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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC: Public Policy Polling: Hagan ties Berry, leads all other Rs on: May 23, 2013, 04:43:35 pm
The senate is up for grabs and can flip on a dime on laundrieu, Hagen, and begich. I don't think she is safe especially on Ssm, gun control, and obamacare. But min abolishment is troublesome.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sestak's Senate candidacy - Part II on: May 19, 2013, 08:21:55 am
Just in this case La, nc, and ak are the big three vul., in 2016, hopefully Dan Hynes run in ill, along w Wisconsin and pa are most likely to lose.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SD-Sen: Former Dem House candidate in on: May 13, 2013, 02:19:28 pm
So likely rep...
Not even Likely Rep. Herseth was their only hope at holding this seat. Democrats need to abandon this race.
WVA, SD, KY, GA, safe GOP.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Chris Christie (by party) on: May 08, 2013, 11:06:40 am
Moderate on NJ issues like immigration, but when he comes to DC and Boehner and McConnell sets the GOP agenda when it comes to litmus test for Crt appointees he will be more like Bush.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: out of all the southern states (the old 11 confederate states) which is the most on: May 08, 2013, 11:03:32 am
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MA: Everyone other than Brown is unknown on: May 07, 2013, 04:00:37 pm
He knows that he could have lost the MA special if Cupuano had run instead of Coakley. I doubt he wants to take him on now. Cupuano is gonna be the next MA governor.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: LBJ in Texas (1964) on: May 07, 2013, 03:18:04 pm
The state was split between Dallas and urban blacks and conservatives in the South.  After, RF ran and California and Ohio became the swing state in 68 on account of opposing Vietnam, urbanized voters couldn't make up the difference with the swath of conservatives.
8  General Discussion / History / Re: Best-looking candidate in the primaries on: May 06, 2013, 11:26:39 am
1980 Edward Kennedy
1984 Gary Hart
1988 Jesse Jackson/Joe Biden
1992 Clinton

1996 Buchanan
2000 McCain

2004 Dean/ Edwards
2008 Obama

2012 Cain/ M Romney
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bush41 will outlive... on: May 02, 2013, 03:01:30 pm
Alot of people can live to 107, look at JP Stevens. But I doubt it.  I think they, Bush and Carter will live to around 95.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary does not run, which Republican has the best shot? on: May 02, 2013, 02:27:34 pm
Since, Cuomo numbers have declined a great deal, no one has a chance in stopping her. And her pal Schweizer is running for the senate. Barring something coming out of the closet, she's inclined to run.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What states are unwinable for either party? on: May 02, 2013, 02:03:08 pm


Hillary Clinton map putting in 2016 AZ in play.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Can future Democratic presidents win Arizona? on: May 01, 2013, 12:01:45 pm
Hillary Clinton is the only Democrat, in the near term to put AZ in play, in 2016. Especially, against Marco Rubio, she will need it.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Justice O’Connor: Maybe Bush V. Gore Was A Mistake on: May 01, 2013, 11:29:33 am
At least he knew about the greenhouse effect or green revolution before anyone else did. Al gore wouldn't have been the most exciting prez, but abu graub would have never happened.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / q on: April 26, 2013, 02:07:13 pm
Rutherford vs Madigan race, Dillard would have beaten Quinn in 2010 but not Madigan.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Barbara Bush : "we've had enough Bushes!" on: April 26, 2013, 02:05:12 pm
Immigration reform and maybe no war in Iraq would have been the story of Jeb prez.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Political dynasties on: April 26, 2013, 02:04:13 pm
Hillary is about change and the future and expanding minority rights. Jeb is only about resurrecting the Bush name. I think Hillary is electable, Jeb isn't.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Illinois on: April 24, 2013, 04:49:16 pm

Every ad that Dold ran had a Mark Kirk face on it.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Illinois on: April 24, 2013, 11:23:55 am
Dold was a Kirk clone and lost in a prez yr, Dan Hynes, Chris Kennedy, and Mike Quigley in that order would be the strongest candidates.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2013 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: VA-Gov, Roanoke: Cuccinelli in the lead on: April 24, 2013, 09:55:23 am
Bain capital has taken toll on McCauliff, flawed candidate.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 10 seats more likely to flip on: April 24, 2013, 09:50:50 am
r +4 Montana, Arkansas, WVA, and SD.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL Gov: Lisa Madigan Beating Gov. Quinn in Fundraising on: April 22, 2013, 05:53:25 pm
Its a political power play on the part of Michael Madigan. He has done nothing to help Quinn, Blago, or Bill Daley to help their political cause in the state. He was making it easier to help draft his daughter for higher office.  Lisa will be much kinder to unions on the part of pension reform and help raise the minimum wage and close the gun show loopholes.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2014 Senatorial Predictions on: April 22, 2013, 12:40:29 pm
Alabama- Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska- Begich (D)
Arkansas- Tom Cotton (R)
Colorado- Mark Udall (D)
Delaware- Chris Coons (D)
Georgia- Barrow (D)
Hawaii- Brian Schatz (D)
Idaho- Jim Risch (R)
Illinois-Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa- Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas- Todd Tiahart (R)
Kentucky Mitch (R)
Louisana-Mary Landrieu (D)
Maine- Susan Collins- (R)
Massachusetts- Ed Markey (D)
Michigan- Gary Peters (D)
Minnesota- Al Franken (D)
Mississippi- Stacey Pickering (R)
Montana- Champ Edmunds (R)
Nebraska- Dave Heineman (R)
New Hampshire- Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey- Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico- Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina- Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma- Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon- Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island- Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina- Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina Special- Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota- Kristi Noem (R)
Tennessee- Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas- John Cornyn (R)
Virginia- Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia- Shelly Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming- Elizabeth Cheney (R)
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions on: April 12, 2013, 12:28:25 pm
My preliminary predictions:
Alabama: Robert Bentley (R Hold)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R Hold)
Arizona: Jan Brewer (R Hold)
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R Gain)
California: Jerry Brown (D Hold)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D Hold)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D Hold)
Florida: Charlie Crist (D Gain)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R Hold)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D Hold)
Idaho: Butch Otter (R Hold)
Illinois: Lisa Madigan (D hold)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R Hold)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R Hold)
Maine: Eliot Cutler (I Gain)
Maryland: Anthony G. Brown (D Hold)
Massachusetts: Tim Murray (D Hold)
Michigan: Stupick (D Gain)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D Hold)
Nebraska: Don Stenberg (R Hold)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D Hold)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R Hold)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D Hold)
Ohio: John Kasich (R Hold)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R Hold)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D Hold)
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz (D Gain)
Rhode Island: Dem Gain
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R Hold)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R Hold)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R Hold)
Texas: Greg Abbott (R Hold)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D Hold)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R Hold)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R Hold)
[/quote]
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook: The GOP (House) Advantage on: April 12, 2013, 11:56:06 am
The House was lost once these sequester cuts started to kick in and the job market started to decline. The GOP will have at least 225 seats in the House and the Dems will control 51 seat majority in senate, loss of 4 seats.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Newt in 2016? Why not? on: April 10, 2013, 06:03:45 pm
What a role he played, in the last campaign. Giving Obama the Bain Capital to run on.  He will not run in 2016.
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