Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 26, 2016, 07:14:01 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 1513
1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Bernie supporters, which comes closest to how you feel? on: Today at 02:57:19 am
Somewhere between #4-#5 (without the silly hashtags). I voted for #4.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should the "No unity no trust" guy have his credentials revoked? on: Today at 02:49:37 am
No.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 25, 2016, 06:19:25 pm
Nate Silver is saying that only about 2-5% of the entire arena is booing.

Quote
Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538  17s17 seconds ago
How many people were booing mentions of Hillary? I'd guess 2-5% of the delegates, or something like that. A few loud pockets of people.

Quote
Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538  45s45 seconds ago
When the speaker isn't exciting people, they can be quite noticeable. Otherwise they get drowned out.

More fuzzy math from Mr. Silver. It's certainly not a majority or anything but I'd be surprised if it's not quite a bit more than that.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race on: July 25, 2016, 03:03:41 pm
Not a particularly great showing for Johnson or Stein.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 25, 2016, 02:42:19 pm
From a MSNBC producer

Quote
Kyle Griffin
‏@kylegriffin1

Dem Official tells NBC: Sanders will turn over his delegates to HRC tmrw during a roll call vote.

All 50 states will have votes counted.


Hmm, I really don't see that going over too well.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DWS makes appearance at convention: booed off stage by Florida delegates on: July 25, 2016, 11:38:24 am
Isn't the Florida delegation overwhelming pro-Clinton too? She's going to get torn to shreds if she comes on stage during the actual convention.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Quinnipiac NY Clinton 47 Trump 35 on: July 19, 2016, 08:03:57 am
New York isn't that close. I do think Trump will dominate upstate (with Stein and Johnson getting a significant % in a few counties) but Clinton will route him in the city and the suburbs.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton VP news LATEST: Politico: Clinton to announce her pick on Friday in FL on: July 18, 2016, 07:47:18 am
Clinton promises that there will be no leaks of her VP choice before she sends out the notification texts:



Wow, this is bizarre. It'll almost certainly be leaked.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC National: Clinton leads by 7 and 5 on: July 17, 2016, 09:08:34 am
Has Johnson ever been this high in a poll?
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What counties will Stein and Johnson perform best in/possibly win? on: July 15, 2016, 07:07:59 pm
If Stein gets on the ballot in Vermont, I imagine most of her best counties will be there.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Rubio +13, Portman +7, Toomey +10 on: July 14, 2016, 11:45:45 am
Junk polls (hopefully)!!!
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton & Trump VP news LATEST: Trump VP announcement Friday @11am in NYC on: July 14, 2016, 11:14:50 am
Boring. Gingrich or Christie would have been good for laughs at least.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: David Duke Weighing Challange to Steve Scalise on: July 13, 2016, 02:06:37 pm
David Duke looks like an alien.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NY-19-Siena: Teachout and Faso ahead on: July 13, 2016, 02:03:41 pm
Quote
daveweigel ‏@daveweigel  5s6 seconds ago
Zephyr Teachoutís House campaign says itís raised $1.1m this year, which seems like a lot.

Beautiful news!
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-PrimR: McCain up easily in internal on: July 13, 2016, 02:02:21 pm
It's an internal and there is still plenty of time, so I'll keep hope alive for now.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton tied in OH, +3 in IA, +9 in PA on: July 13, 2016, 01:58:51 pm
This group also has only a 74% reliability rating by 538 compared to 87% for Q.

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-05-03/the-2016-guide-to-political-predictions-which-matter-and-who-was-most-underestimated

For 2016 up until May, Marist has done 33 polls, 94% accuracy. Quinnipiac has 26, 65% accuracy.



Gravis Marketing is at 92%? Wtf?
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CO-Monmouth: Clinton +13 on: July 13, 2016, 01:56:33 pm
Damn look like a Clinton is finally gonna win CO.

Bill won in in '92

Yep, only in the general election though, not in the primaries.

He can probably thank Ross Perot for that.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Marquette Law School WI: Clinton +6 RV, Clinton +4 LV on: July 13, 2016, 12:49:48 pm
Very good for Clinton. She's got this state.

It's an okay showing. She should send in Sanders and Obama to help lock it down for her (and for Big Russ) though.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Marquette Law School: Clinton +6 RV, Clinton +4 LV on: July 13, 2016, 12:46:58 pm
Wisconsin was never going to be a blow out, the state is too polarizing for that. This is essentially anti-Trump Republicans coming home.

I certainly hope so. If they do all come home, Trump wins.


Nah, probably not. Bush couldn't even get over the line here in '04.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CO-Monmouth: Clinton +13 on: July 13, 2016, 12:41:48 pm
That's brutal for Trump if accurate. 
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Marquette Law School: Clinton +6 RV, Clinton +4 LV on: July 13, 2016, 12:34:05 pm
She better send Bernie over there ASAP.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Trump leads or tied in all three states on: July 13, 2016, 08:32:54 am
It's pretty funny to see Johnson and Stein doing nearly as well as Trump among young voters.

NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist will be releasing polls for OH and PA today at 5pm ET. Will be interesting to compare. They will also be releasing a poll from Iowa.

Very nice.
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Bernie Sanders is with Her - are you? on: July 12, 2016, 04:50:29 pm
Dumb poll. I'll probably vote for Stein.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of the dropouts: Bernie Sanders on: July 12, 2016, 01:34:51 pm
Eternal FF. I'm so glad he gave us a choice in this race.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING: JEB! IS NOT VOTING FOR PRESIDENT on: July 12, 2016, 01:30:18 am
US foreign policy is a lot more important to the Bush family than any social or economic issues and there's not exactly much difference between them and Hillary there.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 1513


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines