Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 29, 2017, 08:24:15 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 541
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) on: May 28, 2017, 11:17:36 pm
My thoughts on this keep changing so often because this administration is constantly producing more and more scandal.

I think ~15 seats (give or take) and 25 will be the number on Nov, 2018
 
Due to the Latino vote in states like FL, NV, CO, IL, NJ, NM and TX where they will reaffirm the Hillary districts where she won and gubernatorial mansion pickups. 
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is Rod Blum going to lose in 2018? on: May 28, 2017, 11:14:59 pm
Iowa was leaning right of the nation, its going drift slowly leftward as the blue wave builds
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would a former general fare in the 2020 Democratic Primary? on: May 28, 2017, 08:28:55 pm
They would be a better Veep candidate for Booker or Harris than a presidential contender, just like Wesley Clark could have been Howard Dean's Veep.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) on: May 28, 2017, 08:13:49 pm
Just over half think the Dems will retake the House in 2018. Interesting.

To be fair, that's probably the best news for Paul Ryan in awhile.

10-25 is about right, this early in the campaign.  However, the battlegrounds are in states Dems are likely to pick up gubernatorial chambers in: FL, IL, VA(Comstock), NV, NM, CO, MI, PA and NJ and Mnt will be in the Democratic column when Tester wins reelection.  In WI, Iowa and OH, Dems can offset governor chamber losses with Baldwin and Sherrod Brown winning and Blum will definately lose.
5  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: The bases of death anxiety... which affect you the most? on: May 28, 2017, 06:24:49 pm
It's how you look at death, is it going home to be with the Lord or your body shutting down and cease to exist.

We all suffer from grief, but we all have to go sometime.  But, science is getting better so that our lives are extended significantly.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Democratic message in 2020: Return to Normalcy? on: May 28, 2017, 05:45:45 pm
Anything is better than what we've got.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) on: May 28, 2017, 05:42:07 pm
Its easier for the outparty to take the House in a midterm than a presidential race.  Most think that Trump will be gone anyways in 2020, so Dems should have a better shot at winning the House in 2018 than 2020.

Anyways 2020 will bold well for Dems, and by then, Dems will have an excellent chance to sell the American public their agenda for the next 10 years when the census comes out in 2021.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPD Buckeye State poll: Mandel +5 against Brown on: May 28, 2017, 03:42:10 pm
You guys have some great candidates in the state capable of taking down Sherrod Brown, but Mandel is not one of them. Why do yall have to play your hand so stupidly, and throw your weight behind this dummy?

Because all they have is DeWine, Taylor and Josh Mandel

Portman and Kasich will be the last statewide officeholders, depending on Betty Sutton's performance in the competetive Gov race
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump isn't on the ballot in 2020, what is the likelier reason as to why? on: May 28, 2017, 02:57:17 pm
With Speaker Pelosi and a divided Senate, odds are that Trump choses not to stand for reelection.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPD Buckeye State poll: Mandel +5 against Brown on: May 28, 2017, 02:56:02 pm
Brown is definately in a competetive race, as will the governor race.  But, Sherrod Brown should slip by against Mandel. 
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Jon Ossoff 2024?? on: May 28, 2017, 11:37:30 am
Ossoff-4-Senate 2020; Kamela Harris-4-Prez 2020
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) on: May 28, 2017, 10:09:00 am
As of now - about 20. May be - slightly less..

Come on, now, Dems will net the House, and win GA 06 and MT AL. Dems only lost MT by 1% and with Tester on the ballot, Dems can certainly win that. GA06, Handal won't make it to runoff. Things are looking up.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is Rod Blum going to lose in 2018? on: May 27, 2017, 11:57:55 pm
Great news
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Kamala Harris nationally electable? on: May 27, 2017, 11:56:39 pm
If there is a Democratic wave in 2018, 2020 and in 2022, like the GOP wave in 2010, 2014 and 2016, then any Democratic nominee will win the Obama coalition lost under Trump and Ryan years.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did Iowa Vote so Far to the Right This Year? on: May 27, 2017, 11:51:29 pm
Bernie Sanders could have done better than Clinton. Don't forget Kaine was friendly towards Terry McAuliffe, too, a corporatist wing of the Democratic party who favor trade as well in Ohio.

A brand new Democrat can bring new energy to the Democratic party in Iowa.  It depends on the Senate race and if Ernst has a credible challenge. If the Dems sweep all three branches, (winning House and Govs in 2018), then Iowa will come home in 2020.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Kamala Harris nationally electable? on: May 27, 2017, 09:51:43 pm
Millineals will be looking for a Ivy leagued educated black woman like Kamela Harris so long as she can come to the middle on Immigration, unlike Obama did in 2008-2010, which caused the Dems to lose the House without passing comprehensive immigration reform, when he had the House and 60votes in the senate.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do so many think 2018 will be this amazing gop year? on: May 27, 2017, 09:49:01 pm
There are 23 House seats http://www.dailykos.com/story/2017/2/6/1629509/-These-23-Republicans-hold-congressional-districts-that-voted-for-Hillary-Clinton, that the GOP hold are in Districts Hillary won.

So, the math is in Democrats favor and alot them are in states like VA, NJ, PA, FL and IL Dems are likely to pickup governor mansions.  But time will tell. Rauner is gone and Dems will win governor's chair in FL.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Who will be the 46th President of the United States and why? on: May 27, 2017, 09:42:14 pm
Kamela Harris/Blue Dog Democrat

2018 Nancy Pelosi becomes Speaker-Again
2019 Mueller gives reasons to impeach Trump on obstruction of Justice of removing FBI agent Comey but fail to come up with coercision with him and Russia
Nancy Pelosi starts impeachment talks in the House
Trump stands down and says that he won't run for reelection
2020 Kamela Harris defeat whoever the GOP nominate
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Predict the next three election 2020-2028 on: May 27, 2017, 09:30:35 pm
The next three election cycles are devestating for GOP 2018, 2020, 2022
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) on: May 27, 2017, 08:56:53 pm
Magic number 24 or 25 seats needed to clinch House majority
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do so many think 2018 will be this amazing gop year? on: May 27, 2017, 07:04:15 pm
Because they are focusing on Senate races, races they can win, instead of focusing on the House which they are about to lose with Ossoff holding a 51-44 over Handal right now, and key governorships in Latino states FL, NV NM, NJ and IL
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What will the political landscape look like after the 2020 election? on: May 27, 2017, 07:02:15 pm
There will be a wave no doubt in 2018, and 2020 and 2022 will be just as bad for the GOP as 2010, 2014 and 2016 were for the Dems.

The FBI investigation has paralyzed the Conservative Movement and yes, Ted Cruz, has been caught with  paying hush money to Fiorina to keep her quiet about her affair.

I am hoping for the best.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Governor or Senator? on: May 27, 2017, 06:39:11 pm
Senator
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: 2020: Pres. Trump (R) vs. Mayor Garcetti (D) on: May 27, 2017, 02:02:20 pm
The Senate map is gonna be beneficial Tillis, Gardner, Ernst and Daines/Sullivan are vulnerable.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: 2020: Pres. Trump (R) vs. Mayor Garcetti (D) on: May 27, 2017, 01:50:56 pm


This will be the 2020 map no matter who is the Democratic nominee
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 541


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines