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May 28, 2015, 11:24:38 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 27, 2015, 12:57:54 pm
If it is then its a rather poor predictor of who actually ends up holding the post. Over the centuries we have had some very odd and very unlikely PMs.
Churchill comes to mind.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: May 27, 2015, 12:53:27 pm
Immigration is less of a salient issue in Scotland because has had no mass immigration since the 19th century and no non-white mass immigration ever.
I have a rather different theory on why UKIP and to a lesser extent Anti-Europeanism fail in Scotland... (Afleitch's point about Little Englandism is more a point but not yet on the mark I think.)
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish Elections and Referendums, 2015 on: May 23, 2015, 01:12:31 pm
Final tally from Carlow-Kilkenny

FF 28.0
FG 21.1
SF 16.1
Renua 9.4
Lab 6.5
GP 5.4
Ind Gardiner 4.4
SWP t/a PBP 3.4
SP t/a AAA 3.2
Others 2.6
Actual first count result. Some tallypersons only reported the major candidates I guess?
FF 27.8
FG 20.6
SF 16.2
Renua 9.5
Lab 7.0
Green 5.3
Gardner 4.2
PBP 3.6
AAA 3.3
four other indies (jointly eliminated) 2.7 - that would have included my vote, I liked Holohan's debate performance so!
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish Elections and Referendums, 2015 on: May 23, 2015, 10:56:12 am
This looks like the first time a Fianna Fil TD will be elected via by-election since the 90's.
And the first time FF gains a seat from another party* at a by-election since 1970.

*weasel words included to dismiss Neil Blaney's successor
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: England local elections, May 2015 on: May 20, 2015, 01:11:28 pm
Doing the Wirral part of the map reminded me that the inclusion of Upton in Wirral West is basically electoral trolling.

Labour hadn't won WW on its current boundaries since 2001 right? Surely that's the only seat of its kind.
Ilford North.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Turkish general election, June 7th 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 01:56:47 pm
I'm not familiar with patterns inside Istanbul, could you describe the broad areas of good performance of each candidate ? Demirtas seems to poll better in the second circle of the city, not the centre and not the exurban areas, why would that be ?
I think those strong Demirtas areas are plenty far on the outskirts of the city. The three outermost districts, though officially in the city, are essentially countryside.

Anyways, the one is a 60s/70s built banlieue with lots of Kurdish rural migrants and the other is a 90s/2000s built banlieue with lots of Kurdish rural migrants.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 01:19:18 pm
As recently as 2006 the NDP was in power in Saskatchewan and its not at all inconceivable that they could come back to power in the eventual 'post-Wall era". The main difference between Saskatchewan and Alberta is that Regina and Saskatoon are much smaller cities than Calgary and Edmonton and that Saskatchewan has much more wheat farming while Alberta is more cattle ranching and also the oil and gas sector is bigger in Alberta.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CkhcjI5Pwi0
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Turkish general election, June 7th 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 12:40:26 pm
Yes, that is perfectly correct.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Turkish general election, June 7th 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 05:36:10 am

The main question mark is therefore whether HDP will make it to the threshold. If so, AKPs life could be a bit more complicated. If not, thats 9% lost votes automatically granted to them, and they should win big.
Incidentally, this is true in practice though not in theory - since the results all over Kurdistan* will presumably be along the lines of HDP 45-60, AKP 35-50, Kemalists at joke levels, again.

In the presidential election, the CHP actually beat out the AKP in Eskişehir. What was the deal there?
The AKP never took more than three of the six seats there, so hardly an unusual result.

No idea what's driving relative Kemalist strength there and couldn't do any better than guessing that the usual reasons (settlement of post 1918 DPs, military presence) also apply here.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Turkish general election, June 7th 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 05:08:46 am

The main question mark is therefore whether HDP will make it to the threshold. If so, AKPs life could be a bit more complicated. If not, thats 9% lost votes automatically granted to them, and they should win big.
Incidentally, this is true in practice though not in theory - since the results all over Kurdistan* will presumably be along the lines of HDP 45-60, AKP 35-50, Kemalists at joke levels, again.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Turkish general election, June 7th 2015 on: May 19, 2015, 05:02:06 am
They have a truly awful electoral system : 85 districts electing 2 to 31 members through DHondt PR. BUT, you have to get 10% of the vote nationally to be eligible to this way of repartition! AND if you fail to hit 10% nationally, even if you get 9.9%, all your votes get transferred to the leading party nationally. -____-"
Um, no.

(Yes, I see the unsourced line in the wiki article that can be understood to mean that. But it doesn't. What happens is that as the no. of seats per constituency is fixed, if a lot of the vote in any one province falls prey to the threshold then the seats can be won on very low vote numbers. Elections up to and including 2002 were often hilarious in that respect. Heck, everything about the military-operated quasi-democracy of the 90s was hilarious if you didn't have to live in it.)
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: National Assembly of Wales Elections 2016 on: May 17, 2015, 04:05:59 am
Given how the Tory number of consintuency seats increased by 3, 2 at the expense of Labour. one would like to think this is the year that the party could be thrown out of office by a coalition of Tories, LibDems, and perhaps even UKIP, given their decent vote share. Although a coalition with a moderate Plaid would be workable. Leanne Wood would probably have to resign though.

I think that's wishful thinking. Labour won 25 seats in Wales on Thursday and would presumably (I've not worked the figures out) have won two list seats in Mid and West Wales were it an Assembly election; this takes Labour to 27 out of 60.
I have.

Obviously it's inaccurate to assume Assembly list vote mirrors constituency Westminster vote (Plaid and tiny others would no doubt do better) if this had been an Assembly election and everyone had won the same direct seats the results would be

SE Lab 7+0, Con 1+2, UKIP 0+2
SC Lab 6+0, Con 2+1, UKIP 0+1, PC 0+1, LD 0+1
SW Lab 6+0, Con 1+2, PC 0+1, LD UKIP 0+1
M&W Con 4+0, Lab 1+2, PC 2+0, LD 1+1, UKIP 0+1
N Lab 5+0, C 3+1, UKIP 0+2, PC 1+1
sum Lab 25+2, Con 11+6, UKIP 0+7, PC 3+3, LD 1+2

It would take all four other parties cooperating to dislodge Labour. Exceedingly unlikely.

EDIT for interesting error.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Post-Election Analysis on: May 17, 2015, 03:28:20 am
Neither Milliband had that, and the existence of yet another brother with just as bureaucratic a pedigree and also running for the leadership would have been a big nail in either Milliband's coffin.

They should have selected Ed Balls. They might not have won any more seats than they did in real life, but at least they'd have saved Morley that way.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Labour leadership election. on: May 17, 2015, 03:25:36 am
Some articles that Findlay has written indicate that he might be able to articulate the socialist case for maintaining the Union in an articulate manner.
That won't actually help. What Scottish Labour need to do is to dispel the notion that they are a Unionist Party (or that anyone not in favor of outright independence is a "Unionist".)

A small contingent of MPs verbally somewhat open to the notion of Independence would probably have done wonders in preventing the cataclysm of 2015.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 17, 2015, 03:22:32 am
Didn't the Irish Parliamentary Party of old once return a member from a Liverpool constituency?

Yes, T.P O'Connor was Irish nationalist MP from 1885 to 1929 for Liverpool Scotland.

I just Wiki'd it for myself, but "Liverpool Scotland" is already confusing enough without having had an Irish MP for four decades as well.
When I first read that tidbit of information in an old book in the Frankfurt uni library, early this millennium or possibly very late in the last one, it said "the Scotland division of Liverpool". Now that was confusing. I did figure it out at the time, but I briefly wondered if there might conceivably be a town of that name in Scotland.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015 on: May 15, 2015, 02:38:10 pm
2) 73% (!!!!) said they would consider voting NDP if they did a good job. More Wildrose than PC voters agree.
In fourty years we'll all be talking about the tired old NDP dynasty, and be elated that what replaces it is not, after all, even further to the right than the Alberta NDP.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 02:03:36 pm
Listing all parties over 2.0%. All of this is a little effed up by the DUP-UUP pact.

Down & Antrim

Down & AaarghArmagh, surely?
Aye. Me bad, love.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 01:58:25 pm
Great Britain Total

Con 277 (+22) 248
Lab 224 (+11) 210
UKIP 69 (+69)   89
SNP  35 (+23)   30
LD    23 (-126)  44
PC      4 (+1)       6
Green 0              5

Another hung Parliament. Con-LD coalition has lost its majority. Least unrealistic option is Con-UKIP I fear. Then again, it's safe to say this is what British voters in 2015 wanted and the Tory majority they got is not something they wanted.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 01:39:36 pm
Listing all parties over 2.0%. All of this is a little effed up by the DUP-UUP pact.

Belfast & Antrim
DUP 34.3 (+0.8)  3 (0)   3
SF 19.3 (-0.4)      2 (+1) 1
APNI 14.3 (+3.0) 1 (0)   1
UUP 10.5 (-5.5)   1 (0)   1
SDLP 9.0 (-4.4)    0 (-1) 1
TUV 3.9 (-1.3)
UKIP 2.9
PBP 2.6 with one candidate

Down & Armagh
DUP 24.7 (+0.3) 2 (0)     2
SF 18.7 (-0.4)     2 (+1)   1
UUP 17.8 (-2.0)  1 (-1)    1
SDLP 15.8 (-2.1) 1 (0)     1
Sylvia Hermon 7.1 (-2.1) 1 would have been more if you could vote for her all over the constituency of course
APNI 7.0 (+2.2)
UKIP 3.6
Con 2.1 (deport these nutters to England asap)

West of Bann
SF 38.8 (-1.4)       2 (-1)  2
UUP 21.1 (+12.4) 1 (+1) 1. +1.6 (and no change in seat distribution) if you just count Connor as a UUP candidate last time around, which makes sense as a comparison since Elliott wasn't opposed by the DUP either
SDLP 17.9 (-0.8)   1 (0)   1
DUP 15.6 (+0.5)    1 (0)  1
APNI 2.9 (+1.0)

Northeast Ulster, tallied
DUP 25.7 (+0.7)  6 (0)   6
SF 24.5 (-1.0)     6 (+1) 4
UUP 16.0 (+0.8)  3 (0)   3
SDLP 13.9 (-2.6)  2 (-1) 3
APNI 8.6 (+2.2)   1 (0)  1
UKIP 2.6 (+2.6)
Sylvia Hermon               1
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 01:29:48 pm
Note that UKIP and the Scottish Green Party both had incomplete slates in Scotland, and their tally in most regions is below 2% (dropping as low as 0.3 for the Greens, though I guess that's with 1 candidate or something. Didn't check) and I didn't list them below. The best results for UKIP were 2.7 in the Highlands and 2.4 in South Lanarkshire & Border. The best results for the Greens were 3.7 in Edinburgh & East Lothian and 2.7% in Glasgow. I listed the LDs even where they went below 2%, though.

Ayrshire & Renfrewshire
SNP 50.9 (+31.9) 4 (+3) 4
Lab 30.9 (-20.8)  3 (-2)  3
Con 14.8 (-3.5)   1 (0)    1
LD 1.9 (-8.2)        0 (-1)

Glasgow
SNP 55.3 (+38.0) 5 (+4) 4
Lab 31.5 (+24.7) 2 (-3)   2
Con 6.9 (-0.7)                 1
LD 1.7 (-11.8)      0 (-1)

North Lanarkshire & Dunbartonshire
SNP 54.2 (+35.7) 4 (+3) 3
Lab 28.6 (-27.0)  2 (-2)  2
LD 7.9 (-6.6)        0 (-1)  1
Con 7.1 (-2.8)

South Lanarkshire & Border
SNP 45.8 (+30.4) 3 (+2) 3
Lab 23.3 (-18.0)   2 (-1) 2
Con 23.1 (-0.4)    1 (0)   1
LD 4.7 (-13.1)       0 (-1)

Edinburgh & East Lothian
SNP 42.6 (+28.6) 4 (+3) 3
Lab 28.5 (-11.0)  2 (-1)  2
Con 15.5 (-2.8)    1 (0)   1
LD 7.7 (-17.5)      0 (-2)  1

Fife & Central Scotland
SNP 52.2 (+32.0) 5 (+3) 5
Lab 27.0 (-20.3)  2 (-2)  2
Con 12.8 (+0.1)   1 (0)   1
LD 5.4 (-12.3)      0 (-1)

Tayside
SNP 53.9 (+19.3) 3 (+1) 3
Con 21.5 (-0.2)    1 (0)   1
Lab 18.0 (-12.4)  1 (-1)  1
LD 2.9 (-8.4)

Aberdeenshire
SNP 49.0 (+26.8) 3 (+2) 2
Con 20.8 (-1.8)    1 (0)   1
LD 14.9 (-12.6)    1 (-1)  1
Lab 13.1 (-12.1)   0 (-1) 1

Highlands
SNP 47.3 (+24.3) 4 (+2) 3
LD 25.9 (-9.9)      2 (-1)  2
Con 12.7 (-4.0)   1 (0)    1
Lab 9.5 (-10.8)    0 (-1)  1

Scotland, summed
SNP 50.0 (+30.1) 35 (+23) 30 Just under 50.0, as no doubt you'll hear a lot over the next five years
Lab 24.3 (-17.7)  14 (-14)  16
Con 14.9 (-1.8)    7 (0)        8
LD 7.5 (-11.4)      3 (-9)       5
UKIP 1.6 (+0.9)
Green 1.3 (+0.6)
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 01:02:10 pm
Monmouthshire, Brecon & Radnorshire
Lab 36.5 (+2.0) 3 (+1) 2
Con 32.3 (+3.0) 2 (0)   2
UKIP 14.5          1 (+1) 1
LD 8.4 (-15.2)    0 (-2)  1
PC 4.9 (+1.7)
Green 2.8

South Glamorgan
Lab 38.7 (+2.8) 3 (+1) 2
Con 32.2 (-0.3)  2 (0)   2
UKIP 10.1                     1
LD 7.8 (-14.3)    0 (-1)
PC 7.2 (+2.5)
Green 3.6

Mid Glamorgan
Lab 46.7 (+0.3) 5 (+1) 4
UKIP 16.3          1 (+1) 2
Con 16.3 (+1.1) 1 (0)   1. Exactly 200 votes behind, with hilarious consequences in the Ste Lague count
PC 13.1 (+1.3)   1 (0)   1
LD 4.3 (-14.5)    0 (-1)
Green 2.1

West Glamorgan
Lab 44.6 (+0.6) 3 (0)   2
Con 21.3 (+1.7) 1 (0)  1
UKIP 14.6          1 (+1) 1
PC 10.7 (+1.7)             1
LD 4.8 (-15.6)    0 (-1)
Green 2.7

Clwyd & Montgomery
I'm using the definition with Aberconwy included here
Con 36.8 (+2.2) 4 (+1) 3
Lab 31.9 (-0.2)  3 (0)    2
UKIP 14.4          1 (+1)  1
PC 7.7 (-1.0)                 1
LD 7.0 (-13.0)    0 (-2)   1
Green 1.8

West Wales
PC 26.2 (-0.2)   3 (+1) 2
Lab 26.1 (-1.2)  2 (-1)  2
Con 24.2 (-0.7) 2 (0)    2
UKIP 11.8          1 (+1) 1
LD 6.8 (-10.2)    0 (-1)  1
Green 2.6

Wales summed
Lab 36.9 (+0.7)   19 (+2) 14
Con 27.2 (+1.1)   12 (+1) 11
UKIP 13.6 (+11.2) 5 (+5)  7
PC 12.1 (+0.8)      4 (+1)  6
LD 6.5 (-13.6)       0 (-9)   2
Green 2.6 (+2.2)

22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 15, 2015, 12:48:37 pm
Teesside
Lab 43.9 (+3.9)     3 (0)  3
Con 29.3 (+1.6)    2 (0)   2
UKIP 18.1 (+13.8) 1 (+1) 1
LD 5.4 (-16.0)       0 (-1)
Green 2.3

County Durham
Lab 48.6 (+3.3) 4 (0)    4
Con 25.5 (+4.1) 2 (+1) 2
UKIP 15.7          1 (+1) 1
LD 6.0 (-18.1)    0 (-2)
Green 3.7

Gateshead & Wearside
Lab 53.2 (+2.1) 5 (+1) 4
UKIP 19.5          1 (+1) 2
Con 18.1 (-2.8) 1 (-1)   1
LD 4.7 (+14.3)  0 (-1)
Green 3.6

Northumberland
Lab 43.8 (+4.6) 4 (0)    4
Con 27.5 (+2.5) 3 (+1) 3
UKIP 14.3          1 (+1)  1
LD 9.6 (-18.4)    1 (-2)   1
Green 4.4

Northeast, summed
Lab 47.1 (+3.5)    16 (+1) 15
Con 25.2 (+1.5)    8 (+1)   8
UKIP 16.6 (+13.9) 4 (+4)  5
LD 6.7 (-16.9)       1 (-6)   1
Green 3.6 (+3.3)
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish Elections and Referendums, 2015 on: May 15, 2015, 12:33:56 pm
Adrienne Wallace
People Before Profit
69%

Noel G Walsh
Independent
69%

Conor Mac Liam
Anti-Austerity Alliance
56%

Breda Gardner
Independent
56%

Kathleen Funchion
Sinn Fin
44%

Malcolm Noonan
Green
44%

Elizabeth Hourihane
Independent
44%

William Quinn
Labour
44%

Patrick McKee
Renua Ireland
44%

Daith hUallachin
Independent
31%

Bobby Aylward
Fianna Fil
25%

David Fitzgerald
Fine Gael
13%

Peter O'Loughlin
Independent
Did not share policy views.



I like how no real party scores over 50%.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 14, 2015, 08:55:38 am
West Cheshire
Lab 46.5 (+5.0) 3 (0)    3
Con 35.7 (+2.0) 3 (+1) 2
UKIP 11.3                     1
LD 4.1 (-15.4)    0 (-1)
Green 2.1

East Cheshire
Con 52.0 (+3.2) 4 (+1) 3
Lab 24.7 (+2.5)  1 (0)   1
UKIP 12.7                     1
LD 7.4 (-15.6)     0 (-1)
Green 3.1

Liverpool & Wirral
Lab 64.7 (+9.8) 7 (+2) 6
Con 18.2 (-2.7) 2 (0)    2
UKIP 8.6                       1
Green 3.9
LD 3.6 (-15.3)    0 (-2)

Sefton & Saint Helens
Lab 53.4 (+4.7)     4 (+1) 3
Con 20.1 (-1.5)     1 (0)    1
UKIP 14.4 (+10.2) 1 (0)    1
LD 9.1 (+14.3)                  1
Green 3.3

Bolton & Wigan
Lab 48.3 (+1.9) 3 (0)
Con 26.4 (-0.9) 2 (0)
UKIP 19.8          1 (+1)
LD 3.1 (-12.7)    0 (-1)
Green 1.8

Manchester
Lab 51.4 (+8.1) 6 (+1) 4
Con 23.2 (-0.7) 2 (0)    2
UKIP 11.9          1 (+1) 1
LD 6.7 (-18.6)    0 (-2)  1
Green 5.7                     1

Stockport & Tameside
Lab 36.7 (+4.6)    2 (0)    2
Con 31.4 (+0.5)    2 (0)    2
UKIP 15.1 (+11.3) 1 (+1) 1
LD 13.3 (-16.3)      1 (-1)  1
Green 3.0

Bury, Oldham & Rochdale
Lab 44.9 (+6.7) 3 (0)   3
Con 26.3 (-2.0) 2 (0)    2
UKIP 19.5          1 (+1) 1
LD 5.9 (+17.9)   0 (-1)
Green 2.6

Mid Lancashire
Lab 39.7 (+3.3)     4 (0)   4
Con 37.6 (+0.7)    4 (0)    3
UKIP 14.9 (+11.2) 1 (+1) 1
LD 5.5 (-12.4)        0 (-1)  1
Green 2.1

North Lancashire
Con 42.1 (+0.7) 3 (0)  3
Lab 35.2 (+1.8) 3 (0)   3
UKIP 13.5          1 (+1) 1
LD 3.6 (-14.7)    0 (-1)
Green 3.5

Cumbria
Con 40.7 (+1.3) 3 (0) 2
Lab 29.8 (-1.0)  2 (0)  2
LD 13.3 (-11.0)  1 (0) 1
UKIP 12.6                   1
Green 3.4

North West summed
Lab 44.2 (+4.7)    38 (+3) 34
Con 31.6 (-0.1)     28 (+2) 24
UKIP 13.8 (+10.6) 7 (+7)   11
LD 6.6 (-15.0)        2 (-12)  5
Green 3.2 (+2.7)                1
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2015 UK election by 5-9 member constituencies on: May 14, 2015, 08:01:22 am
East Yorkshire
Con 36.9 (+1.1)    3 (+1) 3
Lab 34.0 (+5.4)     2 (0)   2
UKIP 17.5 (+13.6) 1 (+1) 1
LD 6.9 (-18.3)        0 (-1)
Green 3.6

Barnsley, Rotherham & Doncaster
Lab 51.2 (+6.9)     5 (0)   4
UKIP 24.9 (+19.8) 2 (+2) 2
Con 18.3 (-3.5)     1 (-1)  2
LD 3.2 (-14.0)        0 (-1)
Green 0.5. Just two candidates, but even so that's pathetic.

Sheffield
Lab 47.5 (+8.4) 3 (0)   3
Con 16.2 (-2.8)  1 (0)   1
UKIP 15.9          1 (+1) 1
LD 14.2 (-17.7)  1 (-1)  1
Green 5.2

Kirklees & Calderdale
Lab 39.7 (+6.2) 3 (+1) 3
Con 37.9 (+3.2) 2 (-1)  2
UKIP 13.1          1 (+1) 1
LD 4.8 (-17.1)    0 (-1)
Green 3.5

Wakefield & Elmet
Lab 43.0 (+2.1) 2 (0)
Con 34.0 (+1.0) 2 (0)
UKIP 17.1          1 (+1)
LD 3.5 (-12.3)    0 (-1)
Green 1.5

Leeds
Lab 45.1 (+5.7) 3 (0)   3
Con 26.9 (-0.6) 2 (0)    1
UKIP 12.4          1 (+1) 1
LD 9.4 (-15.7)    0 (-1)  1
Green 5.7

Bradford
Lab 41.1 (+4.8) 2 (0)
Con 30.9 (-5.4) 2 (0)
UKIP 12.1          1 (+1)
LD 8.1 (-11.5)    0 (-1)
Green 3.4

North Yorkshire
Con 48.9 (+2.1)    5 (+1) 4
Lab 22.3 (+3.3)     2 (0)   2
UKIP 13.3 (+10.6) 1 (+1) 1
LD 9.2 (-18.5)        0 (-2) 1
Green 5.1

Yorkshire summed
Lab 39.6 (+4.9)     23 (+2) 21
Con 32.1 (0)          18 (0)   17
UKIP 15.9 (+13.3)  8 (+8)   9
LD 7.4 (+15.9)        1 (-10) 3
Green 3.6 (+2.7)

I *think* the comparison vote shares are without Thirsk & Malton, not sure though.
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