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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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21626  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / SC: Rasmussen: Nikki Haley with solid lead over Sheheen on: September 24, 2010, 11:08:45 am
New Poll: South Carolina Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-10-16

Summary: D: 33%, R: 50%, I: 4%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21627  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / NC: Civitas Institute: Burr with a 20-point advantage on: September 24, 2010, 11:05:36 am
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Civitas Institute on 2010-09-17

Summary: D: 29%, R: 49%, I: 3%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21628  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: TX: Rasmussen: Perry's lead down to 6 on: September 24, 2010, 10:58:42 am
BTW:

Whatīs up with Harris County recently ? Are they on track to hold free elections for everybody now on Nov. 2 or will we see Florida 2000 like chaos incl. vote rigging for Perry by Republican county clerk Kaufman in this county, if thereīs a really close race ?

If you're referring to the Ballot machine fire or whatever that was, that Hurt the Republicans far more than the Democrats, as the area affected was the 80% Republican North Houston.

Iīve read that all voting machines of Harris County were destroyed.
21629  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Rasmussen: Scott leads Sink by 6, nobody is \ on: September 24, 2010, 10:57:25 am
This poll gives Obama a 51-48 Approval rating too, so it's not an oversample of Republican voters.

That is Crist`s rating, not Obama's.
21630  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NY: Marist College: Cuomo holds large lead, Lazio @ 10% on: September 24, 2010, 09:35:30 am
Marist polls are very accurate, they nailed the 2004 Presidential result in NY and predicted the correct NY Senate margin in 2006 and also got the 69% of Spitzer right. They did not so well in the 2008 Presidential poll in NY, but did very well in swing states, like CO, IA, VA, OH and also in NJ where they had the best result besides Rasmussen.
21631  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NY: Marist College: Cuomo holds large lead, Lazio @ 10% on: September 24, 2010, 09:21:51 am
This is the result with leaners.

Without leaners, it`s:

52% Cuomo
33% Paladino
  9% Lazio

Registered Voters:

55% Cuomo
29% Paladino
10% Lazio
21632  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / NY: Marist College: Cuomo holds large lead, Lazio @ 10% on: September 24, 2010, 09:19:58 am
New Poll: New York Governor by Marist College on 2010-10-16

Summary: D: 53%, R: 34%, I: 10%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21633  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Rasmussen: Scott leads Sink by 6, nobody is \ on: September 24, 2010, 08:57:19 am
Hmm, Mason-Dixon and PPP find Sink with much better favorables than Scott, yet Rasmussen thinks Scott has the great favorables while Sink hasnīt. I think this poll is a major blow.
21634  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Rasmussen: Scott leads Sink by 6, nobody is \ on: September 24, 2010, 08:48:02 am
LOL @ 0% undecided ...
21635  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / FL: Rasmussen: Scott leads Sink by 6, nobody is "undecided" on: September 24, 2010, 08:46:51 am
New Poll: Florida Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-10-16

Summary: D: 44%, R: 50%, I: 6%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21636  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: TX: Rasmussen: Perry's lead down to 6 on: September 24, 2010, 08:42:57 am
BTW:

Whatīs up with Harris County recently ? Are they on track to hold free elections for everybody now on Nov. 2 or will we see Florida 2000 like chaos incl. vote rigging for Perry by Republican county clerk Kaufman in this county, if thereīs a really close race ?
21637  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: TX: Rasmussen: Perry's lead down to 6 on: September 24, 2010, 08:29:57 am
Perry wins.

Very likely, but he overpolled by quite a lot (6-7%) in 2006.

If he does again, itīs a tied race.
21638  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / TX: Rasmussen: Perry's lead down to 6 on: September 24, 2010, 08:22:15 am
New Poll: Texas Governor by Rasmussen on 2010-10-16

Summary: D: 42%, R: 48%, I: 3%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21639  General Politics / Economics / Re: Where will the unemployment rate be in June 2012? on: September 24, 2010, 08:13:32 am
Around 6.5-7.5% I guess.
21640  Election Archive / 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MN: Rasmussen: Emmer (R) sneaks in front of Dayton (D) by 1 on: September 24, 2010, 07:56:49 am
Why has this race tightened suddenly ?
21641  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Advertising Notes - Where the Dems and Reps are Putting Their Money on: September 24, 2010, 06:00:08 am
Good to know that Manchin is pronounced like "Men-sch-yn" in the US.

I always thought itīs pronounced like "Man-kin" ... Tongue
21642  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Advertising Notes - Where the Dems and Reps are Putting Their Money on: September 24, 2010, 05:59:00 am
The National Republican Senatorial Committee will launch ads in the West Virginia Senate race today, a seven-figure expenditure that strongly suggests the party thinks they can pull off an upset in the Mountain State.

The commercial goes directly at Gov. Joe Manchin (D) -- arguing that the governor "supports Barack Obama's big government agenda" on big ticket items like the economic stimulus package and the health care law.

"Big spending, more government and less freedom...we don't want a rubber stamp for Obama," says the ad's narrator. "We can't afford Joe Manchin in Washington."

The ad will cost the NRSC roughly $1.2 million and will run statewide -- including in the pricey Washington, D.C. media market -- for two weeks, according to sources familiar with the buy.

Republicans have been hinting for the last several weeks that the race between Manchin, a popular second term governor, and wealthy businessman John Raese was surprisingly competitive.

A PPP poll, which conducts its survey using automated rather than live callers, released earlier this week  put Raese at 46 percent to 43 percent for Manchin. And, Democrats acknowledge privately that the deep unpopularity of President Obama as well as his major policy initiatives like health care were making it a tougher than expected race for Manchin.

That the NRSC is willing to put its money where its mouth is puts Senate Democrats in an interesting spot. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has a number of endangered incumbents they need to protect in places like Colorado, Wisconsin, California and Nevada -- but also can't afford to ignore a seat like West Virginia where they have a top-tier candidate in a winnable race.

Does the DSCC respond with ads hitting Raese? Or let Manchin handle it on his own?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nbElTuHnM2M

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/morning-fix/senate-republican-launch-ad-in.html
21643  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / MO: Carnahan trails in DSCC internal on: September 24, 2010, 05:57:33 am
Garin Hart Yang poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee:

Without leaners:

41% Blunt
40% Carnahan

With leaners:

45% Blunt
41% Carnahan

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/morning-fix/senate-republican-launch-ad-in.html
21644  General Politics / International General Discussion / Hans-Rudolf Merz and the meat import bill on: September 24, 2010, 05:50:18 am
Hans-Rudolf Merz (FDP-Switzerland):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E5agWxzWTsc

LOL.
21645  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NY: Quinnipiac University: The hottest member of the Senate leads by 6 on: September 24, 2010, 05:35:02 am
Clinton wasn't an incumbent though... and she also was running in a much friendlier environment (having Gore absolutely stomping the hell out of Bush on the top of ticket must have been nice).

Yeah of course, I just wanted to know what the polls in the 2000 Senate race looked like and if they were accurate, but I couldnīt find any polls on the Wiki article or elsewhere, so I checked the Quinnipiac archive.
21646  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: When was the last time we had this many governorships flip in one night? on: September 24, 2010, 04:59:37 am
In 2002, there were also 20 changes ...

And in 1990, there were 14 changes ...
21647  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NY: Quinnipiac University: The hottest member of the Senate leads by 6 on: September 24, 2010, 04:42:35 am
A look 10 years back in time:

Quote
September 12, 2000 - Clinton Edges Lazio With New York Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 79 Percent Plan To Watch Senate Candidates Debate

First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a 49 - 44 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio among New York State likely voters in the neck-and-neck race for the U.S. Senate, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among likely voters, Lazio leads 50 - 42 percent upstate and 49 - 45 percent in the suburbs, while Clinton leads 62 - 32 percent in New York City.

From September 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,080 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey included 803 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=615
21648  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / NV: Mason-Dixon: Reid & Angle remain in a tough fight on: September 24, 2010, 04:26:33 am
New Poll: Nevada Senator by Mason-Dixon on 2010-09-22

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, I: 1%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21649  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: Field Research Corporation: Boxer consolidates her lead on: September 24, 2010, 02:40:41 am
Iīm slightly getting more optimistic about the Democrats chances of holding the Senate.

With Boxer and Murray now in better shape against their opponents, Democrats might now focus more on dragging down Angle, Buck, Kirk and Toomey.

And if that is done, they even might be able to pull Feingold out of the mess.

Manchin and Gillibrand havenīt been much on the air lately and they still enjoy a huge financial advantage over their opponents. I think both of them will win in the end.

...

In the Governor races, Democrats might also hold the Republican to just a 5-point net gain if they somehow manage to win their races and in Georgia.

If they win the big prizes of CA and FL, the elections are not looking so bad after all.

...

And looking at the House, the individual races have also become better lately.

Weīll see ...
21650  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / CA: Field Research Corporation: Boxer consolidates her lead on: September 24, 2010, 02:30:35 am
New Poll: California Senator by Field Research Corporation on 2010-09-21

Summary: D: 47%, R: 41%, I: 0%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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