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September 21, 2014, 07:12:10 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton's Southern Ceiling on: August 04, 2014, 01:33:22 pm
I think Hillary has better chances in Kentucky and West Virginia than in Louisiana (not that I think she has that much of a chance in any).  Louisiana is in the Deep South, and thus more inelastic and racially polarized.

WV=Coal/LA=Cajun. Hillary would win LA before WV easily.
52  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 2012 Presidential Election on: August 03, 2014, 11:10:20 am
Obama/Romney
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: August 02, 2014, 05:33:51 pm
No Democratic nominee for President has won Florida by a 10% margin in a binary choice since FDR in 1944. Not even LBJ in 1964.

But the actual numbers were 54-33. Surely the vast majority of those undecideds would go to Christie in the end.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: August 02, 2014, 02:16:49 pm
Why does everyone keeping bringing up that 20% margin? Are they assuming the undecideds in that poll will decide not to vote?
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: LA-PPP: Swing state on: August 02, 2014, 02:07:38 pm
Swift justice for my thread which suggested that the state could poll close enough for her to campaign in it.
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 06:34:40 pm
I don't think Paul is electable I think he will implode sometime in the primary a la Rick Perry.

The primary IS his biggest challenge. I fear the media will try to ignore him like his dad.

It will be difficult to ignore him if the polls continue to show him as the strongest candidate against Hillary. His father was doing very poorly in polls against Obama in 2011/2012.
57  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 06:28:24 pm
This election could end up being pretty boring if someone like Christie or Bush is the nominee.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 08:42:21 am
It makes sense. Paul gets a lot of the younger Obama voters, the kind who have been voting against the GOP because of issues like war and the religious right. That's why he does so well in CO.
59  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you be disappointed if your daughter... on: July 30, 2014, 07:24:37 am
Yes. The man is a cretin.
60  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you be disappointed if your son... on: July 30, 2014, 07:23:28 am
No, she's a classy woman.
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: July 29, 2014, 05:02:24 pm
The key difference being that the Latte states are winnable, the upper south is not. 45% in TN instead of 39% is still losing.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: Would Benito Mussolini make a good running mate for Hillary? on: July 06, 2014, 01:41:26 pm
Yes. The Dems are bleeding older Italian voters so this would be a pragmatic move.
63  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Worst President since WWII on: July 05, 2014, 11:56:28 pm
Why was Harding a bad President?
Massive corruption?

I don't usually take that into consideration, unless it seriously harms the nation. All administrations are corrupt.
64  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Worst President since WWII on: July 05, 2014, 11:01:24 pm
Why was Harding a bad President?
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I think there is a candidate everyone is forgetting on: July 05, 2014, 02:21:57 pm
John Street.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: BIG vs. small (part II) on: July 05, 2014, 01:15:51 pm
Lol. I guess a democrat can convince 40 or so people in Loving County to vote for them if they visit the entire county and meet people face to face.

Very true. Face to face interaction is how Carter won the Iowa primary back in '76. I don't see why a Democrat would have trouble winning Loving County if they poured their heart into that place Smiley

Because 30 out of those 40 voters would be like "How do you feel about abortion?", and when the Democrat gave the wrong answer it would be over.
67  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Worst President since WWII on: July 05, 2014, 01:13:21 am
LBJ. The people voting Nixon are laughable.
68  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of New Hampshire/New Jersey Senators on: July 04, 2014, 08:28:34 pm
Ayotte & Menendez are awful. Booker and Shaheen are worthless but acceptable.
69  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Mississippi Senate election, 2014 on: July 04, 2014, 03:51:39 pm
Cochran.
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kasich vs. O'Malley on: July 04, 2014, 03:47:40 pm
John Kasich. Maryland would be a far bigger albatross than Massachusetts ever could be.
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I think there is a candidate everyone is forgetting on: July 03, 2014, 09:04:58 pm
Saxby Chambliss
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I think there is a candidate everyone is forgetting on: July 03, 2014, 06:30:48 pm
Lynn Swann?
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: FOX "News" one of Clinton's largest donors. on: July 03, 2014, 06:16:12 pm
I'm sure they love it when democrats win... then they have someone to bash to their illiterate masses.

I've often wondered if the hacks like Hannity like playing offense more. Must have gotten tiring defending Bush every day. And less fun.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kaine or Warner as VP? on: July 03, 2014, 05:39:44 pm
Lieberman.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I think there is a candidate everyone is forgetting on: July 03, 2014, 05:38:52 pm
Ed Rendell.
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