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October 21, 2014, 10:11:42 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Did Gerald Ford's 1976 debate gaffe make the difference? on: August 13, 2014, 07:29:17 pm
Ford won IN by 7%. No way Dole swung that.
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How would have Hillary's 2008 map differed? on: August 13, 2014, 07:27:01 pm
Hillary would not have won MT. Obama had special appeal in that part of the country, Hillary was/ is actively disliked there.
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: McConnell +4% on: August 12, 2014, 04:45:17 pm
Conway is also much better known than the GOP candidates, and even with that name rec bump, he only leads Comers by 3, not a real convincing margin.

People don't know yet that Comer is a Tea Party member.

Correct. Once they find out Comer should be comfortably ahead.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / When will this hideous polarization end? on: August 08, 2014, 06:44:47 pm
The number of swing states dwindles each cycle, as polarization increases. I'm sick of the blue firewall, and I'm sick of red America. 2012 was a dull map, and 2016 looks like it's going to be worse. Can anyone expand the map? You people can't possibly be enjoying this from a political junkie standpoint.
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CT: Gravis: Clinton easily wins CT on: August 08, 2014, 02:50:59 pm
Christie should play well in CT, no?
56  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on these five Missouri ballot measures? on: August 07, 2014, 08:08:21 pm
I will never understand the kind of people who would oppose 8. What a strange place their minds must be.

The idea that state-sponsored gambling creates perverse incentives is not difficult to wrap your head around.

No, but the concept of actually caring is.

What?

Forget it. To be perfectly honest I'm not really informed or intelligent enough for this section and should probably stick to the 2016 threads.
57  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on these five Missouri ballot measures? on: August 07, 2014, 07:47:53 pm
I will never understand the kind of people who would oppose 8. What a strange place their minds must be.

The idea that state-sponsored gambling creates perverse incentives is not difficult to wrap your head around.

No, but the concept of actually caring is.
58  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on these five Missouri ballot measures? on: August 07, 2014, 06:56:36 pm
I will never understand the kind of people who would oppose 8. What a strange place their minds must be.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-SurveyUSA: Rick Perry leads Joe Biden on: August 07, 2014, 04:16:17 pm
Good, Biden is a clown.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pat Robertson is a fan of Jindal on: August 06, 2014, 11:00:53 pm
Jindal is a religious nutcase himself, he believes he witnessed an actual exorcism.

Would you have went harsh towards him if he believed he witnessed a physical healing via folks laying hands on someone and praying for them?




If he believed that the healing actually worked, then yes.

I've actually seen such. Later to be affirmed and confirmed by medical science.

Yeah, sure.
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pat Robertson is a fan of Jindal on: August 06, 2014, 10:47:25 pm
Jindal is a religious nutcase himself, he believes he witnessed an actual exorcism.

Would you have went harsh towards him if he believed he witnessed a physical healing via folks laying hands on someone and praying for them?



If he believed that the healing actually worked, then yes.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton on: August 06, 2014, 12:24:43 pm
So states are starting to move back to their normal places. Good.

Good because you like the results or good because you like the polarized map? I find it pretty boring myself.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Pat Robertson is a fan of Jindal on: August 06, 2014, 09:18:30 am
Jindal is a religious nutcase himself, he believes he witnessed an actual exorcism.
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AR-PPP: All Pubs lead Clinton on: August 06, 2014, 09:16:51 am
Stop contesting? The contest hasn't even started yet.

Case in point. The talk of Hillary putting AR into play is way overblown, IMO.

Why act like it's some bizarre myth people have perpetrated? The last time PPP polled the state she led every candidate sans Huckabee, thus putting it into play.
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton's Southern Ceiling on: August 04, 2014, 01:33:22 pm
I think Hillary has better chances in Kentucky and West Virginia than in Louisiana (not that I think she has that much of a chance in any).  Louisiana is in the Deep South, and thus more inelastic and racially polarized.

WV=Coal/LA=Cajun. Hillary would win LA before WV easily.
66  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 2012 Presidential Election on: August 03, 2014, 11:10:20 am
Obama/Romney
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: August 02, 2014, 05:33:51 pm
No Democratic nominee for President has won Florida by a 10% margin in a binary choice since FDR in 1944. Not even LBJ in 1964.

But the actual numbers were 54-33. Surely the vast majority of those undecideds would go to Christie in the end.
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: August 02, 2014, 02:16:49 pm
Why does everyone keeping bringing up that 20% margin? Are they assuming the undecideds in that poll will decide not to vote?
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: LA-PPP: Swing state on: August 02, 2014, 02:07:38 pm
Swift justice for my thread which suggested that the state could poll close enough for her to campaign in it.
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 06:34:40 pm
I don't think Paul is electable I think he will implode sometime in the primary a la Rick Perry.

The primary IS his biggest challenge. I fear the media will try to ignore him like his dad.

It will be difficult to ignore him if the polls continue to show him as the strongest candidate against Hillary. His father was doing very poorly in polls against Obama in 2011/2012.
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 06:28:24 pm
This election could end up being pretty boring if someone like Christie or Bush is the nominee.
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 08:42:21 am
It makes sense. Paul gets a lot of the younger Obama voters, the kind who have been voting against the GOP because of issues like war and the religious right. That's why he does so well in CO.
73  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you be disappointed if your daughter... on: July 30, 2014, 07:24:37 am
Yes. The man is a cretin.
74  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you be disappointed if your son... on: July 30, 2014, 07:23:28 am
No, she's a classy woman.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PPP - Very Close Race in CO, unless Christie is Rep. Nominee on: July 29, 2014, 05:02:24 pm
The key difference being that the Latte states are winnable, the upper south is not. 45% in TN instead of 39% is still losing.
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