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21626  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 03, 2010, 07:22:12 am
South Carolina (Mason-Dixon, November 2 2000):

Bush: 53%
Gore: 38%

http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=SFOYbPikdlgC&dat=20001102&printsec=frontpage

Virginia (Mason-Dixon, October 28 2000):

Bush: 48%
Gore: 41%
Nader: 3%

Another recent poll conducted by Virginia Commonwealth University shows Bush with a 14 percentage point lead.

http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/dailypress/access/83098611.html?dids=83098611:83098611&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT&type=current&date=Oct+28%2C+2000&author=TERRY+SCANLON+Daily+Press&pub=Daily+Press&desc=BUSH+STILL+LEADS+RACE+IN+VIRGINIA%2C+POLL+SAYS&pqatl=google

Missouri (Mason-Dixon, Oct. 29 200):

Bush: 45%
Gore: 44%

http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=KC&p_theme=kc&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=0EAF48D11B958910&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM

Tennessee (Mason-Dixon, Oct. 2 2000):

Gov. George W. Bush of Texas has erased the lead of his Democratic opponent, Vice President Al Gore, in Mr. Gore's home state of Tennessee, according to an opinion poll published today.

Mr. Bush leads Mr. Gore 46 percent to 43 percent in a survey of 625 registered Tennessee voters taken last week and published today in The Tennessean in Nashville and in The Chattanooga Times Chattanooga Free Press. The poll, taken by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc., had a margin of sampling error of four percentage points, making it a statistical tie.

A poll taken in March by The Tennessean showed Mr. Gore ahead by six percentage points, the newspaper said.

When voters were asked which candidate would do a better job encouraging high moral standards and values, 51 percent of the voters said Mr. Bush and 32 percent said Mr. Gore, the poll said.

http://www.nytimes.com/2000/10/02/us/the-2000-campaign-bush-catches-gore-in-poll-in-tennessee.html?pagewanted=1

Wisconsin & Minnesota & Pennsylvania (Nov. 3 2000):

A statewide poll by The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel released Wednesday showed 46 percent of likely voters supported Republican Bush, while 39 percent backed Democrat Gore. That outcome contrasted with a poll released a week earlier by the St. Norbert College Survey Center and Wisconsin Public Radio that showed the exact opposite results. In a mid-September MJS poll, Gore was head of Bush by a 5 percent margin.

A Mason-Dixon poll conducted last week showed Gore shrinking to 44 to 41 percent lead over Bush, with 8 percent of respondents for Nader. The statewide survey came on the heels of a mid-month poll by The Minneapolis Star Tribune, which upset most expectations about this traditionally Democratic state. That poll gave Bush a 44 to 41 percent lead over Gore.

A poll of Pennsylvania voters released this week by the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Millersville University gave Bush a 43-42 percent advantage, while a Los Angeles Times poll gave Bush a 47-45 percent edge. But daily tracking polls of battleground states by Zogby International show Gore surging slightly in Pennsylvania this week, with a 3-4 percent lead.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2000/11/02/politics/main246443.shtml

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2000/11/01/politics/main245965.shtml?tag=contentMain;contentBody

Virginia (Mason Dixon, Nov. 2 2000):

Bush: 49%
Gore: 41%
Nader: 3%

http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=VP&p_theme=vp&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=0EAFF27724E77EED&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM
21627  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 03, 2010, 07:06:25 am
Kentucky (Bluegrass/Courier Journal, Nov. 2 2000):

55% Bush
40% Gore

September Bluegrass poll:

51% Bush
41% Gore

http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1696&dat=20001102&id=1QsfAAAAIBAJ&sjid=FpgEAAAAIBAJ&pg=5885,154858

Michigan (EPIC/MRA, October 1 2000):

Gore: 45%
Bush: 39%
Nader: 3%

http://news.google.com/newspapers?id=BD8iAAAAIBAJ&sjid=sqwFAAAAIBAJ&pg=5124,2595235&dq=gore+bush+state+poll&hl=en

Missouri (Mason-Dixon, September 6 2000):

Gore: 45%
Bush: 41%

http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=FnaCo-ypupUC&dat=20000906&printsec=frontpage

Pennsylvania (SurveyUSA, November 5 2000):

Just days before the polls were to open, the Pennsylvania presidential race remained a toe-to-toe battle, with Vice President Al Gore clinging to a slender advantage over Texas Gov. George W. Bush.

The Pennsylvania Poll showed Gore ahead of Bush, 48 percent to 45 percent. Just 1.5 percent of those surveyed favored Green Party nominee Ralph Nader. The Reform Party's Pat Buchanan and the Libertarian Party's Harry Browne had less than 1 percent each, and 5 percent.

http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_product=PG&p_theme=pg&p_action=search&p_maxdocs=200&p_topdoc=1&p_text_direct-0=0EADE5F737780C97&p_field_direct-0=document_id&p_perpage=10&p_sort=YMD_date:D&s_trackval=GooglePM

Ohio (SurveyUSA, August 26 2000):

COLUMBUS - A new statewide poll shows the presidential race in Ohio a virtual dead heat between Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush.

Release of the poll came as Ohio Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell announced the presidential ballot lineup for Ohio - Gore, Bush, consumer crusader Ralph Nader, former commentator and ex-Republican Pat Buchanan, Libertarian Harry Browne, Natural Law candidate John Hagelin and independent Howard Phillips. The SurveyUSA poll of 500 likely voters showed Bush, the Texas governor, with 47 percent, Gore, the vice president, with 45 percent, with a 4.5 point margin of error. Five percent of those polled spread their votes among other candidates and 3 percent were undecided.

The results mark a surge by Gore following the Democratic National Convention last week in Los Angeles. A statewide poll taken just after the Republican National Convention, which ended Aug. 3, showed Bush leading Gore, 53 percent to 37 percent.

http://nl.newsbank.com/nl-search/we/Archives?p_action=doc&p_docid=0F51F414864482EB&p_docnum=1

Seven days away from the vote, neither candidate can take much for granted. According to a new poll by the Los Angeles Times, three of the top battleground states remain in play. The survey shows Gore with a 48 to 44 percent lead in Michigan, Bush ahead 48 to 44 percent in Florida and Bush edging Gore 47 to 45 percent in Pennsylvania. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader earned 2 percent in Pennsylvania and Florida and 3 percent in Michigan. Pat Buchanan of the Reform Party didn't reach 1 percent in any of the states polled. This survey has a five-point margin of error, which means neither Bush nor Gore has a statistically significant advantage in any of the three states.

http://www.salon.com/news/politics/trail/2000/10/31/trail_mix/
21628  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What cities would be willing to elect a covincted pot dealer as mayor? on: May 03, 2010, 12:51:56 am
The possible spots are visible in this map:

21629  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Don't trust the census on: May 03, 2010, 12:43:46 am
You know what I don't get: how do they know what percent turned their forms in if they haven't finished the census yet?  How do they know how many people are left if they haven't been counted?!
Umm, if they sent out 10 forms, and have 7 back, then 7/10=70%.

And what do you mean you were "skipped," what did you tell the census person?

Umm...not every house has people in it.  See Detroit.  Send out 10 forms, you might only get one back and that could be 100% participation.  Not everyone has stable housing.

I told her I live in my apartment "seasonally" for school and she just left.  But I wasn't counted at home either, so I'm invisible.

I thought you were living here in Austria ? Are you sure your parents didn`t include you in their Census forms ? Otherwise the Census taker made a mistake.

If I were the Census taker and you told me that you just came back from Austria, where you stayed a few months, but normally attend university in NC and normally live on the campus for most of the year, I would have definitely counted you as a resident of NC.
21630  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Don't trust the census on: May 03, 2010, 12:33:32 am
You know what I don't get: how do they know what percent turned their forms in if they haven't finished the census yet?  How do they know how many people are left if they haven't been counted?!
Umm, if they sent out 10 forms, and have 7 back, then 7/10=70%.

And what do you mean you were "skipped," what did you tell the census person?

Umm...not every house has people in it.  See Detroit.  Send out 10 forms, you might only get one back and that could be 100% participation.  Not everyone has stable housing.

I told her I live in my apartment "seasonally" for school and she just left.  But I wasn't counted at home either, so I'm invisible.

There was a massive address canvass last summer to verify all addresses in the US, to which the Census Bureau then sends their forms.

Of course, if the address canvass is faulty and the canvassers are missing some addresses that popped up after the 2000 Census, or were even missed in the 2000 Census, that would lead to big errors, for example that the Census Bureau doesn`t even know that this address exists and therefore A) won`t send any forms to that address, nor B) will they send any Census taker to that address. It simply does not exist.

Not to mention the 100.000 of homeless and illegals etc., so there will always be a massive faulty count.
21631  General Politics / Economics / Re: The euro is still falling: NOT good news. on: May 03, 2010, 12:22:18 am
Perhaps, phknrocket1k. It is worth remembering that in 2000, the euro was under par for the dollar. Sam has been saying that it was going there since the early part of last year. The critical variable now may be German politics.

More details have been released on the rescue package, for which I have two questions. First, the details:

"Spending Cuts:

*Reducing the so-called 13th and 14th holiday payments for civil servants and cutting bonuses by a further 8 percent to save 1.1 billion euros in 2010. Workers earning less than 3,000 euros a month will get payments of 250 euros at Easter, 250 euros in summer and 500 euros at Christmas. Employees at state- run companies will have wages cut by 3 percent.

*Reducing the 13th and 14th holiday payments to pensioners to save 1.5 billion euros in 2010. Retirees receiving less than 2,500 euros per month will get 200 euros, 200 euros and 400 euros for each period.

*Postponing the second tranche of so-called solidarity bonuses to 2.5 million poorer Greeks, a pre-election pledge, to save 400 million euros in 2010.

*Cutting public investment plan by 500 million euros this year.

Revenue Raising:

*An increase in the two main sales-tax rates to 23 percent from 21 percent and to 11 percent from 10 percent. Thats equivalent to 800 million euros in 2010 and 1 billion euros in 2011.

*Cigarette, fuel and alcohol tax increases to raise 450 million euros in 2010 and 600 million euros in 2011.

Economic Forecasts:

*Economic contraction of 4 percent this year and 2.6 percent in 2011. Growth will return in 2012 at 1.1 percent and 2.1 percent in 2013 and 2014.

*Debt will rise from 133.3 percent of GDP this year to 145.1 percent in 2011, 148.6 in 2012 and peak at 149.1 percent in 2013. It is projected to fall to 144.3 percent in 2014.

*Budget deficit will shrink to 8.1 percent this year, 7.6 percent next year, 6.5 percent in 2012, 4.9 percent in 2013 and below the 3 percent demanded by the European Union in 2014.
"

------

This, of course, depends on numerous factors, including
1. The projections are accurate. Personally, I find them quite pessimistic, so the problem might not be here.
2. The Germans uphold their side of the deal, as noted above. I believe that a eurozone breakup would be a true calamity for Germans, because of the impact on the German banks and economy of a general euro crisis. However, it is up to Chancellor Merkel and the German political leadership to effectively communicate this to the legislators enough to push through the package.
3. The Greeks uphold their side of the deal. The Greek record of upholding austerity promises has not been historically good. They will need the IMF and the other eurozone members to police them closely and also have to rely somewhat on the integrity and genuine intentions of Papandreou.

Now, my questions
1. Prior to this last week, under the older, looser austerity package, Greece was supposed to have gotten its deficit down to 3 percent of GDP by 2012. Now, even though the additional revenue and cuts are proposed, this has been pushed back to 2014. The only explanation I can think of is the old projections were based on grossly unrealistic GDP expectations that have been pushed down by the recent crisis.

2. The article claims debt will fall as a percentage of GDP by 5 points in 2014; however Greece is still supposed to be running a deficit of just under 3 percent of GDP that year, and growth is only supposed to be 2 percent. Someone help me understand where the math adds up here.

On question 1:

The actual 2009 deficit has turned out to be far bigger than originally thought. Not 12%, but more like 14% or more. Thats why it`ll take longer to go down below Maastricht criterias again.

Once again I repeat: Cut your damn 6% of GDP defense spending, Greeks - instead of letting the ordinary small people bleed to death !! Its not like Turkey will attack you !!
21632  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: May 03, 2010, 12:05:57 am
What is the "Liste Burgenland" and have they a chance to come into the Parliament?

The "Liste Burgenland" is a new centrist independent group, similar to the "Freie Whler" in Germany, running in this years state elections. Id say they won`t get more than 2-3% of the votes.

Plus:

Here`s a new federal Market poll for the newspaper Standard, after the Presidential elections.

VP: 29%
SP: 28%
FP: 22%
GRE: 12%
BZ: 5%
OTH: 4%

Seems like the Rosenkranz defeat had no impact on the FP numbers.

The BZ wasn`t in the news until yesterday, when they adopted a new party program at their convention in Vienna. The program is now more centrist and even has a few Green and Social-Democratic aspects. Let`s see how this affects poll numbers in the future.
21633  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: House passes Puerto Rico Democracy Act HR 2499 on: May 02, 2010, 11:56:01 am
Initially, eligible voters, including those born in Puerto Rico but residing in the United States, would vote on whether they wish to keep their current political status or opt for a different direction.

About how many people born in PR are living in the US right now ?
21634  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria on: May 02, 2010, 11:32:49 am
Here is the Wahlkabine for Burgenland (state elections there on May 30):

http://politikkabine.at/wahlen/index.php?page=voter.Questionnaire

My results:

SP: 75%
VP: 66%
Greens: 55%
Liste Burgenland: 53%
FP: 47%
21635  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 11:18:16 am
R2000:

NC: Bush 52%, Gore 42%

CA: Gore 49%, Bush 39%, Nader 5%

IA: Gore 44%, Bush 43%, Nader 4%

IN: Bush 56%, Gore 40%

MI: Gore 46%, Bush 41%, Nader 4%

http://www.research2000.us/category/polls-2000

FL (NYT/Gainesville Sun, Oct. 26-31): Bush 46%, Gore 45%, Nader 3%

FL (Mason-Dixon, Oct. 30-31): Bush 46%, Gore 44%

http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=dBzKUGQurMsC&dat=20001103&printsec=frontpage
21636  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 10:59:37 am
Idaho

# Bush, 56 percent
# Gore, 30 percent
# Nader, 4 percent
# Buchanan, 2 percent

Oct. 25-26, 633 LV, MoE 4 percentage points, Mason-Dixon

Michigan

# Gore, 43 percent
# Bush, 42 percent
# Nader, 5 percent
# Buchanan, 2 percent

Oct. 22-26, 400 LV, MoE 5 percentage points, Lake-Goeas for US News

Montana

# Bush, 51 percent
# Gore, 33 percent
# Nader, 5 percent
# Buchanan, 1 percent

Oct. 19-23, 403 LV, MoE 5 percentage points, Montana State University-Billings

Pennsylvania

# Gore, 45 percent
# Bush, 40 percent
# Nader, 5 percent
# Buchanan, 5 percent

Oct. 22-26, 400 LV, MoE 5 percentage points, Lake-Goeas for US News

Vermont

# Gore, 56 percent
# Bush, 32 percent
# Nader, 5 percent
# Buchanan, 1 percent

Oct. 23-25, 400 LV, MoE 5 percentage points, Research 2000

Wisconsin

# Gore, 43 percent
# Bush, 42 percent
# Nader, 6 percent
# Buchanan, 3 percent

Oct. 22-26, 400 LV, MoE 5 percentage points, Lake-Goeas for US News

http://archive.southcoasttoday.com/daily/10-00/10-29-00/a08wn033.htm
21637  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 02, 2010, 10:57:51 am
Tried translating the Wal-o-mat but the translations sucked, is that first question saying a ban on Sunday shopping should be abolished? Gave up at question 6: "The top notes for students to keep."

Q1 means if you want to abolish sunday shopping.

Q6 means if you want to keep behaviour marks for students.
21638  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 10:41:21 am
Gore leads in California, 3 other states

SAN FRANCISCO, Aug 25 (Reuters) Democratic presidential nominee Al Gore has grabbed a commanding lead in California, while improving his standing against Republican rival George W. Bush in Michigan, New Jersey and Minnesota, according to polls.

The public opinion surveys released yesterday provided fresh evidence that the Vice-President has enjoyed a bounce since the Democratic convention ended a week ago. They also suggested that Green Party candidate Ralph Nader might be diminishing as a threat to siphon support from Gore.

The polls found that Gore led the Texas Governor by 13 percentage points in California, overtook Bush by 2 percentage points in Michigan and 8 percentage points in Minnesota, and padded his lead to 14 percentage points in New Jersey.

The field poll in California found that Gore led Bush by 50 to 37 per cent among likely California voters, compared with 46 per cent to 35 per cent in June. Significantly, consumer activist Nader Saw his support fall from 7 to 4 per cent.

Carrying California the most populous state and the largest electoral prize is crucial to Gores hopes in the November 7 election.

The poll questioned 869 likely voters in California August 18-22, and had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

In an important midwestern state, Gore narrowly overtook Bush in Michigan, 44 to 42 per cent, in a Detroit free press survey of 600 likely voters conducted August 20-22. Gore had trailed by 8 percentage points after the Republican convention.

Factoring in the margin of error of 4 percentage points, the race in Michigan was a statistical dead heat.

The Michigan survey, conducted by EPIC/MRA, showed Gore shoring up his political base by gaining 13 percentage points among Democrats. The survey also showed that Gore and Bush were virtually even among independents.

In the battleground state of New Jersey, a Quinnipiac university poll found that Gore widened his lead from 5 percentage points a month ago to 52 to 38 per cent. The margin of error for the poll, in which 802 New Jersey registered voters were questioned from August 18-22, was 3.5 percentage points.

In Liberal-leaning Minnesota, Gore grabbed a lead of 48 to 40 per cent over Bush in a poll of 621 likely voters conducted by Mason-Dixon for the St Paul Pioneer Press and two broadcasters said. The poll also found Nader weakening in Minnesota, where Democrats also feared he could steal support from the Vice-President.

The poll had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Minnesota has voted Democratic nine times in the past 10 presidential elections, but Bush had led Gore by 3 percentage points in a July poll.

http://www.tribuneindia.com/2000/20000826/world.htm#2
21639  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 10:39:42 am
Florida (Mason-Dixon):

Bush vs. Gore: 47-39
Bush vs. Gore/Graham: 44-42

http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/2000-06-28/news/0006280393_1_bob-graham-gore-bush-lead
21640  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 10:29:09 am
Nevada (September 2000):

SurveyUSA: 48% Gore, 43% Bush
Mason-Dixon: 46% Bush, 42% Gore

http://usasurvey.com/ArchivedArticles/LasVegasSUNGoreontopinNevadapollSenateracetightens.htm

New Jersey (Nov. 1-5, 2000):

Quinnipiac: 49% Gore, 41% Bush, 4% Nader

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=585

Connecticut (September 2000):

Quinnipiac: 52% Gore, 33% Bush, 7% Nader

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1296.xml?ReleaseID=566

New York (November 2000):

Quinnipiac: 55% Gore, 34% Bush, 6% Nader

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=623
21641  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 02, 2010, 10:13:32 am
Indiana (SurveyUSA):

34% Approve
57% Disapprove

This SurveyUSA poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using a registration  based sample (RBS) provided by Aristotle, of Washington DC. All respondents heard the  questions asked identically. The calls were conducted from April 22 through 26.

http://www.scribd.com/INSenPollRCP/d/30717107

UGLY! How did he actually win that state again? Haha.

Because John McCain was a lousy candidate?

No, because the McCain camp took Indiana for granted, just like Coakley took MA for granted.

BTW, todays Rasmussen:

48% Approve (+2)
51% Disapprove (-2)
21642  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 07:39:30 am
Here you can view the final Zogby polls:

http://www.zogby.com/news/readnews.cfm?ID=299
21643  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 07:35:11 am
Whoah, Id like to find that Harris poll of 134.000 likely voters from every state ... Smiley

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2000/nov/07/worlddispatch.uselections2000

Meh, I found this Harris poll of 241.000 Likely Voters (!!!), but the link to the state results is broken ... Sad

The final Harris Interactives election poll was conducted from October 30 through November 6. A total of 240,666 likely voters participated in the study. National results are based on results from 50 states. In addition, this release provides specific results for 38 states. This survey comprises the largest online election study in history and may well be the largest polling effort ever conducted by a private organization.

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/news/index.asp?NewsID=186&HI_election=All

The Harris poll was the most accurate poll in 2000, so these results would be great to see !
21644  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 07:29:21 am
Heres also an overview of many polls from the 2000 election.

http://www.aapor.org/AM/Template.cfm?Section=Election_Polling_Resources&Template=/CM/ContentDisplay.cfm&ContentID=1500

Probably one can find a few other polls from 2000, going through the sources at the end of the report.
21645  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Where can I get Opinion Polling for the 2000 Elecyion? on: May 02, 2010, 07:05:50 am
Cool!

Anybody have any Statewide polling?

Many Ohio polls seemed to show Bush ahead:



"In the Ohio Polls since April, Mr. Bush's percentage of support has ranged from 47 percent to his present 50 percent, while Mr. Gore's support has ranged from 39 percent to 43 percent."

http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2000/10/28/loc_poll_sees_firm_lead.html

Also, Bush was leading in a F&M Pennsylvania poll just a week before the election:

Bush: 43%
Gore: 42%
Nader: 5%

http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyoct00_mfr.pdf

It was Gore+5 In California (Field Poll):

Gore: 46%
Bush: 41%
Nader: 4%

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Release1989.pdf

Some other stuff:

St. Petersburg (Florida) - Al Gore and George W. Bush are virtually tied in Florida, one of America's hottest presidential battlegrounds, while Bush has opened a comfortable lead in Colorado.

Gore had a slight edge in New Hampshire, a new poll showed. Gore was at 46 percent and Bush at 43 percent in Florida in a poll conducted for the St. Petersburg Times from Wednesday through Friday. That's within the 4 percentage point error margin for the Schroth and Associates poll of 600 likely voters.

In Colorado, where the race was close after the Democratic convention, Bush has opened a 45-33 lead in a Talmey-Drake poll of 491 registered voters, conducted for the Denver Rocky Mountain News and KCNC-TV from Sept. 29-Oct. 4. It had an error margin of 5 percentage points. In New Hampshire, Gore was slightly ahead of Bush, 44 percent to 38 percent, in the Franklin Pierce College-WNDS-TV poll of 626 registered New Hampshire voters. The survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, was conducted Oct. 1-4.

In Florida, the poll showed how dramatically the race has changed. Bush had a 15-point lead in this poll a year ago. But recent surveys in the state where his brother Jeb is governor have shown the race is close. Both campaigns have made numerous visits to the state, which has 25 electoral votes. Several national polls out Monday generally show a very close race, with the CNN-USA Today-Gallup showing an 8-point lead for Bush.

http://www.news.ch/State+polls+show+Gore+Bush+tied+in+Florida/16913/detail.htm

"Tennessee is one of a handful of states still up for grabs with just hours to go before polls open nationwide. A Mason-Dixon poll of likely voters on the vice president's home turf, released Sunday, showed Bush with 49 percent support to Gore's 45 percent."

"Iowans are usually expected to turn toward the Democrats in a general election year, but Bush is giving Gore a thorough run there. A new poll released Sunday by the Des Moines Register gave Gore a 44 percent to 42 percent lead over Bush. The poll had a 3.5 percent margin of error."

"In Michigan, where Republican Gov. John Engler has mounted an impressive state effort for Bush, the latest Detroit News poll finds Gore with a 46 percent lead over Bush's 41 percent. Green Party candidate Ralph Nader is running at 3 percent."

"In Missouri, an American Research group poll released over the weekend indicated Gore had a one point lead over Bush -- 46 percent to 45 percent -- and in Pennsylvania, home of another Republican governor who has campaigned exhaustively for Bush, a Mason-Dixon poll indicates Gore has a 48 percent to 45 percent lead over Bush."

"And in Florida, despite the efforts of Bush's younger brother Jeb, the state's GOP governor, the race was still too close to call on Monday."

http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/11/06/campaign.wrap/index.html

GORE, BUSH FIGHT HARD FOR VOTES WASHINGTON, NOV 5 (KUNA) -- VICE PRESIDENT AL GORE AND TEXAS GOVERNOR GEORGE W. BUSH WORKED HARD TO SHORE UP THEIR SUPPORT IN KEY STATES AS TIGHT NATIONAL OPINION POLLS CONTINUED TO MAKE TUESDAY'S PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT.

FIVE NEW MAJOR NATIONAL POLLS GAVE BUSH A SMALL LEAD OVER GORE ON SUNDAY.
AN ABC NEWS POLLS GAVE BUSH A 48-45 PERCENT LEAD OVER GORE. A CNN-USA TODAY-GALLUP POLL GAVE BUSH A 47-43 LEAD. AN MSNBC-REUTERS-ZOGBY POLL HAD BUSH AHEAD BY 46-44. A CBS NEWS POLL PUT BUSH AHEAD BY 46-44.

ON THE STATE LEVEL, BUSH WAS FAR AHEAD OF GORE BY 57-27 PERCENT IN TEXAS. IN OHIO, BUSH HAD A STRONG LEAD BY 51-41. IN WISCONSIN HE LED GORE BY 46-45 PERCENT. IN MISSOURI, BUSH LED BY 47-45 AND IN GORE'S HOME STATE OF TENNESSEE, BOTH CANDIDATES HAD 46 PERCENT.

GORE, HOWEVER, WAS AHEAD IN OTHER STATE POLLS. IN MINNESOTA HE LED BUSH BY 47-37 PERCENT. IN ILLINOIS AND MICHIGAN HE WAS AHEAD OF BUSH BY 49-40 PERCENT. IN WASHINGTON STATE HE LED BUSH BY 46-43 PERCENT. IN PENNSYLVANIA HE WAS AHEAD OF BUSH BY 45-43 PERCENT.

THE MOST SURPRISING RESULT WAS THAT GORE LED BUSH BY 46-45 PERCENT IN FLORIDA, WHERE THE TEXAS GOVERNOR'S BROTHER, JEB, IS GOVERNOR. ALTHOUGH GORE'S LEAD IN THIS STATE WAS STATISTICALLY INSIGNIFICANT, IT WAS SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO BUSH TO CAUSE HIM TO SPEND THE ENTIRE DAY IN FLORIDA ON SUNDAY, CAMPAIGNING HARD
.
GORE, BY CONTRAST, SPENT SUNDAY IN PENNSYLVANIA, MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN AND IOWA. HIS MAJOR RALLIES OF THE DAY IN PHILADELPHIA AND DETROIT WERE AIMED AT ENCOURAGING BLACKS AND UNION MEMBERS TO TURN OUT ON TUESDAY TO VOTE FOR HIM.

AS GORE VISITED BLACK CHURCHES ON SUNDAY, HE WAS PRAISED BY CONGREGATIONS FOR HIS PUBLIC APPEAL TO GOD LATE ON SATURDAY NIGHT FOR HIS INTERVENTION TO SAVE THE LIFE OF A MAN STRICKEN BY A HEART ATTACK AT A RALLY FOR 7,000 UNION MEMBERS IN PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA.

http://www.kuna.net.kw/NewsAgenciesPublicSite/ArticleDetails.aspx?Language=en&id=1122831

 A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows Vice President Al Gore leading Texas Gov. George W. Bush, a substantial reversal from three weeks ago, when Bush enjoyed a small lead in a state that hasn't voted for a GOP presidential candidate in 28 years.

In the poll, conducted Tuesday through Friday, Gore has the support of 47 percent of the state's likely voters and Bush the support of 37 percent. That represents a 6 percentage-point rise for Gore since the October Minnesota Poll and a 7 percentage-point drop for

http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1G1-66654770.html

Whoah, Id like to find that Harris poll of 134.000 likely voters from every state ... Smiley

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2000/nov/07/worlddispatch.uselections2000
21646  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 02, 2010, 01:54:42 am

BTW: WTF are Kopfnoten Huh

These are ratings for cooperation and social behavior

http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kopfnoten

Ah thx, then its the German version of the Austrian "Verhaltensnoten" ... Wink

Didnt even remember that we had this thing in school, because A) Im out of school for a good amount of time now, and B) we all got "excellent behaviour" all the time ...
21647  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 02, 2010, 01:38:04 am
My Result (total 96 Points):

LEFT   69
GREENS   68
SPD   66
PIRATES   55
NPD   52
CDU   37
FDP   33

BTW: WTF are Kopfnoten Huh
21648  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: May 02, 2010, 01:18:45 am
Indiana (SurveyUSA):

34% Approve
57% Disapprove

This SurveyUSA poll was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer. Respondent households were selected at random, using a registration  based sample (RBS) provided by Aristotle, of Washington DC. All respondents heard the  questions asked identically. The calls were conducted from April 22 through 26.

http://www.scribd.com/INSenPollRCP/d/30717107
21649  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: May 02, 2010, 12:57:34 am
What did NRW have before?

NRW currently has a CDU-FDP coalition with 101 out of 187 seats and before that NRW was a SPD stronghold.

This was the 2005 election map:

21650  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Green Card & Naturalization Statistics on: May 02, 2010, 12:44:46 am
I think its worth noting that immigration between 2000-2009 was actually slightly higher than it was in the decade from 1990-1999:

Green Card (LPR) Recipients 1960-1969: 3.214.000
Green Card (LPR) Recipients 1970-1979: 4.248.000
Green Card (LPR) Recipients 1980-1989: 6.244.000
Green Card (LPR) Recipients 1990-1999: 9.775.000
Green Card (LPR) Recipients 2000-2009: 10.299.000

Naturalizations 1960-1969: 1.129.000
Naturalizations 1970-1979: 1.412.000
Naturalizations 1980-1989: 2.055.000
Naturalizations 1990-1999: 4.979.000
Naturalizations 2000-2009: 6.822.000

http://www.dhs.gov/files/statistics/immigration.shtm

The US doesn`t track emigration, but if emigration remained on a level similar to 1990-1999, the population might have increased to about 315 Mio. in the 2010 Census and not to 309 like the Census Bureau estimated for April 1, 2010.

Plus: Because more people have been naturalized in this decade, the non-citizen population might remain lower at about 8%, instead of rising to about 9%. But I guess the Census count will still show a higher share of non-citizens than the American Community Survey, which had it at 7.1% in 2008, only up 1/2 of a percent from the 2000 Census.
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