Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 25, 2017, 06:51:26 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 1533
1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Blizzard warning from N.J. to Conn.; over a foot of snow in NYC on: March 13, 2017, 07:39:07 pm
18"-24" over here. Some nearby areas could see 3 feet or more. This is the big one, folks.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Bernie Sanders run for president in 2020 on: February 06, 2017, 12:50:47 am
There's a higher chance of option 4 happening than option 2.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Democrat would you want to be the nominee for president in 2020 on: January 10, 2017, 11:54:34 pm
Bernie Sanders with Sherrod Brown as my second choice.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Single most in danger Clinton state of switching on: January 10, 2017, 11:52:33 pm
Maine (statewide) probably.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cuomo w/Sanders unvails plain for tuition-free public higher education in NY on: January 03, 2017, 10:21:49 pm
Bernie is showing he can reach across the aisle and work with the other side here. Very nice.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: latest Betfair odds on: December 23, 2016, 04:10:53 pm
Sanders is way too low.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) on: December 17, 2016, 12:00:50 am
I'm kind of hoping that Clinton doesn't top Obama 2012 and that Trump fails to hit 63K.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Beet's switching allegiances from D to R? on: December 14, 2016, 01:46:59 pm
lol this guy.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) on: December 14, 2016, 11:50:24 am
Dutchess County flipped to Clinton!
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) on: December 13, 2016, 06:36:11 pm
Are we including write-in votes here?
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How exactly can Kanye West win the Democratic nomination? on: December 13, 2016, 05:10:00 pm
Apparently he won't be running until 2024 now because he doesn't want to run against his buddy Trump.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) on: December 13, 2016, 04:39:46 pm
So Clinton should edge out Obama 2012's vote total in the end, correct?
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: PPP - 2020 Democratic Primary Poll: Biden 31%, Sanders 24%, Warren 16% on: December 13, 2016, 12:50:51 pm
Sanders and Warren won't both run, that'd be dumb.

I'll assume that without Warren in the race, Sanders would have a fairly healthy lead and without Sanders in the race you'd have a close race between Warren and Biden.

Also, I kind of doubt Biden is that close to Sanders among young voters.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How exactly can Kanye West win the Democratic nomination? on: December 12, 2016, 10:22:19 am
1. He gleefully admitted that he couldn't even be bothered to vote in 2016.
2. If he had actually bothered, he says he would have voted for Trump.

Campaign over.

Hopefully.

15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chris Evans on: December 12, 2016, 10:13:59 am
Has he shown any interest whatsoever in running?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: David Brock & Robby Mook - Millennials are to be blamed for Clinton loss on: December 12, 2016, 08:43:47 am
Neither of these guys should ever be hired again.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong. on: December 12, 2016, 08:34:38 am
Lots of questionable late night/early morning rambling in this thread by yours truly.

Do keep in mind that the statewide swings here are marginal.  They're there though so let's overanalyze them!
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong. on: December 12, 2016, 07:01:17 am
A couple of other things to take into account that make these results seem strange:

Yeah, Illinois is technically one of Clinton's "home states" too but there has never been any evidence of anyone giving a damn about that before. Barack Obama slaughtered her in the 2008 primary and Bernie Sanders came within a whisker of upsetting her here despite the fact that it had what should have been some of the worst demographics in the country for him outside of the south. Plus, the swings to Trump almost everywhere else in the midwest were YUGE.

Johnson garnered a lot of support in Kansas and I could see it being the type of state where it came pretty overwhelmingly from Republicans/conservative leaning indies... but Kansas was also, somewhat surprisingly, one of Jill Stein's best states. As of now it looks like it was probably her fourth best in the entire country in terms of the percentage of the vote she received (although California may push it down to fifth if they ever finish counting their votes). She wasn't even on the ballot here in 2012! Also, Obama and Sanders both crushed Hillary in the caucuses here.

Yet these states still swung to Hillary in the general vs. Obama 2012.

Kansas did vote pretty strongly against Trump in their GOP caucus but Illinois voted for him in their primary.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong. on: December 12, 2016, 05:19:14 am
I can think of some reasons for why this happened (Illinois: DuPage lol/Kansas: Johnson hurting Trump much more than Clinton/etc.) but these were two of Obama's "home states" and literally everything around them swung to Trump vs. Romney 2012.



20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your completely subjective odds for the Democratic nomination in 2020 on: December 08, 2016, 04:35:52 am
Clinton and Sanders are the clear favorites. It's just a question of whether either of them want to run again or not.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll (November 2016) on: November 18, 2016, 09:32:04 pm
Bernie Sanders
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Tim Kaine will not run for President in 2020 on: November 18, 2016, 12:12:19 am
This kind of announcement means nothing this far out. Hillary said she wasn't going to run in 2016 repeatedly.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: David Duke (R) 2020 on: November 15, 2016, 10:03:22 pm
David Duke loves Trump and, I take it, enjoys having him as president somewhat, so he won't challenge him.

If Trump doesn't start violently purging colored people, Duke and his crowd will likely turn on him. We'll see.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Andrew coumo vrs Donald Trump on: November 15, 2016, 09:57:47 pm
Jesus, I'd rather we nominate Clinton again and that's really saying something.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Katy Perry 2020 on: November 15, 2016, 01:02:46 pm
Can we stop pulling random celebrities out as potential candidates?

A random celebrity was just elected President.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 1533


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines