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March 26, 2015, 05:32:03 pm
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-PPP: Hillary leads all Pubs on: Today at 10:44:38 am
Her favorability is 41/51. She has to do something about that or it will be lethal against a non-joke candidate.

Okay, so we can just ignore the part of the poll we don't like (Hillary leading everyone, even the Floridians), and only focus on the part we do like (Hillary's favorability rating) to disprove the part of the poll we don't like? Cool.

I am a Hillary supporter. I dislike this part of the poll because it concerns me. Don't respond to people when you have no idea what you're talking about.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Lindsey Graham on: Today at 07:14:43 am
FF for foreign policy.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of George Pataki on: March 24, 2015, 09:49:08 pm
FF
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Rand Paul win the Texas Primary? on: March 24, 2015, 08:52:15 pm
In a two way race with someone like Christie, sure.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs Paul on: March 24, 2015, 01:40:11 pm
Besides being anti-tax, what other Libertarian positions are popular in NH?
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs Paul on: March 24, 2015, 12:54:58 pm
George Bush won New Hampshire, but leftists think Paul can't.....

Bush won with 48%. With Nader off the ballot, Bush probably would have lost.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-PPP: Hillary leads all Pubs on: March 24, 2015, 10:18:39 am
Her favorability is 41/51. She has to do something about that or it will be lethal against a non-joke candidate.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill Kristol: We may need to draft Netanyahu against Hillary on: March 23, 2015, 03:46:23 pm
Apparently CNN doesn't know the difference between RV/LV voter polls and polls of national adults.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Hillary get a higher or lower % in AZ than Obama 2012? on: March 23, 2015, 03:00:40 pm
Obama got 44.45% of the vote in AZ in 2012. Some say Hillary is a better fit for the state, but she is polling poorly with seniors.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary's share of the white vote in Mississippi and Alabama on: March 23, 2015, 02:57:42 pm
They were both exit polled in 2012:

http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/exit.shtml?state=MS&race=P&jurisdiction=0&party=G&tag=dataDisplay;3060

http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/exit.shtml?state=AL&race=P&jurisdiction=0&party=G&tag=dataDisplay;3060

Obama received 10% in MS and 15% in AL.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which "Clinton but not Obama" states could Hillary carry in 2016? on: March 23, 2015, 08:51:53 am
Missouri definitely. Arkansas could.

Obama received 37% in 2012. She isn't going to do 13% better than Obama in the state.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would Hillary break 40% in West Virginia? on: March 22, 2015, 06:29:57 pm
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=179653.0
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would Hillary break 40% in West Virginia? on: March 22, 2015, 04:34:50 pm
No. A 5% swing from Obama 2012 to Hillary 2016 is just absurd.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Election night 2016:Ted Cruz declared the winner. What is your reaction? on: March 22, 2015, 09:35:32 am
Let's say Cruz gets the nomination and wins the general. What is your election night reaction?
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Does NH deserve its first-in-the-nation place in presidential primary season? on: March 20, 2015, 04:42:52 pm
OH should go first.
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hillary Supporters: Biggest Reason for supporting Hillary for President? on: March 20, 2015, 01:03:31 pm
Option 7. I don't care for the rhetoric of the progressive wing.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Which state is Hillary more likely to lose? on: March 19, 2015, 09:13:13 am
Some would say VA because it's an "Obama coalition" state, but I think she'll probably carry it. OH is likely to drift rightward in the future, and if minority turnout worsens I can see her losing it by 2-3%.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: PPP polling Florida this weekend on: March 18, 2015, 05:48:41 pm
Of course she will be leading everyone by 2-14 points. If she is ahead nationally by 15 points, how on earth can she trail in FL??

Because this will be a poll of voters, not just adults.
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Opinion of Courtesy of the Red, White and Blue on: March 18, 2015, 09:34:41 am
Toby Keith's controversial 2002 tune: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PXSK3iDeAI
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul is in; to announce next month on: March 18, 2015, 08:18:32 am
He and his father are vile swine. Hopefully he and his legion of Alex Jones's fanboys don't get the nomination. I fear he would play well with young voters in the general.

Yes, having actual principles makes you swine.

Telling uninsured people to go die in a church makes you swine. Spreading nonsense about vaccines and other conspiracy theories to the gullible makes you swine.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul is in; to announce next month on: March 18, 2015, 08:04:40 am
He and his father are vile swine. Hopefully he and his legion of Alex Jones's fanboys don't get the nomination. I fear he would play well with young voters in the general.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: PPP polling Florida this weekend on: March 17, 2015, 08:18:34 pm
I'm afraid Hillary will actually trail Bush. PPP has always had Hillary doing poorly in FL compared to other pollsters.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Schock is out on: March 17, 2015, 03:50:29 pm
Good. Generic congressman that became a media star for reasons not related to politics.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What are your favorite movie soundtracks? on: March 17, 2015, 03:40:32 pm
Free Willy (except the MJ song at the end, which is crap). Jurassic Park is great too.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: CNN/ORC national poll: Clinton = 53% favorable / 44% unfavorable on: March 17, 2015, 03:30:32 pm
Hillary Clinton

From this:



To this:





SOOOOOOOO SAAAAAAAAD

You realize this favorability rating is far higher than that of any of the Republican candidates, correct?

What polls have shown is that Hillary has very high name recognition. 

Now that the public is getting to know more about her, her statements, her views, her actions, her favorable ratings will decline, go up with some other event, fluctuate.

But anyone who believes that Hillary is guaranteed the Presidency is sadly mistaken.

Once she declares, if she does, and once she is under the microscope as a major candidate for the Presidency, and once the slogging gets tough and nasty, as it surely will, she will not be leading the race nearly to the extent that she has been doing. 


This race is not over, as some Hillary robots seem to believe, but really has not as yet even begun in the larger context.   

Who here is contesting any of this? Just because Democrats celebrate a poll that shows Hillary ahead doesn't make them delusional about her prospects.
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