Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 06, 2016, 11:05:44 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 683
1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Do you have any regrets? on: Today at 12:22:57 am
No.

First of all I'm still glad Bernie didn't win the primaries because too many his followers were nuts. A lot of them weren't even progressive except on the surface, they were simply attracted to Bernie-as-alternative-to-Hillary and Bernie-the-personality. In a way, they were just as insane as the Trump supporters. They were even more prone to conspiracy theories than Trump supporters, if anything. Had he won, we would have had a surface progressivism hiding regressivism beneath the surface. Also, the progressivism of 2015/2016 was not appealing to me -- actually, I was getting pushed to the right by the SJW nonsense. It seems like the lesser threat now, but when I read an article attacking empathy, I'm reminded of it again.

Secondly, the campaign may have f__ed up the GE, but I didn't.

I said from the convention onward that Hillary should be laser focused on white working class voters in the Midwest, because that's where most Electoral Votes were. I didn't agree with the Kaine pick. I didn't agree with the lineup of speaks at the DNC. I said Hillary shouldn't campaign on gun control. None of my views were followed by the campaign and on all of them, I feel vindicated over the campaign. Post DNC leaks, I suggested handing the nomination to Bernie at the Convention. That would have ensured our strongest possible candidate in the GE, while preserving the humbling loss of the Bernie Bros in the actual process.

I never got overconfident. I was always worried, and pointed out Ohio, as a trouble spot early on. I'm fully satisfied with my efforts -- I volunteered at every opportunity I had from the convention until election day. I donated, canvassed, and phone banked. I researched Hillary's positions, and tried to tell them to people I knew. In my personal persuasion while volunteering, I tried as much as possible to focus on positive things about Hillary, especially her economic policy stances, rather than making negative comments about Trump. I did everything. I even went above and beyond. I volunteered in a state (Pennsylvania) that turned out to be one of the close ones. I also did some betting on prediction markets and made money there (on net).

Finally, I never looked down on white working class voters, or felt contemptuous of them. I have always felt the Democrats should try to include them in our coalition.

Basically, on the whole I am totally satisfied with my positions and efforts over the campaign. The only thing I regret is the end result, but this was out of my control.
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should California be allowed to secede from the union? on: December 05, 2016, 07:25:04 pm
Yes, and I would support it.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump blasting China about military in South China Sea on Twitter on: December 05, 2016, 01:09:57 am
I fail to see how our interest in the South China Sea is any more than our interest in, say, Crimea. The latter is a gigantic piece of land with millions of people living in it. The former is literally just some barren rocks. Granted, the Chinese should be cooperating with its neighbors in the region, but Trump is clearly having a double standard. He loathes China and loves Russia, even though the latter has been far more aggressive on the world stage. His latest moves show it's not just about economics, either.

No double standard. Why shouldn't Paleocons like Russia? If some secret society of Chinese orthodox Christians staged a coup and consolidated control of China, Trump's supporters would like China too.

I doubt it. Americans of all political stripes are divided between apathy and animosity for China, even though the country has merely taken advantage of trade deals we pushed on them, to help raise their population from poverty. But only PNAC right-wingers actively push for a military confrontation.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Clinton 2016 got fewer raw votes than Kerry 2004 in 19 states (including NY!) on: December 05, 2016, 12:59:19 am
Racial polarization after a black man has been the face of the Democratic party for eight years. The entire country is turning into Alabama. I posted about this pre-election and was mocked for it.

Except many of these states voted for Obama twice, and only demonstrated this marked racial polarization when a white woman ran.
It should be pointed out Martin, Brown, Eric, BLM, Charlotte church shooting, and Dallas all happened in his second term

Precisely. In 2008, he had been the face of his party for 6 months. In 2012, he'd been the face of his party for 4.5 years. By 2016, he'd been the face of his party for 8.5 years. During all 8 years you had a steady erosion of whites.
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Is Keith Ellison an anti-semite? on: December 04, 2016, 11:50:19 pm
I don't think so, but there's a heckuva lot more evidence that he is, than there is for Steve Bannon, who the left had a conniption over. If we want people to take us seriously, we have got to stop doing this.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump blasting China about military in South China Sea on Twitter on: December 04, 2016, 11:47:17 pm
I fail to see how our interest in the South China Sea is any more than our interest in, say, Crimea. The latter is a gigantic piece of land with millions of people living in it. The former is literally just some barren rocks. Granted, the Chinese should be cooperating with its neighbors in the region, but Trump is clearly having a double standard. He loathes China and loves Russia, even though the latter has been far more aggressive on the world stage. His latest moves show it's not just about economics, either.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Next DNC Chair: Ellison endorsed by many Democrats, Dean drops out of race on: December 04, 2016, 07:35:15 pm
It said he hinted at quitting, but he clearly doesn't want to quit. We'll see.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Army halts construction at Standing Rock on: December 04, 2016, 07:33:48 pm
Thanks, Obama!
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Clinton 2016 got fewer raw votes than Kerry 2004 in 19 states (including NY!) on: December 04, 2016, 07:32:14 pm
Racial polarization after a black man has been the face of the Democratic party for eight years. The entire country is turning into Alabama. I posted about this pre-election and was mocked for it.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Bernie's enthusiasm wasn't because he was far left. on: December 04, 2016, 03:27:10 pm
Post-election, I've seen some Democrats say, "well, we have to go faaaaaaar left now, cause Bernie woulda won". Leaving aside the counterfactual, the enthusiasm Bernie got wasn't because he was far left.

Bernie's enthusiasm was because first of all, people trusted him and believed him when he said he was out to look after the American worker over domestic special interests. Basically the same thing Trump was saying. It's not either left nor right. It was just good politics.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why are people assuming, that Clinton would of won with the Electoral College? on: December 03, 2016, 03:28:09 pm
You're right. Trump may well have won under the PV. He himself said he prefers it. Which is why the GOP has no reason to oppose getting rid of it.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Trump be a better President than Obama? on: December 03, 2016, 03:25:25 pm
Obama's legacy will be rescuing the economy from the abyss but drift and failure in foreign policy.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of plurality voting on: December 03, 2016, 03:15:56 pm
IRV would help third parties, so fine I guess.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Can Bill Cosby claim some vindication? on: December 03, 2016, 03:12:44 pm
He has been accused of some sort of rape or sexual assault by 60 women, most of whom came out of the woodwork years, if not decades later. Donald Trump so far has been accused of rape or sexual assault by some 15 women, and had been elected president. If Cosby is convicted, won't he think it's just another example of racism?
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Lena Dunham on: December 03, 2016, 03:00:28 pm
She molested her own sister, she's basically the worst possible candidate. Its like running Bill Cosby or Woody Allen.
[/quote

Or Donald Trump.
16  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Can one be a pro-choice social conservative? on: December 03, 2016, 02:57:41 pm
Abortion rights are about celebrating women's right to bodily autonomy.

Can you be a social conservative and pro choice. No. But you can definitely be social conservative and pro abortion. If you're a eugenicist. If not for Roe v. Wade, the modern GOP would not have a chance in elections, and I'm not referring to pro life single issuers.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Biggest surprise state each election on: December 03, 2016, 02:06:39 pm
2008- Indiana
2012- Florida

2016- Pennsylvania or California. I was not surprised by Wisconsin since Clinton was terrible for the state, and Michigan I just had a bad feeling about it. But PA I thought she would pull it out due to the huge number of polls showing her ahead. CA - 4 million votes! I didn't think she could beat Obama's margin there.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Did Trump outwork Hillary? on: December 03, 2016, 02:01:15 pm
She doesn't like campaigning. That was obvious from the start. She was a lot more comfortable at her high dollar donor parties than with regular people. People smelled it, and it was one of her biggest liabilities as a candidate.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What would a Trump win over Bernie look like? on: December 03, 2016, 01:55:39 pm
Less than expected Bernie gains among WWC, while significant losses in metropolitan centers. 2004 redux. Admittedly his EC distribution is more efficient than Clinton's.



296-242
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump: There is no global flag. There is no global citizenship. on: December 03, 2016, 01:19:27 pm
Hillary Clinton is an American, born in America, to American parents. The election is over. Trump will be the next POTUS. If he is serious about putting the interests of the American people first, and healing partisan wounds, he should call for a conclusive investigation of Russian hackers who attacked American citizens, and impose sanctions on the parties responsible. As long as he sides with a foreign power that attacked American citizens and interests, his 'nationalism' is a sham.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should the military overthrow Donald Trump if he becomes tyrannical? on: December 03, 2016, 01:04:03 am
What the hell has happened to my Democrats. You guys are scaring me even more than Trump
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump vs. Shaun King on: December 02, 2016, 07:37:29 pm
Trump wins Illinois.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who Really Won the Election? on: December 02, 2016, 07:30:51 pm
Trump won, but my faith in American democracy as a fair system is shattered. We've known for years that due to geographical concentration, gerrymandering, and the nature of the Senate, the system was rigged against cities at the state and Congressional levels. But at least we could look to the presidency as the one, fair Highest Office, where the winner reflected the popular vote.* Now we realize that we have no recourse-- literally none. There is no level of government that we can fairly compete for. This is a tremendous disappointment.

* Sure, there was 2000, but from Democrats' viewpoint, Gore should have been the winner in Florida, so the popular vote and electoral vote winners were the same. Also, the margin -- 500,000 -- was relatively small compared to 2.5-3 million. And the Electoral College margin was razor thin 271-266. The controversy was over the Florida count, and the courts handing it to Bush. And 1888 was so long ago -- the franchise hardly even existed in some parts of the country -- that it could be dismissed as another age.
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Lewandowski Says NYT’s Dean Baquet ‘Should Be in Jail’ for Publishing Trump Tax on: December 02, 2016, 06:07:09 pm
Quote
“We had one of the top people at The New York Times come to Harvard University and say, ‘I’m willing to go to jail to get a copy of Donald Trump’s taxes so I can publish them.’ Dean Baquet came here and offered to go to jail — you’re telling me, he’s willing to commit a felony on a private citizen to post his taxes, and there isn’t enough scrutiny on the Trump campaign and his business dealings and his taxes? It’s egregious. He should be in jail.”

http://www.mediaite.com/online/lewandowski-says-nyts-dean-baquet-should-be-in-jail-for-publishing-trumps-tax-info/
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Trump be a better President than Obama? on: December 01, 2016, 09:42:35 pm
If history is any guide, Trump will trash the country so bad it will take the entire next Democratic administration to fix it so it can be handed over to the next incompetent Republican.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 683


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines