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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Obama: Marijuana No More Dangerous Than Alcohol on: January 20, 2014, 01:32:13 am
Kind of funny for the guy who's Eric Holder's boss to be saying this stuff, but it's an understatement:

77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Charles Kenny: America Will Soon Be Number Two -And That's Okay on: January 19, 2014, 12:22:49 am
According to this, China had the highest PPP GDP until after 1870, with India ranked 2nd.


India had the highest PPP GDP until after 1700. It dropped below China under British rule.
78  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Sunrise in Beijing on: January 18, 2014, 11:56:12 pm
Reminds me of this:

79  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: H7N9 on: January 18, 2014, 03:44:44 pm
It's Back.

New cases put H7N9 pace near last year's peak

The pace of new H7N9 avian flu cases in China over the past week is rivaling the daily crush of infections that occurred during the first peak of activity last spring after the virus first emerged, with reports today of seven new illnesses, one of them fatal.

What began as a trickle of reports in October that signaled H7N9's resurgence in humans, primarily from poultry exposure, has expanded over the past few weeks to several cases reported each day. Thirty-one have been confirmed from Jan 10 through today, a number below but approaching the 38 cases reported during the peak week of disease activity, which began on Apr 8, 2013.

The spike in activity comes as China enters a heavy travel and shopping period for its Spring Festival season, marked by the Lunar New Year celebration on Jan 31. China estimates that its citizens will make about 3.62 billion trips during the 40-day holiday travel rush, according to a report today from Xinhua, China's state news agency.
80  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Civil War in Syria on: January 18, 2014, 03:40:41 pm
MIT study of Ghouta chemical attack challenges US intelligence


A new MIT report is challenging the US claim that Assad forces used chemical weapons in an attack last August, highlighting that the range of the improvised rocket was way too short to have been launched from govt controlled areas.

In the report titled “Possible Implications of Faulty US Technical Intelligence,” Richard Lloyd, a former UN weapons inspector, and Theodore Postol, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), examined the delivery rocket’s design and calculated possible trajectories based on the payload of the cargo.

The authors concluded that sarin gas “could not possibly have been fired at East Ghouta from the ‘heart’, or from the Eastern edge, of the Syrian government controlled area shown in the intelligence map published by the White House on August 30, 2013.”
81  General Politics / Economics / Ireland Regains Investment Grade From Moody’s, Outlook Positive on: January 17, 2014, 05:26:57 pm
Last week, the country’s debt office sold new 10-year bonds through a group of banks at the lowest cost of borrowing for more than 13 years. Ireland left its bailout program in December.

An upgrade is “perhaps past due,” Chris Chapman, a Boston-based trader at Manulife Asset Management, which owns more than $200 million of Irish bonds, said before the decision was announced. “We’ve seen the other agencies continue to have a positive outlook for the credit as well.”

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82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Time cover: Can Anyone Stop Hillary? on: January 16, 2014, 09:31:52 pm
Is Time trying to curse Hillary now?

I know, rights? Inks Time. Im going to buy a copy of this week's just to burn it. Maybe I'll even put a Schweitzer '16 in my profile this week while this cover is out there on the stands.
83  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Has the Democratic Party become exclusively for Obama/Clinton loyalists? on: January 15, 2014, 11:31:04 pm
I am annoyed that Clinton has essentially frozen the field because she thinks it's her turn to run there are a lot more promising and younger candidates than her like Warner, Klobuchar, Sherrod Brown, Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick etc. I really don't like retreads it's always good to have new blood.

What? She's not preventing anyone else from running. To the extent the field is 'frozen' it's because big donors and officials don't want to commit to someone else unless they get a Sherman statement from the strongest candidate. It's not her fault she's such a strong candidate! I mean, they all wish they were in her shoes.

What does a 'frozen field' mean 24 months before the first primary, anyway? Sheesh, I remember when these things didn't start until after the midterms!
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Has the Democratic Party become exclusively for Obama/Clinton loyalists? on: January 15, 2014, 11:00:28 pm
Certainly Clinton's in a stronger position, but it's also earlier. That's my point. A 5 point lead the day before the election is worth more than a 20 point lead the year before. From the perspective of other potential challengers, there are plenty who are at least as strong or stronger than Obama looked in January 2006.
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Has the Democratic Party become exclusively for Obama/Clinton loyalists? on: January 15, 2014, 10:46:51 pm
Ugh, this is a very long post based on some wrong assumptions.

First of all, at this point in the 2008 cycle most people didn't even think Obama was going to run; in fact, most followers of politics would have been surprised to learn he planned to run. He had been in the Senate for little over a year and his profile was low. He certainly didn't have an established base of any sort. So if we're going to make comparisons between 2008 and 2016 we certainly can't rule out that it will play out similarly. The main difference between today and January 2006 is that in comparison to then, the invisible primary seems to have gotten off to a very fast start. You already have guys like Martin O Malley running around the country trying to line up support from future delegates whereas there was nothing of the sort in 2005. But whether the current state of the race will remain static is unlikely. It almost certainly will not.

As we've continually and will continue to see, 2 weeks is a long time in politics. Let alone 2 years. And yet you always have people trying to project the present into the future as if nothing will ever change. It is true that some people have presumed that Hillary will get the nomination. But not everyone has. Brian Schweitzer certainly hadn't come to that conclusion. Neither have I. I have been quite vocal for the past year that it's too early to say anything for certain. We will not even have a clear idea of the field until mid 2015.

I certainly hope Clinton wins the nomination, but the notion of inevitability is false.

Second of all, you have to come to grips with the fact that the support for Hillary is genuine and comes from the grassroots. The woman has 1 million Twitter followers after joining less than a year ago, for Pete's sake. Over a million Facebook likes. Top favorabilities among Democrats by far in every poll. Top choice for nominee among Democrats in every poll. Top general election performer among all Democrats in every general election poll. Most admired woman for something like the 10th or 15th year running.

It's the common man that wants Hillary. I mean, it would be an elitist coup by the bosses if we nominated anyone but her. The idea that somehow it's the opposite is really fascinating- where does this idea come from? We are living in a bubble here.

 The people at the top of the Democratic party on the political side are people like Jim Messina, Obama's campaign manager, Jeremy Bird, GOTV organizer for the Obama campaign, or David Axelrod, top political consultant. These people don't even particularly like Hillary. Obama's never been too close to her himself. If you asked him to choose a successor, it would probably be someone like Rahm Enanuel.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Michael Crowley on Hillary Clinton's "Unapologetically Hawkish Record" on: January 14, 2014, 12:23:30 pm
Well there's no question that her call on the bin Laden raid was correct, people were saved when we took out Gadhafi, and had we gone into Syria early in the war, lives would have been saved as well. As for a more long term commitment in Iraq and Afghanistan, while unpopular (and I personally would be opposed) there is undeniable strategic value to the U.S. as a nation to maintain a presence in those countries. As long as we do, they are our allies.
87  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: I'm gonna go down with my buddies on: January 14, 2014, 12:32:02 am
Hmm, sorry to hear that, Tweed. You were an interesting poster. I enjoyed hearing about your exploits messaging Noam Chomsky and so on. You will be missed.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary's hit list on: January 13, 2014, 03:39:12 pm
Guys, the people who wrote this article themselves admitted the following:

"It would be political malpractice for the Clintons not to keep track of their friends and enemies. Politicians do that everywhere. The difference is the Clintons, because of their popularity and the positions they’ve held, retain more power to reward and punish than anyone else in modern politics."

You do not have to be a fan of Clinton or a part of the 'Clinton gang' to admit that this is "acting like any other politician". The authors themselves admit the only reason they wrote this story (besides the reason any Politico journo writes anything - to get clicks) is that the Clintons are unusually powerful. And I find the idea that Joe Biden doesn't keep list or plan to keep lists of people, including what their relations are to him - particularly if he were planning to run in 2016 - to be naive and absurd. If he didn't he would be dumb and it would be a major point against his competence.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary's hit list on: January 13, 2014, 02:43:18 pm
Thanks for being a voice of sanity in here, bedstuy. The fact that a couple of people in the basement of HRC's 08 campaign were keeping track of which super delegates supported whom should not be news. Besides, the idea that Vince Foster was killed by anyone is absurd. No one less than Ken Starr investigated the matter and found it a suicide. In fact it was the right's absurdity over this birtherism-of-the-90s that helped tip David Brock to defect from the right. If anyone killed Vince Foster it was the WSJ. The man was suffering from depression and getting ripped apart by the right wing. Then after he kills himself because he can't take the bullying, instead of feeling shame they take his death and turn it into a ludicrous conspiracy theory. That anyone who calls themselves a Democrat could entertain such ideas is horrifying.
90  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France ≠ USA: Hollande Popularity Rises After Affair With Actress Disclosed on: January 13, 2014, 02:35:48 pm
It's not like he's on his first marriage, anyway. Smiley
91  General Politics / Book Reviews and Discussion / Re: What Book Are You Currently Reading? on: January 11, 2014, 01:47:42 am
I've been getting into throwaway fiction recently.

The Crocodile by Maurizio de Giovanni
The Clinic by Jonathan Kellerman
92  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Coup and/or Civil War believed to be imminent. on: January 11, 2014, 01:38:33 am
Here is a good article about the likelihood of a coup:

In reality, the military doesn't want a coup but also doesn't want Thaksin back.
93  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ann Coulter more stupid than Sarah Palin? on: January 09, 2014, 07:05:31 pm
Ann Coulter isn't stupid, she's an actress. Andrew Sullivan describes her as a conservative vaudeville act.

Right. In real life she's probably a latte liberal. Good racket, though.
94  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Living Poor and Uninsured in a Red State on: January 09, 2014, 11:56:51 am
Great idea man. I think Texas Republicans should urge poor Texans to travel to New Mexico for health care.
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Official Atlas Community Poll: Do you support banning opebo? on: January 08, 2014, 12:44:19 pm
Opebo, I have seen you use personal insults against me in the past couple of months. Not that I particularly mind, as they were mild and within bounds, but your pathological dishonesty is a problem because it shows disrespect to everyone in the Forum, not least Dave.
96  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Grumps on: January 08, 2014, 12:20:51 pm
Good guy.
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Living Poor and Uninsured in a Red State on: January 08, 2014, 11:28:06 am
I'm not sure if anyone here will find this surprising, but-


Estimates from researchers at UTMB found that about 9,000 additional Texans will die each year because of the Medicaid gap. A New England Journal of Medicine study found that states that had previously expanded Medicaid saw a 6.1 percent reduction in the death rate among adults younger than 65.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: DPRK Supreme People's Assembly Elections, 2014 on: January 08, 2014, 11:25:54 am
He will be reelected by the same margin as Assad.
99  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Does anyone play Civilization 5? on: January 08, 2014, 11:24:31 am
2 was the best. Every game should come with a "rules.txt" file that lets you change how it works. The way they let you make your own makes, scenarios, events and units was pretty nice as well. I haven't played it since then, however.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Am I the only one who thinks Christie is toast in a Republican primary? on: January 07, 2014, 05:52:42 pm
Aside from Rick Perry's unfortunate dip into the fray, Romney is the only Republican who had a real campaign in 2011-2012. That is the primary reason for his win. He the only one who had serious money and organization. The other ones were only half-serious and it was a testament to the utter mess conservatism was/is in that those clowns were the only ones that were willing to put themselves out there are the 'conservative alternative.'
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