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July 28, 2014, 03:35:58 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Nate Cohn tweet: YouGov polls show strong numbers for GOP on: July 27, 2014, 04:03:58 pm
Dems will win MI, IL, PA, RI and ME.  And NM or FL. For a net pickup of 3-4 seats.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win the Senate control in November? on: July 27, 2014, 04:01:16 pm
Dems will.lose a couple 3-4 seats but keep control. Win ARK and NC and maybe even KY.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If President Obama gets impeached... on: July 27, 2014, 10:00:16 am
Obama has a 41 percent approval and GOP even lower.

GOP provides a checks and balance in our system of gov. Impeachment has only been about removal of corrupt judges. We are only 2 yrs out from a prez campaign.

Since at the present moment they dont have any chance for conviction, it is seen by most as a political weapon.

It will only remind voters on what sympathy Clinton went through, during Lewinski.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The most close race will be in... on: July 27, 2014, 09:53:12 am
Hopefully, KY, then NC,
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Gravis Marketing: Totally tied on: July 27, 2014, 09:50:32 am
The poll speaks for itself.
I was just elaborating on the point that Dems hold alot of offices down in KY. And Conway winning the governorship nxt election cycle makes it easier to see us winning this year.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Gravis Marketing: Totally tied on: July 27, 2014, 08:02:14 am
Age wil be a contributing factor in deciding control of Senate

As it was for the case for Reid in 2010. But being a 2 time loser in majority status for Senate is a problem. ALG surely will benefit from.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2014 Senatorial Predictions on: July 27, 2014, 07:57:20 am
Pryor def Cotton
ALG def McConnell
Pressler def Weiland def Rounds
Hagen def Tillis
Roberts is upset in KS

50-47-3 Dem majority
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 26, 2014, 08:36:51 pm
This was a race that Martinez should of won easily. This may be an bellweather, usually so goes NM and CO so goes OH. Just maybe, Kasich is more vul than the polls are indicative.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 on: July 25, 2014, 07:00:47 pm
I think Rassy poll missed its mark. Nunn, I do believe is even or slightly ahead, despite what Rassy says.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sabato: IA now tossup, MN a sleeper in the making? on: July 24, 2014, 03:44:03 pm
Sabato missed the mark here. The sleeper rave is either Mnt or Ga. Perhaps CO. But really, MN.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 24, 2014, 03:22:36 pm
As a GOP pollster he has shown Walker, Scott and Martinez in danger of losing.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 24, 2014, 01:05:27 pm
Bruce King was already gov of NM. This state is rype for picking.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Gov. Branstad (R) up 8 on: July 23, 2014, 10:43:51 pm
I would add Coakley to Dark Horse race, you never know.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Gov. Branstad (R) up 8 on: July 23, 2014, 10:20:23 pm
States that are competetive

IL,OH,WI,MI, FL,AR,PA,RI, and ME

Dark Horse races

GA,IA and KS
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Montana on: July 23, 2014, 08:10:30 pm
Walsh by a hair.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Daines only leading by 4 on: July 23, 2014, 05:06:16 pm
The GOP won that House race anyways in 2012 when Jon Tester won.  I think Walsh, like Tester is the comeback kid.

Just like he narrowly won with Gov Bullock in 12 as well.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Would a runoff increase or reduce Michelle Nunn's chances? on: July 23, 2014, 10:12:31 am
She is a better candidate than Landrieu. She has been near 50 percent to avoid a runoff since her campaign begun. I dont like to say she wont win a runoff, hopefully she avoids one.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 10:04:33 am
Like I said Sonny Perdue just like Deal had controversies.

He came in on the Confederate flag issue that divided blks who overwhelmingly vote for Taylor in 2006, but in not large enough numbers. Also in 2003, he failed to disclose Jackson Lake as summer home

Perdue also only has a high school education.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 09:44:05 am
Last names are common in Ga and it doesnt help that this Perdue has the same last name as the 2x ex gov of Ga and the Deal scandles, has about the same affect as running with Obama ans Affordable Care Act.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 09:31:06 am
Nunn was at 49 percent in one poll as she has polled ahead of Landrieu, stuck in the low 40s against Cassidy.

Should we hold onto AK or NC, and win Ga, it will save us from a runoff in La, and save the senate.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: July 23, 2014, 08:39:44 am
At this pt Michelle Nunn has the potential to break the 50 percent thresehold, moreso than Landrieu, to win in Nov.

Perdue and Deal were trailing in the last poll by similar margins. D wins this race.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Survey USA: Crist's Lead Expanding on: July 22, 2014, 04:21:55 pm
This is almost like Pa, race getting away from GOP.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Rating the Gubernatorial Races on: July 22, 2014, 12:10:35 am
Dems will retain IL

and pickup MI, WI or OH, Pa, ME and FL

Ga and KS are clearly dark horse races but above is our top priority.

Pickup by GOP in ARK,
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT-PPP: Daines up 7 on: July 21, 2014, 05:43:01 pm
I think this will.be the surprise of the night, Walsh and Nunn winning.


Gov Bullock knew what he was doing when he selected Walsh, fully aware of his questionable military background.



I am hopefull.about this race.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rick Snyder 2016 on: July 20, 2014, 11:35:49 am
The GOP are clearly looking up to Hilary, she is quick on her feet and a sharp debator. 


Whether Synder wins or loses, the DTW economy hangs over his head and the GOP wants to move past its neglect of the auto unions during bailouts.
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