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October 31, 2014, 11:32:32 am
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Republican Wave? on: Today at 09:08:33 am
2010 was probably the last wave election for a while. After that, it's probably just small wins and solid-but-not-wave wins from here on out. The Democrats are favored in the electoral college, but I doubt they'll get another 2008 level win, while Republicans will be strained to repeat 2004 levels of support.


If the GOP net 4 seats, then Dems will get them right back in 2016, NH,Pa,WI, IL with a conjunction of OH, Va, CO, NV presidential wins for 300 electoral vote.will be enough.to carry house.

But for now, a status quo election.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What will happen in the Senate? on: October 30, 2014, 06:37:45 pm
Hopefully a tied senate with Nunn or Landrieu winning in OT. But a GOP senate is not a sure bet where Hagen and Shaheen will stop GOP sweep.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-Sen, Vox Populi: Brown in the lead on: October 30, 2014, 04:50:50 pm
Rassy poll will be out shortly on NH.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-Sen, Vox Populi: Brown in the lead on: October 30, 2014, 04:29:05 pm
Yeah sure.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-UNH: New Hampshire politics is schizophrenic on: October 30, 2014, 04:22:46 pm
Shaheen was really in no danger.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: VOX Populi (R): Tillis up more than Gardner on: October 30, 2014, 04:21:21 pm
A scenario of going into OT, instead of a loss suits us perfectly.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Starting to look like a nationwide bloodbath... on: October 29, 2014, 06:08:48 pm
Nope, Nunn may very well win, and Orman and Hagen, and we will still have Majority.

Not conceding anything until it is really over.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MI: EPIC/MRA: Schauer Surges on: October 29, 2014, 05:24:34 pm
Yes.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Strategies 360 (D): Udall +1 on: October 29, 2014, 10:00:18 am
Nice
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins Alaska? on: October 29, 2014, 09:45:59 am
Braley, Udall and Begich are in similar positions, but if it coincides with Nunn winning, we will prevail.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Strategies 360 (D): Hick up 3 on: October 29, 2014, 09:32:52 am
Alright, go Hick, Udall, Romanoff.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac: Hick down by 5 on: October 29, 2014, 09:29:06 am
Hick isnt a great campaigner, but with house seats going down to wire, he, Udall and Braley will win.

get the joint out of your mouth

You said Malloy was doomed and he has tied it up. Hick is dull, but this race will be close.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac: Hick down by 5 on: October 29, 2014, 09:06:48 am
Hick isnt a great campaigner, but with house seats going down to wire, he, Udall and Braley will win.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-Mitchell Research: Snyder pulling ahead? on: October 29, 2014, 09:03:10 am
Burke has a better chance than Schauer.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac - Ernst up 4 on: October 29, 2014, 07:20:18 am
AK, CO, IA, KS, Ga and La will be close.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac - Ernst up 4 on: October 29, 2014, 07:08:02 am
Ernst isnt Senator already and with Ia, CO and Ga so close, all we have to win 2 of these, but Ernst due to her miitary background is a stronger than ecpected candidate.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Has Pressler Collapsed? on: October 29, 2014, 06:49:09 am
Because people saw him not as a change agent, but another GOPer, so the partisans went to their candidates.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Upset of election night on: October 29, 2014, 06:37:52 am
Grimes pulling it out will get us out of runoff situation in Ga and La and AK indifference, hoping for a miracle.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac - Ernst up 4 on: October 29, 2014, 06:30:18 am
Again, this race is gonna go down to wire, Ernst, Gardner are not running away, this poll shows that.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is anyone else psyched at all of the tight races in this year's midterms? on: October 29, 2014, 03:13:46 am
This was the GOP election to begin with. But Dems seem to find ways to win.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Senate on: October 29, 2014, 03:06:09 am
Landrieu 51/49 runoff or not
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins Alaska? on: October 29, 2014, 03:01:12 am
I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.

Begich by 10 points, or Sullivan by 10 Tongue
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2014 Senatorial Predictions on: October 28, 2014, 05:31:11 pm
SFinal prediction
51D/48/1

Begich def Sullivan 51/49 (hold)

Cotton def Pryor 53/47 (R pick up)

Udall def Gardner 52/48 (hold)

Durbin def Oberweis 60/40

Braley def Ernst 51/49 (hold)

Orman def Roberts 47/43  (pick up)

Landrieu def Cassidy 53/47 (hold)

Collins def Bellows 70/28

Peters def Land 53/47 (hold)

Daines def Curtis 63/37 (R pick up)

Shaheen def Brown 54/46

Hagen def Tillis 51/49 (hold)

Rounds def Weiland 50/29 (R pick up)

Capito def Tennant 55/45 (R pickup)

Wash in senate
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Dem internal in AR: Pryor +1 on: October 27, 2014, 06:29:21 pm
Seems like there is still some life left in him. Yay?

Ga and AR will be the surprise of this election, and if need be KY.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Rasmussen: Gardner in the lead on: October 27, 2014, 11:11:39 am
Marist poll which shows a 1 pt lead is more accurate, mail in ballots tend to be more tilted to Dems.
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