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April 18, 2015, 03:49:24 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Senatorial Result on: April 17, 2015, 03:54:53 pm


WI; IL; Pa; OH; NH; 2016; hopefully Dems net 5 senate seats and cover loses with a pickup in NV and ME. It's a stretch, but can be done

Dems pickup NV; Dina Titus; and Collins retires to make room for Cain; but lose Donnelly and Heitkamp. As dems minimize loses due to picking up gov races in IL, MD, MA, WI, MI, and NM.

Tester; McCaskil survive.

2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Senatorial Result on: April 17, 2015, 12:22:28 pm
WI; IL; Pa; OH; NH; 2016; hopefully Dems net 5 senate seats and cover loses with a pickup in NV and ME. It's a stretch, but can be done

Dems pickup NV; Dina Titus; and King or Collins retires to make room for Cain; but lose Donnelly and Heitkamp. As dems minimize loses due to picking up gov races in IL, MD, MA, WI, MI, and NM.

Tester; McCaskill; Carte Goodwin survive.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis on: April 16, 2015, 03:36:22 pm
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-2016: A Thread on: April 16, 2015, 11:46:55 am
Far from a hack, an objective Democrat.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Voters want Sen. Menendez (D) to resign on: April 16, 2015, 11:05:38 am
Well Chris Christie will get another appointment.  Until Holt fills the vacancy.

Next to Torricelli, Menendez is the most corrupt.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-2016: A Thread on: April 16, 2015, 11:02:02 am
I say he's in, and will win the Governor race, Dems desperately want him to do this. Carte Goodwin will have a smooth sailing for reelection in 2018.

That's one seat and besides Tester's seat, that are the most vulnerable, due to Gov Bullock brusing appointment over Walsh, spanning over several election cycles 2014 senate, 2016 gov and 2018 senate again.

you are the definition of a hapless hack, bro.


Manchin been wanting an out of senate since 2014.

7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-Gov (Harper): Manchin with big lead, otherwise GOP with a slight advantage on: April 16, 2015, 08:02:51 am
Dems arent gonna cede this seat. Anyways, Rauner did precisely the samething in IL. And the legislature still ignores him, but that's doesnt stop Rauner. Let Manchin take his time and decide to run for whatever office he wants.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In poll memo, Crossroads (Karl Rove) & POS (R) define 15 swing states on: April 15, 2015, 05:47:38 pm


Hillary  303
Walker 206
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-Gov (Harper): Manchin with big lead, otherwise GOP with a slight advantage on: April 15, 2015, 02:53:32 pm
If he wins, he would just appoint a replacement and have a special election just like he did last time.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kerry or Romney: Who came closer to winning the presidency? on: April 15, 2015, 01:19:50 pm
Yeah, Kerry should of picked Mark Warner as VP, and the spending in VA could have possibly tipped OH, but the answer to the question, wasn't who actually won, who came closest, it was clearly Kerry, in favor of a better VP.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Last time a VP cost a state? on: April 15, 2015, 01:03:32 pm
Kerry would have to have dealt with that, but the surplus was eaten away by the tax cuts for the rich, which Kerry would of had to stopped. And economy downward spiral continued under 4 more years of Bush.

Katrina would have been handled much better and country would have been spared of Cheney scandles. History will decide if tax cuts for wealthy helped led to 2008 economic crash, but Edwards was overrated by Frum. Which he acknowledged afterward.

You mean the media would have spun Katrina in Kerry's favor.
BTW those tax cuts for the rich have been made permanent by Obama. Only the top .1% have had their taxes increased.

What Cheney scandals??

The housing meltdown and great recession werent caused by tax cuts. You need to stop being such a partisan hack. The housing crisis which lead to the financial crisis of 2008, was like all crisises a monetary phenomenon. The Fed created too much liquidity in the aftermath of 9-11 and the Dot.com bubble bursting. That liquidity found its way into the housing market. Banks lent money to people who couldnt repay loans. Those banks would securitize those loans and resell them. AIG was a big buyer. When those loans failed, they pulled down large institutions and banks, resulting in a credit collapse. I also think $140 oil played a role as well. The Great Recession's seeds were planted back in the early 2000s, long before the Jan 20, 2005 when Kerry would have been president.

No, the capital gains tax cuts were made pernament, persons making over 500k and estate tax were reinstated.

Kerry would have made a fine president, I didn't say it would have haulted the 2008 recession, it would have made it less severe. Democrats would have had to reclaim the House to recscend the Bush tax cuts in 2006, anyways.  But estates tax would have been restored, enough McCains in the senate would have  pushed through an estate tax increase, if they reclaimed the senate on millionaire estates.

Cheney was responsible for Waterboarding and torture at Abu Ghraib. Scotty Libby and Karl Rove had to leave office of outing Valerie Plame's covert secret identity as a CIA agent and Libby was Cheney's chief of staff. 

No one outside Bush administration liked Cheney, that's why Kerry almost won, anyways.

12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: First President from a Non-CA/TX Western State on: April 15, 2015, 12:58:43 pm
Oregon, Mnt; Washington, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Nevada

Governor Bullock would be a strong recruit should Dems not win in 2016. He would run against perhaps Gov Newsome of CA, in 2020.

A Gov Bullock v Gov Sandoval race possibly in 2020.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: judd gregg for vp on: April 15, 2015, 12:55:41 pm
He's not gonna run against Hilary, because aside from Health care reform, he supports many of her policies, when it comes to immigration and TARP and no child left behind.

And he won't win NH, Hilary is strong there too, seeing that they got an all female Delegation and would gladly vote for a first woman president.

He might as well join Clinton's cabinet, instead of running against it, he's done with politics, he wants to spend time in retirement.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: How would presidential campaigns change if there was a national popular vote? on: April 15, 2015, 11:49:24 am
Bulk of campaigning will be done in Latino enriched communities in AZ;NV;CA;NM; CO and FL. Only matter of time FL becomes one of the Democratic trending states along with CO and NV; especially since Julian Castro will most likely be the VP nominee. FL, by the way has enriched Puerto Rican and Cuban communities.

By 2020, I hope that there is enough states to ratify the popular vote referendum and allow it to be a national vote election, not electoral college, since the popular vote is the most democratic thing to do and won't be affected by the electoral college, like it did in 2000, where the process became undemocratic.

I hope Democrats, shouldn't be afraid of this since, they were robbed in 2000, and the change will have to take time to adjust. Even if Democrats win the W.H this year.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: judd gregg for vp on: April 15, 2015, 11:31:54 am
He is a moderate who supported comprehensive immigration reform in 2006 and voted for TARP.  

He also supported Mitt Romney.

He is Mitt Romney lite, with being a senator for NH, not Mass, but I like his work on education reform, and no child left behind; being a cosponsor of the act with Teddy Kennedy.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In poll memo, Crossroads (Karl Rove) & POS (R) define 15 swing states on: April 15, 2015, 07:31:08 am



290 electors including OHIO
my map 10 states
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton supports constitutional amendment against money in politics on: April 15, 2015, 07:11:50 am
This is not hypocrisy at all.

She is just playing by the current rules like anybody would do. It is totally legitimate to play by the current rules, yet believing that those rules should be changed. It is exactly what I would do. It is exactly what anybody with any sense would do.

Also, she supports Mainstreet, not Wallstreet ideas, like union collective barginning when it comes to teachers, minimum wage, and healthcare for all

It is the GOP who takes Wallstreet money and doesn't invest it back to the community but give it back to Wallstreet in capital gains tax cuts.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton supports constitutional amendment against money in politics on: April 15, 2015, 06:43:32 am
"Dirty money" was invented by the Koch Brothers, it keeps the Dems from competeting in the House of Representatives. And by that, the workers in this country never will get a real wage increase.  Eventually, they will get a minimum wage bill through, but a liveable wage that Walker didn't support, as he took their money to beat Burke who was going to increase her state's minimum wage. The frontrunner for the GOP.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did Kerry pick Edwards relatively early? on: April 15, 2015, 04:04:18 am
Kerry, was a boring candidate and he was behind in key states like WI, and picking someone youthful like Edwards, was to add energy, not arrogance to his campaign.

But, voters saw both of the candidates as trial lawyers and arrogant, together, he should have went and told Mark Warner, who was Edwards lite, who refused to run, and would have brought VA and OH along to win the election; for the good of your country, you must become the VP nominee; instead he surrendered to Warner, and we never heard from him during the campaign.

At least Warner should of campaigned for Kerry in OH, and Bob Graham should have been selected as VP to go after Cheney on Abu Gharib.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: First President from a Non-CA/TX Western State on: April 15, 2015, 03:58:39 am
Gov Bullock, from Mnt, should he survive 2016, will probably run if Hilary Clinton loses in 2016.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-Gov (Harper): Manchin with big lead, otherwise GOP with a slight advantage on: April 15, 2015, 03:51:27 am
His seat is up for grabs anyways in 2018, and the republican wave, in the senate has already started in states like LA and WVA. Dems should start out fresh and get a new candidate and let Manchin go back to Charleston.

He is a blue dog anyways, he was already gov of WVA, and found ways to compromise with the GOP in the state legislature anyways.

Let him run and win and appoint his pal Carte Goodwin as senator.  The dems aren't gonna bail on this race just because they are veto proof powerless, I am for Manchin beating Morrisey for gov.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-Sen: Cincinnati Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld likely running on: April 14, 2015, 06:14:03 pm
Strickland campaigned in 2014 for Dems, and actively spoke at the DNC convention in 2012, for Obama. I think this in itself give good reason why Strickland, not Sittenfield will be nominated, they will give him another spot at the convention in 2016, on behalf of Hilary.

Dems will have Strickland, Duckworth and Feingold there.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kerry or Romney: Who came closer to winning the presidency? on: April 14, 2015, 06:05:23 pm
Kerry obviously would have won had OH had moved to touched screen alot sooner. Dimpled chads were alot confusing to voters and it was still a problem in IL and OH. We will never know, but one can only hoped it to be so, since the state was so close and some provisional ballots werent counted.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Greenberg-Quinlan-Rosner (D-HRC): Tie on: April 14, 2015, 05:52:51 pm
I am rooting for Gregg.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-Gov (Harper): Manchin with big lead, otherwise GOP with a slight advantage on: April 14, 2015, 05:51:42 pm
Dems want this senate seat, passing it onto nxt generation. I am happy to see Manchin move on, on his own terms, instead of like Pryor.
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