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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP Finds Trump Voters Don't Support Corporate Tax Cuts on: January 17, 2017, 11:43:18 am
I feel like I've seen this reported continuously over 20+ years. Republican voters are never big supporters of tax cuts tilted to the rich, but it's not the kind of thing they find disqualifying.
2  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Differences between Democratic voting bases in CA and MA on: January 13, 2017, 10:00:15 am
What is the reason Bernie Sanders easily won the primary in Northampton and Amherst MA, but lost Hacienda Heights, CA; and Long Beach, CA was very competitive?

In California, I think the primary may have split more on income than race. Bernie won the most diverse city in America, Oakland, but badly lost the rich mostly white city of Piedmont that it surrounds.

Similiarly, Bernie won Xavier Becerra's almost entirely Hispanic district in LA, while getting annihilated in the mostly white Santa Monica district.

How bad was turnout in Becerra's district, I wonder?
3  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Differences between Democratic voting bases in CA and MA on: January 11, 2017, 08:54:26 am
Why was MA-2 an easy win for Sanders but CA-39 and CA-47 were losses for him?

I'm confused. What is the rationale for making a comparison between those districts?

MA-2 is not affluent, not diverse, is close to Vermont, and includes some very white liberal centers in the Five Colleges area. It is mostly rural and small-town other than the city of Worcester. I don't see any kinship with either of the CA districts you mention—which are also not very similar to each other.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MA-08: Brianna Wu running against Lynch in 2018 Democratic primary on: January 04, 2017, 05:16:43 pm
South Boston has less than 5% of the district's population, and it's not as monolithic as it once was. I don't see how Brianna Wu wins but it isn't 1930 here any longer. South Boston even gets outvoted for "its own" state senate district these days. 
5  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Likely next US districts after 2020 on: December 22, 2016, 09:05:18 am
It is certainly not the job of a federal court to represent the interests of the people of Virginia.

They have a legislature for that.

Mildred Loving might disagree with you on that one, Jim.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: December 15, 2016, 04:27:00 pm
This thread serves a good purpose as a repository for data. Let's keep this thread on-topic—election results by congressional district—and keep debates about gerrymandering to other threads. Thank you. --Mod.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Senate and U.S House Election Results OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 27, 2016, 04:12:49 pm
Unstickying and locking this thread given that the older thread is livelier.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 27, 2016, 04:06:10 pm
Let's stay on topic and keep more sensitive topics to other threads. Thank you. --Mod.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2016 Gubernatorial and Statewide Election Results OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 08, 2016, 02:51:05 pm
In Massachusetts, we have no statewide elected officials up but have some controversial ballot measures.

1: slot parlor in Revere
2: lift the cap on charter schools
3: more room in cages for farm animals
4: legalize marijuana
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / 2016 Gubernatorial and Statewide Election Results OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 08, 2016, 02:27:40 pm
Governors, Marijuana, Charter Schools, Single-Payer, let's go! 
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / 2016 Senate and U.S House Election Results OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 08, 2016, 02:26:20 pm
Let's go!
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Moderator's note: Nov. 8, 2016 on: November 08, 2016, 10:49:00 am
Hi all. A note on how to discuss differences of opinion on gender identity on boards I moderate:

Debates on gender identity and understanding of transgenderism are acceptable when relevant to an issue of state or federal policy, such as HB2 in North Carolina, and I will moderate very lightly in support of free debate.

These debates are not acceptable on discussions of individuals who may be transgender who are running for state and federal office, and posts that display a lack of respect for an individual's identity and dignity and follow-up conversations will be moderated appropriately.

Thank you.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Moderator's note: Nov. 8, 2016 on: November 08, 2016, 10:48:18 am
Hi all. A note on how to discuss differences of opinion on gender identity on boards I moderate:

Debates on gender identity and understanding of transgenderism are acceptable when relevant to an issue of state or federal policy, such as HB2 in North Carolina, and I will moderate very lightly in support of free debate.

These debates are not acceptable on discussions of individuals who may be transgender who are running for state and federal office, and posts that display a lack of respect for an individual's identity and dignity and follow-up conversations will be moderated appropriately.

Thank you.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Broward break 1 million votes this election? on: November 08, 2016, 10:21:12 am
That would analogize to nationwide turnout of 174 million, plus Broward has a higher-than-average share of non-citizens, so pretty unlikely.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: UT: YouGov: Lee +46 on: November 07, 2016, 10:16:45 pm
Transphobic comments will not be tolerated. Let's stick to politics.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Create a scenario where Misty Snow wins on: November 07, 2016, 10:10:37 pm
Transphobia will not be tolerated on this board. Comment and resulting discussion removed.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Angus Reid National: Clinton +4 on: November 07, 2016, 02:53:39 pm
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Rumour: AG - Giuliani/ SOS - Gingrich/ Chief of Staff - Priebus on: November 07, 2016, 08:57:38 am
What Cabinet departments will Trump assign to Bobby Knight, Ted Nugent, and Omarosa?
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Boston Herald/Franklin Pearce Univ.: Hillary+3 in final national poll on: November 07, 2016, 06:47:57 am
Boston Herald is equivalent to the New York Post.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How Many Obama states will Trump Carry? on: November 06, 2016, 11:31:59 am
Iowa only.

There's a chance for Ohio to fall his way, but I wouldn't bet on it.

Florida is gone for him.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: absentee/early vote thread, part 2 on: November 06, 2016, 11:30:39 am
tender has a point even while he makes it in a really unconvincing way, imho.

less about austria than about countries feeling the wave of new big-gov right-wing-populism, killing the old conservative parties.

even while i would suggest, demographics and economy of the US makes it more robust against crypto-fascism than europe.

There is certainly an analogy between the Trump phenomenon and right-wing politics all over Europe. It is a powerful force.

But each election has two sides, and there is no comparison between a Democratic candidate with a reasonably united and very strong campaign apparatus and a Green Party gadfly who mainly benefited from being a vessel for anti-fascist votes. Whatever your personal view of Hillary Clinton—and Tender has not been shy in expressing his disgust—she is a strong candidate among a large share of the Democratic coalition.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: absentee/early vote thread, part 2 on: November 06, 2016, 11:24:48 am
Also the candidates are roughly comparable

Hillary Clinton is a major party candidate; Austria's major parties have been eclipsed by splinter groups. No comparison.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS/YouGov: Trump +1 (OH), Tie (FL) on: November 06, 2016, 11:17:33 am

The topline trend in both states favours Trump:

Extrapolating momentum isn't really a thing, Tender.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Selzer/DMR/Mediacom: Trump +7 on: November 05, 2016, 09:50:59 pm
The Midwest is voting like it's 2004 while the rest of the country votes like it's 2008, except for Arizona and Texas which are voting like it's 2024.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: absentee/early vote thread, part 2 on: November 05, 2016, 08:41:34 am
Republicans are doing better on Election Day.

The math isn't there. Also, Election Day hasn't happened.
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