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September 27, 2016, 12:20:08 pm
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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll on: September 06, 2016, 10:34:25 pm
My only point is, the last D president who was bad for the economy was Jimmy Carter, and he actually had a stellar job creation record. If the party had a shred of competence, they would own this issue.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: USA Freedom Girls sue Trump campaign on: September 06, 2016, 10:32:30 pm
these girls are suing the Trump campaign

they're all whores and you can add them to the list, along with Hillary Clinton and The Donald, of people who angus will not be voting for during the 2016 presidential election.

disgusting

you get disgusted easily.  You're soft, man.  This is politics.  It's a nasty game.  Anyone left standing at this point is probably an unethical human being.

Seriously, though, if you lie down with dogs, you will get fleas.  Isn't that the old saying?  Or is it, if you lie with snakes, you'll get bit.  Either way, if these girls (or you) are surprised that they got ripped off by Donald Trump, then they (or you) probably watch too little TV. 

Hopefully you learn vicariously.  Do not agree to work for or with or anywhere near Donald Trump.  Same goes for Hillary Clinton.

You're welcome.

I actually was paid by the Clinton campaign in 2008 for some work, and never got stiffed.

I have also volunteered for her this time, and they never made me sign a nondisclosure agreement.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Trump +2 in CNN/ORC National Poll on: September 06, 2016, 10:29:18 pm
Even if the top line is an outlier, there's no excuse for the R nominee having a 15 point advantage on who you trust more on the economy for chrissakes. Particularly, given that the past two R presidents have been utter disasters for the economy, while the past two D's have pulled the economy out from recession into (in one case, the best times this country saw in a generation; in the other case, the best that could have been expected given the massive structural obstructions he faced).
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / A Democratic southern strategy? on: September 06, 2016, 10:22:01 pm
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Politico: Five reasons Hillary could be blowing it on: September 06, 2016, 10:07:31 pm
Uhuh. Cite for that 62%? That's also only 5 points better than Romney.

The latest CNN poll has Trump up 54-33 among whites. That is 62% of the two party vote.

The 52-30 is from the CNN poll also. I don't know how that translates into states.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Politico: Five reasons Hillary could be blowing it on: September 06, 2016, 09:56:54 pm
2. America's party system is turning into a South Africa-style race-based system.

It's your region, BRTD. He's leading 52-30 in the Midwest and pulling 62% of the two party white vote nationwide. Clinton's favorables among whites is 30%, the lowest ever for a major party nominee. By jettisoning some conservative economic ideas and the religious element, Trump has effectively erased the wedges that were preventing the (non college) white vote from coalescing into a relatively unified racial bloc. The Pat Buchananite dream is becoming a reality.
32  General Politics / International General Discussion / For the first time since 2013, ISIS has no border with NATO on: September 06, 2016, 09:51:45 pm
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/for-the-first-time-since-2013-isis-has-no-border-with-nato/2016/09/04/24a032ae-72dc-11e6-9781-49e591781754_story.html

Quote
BEIRUT — Turkish troops and Syrian rebels on Sunday pushed the Islamic State out of the remaining stretch of territory the group had controlled along the Turkish-Syrian border, severing the militants’ last access to the outside world.

Since 2013, when the group announced its formation, it has had territory bordering a NATO state — Turkey — but the sweep by Turkish forces and rebels fighting under the umbrella of the Free Syrian Army has brought that to an end.

According to the official Turkish news agency Anadolu, the Turkish army helped Syrian rebel allies secure 57 miles of border territory stretching from the Syrian towns of Azaz and Jarabulus by ejecting the militants from a string of villages on Sunday.

Excellent Erdogan!
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Politico: Five reasons Hillary could be blowing it on: September 06, 2016, 09:48:02 pm
So Hillary is blowing it because of things Trump's doing? The perfect metaphor for media coverage of this election. They couldn't even make an article about Hillary, about Hillary.

1. Hillary's not appealing to working class white voters, and there are a lot of them.
2. America's party system is turning into a South Africa-style race-based system.
3. The media is giving Trump free press (e.g., all three networks covering his rally, none covering hers if it's at the same time), and holding Clinton to a higher standard.
4. Hillary hasn't cut ties to her foundation.
5. Hillary's not appealing to working class white voters, and there are a lot of them.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Saudi Arabia has given millions to a certain candidate on: September 04, 2016, 07:08:50 pm
Is Trump still the owner of this tower and are payments still ongoing?
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump Foundation Violated Tax Laws, Paid IRS Penalty on: September 04, 2016, 06:58:53 pm
Trump is swimming in corruption.

Can you imagine if 44,000 of his e-mails plus his tax returns were made public? Clinton would be screwed because she would be running against Gary Johnson.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bipartisan Report: Trump Campaign Tailspinning After Staffers Not Paid on: September 04, 2016, 06:54:36 pm
Just like he stiffed contractors?
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Clinton a Trump plant? on: August 31, 2016, 01:35:50 pm
She refuses to do anything to address her historic unpopularity. She's the most hated major party nominee not named Trump in American history. She's less popular than Walter Mondale. The only way a guy like Trump could win is if he's running against her. I think Clinton was planning to retire after serving as Secretary of State, but her friend Trump convinced her to run for the Dem nomination, so he could run for the Rep nomination and win the GE.

Bull.

What should she do? Sacrifice a few sheep to Baal? Dance a cannibal dance? Have a personality transplant?

She is running the best campaign she can. And she is doing it decently professionally. She always wanted to be president: no, she never planned to retire after being secretary of state.  She is not doing badly on statesmanship, but lacks a natural talent of a retail politician - this has been known by everyone for 25 years. She is, actually, outperforming every expectation in the campaign.

Yeah she's running an okay campaign, but it doesn't matter cause the e-mails are already out there. Just like they couldn't do anything about Whitewater because it was 15 years ago at the time. Comey, Judicial Watch and the Wikileaks/the Russians are figuratively slicing her up. She's as helpless as Janet Leigh in the shower scene in Psycho.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Clinton a Trump plant? on: August 31, 2016, 01:21:54 pm
The last thing Clinton should do is address her unpopularity.

So concede the election now?

She shouldn't admit that her favorables are low. That wouldn't help.

Every time a new leak comes out her favorables drop by like 10 points.

No, her favorables are still better than Trump's and aren't dropping by that much. You're overreacting based on one poll.

At this rate, she'll be at 20% on election night. Is there a chance with this level of dislike?

She's not at 20%, and she's not even below 40% yet. Calm down. She's still favored to win. Her emails aren't the only thing in the news.

But they seem to be the only thing affecting the polls. People are willing to elect Trump because of a meeting with the Crown Prince of Qatar.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kellyanne Conway: If women, men had equal strength, 'rape would not exist' on: August 31, 2016, 01:19:44 pm
Men get raped too, Kellyanne.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Politico: Clinton camp thinks Trump fell for old trick on: August 31, 2016, 11:13:43 am
If this is such a brilliant trick, then why are they leaking it now? Why not let it run longer? Oh yes, they need a positive news story because their candidate is so disliked.

F Hillary Clinton. The Clintons have destroyed the Democratic party, the progressive movement, and the country.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton emailed classified information after leaving State Dept. on: August 31, 2016, 11:10:51 am
It's over. The e-mail stories will never stop. Congrats, Benghazi attackers. Your missile not only killed a U.S. ambassador, but got a guy who will put us on a war with Islam elected. The most effective terror attack since 9/11.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Clinton a Trump plant? on: August 31, 2016, 11:08:10 am
The last thing Clinton should do is address her unpopularity.

So concede the election now? Every time a new leak comes out her favorables drop by like 10 points. At this rate, she'll be at 20% on election night. Is there a chance with this level of dislike?
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Is Clinton a Trump plant? on: August 31, 2016, 11:02:29 am
She refuses to do anything to address her historic unpopularity. She's the most hated major party nominee not named Trump in American history. She's less popular than Walter Mondale. The only way a guy like Trump could win is if he's running against her. I think Clinton was planning to retire after serving as Secretary of State, but her friend Trump convinced her to run for the Dem nomination, so he could run for the Rep nomination and win the GE.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton to give a speech on American exceptionalism to American Legion in Ohio on: August 31, 2016, 10:59:13 am
Wtf? Did someone raise their hand and say, "Mrs. Clinton, can you please address American exceptionalism in the campaign? The American people are just dying to hear about American exceptionalism." She needs to give a speech addressing her negative favorables. This election is turning out to be utterly horrific. Devastating.
45  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the 'alt right' on: August 30, 2016, 09:41:49 pm
A conservative friend who I haven't spoken to in 18 years (and literally taught me the difference between liberals and conservatives) messaged me out of the blue to express his disdain for the alt right.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton has 200 more campaign offices than Trump (w/ Maps) on: August 30, 2016, 04:09:44 pm
So Wisconsin has 55 offices, Michigan 23 (Hillary), and Arizona only 3, Georgia 5. If so, the campaigns are anticipating a much tighter race than some of the conventional wisdom.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The most unpopular election in recent history on: August 30, 2016, 03:35:09 pm
One of the reasons Trump won the nomination because the anti-Trump forces were split and never united behind anyone. By late April the NeverTrump movement stood for nothing except party elites overturning the will of voters, and there was a backlash against that, to some extent. Even as late as the Indiana primary when Cruz was throwing a hail-mary pass with Fiorina, Boehner came out the next day and savaged him so badly, the coverage of Boehner's remarks overshadowed Cruz's VP pick. Heck, even on the eve of the convention when the already hopeless #NeverTrump forces were merely trying to unbind delegates as a protest move, there was not even a whisper of who their candidate might have been.

Ironically, if Trump wins in November, it'll likely again be because the anti-Trump forces split (Clinton, Johnson, Stein, abstain).
48  General Politics / Economics / Re: The "Why" in Wage Segregation on: August 30, 2016, 03:29:01 pm
Fair enough.
49  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What happened to the China GDP talk of 6-8 years ago? on: August 30, 2016, 03:26:18 pm
If China gets stuck in the middle income trap, as looks more likely, its nominal GDP will never surpass the U.S.

China's current problems are because its political leadership quality has deteriorated sharply. The revolutionary generation (Mao; Deng) lived lifetimes. When they were bad, they were epically bad (Mao), but when they were good, they were epically good (Deng). Since then what they've had is increasingly a generation of mediocres, in a dysfunctional political system. Anyone who challenges authority of sticks his head out is chopped off (such as Bo Xilai). The present top of the party is rather unimpressive at most things, besides consolidating his own power. All of this has had negative knock-on effects on the economy.
50  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: The definition of reasonable doubt on: August 30, 2016, 03:09:13 pm
It's deliberately ambiguous on purpose, which is the only possible answer.
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