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September 21, 2014, 11:14:57 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: Rasmussen: Walker takes narrow lead on: Today at 05:44:53 pm
Walker, Martinez, Synder, Parnell.and Scott have political vulnerabilities. We shall see who will lose out in end.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Which Bruce Rauner accomplishment is your favorite? on: Today at 11:08:50 am
Its clear now that the Quinn negatives arent gonna go down. Rauner has steered clear of going negative. Since the debate, he went negative, now Quinn can keep running that ad on abolishment of min wage makes it belivable.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sabato's Gubernatorial Rating Changes on: Today at 09:37:03 am
AK should go to competitive seats
IL tossup
NM lean GOP

I think eventually KS and AK will switch places.

I got Quinn, Walker of AK and Schauer winning. Dems at 23
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PA-2016: Sestak files candidacy for rematch on: September 19, 2014, 04:43:57 pm
Then, since you are such a good predictor, you know Republicans are soon to take the Senate.
[/quote]


The Dems should be good enough to hold the senate.

Races in CO, IA, AK and La are outstanding. But, remember, latinos in CO will be pivitol and the blks will be pivitol in La. They will vote early and we should run up the score in early voting.


As for Pa, good to have our top recruit getting in early, Pa will be key insenate contol for us.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Gravis: Beauprez up 5 on: September 19, 2014, 11:40:41 am
Nah
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Rasmussen: Close race on: September 19, 2014, 11:39:43 am
I hope Carter can pull through.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senate control after 2014, 2016, and 2018 Senate elections on: September 18, 2014, 06:19:56 pm
51-49 senate control Dem
55-45 NH, Pa, IL and Wi fall
Same place as in 14, as in 18, with McCaakill the decider
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Judiciary transformation under President Obama on: September 18, 2014, 06:14:15 pm
The Dems knew that the filibuster was gonna be put to rest anyway if a GOPer was in charge. That in itself is a milestone. And I hope it helps Hilary should she serve twice and replace Scalia and Ginnsburg.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: Vox Populi (R): Brown in the lead on: September 18, 2014, 05:59:36 pm
Once the debates start and early voting, and Brown carpertbagging ways, I trust Ia, CO and NH, go Dem, along with NC., purple states.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: Vox Populi (R): Brown in the lead on: September 18, 2014, 04:44:53 pm
Its gonma be +3 either way, but I will trust a Sulfolk poll, instead, and Shaheen is better off than this poll indicatw.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DK Elections: Chad Taylor off ballot on: September 18, 2014, 04:41:28 pm
Splendid news
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA: Fox News: Cassidy leads primary, up 13 (!) in runoff on: September 18, 2014, 10:10:27 am
I really hope Landrieu comes through for us.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Gardner +8 on: September 18, 2014, 10:09:05 am
If anyone loses it is Hickenlooper, the Udalls are a team and they are much more li
better campaigners, too.

There will be some ticket splitting maybe AR and Ga and even CO.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senate control after 2014, 2016, and 2018 Senate elections on: September 17, 2014, 11:32:20 am
I suspect the GOP will take up 4 or 5 seats,but ultimately North Carolina and Kansas will be what keeps 2014 in the Democratic court.

2016 will be a huge gain for the Dems, they'll easily dump out Ron Johnson (WI),(especially if Feingold decides to return) Pat Toomey (especially if Joe Sestak makes a rematch), and Mark Kirk (IL).

And they have a good chance in NH, and OH. And if Ashley Judd runs a good campaign,she might contest Paul.

2018 however will probably shift to GOP by the default of being a midterm.


Dont be too sure about 2018 as well, McCaakill is a fighter even if Donnelly and heidikempt go down.

2016, Madigan will run if Hilary asks. Ayotte will go down, we sure need NH and CO and NV for the 272 trifecta.

15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-Vanguard: No surprises here on: September 17, 2014, 10:09:18 am
Schauer and Peters must win shoulder to shoulder for us.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipac has Ernst +6 and at 50% on: September 17, 2014, 09:58:32 am
There is always potential for a wave, but around Oct 31st, we will see if it is happening.  Ia going GOP is just like AR staying Dem, potentially but not there yet.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Hick down 10 on: September 17, 2014, 09:33:49 am
It will be closer than expected but Hick should.pull it out.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipac has Ernst +6 and at 50% on: September 17, 2014, 09:18:24 am
This will be a close contest. As QU gets closer to election it will balance out with other polls. Ernst and Beaupez have leads that isnt substainable. We will see.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4 on: September 16, 2014, 09:07:56 pm
KS will be the bellweather of the night. Dems or indy winning will show a good night in GOVs and Senate for us.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Margin (%) for KY-Senate on: September 16, 2014, 08:57:09 pm
Grimes 47
McConnell 46
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: RI-POS (R): Fung-internal shows him tied with Raimondo on: September 16, 2014, 08:40:08 pm
Not surprised that GOP may win RI, not MD again, after time and time again, it has been fools gold for Drms for GOV.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AR-Southern Progress Fund (D)/Answers Unlimited (D ?): Pryor+4 on: September 16, 2014, 10:24:28 am
Thats why the Senate even so slightly tilt towards Dems. AR and Ga still remain in play, while we still hold small leads in AK and NC, our firewall.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Put a Rating on Control of the Senate on: September 15, 2014, 05:47:52 pm
Tilt slightly Dem.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WSB/Landmark: Nunn +3 on: September 14, 2014, 12:58:54 pm
The Deal scandle, nothing else.

But, if Quinn is leading, then I am seeing that Dem surge we.desperately needed.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WSB/Landmark: Nunn +3 on: September 14, 2014, 12:30:55 pm
What chance this poll is accurate? Nunn.

We are begining to see somewhat of a Dem surge. We are just beginning to fight.
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