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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: June 12, 2013, 03:32:06 pm
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Election 1990. Polls have closed in six states just moments ago on the East coast in six states and we can make some projections. Some races where polls have closed are outstanding at this hour. We will turn first to the United States senate and then to our governors or state houses who are on the ballot tonight. Coming into tonight, democrats held a 57-43 seat majority in the one hundred seat United States senate. It would take eight seats; a net gain of eight for the republicans to win control of the senate. We may know rather early on if the republicans will do that or not. Now an explanation we are going to make from the outset on election night 1990 tonight. Like with the presidency every four years we are keeping track of the seats held for the Senate in this year on the map graphic. This road to fifty-one seats and who can say beyond the democrats begin with thirty-nine and republican twenty-eight. We have taken the 57-43 number coming into tonight and subtracted the seats given to each party in number for this class of senators up for election tonight. The numbers thirty-nine and twenty-eight will grow throughout the night. Polls have closed in six states in the East and there are some projections to be made.
Polls have closed in six states and we are calling senator Sam Nunn the winner in the Georgia United States senate race. He ran unopposed in this campaign and is obvious to that very easily returned to office tonight. Nunn wins in Georgia and holds that seat for democrats. He will return to the senate.Sam NunnUnited States Senate Seat from GeorgiaThe election race undecided at this hour tonight is one in Kentucky. The bluegrass state is trying to decide if they should return democrat incumbent senator Walter Huddleston to the senate or if his republican opponent both this time and last Mitch McConnell should be elected to the senate. The race is undecided at this hour and one of the most watched in the country.Walter Huddleston vs Mitch McConnellUnited States Senate Seat from KentuckyIn Virginia, we cannot call the race here between republican senator John Warner and former democratic governor Chuck Robb of that state. The race is undecided at this hour with advantage right now going to senator Warner. John Warner leads in the Virginia senate race tonight but we cannot make an official call yet in the state. Undecided in the state of Virginia as of now at 7 o'clock or a few minutes after 7 o'clock on the East Coast.Chuck Robb vs John WarnerUnited States Senate Seat from VirginiaThe race in South Carolina between democrat incumbent secretary of state there John Campbell and republican Strom Thurmond is undecided at this hour. We cannot call the race for the senate in South Carolina.John Campbell vs Strom ThurmondUnited States Senate Seat from South CarolinaAnd this means as of now our map shows one state with a decision for the senate. Senator Nunn holds his seat from Georgia. We will be back with more after a break for commercial. Election 1990 continues after this.Democrat: 40 Republican: 28 51 needed for absolute majority election 1990 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: June 09, 2013, 12:14:16 pm
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Welcome back. We have one more declaration to make tonight as we are calling Washington state for Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley. We are calling Washington state for the democratic nominee and the looser tonight nationally.Tom BradleyWashington 10 electoral votesBradley: 248 Deukmjican: 290 270 needed to win George DeukmjicanAlaska 3 electoral votesThis has been election 1988 coverage. To our panel, decision making desk (the people working back there) and everyone that makes election coverage run thank you and to the readers. We'll see you again. Election 1988.Bradley: 248 Deukmjican: 290 270 needed to win election 1988 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: May 24, 2013, 01:13:17 pm
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Good morning and welcome back. We are making a call in a state that both camps made real effort for in this election year but it now appears clear that mayor Tom Bradley will go on and carry California tonight and its forty-five electoral votes. This call serving him well and keeping him in the race.Tom BradleyCalifornia 45 electoral votesBradley: 241 Deukmjican: 257 270 needed to win Turning to our panel now. What does either candidate need to do to win now?
Michigan looms large. Most pundits expect Washington state to go for the democratic nominee and Louisiana has been out there for a long time tonight.
Was the call in California a surprise tonight?
No not really. The republicans through the conclusion of the electioncampaign believed that they were to have a chance at carrying the state. Both candidates are pretty popular out there. But, it appears now that the Orange county result in the state will not be enough to keep Deukmjican the winner in his home state.We can now make another projection.George DeukmjicanLouisiana 9 electoral votesLouisiana will go for republican governor George Deukmjican. Those nine electoral votes from the state putting him awful close to the two hundred and seventy that he needs. Govenor Deukmjican is now only three electoral votes away from becoming President elect of the United States.Bradley: 241 Deukmjican: 266 270 needed to win Louisiana the only southern state to hang out in the undecided column for a lengthy period of time tonight does go on and cast its electoral votes for governor Deukmjican.
Yeah that would have been an upset tonight and history would be talking if a republican were to win the presidency without carrying Louisiana.
Almost as bad as govenor Deukmjican winning nationally but loosing somewhere like Alabama.
Or both.This is a long night and a historic night. Louisiana, Michigan, California. Tennessee voting democrat in the last two elections; not going for Ronald Reagan despite his vice president and running mate being from that state only to go rather fast and easily for governor Deukmjican tonight. Bradley not carrying Ohio but still being in a ballgame.
We can make a projection.George DeukmjicanPresident of the United States of AmericaGeorge DeukmjicanMichigan 20 electoral votesGeorge Deukmjican will be the next President of the United States of America.
Wow
He does go on in a race that was marked by history. Deukmjican defeated Tom Bradley in a close race for govenor of California and now he wins this presidential election. Michigan will go and vote for the republican nominee tonight and thus awarding him two hundred and eighty seven electoral votes overall and it took two seventy to win. George Deukmjican will be the next Preisdent of the United States.Bradley: 241 Deukmjican: 287 270 needed to win He did it without South Dakota and that was one state considered a belwhether tonight.
Such a long road ending in disappointment and defeat for Tom Bradley.
The only african american to have a clear shot at the presidency and he did well tonight. Coming at least within twenty-nine electoral votes of winning the presidency. Historians will look at this race.
Theres the crowd in San Diego at Deukmjican/Lugar headquarters; their excited. The Bradley camp is in Los Angeles tonight.
Historians will look at this race and scratch their heads. The country was ready or so it was thought to elect the first African American to the highest office in the land but its not to be late on election night.
George Deukmjican also becomes the first President to succeed a President of his own party after two full terms since Alton Parker and Thomas Marshall.
But its not a vice president succeeding his boss after two terms. That is something that we are still yet to see if we do again.
I think Tom Bradley is going to wonder where things went wrong. Any words from our panel about that?
The republican president is popular and the economy is doing good. Governor Deukmjican was a good candidate. This was a race that came down to the end and maybe America was just not ready to elect an African American as President.
We are recieving word that Tom Bradley has left his hotel with his wife and will be speaking shortly in Los Angeles.
A historic night with a unique outcome.
Back in a moment with what is expected to be a concession by the vanquished candidate tonight. Come back here after this.George DeukmjicanPresident of the United States of America
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: May 04, 2013, 10:56:39 am
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Good evening or now good morning. Polls have closed in Alaska. We can call the state for the republican California governor George Deukmjican. He will carry the state by at least in the upwards of twenty-five percentage points; no contest in Alaska tonight.George DeukmjicanAlaska 3 electoral votesBradley: 191 Deukmjican: 257 270 needed to win We are calling now also the Montana senate race for the democrat senator there. A race which previously was too close to call. And that projection extends the control of the democrat on the upper body of congress for the next two years to fifty-four seats. The panel any suggestions on what circumstances in Washington will mean in the coming years?
If its George Deukmjican as President of the United States, his political future can very well depend on how he works with a democratic congress. If he is a one or two term President can in all likelyhood come down to what legislation is passed through the congress, the effectiveness of such matters and what follows.
George Deukmjican is only thirteen electoral votes away from being called the President of the United States and mayor Tom Bradley the democratic nominee still seventy-nine away.
California looms large. If Bradley takes the state, that would mean a lot for him. He cannot afford to loose the golden state and if he did, well he will stay in Los Angeles for four years.
A historical happening if governor Deukmjican did win this election. How often is it that a member of a President's political party succeeds him into the White House after eight years of his being there?
Well the big example is nineteen twenty. President Alton Parker followed Thomas Marshall defeating Harding by a reasonably wide margin in the vote. Thomas Marshall won such a narrow reelection victory in 1916 coming off of a landslide four years earlier. That was an interesting era in our history. Franklin Roosevelt followed Al Smith into office and even stayed in the WhiteHouse for athird term despite the turmoil of economic depression hitting the country. Thats all that comes to mind at the moment.
Would be the first time in fact since nineteen fifty-two. First time in thirty-six years that a multiple term President is succeeded into the White House by a member of his own party.
Its history in any way you cut it with the outcome of the election. Tom Bradley, the longest serving mayor of Los Angeles, California, and the first African American ever on a ticket for president election.
Its historic and many people did not know what to expect tonight but hes at least holding his own. Not that the night thus far has been easy but its not over yet.
We can make another call. Tom BradleySouth Dakota 3 electoral votesSouth Dakota will be won tonight by Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley. A small state but seemingly an important one. A close race for that matter in South Dakota but we are ready to declare that when all the votes are coutned and verified that Los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley will carry the state of South Dakota tonight.
When you have any combination of the states still outstanding and almost any combination makes South Dakota critical.
Governor Deukmjican could win Michigan now at this moment for example and the race be done.
That could happen. But in all reality the state is undecided and this race still with no winner here beyond midnight on the east coast.
Election coverage 1988 continues after this. You heard it here; still much to be decided.Bradley: 194 Deukmjican: 257 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: May 03, 2013, 09:45:33 pm
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Welcome back to election coverage where we have a projection.Tom BradleyNew Mexico 5 electoral votesNew Mexico is projected for Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley. Bradley will carry New Mexico and its five electoral votes. This thanks to the hispanic turnout and that of democrats across the state. Bradley will go on and carry New Mexico as our exit polls and information say by about five percentage points.Bradley: 187 Deukmjican: 223 270 needed to win But now turning to the senate races and overall balance of power in congress we can make two national projections.DemocratUnited States House of RepresentativesDemocratUnited States SenateHere comes a look at how the senate election returns look as themselves now.Democrat: 53 Republican: 43 Undecided: 4 51 needed for absolute majority ' So when you look there democrats do retain control of the United States senate; rather they will have a net gain of seats or loss is not yet decided in completion. But California is one still considered a tossup where if the democrat was to win that race then that would be another pick up for the democrats.
You look at that map and most of these elections projected are holds in the senate.
Not a lot of drama tonight; John Chaffee is running as a republican in Rhode Island and that race is undecided. The Montana election is outstanding also including California.
Mississippi would be another one. Bentsen in Texas, Sasser in Tennessee and Metzanbaum in Ohio all won reelection to their senate offices easily tonight. Wyoming can be taken as an upset tonight; the democrat defeats senator Malcolm Wallop tonight. Democrats do retain their majority in the senate and the house.
We can make another call at the presidential desk. Lets go there now.Yes; we are ready to make a projection.George DeukmjicanOhio 23 electoral votesA major projection now we are calling the buckeye state for governor Deukmjican. This certainly a disappointment and a new bellwether in presidential elections has gone again for the republican candidate as it has in the last two elections tonight.
When people said anything regarding a presidential bellwether oh some forty years ago they would have talked about Connecticut. But it is in recent elections Ohio and that's where the state goes to the republican party again tonight.Bradley: 187 Deukmjican: 246 270 needed to win An important call for the Deukmjican camp. Now they are building a firewall and something they need if California is to go for Bradley. Without California and Ohio and Michigan; this race would have been over and Tom Bradley the President.
We can make another call.Tom BradleyHawaii 4 electoral votesHawaii will go for the democrat Bradley tonight. This call not unexpected.
The only thing notable about it is the call was not made at the top of the hour. Another four electoral votes for the Bradley camp of which they cannot complain.Bradley: 191 Deukmjican: 246 270 needed to win Hawaii for mayor Bradley.
Its not a surprise; the votes were only a little slow to come in tonight from Hawaii. Well now its California and Michigan. Along with some of these smaller states, depending on where those two more sizable states in terms of electoral votes go it could come down to South Dakota and Louisiana. Colorado in that mix too.
We can make another projection.George DeukmjicanColorado 8 electoral votesBradley: 191 Deukmjican: 254 270 needed to win Colorado will go for the republican George Deukmjican. The democrats wanted it and republicans were trembling in their whitey tighties that it would go the other way but Colorado we can declare goes for governor Deukmjican.
A call certainly gaining attention in both camps at this moment.
Back after this. More coming up.Bradley: 191 Deukmjican: 254 270 needed to win [size=18t] election '88 coverage[/size]
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 30, 2013, 10:27:15 pm
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It is 11 o'clock on the east coast and polls have now closed in forty-nine states. This does not mean the election is over. We do not have a President of the United States at this hour on the east coast. There are two states to declare (Oregon and Idaho) where winners can be declared; California is undecided at this hour and Bradley (Mayor Bradley) leads in New Mexico. Here are the projections.Tom BradleyOregon 7 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjicanIdaho 4 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanCalifornia 47 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanWashington 10 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanHawaii 4 electoral votesPolls have closed in a handfull of states now at 11 o'clock on the east coast. We are calling Oregon for the democrat nominee tonight. Tom Bradley wins in Oregon (a state where you could only vote by mail). Answering the victory; Deukmjican will carry Idaho as was expected. California is undecided. Bradley was thought to be favored there leading up to election day today but apparantly from exit polls governor Deukmjican closed the gap to a degree in California tonight. California is undecided at this hour in the present time. Washington state being thought to be a better bet for Deukmjican as opposed to Oregon is undecided at this hour and Hawaii is undecided between the candidates at this hour.Bradley: 182 Deukmjican: 223 270 needed to win No other projections to tell you about. Senate information is coming up after the break coming up. Oregon call a surprise?
No. Portland is going to ruin any republican effort in the more rural parts of Oregon.
The only thing even going for a republican in Oregon comes with the turnout.
Yes, low turnout usually favors more at least historically the republican and the fact that ballots are only returned by mail can result in a lower turnout of voters casting ballots.
Any other comment?
Even if he carried California its still not quite enough to put Deukmjican over the top. Even if he carried California but lost everything else outstanding now, Bradley would be President.
Back in a momentBradley: 182 Deukmjican: 223 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 25, 2013, 04:31:41 pm
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11 o'clock is approaching, before that however; we can call Montana for governor Deukmjican. This has been a series of disappointing projections for the democrats and again another, George Deukmjican will go on and win Montana tonight.George DeukmjicanMontana 4 electoral votesBradley: 175 Deukmjican: 219 270 needed to win 11 o'clock sees the polls close on the West coast and a review of the senate races so far tonight. Were coming back, stay with us.Bradley: 175 Deukmjican: 219 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 25, 2013, 04:21:32 pm
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Bradley: 175 Deukmjican: 205 270 needed to win Good evening again and welcome back. As you can see our map and electoral vote count has shifted just in the last few minutes. Polls did close in another six states at 10 o'clock on the east coast. We can call Iowa for Mayor Bradley. This a state that republicans hoped to the end they could hold; Bradley wins Iowa.Tom BradleyIowa 8 electoral votesWe can also declare Utah and its five electoral votes to be going for republican nominee governor of California George Deukmjican tonight.George DeukmjicanUtah 5 electoral votesAnother declaration comes from Nevada. Democrats wanted to contest the state but its not to be tonight.George DeukmjicanNevada 4 electoral votesThe vote in Montana is undecided as the polls close there. Bradley and Deukmjican in a battle for the four electoral votes which could be critical coming from Montana. Also a senate race there that is drawing some attention.Tom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanMontana 4 electoral votesGovernor Deukmjican is the winner in New Hampshire. The granite state will cast its electoral votes for the republican nominee in the race for the presidency tonight.George DeukmjicanNew Hampshire 4 electoral votesBradley: 175 Deukmjican: 205 270 needed to win Thats the electoral map at 10 o'clock on the east coast in the election nineteen eighty-eight coverage. We have two other declarations. Republican governor George Deukmjican is the winner in North Dakota and Kansas tonight. Election 1988 coverage continues after this.George DeukmjicanKansas 7 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjicanNorth Dakota 3 electoral votesBradley: 175 Deukmjican: 215 270 needed to win Tom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanPresident of the United States of Americaelection '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 23, 2013, 05:33:00 pm
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Election polls close at 9 o'clock on the east coast. Here come the projections to be made new at this hour.George DeukmejianArizona 7 electoral votesTom BradleyMinnesota 10 electoral votesGeorge DeukmejianNebraska 5 electoral votesTom BradleyNew York 36 electoral votesTom BradleyWisconsin 11 electoral votesGeorge DeukmejianWyoming 3 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianColorado 8 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianKansas 7 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianLouisiana 10 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianMichigan 20 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianNew Mexico 5 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianNorth Dakota 3 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianSouth Dakota 3 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjianTexas 29 electoral votesElection 1988 coverage; here we go polls close at 9 o'clock on the east coast and here is the information that we have. Arizona goes for governor Deukmjian. I remember Arizona going to the defeated President Parker instead of Herbert Hoover in nineteen twenty-four; the state has become much more republican since that year and Deukmjian walks away with an easy win tonight in Arizona. We are calling Minnesota for Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley. Minnesota, the home of former President and Bradley supporter Walter Mondale. Deukmjian made a tactical decision and did not have an office in the state; Bradley wins Minnesota. Deukmjian will win very easily in Nebraska. A conservative state where for the President vote there never was any contest. We are making a big call at the top of this hour. New York will go for mayor Bradley. Tom Bradley can be happy about that so far tonight; Deukmjian had a strong showing in the republican upstate but a massive turnout (from exit polls) in the city carries the state easily for Bradley. Tom Bradley goes on and carries the empire state tonight with its thirty-six electoral votes. We can call Wisconsin; a big turnout where he needed it in the state wins it for Bradley with Wisconsin's eleven electoral votes going to the democrat. Republicans saw the writing on the wall there and that decision could serve them well in more competetive places like Arkansas already tonight. Finally Wyoming, part of the republican heartland that is the rocky mountain states or at least was coming into tonight. George Deukmjian, the republican seeking the presidency does go on and carry Wyoming with its three electoral votes.
There are a number of states undecided which will appear in yellow on our map until they are called for either candidate. Colorado a state where Deukmjian had a lead with about two weeks to go but Bradley closed the gap on him. Colorado is undecided at this hour. Same story in Kansas, Deukmjian does lead there right now but the state is too close to call. Another surprise is Louisiana; this a state where observers on both sides believed Deukmjian would win easily. According to this, Louisiana is undecided and it is reported that a big black turnout in the Baton Rouge area is helping Bradley there. Michigan is another state that was fought over many times this campaign season. We cannot declare a winner in Michigan at this hour; the race there is deemed very close. New Mexico, another state like Arkansas. Small state but could be important in terms of the overall outcome; we cannot call New Mexico at this hour. Texas, this will surprise both sides. Bradley was optimistic about the state saying it might put the election away on voting day; its undecided in the lone star state right now. Finally, North Dakota where there is nothing but flat lands and people who vote republican for President and democrat down the ballot (seems that way often at least); no matter any of that, its undecided in North Dakota right now. South Dakota is also right now undecided between the two major candidates for President of the United States.
Now turning to the electoral map right now. Bradley: 142 Deukmjian: 152 270 needed to win Now we come to our panel; any new thoughts given these projections?
Oh its fun to watch. This is a close election across the country and with that being said, Bradley or Deukmjian are going to carry some states by wide margins. This national vote and who sits in the Oval Office comes down to close vote differences in some key states. Michigan and Colorado, Ohio and Tennessee all being places of interest for both camps.
Arkansas and New Jersey have gone for governor Deukmjian.
Both we competetive places throughout the campaign season where mayor Bradley campaigned very much; their disappointments but democrats are looking to other places for votes tonight.
We can make another call.Tom BradleyPennsylvania 25 electoral votesBradley: 167 Deukmjian: 152 270 needed to win Pennsylvania does go for democrat mayor Tom Bradley tonight. Its the black turnout in Philidelphia. Republicans and governor Deukmjian ran a strong race in the keystone state but it was just not going to be tonight. Pennsylvania and its twenty-five electoral votes will go for Tom Bradley in election 1988.
And panel Pennsylvania is a projection that should not go unoticed.
Pennsylvania is a great win for any democrat and this is a classic election battle between two powerhouses in the state of California that are now figures on the national stage. I will say Bradley winning Pennsylvania is not too much of a surprise to the republicans, they can hold the White House without it.
Stand by we can make another call.George DeukmjianTexas 29 electoral votesBradley: 167 Deukmjian: 181 270 needed to win Well republicans answer to the Pennsylvania call like a master. Texas was a state that Tom Bradley felt he had a realistic chance of taking tonight. Deukmjian wins anyway.
George Deukmjian, governor of California will carry Texas in his bid for the presidency tonight.
And that means for New Mexico, there must be a Deukmjian advantage there. They call New Mexico just another piece of Texas, right next door and easily accessable to San Antonio and other areas of West Texas.
We can make another call.George DeukmjianTennessee 11 electoral votesBradley: 167 Deukmjian: 192 270 needed to win Are you trying to make democrats cry?
No, this is just the information that we have from votes now coming in to make these projections.
Tennessee and Texas, Arkansas Maine and New Jersey are all places in which democrats campaigned beginning in August; they had good organizations there. But all are gone to the republicans tonight.
Thank you panel. Election '88 coverage will continue; stand by, anything can happen tonight.Bradley: 167 Deukmjian: 192 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 23, 2013, 09:52:44 am
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Polls have closed at 9 o'clock on the east coast and lets make some projections.George DeukmejianArizona 7 electoral votesTom BradleyMinnesota 10 electoral votesGeorge DeukmejianNebraska 5 electoral votesTom BradleyNew York 36 electoral votesTom BradleyWisconsin 11 electoral votesGeorge DeukmejianWyoming 3 electoral votesBradley: 142 Deukmjican: 152 270 needed to win election '88
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: April 23, 2013, 09:43:43 am
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Welcome back, just a few moments before polls close at 9 o'clock on the east coast; we can call Arkansas for governor George Deukmjican. Democrat Bradley and his camp must cringe at this projection for in a close race and one that here (Arkansas) was expected to be competetive, we can call Arkansas for republican Deukmjican.George DeukmejianArkansas 6 electoral votesAnd here comes the electoral map after the Arkansas and potentially important projection.Bradley: 85 Deukmjican: 137 270 needed to win Republican governor George Deukmjican does lead in the electoral college vote count at this hour just before 9 o'clock on the east coast. Lets turn to our panel at the moment.Its a tough call for the Bradley camp. This part of the country kind of upper South and lower Appalachian area was thought to decide the election.
Arkansas was a state where democrats were hopeful about winning there. Its a tough loss, but doesn't look to be any nail in the democrat column.
Lets turn now to the 9 o'clock hour; polls have closed in about a dozen more states and we have some projections when we come back.Bradley: 85 Deukmjican: 137 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: March 24, 2013, 06:45:40 pm
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Oh and by the way, back on the air.
Democrat United States Senate
The democrats by this projection will control the next senate.
And thats a surprise, most would expect for the house to be declared first.
A few mintues before 9 o'clock, about ten minutes exactly before the top of the hour, we can declare that democrats do keep the senate; certainly a disappointment for republicans, if not only because it was declared so early. Back in a moment.
election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: March 24, 2013, 06:28:28 pm
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A projection that apparantly appeared on the map, but was not put into a graphic is now up.George DeukmjicanNew Jersey 16 electoral votesGovernor Deuknjican will win New Jersey and its sixteen electoral votes. Turning to the panel now for a moment. How does mayor Bradley put it together tonight?
Well he cannot let what happened to vice president Sparkman four years ago happen to him tonight. Not a lot is different about the map than what it was at this time four years ago.
Give me a moment now, it is 7:30 on the east coast and polls have closed in two more states now. Yes, we can make a projection.Tom BradleyWest Virginia 6 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George DeukmjicanArkansas 6 electoral votesTom Bradley, the democrat will carry the state of West Virginia. More over a democratic stronghold at the presidential level, probably the closest state out there four years ago. West Virginia will give its six electoral votes for mayor Bradley. In Arkansas, the democrats have worked each election in recent memory to be competetive in the South; we cannot make a declaration in Arkansas at this hour.Bradley: 40 Deukmjican: 88 270 needed to win Come back to me for a moment, we have some more projections.Tom BradleyIllinois 24 electoral votesTom BradleyConnecticut 8 electoral votesTom BradleyMaryland 10 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjicanDelaware 3 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjicanFlorida 21 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjicanNorth Carolina 13 electoral votesBradley: 85 Deukmjican: 122 270 needed to win That tends to shape the electoral map a little bit more.
And a lot of it is not much of a surprise. What states are people watching at this hour? They expect Pennsylvania to go to Bradley and in all honestly it probably will. Right now, people are watching the Appalcahin states. Tennessee, Kentucky; Missouri is already gone to the democrat, North Carolina and much of the South now to governor Deukmjican. Tennessee went for the democrat who lost nationally four years ago; he carried the state as the polls closed there, its undecided. If this race is really close as it seems thus far, Deukmjican the republican has held the lead since the start of the night. If Tennessee were to go one way or the other.
Which obviously it will go on way or the other.
Yes, thats the state to watch at this hour. Tennessee the volunteer state over the last four or five elections has been really unpredictable in terms of its voting. Tennessee goes for President Romnye in '72 when he won narrowly reelection, his own vice president carries the state rather easily four years later and he looses narrowly nationally against a man who his running mate from the South. President Mondale and Sparkman carry it back to back, both loosing in those elections. How does it go tonight? The volunteer state is what I'm watching.
Illinois going for democrat Bradley.
The black turnout in Cook county was something that the republicans just were never really going to compete with, its not much of a surprise.George DeukmjicanKentucky 9 electoral votesBradley: 85 Deukmjican: 131 270 needed to win Kentucky for Deukmjican.
The democrats hoped to be competetive there and thought under certain scenarios such a thing was possible. It was thought in the Bradley camp coming into tonight that they had a better chance in Ohio as opposed to Kentucky. Tonight, thus far Kentucky for the republican and Ohio being undecided.
A concession speech tonight from either side?
I believe its smart to let some more returns come in. Call me in two hours.
Back in a moment.Bradley: 85 Deukmjican: 131 270 needed to win election '88 coverage
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: March 21, 2013, 08:20:14 pm
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Welcome back, another batch of projections coming in now as fifteen states and the District of Columbia close their polls at the top of this hour. Stand by now, we are ready to make some more projections.George DeukmjianAlabama 9 electoral votesTom BradleyDistrict of Columbia 3 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjianMaine 4 electoral votesTom BradleyMassachusetts 13 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjianMississippi 7 electoral votesTom BradleyMissouri 11 electoral votesGeorge DeukmjianOklahoma 8 electoral votesTom BradleyRhode Island 4 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulConnecticut 8 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulDelaware 3 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulFlorida 21 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulIllinois 24 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulMaryland 10 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulNew Jersey 16 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulPennsylvania 25 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjican vs Ron PaulTennessee 11 electoral votesSome information worth noting coming in now, on this night where the only thing that is known coming in is that a Californian will succeed another Californian into the White House, the question is which one. Alabama, a state in the heart of Dixie, anyone remember when that was a democratic stronghold; not tonight, as expected by almost everyone, Alabama will go for governor Deukmjican. George Deukmjican wins Alabama tonight. Almost as partisan in terms of voting for President, if not more, the District of Columbia will give its three electoral votes to mayor Bradley tonight. Maine; this will come as a surprise to some democrats tonight and warm the hearts of republicans. This state was expected to be more competetive, demcorats thought they would very well carry the state. Not to be, governor Deukmjican can have his heart warmed from a place where the weather can often turn cold, Maine goes and gives all four of its electoral votes at this hour to the republican George Deukmjican. Another democratic stronghold drops for mayor Bradley, Massachusetts a place that saw little competition at the Presidential level this year, does go easily for Tom Bradley. Mississippi, another piece of the land of dixie goes very easily according to this for governor Deukmjican.
Missouri, the surprise win at least now for democrats (Maine being it for republicans); Missouri, the show me state goes for mayor Bradley. A surprise early call in the show me state. Oklahoma, a place where in this day and age its hard to find a democrat. Oklahoma gives its electoral votes, George Deukmjican will go on and easily carry Oklahoma tonight at this hour. Finally another call for the democrat Bradley as polls close here at the 8 o'clock hour on this election night, forgot the state in all of that introduction. Ahh yes, Rhode Island will go for mayor Bradley. A number of states are undecided at this hour where the polls have just closed. Connecticut, our good friend of a state who had at one time a record of being the belwhether of the country, the votes there are too close to make a call; its undecided. Delaware, a state that often gets little attention with three electoral votes. It may now, the state is undecided now at the top of this hour. Florida, the sunshine state and one widely expected to go to Deukmjian, he had a fifteen point lead in polls there coming into today; the sunshine state, from information that we have cannot be called at this time. Florida is undecided between the two Californians at 8 o'clock on the east coast. Illinois, the land of Lincoln. Heres some news, Bradley leads in Illinois but we cannot make a call. Maryland, Bradley leads there too but its undecided; diddo in Pennsylvania, Bradley by some accounts doing well there tonight, but the race is undecided. New Jersey, another state expected to go for Deukmjican by a good many people is undecided and Tennessee, the volunteer state, Deukmjican leads but its undecided. Now to the electoral map. Bradley: 34 Deukmjican: 88 Paul: 0 270 needed to win Panel, after that long list of projections.
Need some water, here sit down for a minute.
8 o'clock is the biggest hour of the night in terms of states closing their polls.
Thats your encouragement?
We'll go with it. Maine, Missouri, Maryland; any thoughts?
I think there is a message from the voting. Republicans historically, going way back have done well in some of the New England areas; they struggle in the mid west. Remember Franklin Roosevelt in 1940 and 1944 winning Missouri for example but loosing Connecticut and New Hampshire. Even more recently, Mondale winning in a place like Missouri but Connecticut, and New Jersey proving not to be as fruitful territory.
What do we do then? Anyone want to take a stab and call it.
Its almost like a crime that investigators cannot solve no matter how hard they try; just sit back and wait for something else to happen.
Election 1988 will continue in a moment as we sit back here election investigators looking for a winner of the White House, waiting for more states to fall or others to close their polls. Which ever comes first, however this happens; we'll be right back here, stay with us election 1988 coverage is only getting started. Back in a moment. Bradley: 34 Deukmjican: 88 Paul: 0 270 needed to win
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Turn of the Century and on timeline
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on: March 21, 2013, 11:30:14 am
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Welcome back to election '88 coverage. Polls have closed in three more states and we do have some projections to tell you about right now.Tom BradleyVermont 3 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjian vs Ron PaulOhio 23 electoral votesTom Bradley vs George Deukmjian vs Ron PaulNorth Carolina 13 electoral votesPolls have closed in two more states. We are calling Vermont for mayor Bradley. Tom Bradley will go on and carry Vermont tonight and its three electoral votes. A historic moment, an African American wins three electoral votes in a bid for President of the United States. The polls close in Ohio, a state competetive all throughout the election campaign, both sides say they feel confident coming into Ohio tonight; the buckeye state, Ohio is undecided at this hour. Diddo in North Carolina, a state where many people thought Deukmjian would do well tonight. We are saying that the state is undecided. Here comes the electoral map.Bradley: 3 Deukmjian: 44 Paul: 0 270 needed to win To our panel for a moment, an African American wins three electoral votes for President of the United States.
And early in the evening, this is good. Vermont was one state that mayor Bradley almost had to have and he has won it, a long way to go still.
Back in a moment.Bradley: 3 Deukmjian: 44 Paul: 0 270 needed to win election 1988 coverage
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