Hillary would crush Romney here in NH. Probably win by a good 5%-10%.

I would put money on Hillary having a 15 point lead on him there.

Eh, he's safe. I aint saying I like the fact of him being re-elected, but it's gonna happen.

Barbour is safe, I don't know what your smoking to think that the Dems can knock him off Harry, but they aren't.  The Democrats would rather spend their money in another two years to knock off Blunt, Daniels and a few others.

Sorry.

I hope she runs.  I can already imagine the fun the comedians will have talking about her "Nanny"-state positions.

lol!

She was working in a TV show in Los Angeles, CA,
'Til her network kicked her out in one of those crushing scenes.
What was she to do? Where was she to go? She was out on her fanny...
So over the bridge from LA to the Capitals door.
She was there to sell make-up, but the Speaker saw more.
 She had style! She had flair! She was there.
That's how she became the Congressnanny!

Yeah, Romeny would have a 50-50 chance of getting those numbers if he were running against Kucinich.

I would vote Bloomberg, and hope he woud win.  Bloomberg will get the highest share of Independents, will probably be able to secure a good chunk of the Republicans from Giuliani, than a nice portion of democrats from Clinton.

I can't even imagine what a map would look like, but I would say the race would really come down between Bloomberg and Clinton. They would probably be within 2-5 points of each other.  Lieberman would be in last place, with 10% at the most. I don't think that the conservatives outside of New England would court Lieberman because he is Jewish.

For me personally, with the current field out now, if Bloomberg runs, he has my vote. Bloomberg would be the smartest campaigner too. He'll come out with EV's for sure.

Can't wait!

 This is a great timeline.

Wow.. I wonder if King would have to campaign at all for that one.

It's about time he dropped out. I thought he would be a good candidate, but watching him take questions in interviews made his appeal drop. He should have tried harder to get that VP spot in 2000.

I'm going to say non of these. The only one with a possibility is North Dakota, Montana, or Wisconsin, and that's if the incumbent retires.

As the conventions near, Vice President Clinton was only able to win a few states, including her home state of New York, but lost Arkansas and Illinois. Gov. John Lynch shows his support of President Daschle, but continues to slam Hillary Clinton on her liberal policies, and he promises the public that he will continue the work of Daschle, with a moderate to liberal stance.

 Rep. Mike Pence has announced that he will be dropping out of the race, and support Rick Perry. Democrat polls have begun to be released on hypothetical matchups between candidates who have so far run for the nomination.

With Clinton as the nominee

Clinton 40% - Perry 48%
Clinton 46% - Miller 39%
Clinton 45% - Pence 36%

With Lynch as the nominee

Lynch 48%- 40% Perry
Lynch 50% - 36% Miller
Lynch 51% - 38% Pence

Polls showing Lynch with a secure lead over all challengers brings his numbers up, and further secures his nomination over Hillary Clinton.  Clinton holds a press conference in front of her campaign headquaters in New York City.

 “Friends, we have traveled together these past few months, and we certainly have a lot of stories to tell. It was an honor to serve as a U.S. Senator for New York, and your Vice President for the past five years. We fought hard, and I want to thank every single one of my supporters for all the help you have given me. But now is the time to put our support behind one nominee, so that we may continue the policies of the democrat party. It is for that reason that I urge everyone to support Gov. John Lynch to be our nominee, and to be our next President of the United States!”

 Many believe that Clinton droping out now would help her chances to be picked as a VP pick for Lynch.  He had made it known that having Clinton on his ticket would be a possibility.  As the conventions near, word of Vice Presidential picks have been made public.

For Gov. Lynch-

Vice President Hillary Clinton (D-NY)
Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN)
Sen. Brian Schwietzer (D-MT)
Sen. John Edwards (D-NC)
Frm. Gov. Mark Warner (D-VA)
Frm. Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA)


For Gov. Perry-

Sen. Chris Shays (R-CT)
Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN)
Sen. Zell Miller (R-GA)
Sen. Bill Frist (R-TN)
Sen. Jeb Bush (R-FL)

2012 Senate Elections-

Democrats-
Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) has announced she will not be a candidate for re-election.  Barbara Boxer has announced interest in this seat.
Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA) will run for re-election


Republicans-
Sen. Chris Shays (R-CT) has announced he will run for re-election, and is expected to be challenged by State Treasurer Deniese Nappier.
 Sen. Bill Frist (R-TN) has announced he will not run for a fourth term. Rep. Bob Corker (R-TN) had announced he will run for this seat.
Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R-RI) will run for re-election, and is currently unoposed.
Sen. Craig Thomas (R-WY) will not run for re-election, former Gov. Dave Freudenthal (D-WY) will run against Rep. Barbara Cubin for this seat.
Sen. Trent Lott (R-MS) will not run for re-election,  Rep. Gene Taylor (D-MS), will face frm Gov. Haley Barbour for this seat.
Sen. Mike DeWine (R-OH) will run for re-elction, and will face Gov. Ted Strickland (D-OH).

At the Democrat Conventions Gov. John Lynch (D-NH) has announced that he has chosen frm. Gov. Mark Warner (D-VA) to be his running mate. “Gov. Warner has helped to make Virginia stronger during his time as Governor. He improved it’s seucity, while balancing the budget at the same time. After his time in office,  he continued to advocate for the people in Virginia, and I know that he will serve just as hard for the people of America, as he did the people of Virginia.”  Vice President Hillary Clinton has not yet announced what she will do with her future plans.  Rep. Nancy Pelosi has announced that she will continue to run for re-election, and will not force a third party campaign.

 At the Republican Conventions, former Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) hasa nnounced he has  chosen Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) to be his running mate. “Mike has been a good friend over the past while now. He served the people of his district well, and has served the Republicans in the House with honor and dignity serving as Minority Whip, and Majority Leader. I know he will be an asset to this ticket, and will help bring our nation back together”.

 Gov. Perry takes a dip in the polls after the convention, as he was seen speaking more about Republican values, over what he will do to help the nation. Moderates and Independents start to see Perry taking a sharp conservative turn, while Lynch has run a strong moderate to liberal campaign.

 Hypothetical matchups show Lynch leading Perry by a wider margin, as well as making gains for the Senate.

“If the U.S. Presidential Election was held today, who would you vote for?”

 Gov. John Lynch (D-NH) 52%
 Frm. Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) 40%
Undecided 8%

Next Update:  Elections are here, and a surprising event makes for an important gain for one party.

I keep my fingers crossed for North Carolina.

I honestly think that Jeb could have become Senator in 2006. At the worst, I think he would have kept Nelson to a  51-49 race.

Never would have thought thT Utah would support Romney. Go figure!

Clinton beaten by Romney - forgive me but - bulls**t.

Yeah, something aint right there.

If he doesn't get the appointment, I hope he defeats Cubin. She is a waste in the House.

Good, Durbin is one of my favorite Democrat senators.

No, but they bring nothing to the field in 2008, so why would they be any more important in 2012?

Sorry, but people like Pawlenty, Sanford, Bush and others who are going to be out of office in 2006, 2008, or in 2010 will not make any major impact in the race.
 
 My choices were Palin, Crist, Thune, and Vitter.

Sarah Palin is hot.  I realize this isn't the subject of the thread, but I thought I'd interject it anyway.

Seconded

Does Blanco still have the same approval numbers as she does now?

Lugar is one of my favorite Senators, hopefully the rest of those (Except Specter) lose there seats.

Missouri

This looks like it will be fun!

I agree.

 I'd put Maine at leans republican, and Colorado at leans democrat.

 Also, I'd move Virginia to likely republican. I think John Warner will run for re-election, and Mark Warner will wait to run for Governor in 2009.