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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: September 01, 2014, 06:59:00 pm
Other states have closed their polls right now.
McConnell Wins Kentucky & Republicans Net Gain In Senate Balance Of Power Brian Sandoval is reelected very easily governor Nevada. Scott Brown this is a new call and hang onto your hat. Put a new cup of coffee on. We'll be here for a while still. Scott Brown is the winner in New Hampshire Senate. That was unexpected for much of the campaign. Brown returns to the Senate representing New Hampshire.

Brian Sandoval
Nevada Governor

Scott Brown
New Hampshire Senator

The incumbent Republican Dennis Daugaard is the winner in the South Dakota Governor election. He goes back to the statehouse there.

Dennis Daugaard
South Dakota Governor

Two other calls for the Senate and both for Republicans. Steve Daines is the new Senator elect from Montana and James Lankford wins the special senate election in Oklahoma. No upset in Montana or Oklahoma tonight.

Steve Daines
Montana Senator

James Lankford
Oklahoma Senator (Seat B)

No but the upset call came in New Hampshire. The victory now projected here of Scott Brown of that Senate election in the granite state will surprise a lot of people.

It means that it may not be Kentucky and New Hampshire that the Senate majority comes down to but the balance of power in the upper chamber of congress.

Hang on we have a projection.

House Control

The Republicans will control the House of Representatives meaning they will have more seats than the Democrats in the next congress. Continue please.

I was saying that the balance of power in the Senate may come down to if Thad Cochran and Pat Roberts can win their Senate elections in Mississippi and Kansas.

Two veteran incumbents in the Republican Senate caucus. They have been there for a long time.

They had trouble in their respective primaries against tea party candidates and if Mitch McConnell becomes majority leader of senate or remains minority leader of that body may come down to if Senators Cochran and Roberts can hang on and win their election contests tonight. It may be voters in the respective states just picked the Senators over their tea party opponents in the primaries but are willing to vote Cochran and Roberts out and take Democrats instead.


Democrat: 14        Republican: 21        26 for majority
That's the governor map as it stands right now. The Republicans far ahead of the Democrats in the contest for which party has a larger number of governorships.

Such a happening is to be expected. These are Republican states. Jason Carter loosing in Georgia and Dan Malloy not being reelected in Connecticut are signs that Republicans have a pretty good hold on the governorships tonight.

The Carter people in Georgia had to be disappointed in that projection. Jason Carter really thought he had a chance there tonight. Florida earlier in the evening was a big call. The last time a Democrat won a Florida Governor election was 1994. Lawton Chiles defeated Jeb Bush. From January 1999 through to next January Republicans have held the Florida state house. I am told we have a projection in one of the two Senate elections that are the Kansas and Mississippi contests.

Thad Cochran
Mississippi Senator

Thad Cochran going back to Washington.


He will be the Senator from Mississippi for another 6 years. First elected in 1978. That's a hold important to Republicans at this hour. And headed now to New Jersey.

Cory Booker
New Jersey Senator

New Hampshire will not repeat itself in New Jersey tonight. Democrats there are grateful for that.


In a closer race than expected incumbent Senator Cory Booker will defeat Republican Jeff Bell.

Democrat: 42        Republican: 45        Independent: 2        51 for majority

Well there is no question who Mitch McConnell will caucus with in the Senate.

There is not that much continuity between Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell. No its an impressive win by Mitch McConnell. He has a long career and winning a 6th Kentucky Senate election statewide there is a thing for which he earns himself a place in history.

He must be one Senator who has some of the lowest approval ratings that wins reelection and he has given no indication of going anywhere. We can expect and probably be right in expecting he will run for reelection again in 2020.

Kentucky Democrats have a big bench and they will no doubt find someone to run against him. That Senate map right now shows Democrats with a guaranteed 42 seats for the next two years there and Republicans with 45 and Independents with 2. States in yellow the polls have closed but we have no declaration and the darker shade of green are where the polls are still open and people are voting.

Now its really down to some of the closer Senate elections and pick up opportunities. Democrats only need to win 7 more Senate contests tonight to claim control of the upper chamber of congress. The two independents caucus with Democrats. 7 more state contests won for Democrats in the bid for Senate control and Harry Reid will have 49 Democrats in the caucus and the 2 independents push Democrats right up and over 51 seats.

I'll be interested to see what the Brown win in New Hampshire means for some of these Senate contests that are outstanding.

It means nothing right now. Brown wins New Hampshire and Pryor won in Arkansas earlier in the evening. Most of the competitive races are left in the South.

Election 2014 coverage continues after this. Thanks panel.

House Control

Democrat vs Republican
Senate Control

election '14 coverage
Blogging: Mitch McConnell defeats Alison Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky Senate election. While Grimes takes 55000 vote margin in Jeff county KY McConnell sees blowout win in Western Kentucky. Jeanne Shahean becomes first incumbent Democrat Senator to loose reelection in election 2014. She looses in upset to former United State Senator Scott Brown. Martinez wins Governor reelection in New Mexico. That one will leave people talking. She has flirted with a presidential bid in 2016. Thad Cochran defeated Travis Childers in Mississippi to go back to the Senate. He (Cochran) will take the oath of office in January for his 7th term. He came to the Senate 6 years before Mitch McConnell. Georgia and Louisiana Senate elections may go to runoff meaning the Senate Balance of Power may not be known until mid December. Runoff happens in those two states if neither candidate takes 50% of the vote statewide. No declaration in either Georgia or Louisiana. Michelle Nunn versus David Perdue in Georgia and Mary Landrieu versus David Cassidy in Louisiana. Greg Abbot holds Texas Governor mansion replacing retitring governor there Rick Perry. Who controls the Senate in the next congress is still to be seen.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 31, 2014, 07:19:46 pm
Welcome back to our election coverage where we have some calls at the top now of the 9 o'clock hour EST. The first is for Andrew Cuomo.

Andrew Cuomo
New York Governor

Andrew Cuomo has been reelected tonight as the governor of the empire state. He led by about 25 points in the polls around the time of the primary in the state in September. He retained much that same lead. Actually a few percentage points better than that since the primary. He is reelected very easily returning to the state house. We are calling Clay Pell the winner in the Rhode Island governorship election.

Clay Pell
Rhode Island Governor

Greg Abbot
Texas Governor

Greg Abbot is the governor elect of the state of Texas. He will have a big job come January and we are calling Mike Rounds the Senator elect from South Dakota.

Mike Rounds
South Dakota Senator

Some other calls include the one for Mark Dayton. That was thought to be a closer race but Democrats pull away and send Mark Dayton back to the Minnesota governorship for four more years.

Mark Dayton
Minnesota Governor
Republican Pickup A Senate Seat: Rounds Wins SD; Cuomo Reelected In NY & Greg Abbot Is Governor Elect Of Texas
At this hour we are calling Shelley Moore Capito the winner in the West Virginia Senate race. She defeats Natalie Tennant statewide there. That's Republican pickup number two in the balance of power in the senate so far tonight.

Shelley Moore Capito
West Virginia Senator

Al Franken will be going back to Washington. He is reelected to a 2nd term as Senator from Minnesota. A hold for the Democrats.

Al Franken
Minnesota Senator

In Kentucky big call. Mitch McConnell is reelected to a 6th term in the United States Senate. He defeats Alison Grimes in Kentucky.

Mitch McConnell
Kentucky Senator

Some Democrats will be really happy about that. Or not. Tom Udall is the winner in New Mexico the incumbent Senator and John Cornyn will remain the senior Senator from Texas. He is reelected first elected in 2002.

Tom Udall
New Mexico Senator

John Cornyn
Texas Senator
Democrat: 41        Republican: 40        Independent: 2        51 for majority

Well panel the Republicans have a net gain of a couple of seats right now as regards to the balance of power in the Senate. They take a net gain of 2 seats. Those being West Virginia and South Dakota. Mitch McConnell stays on in the United States Senate.

Its a record set by Mitch McConnell that few have matched. He if the returns hold up now has won 6 straight Senate elections in Kentucky. Adding to his list of defeated opponents is a former incumbent senator and a now current governor of Kentucky and the Secretary of State in Kentucky Alison Grimes and some businessmen from the state. Its an impressive tenure.

Assuming Mitch McConnell completes this term to which he has now been reelected he will have been in the Senate for 36 years. I am told that Mike Enzi has been reelected Senator from Wyoming.

Mike Enzi
Wyoming Senator

And some governors Susanna Martinez wins another term in New Mexico and Matthew Mead is the winner in Wyoming.

Susanna Martinez
New Mexico

Michael Mead
Wyoming Governor

At first glance I am tempted to say it is a Republican night. Depending on what angle one looks at the returns so far one person or another may see it differently. It may be a surprise to some people that we have projected Republicans to hold the Senate seat in Kansas I'm sorry Kentucky and there are no declarations in the Kansas and Mississippi Senate elections.

We are going to a break. Election 2014 coverage returns in a moment.

Democrat: 41        Republican: 41        Independent: 2        51 for majority

election '14 coverage
3  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: August 31, 2014, 04:10:54 pm
Coming up it is John Edwards/Jimmy Carter versus Garrison Porter/Penelope Cruz. Again Garrison Porter with the same running mate faces John Edwards. This time Garrison Porter leads by 9 nationally against his Democrat opponent. Both California and New York are undecided in the opinion polls.
Edwards: 68        Porter: 327        Undecided: 143        270 to win
4  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: August 31, 2014, 03:29:27 pm
Edwards: 84        Porter: 145        270 to win
Now the polls close and they are closed in about 40 states or so. It is too soon to say the map is filling in for Garrison Porter. Some of the states that indicated a Republican lead are still not called now at 9 o'clock EST. Porter opens up a wider lead over his Democrat opponent. A lot of states are yet to declare which side to cast their electoral college votes for.
Edwards: 111        Porter: 214        270 to win
And at 10 o'clock EST Garrison Porter opens up a lead of more than 100 electoral college votes. It looks like a pretty sure thing that John Edwards needs to carry almost everything left outstanding. Pennsylvania is still hanging out there and that alone may put this race into one that is not yet decided. Rhode Island is still outstanding. North Carolina will cast its 15 electoral college votes for hometown boy John Edwards.
Edwards: 186        Porter: 271        270 to win
The winner of the election is clear.
Garrison Porter
President of the United States of America
Inspite of the fact John Edwards is doing well in some swing states across the country Garrison Porter will be the President of the United States. He wins the election against John Edwards.
Edwards: 223        Porter: 315        270 to win
Connecticut comes out of the Republican column and goes into the Democrat column. Garrison Porter wins 315 electoral college votes with 270 needed to win. He carries 35 states and with 60%+ of the vote in 9 of those 35. Florida goes to the Republican column and Pennsylvania into the column for John Edwards. The opinion poll in this election is wrong in 1 of the 50 states. That being Arkansas. Polls indicated Garrison Porter would carry the state and it went to John Edwards.
National Popular Vote
John Edwards(NC)/Lyndon Johnson(TX) 49.2547% (87374000)
Garrison Porter(TN)/Penelope Cruz(MO) 51.7563% (90958000)
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Wind Rising: Predict Teachout's Total % of the Vote on: August 30, 2014, 01:34:00 pm
I could see her getting as high as 45, but more likely about 37%
45% maybe enough to win the race
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 28, 2014, 09:03:17 am
Democrat: 11        Republican: 16        26 for majority

Election update we have another call to make right now in the Senate. Ben Sasse is the next Senator from Nebraska. He holds the Senate Seat for the Republicans.

Ben Sasse
Nebraska Senator

The polls will close in another 10 or 12 states after this. There will be some other projections. Election coverage 2014. Stay with us we'll come back.

Democrat: 38        Republican: 36        51 for majority

election '14 coverage
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 28, 2014, 08:49:31 am
Democrat: 11        Republican: 13        26 for majority

Okay that is the way that the governor election projections look right now. Blue represents a win for the Republicans. Red for the Democrats; yellow is where the polls have closed but no projection has yet been made. Dark green is where there is a governor election today and tonight but the polls are still open and people are still voting. We can make a call in the Nebraska governor election. Pete Ricketts will be the next governor of Nebraska. He holds that seat for the Republicans.

Pete Ricketts
Nebraska Governor

The following are the governor elections where the polls have closed but no candidate has been declared the winner.

Mike Michaud vs Paul LePage vs Eliot Cutler
Maine Governor

Martha Coakley vs Charlie Baker
Massachusetts Governor

Dan Malloy vs Tom Foley
Connecticut Governor

Pat Quinn vs Bill Rauner
Illinois Governor

Anthony Brown vs Larry Hogan
Maryland Governor

Jason Carter vs Nathan Deal
Georgia Governor

Paul Davis vs Sam Brownback
Kansas Governor

There is another election that is undecided right now where the polls have closed. That being North Carolina where Kay Hagan is running for reelection tonight.

Kay Hagan vs Thom Tillis
North Carolina Senator

There are some projections to be made right now.

Tom Foley
Connecticut Governor

This is an early call. Tom Foley will be the next governor of Connecticut according to the information we have coming out of the state. Another projection coming now Nathan Deal will hang on in Georgia and win reelection. He turns back now a spirited challenge from Democrat Jason Carter.

Nathan Deal
Georgia Governor

And a high profile call. Its not all down and out for Democrats Mark Pryor will win reelection to the Senate in Arkansas defeating Tom Cotton the Republican. The Maine graphic and that in Nebraska was not working. The Maine governor election is undecided at this hour.

Mark Pryor
Arkansas Senator

Election 2014 coverage continues after this.

election '14 coverage

8  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: August 27, 2014, 07:01:58 pm
John Edwards/Lyndon Johnson: 157
Garrison Porter/Penelope Cruz: 264
Undecided: 117
270 to win
We will move now to the red hot presidential race. It looks like Garrison Porter was starting to pull away from his opponent there toward the end of the campaign.

The race is always a bitter one between John Edwards and Garrison Porter. Edwards is competitive in the South and Garrison Porter tries to compete everywhere else.

Penelope Cruz makes her debut on a Republican ticket as the Vice Presidential nominee for that respective political party. Some interesting polling data. Penelope Cruz running as a Missourian seems to have helped in Illinois. Its not often that in opinion polls Illinois is considered solid Republican turf. But it is tonight. Minnesota also a state that has saved the candidacy of Garrison Porter before seems poised to again go into the Republican column.

And Missouri of course.
Edwards: 0        Porter: 8        270 to win
The top of the 7 o'clock hour does not bring a lot of information from the voters in terms of any projections. The Edwards/Johnson camp we are told is awaiting returns in Charolette North Carolina and Garrison Porter & Penelope Cruz and their camp are waiting in Knoxville Tennessee. 5 states are undecided and the opinion poll gave some reason to expect that. Only South Carolina if the polls is to be believed is solidly in the Porter column. We can project that when the votes are counted Garrison Porter will carry South Carolina.
Edwards: 20        Porter: 8        270 to win
The next call comes in Ohio. Garrison Porter was just unable to compete there in this campaign. It appears John Edwards will carry the state right now. The Democrat parts of the state are the first to come in and right now it looks possible Edwards will carry 60 percent of the vote statewide in Ohio.
Edwards: 53        Porter: 92        270 to win
8 o'clock EST brings a handful of projections in the East and on into some of the plain states. Georgia goes for Garrison Porter. That state had been undecided for an hour. Illinois and Missouri as the poll predicted drop for the Republican Porter/Cruz ticket. West Virginia and surprisingly at this early hour Delaware to the Democrat. Not too surprising actually the states more often than not go Democrat. Garrison Porter is usually lucky to carry West Virginia when he does. Much left to be decided in this election between John Edwards and Garrison Porter.

John Edwards/Lyndon Johnson versus Garrison Porter/Penelope Cruz election coverage; to be continued.....
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 27, 2014, 08:55:55 am
There are some other projections to make right now. First in Maine. Susan Collins will return to the United States Senate for her 4th consecutive term in that office. In her last election Collins carried all counties in the state of Maine even when Democrats did well nationally. That previous election being 2008.

Susan Collins
Maine Senator

Senator Collins is set to probably at this point carry all counties again in Maine. Democrats had some hope of making that election race competitive but it appears that Collins will very clearly be reelected tonight. Ed Markey is going back to the Senate for his first full term representing Massachusetts and Chris Coons wins in Delaware. Coons is unopposed in this election in the state.

Ed Markey
Massachusetts Senator

Chris Coons
Delaware Senator

Dick Durbin will go back to the Senate. Republicans wanted to make that competitive. It took a few minutes here tonight to declare Durbin the winner.

Yes four years ago Mark Kirk won the Senate seat once held by President Obama and truth be told Durbin found himself in what is the most competitive election he has had up to this point. It may only get harder for him as Illinois swings every slowly but swings none the less to the Republicans. Ed Markey ran 22 points ahead of his opponent in Massachusetts in opinion polls and Chris Coons ran unamiously. Dick Durbin led statewide by 14. The senior senator from Illinois may well win with less than 60% of the vote statewide in Illinois.

Dick Durbin
Illinois Senator

Jeff Sessions is doing really well in Alabama tonight. He is reelected to the United States Senate. So much football in Alabama he must be glad to have an office in Washington as a little bit of a hide away.

Senator Sessions has avoided a close election in his career. The people of Alabama seem to be very content with him being one of their two United State Senators. Its one thing Auburn & Alabama football fans agree on.

At least those fans who actually live in Alabama.

Jeff Sessions
Alabama Senator

Jim Inholfe is returning to the United State Senate representing Oklahoma. He was thought to be vulnerable this year early on but he appears to be winning pretty clearly tonight.

No Democrat has been sent to Washington as a Senator from Oklahoma since 1992. Oklahoma Republicans have more reason to be happy right now. We are calling Mary Fallin the governor of Oklahoma. Hers was thought to be a competitive election race.

She was thought possibly to be out of there tonight.

Yes but from the information we have coming out of Oklahoma says when the votes are counted there Mary Fallin will remain governor of Oklahoma defeating Joe Dorman.

Jim Inholfe
Oklahoma Senator

Mary Fallin
Oklahoma Governor

The Nebraska governor election can be called for the Republicans. Both the governor and senate elections in Kansas are undecided at this hour.

Paul Davis vs Sam Brownback
Kansas Governor

Chad Taylor vs Pat Roberts vs Greg Orman
Kansas Senator

election '14 coverage
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 26, 2014, 07:14:42 pm
Some of the election returns have begun to pick up now as the coverage of this election enters the 8 o'clock hour. 15 states and the District of Columbia have just closed their polls and some big races have had their projections made now. In Tennessee Lamar Alexander will be returning to the Senate. He was first elected in 2002.

Lamar Alexander
Tennessee Senator

He will be serving in Washington representing the volunteer state and in Nashville that being the state capital of Tennessee.

Bill Haslam
Tennessee Governor

Governor Bill Haslam will be reelected tonight. The only question in his election campaign is will it be a wider margin of victory or smaller in comparison to what the Tennessee governor had four years ago.

Some political analyists watching Tennessee say that it is likely that in 4 years when Bill Haslam will be ineligible to run for a 3rd term that the Democrats will take back the state house there. Haslam is very overwhelmingly popular with all ethnic groups and different economic classes in Tennessee. He has become a very effective chief executive for his state.

In Alabama another governor race to call where there had never been any suspense.

Robert Bentley
Alabama Governor

Robert Bentley the former medical phyisician turned statewide politician will be going back to the Alabama state house for another 4 year term. Florida this is a big call and one that will leave some Republicans statewide left to put pieces of the puzzle back together. Charlie Crist. This one of the first real major projections of the night. Charlie Crist will return to the Florida state house. He is reelected tonight to serve a non consecutive 2nd term. He spent most of his first term as governor a Republican and now returns to the state house for a full term so we assume as a Democrat. Crist defeats Scott. A surprisingly early call in the sunshine state that being Florida.

Charlie Crist
Florida Governor

Make that 2 sitting Republican governors to go down at this hour. Some of us were holding our breath for this call. Pennsylvania usually reelects their governors but no tonight. Tom Wolf defeats Republican governor Tom Corbett to become in January governor of the commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

Tom Corbett
Pennsylvania Governor

I am told now that Mark Warner the senator from Virginia has been reelected. That's a call that since an hour ago Democrats have been holding their breath. When all of the votes are in and counted in Virginia Mark Warner is set now to return as the senior United States Senator from Virginia.

Mark Warner
Virginia Senator

No call in the Maryland governors election. At least so far no call there tonight. The last time a Republican even made a competitive bid to occupy the Maryland state house was 8 years ago. It could happen tonight. Democrats may well be saying no it will not after the Warner declaration but the votes will tell.

Anthony Brown vs Larry Hogan
Maryland Governor

It took an hour to call the Warner election win. In 2010 Vermont Senator Patrick Leahy for example was returned right away at the top of the 7 o'clock hour EST. Maggie Hassan in a seat contrary to every other governor election we will call tonight besides Vermont that is up every two years wins another term tonight. Hassan very popular in the granite state.

Maggie Hassan
New Hampshire Governor

Another race before going to a break we need to talk about briefly is the New Hampshire Senate election.

Jeanne Shaheen vs Scott Brown
New Hampshire Senator

Shaheen a very disciplined politician who was governor before she went to the United State Senate. She lost an election as she retired from the New Hampshire governorship in 2002 and went to the Senate after being elected 6 years ago in 2008. She was ahead for a long time in this race with former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown and Shaheen may well win this race but Brown closed the gap with Shaheen to within the margin of error. Polls suggest at least a race where the margin statewide when all of the votes are counted is in the range of single digits. We are not prepared to make a projection in the New Hampshire Senate election race as of yet.

That is another opportunity for a Republican Senate pick up in New Hampshire that most people agree has been thrown away by a poor campaign run by Scott Brown. Shaheen has lost an election before as you pointed out. She lost a Senate election in 2002 to John Sununu and came right back and won against Sununu 6 years later in 2008.

Citizens of the granite state are known for being independent and not being told what to do in terms of how they vote. Okay back in a moment.

Election Night 2014 8 o'clock EST: Crist Reelected Florida Governor; No Declaration In New Hampshire Senate

Charlie Crist
Florida Governor

Bill Haslam
Tennessee Governor

Democrat vs Republican
Senate Control

election '14 coverage
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: Would Obama win a third term? on: August 26, 2014, 06:20:49 pm
He is better at winning the electoral college than Hillary Clinton. Colorado can be won much easier by the President of the United States than by Hillary Clinton. Barack Obama running for a third term hypothetically means he would spend time I think in Virginia and North Carolina and Florida and Ohio and Pennsylvania.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 26, 2014, 10:54:35 am
Back here at election central 2014 coverage when the polls closed at 7 o'clock EST six states closed their polls. Pete Shumlin the sitting Governor of Vermont will be going back there. This had been very much expected. He holds the state house in Vermont for the Democrats.

Pete Shumlin
Vermont Governor

Without a doubt this is the first real projection tonight in which Democrats can take some comfort. I am hearing from people on the ground in Virginia Democrats there expected the Senate race there to be decided earlier. We are just not ready to make a projection in that race. It is going to be about a 25 point victory in Vermont for Governor Shumlin. He is reelected there very comfortably.

Nikki Haley will be going back to the state house in South Carolina. She wins the governor race there defeating Vincent Shaheen.

Nikki Haley
South Carolina Governor

It is a pretty easy victory for the governor there. She defeats the same man over whom she won four years ago. The Georgia governor election between incumbent Republican Nathan Deal and the grandson of the 39th President of the United States Jason Carter.

Jason Carter vs Nathan Deal
Georgia Governor

Cobb county will play a big role in determining if Jason Carter can do what his grandfather did in 1970 and win the governorship.

I am told John Kasich has been reelected governor of Ohio over Ed Fitzgerald and the West Virginia Senate election shows a lead for Shelley Moore Capito. That would be Republican pick up potentially the first of the night but no declaration there yet despite the characterization of a Capito lead there.

John Kasich
Ohio Governor

Natalie Tennant vs Shelley Moore Capito
West Virginia Senator

election '14 coverage
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 26, 2014, 09:27:51 am
Some Close Races Where Polls Have Closed; Some DeclarationsElection 2014. The long awaited returns at least since the day after the last election two years ago are going to be coming in over the course of the night. Republicans attempting to control the Senate and they are expected to control the House. There are some calls to make starting in the Senate. Lindsey Graham will be going back to the Senate in South Carolina & Tim Scott the junior Senator from South Carolina wins the special senate election there.

Lindsey Graham
South Carolina Senator (Seat A)

Tim Scott
South Carolina Senator (Seat B)

The Georgia Senate race is undecided at this hour between Democrat Michelle Nunn and David Perdue. Two famous names from both respective political parties in the state running to fill the Senate seat being vacated by Republican Saxby Chambliss.

That election may not be decided until December if neither candidate receives 50 percent of the vote statewide. If that were to happen a runoff would happen & the winner of that goes to the Senate.

And thus meaning the balance of power in the Senate may not be determined until mid December. Another possible situation like that is in Louisiana. Polls close there at 9 o'clock EST. The election race in Kentucky for Senate between Alison Lundergan Grimes and incumbent Republican Senator Mitch McConnell is undecided right now.

Michelle Nunn vs David Perdue
Georgia Senator

Alison Grimes vs Mitch McConnell
Kentucky Senator

The Lundergan family is closely associated with the Clinton family. Jerry Lundergan the father of the Democrat Senate nominee in Kentucky catered Chelsea Clinton's wedding. Bill Clinton may owe the Lundergan family a great deal. Bill Clinton carried Kentucky twice in the 1990s and the Lundergan family has a lot of connections in the statewide Democratic party.

It can be said that in 1992 the Bush/Quayle team knew that the election was virtually won by the Democrat ticket that being Clinton/Gore when Kentucky was declared for then Arkansas governor Bill Clinton.

Times have changed. We are not calling the race between Mark Warner and Ed Gillespie in Virginia at the top of this hour. There is not enough information to project a winner there. Warner was thought to be widely favored there.

The governor race a year ago tightened up there toward the end even through election day.

And the Democrat still won statewide.

Mark Warner vs Ed Gillespie
Virginia Senator

Lets pull up the map as it looks now after the two declarations made in terms of the Senate contests so far. Not a lot to put up. Two calls both in South Carolina for Republicans. The Republicans would need a net gain of 6 seats to control the upper chamber of congress in January. Democrats will try to stop them.
Democrat: 33        Republican: 31        51 for majority

We'll be back with calls for governor. Election 2014 coverage coming right back.

election '14 coverage
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / American Electorate @ Present Timeline on: August 25, 2014, 11:53:13 am
October 1st 2014 Opinion Polls
Democrat: 25
Republican: 20
Undecided: 5
26 for majority
Democrat: 44
Republican: 50
Undecided: 5
51 for majority
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1948: MacArthur (R) vs. Truman (D) on: August 24, 2014, 03:25:52 pm
MacArthur: 311
Truman: 182
Thurmond: 38
266 to win
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Found 1988 Article about Dukakis Strategy on: August 24, 2014, 03:06:15 pm
He ran a good campaign. He is an admirable person. That map is pretty accurate.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: PA: Any hope for Gov. Corbett? on: August 24, 2014, 11:36:32 am
Schwartz did not win the nomination & PA governors usually win reelection. Those are good for the governor. It's not over yet in PA; the unemployment rate there will be a factor in the outcome.
18  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: August 23, 2014, 01:00:13 pm
Next; Another Election Race Between Parris Glendening & Garrison Porter. Will the former  Maryland governor win the presidency or will Garrison Porter win & by so much that he tops the 389 electoral college votes won in the previous election with Governor Glendening. Uncertain on running mates at the moment.
Parris Glendening/John Kennedy versus Garrison Porter/Vanessa Hudgens
Final Opinion Poll
Glendening 46%
Porter 49%
Undecided 5%

Parris Glendening vs Garrison Porter
President of the United States of America
20% Reporting
Glendening: 28        Porter: 70        270 to win
50% Reporting
Glendening: 147        Porter: 139        270 to win
A big headline at this point is that Glendening leads. With half the country choosing a side the Maryland governor leads by 8 electoral college votes which is not a lot but enough to win if that trend continues.
64% Reporting
Glendening: 164        Porter: 177        270 to win
Now Garrison Porter retakes the lead. Still an election race where neither candidate with 64% reporting is anywhere near 270. Some especially Democratic powerhouses are outstanding. Some of us were wondering if Garrison Porter was getting ready for a moment to concede this race. It does not appear like either candidate will be conceding the election race or declaring victory at the moment.
84% Reporting
Glendening: 215        Porter: 279        270 to win
Garrison Porter
President of the United States of America
Cheering in Knoxville right now. Yes Garrison Porter will be the next President of the United States. He defeats Parris Glendening for the second consecutive time nationally. That's the national projection for a winner in this election.
90% Reporting
Glendening: 215        Porter: 303        270 to win
100% Reporting
Glendening: 215        Porter: 323        270 to win
National Popular Vote
Parris Glendening(MD)/John Kennedy(MA) 48.75% (84333000)
Garrison Porter(TN)/Vanessa Hudgens(NM) 51.25% (88657000)
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FiveThirtyEight: 6 Most Likely Tipping Point Races on: August 21, 2014, 08:26:59 am
What comes first in terms of precincts reporting in Iowa; Republican areas or Democrat?
20  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Political Machine Results on: August 20, 2014, 08:12:30 pm
Election Result Between Former Maryland Governor Parris Glendening & Garrison Porter
Parris Glendening/Bill Clinton versus Garrison Porter/Natalie Portman
Final Opinion Poll
Glendening 43%
Porter 51%
Undecided 6%

Parris Glendening vs Garrison Porter
President of the United States of America
20% Reporting
Glendening: 6        Porter: 98        270 to win
50% Reporting
Glendening: 58        Porter: 228        270 to win
80% Reporting
Glendening: 89        Porter: 345        270 to win
Garrison Porter
President of the United States of America
We will join some commentators now to comment on the election result thus far.

The West Coast is yet to come but an 8 point lead nationally & now being declared the President of the United States with at least 345 electoral college votes is a superb job by the Garrison Porter & Natalie Portman team. Parris Glendening is & was a high profile politician & a very popular one in his state of Maryland in the 1990s.

Won election to that office twice in 1994 & 1998. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend was his running mate & lieutenant governor.
88% Reporting
Glendening: 89        Porter: 365        270 to win
100% Reporting
Glendenning: 151        Porter: 387        270 to win
Back to the panel.

l will say this where all of these election results going through against both Clintons & Alison Grimes & Alan Cranston & Mister Edwards & others & Parris Glendening the search is out for a pattern on the electoral map & a bellwether in these elections. He who wins what wins the election. Certainly if Garrison Porter takes 60%+ of the vote in New England or heading down before one hits say West Virginia & Northern Virginia that speaks well for the Republican in the popular vote. Sweeping Michigan & Wisconsin & Minnesota & Florida all four together makes a Democrat winning difficult. Another reader said in another thread about elections in general Michigan & Pennsylvania & Virginia are bellwethers. Its all pretty interesting.

Garrison Porter struggled to carry Wisconsin & New Mexico there for a while. Anything can happen & it may be he still may or may not carry those two states in a generic election.

Parris Glendening defeated Ellen Sauerbrey twice in Maryland statewide in the '90s. He said on election night 1998 that victory felt even better the 2nd time around. He will not be saying that tonight. Garrison Porter wins the presidential election.

Thanks panel
National Popular Vote
Parris Glendening(MD)/Bill Clinton(AK) 46.4% (81253000)
Garrison Porter(TN)/Natalie Portman(OH) 53.6% (93869000)
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: President Kerry and on... on: August 20, 2014, 11:59:36 am
Virginia & North Carolina in the election between Booker & Romney are important because where they go the country will go.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: August 20, 2014, 08:23:37 am
Former Governor Thomas Hendricks (D-IN)/Senator Allen Thurman (D-OH) versus President James Blaine (R-ME)/Senator John Ingalls (R-KS) versus Brigadier General Clinton Fisk (I-IL)/Farmer & Miner Alson Streeter (I-IL) (P-Election 1888 Final National Opinion Poll
Hendricks: 88
Blaine: 257
Fisk: 0
Undecided: 56
201 to win
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: August 19, 2014, 06:50:21 pm
James Blaine carries California & Oregon. He adds to his column Tennessee & Blaine also is the winner narrowly in Maryland.

James Blaine
California 8 electoral votes

James Blaine
Oregon 3 electoral votes

James Blaine
Tennessee 12 electoral votes

James Blaine
Maryland 8 electoral votes

James Blaine
President of the United States of America

By a margin of just .23 percent in the sunshine state now outgoing President Tilden keeps Florida in the Democratic column. This is Garrison Porter thanks for reading.

Samuel Tilden
Florida 4 electoral votes

Tilden: 115        Blaine: 286        201 to win

election '84 coverage & results
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: August 19, 2014, 06:37:45 pm
Tilden: 111
Blaine: 255
201 to win
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: the birth of modern america & onward on: August 19, 2014, 06:36:21 pm
Back here at election 1884 central. We have some other projections to make. James Blaine is the winner in New Jersey.

James Blaine
New Jersey 9 electoral votes

In West Virginia the President elect of the United States Senator Blaine is the winner.

James Blaine
West Virginia 6 electoral votes

Samuel Tilden carries Missouri & in a tough fight with James Blaine North Carolina cast its 11 electoral votes for the defeated incumbent President.

Samuel Tilden
Missouri 16 electoral votes

Samuel Tilden
North Carolina 11 electoral votes

election '84 coverage
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