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February 10, 2016, 07:59:04 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If it's Trump vs. Cruz... on: February 09, 2016, 07:17:44 pm
I'm saying they go with Trump but make sure they get a good deal. In other words, either picking the running mate or the most important Cabinet posts.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will drop out due to NH? - Final Predictions on: February 09, 2016, 07:16:18 pm
Gilmore should stay in until Virginia votes at least! Tongue
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Do you think the NH GOP race will be closer than what polls suggest? on: February 09, 2016, 07:15:33 pm
Trump should win today. Best case scenario, a win over 10%. Worst case scenario, a win of less than 5%. Smiley
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders strategist: campaign to target 5 Super Tuesday states on: February 09, 2016, 07:13:02 pm
Maybe Sanders should make a play for TN as well? Wink
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / 2016 4-way race: Trump vs Bernie vs Bloomberg vs Ventura on: February 09, 2016, 03:23:04 am
Here's a scenario!

Let's say that Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders end up shocking the beltways and both get the GOP and Democratic nominations. Michael Bloomberg decides to run as an independent and Jesse Ventura runs as a Libertarian with huge endorsements and funding.

How would the maps look? Electoral vote and popular vote? Smiley
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: how do you see Trump going forward? on: February 08, 2016, 12:17:24 pm
I could see trump's chances increasing should he win NH, sc and NV. Then, he would need to do excellent on super tuesday. I see trump overperforming on st. And then, it gets interesting! Wink
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win? on: February 08, 2016, 12:19:39 am
I think if he won SC, it would basically be over but I think the chances of that happening are slim at the moment.

It might change based on media coverage after he wins New Hampshire though. I legitimately don't know. His numbers went up after his horrible debate performance, and after he lost Iowa. They may very well skyrocket after he actually does something good and wins a real race.

Still, Clinton is heavily favored in South Carolina.

Alabama and Mississippi are a slim possibility if there's low minority turn out and high student turn out. If a random truck driver can win the governor nomination, I see no reason a sitting Senator couldn't win the presidential primary.

NV could be a wild card. Imagine if Bernie is able to win it. I'm sure that would help him flip some states on ST.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Delegate Fight: 2016 on: February 07, 2016, 11:40:04 pm
Erc, do you have any news from the North Dakota GOP district caucuses? Smiley
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win? on: February 07, 2016, 11:39:07 pm
and while I don't think he'll win Arkansas, I definitely think Bernie could win New York, if it wasn't so damn late in the game. Hillary is lucky it's so late.

Do you think Bernie can win any of the Southern Super Tuesday states? I think if he can overperform in SC, anything's possible! Tongue
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win? on: February 07, 2016, 11:36:53 pm
I think Bernie will win VT, CO and MN. If Bernie is able to be able to keep NV competitive or even win it, I think he has a shot at MA and VA and TN. A good scenario for Bernie would be to win VT, CO and MN big and compete in TN, MA and VA. If he's able to flip either one of the last 3, he could call it a good night. TX might be competitive if he's able to win NV but it's more likely for Bernie to win either TN,MA or VA before TX.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the top 3 GOP candidates in NH? on: February 07, 2016, 11:27:06 pm
I think we might see a Trump-Kasich-Christie podium. Wink
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ex-NAACP leader Ben Jealous to endorse Sanders on: February 04, 2016, 06:52:18 pm
Ben jealous!! Lolol! Tongue
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In glee, Nate Silver declares Trump equivalent to Pat Buchanan on: February 02, 2016, 12:04:44 pm
Actually, trump did win 2 primaries in 2000 so it's his first electoral loss (wins in California and Míchigan)
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 02, 2016, 11:51:54 am
Last night winners and losers:

Winners: Cruz and Rubio and goldman sachs

Losers: Trump and Bush

Fixed it! Tongue
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict The Gilmore's vote total!! on: February 01, 2016, 11:05:28 am
Imagine if he won Iowa........

Hell, what if he won a precinct?? Cheesy
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 10:58:50 pm
Christie: I had a wife in 9/11!

I was thinking if some candidate in the future says that he/she was married on a 9/11 or was born on a 9/11. Just curious. Sad
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 10:39:45 pm
I haven't heard much mention of Trump in the debate. Tongue
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 10:00:07 pm
I wonder what this "never before seen" thing is?

Maybe a report from the border or something.

Did incognito Bernie supporting Muslim fashion icon show up yet? Probably her

Thought the same thing!
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 09:58:57 pm
I wonder what this "never before seen" thing is?

Wonder if it has to do with this muslim-American girl YouTuber? Tongue
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 09:42:08 pm
Moderators angry at Trump and taking it out on the candidates on stage.

I noticed that too! Tongue
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: TX PrimD: Dixie Strategies: Clinton blows away Sanders, lots undecided on: January 28, 2016, 09:03:28 pm
Its clear, the path to nominee, Sanders need to win Iowa & NH, to put pressure on Clinton in NV, barring that, Sanders wont make it.

It would be interesting if Bernie wins IA+NH and overperforms in SC and then is able to comeback and win NV. Cheesy
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's support after the Wounded Warriors event on: January 27, 2016, 07:28:33 pm
Sorry to say but he's on the verge of wrapping up the whole thing! And it's all the media's fault for giving him this 24/7 free media coverage a.k.a The Trump Show!! Sad Sad
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Delegate Fight: 2016 on: January 27, 2016, 06:03:09 pm
It should be noted that the process of nominating the Republican candidate for President has already started, apparently unnoticed by everyone.

On January 19, Republicans from eight Legislative Districts in Fargo (out of a total of 47 statewide) met and elected delegates to the State Convention (also to be held in Fargo, April 1-3).  We have no idea how they turned out.  The remaining 38 conventions will be held over the course of the next month, with the last no later than March 1.

North Dakota is having no straw poll this year, so the elections at the Legislative District Conventions are critical in the ultimate choice of North Dakota's delegation.  All 28 delegates from North Dakota will be officially unbound at Cleveland, though presumably presidential preference will be a major factor if the nomination is still contested as of early April.

As has been noted elsewhere, early voting has also begun for several of the early primary states, most notably South Carolina.

Do you think you could please provide a link to this info? Smiley
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie's education policy ... on: January 27, 2016, 05:38:12 pm
So Bernie Handlers wants to re-do our education system? Tell me more please! Cheesy
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jim Gilmore replaced with clone of John Kasich on: January 27, 2016, 05:37:27 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EjPzcPJ-8hg

In this ad for the debate, you may notice that the 12 candidates shown has two John Kasichs and no Jim Gilmores.

It sucks to see somebody else get the Ron Paul treatment! Sad
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