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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fiorina collapses in front of Cruz and he doesn't even blink on: Today at 01:15:32 am
Amusing.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What three states are likely to have the highest % of people not voting... on: Today at 12:48:18 am
Shameless bump for more votes.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WV: MetroNews shows Trump leading with 40, Sanders leading with 57 on: Today at 12:46:02 am
If Sanders is doing this well in WV, shouldn't he be polling a bit better TN? Maybe not winning there, but at least keeping it in single digits?

WV and TN aren't really all that comparable despite both being Appalachian.

True. Tennessee has some medium-sized cities (Memphis and Nashville), and far more blacks.

Indeed. WV has slightly more blacks than Vermont. Tongue
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict Indiana Results + Fallout on: May 01, 2016, 11:01:24 pm
Trump 61 %

Clinton 65%

Hillary is going to have a big night out.

Fallout. Bernie throws in the towel. Cruz barrels on.

Those are some bizarre predictions, to say the least.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WV: MetroNews shows Trump leading with 40, Sanders leading with 57 on: May 01, 2016, 09:56:28 pm
Forget the D primary (which is over at this point), the interesting thing is how Trump is doing relatively poorly here compared to current expectations that it would be his best or 2nd best state in the country.  Maybe I was on to something when I said that he could be drifting too socially liberal for some WV voters' tastes? 

The R primary isn't any less over. At least Sanders actually won a state last week.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton on: May 01, 2016, 03:41:20 pm
Good numbers for Bernie.

Hillary still polling like crap, as usual.

Clinton has help onto the 272 blue wall pretty well with Latino support in SW and Black support in Philly.

Beep boop. Beep boop.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton on: May 01, 2016, 09:57:31 am
Bernie!
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IN-NBC/WSJ/Marist: D: Clinton 50% Sanders 46%; R: Trump 49% Cruz 34% Kasich 13% on: May 01, 2016, 09:39:15 am
Wow, the Democratic race might give us something interesting to follow on Tuesday.

Looks like Cruz is done for though. Good riddance!
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MN-Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon: Clinton +13 on: May 01, 2016, 02:01:39 am
Wasn't Mason Dixon awful here during the caucuses? It's hard to imagine that Clinton is performing nearly as well as Sanders here of all places.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What three states are likely to have the highest % of people not voting... on: April 30, 2016, 09:41:22 pm
Utah, Vermont, Alaska

I voted for the same three.

UT, AK, and NM (assuming Johnson is the Libertarian nominee - otherwise MT)

Why New Mexico? Trump is going to drive Hispanic turnout through the roof, and considering that NM is majority-minority, I don't see how their turnout would be on the lower side of the spectrum. Unless I am missing something here that is specific to New Mexico?

That depends on how you interpret "the highest % of people not voting for either Clinton or Trump in the general election". It could mean either a % of a total voting-age population, or a % of those who voted.

Just to clarify, I'm only talking about the % of those who actually vote. Sorry for the confusion.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / What three states are likely to have the highest % of people not voting... on: April 30, 2016, 02:08:11 pm
Select three options. You can change your votes over time if you so desire. The poll will be open until a month before the general election.
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas forum leaderboard on: April 30, 2016, 07:47:52 am
Oh. Yay, I guess.

I guess it's time we take another leave, right Tony?

Please keep posting. I want to get knocked off of this list ASAP.
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you surprised that Straha voted for Hillary Clinton? on: April 30, 2016, 07:42:18 am
No, it was the ultimate troll.

If anything, I was just surprised that he's a registered Democrat. 
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do you always associate Indiana with? on: April 30, 2016, 07:34:50 am
I'll never forget the state shockingly supporting Obama in 2008.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult national poll on: April 30, 2016, 07:23:25 am
America loves Bernie!

Too bad the Democratic Party doesn't love him as much as Hillary.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Has jfern raised your opinion of Hillary Clinton? on: April 30, 2016, 04:22:25 am
No change.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Rasmussen Reports national poll: Trump -38 Clinton -38 on: April 29, 2016, 06:15:17 pm
I think there will be more "other" voters in this election than we've seen since '96. That said, I doubt the number will come anywhere near 16%.

I could see it hitting a percentage like that in Utah and maybe (but probably not) Vermont. That's about it.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IN - ARG: Trump +9, Clinton +8 on: April 29, 2016, 05:45:23 pm
Good to see.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: latest Betfair odds on: April 28, 2016, 09:50:43 pm
How the hell is Cruz still as high as he is?
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: OR - Hoffman Research Group: Trump with double digit lead on: April 28, 2016, 06:01:19 pm
I'd like to see a Democratic poll.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IPFW-IN: Clinton +13 on: April 28, 2016, 06:00:07 pm
I find it curious that Clinton hasn't campaigned at all two days and hasn't spent a dime in ads in the upcoming states.

Why bother? No need to waste millions anymore.

Well, a win in Indiana which is supposedly Sanders-friendly territory would be the nail in the coffin and prevent an embarrassing string of defeats in May that may lead to new breathless media narratives about how weak she is.   

She's going to lose certain states like Oregon no matter what.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PA- Harper: Clinton 61%, Sanders 33% on: April 27, 2016, 12:48:59 am
She only won by 12%. JUNK POLL!
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PA- CPEC: Clinton crushes Sanders on: April 27, 2016, 12:47:21 am
Wow, this turned out to be some serious garbage.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: ARG - MD and PA: Trump & Clinton lead on: April 27, 2016, 12:44:57 am
ARG was SPOT-ON on the Republican side (Maryland) - great poll!

Yeah, they were just slightly off on the Democratic side. Tongue
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PPP PA/CT/RI close on Democratic side, large Trump leads on: April 27, 2016, 12:42:52 am
Good to see. It seems like they've recovered from some of their flops earlier in the cycle.
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