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April 18, 2014, 11:36:56 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Harper (R) releases several polls for the NRSC on: Today at 07:25:14 pm
The Keystone pipeline is being built right through MT, La and ARK. The polls are relavant to that and it matters concerning oil and gas. That's why these numbers are an improvement.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPP - Kasich is tied with FitzGerald on: Today at 08:24:02 am
We have to defeat Walker rather than Kasich. This poll just shows that besides Corbett, another GOP gov in midweat will go down. Just like we saw the tie with Walker, I think the GOP govs surges are over and we have new races in IL, MI, WI and OH. This is encouraging.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Dems lose the Senate in 2014, will they win it back in 2016? on: April 17, 2014, 08:35:16 pm
There is buyer's remorse on the part of Prez Obama, but I don't think the GOP has expanded outside the solid GOP south. The gov races in IL, MI, PA and FL and ME is proving that. The map is certainly in their favor but unless they can defeat Mary Landrieu, with Cassidy, who wasn't their best hope, they aren't picking up the senate.

As far as 2016, goes, it may very well repeat the 2014 gov cycle, IL, PA, and Wisc.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Will Barack Obama be remembered as the Democrats' Nixon? on: April 17, 2014, 12:52:18 pm
He was a transformational prez, but not in the sense of moving legislation, but voters. He got the Mike Moore crowd, to turn out and vote. He legacy will all depend on whether his group of new voters will continue to vote Dem after he isn't prez.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Harper (R) releases several polls for the NRSC on: April 17, 2014, 12:37:17 pm
Walsh can win after all. That LA looks mighty suspicious, Cassidy isn't that far ahead.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KS: Sebelius considering run on: April 16, 2014, 09:20:55 am
She's the reason Dems are on retreat, not offensive in the Senate.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Dems lose the Senate in 2014, will they win it back in 2016? on: April 16, 2014, 07:21:41 am
The Dems will have the edge as far as Clinton, should she make a go. If the GOP does manages to pick up the Senate Johnson and Kirk are gonners. And we have 50/50 chance elsewhere in MO, Pa and Fla to recapture the senate..
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Woman throws a shoe at Hillary Clinton. on: April 15, 2014, 06:20:23 pm
Clinton handled it well. Shows she shouldn't take things for granted. And it would mean alot more if it was in the heat of the campaign. Her and Jeb I assume would have trials like these if they want to be prez.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Biggest state surprises of the 1992 election on: April 15, 2014, 07:55:13 am
Co and NV and NH which gives the Dems the same amount of votes as OH. Not only that it became the Democratic firewall of 272-266 margin in the electoral college. Ohio had become more and more less important, due to the population decrease in rust belt to southwest. Hilary is the only Dem that can carry AZ, due to Bill winning the state in the next election.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP (D) for MoveOn.org (D): Dems lead in FL, PA, GA, KS, ME on: April 14, 2014, 05:35:07 pm
When you have Dems lead in numerous states, despite the PVI, on prez races, I will take KS and Ga. This is a midterm, the GOP may have the edge in House, until 2016, but like prez races, statewide races favor Dems.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IL-Rasmussen: Rauner (R) beats Gov. Quinn (D) by 3 on: April 14, 2014, 12:07:36 pm
Wasn't Rauner up by double digits and now he leads only by three? It was called a surge.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Does Kathleen Sebelius have a political future in Kansas? on: April 13, 2014, 06:37:53 pm
It wasn't her administrative ability, it were her denials, repeated ones, that sunk her. Just like Susan Rice, they were taking in the administrative talking pts.

The rollout, not the law itself was the problem.
13  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Do you believe in ancient aliens? on: April 13, 2014, 06:08:44 pm
Ancient Egypt, first civilization did the supernatural of building the pyrimids.

The afterlife is the supernatural. And so are aliens. Which are the unknown.

When revelations reveal itself, if it comes to past, we will find out if there is so called the unknown or supernatural in a new incarnated body either when Judgement Day comes or when Buddhists say, in future lifetimes.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Less people think ACA will hurt them, more think it will have no effect on: April 13, 2014, 05:17:49 pm
We are in the in between time, the employer mandate delay and individual mandate. That ACA hasn't hurt employment to degree where, there aren't jobs being created, it just created more part time work. The gap will close between perm and part time workers, when all employers have to cover. But, most places offer free clinics for physicals like STD check or flu shots, in which some people feel that's all they need.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Current ticket predictions? on: April 13, 2014, 01:38:26 pm
I think that's what the GOP wants, is to pick Bennett, so that it would be too disruptive and they can steal the senate, if they fail to capture it this time. Bennett, just like Salazar will find a cabinet post in a new administration.

16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do people think this will be a Republican year? on: April 13, 2014, 01:18:29 pm
Most of who you were referring to, have been discredited by their own party, Lincoln and Lugar were primaried. Burns had ethics. I think Pryor or Landrieu will be reelected.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Current ticket predictions? on: April 13, 2014, 12:25:06 pm
Clinton/Warner v Jeb/Martinez

Nixon (last name)
Bennett (won't run, in a deadlocked senate, IL and CO will hang in balance)
McAuliff(too Clintonite)

Huck
Sandoval(pro choice)
Portman
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Should we reform the Electoral College? on: April 13, 2014, 10:28:44 am
In 2000, it was very controversial. When we have neither reaching the 270 needed to clinch the election or election decided by such a small margin, instead of the parties deciding election, we should of had a runoff. Only then, the elections would have been fair in 1800, 1828, 1876, 2000.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Current ticket predictions? on: April 13, 2014, 09:32:15 am
Hilary/Hickenlooper v Jeb/some VP pick. Bennett doesn't want to leave CO unprotected should he leave, Buck will surely vie for that seat.

Bennett will do a cabinet position after election and let a hand picked successor succeed him, al la Salazar.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions on: April 13, 2014, 09:12:17 am
Any candidate in Boston who is connected to Christie or Romney like Healey or Scott Brown or Baker aren't gonna get far in Boston or NH.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Hillary being pressured into a run or does she really want it? on: April 13, 2014, 08:13:07 am
Both, she wants to run, but it seems like the fall of Andrew Cuomo and nonenthusiastic choices of Biden and OMalley is forcing her into the front runner status. She wanted to make her mind up, and leave open the possibility that they can win with someone else, but they can't.

That's why Bill kept coming out and denying her intent on running, to give someone else a chance.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Does Kathleen Sebelius have a political future in Kansas? on: April 13, 2014, 07:52:05 am
No. Too bad Obama picked her, she would've been a good candidate for Senate in 2010 (not that it would've mattered because of the enormous GOP wave, but we had no way of knowing that in early 2009).
Howard Dean and Tom Daschle were always the best choices for the post. And then an opening comes up and the still don't get the call.
I think cabinet posts should go to people like Matthews. I'd rather trust HHS to a former head of Management and Budget than a former Senator who happened to be a policy wonk on healthcare. The job is mostly administrative; they don't enact new laws, they enforce them.

Obama's mistake was to delay the employer mandate. When the website that administration held in charge of, didn't work, it gave the critiques room to insist that the ACA should also be delayed.

Just like Susan Rice, she kept claiming administrative talking points that the numbers were on the rise during that slow period.


The enrollment are up, but the rollout cost the administration legislative time to enact tax reform or other economic achievements to fix the economy. Which is why the economy is still slow.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IL-Rasmussen: Sen. Durbin (D) up 14 on: April 13, 2014, 04:19:54 am
Oberwise who was Dennis Hassert's friend, is past his prime and was more tougher to beat in 2006. He would have been a tougher opponent, perhaps than Judy Topinka, against Blagojevich, he had no ties to George Ryan. Now, he is old news, because Hassert is out office. He was also suppose to win Hassert's seat, when Hassert retired, but Foster is now in that seat that he took from Biggert.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do people think this will be a Republican year? on: April 13, 2014, 04:07:52 am
When you put it that way, it makes more sense. Otherwise it seemed like a bizarre correlation.

Landrieu also been in office longer and Pryor, so that they aren't as vulnerable as Begich or Hagen, who are freshman Senatprs. The GOP are bound to have a new female senator and that is SMC, and defeat a female Senator, and Hagen, not Shaheen or Landrieu, as it seems is the weakest link

We need Landrieu for the runoff if Senate control depends on it, event bough the GOP may have the edge.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do people think this will be a Republican year? on: April 12, 2014, 06:18:58 pm
There are Romney states and there are duo senate and gubernatorial elections. The Dems do have the advantage of keeping AR, CO, and MI based purely on the duo contest going on. I think as it seems now, with Ross having a Hutchinson on the ticket is an advantage to Pryor having defeated brother Tim, who have terrible approvals. So, AR,La with the McAllister reminding people of Vitter,and AK are winnable.
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