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10976  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Hybrid Car Tax Break on: October 11, 2007, 12:26:32 am
$6,000 seems a bit low. A standard hybrid runs around $20,000, somewhat more than your average car. $8,000 would be more reasonable.

Upgrading to a hybrid engine costs less than $8,000, which is why I wanted to cap the tax break around the cost of the upgrade.  All the Government needs to do to encourage these things is to make them cost competitive with standard engines, and not just give money away to meet an arbitrary 30% target.
10977  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report: GOP surge in MA-05 on: October 11, 2007, 12:23:06 am
Carolyn McCarthy, using "her tragedy" to elect Mario Cuomo in 1994.
10978  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Hybrid Car Tax Break on: October 10, 2007, 10:24:10 pm
My only concerns about the new version of the bill is the unlimited aspect of the credit—I don't want the government giving away tens of thousands of dollars off the price of a luxury automobile simply because it has a hybrid engine.  A $6,000 limit covers the entire 25% on your most basic hybrids, while still covering the increased cost of a hybrid engine for more expensive cars.

I also would like to see people hold on to the cars longer than six months, so I'm going to try bumping it to 12.

And so, motion to amend:

(Amended parts in red.)

Quote
1. Persons who purchase a hybrid fuel automobile will be eligible for a partial reimbursement to subsidize the cost of purchase.
     a. No automobile that runs solely on gasoline may be eligible for the partial reimbursement.
2.  The government will provide a one time federal income tax credit of 25% of the pre-tax price paid for the automobile, up to $6,000.
3. To apply for this reimbursement, the person must own the automobile for a period of at least twelve months.
4. Households earning more than $90,000 annually will not be eligible for the partial reimbursement.
5. Previously existing tax incentives relating to the direct purchase of hybrid automobiles are abolished.
6. Sections 1, 2, and 4 of this act shall expire thirty-six months after this act becomes law.
10979  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Morning-After Pill Bill on: October 10, 2007, 10:10:49 pm
Aye.
10980  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Adult Stem Cell Research Enhancement [Bill] on: October 10, 2007, 10:09:51 pm
Aye.
10981  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: End of the Budget Amendment on: October 10, 2007, 10:08:10 pm
So long as this gets brought back sooner rather than later, I'll vote aye as well.
10982  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report: GOP surge in MA-05 on: October 10, 2007, 09:53:21 pm
This is a disgusting ad.  You don't exploit a tragedy in order to get elected. 

It's about the death of his brother, and Ogonowski's subsequent leadership in stepping up for his family and his country.  "Disgusting" is not a word that comes to mind for me here.

Is there similar outrage over Carolyn McCarthy?

Im pretty sure McCarthy didn't use her tragedy in ads. 

Carolyn McCarthy's entire candidacy was "her tragedy."
10983  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rothenberg House ratings on: October 10, 2007, 09:52:34 pm
Still, if the GOP has to defend the seats listed, ranging all the way up to R+8, it's better off doing it during a Presidential year when Hillary is on the ballot.

Unless she totally has coattails as conservatives go wild over her Baby Bond plan!
10984  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Live from Sacramento on: October 10, 2007, 09:48:32 pm
My life feels bettered already!
10985  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: National Liberal Coalition Senate Endorsements Discussion on: October 10, 2007, 04:51:31 pm
I have no desire to endorse an idiot for Mideast Senate or to have another idiot in the Senate so soon after DWTL, so, unless someone else gets in, I feel we must endorse Sensei. (Which I would have no problems with otherwise anyway.)

I'm not sure I agree as to the characterization of Inks as an idiot—I think he did a solid enough job as Governor of the Mideast.  I do agree, however, that Sensei fits the NLC much better than Inks does.

While I'm not making a personal endorsement in the race here because I think there's a good arguement to be made for some ideological balance in the Senate, I do plan on voting to give Sensei the endorsement of the party.
10986  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many seats... on: October 10, 2007, 04:45:56 pm
I do think another seat will develop for Republicans as something (at least remotely) "competitive" by Election Day.  Personally, I think it'll be New Jersey, though I doubt the GOP will actually wind up winning it.

Republicans can't afford to play 100% defense when they're facing some sure losses.
10987  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rothenberg House ratings on: October 10, 2007, 04:43:00 pm
Glad to see NJ-3 on that list.

I think you'd have to put it on there for now.  On paper, it looks like a strong challenge.

In Illinois the GOP is in trouble. Here are my odds for Dems flipping GOP seats.

...

IL-14--45%
IL-18--30%
IL-13--30%

...

The odds of the GOP flipping IL-08 are probably about 5%.

Me thinks you overestimate the Democrats' chances in these seats, R+5 all.
10988  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report: GOP surge in MA-05 on: October 10, 2007, 04:37:50 pm
This is a disgusting ad.  You don't exploit a tragedy in order to get elected. 

It's about the death of his brother, and Ogonowski's subsequent leadership in stepping up for his family and his country.  "Disgusting" is not a word that comes to mind for me here.

Is there similar outrage over Carolyn McCarthy?
10989  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: New Senate Rankings on: October 10, 2007, 04:31:11 pm
Why do you list several Republican incumbents in the "Lean Dem" pile? As of right now, every non-scandal tarred incumbent begins the 2008 campaign with an edge. Even ethically challenged Conrad Burns nearly crawled back from a double digit deficit in the polls.

I'm more interested in why Idaho is merely "Leans Republican."
10990  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report: GOP surge in MA-05 on: October 10, 2007, 03:20:35 pm
This isn't his first ad that mentions 9/11.  Most of them have already.
10991  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NM: Sen. Pete Domenici (R) to Retire Next Year on: October 10, 2007, 01:52:21 am
Oh, and Virginia 2001, too—Earley.
10992  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NM: Sen. Pete Domenici (R) to Retire Next Year on: October 10, 2007, 01:50:57 am
Well, it's certainly not the most unreasonable theory I've ever heard (and I think I've heard it before as well).  When exactly is the last time an Attorney General has lost a run for an open Senate or Governor's seat, anyway?  I think it's been quite a while.

Erm, Virginia (Kilgore) 2005?  Pennsylvania (Fisher) 2002?
10993  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Mortgage Meltdown on: October 09, 2007, 10:10:34 pm
BTW Joe since you have worked in the business maybe you can answer a question I've been wondering about: Where do the mortgage companies get the money they loan out?

Besides the borrower, who loses when the loan is not repaid and the house cannot be sold for enough to cover the mortgage?

Loans are bundled together to minimize risk, and sold to large investment firms.
10994  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Has New Hampshire's 1977 state law.......... on: October 09, 2007, 10:05:10 pm

Has New Hampshire's 1977 state law requiring that their state primary be the first in the nation ever been challenged in court?  Searching online, I have not found anything.  I'm sure there must have been at least one challenge over it.

What is it violating, exactly?  It doesn't require other states to set their dates after New Hampshire's, it moves New Hampshire's date based on the actions of other states.
10995  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: My Candidacy for State Assembly 2010 on: October 09, 2007, 09:45:16 pm
Awww and you could tell you were really serious about it, too Sad Sad Sad
10996  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IN-09: Battle #4 begins - Sodrel to challenge Hill again in 2008 on: October 09, 2007, 08:20:49 pm
It seems to me that this would be the kind of district that would abhor having Hillary Clinton as President along with a Democratic congress.  That's going to be tough for Hill.
10997  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MS: Gubernatorial Debate tonight on: October 09, 2007, 08:11:31 pm
Barbour would have to win nearly 95% of the white vote to break 60%.  That won't happen.  Eaves could win with 25% of the white vote, but unfortunately that's unlikely.

He'd need the same ~85% that Bush got in 2004, unless the arguement is that black voters are more likely to turn out in a midterm than in a Presidential year.

Bush didn't break 60, and even if he did, Eaves definitely do much better among white Mississippians than Kerry did.

And again, like I said, I don't know lots about Mississippi, but from what I know about African American voters in general, they're more likely to turn out in a Presidential year than in a Gubernatorial year.
10998  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Extradition Bill on: October 09, 2007, 02:06:32 pm
I'll abstain.
10999  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MS: Gubernatorial Debate tonight on: October 09, 2007, 01:17:29 pm
Barbour would have to win nearly 95% of the white vote to break 60%.  That won't happen.  Eaves could win with 25% of the white vote, but unfortunately that's unlikely.

He'd need the same ~85% that Bush got in 2004, unless the arguement is that black voters are more likely to turn out in a midterm than in a Presidential year.
11000  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MA Gubernatorial election 1990 town map on: October 09, 2007, 01:03:25 pm
Williamstown, Amherst, and Cambridge for Weld...things have changed a bit in 17 years.

Namely, the difference has been in the past 17 years, the Republican candidate has been to the right of the Democratic candidate.  Not so in 1990!
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