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10976  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: My first attempt at a Proposition for the Mideast on: October 01, 2007, 11:41:42 am
I'd like an initiative to bring back the death penalty.  I'll have it written in time for the next proposition voting.

I can already guarentee that if it reaches my desk, I will veto it.  I am firmly againest the death penalty.

It's an "initiative."  Direct, people-based democracy.  The Governor can't veto an I&R item.
10977  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Extradition Bill on: October 01, 2007, 02:04:18 am
Including yourself, Verily, Brandon, Earl, and myself, we've got a Repressive Backwater voting bloc here in the Senate!  Hooray.

Defend killing your own citizens in peacetime if you want.

Unpopular though the issue will likely prove to be in this Senate, I do believe the death penalty is applicable for the worst of the worst offenses when there is no doubt to the guilt of the accused.
10978  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: End of the Budget Amendment on: October 01, 2007, 02:00:39 am
And when that doesn't work out in one or two years, we'll be debating whether or not to abolish the budget completely--again.

Better in incremental steps, then.
10979  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SurveyUSA (MA-05): Tsongas (D) 51%; Ogonowski (R) 41%. on: October 01, 2007, 12:35:46 am
If this race truly tightens, expect the DCCC to pump cash. Despite the anecdotal evidence, I still expect a 5% victory for Tsongas.


Probably about right. We had a Senate Race last year that looked a bit like this. Ultra-Heavy Democratic District(Romney lost it by 20 points in 2002), but a weak Democrat against a strong Republican. It looked like it was getting close and ended being about 54-46. The last five points are enormous climb for a Republican in Mass. Its good that Ognowski has gotten close, but each point afterwards is going to be a mammoth climb.

No such district exists in the Commonwealth—all "close" races were in districts Romney carried easily.
10980  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Extradition Bill on: October 01, 2007, 12:15:32 am
Nope.  I was referring to actual third  world countries.

It really can't be read that way in context, but if you want to back away from the statement, that's fine by me.

Signed,
Your Friendly "Repressive Backwater" Senator

Including yourself, Verily, Brandon, Earl, and myself, we've got a Repressive Backwater voting bloc here in the Senate!  Hooray.
10981  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: End of the Budget Amendment on: October 01, 2007, 12:10:29 am
Same here.
10982  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: New Tradesports rankings on: September 30, 2007, 09:35:23 pm
Gore has continued his climb to 9.5. Clinton is down a bit.

Gingrich announces he's not running, and falls to 0.1. The top 4 Republicans gain because of this. Paul is now a record high of 7.0. McCain is unchanged in a distant 5th. Huckabee falls.



Democrats
Clinton 66.2
Obama 16.4
Gore 9.5
Edwards 6.6
Richardson 0.6
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 36.8
Thompson 24.6
Romney 23.2
Paul 7.0
McCain 4.6
Huckabee 2.0
Rice 1.1
Gingrich 0.1

QUIK QUIK BUY MORE PAUL HES GOING TO 100
10983  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Gporter's stances on the issues: on: September 30, 2007, 09:29:12 pm
HIV/AIDS-we need to work to find cures for these dieseases and not stop researching until we find a cure for these sicknesses. Though we may not be successful at the beginning, but like I said before, we need to put forth good effort and work hard so that we can have a good result in the long run in finding a cure for these illnesses.

That's not the issue. We're likely decades away from treating HIV so it is rendered harmless to your body and untransmittable to other's bodies. The real question is what to do to keep the disease from spreading even further and wrecking our society even more.

Honestly, it's not really destroying any American/Atlasian "societies."  HIV is uncurable, but extremely treatable over the long term, so long as those infected follow strict guidelines with regard to prescription drug cocktails.

It remains a "rare" disease, and transmission is almost completely avoidable.

The real problem with HIV is what it is currently doing to the African continent, where honestly, they don't know any better.  I mean, seriously, they believe that the "cure" for AIDS involves raping virgins.
10984  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SurveyUSA (MA-05): Tsongas (D) 51%; Ogonowski (R) 41%. on: September 30, 2007, 09:24:27 pm
Safe Kucinich.
10985  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: McCain: No Muslim president, U.S. better with Christian one on: September 30, 2007, 06:46:51 pm
Well, if the final ballot came down to McCain and Keith Ellison, I have to say that I'd be voting for McCain.

Speak for yourself.

I thought that when I said "I'd be voting for McCain," I was speaking for myself.
10986  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Extradition Bill on: September 30, 2007, 06:43:32 pm
Not really.  The federal government should take as strong a stance against executions as possible.  Just because some regions choose to be repressive backwaters doesn't mean that the Atlasian government should be sending people over to third world hellholes to be executed.

I strongly object to the Northeast being called a backwater and/or a third world hellhole.

As a side note, this sort of extradition policy would be a big public relations plus for Atlasia looking to rebuild common ground with allies like Canada and the European Union.

From what I hear, we "ain't no superpower," so what does that kind of thing matter?
10987  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SurveyUSA (MA-05): Tsongas (D) 51%; Ogonowski (R) 41%. on: September 30, 2007, 05:25:14 pm
Redmond won because a Green in Santa Fe siphoned off middle class liberal Anglo votes against an Hispanic machine hack, and Redmond took the seat with a plurality of something like 39% of the vote (don't hold me to that percentage). In the subsequent election, the third party factor was gone, and although Redmond worked hard at it, and did increase his vote with the Native Americans in particular in the Pueblos and beyond (up to something like maybe 43% of the total vote), it was not enough, and he lost. If the Pubbie wins in a clean two party race in the Mass-5, he will have a chance to cement himself into the seat, if he has the skills. Does he have the skills? I doubt it.

There are a bunch of third-party candidates running in MA-05 for the 2007 Special.

No matter what his skills are, it is going to be very difficult for an inexperienced Republican to hold a seat that Hillary Clinton is likely to carry by close to 2 to 1 in 2008.  Also, he is likely going to have to cast some tough votes that will be very unpopular in the district like against expanding S-CHIP and other economic issues. 

Probably not too many votes.  I'd anticipate his record to be the most liberal of House Republicans.
10988  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Best Political Office For The Previous Poster... on: September 30, 2007, 05:16:55 pm
Sheriff of a White-majority border county.  If there are any.
10989  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What happenned to all the Republicans? on: September 30, 2007, 05:15:40 pm
I found signatures highly offputting when I first began coming here.  Especially the painfully stupid/gigantic ones.
10990  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: McCain: No Muslim president, U.S. better with Christian one on: September 30, 2007, 04:07:14 pm
Well, if the final ballot came down to McCain and Keith Ellison, I have to say that I'd be voting for McCain.
10991  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Atlasian-United States Relations Exploration Act on: September 30, 2007, 03:30:36 pm
Motion to amend the bill by striking section 3.

I think the government would be well advised, for a large number of reasons, to not go around announcing itself as irrelevant.  Further, the population, size, and level of influence of Atlasia is not a matter for the Senate to legislate.
10992  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Morning-After Pill Bill on: September 30, 2007, 03:23:52 pm
For the record, I do support the bill as it currently stands, though I am curious about Senator Spade's constitutionally-based objections.
10993  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Extradition Bill on: September 30, 2007, 03:19:53 pm
I would vote for final passage of this bill with Verily's "cruel and unusual" wording, but since Atlasia still has the death penalty, it seems hypocritical at the very least to refuse to extradite criminals to their home country because said country has the death penalty, too.
10994  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NJ-3: Adler Announces Against Saxton on: September 30, 2007, 03:01:50 pm
I disagree if Saxton was to retire and Allen ran I would put the race into the tossup category. If for some reason Allen were to retire or not run again I think you would see that district possibly swing D if the right person ran.

If you're talking about her State Senate district, there's no chance in hell Republicans could hold it without her.
10995  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nebraska Senate 2008: Johanns Will Run for Hagel's Senate Seat on: September 30, 2007, 02:55:59 pm
I'm amazed at how a (R) seat in a VERY red state could even be thought of as competitive. Anyway, for what it's worth, My 2008 senate prediction is this:

Dem gains: VA, NH, CO, MN
GOP gains: LA

Dems: 52-46-2

Way too early to tell. As of now, I'd guess the Dems have an edge in VA, NH, and CO. Franken would probably lose to Coleman. LA, despite the population changes, is not a done deal for the GOP. John Kennedy is not the GOP's top challenger and Landreiu has a knack for surviving in Presidential years (1996). Of course, who could forget the GOP's failed 2002 "Operation: Icing on the Cake."

Honestly, Louisiana on a whole is tons more Republican now than it was in 1996, not even counting the fact that a hurricane displaced a solid chunk of its Democratic electorate.

I agree with you about Lousiana's demographic shift since 1996. The one issue here is dod the Republicans have a candidate that can beat Mary Landreiu. Her last two opponent were sub-par and nearly beat her, but they still lost.

John Kennedy has been loathed by the GOP for years and now he expects to become the party's standardbearer against Landreiu? If the Democrat can focus this race on parochial issues and her general effectiveness, the Republicans will once again blow a chance to pick up this seat.

Did I mention the NRSC will be defending at least seven of their own party's seats? The NRSC's job is incumbent protection first, then offense. Kennedy will likely get pushed to the side when Gordon Smith, Susan Collins, and Norm Coleman come calling next October.

The NRSC can't afford to be totally focused on incumbent protection, and I think they know this.  It's almost guaranteed that they'll lose a seat somewhere, so they need to play offense somewhere to try and pick something up.

Besides, very few of the races are "incumbent" protection—seats like CO, VA, and NE are open seats without an incumbent.  Defending Sununu surely tops the list, and I'm sure Smith and Coleman will need help when the election heats up (Collins won't be getting much help unless Allen closes the gap, which is much easier said than done).

Other than that, picking up LA holds the same priority as holding CO.

And with respect to Louisiana, I doubt there's going to be much vitrol directed at John Kennedy for being a Democrat once—I mean, seriously, a majority of the current GOP base used to be Democrats at one point, and he wasn't objectionable enough to even draw a GOP opponent in 2003.
10996  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SurveyUSA (MA-05): Tsongas (D) 51%; Ogonowski (R) 41%. on: September 30, 2007, 02:21:26 pm
Why is Marty Meehan still selfishly clinging to his $5.1 million war chest?

Because he's a selfish guy?

Seriously, it's for a future statewide run.  It's tough when the Junior Senator of your state has been around for "only" 23 years.

What motivation do GOP base voters have to vote in this special election? They're angry about immigration, a mishandled war, federal profligacy, and the ineptitude of their party's President. I doubt that Ogonowski will have the kind of grassroots army that lifted Ron Lewis to victory in 1994 and nearly pushed Paul Hackett to victory in 2005.

Well, first of all, the grassroots are highly overrated, but the fact that a candidate who honestly never should have had a shot is (allegedly) coming within single digits of a win can do a lot to motivate a team who's used to being so far out of the game that it's barely worth showing up to it.  (Besides, MA-05 is not the kind of district where the GOP base are xenophobic neo cons.)

And it's not like Democrats here have a lot to go wild about.  A solid portion of the Democratic base in the district is minority, and we know they probably won't even show up to the polls for an October Special Election.  And honestly, it's not like Democrats are doing a great job in Congress right now opposing the President and ending the war—that frustration is definitely evident in a large portion of the Democratic base here.

The turnout dynamics will be very interesting to see.

And with the 2008 Election heating up, more people are paying attention to that, with fewer paying attention to Bush, who thankfully hasn't done anything mind-numbingly stupid in the last few months.

And I'm not sure how much help the Democratic State Party will be for a race like this.  In my experience, they're virtually absent from scene because they're never needed.  I know that when I was working a "top tier" open-seat legislative race in '04, the Democrat got literally no help from the state party, and instead relied on a phalanx of special interests for cash and volunteers (unions and the gay lobby, to be specific).

I'm getting somewhat excited, because this may be the first real race Massachusetts has had in a long time—I think the last race that was even on the radar was the Torkildsen/Tierney rematch of 1998.  (Elections can be quite boring up here, if you can imagine.)

im going to guess that lowell and lawrence wont have good voter turnout for a special election.

That's pretty much a given.

And think about this: If Tsongas somehow loses, then Eileen Donaghue looks solid to pick the seat up in November 2008 when turnout is normal.  It's acutally to Donaghue's benefit for her to root for the Republican here.
10997  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nebraska Senate 2008: Johanns Will Run for Hagel's Senate Seat on: September 30, 2007, 01:23:11 am
I'm amazed at how a (R) seat in a VERY red state could even be thought of as competitive. Anyway, for what it's worth, My 2008 senate prediction is this:

Dem gains: VA, NH, CO, MN
GOP gains: LA

Dems: 52-46-2

Way too early to tell. As of now, I'd guess the Dems have an edge in VA, NH, and CO. Franken would probably lose to Coleman. LA, despite the population changes, is not a done deal for the GOP. John Kennedy is not the GOP's top challenger and Landreiu has a knack for surviving in Presidential years (1996). Of course, who could forget the GOP's failed 2002 "Operation: Icing on the Cake."

Honestly, Louisiana on a whole is tons more Republican now than it was in 1996, not even counting the fact that a hurricane displaced a solid chunk of its Democratic electorate.
10998  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SurveyUSA (MA-05): Tsongas (D) 51%; Ogonowski (R) 41%. on: September 30, 2007, 01:17:50 am
When does the GOP ever have a positive approval rating in Massachusetts?

If Ogonowski's showing can tack more closely to Romney's 2002 showing, or even "somewhat outpace" K. Murph's 2006 showing, he's in pretty good shape.  I mean, Lowell is pretty damn Democratic, but there are towns in this district that went around 3:1 for Mitt.
10999  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Attorney General Confirmation Hearing: Hashemite on: September 30, 2007, 01:00:07 am
Aye.
11000  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Morning-After Pill Bill on: September 30, 2007, 12:56:42 am
I motion for an amendment to strike Clause 3 of this legislation.

You need to strike Clause 4 at the same time, since it exists only to clarify Clause 3.
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