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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 42% Trump 40% on: Today at 05:11:43 am
Trump is literally in fourth place with the blacks but on the plus side for him, he can only improve from here!
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: Today at 03:33:31 am
Swinton is basically a right-winger and Utah Democrats are pretty liberal. Snow also seems to have attached herself to Bernie Sanders somewhat, who is popular with Dems there.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: Today at 03:26:04 am
The countdown to Bernie performing better than Obama '08 is on (in terms of the margin - he already has more votes than him).

Of course the difference is that Obama barely campaigned in California in 2008 while Sanders became almost a permanent resident for a month.

That's a bit of an exaggeration. Plus, the '08 race was in the heat of that primary while this one happened after the race was basically over with.

Where is the exaggeration? Obama held 2 events in California in 2008 while Sanders literally didn't set foot out of the state the month before the primary. I remember Ed Kilgore jokingly saying that a casual observer might have thought he was running for governor.

As for the primary being over, go tell that to the rabid Sanders supporters or the media who turned the contest into Hillary's Alamo breathlessly reporting all those polls that showed a 2 point race.

Except that's a false statement.

What, did he went to Vermont for fresh clothes?

He literally campaigned in several other states during the course of that month as well but I'm sure you already know that.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: Today at 03:24:33 am
If he spent a decent amount of time in New Mexico or eastern South Dakota, he probably could've won those states.

Quite possibly. He did campaign a bit in both of them though.

Other than in Michigan, Bernie just never seemed to have luck on his side in the close ones.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: Today at 03:17:29 am
The countdown to Bernie performing better than Obama '08 is on (in terms of the margin - he already has more votes than him).

Of course the difference is that Obama barely campaigned in California in 2008 while Sanders became almost a permanent resident for a month.

That's a bit of an exaggeration. Plus, the '08 race was in the heat of that primary while this one happened after the race was basically over with.

Where is the exaggeration? Obama held 2 events in California in 2008 while Sanders literally didn't set foot out of the state the month before the primary. I remember Ed Kilgore jokingly saying that a casual observer might have thought he was running for governor.

As for the primary being over, go tell that to the rabid Sanders supporters or the media who turned the contest into Hillary's Alamo breathlessly reporting all those polls that showed a 2 point race.

Except that's a false statement.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: Today at 01:56:57 am
The countdown to Bernie performing better than Obama '08 is on (in terms of the margin - he already has more votes than him).

Of course the difference is that Obama barely campaigned in California in 2008 while Sanders became almost a permanent resident for a month.

That's a bit of an exaggeration. Plus, the '08 race was in the heat of that primary while this one happened after the race was basically over with.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 28, 2016, 11:23:06 pm
There are Heaney signs all over the place in Dutchess. I'm not surprised that he won here at least.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NY-19-Siena: Teachout and Faso ahead on: June 28, 2016, 10:57:39 pm
This will be fun to laugh at after tonight. Teachout can win, but not by 41 points.

Do you ever tire of being wrong?

Well, technically he was right. She actually won by 42 points!

Seriously, this was a really good poll though.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 28, 2016, 10:11:42 pm
So happy for Zephyr! What a blowout!
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NY-19-Siena: Teachout and Faso ahead on: June 28, 2016, 02:12:42 pm
This will be fun to laugh at after tonight. Teachout can win, but not by 41 points.

It's a good thing she's only leading by 39 then. Tongue
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: June 28, 2016, 02:32:44 am
The countdown to Bernie performing better than Obama '08 is on (in terms of the margin - he already has more votes than him).
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: YouGov/Economist: Clinton 55% Sanders 42% on: June 28, 2016, 02:23:45 am
Maybe they're polling 2020 Democratic primary at this point.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton & Trump VP news LATEST: Castro, Kaine, and Warren asked to submit info on: June 27, 2016, 04:01:28 am
It's going to be Kaine.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 26, 2016, 09:11:25 pm
Are there any interesting primaries in Colorado or Utah on Tuesday? I've mostly been following the New York stuff (for obvious reasons) and I've kept up with Oklahoma to some extent.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS News/YouGov: Tight races in CO, FL, NC, WI on: June 26, 2016, 05:38:02 pm
The Clintons have never been popular in Colorado, so I don't find that too hard to believe.

I'm surprised by how poorly Johnson and Stein are doing in these polls compared to the national ones.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 24, 2016, 01:04:27 am
I'm pretty shocked by the result. Wow.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC national poll: D: Clinton 55% Sanders 43%; R: Trump 51% Someone else 48% on: June 22, 2016, 02:10:20 am
Clinton 55% - Sanders 43% is basically what the national popular vote looks like on the Democratic side.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 21, 2016, 11:38:08 pm
I'd be very surprised if "leave" wins out.

Remain: 54%
Leave: 46%
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: June 21, 2016, 11:29:24 pm
Great analysis, Oregon Progessive.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close race in OH/PA, Clinton leads in FL on: June 21, 2016, 06:49:47 pm
The cubans must not want to make America great again.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton 47% Trump 42% on: June 21, 2016, 04:30:04 pm
I think Stein could get 2% or maybe even 3% but it'll depend on how many states she gets on the ballot in.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton 47% Trump 42% on: June 21, 2016, 02:23:44 pm
Stein at 7%, holy crap...
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult national poll: Clinton 53% Sanders 35% on: June 20, 2016, 11:20:54 pm
...
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Congressional Black Caucus opposes Sanders' requests on: June 19, 2016, 05:29:21 pm
Sanders' desire for open primaries is an extremely thinly veiled attempt to disenfranchise black voters. Black voters overwhelmingly register as Democrats. Their are virtually no blacks registered as independents. They would be by far the group to lose the most influence in the process should open primaries become uniform. Who would would have guessed the CBC would be opposed to this?

Except nobody is actually taking away their right to vote so...
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Gravis-National: Clinton 51% Trump 49%/Clinton 50% Trump 45% Other 5% on: June 17, 2016, 11:57:17 pm
I love how they never have any undecideds.
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