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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many seats will Republicans have in the Senate when all is said and done? on: Today at 04:02:23 pm
Ultimately they will come out in the end with around 55 seats -maybe even 56.  The GOP will hold on to Georgia, Mississippi, Kentucky, Kansas, and South Dakota (while they are tantalizing, I am not buying those polls showing Democrats/independents in the lead in any of those states), and will pick up West Virginia, Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina whether on election day, or in the subsequent run-offs, depending on the state.  A lot of these will be close, and down to the wire nail biters, but I think the GOP will ultimately pull it off.  Virginia will get even closer too as election day approaches, and with Sen. Mark Warner needlessly meddling into state politics, he will find himself winning by 5 points -possibly less.

So that's 54 seats right there.  And with Angus King and Joe Manchin either switching parties outright, or simply caucusing with the GOP, that brings their governing total to 56. 
Bold prediction; I could see say 54 Republican seats happening.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1968 - Romney/Brooke vs Humphrey/Muskie (including Wallace) on: Today at 02:46:23 pm
Would a Romney Republican nominee against a hypothetical JFK/LBJ 1964 candidacy with a 'brainwashing' Vietnam comment in say September 1964 have hurt a Romney candidacy to a point where the bottom falls out of his standing in the polls?
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cotton or Hagan- who is in better shape? on: Today at 02:44:12 pm
Pryor's ground game is elite, though. If Cotton is only up by 4-7 points right now, that is not good news because the Pryor groundgame is enough for 5 points alone.
I agree the Pryor ground game is really good. His winning the 2002 election in his state was impressive.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: Today at 10:43:05 am
The Attainment Of Electoral Votes For His Side Makes Election Look Like Outright Win For CurtisThere are some other projections. On the way to 266 electoral college votes Charles Curtis the Republican seems to be on his way It is early on but the Republican camp we have word is optimistic at the moment about the prospect that their candidate can win the election outright and therefore preventing the election from going to the house. Hiram Johnson is the winner the Independent in Minnesota and Wisconsin. Oscar Underwood carries Texas and Louisiana and Oklahoma.

Hiram Johnson
Minnesota 12 electoral votes

Hiram Johnson
Wisconsin 13 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Texas 20 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Louisiana 10 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Oklahoma 10 electoral votes
Underwood: 140        Curtis: 140        Johnson: 25        266 to win
Governor Johnson is the winner in also in both North and South Dakota. Charles Curtis carries Rhode Island.

Hiram Johnson
North Dakota 5 electoral votes

Hiram Johnson
South Dakota 5 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Rhode Island 5 electoral votes

President Underwood candidate for reelection tonight carries Alabama and Arkansas and Florida and North Carolina.

Oscar Underwood
Alabama 12 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Arkansas 9 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Florida 6 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
North Carolina 12 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood will also carry Tennessee and Mississippi. He is the winner in New Mexico and Arizona. Charles Curtis the Republican carries Colorado and a big call Charles Curtis carries Michigan.

Oscar Underwood
Tennessee 12 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Mississippi 10 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
New Mexico 3 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Arizona 3 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Colorado 6 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Michigan 15 electoral votes

Election 1916 coverage continues after this.



Underwood: 207        Curtis: 166        Johnson: 35        266 to win


election '16 coverage
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: Today at 10:24:24 am
We are calling South Carolina and Georgia and Virginia for President Underwood. Vermont will cast its electoral college votes for Charles Curtis the Republican.

Oscar Underwood
South Carolina 9 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Georgia 14 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Virginia 12 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Vermont 4 electoral votes

President of the United States Underwood is the winner in Kentucky.

Oscar Underwood
Kentucky 13 electoral votes

Indiana is casting its electoral college votes for Oscar Underwood. Ohio will cast its electoral college votes for Charles Curtis.

Oscar Underwood
Indiana 15 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood vs Charles Curtis vs Hiram Johnson
President of the United States of America

Charles Curtis
Ohio 24 electoral votes

President Underwood carries West Virginia. Charles Curtis the Kansas Senator carries Illinois and Pennsylvania and Maine and Massachusetts.

Oscar Underwood
West Virginia 8 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Illinois 29 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Pennsylvania 38 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Maine 6 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Massachusetts 18 electoral votes
Underwood: 71        Curtis: 119        Johnson: 0        266 to win
President Underwood carries Missouri and Maryland. Charles Curtis the Republican is the winner in New Jersey and Connecticut. Oscar Underwood is also the winner in Delaware.

Oscar Underwood
Missouri 18 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Maryland 8 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
New Jersey 14 electoral votes

Charles Curtis
Connecticut 7 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Delaware 3 electoral votes


election '16 coverage
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What are Hillary Clinton's weaknesses? on: Today at 09:54:55 am
Come the end of a hypothetical Clinton second term she and her husband will have been in public life for 50 consecutive years. Running for a third term for the same party is a problem for her. The thing about it will have been 16 years since running a competitive general election campaign is true too. She got lucky in my opinion anyway in 2000.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 24, 2014, 10:16:29 pm
1914 is the first year after the amendment became constitutional or whatever; the amendment entitled the 'popular election of senators.' Meaning Senators beginning in 1914 are elected by popular vote.
Democrat: 56        Republican: 40        49 for majority
A couple of close races out there. Pennsylvania senate in particular sees a margin statewide of under .10 percent of the vote. The house of representatives balance of power after the 1914 election is below.
Democrat: 280        Republican: 155        218 for majority
President Oscar Underwood (D-AL)/Vice President Eugene Foss (D-MA) vs Senator Charles Curtis (R-KS)/Justice Charles Evans Hughes (R-NY) versus Governor Hiram Johnson (I-CA)/Governor Calvin Coolidge (I-MA) Election 1916 Final Opinion Poll
Underwood: 204
Curtis: 256
Johnson: 53
Undecided: 18
266 to win
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 24, 2014, 09:52:42 pm
House Majority Leader Oscar Underwood Becomes President Elect Of The United States Oscar UnderwoodOscar Underwood is the winner in Pennsylvania. He that being Oscar Underwood is the President elect officially of the United States.

Oscar Underwood
Pennsylvania 38 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
President of the United States of America
Underwood: 271        Cutchens: 251        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win

Montana is casting its electoral college votes for President elect Oscar Underwood by about two points. This is Garrison Porter. Thanks for reading.

Oscar Underwood
Montana 4 electoral votes



Oscar Underwood
President of the United States of America

The overseas and absentee ballots are counted in South Dakota and Iowa like they are in all states. In fact South Dakota and Iowa changes their declared winners of the four candidates running for President in their states. Oscar Underwood still wins the election.

Henry Cutchens
Iowa 13 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
South Dakota 5 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
President of the United States of America
Underwood: 267        Cutchens: 264        Lafollette: 0        Debs: 0        266 to win


election '12 coverage & results
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 24, 2014, 09:15:39 pm
Election 1912 update. Vice President Cutchens carries North Dakota. The conclusion of election 1912 coverage next; back in a moment.

Henry Cutchens
North Dakota 5 electoral votes
Underwood: 233        Cutchens: 255        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win


election '12 coverage
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 24, 2014, 06:52:32 pm
Back here at election 1912 central. I will put up the electoral map which shows where the election race between the four candidates stands right now.
Underwood: 205        Cutchens: 228        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win
We are calling Nevada for Underwood. Iowa will also cast its electoral votes for Oscar Underwood.

Oscar Underwood
Nevada 3 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Iowa 13 electoral votes
Underwood: 221        Cutchens: 228        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win

Republicans need to hold their breath. We are calling Minnesota for Oscar Underwood. Putting him ever so closer to 266 electoral college votes and the presidency. Henry Cutchens the Vice President is not out of the race.

Oscar Underwood
Minnesota 12 electoral votes

Not yet but it is worth nothing that in a multi candidate election the Democrat usually walks away the winner. I think about the Porco vs Dole vs Perot election race somewhere else. That one looked competitive. Bob Dole staked his chances on the election going to the house of representatives but Porco the incumbent won outright and as I recall pretty clearly.

Perot carried Ohio.

Some good news for the Republicans. Two states go for Henry Cutchens. Henry Cutchens is the winner in Wisconsin and Oregon. Election 1912 coverage continues after this.


Henry Cutchens
Wisconsin 13 electoral votes

Henry Cutchens
Oregon 5 electoral votes



Underwood: 233        Cutchens: 246        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win


election '12 coverage
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: A hypothetical map for 11/4/14 on: October 23, 2014, 09:23:38 am
While I somehow think it possible Senate candidates; the winners on November 4th in Louisiana and Georgia will reach 50%. Every time I think that I remind myself that is pretty unlikely to happen. I do think there is a chance Cassidy will over perform the position the opinion polls have him in right now because of just how Republican Louisiana is. For Mary Landrieu this may well be the worst environment for her to run in that being because of such high Republican registration in Louisiana right now in comparison to 18 and 12 and 6 years ago. She has gotten lucky in both 1996 and 2008 to be running in a year when a Democrat for President had coat tails and really helped her keep her job.
12  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: October 22, 2014, 10:42:52 pm
Duckworth: 202        Porter: 336        270 to win
Final Opinion Poll
Tammy Duckworth 48%
Garrison Porter 47%
Undecided 5%
Reality sets in for the Duckworth camp when the returns from the states East of the Mississippi River paint a picture depicting the opinion poll translating itself more in the popular vote than in the electoral college. Tammy Duckworth wins the nationwide popular vote by approximately 1.6 million votes. Often it is he or she who best keeps their cool over the course of the election campaign that is the President. Texas on election day is considered a tossup and Porter opened up a lead at the end of the campaign in California. Garrison Porter begins to open up a lead in the electoral college count when the vote counting moves West of the Mississippi River and he does not look back. Washington state puts him over the top. He did not need California.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 09:52:13 pm
Henry Cutchens is the winner in Utah.

Henry Cutchens
Utah 4 electoral votes

California cast its electoral votes for Oscar Underwood and Washington state goes for Henry Cutchens. Again like a few elections previous New York cast a big forty-five electoral college votes for Vice President Henry Cutchens.

Oscar Underwood
California 13 electoral votes

Henry Cutchens
Washington 7 electoral votes

Henry Cutchens
New York 45 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood vs Henry Cutchens vs Robert Lafollette vs Eugene Debs
President of the United States of America
Underwood: 205        Cutchens: 221        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win

Delaware and Idaho both go for Cutchens.

Henry Cutchens
Delaware 3 electoral votes

Henry Cutchens
Idaho 4 electoral votes


election '12 coverage
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 09:06:15 pm
This electoral map is incoherent. Cease these absurd productions.
Alabama in 1912 is a little creative. I agree.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 07:37:24 pm
Five states to call. Election 1912 coverage at about a quarter til 10 o'clock on the east coast. Henry Cocherns carries Wyoming and New Mexico. Robert Lafollette the independent candidate is the winner in South Dakota.
Lafollette the Independent Candidate Carries A State; Underwood Retains Lead In Electoral CollegeHenry Cocherns
Wyoming 3 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
New Mexico 3 electoral votes

Robert Lafollette
South Dakota 5 electoral votes
Oscar Underwood carries Arizona and Henry Cocherns keeps Rhode Island in the Republican column. He wins the state and its five electoral votes.

Oscar Underwood
Arizona 3 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Rhode Island 5 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood vs Henry Cocherns vs Robert Lafollette vs Eugene Debs
President of the United States of America

Back in a moment.



Underwood: 192        Cocherns: 165        Lafollette: 5        Debs: 0        266 to win


election '12 coverage
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 06:47:02 pm
Election update here very quickly. West Virginia cast its electoral college votes for Henry Cocherns. Colorado does cast its electoral votes for Oscar Underwood.

Henry Cocherns
West Virginia 8 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Colorado 6 electoral votes


election '12 coverage
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 06:35:06 pm
Vice President Henry Cocherns carries Michigan by reportedly a projected fifteen percentage points statewide there. Illinois will cast its electoral college votes for Oscar Underwood. Louisiana and Texas cast their electoral votes for Democrat Underwood.

Henry Cocherns
Michigan 15 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Illinois 29 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Louisiana 10 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Texas 20 electoral votes

Maine will cast its electoral votes for Oscar Underwood. Alabama is going for the Vice President and Republican nominee for President Henry Cocherns. Election 1912 coverage does continue after this.

Oscar Underwood
Maine 6 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Alabama 12 electoral votes



Underwood: 183        Cocherns: 146        Lafollette: 0        Debs: 0        266 to win


election '12 coverage
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 06:18:42 pm
Underwood: 118
Cocherns: 119
Lafollette: 0
Debs: 0
266 to win
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 06:17:45 pm
There is a declaration Ohio will go for Oscar Underwood. Maryland and New Jersey both cast their electoral college votes for Underwood as expected. Missouri will go for Henry Cocherns.

Oscar Underwood
Ohio 24 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Maryland 8 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
New Jersey 14 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Missouri 18 electoral votes
Underwood: 100        Cocherns: 86        Lafollette: 0        Debs: 0        266 to win
Four candidates up there. The Democrat and the Republican and Independent and Socialist party candidates. In spite of all of that it is pretty likely that a Democrat or a Republican will win the election outright. It is possible the election can go to the House of Representatives. That in the event no candidate gets 266 electoral college votes. Tennessee and North Carolina and Arkansas all cast their electoral college votes for Henry Cocherns.

Henry Cocherns
Tennessee 12 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
North Carolina 12 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Arkansas 9 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood vs Henry Cocherns vs Robert Lafollette vs Eugene Debs
President of the United States of America

Kansas and Nebraska do cast their electoral college votes for the Democrat nominee for President Oscar Underwood.

Oscar Underwood
Kansas 10 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Nebraska 8 electoral votes


election '12 coverage
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 22, 2014, 06:01:54 pm
There are six states that have closed their polls. In an election where there are four candidates on the ballot the only thing that can be done is count the votes and more specifically the electoral college votes. Kentucky will cast its electoral votes for Henry Cocherns the outgoing Vice President.

Henry Cocherns
Kentucky 13 electoral votes

South Carolina goes for Oscar Underwood. Georgia also goes for Underwood. Virginia also goes for Henry Cocherns and Vermont goes for Cocherns.

Oscar Underwood
South Carolina 9 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Georgia 14 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Virginia 12 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Vermont 4 electoral votes

Congressman Underwood is also the winner in Indiana. All six states that closed their polls at 7 o'clock on the east coast have been projected. Meaning that we believe we have enough information to declare winners in those six states at this early hour for election night 1912 coverage. Mississippi and Florida are casting their electoral college votes for Oscar Underwood. Oklahoma and Massachusetts and Connecticut and New Hampshire are all casting their electoral votes for Henry Cocherns the Republican candidate.

Oscar Underwood
Indiana 15 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Mississippi 10 electoral votes

Oscar Underwood
Florida 6 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Oklahoma 10 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Massachusetts 18 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
Connecticut 7 electoral votes

Henry Cocherns
New Hampshire 4 electoral votes

Back in a moment.


election '12 coverage
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: October 22, 2014, 03:14:16 pm
I watched some of that debate.  Rick Scott embarrassed himself.  How did this clueless boob become governor of Florida? 

$75.1 million of his personal fortune.

Also, Alex Sink
Also, the Florida Democratic Party



She didn't do that bad... considering 2010 was a republican wave...



The Republican margin dwindled from 7% in 2006 to 1% despite 2010 being a republican surge.  Although the surge might of been what saved Rick Scott from a 3-4% defeat by Sink.



Yeah, Scott was only declared the winner like two days after the election.

Also, its worth noting that the FLDP is still a huge joke party and have to use a Republican to win office against a "boob" like Scott (who performed decently last night, but still was behind Crist).
I am not sure this what seems like a 'Charlie is my friend' approach to Scott campaigning is a good one. I think it is an effective strategy to constantly attack the opponent and Scott is and has been in my opinion doing a good job at that and the polls have gone from something I felt was lean Crist to a competitive election. In the past loosing campaigns have been the ones that let up on their opponents. 1994 Virginia North campaign and some of the Lautenberg opponents in my mind are examples.
22  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: October 21, 2014, 11:10:19 pm
Final Opinion Poll
George Wallace/Bill Richardson 46%
Garrison Porter/Anne Hathaway 49%
Undecided 5%
National Popular Vote
Wallace/Richardson 47.4620% (89614000)
Porter/Hathaway 52.5480% (96198000)
The ten states won by Porter but by the narrowest margin: Kentucky (50%W); Florida (50%W); Pennsylvania (50%W); California (51%); North Carolina (51%); Michigan (52%); Missouri (52%); Louisiana (52%); Virginia (52%); Ohio (52%).
Best Of Ten Elections Won
George Wallace 0
Garrison Porter/Anne Hathaway 6
6 to win
Duckworth: 101        Porter: 437        270 to win
Final Opinion Poll
Tammy Duckworth/Jimmy Carter 44%
Garrison Porter/Emma Watson 51%
Undecided 5%
National Popular Vote
Duckworth/Carter 46.7250% (83950000)
Porter/Watson 53.2850% (95718000)
The ten states won by Porter but by the narrowest margin: California (50%W); Oregon (50%W); Delaware (50%W); Oklahoma (51%); Michigan (51%); Ohio (51%); Arizona (53%); Kansas (53%); Kentucky (53%); North Carolina (53%).
23  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: October 21, 2014, 06:43:25 pm
1:00 AM EST
Wallace: 35        Porter: 390        270 to win
2:00 AM EST
Wallace: 62        Porter: 390        270 to win
3:00 AM EST
Wallace: 93        Porter: 390        270 to win
4:00 AM EST
No projections
5:00 AM EST
Wallace: 93        Porter: 445        270 to win
6:00 AM EST
No projections
Election results after certification of all votes cast
Wallace: 93        Porter: 445        270 to win
National Popular Vote
Wallace/Edwards 44.76% (78190000)
Porter/Hathaway 55.24% (96494000)
Ten States Carried By Porter But By The Widest Margin: Wyoming (76%); Alaska (75%); Idaho (73%); North Dakota (70%); South Dakota (70%); Mississippi (70%); Montana (69%); Nebraska (69%); Missouri (69%); Vermont (69%). Ten States Carried By Porter But By The Narrowest Margin: California (50%); Colorado (51%); Oklahoma (51%); West Virginia (51%); Pennsylvania (51%); Arizona (52%); Ohio (53%); Washington (55%); Arkansas (55%); Alabama (55%). States Carried By George Wallace By Margin Statewide In Descending Order: New Mexico (56%); Maryland (52%); Michigan (51%); Florida (50%); New York (50%).
24  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: October 21, 2014, 06:22:34 pm
Final Opinion Poll(Porter+11)
George Wallace/John Edwards 42%
Garrison Porter/Anne Hathaway 53%
Undecided 5%
George Wallace vs Garrison Porter (147-38)
President of the United States of America
7:00 PM EST
Wallace: 0        Porter: 43        270 to win
7:30 PM EST
No projections
8:00 PM EST
Wallace: 0        Porter: 142        270 to win
8:30 PM EST
No projections
9:00 PM EST
Wallace: 0        Porter: 239        270 to win
10:00 PM EST
Wallace: 5        Porter: 309        270 to win
Garrison Porter (148-38)
President of the United States of America
11:00 PM EST
Wallace: 18        Porter: 324        270 to win
12:00 AM EST
Wallace: 18        Porter: 381        270 to win
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: October 20, 2014, 11:12:56 pm
House Majority Leader Oscar Underwood (D-AL)/Governor Eugene Foss (D-MA) versus Vice President Henry Cocherns (R-WI)/Senator William Borah (R-ID) versus Robert Lafollette (I-WI)/Senator Hiram Johnson (I-CA) versus State Senator & Socialist Eugene Debs (S-IN)/Mayor Emil Seidel (S-WI) Election 1912 Final National Opinion Poll
Underwood: 208
Cocherns: 172
Lafollette: 5
Debs: 0
266 to win
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 293


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