Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 04, 2015, 08:37:29 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 644
76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: James K. Polk - underrated? on: June 06, 2015, 09:16:05 pm
I think he was a success in the context of his time, and I thought he'd always been rated highly.
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - June 2015 on: June 06, 2015, 08:57:41 pm
This seems to change literally every month with a new flavor. It's like musical chairs. Whoever's the flavor of February 2016 will win it.
78  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Favorite Republican Landslide Loser (20th Century) on: June 06, 2015, 08:55:30 pm
Not a lot of choices, huh? Goldwater, I guess.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton admits to killing Vince Foster: How does the map look like? on: June 06, 2015, 08:28:15 pm


IMO, Clinton wins this one, because her killing a corrupt Democrat proves her bipartisan credentials, and Republicans would support her as well. In fact, if it looks like she's about to lose the General, most likely she'll admit to killing him to shore up GOP support.

Clinton/Sanders -- 538 EVs; 94.8% of the popular vote

Kasich/Rubio -- 0 EVs; 4.3% of the popular vote
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Walker: Women mostly worry about rape pregnancies in the "initial months." on: June 06, 2015, 08:16:02 pm
BTW as someone who leans left, I almost hope Roe does get overturned under the next GOP president.  If the decision leaves it to the states, it would be the best thing that ever happened to downballot Democrats since Watergate.  Especially if Griswold also got reversed and birth control for unmarried women is on the line in the state legislature, imagine what that would do to youth turnout in midterms.

True, but the point of winning elections is to influence policy, not vice-versa. The extra turnout would only be from people who want to protect abortion rights, and if they succeeded, we would be back to where we are today. If they didn't succeed, then you just used their vote to get elected but didn't do anything for them. In that case, it's a bit disrespectful, IMO.

Sure, but what about all the other issues?  They would practically get to enact New Deal 2.0 in 2/3rds of the states in the process.

Not really since the issue splits 50/50. Also, this issue is important to me. I wouldn't want the SCOTUS to overturn gay rights or social security overturned just because it would help in elections. And I don't want abortion rights overturned for that reason either.
81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Walker: Women mostly worry about rape pregnancies in the "initial months." on: June 06, 2015, 08:03:28 pm
BTW as someone who leans left, I almost hope Roe does get overturned under the next GOP president.  If the decision leaves it to the states, it would be the best thing that ever happened to downballot Democrats since Watergate.  Especially if Griswold also got reversed and birth control for unmarried women is on the line in the state legislature, imagine what that would do to youth turnout in midterms.

True, but the point of winning elections is to influence policy, not vice-versa. The extra turnout would only be from people who want to protect abortion rights, and if they succeeded, we would be back to where we are today. If they didn't succeed, then you just used their vote to get elected but didn't do anything for them. In that case, it's a bit disrespectful, IMO.
82  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: James Buchanan vs Ronald Reagan on: June 05, 2015, 10:21:28 pm
Reagan
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul's fringe crazy connections on: June 05, 2015, 10:18:03 pm
bedstuy is a great poster.

Rand Paul represents the positive inclinations of his party, and thus should be encouraged, all things equal.
84  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of Robby Mook on: June 05, 2015, 09:27:36 pm


Massive FF.
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: McConnell: No more circuit court nominees confirmed on: June 05, 2015, 06:39:02 pm
I would have more respect for this if they brought each nominee up for a vote and then voted them down. It's the Senate's constitutional role to confirm or reject the president's nominees.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING SCANDAL - NYT say Rubio has had 4 traffic tickets in 18 years! on: June 05, 2015, 06:05:41 pm
I don't care about this "scandal". We're hiring a president, not a driver.
87  General Discussion / History / Re: Davis' shockingly bad performance in the north & west in 1924? on: June 05, 2015, 12:06:11 am
I agree with the second part of your post, and the first part is technically correct as well, but in many of those upper Midwest states, Democrats had a greater drop off as a proportion of the percentage vote.

WI-71.1%-16.2% in 1920; 37.1%-8.1% IN 1924; So roughly 1/2 of both Republican and Democratic voters peeled off.
MN- 70.6%-19.4% in 1920; 51.5%-6.8% in 1924. So roughly 2/7 of Republican voters peeled off, but nearly two-thirds of Democratic voters did.
ND- 77.8%-18.2% in 1920; 47.7%-7.0% in 1924. So about 3/8 of Republicans peeled off, but over 6/10 Democrats did.
MT- 61.1%-32.1% in 1920; 42.5%-19.4% in 1924. So about 1/3 of Republicans and Democrats peeled off.
SD- 60.7%-19.7% in 1920; 49.7%-13.3% in 1924. So about 1/6 of Republicans and 3/10 of Democrats peeled off.

In 3 states, more Democrats proportionally peeled off than Republicans, and the other 2, about equal numbers peeled off; although in absolute terms, of course more Republicans did, as there were more of them.
88  General Discussion / History / Davis' shockingly bad performance in the north & west in 1924? on: June 04, 2015, 11:07:49 pm
I noticed that in many states, particularly those where LaFollette did well, John Davis starkly underperformed James Cox - the loser of the biggest landslide in American history.

Does this mean LaFollette took more votes from Democrats than Republicans - and a large share of Democrats of the time were actually progressive? Or more likely - were they voting strategically?
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Hillary Clinton Calls For Automatic, Universal Voter Registration on: June 04, 2015, 06:41:50 pm
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/06/04/hillary-clinton-voting-rights_n_7513858.html
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What would it take for Sanders et al to seriously challenge Clinton and win? on: June 04, 2015, 04:15:59 pm
Clinton would actually have to start running against income inequality rather than for it, or making it the centerpiece of her campaign as she has been so far.
91  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Why do high-profile campus rape stories keep falling apart? on: June 04, 2015, 10:22:54 am
What do you think is being argued, exactly?

That maybe we should tamper down with this ridiculous witch-hunt mentality prevailing in America's College campuses in regards to sexual assault?

A "witch-hunt" is never good. But if the notion is supposed to be that other people who say they are sexual assaulted are one iota less believable because of discredited high profile news stories, then that is absolutely incorrect.
92  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Atlas Morality Poll Results on: June 03, 2015, 06:38:03 pm
America is definitely moving in the right direction on "moral" issues:

93  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Would you allow a cop to search your car without a warrant? on: June 03, 2015, 02:03:29 pm
Yeah, it's easy to say "no" in theory, but when you're actually in that situation and you know the cop isn't going to find anything it can be awfully easy to say go ahead just to "grease the wheels" a little bit. Ironically, the best reason for a strict "no" policy is if you think there will eventually be a time when you really have something to hide. That way, you won't be "acting guilty" when the day comes.
94  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Top 5 Americans in American History on: June 03, 2015, 01:07:19 pm
The top 5 Americans are unknown because my criteria does not include fame, and certainly does not include being known and fully appreciated by me.
95  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California raises smoking age to 21 on: June 03, 2015, 12:47:14 pm
Yeah, the logic of banning something just because it's unhealthy is pretty much the definition of the nanny state.

Time to abolish the FDA then I guess. Wouldn't want to get in the way of people's freedoms!

There's a wide gap between 'We should never ban anything on the basis of health' and 'If X can be shown to be unhealthy, it is subject to a ban'.
96  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California raises smoking age to 21 on: June 03, 2015, 12:33:56 pm
Yeah, the logic of banning something just because it's unhealthy is pretty much the definition of the nanny state.
97  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Why do high-profile campus rape stories keep falling apart? on: June 03, 2015, 11:03:53 am
Quote
Whether Jackie from U. Va was lying has nothing to with whether Susie from U. Kentucky is.

I don't disagree. We should just maybe hold off on making Susie from U. Kentucky into a national story until it's properly investigated.

I don't think you'll find many who disagree that care should be taken in elevating individual cases where there's not a lot of direct evidence.
98  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Why do high-profile campus rape stories keep falling apart? on: June 03, 2015, 10:40:00 am
and then speculate on how we should believe rape victims less due to said pattern.

Huh? Where was this argued?

What do you think is being argued, exactly?

Quote
Quote
I was never "on board" with any of the high profile campus rape cases - I think resting one's case on a scenario that one can never know is always risky, and when these high profile cases do do good, it's as much a matter of good luck as anything - however, I now that the pendulum has swung in the other direction, I think now is the time more than ever to support victims of campus rape. If I were a student on campus, I most likely would not have joined such a cause in 2014, but I would today.

I love how contrarian you are.

Whether Jackie from U. Va was lying has nothing to with whether Susie from U. Kentucky is.
99  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Why do high-profile campus rape stories keep falling apart? on: June 03, 2015, 08:54:32 am
I think the more important question is- why was this article written? It seems to have little purpose other than to point out a few high profile campus rape cases that have been cast into doubt (although I think he problematically lumps in some that have been definitively discredited with those that have not) - cast them into some sort of pattern, and then speculate on how we should believe rape victims less due to said pattern. 

This seems like the sort of article that will do exactly what feminists feared from the discrediting of the Rolling Stone campus rape article, which is to cast more doubt on rape victims. It is also emblematic of how newspapers publish articles in line with the zeitgeist of the time, which only tends to exacerbate popular biases and imbalances. And this goes for either side, as well - last year, when the popular discourse was leaving people more inclined to believe rape accusers, the Post was publishing op-eds arguing that we should automatically believe them. This year, now that people are more reluctant to do so, the Post is publishing articles casting yet more aspersions on such cases. In both cases, the Post is playing into and exacerbating preexisting prejudices - most likely because it feels that articles that reinforce such prejudices will be more popular, and also because it may be subject to some of those itself.

I was never "on board" with any of the high profile campus rape cases - I think resting one's case on a scenario that one can never know is always risky, and when these high profile cases do do good, it's as much a matter of good luck as anything - however, I now that the pendulum has swung in the other direction, I think now is the time more than ever to support victims of campus rape. If I were a student on campus, I most likely would not have joined such a cause in 2014, but I would today.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Police Brutality Megathread on: June 03, 2015, 02:19:10 am
Supposedly this guy has made factual errors before, but:

http://www.dailykos.com/blog/Shaun%20King/
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 644


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines