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July 26, 2016, 02:54:43 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How can Trump win Virginia? on: June 21, 2016, 08:04:27 am
How would he be able to offset the totals in NoVa and the D.C. Suburbs to win the state?

Same way he wins everywhere, exploit racism in white suburbs.
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your response to this lovely map on: June 20, 2016, 10:08:45 pm
Trump is not winning WI under any circumstances. There is nothing to indicate he could possibly win there. At least the SD delusion is grounded in her primary performances.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Bernie supporters plan "fart in" for DNC on: June 20, 2016, 11:55:22 am
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1107168772

Quote
Philadelphia: Cheri Honkala, the leader of the Poor People’s Economic Human Rights Campaign, announced that her group was organizing the world’s largest “fart-in” to be held on July 28 at the Wells Fargo Center during Hillary Clinton’s anticipated acceptance speech for the Democratic nomination.

“We will be holding a massive bean supper for Bernie Sanders delegates on American Street in my Kensington neighborhood on the afternoon of July 28,” she said. “We are setting up a Clintonville there, modeled on the Hoovervilles of the 1930s where the poor and unemployed built shanty towns. The Sanders delegates, their bellies full of beans, will be able to return to the Wells Fargo Center and greet the rhetorical flatulence of Hillary Clinton with the real thing."
54  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of the Mensheviks on: June 20, 2016, 11:24:24 am
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mensheviks
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Congressional Black Caucus opposes Sanders' requests on: June 19, 2016, 03:56:33 pm
What a clown. Go start your own party and allow everybody to vote. Democratic primaries should be for Democrats.
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 03:45:40 pm
It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.

I could totally see that happening with NY (and a CA-sized area of the Northeast in general), but there's just no way Trump does more than marginally better than Romney in CA.  He likely does substantially worse.  IF there's a swing state that ruins a narrow PV win for Trump, I think it will be Florida, primarily because the Miami Cuban community goes from 50/50 in 2012 to 2/1 for Clinton.

You can totally see Trump getting 44-46% of the vote in NY? I really can't.
57  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 02:19:37 pm
He is not serious about California.

He will probably lose the state by a record margin.


How do you know he's not serious? People said the same thing about NY, which he has been claiming for months he thinks he'll win, but he just recently hired a pollster for the state.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Road to 270: Donald Trump stuck on GOP's California dream on: June 19, 2016, 12:36:56 pm
http://www.wral.com/road-to-270-donald-trump-stuck-on-gop-s-california-dream/15790059/

Quote
Donald Trump's prediction that he can capture the biggest prize in the November presidential election, the state's 55 electoral votes, rubs up against a dismal history for Republicans over a generation. The names on the ballot have changed, but the outcome has been the same — double-digit wins for Democrats since 1992.

Here's Trump's challenge: unite Republicans while finding millions of new supporters in a state where Democrats hold every statewide office and both chambers of the Legislature. They also have a 3.1 million edge in voters, a number equal to the population of Iowa.

Trump's state director, Tim Clark, emphasized that Trump's supporters are strongly motivated in a year when many voters are looking for candidates from beyond Washington. As an outsider, Trump could appeal to a vast pool of dormant voters soured on status quo politics, Clark said.

"Elections are won by those who show up, and those who show up are those motivated by their candidate," Clark added.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states are you most interested in watching this year? on: June 18, 2016, 02:12:19 pm
Basically all of the states in the mid-west and to a lesser extent the west.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dubya to help endangered Republicans because of TRUMP. on: June 17, 2016, 09:27:11 pm
Just try to imagine someone showing you this headline a few years back...
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Arizona private poll: Trump 42 Clinton 39 on: June 17, 2016, 11:30:17 am
These traditionally red states, Arizona, Utah, Georgia...all showing a tightening of the polls has to be concerning for Trump. In a close state, ground game and organization are essential...if these states still are within a few points as November comes closer, you have to think Clinton has a good shot of picking one or two of them off.

Again, Trump has no concept of red and blue states. He's listed NY, CA & WV among his top target states. Even hired a pollster for NY.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump would host Kim Jong Un in US on: June 16, 2016, 09:26:56 am
Kim won't leave NK because he's afraid of a coup. He wouldn't even cross the border into Russia last year when Putin invited him.
63  General Politics / Individual Politics / Which unofficial slogan do you prefer? on: June 16, 2016, 09:21:25 am
Which do you prefer?
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your reaction if this happens on: June 15, 2016, 08:59:17 am
I’d just like to see Trumpster’s face if that actually happens.

Trump has no concept of red and blue states. He's targeting NY, CA & WV for f**k's sake.
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of this video ("Why Trump will SMASH Hillary") on: June 11, 2016, 11:39:52 am
I'm sure the Trump fetishists got a nice fix from this.
66  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What Makes a "Good" Campaigner? on: June 10, 2016, 08:19:53 pm
Ted Cruz is amazing. I know he's so full of crap, but he is so damn good.

That reflects pretty negatively on the electorate. I don't think anyone comes off more insincere than Ted.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MO-Missouri Scout/Remington Research: Trump+6 on: June 09, 2016, 02:35:43 pm
Trump and his team are so incompetent Hillary could probably trick him into spending time in MO. Actually, she could probably trick him into spending time in AL, that's how clueless he is.
68  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of HillaryIs44 on: June 09, 2016, 08:57:32 am
HillaryIs44, a site started to support Hillary's 2008 campaign, a site still named after Hillary Clinton, and a site which attacks Clinton and praises Trump.

HillaryIs44.org
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / What does Obama do if Bernie takes the fight to the convention? on: June 07, 2016, 11:52:06 am
If Bernie announces that he plans to fight on to the convention, does Obama still endorse Hillary before it happens? And if he does, might he have to attack Bernie to try and unify Democrats behind Hillary?
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In this thread, we post r/S4P reactions to tonight's news on: June 06, 2016, 08:21:57 pm
They're going with #ImDoneWithHer now, LOL
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: CLINTON CLINCHES on: June 06, 2016, 07:26:22 pm
Feel The Hill
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who wins in November? on: June 06, 2016, 01:13:12 pm
The country that gave 51% of the vote to Barack Obama in 2012 and is currently giving him a 50% approval rating is not going to suddenly turn around and elect his antithesis, Donald Trump, because he (Trump) "speaks his mind".

Obama's popularity doesn't indicate that Hillary will win. Bill Clinton was pushing 60% approval rating in 2000, yet his boy Al Gore still lost the election.

But Clinton wasn't out there hammering Bush and lobbying for Gore, probably because his personal favorables were in the trash. This time around it's the President who has solid personal favorability and job approval, and the candidate (Hillary) that's in trouble. Obama is a great surrogate for Clinton, and most importantly Trump is viewed at least as negatively as Clinton and has no Obama figure out there to praise him and hit Hillary.
73  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Brexit or Bremain? on: June 06, 2016, 01:06:13 pm
Most of the Brexit people on Youtube are human trash, so I guess I'm Bremain.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Obama to endorse Clinton on Wed? on: June 06, 2016, 12:10:37 pm
Hillary needs Obama's help ASAP, so he should endorse. It's time for Hillary to cash in that IOU Bill won for her at the 2012 DNC.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Donald Trump a racist? on: June 06, 2016, 09:16:40 am
We had this poll back in February, and users were almost evenly divided as to whether or not he was an actual racist. I'm curious if feelings have changed after the events of this week.

Stop

Stop what? Asking legitimate questions? Why don't you go back to your brilliant "Trump can win OR" analysis.
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