Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2015, 02:56:49 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 ... 861 862 863 864 865 [866] 867 868 869 870 871 ... 1416
21626  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 State Elections in Germany on: December 19, 2010, 12:07:06 pm
A new WDR/Infratest-Dimap poll for NRW:

36% (+1) SPD
32%  (-3) CDU
18% (+6) Greens
  5%  (-1) Left
  4%  (-3) FDP
  5% (nc) Others

54-37 majority for SPD-Greens, because the FDP fails to get more than 5%.
21627  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Belarus Presidential "Election" 2010 on: December 19, 2010, 11:18:40 am
Belarus is voting in presidential elections, with the incumbent Alexander Lukashenko widely expected to win.

Under the authoritarian leader aiming to secure his fourth term, the former Soviet republic has never held a poll seen as fair by international monitors.

However, these elections so far have been much freer than in the past, correspondents say.

But the opposition still plans to hold protests against what they say will be a rigged vote.

Security forces have warned they will crack down on any attempts to stir tension during or after the voting.

Polling stations across Belarus opened at 0600 GMT and will close at 1800 GMT.

Nine challengers are competing with Mr Lukashenko for the presidency.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-12029814
21628  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: December 19, 2010, 10:33:04 am
New IMAS poll for the "Kronen Zeitung":



Rather interesting that they have the BZÖ with the same level of support like they had in the 2008 elections. All other pollsters had the BZÖ at around 3-6% in the last surveys. It could be ÖVP voters who are unhappy with their party switching over, but who knows ...
21629  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Old election posters, leaflets, etc on: December 19, 2010, 10:14:28 am
And what the ad is meaning.
I understand Breitbandinternet but the rest?

It says:

"We call for: 100% coverage ... Broadbandinternet ... because white spots need to disappear !"
21630  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 State Elections in Germany on: December 19, 2010, 10:05:06 am
Still waiting for really new polls from Bremen, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Sachsen-Anhalt.

They also have state elections in 2011 and the last polls are more than 1/2 year old, in MV the last poll is even older than 1 year ... Tongue
21631  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2011 State Elections in Germany on: December 19, 2010, 10:00:18 am
Quite a few polls out today by Emnid, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Forsa:

EMNID (GERMANY)

34%   (nc) CDU/CSU
26%  (+3) SPD
20%  (+9) Greens
10%   (-2) Left
  5% (-10) FDP
  5%   (-1) Others

FORSCHUNGSGRUPPE WAHLEN (GERMANY)

34%   (nc) CDU/CSU
28%  (+5) SPD
19%  (+8) Greens
  9%   (-3) Left
  5% (-10) FDP
  5%   (-1) Others

FORSA (BERLIN STATE ELECTION)

27%    (-4) SPD
25% (+12) Greens
19%    (-2) CDU
15%    (-1) Left
  4%    (-4) FDP
10%    (-1) Others

FORSA (BERLIN FEDERAL ELECTION)

24% (+7) Greens
23% (+3) SPD
23%  (nc) CDU
17%  (-3) Left
  4%  (-8) FDP
  9% (+1) Others

EMNID (BADEN-WÜRTTEMBERG STATE ELECTION)

41%    (-3) CDU
29% (+17) Greens
19%    (-6) SPD
  4%   (+1) Left
  4%    (-7) FDP
  3%    (-2) Others

EMNID (RHEINLAND-PFALZ STATE ELECTION)

39%  (-7) SPD
37% (+4) CDU
11% (+6) Greens
  4% (+1) Left
  4%  (-4) FDP
  5%  (-1) Others
21632  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The PM of Bavaria can't read this Number: 3014237 on: December 18, 2010, 02:19:52 pm
At least he's not a complete joke like the current mayor of Klagenfurt from the FPK:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qn6P2J8pGDk
21633  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The PM of Bavaria can't read this Number: 3014237 on: December 18, 2010, 02:16:03 pm
To his "defense":

Well, if Seehofer is an idiot, then the moderator is an idiot too.

"Ich kann solche Zahlen gar nicht lesen ..."

Tongue
21634  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Will Hillary Clinton primary Obama? on: December 18, 2010, 01:53:15 am
No, she will replace Biden as VP candidate and Biden will be named COS.

Then, Obama/Clinton is re-elected and Hillary will be elected President in 2016.
21635  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: December 17, 2010, 02:15:57 pm
Education is now front and center in Austrian politics, because the Austrian students sucked so badly at the most recent PISA tests. OGM has a new poll about it, done for the newspaper "Presse":





The first question asks if Austrians are in favor of introducing tuition fees:

70% in favor
23% oppose

Interesting fact is that voters from all parties, even the Greens, are in favor.

The second question asks how high the fees should be:

51% say 360€ per semester
16% say 500€ per semester
  5% say up to 5000€ per semester
25% say Universities should decide individually

The third question asks if people are in favor of entry restrictions in universities:

34% in favor for all studies
40% in favor for selected "mass studies"
25% against

The fourth question is about how students from high schools should be selected by the universities:

48% want entry tests before the first semester
34% want entry tests after the first semester
18% want a selection based on final high school exams (Maturanoten)

The fifth question asks voters if they are in favor of a horse-trade between SPÖ and ÖVP (the SPÖ votes for the introduction of tuition fees, while the ÖVP votes for the introduction of a new comprehensive school for 10-14 year olds):

31% Favor
58% Oppose
21636  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Post OFFICIAL 2010 US Census data here on: December 17, 2010, 01:48:52 pm
I guess the county and city data will be released sometime next year ?
21637  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Census: Brazil's population growth slows dramatically on: December 17, 2010, 01:25:52 pm
Well, this got me to search a bit and yes, Argentina is also at around 1% annually.
It's estimated a population growth of about 10% in the past 10 years. Between 1991 and 2001 it was about 11%. Before that it was 17% in the 80's and almost 20% in the 70's. The last time we had a decade with population growth of more than 20% was between 1947 and 1960 (well, it was a bit more than a decade) were it was 25%

Argentina also released their Census 2010 data yesterday:

40.091.359

That is up from 36.260.130 people in the 2001 Census.

Annual growth was 1.12%, or 426.000 people per year.

Buenos Aires has 2.891.082 people, Buenos Aires province has 15.594.428 people.

http://www.censo2010.indec.gov.ar/preliminares/cuadro_totalpais.asp
21638  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: ABC News/Washington Post: Obama defeats Palin by double-digits on: December 17, 2010, 10:45:50 am
The 3-way race among RV is:

46% Obama, 32% Palin, 18% Bloomberg

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postpoll_12132010.html
21639  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / ABC News/Washington Post: Obama defeats Palin by double-digits on: December 17, 2010, 10:33:20 am
All adults: 54% Obama, 39% Palin
Registered Voters: 53% Obama, 40% Palin
With Bloomberg: 47% Obama, 31% Palin, 18% Bloomberg

Breaking down the support for each candidate:

If Obama runs for re-election in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?

26% Definitely Would
30% Would Consider
43% Definitely Would Not

If Sarah Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for her?

  8% Definitely Would
31% Would Consider
59% Definitely Would Not

If Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?

  2% Definitely Would
46% Would Consider
43% Definitely Would Not

...

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone Dec. 9-12, 2010, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points. Click here for a detailed description of sampling error. This survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1119a7%20Obama-Palin-Bloomberg.pdf
21640  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WI-PPP: Republicans prefer Palin for President on: December 17, 2010, 10:26:29 am
That's one poll Branson.  We'll see what other polls show about the matchup.

Uh-oh:

New Washington-Post/ABC News poll

Obama vs. Palin: 54-39

Obama vs. Palin vs. Bloomberg: 47-31-18

http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1119a7%20Obama-Palin-Bloomberg.pdf
21641  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary on: December 17, 2010, 03:17:31 am
OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !

Well, to be fair, this is just one state and it's being polled by an unreliable Republican firm.  Tongue

Yeah, very unreliable:

Quote
In our final poll of the New Hampshire Republican primary for US Senate, we find Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 4 points, 35% to 31%.  Bill Binnie is third with 14%, Jim Bender with 10%, the generic “another candidate” receives 3%, and 7% are undecided. 

Final results:

38% Kelly Ayotte
37% Lamontagne
14% Binnie
  9% Bender
  2% Others

Wink

They're considered unreliable in General election polls so I'm thinking, as a Republican firm, they probably aren't that great for Democratic primaries.

They are not more unreliable than Rasmussen. They got the LA & DE race right, like Rasmussen. But they blew CO Governor, just like Rasmussen.

The only bad thing is that they did not poll enough General Election races to make a fair analysis.
21642  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary on: December 17, 2010, 03:11:33 am
OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !

Well, to be fair, this is just one state and it's being polled by an unreliable Republican firm.  Tongue

Yeah, very unreliable:

Quote
In our final poll of the New Hampshire Republican primary for US Senate, we find Kelly Ayotte leading Ovide Lamontagne by 4 points, 35% to 31%.  Bill Binnie is third with 14%, Jim Bender with 10%, the generic “another candidate” receives 3%, and 7% are undecided. 

Final results:

38% Kelly Ayotte
37% Lamontagne
14% Binnie
  9% Bender
  2% Others

Wink
21643  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary on: December 17, 2010, 03:06:51 am
OMGZ !

Obama is in so much trouble within the party ... !
21644  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / NH-Magellan Strategies: Obama the heavy favorite in the NH DEM Primary on: December 17, 2010, 03:02:51 am
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

77% Approve
14% Disapprove

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton?

59% Obama
28% Clinton

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Howard Dean?

78% Obama
10% Dean

If the 2012 Democrat Presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders?

79% Obama
  8% Sanders

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 1,002N autodial survey of likely Democrat primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to vote in the Democrat Presidential primary in the state of New Hampshire. The interviews were conducted December 14th and 15th, 2010. This survey has a margin of error of +/‐ 3.09% at the 95 percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon Democrat Presidential Primary turnout demographics from the 2008 and 2004 election cycles.

http://www.unionleader.com/uploads/media-items/2010/December/NH%202012%20Democrat%20Presidential%20Primary%20Survey%20Topline%20Results%20121410%5B16%5D.pdf
21645  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WI-PPP: Republicans prefer Palin for President on: December 17, 2010, 02:37:39 am
We'll see what pro-abortion, pro-gay marriage billionaire self-funder third-party centrist independent Michael Bloomberg has to say about it

Look who Republicans are preferring in this matchup:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/US101115/2012%20Prospects/2012_Hypothetical_Presidential_Matchup_Obama_Palin_Bloomberg.htm
21646  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WI-PPP: Republicans prefer Palin for President on: December 17, 2010, 02:31:08 am
I sincerely think (and hope) that her momentum will die.  I just don't understand what draws primary voters to her.

The same thing that drew DE Republicans to Chrissy O'Donnell: Madness.

And if it can happen in Delaware, it can happen anywhere in the US.

Go Republicans: Elect the fool from Alaska and we'll kick your ass.
21647  Election Archive / 2012 Senatorial Election Polls / OH-PPP: Republicans want Mike DeWine to oppose Sen. Brown on: December 17, 2010, 01:55:11 am
Between Ken Blackwell, Kevin Coughlin, Mike DeWine, Jon Husted, Jim Jordan, Steve LaTourette, Josh Mandel, and Mary Taylor who would you most like to see as the Republican Senate nominee in 2012?

Mike DeWine .................................................. 27%
Ken Blackwell ................................................. 17%
Jon Husted...................................................... 11%
Jim Jordan ...................................................... 10%
Mary Taylor ..................................................... 7%
Steve LaTourette............................................. 6%
Josh Mandel ................................................... 5%
Kevin Coughlin................................................ 2%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 15%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_OH_1216.pdf
21648  Election Archive / 2012 Senatorial Election Polls / WI-PPP: Republicans want Paul Ryan as their US Senate candidate on: December 17, 2010, 01:52:57 am
Between Sean Duffy, Mark Green, Rebecca Kleefisch, Paul Ryan, Tommy Thompson, JB Van Hollen, and Dave Westlake who would you most like to see as the Republican Senate nominee in 2012?

Paul Ryan ....................................................... 52%
Tommy Thompson .......................................... 14%
Mark Green..................................................... 9%
Rebecca Kleefisch .......................................... 6%
JB Van Hollen ................................................. 6%
Sean Duffy...................................................... 5%
Dave Westlake................................................ 1%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 8%

Favorable Ratings:

67-7   Ryan
65-23 Thompson
58-10 Van Hollen

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1216.pdf
21649  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / WI-PPP: Republicans prefer Palin for President on: December 17, 2010, 01:48:34 am
If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and John Thune who would you vote for?

Sarah Palin ..................................................... 21%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 18%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 17%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 13%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 10%
Ron Paul......................................................... 4%
John Thune..................................................... 3%
Mitch Daniels .................................................. 2%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 12%

Favorable Ratings:

71-21 Palin
59-22 Huckabee
57-23 Romney
56-24 Gingrich

PPP surveyed 400 usual Wisconsin Republican primary voters from December 10th to 12th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.9%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_1216.pdf
21650  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Stand Alone DADT Repeal Passes House 250-175, on to the Senate on: December 16, 2010, 03:24:04 pm
Toomey (R-PA) also in favor:

Republicans Charlie Dent and Pat Toomey both signaled their support this week for repealing the controversial don't ask, don't tell law that bans openly gay people from serving in the military.

Dent, Lehigh Valley's congressman, was one of only 15 Republicans on Wednesday to vote to repeal the law.

“I believe the defining characteristic of a young man or woman who volunteers to join the military is his or her dedication to defending the United States of America," Dent said in a statement. "I have confidence that regardless of sexual preference, service members will continue to develop unsurpassed camaraderie with those who share their commitment to protecting the nation.”

Then, perhaps more shockingly, Toomey, Pennsylvania's conservative Senator-elect, confirmed his support for repeal in a statement on Thursday.

“As I’ve said previously, my highest priority is to have the policy that best enables our armed services to do their job,” Toomey said.  “Our civilian and professional military leadership have now spoken and said we should repeal Don’t Ask Don’t Tell.  I would support a free-standing measure to do so.”

http://blogs.mcall.com/penn_ave/2010/12/toomey-and-dent-support-repeal-of-dadt.html
Pages: 1 ... 861 862 863 864 865 [866] 867 868 869 870 871 ... 1416


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines