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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Oracle's Larry Ellison to host fundraiser for Rubio on: May 14, 2015, 01:31:52 pm
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/05/larry-ellison-marco-rubio-fundraiser-117895.html?ml=po

The first high-profile defection of a major Silicon Valley donor to the GOP (while he contributed to Romney, he previously donated the bulk of his contributions to Democrats). His wikipedia page suggests some clues as to why:

Quote
In 2007, Ellison pledged $500,000 to fortify a community centre in Sderot, Israel, after discovering that the building was not fortified against rocket attacks.[60] Other charitable donations by Ellison include a $10 million donation to the Friends of the Israel Defense Forces, about which he said: "In my mind, there is no greater honor than supporting some of the bravest people in the world ... These men and women come together with indefatigable purpose, to defend Israel and strive to co-exist in peace."[61]
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 14, 2015, 12:55:10 pm
Thanks.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 14, 2015, 12:42:36 pm
So how many registered supporters are there expected to be?

How are runoffs handled?

How will campaigning occur? Will there be rallies and such?
79  General Discussion / History / Re: Greatest American Victories in past 100 years on: May 14, 2015, 10:53:56 am
The initial invasion of Iraq March 21-April 9, 2003 was pretty big.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who should Hillary Clinton pick as her VP? Round 6 on: May 14, 2015, 10:40:54 am
Sherrod Brown is really the best choice out of all these.

Hear hear.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WI-Sen: Feingold running on: May 14, 2015, 08:51:26 am
Endorsed!
82  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: U.S. birth rates slide as Millennials enter the age of marriage and childbearing on: May 14, 2015, 08:49:14 am
Modern life is not suited for reproduction. In ancient times, having children was inevitable, and it increased one's wealth, for children would work on the farm and male children would inherent your property. Nowadays children are just a time and money sink with no benefit.
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox national poll: Bush leads Clinton by 1, but she leads all other Republicans on: May 13, 2015, 09:48:05 pm
1. That DLC-triangulating jerkoff Bill Clinton (D-Clinton Foundation) has a 54%-40% favorability. Tongue

2. LOL @ Andrew Cuomo polling better than Chafee and O'Malley combined.
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate Dems relent on TPP/TPA on: May 13, 2015, 09:11:49 pm
Companies of all nationalities have always been able to sue governments in court as private actors. If there were no enforcement mechanism, then a treaty would be pointless. There is absolutely nothing qualitatively new about this.

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Such “Investor-State Dispute Settlement” accords exist already in more than 3,000 trade agreements across the globe. The United States is party to 51, including the North American Free Trade Agreement.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 5 Most Anti Incumbent Elections since 1900 on: May 13, 2015, 05:53:46 pm
1. 1932 - clearly a referendum on the incumbent. fdr was incoherent ( running on balanced budget, etc.)
2. 1912 - most of incumbent's own party abandons him despite winning the nomination
3. 1968 - incumbent failed to even run upon seeing the writing on the wall
4. 1952 - see 1968
5. 1980 - incumbent had a reasonable shot well into the year, but lost the final debate big time
runner up: 2008
2nd runner up: 1992

1920 was not anti-incumbent, people just wanted to turn the page

You think 1968 was worse then 1980 or 2008

In 1968, the incumbent's party dropped from 61% to 43%, a drop of over 18%. In 1980, incumbent party vote dropped only 9%, in 2008, only 5%. Fair comparison because Wallace was even further to the right than Nixon. Also, Humphrey was trailing by even more before liberals panicked in October and tried to rally behind him.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PPP National Poll: Bush drops to 5th place, Clinton remains far ahead on: May 13, 2015, 04:34:27 pm
Why is PPP the only pollster to ever show Chafee at more than 0 or 1 percent?

Aren't PPP polls automated? If they're doing something like "If Chafee, press 1. If Clinton, press 2. If O'Malley, press 3, etc..." then about 5% of people are always going to accidentally press 1 while trying to hang up or something.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary un der water by GWU on: May 13, 2015, 03:57:02 pm
wow 427 pages of PDF in that link. I noticed on page 37 on 45% of women 55 or older have a favorable view of Hillary. Good luck with winning Florida Hillary. Men 55 or older find only 37% having a favorable view of her.

Nice cherry picking. Her overall favorables are 47/48 in this poll.

Quote
on page 113: Would you consider voting for Hillary Clinton:

Florida: 40% yes, 57% NO!

compare that with…

Texas: 49% yes, 49% no.

Surprise that NY is ‘only’

53% yes, 46% no.

The Texas sample size is only 71 people, Florida 56. That being said, I'd trade Florida for Texas, since Texas has more EV. Tongue Hillary tied in Texas? OMGZ.

Quote
Also on page 36 they give specific numbers for FL for Hillary favorability: 45% favorable / 51% unfavorable.

Again, a sample size of 58. You're better off waiting for a FL poll.

Other points:

Her favor-ability among 18-34 year olds: 56%-38%. So much for her problem with young voters.
Favorability among "hard Dems": 86%-11%. Coronation it is.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 5 Most Anti Incumbent Elections since 1900 on: May 13, 2015, 03:34:32 pm
1. 1932 - clearly a referendum on the incumbent. fdr was incoherent ( running on balanced budget, etc.)
2. 1912 - most of incumbent's own party abandons him despite winning the nomination
3. 1968 - incumbent failed to even run upon seeing the writing on the wall
4. 1952 - see 1968
5. 1980 - incumbent had a reasonable shot well into the year, but lost the final debate big time
runner up: 2008
2nd runner up: 1992

1920 was not anti-incumbent, people just wanted to turn the page
89  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which Politician would you most like to see imprisoned? on: May 13, 2015, 03:25:20 pm
None of these. Innocent until proven guilty. Due process, etc.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary to Hire More Damage Control Experts on: May 13, 2015, 03:23:05 pm
The constant attempts to shove Hillary-hatred down everyone's throats will backfire if groups like this can put out a coherent rebuttal. People don't like being told how to think.
91  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Dianne Feinstein on: May 13, 2015, 03:17:49 pm
FF now. Although it is funny how she thought she was a part of the intelligence club until she got a rude awakening. Should be a warning sign for all apologists of the security state.
92  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Do you have a landline phone? on: May 13, 2015, 02:27:20 pm
I wonder what the breakdown is for this.
93  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: NBC News: ISI knew where bin Laden was hiding on: May 13, 2015, 02:25:31 pm
I believe the NBC story, but not the See-more Hersh story.
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PPP National Poll: Bush drops to 5th place, Clinton remains far ahead on: May 13, 2015, 01:27:40 pm
Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

80% of interviews were done over landline phones. I'm the thinking 2016 is going to be the year when pollsters finally get a nasty bite in the rear end.
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of a Different Kind of Dude Fest on: May 13, 2015, 01:04:29 pm
Freedom Fest.
96  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Christians declining in raw numbers *and* as share of American population on: May 13, 2015, 11:20:07 am
Wow, an 8 percent drop in 7 years is huge.
97  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: SJWs vs. Communists on: May 13, 2015, 10:34:03 am
Tbf, I don't think SJW would actually hurt anyone if given power, they just prefer to psychologically torment people.
98  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: SJWs vs. Communists on: May 13, 2015, 01:08:44 am
Like Maoists during the Cultural Revolution, SJW will go through your 50,000 tweets until they find that one time you said something insensitive when you were 16 back in 2009, and they will use it to label you a racist, sexist, transphobic, reactionary POS until you do a full and complete self-criticism. And even then you will suck. But unlike Maoists during the Cultural Revolution, SJW will not literally beat you up, parade you around in a dunce cap, send you to the countryside, or simply kill you. So, SJW I guess.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush is skipping the Iowa Straw Poll. on: May 13, 2015, 12:21:13 am
Why skip anything? The sheer number of other candidates in the race mean that he could get #1 with like 20% of the vote.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Blast from the Past: Hillary Clinton on: May 12, 2015, 09:36:03 pm
Last month, we had Blast from the Past: Martin O'Malley. As the second entry in this series, Hillary Clinton.

Quote
We are also making progress on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), which will bring together economies from across the Pacific — developed and developing alike — into a single trading community. Our goal is to create not just more growth, but better growth. We believe trade agreements need to include strong protections for workers, the environment, intellectual property, and innovation. They should also promote the free flow of information technology and the spread of green technology, as well as the coherence of our regulatory system and the efficiency of supply chains.

Ultimately, our progress will be measured by the quality of people’s lives — whether men and women can work in dignity, earn a decent wage, raise healthy families, educate their children, and take hold of the opportunities to improve their own and the next generation’s fortunes. Our hope is that a TPP agreement with high standards can serve as a benchmark for future agreements — and grow to serve as a platform for broader regional interaction and eventually a free trade area of the Asia-Pacific.

October 11, 2011. If that's not an endorsement, what is?
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