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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP National - Hillary leads most opponents, Deez Nuts getting 10% of vote on: Today at 01:57:05 pm
Isn't it funny how they're literally the only pollster left that's finding Clinton performing better than Sanders in the GE?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Libertarian Donald Trump once again proves his sensible foreign policy on: Today at 05:05:54 am
Mr. Trump is a realist.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NV-TargetPoint Consulting/Washington Free Beacon: Sanders & Clinton tied at 45% on: February 12, 2016, 07:53:54 pm
Wow. Is it fair to say that the race is a toss-up if Sanders wins this?

I think that's fair. Basically it's all down to SC.

Sanders isn't going to win SC. If he wins NV, it probably means we'll have a 50 state contest. We may get that even if he loses here.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult national poll: D: Clinton 46% Sanders 39%; R: Trump 44% Cruz 17% on: February 12, 2016, 07:32:47 am
Great numbers from Trump and Sanders. Bubble boy is tied with Carson! Ha!
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When the hell are we getting some new polls?!? on: February 12, 2016, 02:27:25 am
Nevada polls in 2008 were not too bad:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_democratic_caucus-236.html#polls
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Erica Garner stars in Bernie ad, Harry Belafonte endorses Sanders on: February 12, 2016, 02:24:53 am
Jesus, edit that sucker down and put it on the air in South Carolina right now!
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Nevada Democratic Caucus Result on: February 12, 2016, 12:59:04 am
I still haven't seen any evidence that suggests that Overtime is a real pollster.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WHO won the PBS Democratic debate? on: February 12, 2016, 12:34:36 am
Halperin gives them both Bs and says it'll be "forgotten quickly".

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-12/report-card-clinton-sanders-take-the-night-off-from-sustained-hostilities
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Nevada Democratic Caucus Result on: February 12, 2016, 12:26:17 am
Some Nevada polls would be great.

What are you talking about? We have Gravis and Overtime.

I'm seriously craving some ARG rn. Don't know if they poll Nevada, but the entertainment factor would multiply by ten if they started.

You're in luck, we have a new poll out. The results came in quickly because it's an Undertime Politics poll.

Clinton 49
Sanders 45

Trump 39
Rubio 21
Cruz 14
Bush 9
Carson 6
Kasich 4



I'd prefer an actual poll as opposed to imaginary numbers.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who comes out on top on Super Tuesday?-Democratic on: February 12, 2016, 12:22:38 am
Super Tuesday is a mostly rough group of states for Sanders. He just needs to survive it. I think if he wins three or four states, that's good enough.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie could win New York on: February 12, 2016, 12:03:23 am
I could see him dominating upstate New York like Teachout did but that's about it.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Nevada Democratic Caucus Result on: February 11, 2016, 11:59:06 pm
Based on the latest "buzz", I think Sanders might actually have a shot here. We need some public polls though.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / When the hell are we getting some new polls?!? on: February 11, 2016, 11:55:55 pm
As in Nevada polls, South Carolina polls, Super Tuesday state polls, national polls, etc. The last few days have been barren.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WHO won the PBS Democratic debate? on: February 11, 2016, 11:35:56 pm
I didn't watch it yet except for that wonderful Kissinger clip. Sanders must have done well if he's winning the poll on here though. He never wins the poll on here.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: PBS Milwaukee, WI Democratic debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: February 11, 2016, 09:58:14 pm
Clinton's strategy seems to be : Keep on saying how great Obama so the AA vote goes her way.  She want to knock out Sanders in the South where the AA vote dominate the Dem primary.  

Understandable. The white working class are abandoning her so that's her best hope.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. on: February 11, 2016, 06:40:35 pm
If the New Hampshire primary had only included Democrats, Sanders would have only won by 4%.

But Reuters doesn't narrow it down to "independents who plan to vote in the Democratic primary" or even "Democratic-leaning independents." It's just "independents." Which includes tons of right wingers who have no intention of voting in a Democratic primary. Typical from incompetent Reuters. That's probably why Pollster only uses the numbers among Democrats.

Also, there are a lot of closed primaries/caucuses.

Well, a poll that includes only registered Democrats is even less helpful since many of the primaries and caucuses are open or semi-open.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. on: February 11, 2016, 06:03:08 pm
If the New Hampshire primary had only included Democrats, Sanders would have won by 4% instead of 22%+.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. on: February 11, 2016, 05:17:11 pm
Clinton: 55
Sanders: 43

Those numbers only include Democrats.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Reuters primary polling: tracking thread. on: February 11, 2016, 04:46:34 pm
Clinton - 46% (-9)
Sanders - 44% (+1)

Timber!
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Hillary firewall is falling. Here's why: on: February 10, 2016, 06:34:55 am
Some of the stuff in these exits seem almost unbelievable. It was an absolute bloodbath. Sanders winning among voters who are most concerned with terrorism? Check. Sanders tying Clinton among minority voters? Check. I could go on. Sanders also outperformed his standing in the polling averages for the second time in a row.

I will say that there were two things in them that should give the Clinton people some hope though:

1.Sanders only won by 4% among registered Democrats and we have some closed contests coming up soon.

2. The last minute deciders actually broke narrowly for Clinton.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In New Hampshire, there were more votes in the Republican primary on: February 10, 2016, 06:23:37 am
There were also several viable candidates running in the Republican race instead of just two. Plus Sanders still got a hell of a lot more votes than any of the Republicans did.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Final CNN/WMUR poll: Sanders +26 on: February 10, 2016, 12:45:18 am
Not bad, WMUR.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 10, 2016, 12:39:15 am
Sanders even won among voters who picked "terrorism" as their top issue.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders, Clinton Is Still Up In Air on: February 10, 2016, 12:33:21 am
Nevada should be interesting.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 11:49:57 pm
The Hillbots in this thread are.... not taking it well, that's for sure.  What Stage are they in at this point?  

More importantly, which trumpet is this?
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