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May 04, 2016, 01:08:38 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Congrats President Hillary Clinton on: May 03, 2016, 08:27:39 pm
Trump also dooms Congressional GOP
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's Nomination Would be a Catastrophe for the GOP on: May 03, 2016, 04:25:55 pm
Not only would it be dangerous, Dems may duplicate what GOP did in 2014 as far as Senate and get over 51 seats needed and have a little cushion heading into 2018.  House is far from a done deal too.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WV-PPP: Justice leads primary and general on: May 03, 2016, 04:02:41 pm
Tilt R to Tilt D
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grassley losing supoort in Iowa on: May 03, 2016, 03:31:27 pm
I think it will be a wave since Rassy is only pollster to have Trump ahead. Burr and Grassley aren't safe
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPP: All tied up on: May 03, 2016, 10:35:40 am
Portman can still win I am just waiting for that brutal ad campaign that tanks Strickland in the end. Also, in a debate I could see Portman eviscerating Strickland on his record. Ohio will be reelecting Portman.

Not with Trump carrying down GOP ticket he can bring Portman, Grassley and Toomey down
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPP: All tied up on: May 03, 2016, 07:18:29 am
Portman definitely isn't favored anymore, its a tossup
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: FL-AIF: Murphy cruising on: May 03, 2016, 07:17:18 am
NH/FL/WI & IL tilt D for 50 seats
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grassley losing supoort in Iowa on: May 03, 2016, 07:15:04 am
Patty Judge is definately a 2nd tier candidate. This would be Dems other pickup opportunity after OH.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Your ratings for the 2016 Governors' Races on: May 02, 2016, 01:59:30 pm
WVa isnt LR anymore Justice is a nonpartisan Dem
IN TiltsTossup now that Pence supports Cruz
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How does Trump react to losing GE? on: May 02, 2016, 01:16:39 pm
As of now, Clinton should win the 2012 map but Benghazi, Veep Castro and an insurgent Trump can take it to the 272 which she still wins.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grassley losing supoort in Iowa on: May 02, 2016, 01:13:50 pm
I would rate this as tilt R. Definitely not safe
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Last Indiana poll on: May 02, 2016, 12:14:59 pm
Kasich hurt Cruz in Pa and he's hurting him in IN
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Grassley losing supoort in Iowa on: May 02, 2016, 12:11:07 pm
I wouldn't count this towards the Dem 50 th seat. Grassley is far from safe. In a wave he will go down.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPP: All tied up on: May 02, 2016, 12:09:04 pm
Well,
If Trump wins the WH, Portman wins.
And if Clinton wins the WH, Strickland wins.

No party split ticket!

Uh, Portman can win even if Trump loses the state.

Clinton is more likely to win Va but lose OH and Strickland edges Portman. But Portman isnt taking an active roll at party convention that's how worried he's with Trump
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Democrats Must Win 30 Seats to Take the House on: May 02, 2016, 12:03:33 pm
2016 maybe a 2004 neutral election but Clinton narrowly winning or a 2012 winning in a landslide. But 2016 maybe the first time that Dems have duplicated am electoral map. But Dems can have a wave Senate seats without winning House

As far as 2018 goes, very little as far as impeachment is concerned without the Senate. If Clinton stays near 47-49% approvals D's will be fine
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should Hillary run a "3 AM" ad against Trump? on: May 02, 2016, 11:33:57 am
GOP the only one caring like Joe Scarbough and Rassy and Gingrich. It was a terrorist attack on foreign soil. Clintom should run one.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cruz is collapsing in Indiana apparently on: May 02, 2016, 11:31:23 am
Cruz won't extend the primary but Pence endorsed Cruz which will make him look bad in Nov for John Gregg.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie vows to take it to "Contested Contest" at Convention on: May 02, 2016, 11:06:28 am
Jane his wife says that the FBI should get on with the investigation. That's why Sanders isn't gonna suspend but Dems and Superdelegates don't care a out Benghazi.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Grassley losing supoort in Iowa on: May 02, 2016, 10:52:55 am
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/senate-grassley-poll-222696?cmpid=sf

I guess hes vulnerable to Patty Judge who needs to make a name for herself
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Rassy - National: Trump +2 on: May 02, 2016, 10:21:24 am
This election is far from over even though Rassy is doing tracking not state by state polls which seems fishy.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Put a Rating on the US House for 2016 - Spring 2016 on: May 02, 2016, 10:17:48 am
Tilt R House
Tilt D Senate


But House is always a lagging indicator of Senate but a 2012 map will but House at Risk
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Rassy - National: Trump +2 on: May 02, 2016, 09:59:52 am
Clinton is leading
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Tight race in Ohio on: May 02, 2016, 09:58:41 am
Not necessarily, Clinton is much stronger in OH than she is in CO. She needs to win here.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Tight race in Ohio on: May 02, 2016, 09:39:44 am
Clinton leading OH and Va is always good, so she wont play defense so much in Co & Iowa. But Castro will be our Veep
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Tight race in Ohio on: May 02, 2016, 09:33:04 am
Clinton will win OH
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