Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 25, 2016, 11:46:04 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 ... 861 862 863 864 865 [866] 867 868 869 870 871 ... 1572
21626  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread on: November 02, 2011, 12:20:58 pm
Numbers seem to move up to the 50% barrier, slowly:

Gallup today: 45-48 (+2, -2)

Quinnipiac: 47-49 (+6, -6)

"Disapprove" has now dropped below 50% again on the RCP average:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
21627  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / NC: Public Policy Polling: Only Romney (slightly) ahead of Obama on: November 02, 2011, 12:15:58 pm
New Poll: North Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2011-10-31

Summary: D: 47%, R: 44%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21628  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Jon Corzine in deep sh*t on: November 02, 2011, 11:11:28 am
When Jon S. Corzine joined MF Global last year it seemed like a strange choice — the firm had none of the glamour, let alone the profits or footprint of Goldman Sachs, the bank he ran during the 1990s.

On Wall Street, it was as if a manager of the New York Yankees was making a comeback in the minor leagues.

Mr. Corzine, 64, who not only presided over Goldman but later served in the United States Senate and then as governor of New Jersey, seemed surprised himself.

“Don’t ask me any hard questions,” he joked to a visitor who met with him just days after Mr. Corzine took over in March 2010. “I hadn’t heard of this company a week ago.”

Now, nearly everyone has.

MF Global, a commodities and derivatives brokerage house, collapsed on Monday in the biggest bankruptcy on Wall Street since the failure of Lehman Brothers. The firm imploded after a big investment in European bonds — a bet he directed and defended as not particularly risky as recently as last week — led investors, clients and ratings agencies to lose confidence in the firm.

The fall of MF Global, and the discovery that hundreds of millions of dollars were missing from the firm’s customer accounts, have now cast a dark cloud over Mr. Corzine’s legacy and reputation. Federal authorities have stepped up an inquiry into why the firm failed to keep its customers’ money separate from the company’s — a regulatory violation.

MF Global was supposed to be Mr. Corzine’s comeback vehicle after New Jersey voters turned him out in 2009. Instead, the collapse of the firm appears to be a humiliating coda to the career of a one-time titan of Wall Street.

His insistence on taking more risks, including buying the debt of European countries like Italy and Spain, along with a contract that would have provided him with an additional $12.1 million if he left the firm, paint a picture of excess.

And Mr. Corzine, with a fortune estimated at half a billion dollars at its peak, did not confine his future ambitions to Wall Street. Even as he was seeking to revive his financial career, Mr. Corzine, a Democrat, had long styled himself as a financial executive moving seamlessly between Washington and Wall Street, in the mold of former Treasury secretaries like Robert E. Rubin or C. Douglas Dillon.

With MF Global’s bankruptcy, that goal seems forever out of reach. It has also taken a big toll on a man known for the kind of optimism that comes naturally to experienced traders and political leaders.

Six weeks ago, Mr. Corzine journeyed a few blocks from the firm’s Midtown Manhattan office to the Hilton Hotel for a routine presentation to money managers. Mr. Corzine’s manner was anything but routine, however.

“He looked like he had just seen a ghost,” said one participant. “He looked visibly disturbed.”

Mr. Corzine could not be reached for comment.

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/11/01/in-corzine-comeback-big-risks-and-a-steep-fall
21629  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Herman Cain is Sarah Palin 2.0 on: November 02, 2011, 10:46:24 am
I think the main difference between them is that Palin is a quitter, while Cain isn't.

Otherwise you are right, they are very similar.
21630  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / MI-MIRS: Romney far ahead of Cain on: November 02, 2011, 10:31:35 am
Never heard of this pollster, but here are the numbers:

37% Romney
25% Cain
13% Gingrich
10% Paul
  5% Perry
10% Others/Undecided

The survey of 224 Republican voters was taken Oct. 24 to 26.

http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2011/11/mirs_poll_herman_cain_within_s.html
21631  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Cain ahead by double-digits on: November 02, 2011, 10:14:03 am
Updated map:



13 states - Cain
13 states - Romney
  4 states - Perry
  3 states - Bachmann
   Virginia - Tie

Now can somebody please poll MN, WA and MS ?
21632  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Cain ahead by double-digits on: November 02, 2011, 09:59:15 am
It’s important to note that just 28% of South Carolina’s Primary voters are firmly committed to their current candidate.  That leaves 72% who could still change their mind or have no preference at this time. South Carolina’s primary will be held ten days after the New Hampshire Primary and the results from both Iowa and New Hampshire could alter the course of the campaign before South Carolina votes.  Of those who are currently certain of their vote, Cain leads Romney by 12.

If it was just a two man race, Cain leads Romney 50% to 37% and he leads Perry 56% to 27%. Romney leads Perry 49% to 30% in that two-way match-up.

Forty-four percent (44%) believe that Romney is most likely to win the nomination. Twenty-five percent (25%) expect to see Cain as the nominee while 10% think Perry will come back to win the race.

Seventy-five percent (75%) were able to correctly identify Cain as the candidate who was accused of sexual harassment in the 1990s. Only 9% mistakenly thought it was some other candidate while 16% are not sure.

Just 9% think it’s Very Likely that the charges against Cain are serious and true. Another 19% think it’s Somewhat Likely. Fifty-eight percent (58%) consider it unlikely, but that includes only 19% who say that it is Not at All Likely. This suggests that Republican voters are generally willing to give the candidate the benefit of the doubt while recognizing that more information might change their perception.

Fifty-percent (50%) believe it’s at least somewhat likely that the allegations were leaked by one of the other Republican campaigns. Among those who support Cain, that figure rises to 61%.

Turnout is always a key factor in primary campaigns. Among those absolutely certain to show up and vote, 35% prefer Cain, 21% Romney, and 17% Gingrich.

Eighty-two percent (82%) say they will support the Republican candidate in the general election even if their favorite candidate doesn’t win.

If Mitt Romney is the nominee, 13% would be Very Likely to consider voting for a third party candidate. Another 17% would be Somewhat Likely to do so.

Among those who are Very Conservative, Cain attracts 40% of the vote with Newt Gingrich a distant second at 22%.

Among those who are Somewhat Conservative, it’s Cain at 31% and Romney at 27%.

As for those who are moderate or liberal, Romney holds a four-point advantage over Cain.
21633  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Cain ahead by double-digits on: November 02, 2011, 09:57:51 am
New Poll: South Carolina President by Rasmussen on 2011-11-01

Summary:
Cain:
33%
Romney:
23%
Gingrich:
15%
Perry:
9%
Other:
10%
Undecided:
10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21634  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official 2012 Campaign Ad Thread on: November 02, 2011, 07:24:50 am
Priorities USA Action, a supporting PAC for the Obama-campaign by former White House staffer Bill Burton is out with a tough new ad against Mitt Romney:

http://www.youtube.com/user/prioritiesUSAaction#p/a/u/0/Oz1aLR05eb8
21635  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Quinnipiac: Obama's approval up, leads all Republicans by at least 5 points on: November 02, 2011, 06:39:30 am
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

47% Approve
49% Disapprove

If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Perry the Republican, for whom would you vote?

52% Obama
36% Perry

If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?

47% Obama
42% Romney

If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote?

50% Obama
40% Cain

If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote?

52% Obama
37% Gingrich

If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?

42% Democratic
34% Republican

Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

49% Favorable
46% Unfavorable

Is your opinion of Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

33% Favorable
31% Unfavorable

Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

18% Favorable
45% Unfavorable

Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

35% Favorable
35% Unfavorable

Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

26% Favorable
47% Unfavorable

From October 25 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,294 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 869 voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1669
21636  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Quinnipiac national poll: Cain 30% Romney 23% Gingrich 10% Perry 8% Paul 7% on: November 02, 2011, 06:31:31 am
Looks like Cain is not only a "flavor of the month".

But let's wait another week or two until the "sex-gate dust" has settled and we'll know more.
21637  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Michael A. Naso Institute of Comedy on: November 02, 2011, 02:44:25 am
Click for context:

Occupy Horses.
21638  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: PPP vote on: November 02, 2011, 02:20:16 am
You can vote now !

Please all vote for Mississippi, so we can get Gov. numbers, President numbers, GOP primary numbers, US Senate and Personhood amendment numbers.

Otherwise the useless OH referendum will win (was already polled a week ago), or KY (where Beshear wins easily).
21639  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / FL: Suffolk University: Hillary or Rubio as VP candidates would help win Florida on: November 02, 2011, 02:10:14 am
New Poll: Florida President by Suffolk University on 2011-10-30

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

...

42-42 Obama/Romney
42-39 Obama/Cain
45-38 Obama/Gingrich
44-32 Obama/Paul
46-34 Obama/Perry


46% Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio
41% Dem Ticket Obama-Biden

50% Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton
41% Rep Ticket

46% Dem Ticket Obama-Clinton
43% Rep Ticket Nominee-Rubio
21640  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / FL PrimR: Suffolk University: Romney tied with Cain on: November 02, 2011, 02:04:34 am
New Poll: Florida President by Suffolk University on 2011-10-30

Summary:
Romney:
25%
Cain:
24%
Gingrich:
11%
Perry:
9%
Other:
11%
Undecided:
20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

21641  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PPP: Cain leads in Maine and North Carolina on: November 01, 2011, 02:15:58 pm
Updated map:

21642  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / PPP: Cain leads in Maine and North Carolina on: November 01, 2011, 02:00:00 pm
Maine Survey Results:

Herman Cain................................................... 29%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 24%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 18%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 5%
Ron Paul......................................................... 5%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 4%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 2%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 1%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 11%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

Strongly committed to that candidate.............. 33%
Might end up supporting someone else .......... 67%

Who would be your second choice for President?

Newt Gingrich ................................................. 19%
Herman Cain................................................... 13%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 11%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 10%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 6%
Ron Paul......................................................... 4%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 2%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 1%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 33%

...

North Carolina Survey Results:

Herman Cain................................................... 30%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 22%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 19%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 10%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 4%
Ron Paul......................................................... 4%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 2%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 0%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 8%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

Strongly committed to that candidate.............. 34%
Might end up supporting someone else .......... 66%

Who would be your second choice for President?

Newt Gingrich ................................................. 19%
Herman Cain................................................... 18%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 12%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 10%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 7%
Ron Paul......................................................... 4%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 2%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Gary Johnson ................................................. 0%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 26%

...

PPP surveyed 474 likely Republican primary voters in North Carolina from October 27th to 31st, and 250 usual GOP primary voters in Maine from October 28th to 31st. The margin of error for the North Carolina survey is +/-4.5%, and +/-6.2% for the Maine survey. These polls were not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MENC_1101.pdf
21643  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Naked woman climbs into dead horse on: November 01, 2011, 01:25:05 pm
Holy crap ... Shocked
21644  General Politics / Economics / Re: Jobs Report for October 2011 on: November 01, 2011, 01:22:42 pm
My prediction:

+243.000 jobs

Rate down to 8.9%

If job creation has been stagnant at around 100000 the last few months, why would that large of a jump happen?

It's just a wild guess.

Why shouldn't there be a month once in a while that's a bit of an outlier in the very positive direction ?
21645  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: US boycotts UNESCO after UNESCO's recognition of Palestine on: November 01, 2011, 01:21:39 pm
This is funny:

Germany: No
Austria: Yes
Switzerland: Abstain

Well, Switzerland makes sense. After all, they're neutral. Tongue

And we are not ? Tongue
21646  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official 2012 Campaign Ad Thread on: November 01, 2011, 11:22:46 am
New GOP ad out:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MJj4lDmxUw
21647  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / PPP vote on: November 01, 2011, 11:06:23 am
For this coming weekend's polls we're going to do 2 races that are on the ballot next Tuesday anywhere across the country.  What things would you like to see a poll on? We'll pick some finalists from your suggestions and put it to a vote starting tonight.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/11/2011-race-suggestions.html
21648  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: German population to shrink by a fifth by 2060 on: November 01, 2011, 10:49:24 am
Here's a nice link where you can look up the density and change in each German Kreis, using a Google map:

http://www.citypopulation.de/php/germany-admin.php

You just have to click on "Level 2" on top of the map.

And then compare it with the latest map of unemployment rates:

http://www.pub.arbeitsagentur.de/hst/services/statistik/000000/html/start/karten/aloq_kreis.html

Or Hartz-4 receivers:

http://www.pub.arbeitsagentur.de/hst/services/statistik/000000/html/start/karten/ehbq_kreis.html
21649  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: German population to shrink by a fifth by 2060 on: November 01, 2011, 10:28:39 am
Shouldn't we be applauding Germany? Remember that we just passed the 7 billion mark, we have plenty of people, I don't think we should be worrying about countries with decreasing populations until we get a handle on the Ugandas and Yemens of the world first.

Pretty much the entire social system would collapse with a population reduction of that size....but no problem, I guess?

Well, there's still immigration. It currently makes up for almost all the natural population loss.

The 2011 figures so far (until May):

Births: 246.422
Deaths: 355.237
Natural Population Decrease: -108.815

Immigrants: 349.631
Emigrants: 248.309
Immigration Saldo: +101.322

Total population loss: -7.493

http://www.destatis.de/jetspeed/portal/cms/Sites/destatis/Internet/DE/Content/Publikationen/Querschnittsveroeffentlichungen/StatistischeWochenBerichte/WochenBerichte__Bevoelkerung,property=file.pdf

...

The comparable figures from Jan. to May 2010 were:

Births: 250.265
Deaths: 353.440
Natural Population Decrease: -103.175

Immigrants: 291.492
Emigrants: 248.557
Immigration Saldo: +42.935

Total population loss: -60.240

http://www.statistikportal.de/Statistik-Portal/de_zs01_bund.asp
21650  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Iowa: Cain voters don't give a sh*t about his "sex scandal" on: November 01, 2011, 08:37:31 am
Iowans appear ready to give Cain benefit of the doubt on sexual harassment allegations

Iowa conservatives appear unready to jump off the Herman Cain train — unless damning evidence emerges that proves the presidential candidate was less than truthful Monday when he denied allegations of sexual harassment.

The Des Moines Register spoke by phone with more than 20 likely Republican caucusgoers who participated in the Oct. 23-26 Iowa Poll, and none said the allegations had moved them to reject Cain as a potential pick.

Politico reported Sunday night that two women who worked for Cain at the National Restaurant Association complained of sexually suggestive behavior by Cain, accepted money to leave their jobs, and signed confidentiality agreements. Cain was CEO from 1996 to 1999.

Cain on Monday said he has never sexually harassed anyone. He called the allegations part of a “witch hunt.” But throughout Monday, he offered conflicting responses as to whether he remembered the specifics of the allegations or the existence of settlements with the women.

Poll respondent Rick Hall, a Des Moines accountant, said, “Unless it rolls into something undeniably very bad at his core, it will have no effect on my feeling about Mr. Cain as far as a viable candidate. It happened far enough ago, I’m not surprised that this thing wouldn’t follow many highly placed corporate officers.”

Iowa conservative leaders, too, were willing Monday to give Cain the benefit of the doubt.

“He has to lay all his cards on the table now and tell all truthfully,” said Steve Scheffler, a West Des Moines Republican and president of the Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition. “If there is nothing there, he will be fine with conservatives. If there is more, then there could be some real challenges for him.”

Scheffler said Cain needs to be in Iowa “on a very regular basis” between now and the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3, and should be “very candid about what did or did not happen.”

Cain, a retired Godfather’s Pizza executive and an ordained Baptist minister, has been at or near the top of recent national polls and led the field in the Iowa Poll released last weekend. The allegations could hinder Cain’s efforts to reassure the Republican establishment that someone with no experience in elective office and little vetting in the national limelight is ready to be the party’s nominee.

http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/2011/10/31/iowans-appear-ready-to-give-cain-benefit-of-the-doubt-on-sexual-harassment-allegations
Pages: 1 ... 861 862 863 864 865 [866] 867 868 869 870 871 ... 1572


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines