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July 25, 2014, 03:04:00 am
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sabato: IA now tossup, MN a sleeper in the making? on: July 24, 2014, 03:44:03 pm
Sabato missed the mark here. The sleeper rave is either Mnt or Ga. Perhaps CO. But really, MN.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 24, 2014, 03:22:36 pm
As a GOP pollster he has shown Walker, Scott and Martinez in danger of losing.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 24, 2014, 01:05:27 pm
Bruce King was already gov of NM. This state is rype for picking.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Gov. Branstad (R) up 8 on: July 23, 2014, 10:43:51 pm
I would add Coakley to Dark Horse race, you never know.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Gov. Branstad (R) up 8 on: July 23, 2014, 10:20:23 pm
States that are competetive

IL,OH,WI,MI, FL,AR,PA,RI, and ME

Dark Horse races

GA,IA and KS
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Montana on: July 23, 2014, 08:10:30 pm
Walsh by a hair.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Daines only leading by 4 on: July 23, 2014, 05:06:16 pm
The GOP won that House race anyways in 2012 when Jon Tester won.  I think Walsh, like Tester is the comeback kid.

Just like he narrowly won with Gov Bullock in 12 as well.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would a runoff increase or reduce Michelle Nunn's chances? on: July 23, 2014, 10:12:31 am
She is a better candidate than Landrieu. She has been near 50 percent to avoid a runoff since her campaign begun. I dont like to say she wont win a runoff, hopefully she avoids one.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 10:04:33 am
Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 09:44:05 am
Last names are common in Ga and it doesnt help that this Perdue has the same last name as the 2x ex gov of Ga and the Deal scandles, has about the same affect as running with Obama ans Affordable Care Act.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 09:31:06 am
Nunn was at 49 percent in one poll as she has polled ahead of Landrieu, stuck in the low 40s against Cassidy.

Should we hold onto AK or NC, and win Ga, it will save us from a runoff in La, and save the senate.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 08:39:44 am
At this pt Michelle Nunn has the potential to break the 50 percent thresehold, moreso than Landrieu, to win in Nov.

Perdue and Deal were trailing in the last poll by similar margins. D wins this race.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Survey USA: Crist's Lead Expanding on: July 22, 2014, 04:21:55 pm
This is almost like Pa, race getting away from GOP.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Rating the Gubernatorial Races on: July 22, 2014, 12:10:35 am
Dems will retain IL

and pickup MI, WI or OH, Pa, ME and FL

Ga and KS are clearly dark horse races but above is our top priority.

Pickup by GOP in ARK,
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT-PPP: Daines up 7 on: July 21, 2014, 05:43:01 pm
I think this will.be the surprise of the night, Walsh and Nunn winning.


Gov Bullock knew what he was doing when he selected Walsh, fully aware of his questionable military background.



I am hopefull.about this race.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rick Snyder 2016 on: July 20, 2014, 11:35:49 am
The GOP are clearly looking up to Hilary, she is quick on her feet and a sharp debator. 


Whether Synder wins or loses, the DTW economy hangs over his head and the GOP wants to move past its neglect of the auto unions during bailouts.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Should Democrats run on the issue of redistricting in 2018 and 2020? on: July 20, 2014, 09:42:10 am
Id imagine so since the House looks more favorable in 2016 and after.

The FLa redistricting will be a start.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in the Dairyland? on: July 19, 2014, 09:36:20 pm
This is another one of these races, dark horse like GA like KS that can tip to our side.


If we win this race aside from others, it will take a prez candidate out of the mix.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Landmark Comm/WSB: Carter +8 on: July 19, 2014, 09:19:35 pm
Well, at any rate, Ga GOP have had three straight terms of GOP run. Deal scandles are fresh in the minds of voters. I think voters are ready for Dem reign. 

And the Carter scandles of 76 are long forgotten.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Landmark Comm/WSB: Carter +8 on: July 19, 2014, 04:05:52 pm
I think this poll speaks for the strong candidacy of Michelle Nunn.

Carter may get in due to the Nunn legacy.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The surprises of the Senate elections... on: July 18, 2014, 04:08:22 am
ALG defeats McConnell and blocks the GOP from winning control.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could the outcome of this election change the national narrative? on: July 17, 2014, 08:23:27 pm
The purpose of this election is reform. The tea party has done a good job of it so far in last midterm and we did it in prez elections. We must somehow set the tone over Obama's low expectations in Nov. And we still have time.

It will play out in Ky, the most.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Landmark Comm/WSB: Carter +8 on: July 17, 2014, 08:14:03 pm
I wouldnt be dismissive of this poll. The Carter and Nunn name may be an edge over corruption.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How in the world is Begich holding on so far? on: July 17, 2014, 08:00:59 pm
Because as you see, anyone other than Frank Murkowski, gotton the good to go on reelection. Begich like Knowles have protected the oil interest of AK without gunning for environmentalist. And Keystone whether it is passed before or after the election, Alaskians believe in him
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-Gov: Fitzgerald in on: July 17, 2014, 07:29:25 pm
Its a good idea that Fitzgerald calls on Kasich to do that, so that they will box themselved in. They will have to make a choice now, either be gov or run for prez.

The Poll showing a 1 pt race is fresh and Fitzgerald is closing gap.
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