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21626  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Do internet ads think you're a Democrat or Republican? on: May 05, 2012, 10:19:47 am
I don't know where I can see this ...

The Google ads on this site.

Never seen them. Are they on the frontpage ?
21627  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 05, 2012, 10:18:24 am
Without reading through their Wikipedia article, I would be interested what the XA's position on the German-led austerity measures for Greece is. Do they favor the annexation of Greece to Germany ?
21628  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Do internet ads think you're a Democrat or Republican? on: May 05, 2012, 10:13:04 am
I don't know where I can see this ...

The only ads I get are porn or games ads and emails from some dude in Nigeria about investing money there and emails about dick enlargements.
21629  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 05, 2012, 10:06:09 am
Given the high likelihood of an incredibly fractured Parliament, here's the procedure for forming a government in Greece in the absence of a Parliamentary majority:

What if XA, for some improbable reason, became the largest party?

That's about as probable as a member of the communist party being elected President of the US.

Anyway, they've been under constant attack from the entire political spectrum during the last month and I expect them to underperform the last polls.

I don't think they will underperform, but I think they won't get more than 10%.

Despite being attacked from all the parties it didn't stop the other Right-wingers in Europe from overpolling by a few points, because their supporters are still very motivated to go out and vote. So, probably no underperforming (less than 5%).
21630  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 05, 2012, 09:58:36 am
They only polled at 5%, so in order to become largest party they would need another 15% or so, maybe even 20% because the ND might get easily as much as 25%.

And even if they get 1st (bad for Greece's image, I know), but then there are the more normal partys that can form a government and XA will probably fade into nothingness in the next years.
21631  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Presidential Election Predictions for your home state on: May 05, 2012, 09:49:02 am
Colorado:

53-45
21632  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: May 05, 2012, 09:45:37 am
What about this scenario ?



"THE FINAL CHART"

Wink
21633  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greece 2012 on: May 05, 2012, 09:23:20 am
It's very common that people vote for extreme right or extreme left partys during bad times.
21634  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: The Big May 6 Prediction Thread on: May 05, 2012, 08:23:09 am
voting takes place "from sunrise to sunset" but times are usually rounded to the nearest "top of the hour" (e.g., 7 am to 8 pm)

That's one of the most ridiculous election laws I've ever heard of.
21635  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 Presidential and State Elections in Austria and onwards ... on: May 05, 2012, 08:06:28 am
New "Profil" poll by Karmasin Motivforschung:

29% SP
26% FP
24% VP
12% Greens
  2% BZ
  7% Others (Pirates, CP, KP, LIF (?), planned Stronach-party etc.)

You can clearly see that the FP, Greens and BZ all lose votes to the Pirates, while the SP and VP remain mostly where they were.

Direct vote for Chancellor:

21% Faymann (SP)
16% Spindelegger (VP)
14% Strache (FP)
  6% Glawischnig (Greens)

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0003/profil-umfrage-volkspartei-legt-zu-freiheitliche-verlieren

Austrians also want the border checks back, according to the same poll:

70% favor the re-introduction of border and passport checks, like Sarkozy wants it
25% are opposed

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0008/profil-umfrage-grosse-mehrheit-fuer-wiedereinfuehrung-der-passkontrollen

Austrians are also against the SP-proposal to limit the average working time of Austrians to 38,5 hours a week. Currently, the average Austrian works about 43 hours each week.

50% are opposed
41% support the proposal

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20120505_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-haelfte-der-oesterreicher-glaubt-nicht-an-erfolg-des-transparenzpakets
21636  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which city would you rather live in? on: May 05, 2012, 07:49:59 am
It's Amsterdam
Yes. That would be obvious - at least, obvious as an option -  to anyone who knows anything about Amsterdam (besides "they have weed and hookers", I mean).

Weed no longer for foreigners though ...
21637  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Pay stations vs. parking meters on: May 05, 2012, 12:26:18 am
In Austria we only have the pay stations.

Or you park your car in a zone where it says you can use this thing (usually for 90 or 180 minutes):



How do these American "parking meters" work anyway ?
21638  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: London Mayoral Election 2012 on: May 04, 2012, 01:32:41 pm
Wow, those London counters are abnormally slow ...
21639  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Biggest fundraising event in US history set for May 10 [by Obama] on: May 04, 2012, 12:59:23 pm
Campaign sources say the May 10 event will be the biggest in presidential election history. Obama returns to Southern California in June for another high-dollar fete, featuring a performance by Pink.

President Barack Obama's dinner with George Clooney has officially sold out, and campaign sources are telling The Hollywood Reporter that the event is expected to raise up to $12 million for the president's re-election bid, making it the biggest presidential fundraiser in U.S. history.

One hundred fifty high rollers -- including Hollywood studio heads, celebrities and an array of entertainment industry execs -- have paid $40,000 apiece to dine with the president at Clooney's Studio City home May 10. DreamWorks Animation chief Jeffrey Katzenberg, the president's major entertainment industry fundraiser, has been spearheading the event along with Hollywood political consultant Andy Spahn.

The packed dinner at Clooney's house will bring in $5 million to $6 million for the president's campaign coffers, sources told THR. The demand for tickets at the event was so great that organizers tried to limit the guest list to those living in Southern California.

The Obama campaign also has been conducting an online sweepstakes, with the winner to receive two seats at the head table with the chief executive and Clooney. Campaign sources tell THR that that tally of online donations could hit $6 million, bringing the total raised to about $12 million. The winner of the contest is expected to be announced in the coming days.

After the Clooney event, Obama is expected to be back in Los Angeles on June 6 for a LBGT gala. Pink is scheduled to perform at that event, organizers say, with donations ranging from $1,250 to $25,000.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/obama-george-clooney-fundraiser-12-million-320069
21640  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: May 04, 2012, 11:35:24 am


New IFOP poll:

52% Hollande
48% Sarkozy
21641  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / MT-Rasmussen: Romney+7 on: May 04, 2012, 11:24:17 am
Montana: Romney 51%, Obama 44%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/montana/election_2012_montana_president
21642  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: White House Correspondents Dinner on: May 04, 2012, 10:35:57 am
Obama should have made a joke like "I will support gay marriage in my second term, but first you have to vote for me again" during this dinner as a tool to signal that his views have stopped "evolving". I think this would have been a good signal to actually don't say he supports gay marriage while actually supporting it later and to not piss off the moderate voters before the election.
21643  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / IN-Howey: Romney at 60 in Indiana on: May 04, 2012, 10:09:06 am
60% Romney
10% Paul
10% Santorum
  5% Gingrich
15% Undecided

http://howeypolitics.com/SiteImages/FileGallery/Howey_563.Depauw%20May%202012%20GOP%20statewide%20results.pdf
21644  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Indiana 2012 Congressional Races on: May 04, 2012, 10:03:18 am
Lugar apparently in deep sh*t:

Quote
INDIANAPOLIS - U.S. Sen. Richard G. Lugar's iconic career of elected public service appears to be in great jeopardy. A Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground Poll conducted Monday and Tuesday shows that Lugar is trailing Indiana Treasurer Richard Mourdock 48-38% in Indiana's Republican Senate primary. That head-to-head figure includes so-called "leaners," who could conceivably change their minds in the final 72 hours of the campaign. Without the leans, Mourdock still leads 43-35%.

Based on this survey data, Howey Politics Indiana is moving the Senate race into a "Likely Mourdock" category. It had been "Leans Lugar" until the March 26-28 Howey/DePauw survey had Lugar leading Mourdock 42-35%, at which time HPI moved the Senate race into "Tossup."

The survey, conducted by Republican pollster Christine Matthews of Bellwether Research and Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group, is based on 700 likely voters with a +/- margin of error at 3.7%. The sample was made up of 76% Republicans, 14% independent, 8% independent/lean Republican, 1% lean Democrat and 1% independent/lean Democrat. Survey top lines will be posted under the "Howey/DePauw Poll" tab at www.howeypolitics.com.

http://howeypolitics.com
21645  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: May 04, 2012, 08:18:56 am
Germans strongly favor Sarkozy over Hollande (quite surprising):

Quote
(Reuters) - A majority of Germans across the political spectrum support Chancellor Angela Merkel's insistence that the euro zone stick with tough austerity measures to reduce its heavy debt load, according to a poll published on Friday.

The results of the Infratest Dimap survey, published in Die Welt newspaper, will provide political cover for Merkel as she faces increased calls in the euro zone for a softening of fiscal discipline and a greater emphasis on boosting economic growth.

The poll showed 55 percent of Germans favor keeping the focus on budget discipline - including a majority of those supporting the main opposition parties - and only 33 percent back growth initiatives funded by new credits.

Germany's own economy, the largest in Europe, is performing strongly despite the euro zone debt crisis and unemployment is at two-decade lows. But German taxpayers are unhappy about having to bail out heavily indebted countries such as Greece which many here regard as spendthrift and feckless.

Socialist candidate Francois Hollande, tipped to win France's presidential runoff on Sunday, has said he will make reviving economic growth his top priority if elected and has criticized Merkel's heavy focus on budget cuts and tax hikes.

The survey showed 50 percent of Germans polled backed French President Nicolas Sarkozy, a centre-right ally of Merkel, for a second five-year term, while only 24 percent preferred Hollande.

At home, Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU) remain the most popular party with 34 percent, comfortably ahead of the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD) at 28 percent, the poll showed.

But the CDU's current coalition ally, the liberal Free Democrats, would win only 4 percent of the vote, below the 5 percent threshold for entering parliament. This would force Merkel to look for another coalition partner.

Political analysts see a 'grand coalition' of the CDU and the SPD as the most likely alternative if the FDP is ousted from the Bundestag lower house after the 2013 national election.

The Infratest Dimap poll was conducted among 1,004 people on April 30 and May 1.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/04/us-germany-austerity-poll-idUSBRE8430KZ20120504
21646  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which city would you rather live in? on: May 04, 2012, 07:58:29 am
Who the hell wants to live in Phoenix ? Or in a desert in general ? You have to be mad.

Therefore A) for Amsterdam.
21647  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Democracy Corps (D): Obama/Romney tied on: May 04, 2012, 05:45:57 am
April 28 - May 1, 2012
1000 Likely Voters

Obama Approval: 45-50

Total Democrat Barack Obama ....................................... 47
Total Republican Mitt Romney ........................................ 47

Total Democrat Barack Obama ....................................... 45
Total Republican Mitt Romney ........................................ 43
Total Independent Buddy Roemer ................................... 7

http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/2012-May-1-DCorps-FQ_updated_WEB.pdf
21648  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: London Mayoral Election 2012 on: May 04, 2012, 05:29:41 am
Carlos Cortiglia - British National Party

Eh, what ?
21649  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: London Mayoral Election 2012 on: May 04, 2012, 05:17:24 am
London results page seems to have crashed and burned.
21650  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: May 04, 2012, 05:08:26 am
There are 4 surveys out now (all conducted yesterday) and Sarkozy has an average of 47.1%

I would probably start to worry a bit if he breaks 48%, but I think Hollande has this now.
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