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10976  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TN-Senate-Internal: Alexander (R) ahead of McWherter (D) by 31 on: November 03, 2007, 10:10:12 pm
Giuliani 46 vs Clinton 44. GOP internal? Not bad going for Hillary. Nothing for Thompson vs Clinton? Fred well ahead I'd imagine possibly a question not worth asking

Dave

Because Thompson has virtually no shot at being the GOP nominee anymore, I guess.
10977  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: ME-Senate: Collins leads Allen by 20 on: November 03, 2007, 10:09:00 pm
I think this will continue to tighten up significantly by next November, but Collins will still win.

I agree with the "tighten up" part, but not with the "significantly" part.

Collins by 13–18.

On Election Day? Seriously? Tom Allen /= Chellie Pingree. 2002 /= 2008.

I still think Collins, like Smith and Coleman, has a strong edge over he Democratic foe. But it's ludicrous to say Collins is a 13-18 point favorite.

Ludicrous?  I don't understand why—this poll shows her as the 20 point favorite right now.  And Tom Allen still doesn't ≠ Chellie Pingree, and 2002 ≠ 2007.

Honestly, though, while 2002 may have been a good year overall for Republicans, but it was kinda mediocre for Maine Republicans.  Democrats picked up the Governor's mansion and Michaud beat Raye.

At least Collins now has a weakened Maine Democratic Party going for her, with a rather unpopular Baldacci running the show.
10978  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The Hill: Cochran (R-MS) Mulling Retirement on: November 03, 2007, 09:43:19 pm
As competitive, maybe, as Oklahoma 2004 wound up being.

Which is to say, in hindsight, not very.
10979  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How will the Mississippi's Governors race play out. on: November 03, 2007, 09:39:26 pm
In hindsight, it would have been better if Jindal had won then, so he'd be blamed for the Katrina mess (which would have been just as bad under him).

In hindsight, it would have been better if the mess hadn't been as bad.  And the school buses hadn't just sat there.

We'll never know. Blanco could have made the call to use the buses, but it was Ray Nagin's job first. He failed, yet was re-elected (partly due to the fact that Mitch Landrieu was perceived as a social liberal).

The National Review had a picture of those buses on its cover, the week after the storm. Conservatives seem to cling to that one detail of the whole Katrina disaster, and forget almost everything else. Such as, the National Guard being in Iraq instead of allowed to help in Louisiana.

Yeah, see, I don't know if things would have been any better with Jindal as Governor during Katrina, but I have a pretty good reason to believe it couldn't have been any worse.  Blanco was an unmitigated disaster.

I'd take the blind trade any day of the week.
10980  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: "Lou Dobbs voters" will decide the election? on: November 03, 2007, 01:17:41 pm
Well, you know, in general, I've always thought the people who truly decide Presidential elections are the ones who are the most dumb.

Though honestly, I know little about Lou Dobbs voters other than their representative here...ahem.
10981  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Some important Republicans are no longer sure Clinton will be nominated... on: November 03, 2007, 01:15:57 pm
The media is getting really bored with the Clinton-as-inevitable-winner meme, and are trying to figure out why she's blowing the race when she isn't actually blowing the race at all.

Clinton is making a calculated risk that she's going to be the nominee, and she's trying to triangulate herself right into that sweet spot her husband found in 1996.  I think it's a good strategy—more and more attention is being paid to the Presidential race, and I don't think she can necessarily afford to be as bats**t liberal as the Republican base wants to assume she is.
10982  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Is Obama's campaign doomed? on: November 03, 2007, 01:11:56 pm
Interesting point, but I don't know how many college students participate in the Iowa Caucuses.

It's funny: I know plenty of college kids who actually sold off their own belongings to donate money to the Dean campaign back in 2004, but I don't know a single one who actually voted for Dean.
10983  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Larry Craig Vs Jim McGreevy 2008 on: November 03, 2007, 01:09:35 pm
McGrovey is a hipocite too, lolz

I think we've finally found a combination where "None of the Above" wins Nevada's electoral votes.
10984  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: ME-Senate: Collins leads Allen by 20 on: November 03, 2007, 01:03:37 pm
I think this will continue to tighten up significantly by next November, but Collins will still win.

I agree with the "tighten up" part, but not with the "significantly" part.

Collins by 13–18.
10985  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TN-Senate-Internal: Alexander (R) ahead of McWherter (D) by 31 on: November 03, 2007, 12:59:56 pm
is this the son of the former governor?

Yeah, the one who hasn't run for office in 17 years.
10986  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The Top 10 Best-Funded House Challengers on: November 02, 2007, 10:51:04 pm
Hillary would likely pull Gillibrand and Hall over the top if is the Democratic nominee.

I don't have super high hopes for a Republican pick-up in New York, but honestly, in Hall's district, a Rudy v. Hillary race is a wash so far as Presidential coattails go.
10987  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bush approval at 30% in AR on: November 02, 2007, 10:45:25 pm
If you think that's bad, take a look at the approvals of the Governor of Illinois!
10988  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: For New Jersey residents or people that lived there... on: November 02, 2007, 10:44:32 pm
If I recall correctly, Sen. Gerry Cardinale is a perpetual supporter of ending self-serve gas, but it never goes anywhere because it has little support in the Senate, Assembly, or among the general populace.
10989  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: MA father awarded $11 million in lawsuit over his military son's funeral on: November 02, 2007, 10:37:40 pm
The right to freedom of speech trumps the right not to be offended.

Even at a funeral?

Who decides what event is solemn enough to warrant this?  So, yes, as far as I'm concerned, it should.

Interesting that we're on agreement with this.  (And in rather thin company, too.)
10990  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mixed Emotions: $94 Oil on: November 02, 2007, 10:36:32 pm
Listen, I'm not crazy about oil pushing $100 a barrel—I mean, it sucks having to drop $30-40 to fill up my tank.  But I don't really use that much gas, and there wouldn't be a significant dent in my lifestyle if gas were to suddenly jump to $5 per gallon.

But maybe that's because I wasn't stupid enough to buy a Hummer and because I don't have to travel 60 miles to and from work every day.
10991  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NM: Tom Udall reconsiders run for New Mexico senate on: November 02, 2007, 06:16:57 pm
If Romney wins the GOP nomination, and both Udalls end up running for Senate, then we're going to be swamped by a million "Mormons and politics" media stories throughout 2008.


If you listen to NPR, you've probably already heard a million "Mormons and politics" stories.
10992  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The Top 10 Best-Funded House Challengers on: November 02, 2007, 02:39:34 pm
I keep forgetting that the GOP actually lost TX-23 last year.

Interesting to see the GOP has two very well financed challengers in New York.  A big money challenge against Hall doesn't surprise me, but a well-financed challenge against Gillibrand does, to an extent.
10993  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The Hill: Special-election winner Broun fighting from behind vs. Fleming on: November 02, 2007, 02:37:10 pm
Maybe he could become an independent and get the Dems to stay out of the race. That sounds like his only chance.

Oh, I think he could potentially win a GOP primary.  It's not like he's a RINO or anything.

He doesn't stand a chance as an indy in the general.
10994  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: New Tradesports rankings on: November 02, 2007, 02:34:48 pm
Gore drops.

Paul passes Thompson for 3rd place. Ron Paul in 3rd place, LOL.  Paul is close to a record high, while Thompson is the lowest in several months.  If Thompson's crash and burn continues, he will fall below McCain soon. Huckabee also drops.

Democrats
Clinton 71.3
Obama 12.8
Gore 6.6
Edwards 4.0
Richardson 0.8
Dodd 0.4
Biden 0.3

Republicans
Giuliani 42.0
Romney 28.5
Paul 8.7
Thompson 8.4
McCain 7.1
Huckabee 4.5
Rice 1.2
Gingrich 0.2

The market has the GOP race all wrong.  Thompson is still a serious competitor, Paul is not.  Thompson belongs above 10, Paul belongs at 2.5 or lower.  Rice doesn't even deserve to be traded.  I mean, seriously.
10995  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 'Social Suicide' Thread on: November 01, 2007, 11:33:58 pm
I couldn't give a s**t about the Red Sox, and I really wish they'd stop interrupting Judge Judy and The Price is Right for victory parade coverage.
10996  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Comedy Goldmine 3: The Mineshaft--SHAFT! on: November 01, 2007, 11:26:55 pm
Good for them!!!  I do not like Colbert one bit.  I don't like the way he makes fun of my President and never makes fun of any Democrats.  I never watch his show on purpose.  I was only forced to watch that creep while in Boston and he ticked me off so much I had to leave the room.

I am a Democrat, but I do not like ANYBODY making fun of my President, and especially only attacks one side.

Jay Leno, in my mind, is different.  At least he makes fun of both sides and, in my mind, is not intended to make anybody look bad.  Plus, I am used to Jay Leno as he took over for the man I grew up watching, Johnny Carson.

I thought he was only 25? How did he "grow up watching Johnny Carson"?

Well, Carson did last into the 1990s.  I'm 27 and I've seen plenty of Carson episodes of the Tonight Show.
10997  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Some moral support for a 'scaredy cat' required on: November 01, 2007, 11:24:59 pm
I acutally have a pretty bad needle phobia myself.  My solution is one valium before any and all needle encounters.  Levels you out real nice, and takes a bit of pain out of it too.

Not that there's any pain at all, really.  Most of the needle phobia issues people have are based on painful innoculation experiences as children (usually, the "this won't hurt" lie).  It helps to understand that the pain involved in a blood test is usually quite minimal and often negligable.

I also advise letting the phlebotomist know that you have a fear of needles.  They can't really be more "gentle," but they can certainly approach the manner with more tact and give you the time you need to prepare yourself for the prick.
10998  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: MA father awarded $11 million in lawsuit over his military son's funeral on: November 01, 2007, 11:06:24 pm
I hate them just as much as the rest of you, but what kind of precedent does this set...?

A very, very bad one.
10999  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: North Carolina Senate 2008: Public Policy Polling - Dole (R) 46%, Hagan (D) 33% on: November 01, 2007, 11:04:14 pm
Still, with Mike Easley not being interested, any credible statewide contender is best holding off until Burr is up for re-election in 2010

And chances are, they'll be disappointed they waited.
11000  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Colbert's Presidential Bid Rejected on: November 01, 2007, 05:41:14 pm

You have to ask?
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