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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Hey Everyody! on: July 12, 2017, 10:06:37 pm
OK... this time the absence wasn't intentional.  I just got insanely busy... worked 103 days straight at one point [insert walter mitty complaint about downtrodden workers here] and a bunch of other random crap no one cares about.

So, anyway, the goal is to stick around at this point, but I'll probably get distracted and accidentally leave for another few months, so until then, what's new?  Anything interesting going on?  Any fun forum developments?
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you drink alcoholic beverages? on: July 12, 2017, 09:57:41 pm
Of course.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Kid Rock Running for Michigan Senate Seat on: July 12, 2017, 09:55:06 pm
What a freaking joke....

The best candidate for the GOP is by far Bob Young, former Chief Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court.

This populist anti-government movement is going to destroy the Republican Party if we keep this up.  Unfortunately, now all that's necessary is apparently to be pro-gun and anti-government and the base of the GOP lines up behind you.  It's an absolute disgrace and a freaking joke.  I'd like to say it'll bite the party in the butt but this crap is just so crazy they just might win.
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 23, 2017, 07:38:31 pm
So, if AHCA fails tomorrow, he's done trying to repeal ObamaCare?

He never actually wanted to repeal it.  He said what he needed to to get elected, and now he's got a way to avoid repeal without completely flip flopping. Most Republicans are just too gullible / loyal to the party to believe it.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / CPAC on: February 22, 2017, 08:04:57 pm
Is anyone else here or going?
6  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Farewell on: February 12, 2017, 09:59:14 pm
I'm not sure what all the fuss is over, but I'll miss seeing you here. Hope to see you back some day.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Supreme Court Nom: Gorsuch ... Conservative scale.. on: February 01, 2017, 12:34:15 am
He's right about liberals becoming addicted to the courtroom and circumventing the democratic process.  When the Constitution is wrong on an issue, the remedy should be to amend the Constitution, not twist the Constitution into what you think it should say.  Sure, there's not really any direct harm when you do it in a way that increases individuals' rights; however, once it's acceptable to do, courts do it in ways that aren't so great, and that's how you end up with results like Korematsu v United States and Hamdi v Rumsfeldóboth of which were wrongly decided because the judiciary had allowed the Constitution to become too fluid.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bill Introduced to End US Membership to UN (!?) on: January 24, 2017, 10:38:28 pm
For the love of all that is holy, must the left piss themselves over everything in the age of Trump?

So far those who have expected the worst have always been proven correct, so...

But the Democrats have been great at throwing away their political capital on nonsense for years. If they keep it up, they'll be unable to stop Trump on issues that really matter.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What if the Democrats moderated on abortion? on: January 18, 2017, 11:45:40 am
If the Democrats moderated on abortion, I'd seriously consider changing parties.

Then just do it now and help them take the first step.

I would think that you of all people would want Inks to remain a Republican. Tongue

Unless I'm misunderstanding him, he more or less insinuated the major roadblock to him becoming a Democrat is the abortion issue, which leads me to believe his non-abortion views are left-of-center?  As someone who wants the GOP to be a big tent party on the issue of abortion (I'd prefer we remain clearly pro-life but tolerate candidates who feel differently and DEFINITELY support moderate measures like exceptions for life of the mother, rape, incest, etc.), I am not a fan of such a presence in our party, as it pretty much drags us left on (what I believe to be) the wrong issues.

Unless he's views chzanged fairly recently, which I suppose is possible, Inks is actually pretty conservative. I think he feels alienated from the Republican Party because of Trump and the various shenanigans Congress has pulled during the Obama years, such as last year's Supreme Court vacancy debacle, so the Democrats shifting to left on any major issues would make a party switch tempting. I mean, it's possible I'm wrong and he's shifted to the left, but in that case he need to update his PM score. Tongue

I'm still fiscally conservative, and my social views are mixed. Energy and environmental issues have become increasingly important to me, and while I think environmentalists often take their ideals to the extreme to the point that they kill any chance of achieving what they want, most of the GOP's stances on environmental issues are horrible.

The GOP's stance on minimum wage is not economically sound. If you're not going to adjust for inflation, you might as well abolish it completely. Arbitrarily set minimum wages with huge jumps every several years to compensate for years of unaccounted for inflation shocks the economy and damages it far more than adjusting it appropriately would.

While I'm not a fan of everything in the ACA, I foresee the GOP really bungling this issue, especially because they want to retain preexisting conditions protections while removing the individual mandate, which will almost certainly lead to an unsustainable insurance situation.

I think the nonconfirmation of Garland was one of the single most harmful things to the Court in the history of the nation.

I can't stand the anti-immigrant stance of many in the GOP and think that building a wall is going to be a waste of money, although I'm not opposed to it on principle.

If the GOP were truly fiscally conservative with policies based in rational economics, that'd keep me a lot more committed to the party. But now their policies are just largely crap.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What if the Democrats moderated on abortion? on: January 11, 2017, 10:50:33 pm
If the Democrats moderated on abortion, I'd seriously consider changing parties.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: During which month is your birthday? on: November 21, 2016, 05:50:58 pm
August (19)
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Breaking..........Trump to meet with Romney this weekend.......... on: November 17, 2016, 09:35:15 pm
It'd bring some sanity to the administration, but I don't see how the two of them could have a working relationship. He'd be forced out within 2 years--probably a year.
13  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: What is the difference between an Acting President and an Actual President? on: November 17, 2016, 09:32:13 pm
I would think acting denotes a temporary nature, while your "actual" refers to a situation where the president whom the VP is replacing will not be returning.
14  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Sending pms on: November 17, 2016, 08:48:33 pm
Firstly, please don't send pms to people.  It might be crampy and miserable...but nobody else wants it.

Secondly, there is a post minimum to send PMs but I'm not sure what it is.  Maybe 25 or something.  So get posting!  You'll be there soon.  And welcome to the forum.

I just wanted to reply to a message sent to me. Never the less thank you.

Interesting that the post minimum applies to replies. I'd think that the software should allow an exemption to a reply. I get the rationale behind the minimum, but it really doesn't make sense in that situation.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: New RNC Chair? on: November 14, 2016, 06:47:50 pm
I've heard Ronna Romney McDaniel being mentioned.

That's all I've heard, but it's not surprising that I've heard her name before hearing anyone else's.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is Obamacare dead now? on: November 09, 2016, 08:39:52 pm
In name perhaps, but I doubt they can repeal many of its most popular provisions (e.g. preexisting condition ban).

The pre existing condition ban only works if you require that everyone has insurance. If they remove the mandate and keep the ban, they'll create an unsustainable system.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Congratulations To President Donald J. Trump on: November 09, 2016, 08:13:31 pm
I warned about Michigan (and got mocked a fair amount).  But even Wisconsin was a surprise to me.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Michigan on: November 08, 2016, 06:41:21 pm
IF Turnout is high in Michigan = Clinton winning! There isn't enough rural hicks to over take the cities if turnout is high.

Rural isn't the concern. It'd be blue collar Trump supporters. Think usual Dems in Wayne, Macomb, Oakland
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Are you nervous or excited for tomorrow? on: November 07, 2016, 09:17:43 pm
Both, but more nervous than excited.
20  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Please Move back the indicated thread on: November 07, 2016, 09:12:22 pm
The mods for that board haven't been on in the past few days.  Have you PMed one of them?
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Post your final 2016 Presidential Election prediction maps here on: November 07, 2016, 06:12:38 pm
Way too close for comfort...



22  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Getting random "Hello" emails from here on: November 03, 2016, 10:30:31 am
I got two as well.
23  Election Archive / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MI: New Strategic National Clinton +1 on: November 02, 2016, 06:43:28 pm
christ are we still talking about a huge outlier?

It's not really a huge outlier... It has Clinton below the average of other recent polls, but it's not that far off.
24  Election Archive / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MI: New Strategic National Clinton +1 on: November 02, 2016, 06:39:09 pm
Remember when all polls used to be done by real polling companies that have existed for years/decades. What are these ing firms?

Strategic National is a consulting firm; they've been around for longer than 10 years, but I'm not sure how long they've done polling.

One thing that makes me worry about Michigan is the number of Trump yard signs I've seen in Wayne County--especially the blue collar suburbs (e.g., Lincoln Park, Wyandotte, Taylor, etc.) that have typically voted heavily Democratic.  I'm not to the point of saying Trump will win Michigan, but I definitely think he has a chance here.

Really...yard signs? Is that you Peggy Noonan?

I've sometimes seen more Sanders stuff than Hillary stuff in towns Hillary won by ~50 points. It means nothing.

I'm not saying it's a definitive indicator, but it is something that should concern the Clinton camp.  I'm not talking about just seeing Trump stuff in the cities overall... you have to ignore the yard signs placed in public places in order to get anything close to an accurate guess of support in the area; I'm talking about several Trump signs on streets where I've never seen a yard sign for a Republican candidate before.
25  Election Archive / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MI: New Strategic National Clinton +1 on: November 02, 2016, 11:37:45 am
One thing that makes me worry about Michigan is the number of Trump yard signs I've seen in Wayne County--especially the blue collar suburbs (e.g., Lincoln Park, Wyandotte, Taylor, etc.) that have typically voted heavily Democratic.  I'm not to the point of saying Trump will win Michigan, but I definitely think he has a chance here.
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