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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who is more insufferable? on: June 22, 2016, 09:11:55 pm
Sanders himself doesn't seem to be a bad guy, it's his supporters who are the problems. The answer here should be more than obvious.

Give me an instance where Sanders has proven himself to be a "good guy".
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Truth About Hillary on: June 22, 2016, 02:34:31 pm
Just finished reading Ed Klein's book The Truth About Hillary. It appears to be a well researched chronicle of Hillary's life, and is worth a read. (It was published back in 2005).

Wrapping up the book (in a chapter he entitles "Nixon's Disciple"), Klein writes the following:

Quote
The comparison between Hillary Clinton and Richard Nixon can be pushed only so far. Whereas Nixon sought power in large part to overcome his low self-esteem, Hillary seeks power because she has unrealistically high self-esteem. With Hillary, we are dealing with a woman whose need for dominance is far more pathological than Nixon's.

What does that say about the kind of president Hillary might make?

A useful framework for evaluating Hillary's temperament as a predictor of her presidential performance is provided by Stanley Renshon, the author of a classic study, The Psychological Assessment of Presidential Candidates.

Ambition, Renshon says, is a form of "healthy narcissism," and the key to achievement. "Some children, however," he points out in a passage that seems especially relevant to Hillary Clinton, "... retain their sense that they are different, special, entitled and ultimately not to be limited by conventional boundaries.

"These are people whose ... ends therefore justify any means. Often this leads to a tendency to cut corners, to be less than forthcoming, to portray things always in the best light (in keeping with their own high views of themselves and their motives) and to be ready to bend the rules when it comes to their convenience. Such persons are vulnerable to getting into legal trouble."

Psychologists aren't the only ones who can provide us with useful clues to the kind of president Hillary would make. There is also the testimony of those who have had the opportunity to see her in action up close and personal.

"My two cents' worth -- and I think it is the two cents' worth of everybody who worked for the Clinton Administration health care reform effort of 1993-1994 -- is that Hillary Rodham Clinton needs to be kept very far away from the White House for the rest of her life," writes Bradford DeLong, deputy assistant secretary of the Treasury during the first Clinton administration. "Heading up health-care reform was the only major administrative job she ever tried to do. And she was a complete flop at it. She had neither the grasp of policy substance, the managerial skills, nor the political smarts to do the job she was then given ....

"Hillary Rodham Clinton," he continues, "has already flopped as a senior administrative official of the executive branch -- the equivalent of an Undersecretary. Perhaps she will make a good senator. But there is no reason to think that she would be anything but an abysmal President."

Any thoughts?

Irrelevant in an election where her opponent is Donald Trump, who displays all of the traits listed above to the max.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TRUMP courting LGBT voters on: June 22, 2016, 10:47:12 am
He is bigoted towards gays. On one of his anti-Rosie rants he started talking about her wife and said something along the lines of "She calls her her wife, which I guess is alright if you're into that thing" to the laughter and applause of the crowd. A pro-gay person would never mock gay marriage to a room of homophobes.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Trump Campaign Crumbling? Will It lead to "Hillaryslide'? on: June 21, 2016, 08:46:55 pm
It's not possible for her to win in a landslide because of how many people that will simply never vote Democrat. However, everyone that is willing to vote for Hillary in some circumstance, certainly will. She could get anywhere from 51% to 54%.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict Trump's Electoral vote total on: June 21, 2016, 07:42:10 pm
206
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Close race in OH/PA, Clinton leads in FL on: June 21, 2016, 04:20:45 pm
At least this beautiful university understands Trump's only possible electoral college route!

The question is, does Trump understand it?
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state will Trump have a harder time flipping? on: June 21, 2016, 04:18:15 pm
The highest Trump has polled in PA is 46%, back in October.

Trump hasn't polled above 44% in FL since last November. So FL is safe D too, I guess?

I missed that. I seem to remember Trump polling very well in FL early this year, guess I was wrong.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state will Trump have a harder time flipping? on: June 21, 2016, 03:31:12 pm
The highest Trump has polled in PA is 46%, back in October. There is no indication he can win it outside of Trump fetishists's delusions.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How can Trump win Virginia? on: June 21, 2016, 08:04:27 am
How would he be able to offset the totals in NoVa and the D.C. Suburbs to win the state?

Same way he wins everywhere, exploit racism in white suburbs.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your response to this lovely map on: June 20, 2016, 10:08:45 pm
Trump is not winning WI under any circumstances. There is nothing to indicate he could possibly win there. At least the SD delusion is grounded in her primary performances.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Bernie supporters plan "fart in" for DNC on: June 20, 2016, 11:55:22 am
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1107168772

Quote
Philadelphia: Cheri Honkala, the leader of the Poor People’s Economic Human Rights Campaign, announced that her group was organizing the world’s largest “fart-in” to be held on July 28 at the Wells Fargo Center during Hillary Clinton’s anticipated acceptance speech for the Democratic nomination.

“We will be holding a massive bean supper for Bernie Sanders delegates on American Street in my Kensington neighborhood on the afternoon of July 28,” she said. “We are setting up a Clintonville there, modeled on the Hoovervilles of the 1930s where the poor and unemployed built shanty towns. The Sanders delegates, their bellies full of beans, will be able to return to the Wells Fargo Center and greet the rhetorical flatulence of Hillary Clinton with the real thing."
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of the Mensheviks on: June 20, 2016, 11:24:24 am
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mensheviks
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Congressional Black Caucus opposes Sanders' requests on: June 19, 2016, 03:56:33 pm
What a clown. Go start your own party and allow everybody to vote. Democratic primaries should be for Democrats.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 03:45:40 pm
It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.

I could totally see that happening with NY (and a CA-sized area of the Northeast in general), but there's just no way Trump does more than marginally better than Romney in CA.  He likely does substantially worse.  IF there's a swing state that ruins a narrow PV win for Trump, I think it will be Florida, primarily because the Miami Cuban community goes from 50/50 in 2012 to 2/1 for Clinton.

You can totally see Trump getting 44-46% of the vote in NY? I really can't.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 02:19:37 pm
He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.


How do you know he's not serious? People said the same thing about NY, which he has been claiming for months he thinks he'll win, but he just recently hired a pollster for the state.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 12:36:56 pm
http://www.wral.com/road-to-270-donald-trump-stuck-on-gop-s-california-dream/15790059/

Quote
Donald Trump's prediction that he can capture the biggest prize in the November presidential election, the state's 55 electoral votes, rubs up against a dismal history for Republicans over a generation. The names on the ballot have changed, but the outcome has been the same — double-digit wins for Democrats since 1992.

Here's Trump's challenge: unite Republicans while finding millions of new supporters in a state where Democrats hold every statewide office and both chambers of the Legislature. They also have a 3.1 million edge in voters, a number equal to the population of Iowa.

Trump's state director, Tim Clark, emphasized that Trump's supporters are strongly motivated in a year when many voters are looking for candidates from beyond Washington. As an outsider, Trump could appeal to a vast pool of dormant voters soured on status quo politics, Clark said.

"Elections are won by those who show up, and those who show up are those motivated by their candidate," Clark added.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states are you most interested in watching this year? on: June 18, 2016, 02:12:19 pm
Basically all of the states in the mid-west and to a lesser extent the west.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dubya to help endangered Republicans because of TRUMP. on: June 17, 2016, 09:27:11 pm
Just try to imagine someone showing you this headline a few years back...
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Arizona private poll: Trump 42 Clinton 39 on: June 17, 2016, 11:30:17 am
These traditionally red states, Arizona, Utah, Georgia...all showing a tightening of the polls has to be concerning for Trump. In a close state, ground game and organization are essential...if these states still are within a few points as November comes closer, you have to think Clinton has a good shot of picking one or two of them off.

Again, Trump has no concept of red and blue states. He's listed NY, CA & WV among his top target states. Even hired a pollster for NY.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump would host Kim Jong Un in US on: June 16, 2016, 09:26:56 am
Kim won't leave NK because he's afraid of a coup. He wouldn't even cross the border into Russia last year when Putin invited him.
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Which unofficial slogan do you prefer? on: June 16, 2016, 09:21:25 am
Which do you prefer?
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your reaction if this happens on: June 15, 2016, 08:59:17 am
I’d just like to see Trumpster’s face if that actually happens.

Trump has no concept of red and blue states. He's targeting NY, CA & WV for f**k's sake.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of this video ("Why Trump will SMASH Hillary") on: June 11, 2016, 11:39:52 am
I'm sure the Trump fetishists got a nice fix from this.
24  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What Makes a "Good" Campaigner? on: June 10, 2016, 08:19:53 pm
Ted Cruz is amazing. I know he's so full of crap, but he is so damn good.

That reflects pretty negatively on the electorate. I don't think anyone comes off more insincere than Ted.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MO-Missouri Scout/Remington Research: Trump+6 on: June 09, 2016, 02:35:43 pm
Trump and his team are so incompetent Hillary could probably trick him into spending time in MO. Actually, she could probably trick him into spending time in AL, that's how clueless he is.
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