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October 24, 2014, 06:12:13 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner +4 on: Today at 07:24:28 am
I wanted to be the one to break the news that Udall is still finished. Sad You beat me by seconds.

As Quinnipiac put it, Udall "gains no ground" on Gardener. Smiley

Gardener did drop a point from their last poll though.
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Ebola Thread (US Domestic) on: Today at 06:38:43 am
My band just played CMJ Tuesday night. Glad our show wasn't scheduled at The Gutter! Heh.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: CNN/ORC: Carter+2 on: Today at 05:57:01 am
New Georgia! New Georgia!
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: CNN/ORC: Nunn leads general & runoff on: Today at 05:55:54 am
Praise Allah!
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: Today at 03:27:45 am
Jeff, you've admitted before that you don't really know how to use the AutoCADD program that your parents bought for you. What concrete steps are you taking to address this issue? Or will you just continue to "play" around with it while watching football and pretend that doing that will really help you to grasp the material (even though it is utterly pointless)?

I don't think it's even pridefulness that is stoping Jeff from trying J-Mann's list method. I think it's sheer laziness.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: Today at 03:20:04 am
So when Bushie gets to heaven he'll no longer be a fat?

Very early days, but 'The Fourth Pair of Pants' should be a contender for the title of Update XIX.

We may have to hold a vote for the next season's title. I've seen several possible titles pop up already.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: Today at 03:06:14 am
I have been saying all along that this race is more favorable to Dems than Georgia as well as Louisiana and Arkansas.

Don't give up on Grimes.

Why not? The DSCC did. Unless they come back with a new buy or are pulling a rope-a-dope, it seems like the Dems think the seat is lost.

DSCC is already back in.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How did Shelley Moore Capito not get primaried? on: Today at 03:00:40 am
Portraying yourself as a populist is still the way to go in West Virginia.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: CNN/ORC: Shaheen+2 on: Today at 02:44:52 am
Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.


Us?  Do you feel an intense connection to the NH Democratic Party?  Seriously, this isn't a Congressional race, where DC policies will be affected ... This board grows more partisan/hackish by the day.

Umm, but it is...
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-UMass Lowell/7 News: Hassan+4 on: Today at 02:02:16 am
Junk poll!
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MA: Globe has Baker +9 on: Today at 01:47:35 am
Coakley really may blow it again. Unbelievable.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Wisconsin Megathread: Walker vs Burke, Statewide Races, 2016 Senate Speculation on: Today at 01:27:39 am
Walker camp seems to be getting pretty close to meltdown mode.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sarah Palin has endorsed Walker in AK-Gov race. on: Today at 01:26:21 am
I see Alaska's black guy attended the event!
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Bruce Braley chicken dance ad on: Today at 01:13:26 am
What did I just watch there? lol.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Michelle Nunn releases her best ad of the cycle on: Today at 01:10:20 am
Win or lose, she's run one of the best campaigns this season.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: CNN/ORC: Shaheen+2 on: Today at 12:52:52 am
Good. I want it to be just close enough for us to get to see the carpetbagger throw a hissy fit.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Peters pulling away, now up by double digits on: Today at 12:48:22 am
Beyond over.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: October 23, 2014, 08:39:15 pm
DSCC has jumped back in already. lol.
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 23, 2014, 02:12:37 am
And just so we're clear, Jeff, if you're going to be staying with Grandma, you will provide her with some form of compensation - be it monetary or in-kind such as mowing the yard - and she will not perform any domestic duties like laundry or cleaning for you. That woman already spent half her life raising her own kids; she doesn't need to spend the other half raising her kids' kids. At the very least, let's aim for a situation where she's no worse off for having you than if you weren't there.

You know the woman will have to wait on him hand and foot. Poor thing.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Avengers: Age of Ultron (Trailer is out) on: October 23, 2014, 12:52:56 am
Extremely creepy...  and awesome!

Looks like Ultron will easily be the best MCU villain yet.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Obama's job approval in the national exit poll: on: October 22, 2014, 11:23:49 pm
Bush was at 43%-57% in 2006 for further reference (according to CNN).

Interesting, probably around 43% again then. Figured it was lower.

Yeah, thought it was a bit lower myself.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Nunn remains slightly ahead on: October 22, 2014, 11:06:27 pm
Damn, Nunn is probably going to win a plurality of votes on election only to lose the silly runoff.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Wisconsin Megathread: Walker vs Burke, Statewide Races, 2016 Senate Speculation on: October 22, 2014, 10:54:31 pm

Yep, Walker certainly won't have much to worry about anymore after election day. Wink
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: St. Norbert College: WPR-St. Norbert Poll Shows Walker, Burke In Tight Race on: October 22, 2014, 10:49:01 pm
Great logic, lets just shift the race to the bias it had in 2012. That's how you read a poll Atlas Forum style.

Yeah. I mean, even putting aside the Thompson result for a second, their last poll had Walker up 16 even as everyone else was showing him up 3-7.

That said, it's possible they just got better at polling. In fact, that's almost certainly the explanation, since if they still retained their Republican bias from 2012/early 2014 it would mean in reality Burke had a hefty lead, which quite obviously isn't the case. But either way, it's horrible news for Walker that his best poll now shows him in a dead heat.

Walker is in trouble, I obviously see that. But this is just 1 point away from the most recent Marquette poll and just 2 points away from the recent Rasmussen poll. We're equating this to Burke having a lead when no other evidence says that's the case.

You gotta either put the race down as tossup/Burke or tossup/Walker. I've had it at tossup/Walker for a while. It's clear that Burke has the momentum now though. Even if the race remained essentially dead even going into election day, it is Wisconsin. I'm betting on the Democrat under those conditions in Wisconsin.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NY: Siena Research Institute: Hawkins at nine percent; Cuomo, Astorino also on the ballot on: October 22, 2014, 10:43:19 pm
Damn, how many polls will we get with him at 9%? Just hit double digits already!
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