01:28:18 am
Map:



Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Pawlenty -> Green
DeMint -> Yellow
21628  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / NJ-Rutgers: Romney barely ahead in primary on: March 11, 2011, 01:26:28 am
Now, thinking ahead to the 2012 Presidential Election, which Republican would prefer as the
nominee to run against President Obama? Just tell me the name. [Do Not Read List; Code to list]

Mitt Romney 13%
Chris Christie 12%
Sarah Palin 11%
Mike Huckabee 6%
Ron Paul 3%
Michael Bloomberg 1%
Newt Gingrich 1%
Tim Pawlenty 1%
David Petraeus 0%
Michelle Bachman 0%
Scott Brown 0%
Jeb Bush 0%
Others 9%
Don’t Know 42%

Obama re-election favored

Nearly half (48 percent) New Jersey’s registered voters believe President Obama deserves to be re-elected in 2012, while 39 percent say one term is enough, the poll finds.

Thirteen percent are unsure. Today, 81 percent of Democrats support a second term, while only 14 percent of Republicans agree. Among independents, opinion is split: 40 percent say Obama deserves re-election, 42 percent say he does not. Eighteen percent are unsure.

“The president is strongly supported by the state’s Democrats and given their edge in
voter registration, Obama can be in good shape, even if independents split down the middle,”
said Redlawsk. “Still, for a ‘blue’ state, these numbers seem pretty tight.”

Women, by 53 percent to 43 percent, are more likely than men to support a second term
for Obama. Members of public employee unions also are strongly in favor of re-election, with 57 percent saying Obama deserves a second term.

http://www.rci.rutgers.edu/~redlawsk/EP/Tables2011/FirstLook20112012Elect.pdf
21629  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 State Elections in Germany on: March 11, 2011, 01:12:00 am
More polls out today:

Sachsen-Anhalt state election (March 20) by Infratest dimap:

33.0%  [-3.2] CDU
25.0% [+0.9] Left
24.0% [+2.6] SPD
  5.5% [+1.9] Greens
  5.0% [+2.0] Nazis
  4.5%  [-2.2] FDP
  3.0%  [-2.0] Others

Majority for CDU-Left, CDU-SPD, Left-SPD.

Rheinland-Pfalz state election (March 27) by Infratest dimap:

38%  [-7.6] SPD
36% [+3.2] CDU
10% [+5.4] Greens 
  7%  [-1.0] FDP
  5% [+2.5] Left
  4%  [-2.5] Others

Tie between SPD-Greens and CDU-FDP-Left. Majority for SPD-CDU and SPD-Greens-Left.
21630  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: March 10, 2011, 02:45:11 pm
Strache @ the Austrian Tea Party gathering (Aschermittwoch-Treffen) yesterday in Ried (Upper Austria):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INtEcVsku8Y

Some quotes by Strache:

"Ried will never become Riad. We'll make sure of that."

"We are unstoppable. Our time will come, our time is closer than many here in Austria think."

"We are the last hope for the hopeless in our society. We as the Social Homeland Party are the Future Party of our Homeland."

This all in the first 4 minutes ...

Need to watch more of it ...

Looks like Hitler in some beer-cellar in Munich in the late 20s, early 30s ... Tongue
21631  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: How would you vote ... on: March 10, 2011, 02:07:20 pm
>30 year olds and women want to keep the draft ? Huh

No, "Ja" means keeping the draft.

Women say: 42% "Ja/Yes" - keep the draft and 46% say "Nein/No"

Under-30-olds: 28% want the draft to continue and 64% not.
21632  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: How would you vote ... on: March 10, 2011, 02:00:48 pm
New Kurier/OGM poll:

46% Keep the draft
42% Abolish the draft

Breakdown by party, gender and age:



http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2080439.php
21633  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: March 10, 2011, 01:59:16 pm
New Kurier/OGM poll:



So there's a 3-way race for 1st place:



Direct vote for Chancellor:



http://kurier.at/nachrichten/2080439.php

Also interesting that the Center-Right parties (ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ) are now @ 60%, while Red-Green have just 38% support.

The poll also says that Austrians are now opposed to ending the Military draft for the first time in an OGM poll. The fumble by the SPÖ might explain why some SPÖ-voters went over to the FPÖ and why the ÖVP is now in first place again.
21634  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: March 10, 2011, 01:41:15 pm
Bloomberg Poll:

51% Approve
43% Disapprove

Gallup:

47% Approve
45% Disapprove
21635  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / MO: Sen. McCaskill (D) has a flight-problem on: March 09, 2011, 02:05:30 pm
Sen. Claire McCaskill has been aggressive in promoting oversight and transparency for congressional travel, introducing a reform bill that cracks down on overseas travel for lawmakers.

But when it comes to her own domestic flights, the Missouri Democrat has enjoyed friendly skies: She’s spent nearly $76,000 in public funds since 2007 to fly on a charter plane she co-owns with her husband and other investors, a POLITICO analysis of public records show.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0311/50957.html#ixzz1G8Ani6KC
21636  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: March 09, 2011, 02:01:23 pm
Resurgent Republic/Ayres, McHenry & Associates:

47% Approve
49% Disapprove

49% Favorable
47% Unfavorable
21637  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: March 09, 2011, 01:57:07 pm
Reuters/Ipsos:

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

Gallup:

45% Approve
48% Disapprove
21638  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Illinois: Gov. Quinn (D) to sign Death Penalty repeal today on: March 09, 2011, 01:45:13 pm
Excellent news.

Any chance of any more states doing this soon?

It would be good if California, Connecticut and Maryland would do the same as long as they have the political conditions to do it (Democratic Governor, strong State Senate and House).
21639  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Sarah Palin Presidential campaign headquarters likely in Scottsdale, Arizona on: March 09, 2011, 01:29:27 pm
Palin would base campaign in Scottsdale

The prospect of Sarah Palin running for president is, increasingly, dismissed by a political class that sees her facing weak poll numbers -- especially in key early states -- and doing nothing to correct them or to buil the infrastructure for a run.

But I'm told Palin's camp is, at least, holding preliminary talks about how a campaign would look if she decides to run. One early decision, a source says: It would be based in Scottsdale, Arizona, where Bristol Palin recently bought a house in nearby Maricopa.

One lesson of Palin's sometimes-difficult time in the spotlight has been that Alaska is an extremely difficult base for national politics. From a distant political culture to a daunting time difference, Palin hasn't been terribly well served by the fact that her state is little-known to reporters in the lower 48, and that email inquiries arrive at 3:00 a.m. needing answers by 5:00 a.m.

And Arizona carries its own significance: Basing a campaign there would be a provocative rejection of any lingering political cost from those who connect her harsh rhetoric and Gabrielle Giffords' shooting -- a traditional refusal to retreat. It's also the core of the politically contested, fast-growing new West.

And it would also hark back, perhaps not to McCain, more a Washington figure than an Arizona one, but to what now stands as the iconic campaign for many base Republican voters: Goldwater '64.

Palin aides didn't respond to an inquiry about the plans.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0311/Palin_would_base_campaign_in_Scottsdale.html?showall
21640  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: March 09, 2011, 01:18:34 pm
2008 or prior exit poll, or Vienna 2010.

Ah, I understand.

SORA does the Exit Polls here.

2010 Vienna:

http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2010_wahltagsbefragung_grafiken_web.pdf

2010 President:

http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2010_bp-wahl_grafiken.pdf

2008 Parliament:

http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2008_nrw_wahlanalyse.pdf

2006 Parliament:

http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2006_nrw_wahltagsbefragung_presseunterlage.pdf

2002 Parliament:

http://www.sora.at/fileadmin/downloads/wahlen/2002_nrw_wahltagsbefragung_wahlanalyse.pdf

You can view all exit polls from 1994 to 2010, also state elections and EU elections here:

http://www.sora.at/themen/wahlverhalten/wahlanalysen.html
21641  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Music in 2001 vs Now. Why the Hot 100 is a joke. on: March 09, 2011, 01:06:19 pm
There are some other good songs from Q1 2001, which I remember darkly:

Cosmic Gate - Exploration Of Space
Eminem/Dido - Stan
Rammstein - Sonne
Sofaplanet - Liebficken
Wyclef Jean feat. Mary J. Blige - 911
Outkast - Ms. Jackson
Public Domain - Operation Blade
Baha Men - Who Let The Dogs Out
LeAnn Rimes - Can't Fight The Moonlight
Limp Bizkit - Rollin' (one of my favorites, and yeah, the WTC was still there ... Sad)

In general, I agree with Naso: Music was better in 2001 than it is today, but the better times were between 1990 and 1996 and between 2003 and 2007.
21642  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: March 09, 2011, 12:06:41 pm
Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes?

Is this is a serious question or are you being sarcastic ?

Wink

It's obviously a serious question, because I need stuff like that for a paper I'm doing.

Oh, I thought you were sarcastic ...

Why do you want an Exit Poll ? There is no election.

This is a poll for the Salzburg state election that is likely to take place in the year 2014.

There are no state or national elections here in Austria until the year 2013, except if the SPÖVP government breaks before this date.
21643  Election Archive / 2012 Senatorial Election Polls / ME-PPP: Sen. Snowe (R) would easily win - either as Republican or Independent on: March 09, 2011, 11:56:44 am
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Olympia Snowe’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 60%
Disapprove...................................................... 32%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Q6 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Olympia Snowe and Democrat Emily Cain, who would you vote for?

Olympia Snowe............................................... 64%
Emily Cain....................................................... 20%
Undecided....................................................... 16%

Q7 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Olympia Snowe and Democrat Rosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

Olympia Snowe............................................... 66%
Rosa Scarcelli................................................. 18%
Undecided....................................................... 17%

Q8 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Scott D'Amboise and Democrat Emily Cain, who would you vote for?

Scott D'Amboise ............................................. 33%
Emily Cain....................................................... 33%
Undecided....................................................... 34%

Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Scott D'Amboise and Democrat Rosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

Scott D'Amboise ............................................. 36%
Rosa Scarcelli................................................. 29%
Undecided....................................................... 35%

Q10 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Andrew Ian Dodge and Democrat Emily Cain, who would you vote for?

Andrew Ian Dodge ......................................... 30%
Emily Cain....................................................... 32%
Undecided....................................................... 37%

Q11 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Andrew Ian Dodge and Democrat Rosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

Andrew Ian Dodge ......................................... 33%
Rosa Scarcelli................................................. 29%
Undecided....................................................... 38%

Q12 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Scott D’Amboise, Democrat Emily Cain, and Independent Olympia Snowe who would you vote for?

Scott D'Amboise ............................................. 21%
Emily Cain....................................................... 17%
Olympia Snowe............................................... 54%
Undecided....................................................... 7%

Q13 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Scott D’Amboise, Democrat Rosa Scarcelli, and Independent Olympia Snowe who would you vote for?

Scott D'Amboise ............................................. 20%
Rosa Scarcelli................................................. 15%
Olympia Snowe............................................... 56%
Undecided....................................................... 9%

Q14 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Andrew Ian Dodge, Democrat Emily Cain, and Independent Olympia Snowe who would you vote for?

Andrew Ian Dodge .......................................... 19%
Emily Cain....................................................... 15%
Olympia Snowe............................................... 56%
Undecided....................................................... 10%

Q15 If the candidates for Senate next year were Republican Andrew Ian Dodge, Democrat Rosa Scarcelli, and Independent Olympia Snowe who would you vote for?

Andrew Ian Dodge .......................................... 19%
Rosa Scarcelli................................................. 13%
Olympia Snowe............................................... 57%
Undecided....................................................... 10%

...

Q17 Do you think Olympia Snowe most properly belongs in the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or as an independent?

Democrat ........................................................ 22%
Republican...................................................... 28%
Independent.................................................... 41%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%

...

PPP surveyed 1,247 Maine voters from March 3rd to 6th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_ME_03091023.pdf
21644  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: March 09, 2011, 07:31:53 am
Today we have Connecticut (Quinnipiac):

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

From March 1 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,693 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1296.xml?ReleaseID=1565
21645  Forum Community / Forum Community / Ash Wednesday & Meat on: March 09, 2011, 04:43:48 am
Discuss.

I will eat a Schnitzel today, so yes (it seems I´m a bad Christian then, but I don't care).

Tongue
21646  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Illinois: Gov. Quinn (D) to sign Death Penalty repeal today on: March 09, 2011, 02:41:04 am
Very good decision.

Smiley
21647  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Illinois: Gov. Quinn (D) to sign Death Penalty repeal today on: March 09, 2011, 02:39:48 am
SPRINGFIELD — Gov. Pat Quinn is expected to sign historic legislation abolishing the death penalty in Illinois on Wednesday, according to the House sponsor and sources familiar with the governor's plans.



The Democratic governor on Tuesday quietly invited death penalty opponents to a private bill-signing ceremony scheduled for late Wednesday morning in his Springfield office. Quinn's office confirmed that the governor has an event at the Capitol on Wednesday to announce his decision on the death penalty measure.

"They point-blank told me they were signing the bill (Wednesday)," sponsoring Rep. Karen Yarbrough told the Tribune.

Quinn has until March 18 to sign or veto the legislation or it automatically becomes law. He was poised to deal with it late last week but decided to continue listening to both sides of the issue. On Monday, Quinn told reporters he planned to act this week.

If the governor signs the ban, he will end a capital punishment system beset by flaws and brought down by evidence that freed wrongfully convicted men who spent years on death row.

The ban would come about 11 years after then-Gov. George Ryan declared a moratorium on executions after 13 condemned inmates were cleared since Illinois reinstated capital punishment in 1977. Ryan, a Republican, cited a Tribune investigative series that examined each of the state's nearly 300 capital cases and exposed how bias, error and incompetence undermined many of them.

Since then, Illinois approved reforms to the capital punishment system, including taping interrogations under a proposal forged by President Barack Obama when he served in the Illinois Senate. Only two days before leaving office in January 2003, Ryan commuted the death sentences of 164 prisoners to life in prison. Quinn and his predecessor, Rod Blagojevich, kept the moratorium in place.

In 1972, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down death penalty statutes in 40 states, including Illinois. Five years later, Illinois reinstated capital punishment, and it has been among the 35 states that currently allow executions. Illinois could join New York, New Jersey and New Mexico, all of which have done away with the death penalty in the last three years.

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-met-quinn-death-penalty-0309-20110308,0,4841534.story
21648  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas Forum Employment Report on: March 09, 2011, 02:00:28 am
Hmm, I forgot the "I´m on parent-provided-life-support, without collecting unemployment money"-option, which could be an option for some younger members here.

But if this is the case just vote "other".
21649  Forum Community / Forum Community / Atlas Forum Employment Report on: March 09, 2011, 01:52:56 am
For me: Option 1
21650  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: March 09, 2011, 01:42:13 am
Random question - anybody have a exit poll or poll or something showing the vote motivations for FPO voters and/or the reasons for their votes?

Is this is a serious question or are you being sarcastic ?

Wink
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