Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2015, 02:16:55 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 534
26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Portman trailing Strickland, crushing Sittenfeld on: April 06, 2015, 04:29:05 pm
Quinnipiac's numbers aren't adding up. They seem to think that OH is as Democratic leaning as NM, and PA is as Republican leaning as AZ. I'll buy that Portman's vulnerable, but even in a Democratic wave, he wouldn't lose by 9 points.

I'm not a big optimistic, but I disagree. The evidence from Ohio is that in a wave, basically ok incumbents can lose by big numbers.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carly Fiorina backs civil unions on: April 06, 2015, 02:05:49 pm
Well, all of the gay Republicans are going to have a tough time choosing between Bolton and Fiorina now. Their mass numbers could swing who wins the nomination.

Most I know are for Walker, though I am leaning towards Cruz.

I'm leaning toward voting for Cruz in the primary, too.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb identified himself as Hispanic in 2009 voter registration form on: April 06, 2015, 09:15:55 am
I'm sure everyone who made cracks about Elizabeth Warren is going to be all over this.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rothenberg Releases Initial 2016 House Ratings on: April 05, 2015, 10:10:52 am
What justification is there for saying that CA-36 is in more danger than CA-52 when Ruiz won by more than Peters did in 2014? These two ratings honestly make no sense.

Possibly because Dem victory in CA-36 relies more on infrequent voters than CA-52 does? Maybe? I don't know, I think you're right... Ruiz led the jungle primary in 2014 with a bare majority while Peters only got 42%. Does Ruiz have a strong declared opponent?
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz 2016= Newt Gingrich 2012 on: April 05, 2015, 09:56:50 am
Cruz is younger and seems to have a better private life. He doesn't get along with fellow members of Congress. He is rather disciplined.

Yes. Gingrich was useful to Democrats because he was willing to take non-conservative positions to bash Mitt Romney - hitting him on inequality and laying off workers. Cruz is going to say all kinds of inconvenient and damaging things about his competitors but he'll be predictably conservative on all of them.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carly Fiorina backs civil unions on: April 04, 2015, 09:35:37 pm
Civil unions were a Democrat concept that was a precursor to the forcing of the radical redefinition of marriage on to our country. 

Wow, refusing to use "Democratic" as an adjective is even more dated than coming out for civil unions.

I think the next step is shutting down PBS.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-Sen: California Quake on: April 03, 2015, 09:32:21 am

She has a track record of being a lone wolf in the CA Dem party and making decisions that don't make sense to outsiders. This is quixotic.
33  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arkansas woman now world’s oldest person, wants Obama visit on: April 03, 2015, 09:04:13 am
That's right, everyone, it's okay that she voted for Obama twice even though she's an old Southerner - she's a black! Relax, everything is exactly as it should be!

I'm completely baffled by this post. Can you translate as to what is odd here?
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will EVERY realistic Democratic presidential nominee win ME-02? on: April 03, 2015, 08:29:41 am
Yes, she will.
35  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 03, 2015, 08:22:12 am
Here's a link to the Oregon case where a bakery was fined for not providing a cake to a couple—specifically, they called their wedding "an abomination unto the lord" so at least you can't call them insincere. I'm not able to find any reference to a two-bride cake topper or even generic decorations (do people put icing on a cake in the shape of two tuxedos?) being the crux of the issue.

http://www.kgw.com/story/news/local/2015/02/02/ruling-gresham-bakery-discriminated-against-same-sex-couple/22760387/

Here is a case in Colorado where the baker objected to "baking a cake" for the wedding, not to decorating it with a two-groom cake topper.

http://www.nydailynews.com/life-style/colorado-baker-shut-shopp-serve-gay-couples-article-1.1815868
36  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 03, 2015, 08:17:16 am
I'll remind people that the issue with bakeries isn't having to bake a special kind of cake for gays, it's not wanting a cake you'd bake for anyone to be bought by people you find icky who will serve that cake at a same-sex wedding that your church doesn't recognize as a valid ceremony.

The issue for bakers is usually not the cake and to whom it will be served, it's the decorations on the cake. They'll sell a standard unadorned cake to anyone, but some don't want to adorn it with a same-sex couple in wedding garb.

Do you have any links or resources that show that the plastic topping is usually the issue when bakers have turned down same-sex couples? Adding a cake-topper is literally a few seconds' worth of work, and the same-sex couples I know who have gotten married in Massachusetts have bought their own to provide to the baker. A baker who is interested in providing the cake but not the cake topper because they don't lake gay couples or gay marriage would be easily able to make that compromise... a waiter at the wedding facility can add it. The stories I've read indicate not wanting to serve gay couples at all.

I think this is an interesting theory but it doesn't hold up to scrutiny, much like the concern that same-sex marriage should remain illegal and same-sex couples denied legal protections because of the risk of bogus "Chuck and Larry" marriages for health care benefits.
37  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 03, 2015, 06:29:09 am
I'll remind people that the issue with bakeries isn't having to bake a special kind of cake for gays, it's not wanting a cake you'd bake for anyone to be bought by people you find icky who will serve that cake at a same-sex wedding that your church doesn't recognize as a valid ceremony.
38  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 03, 2015, 06:27:30 am
Most likely, swastika cakes are not a service that any bakeries (Jewish or otherwise) offer to anybody. The issue here is a minority getting the same service already offered to everybody else.  Are you being this obtuse on purpose?

Some bakeries will put whatever you want on a cake, no questions asked.  

Is it your belief that if one bakery does this, it compels all bakeries, in states in the absence of RFRA, to put naked pictures on cakes or make swastika cakes? Is that really your understanding of how anti-discrimination laws work?

You're smarter than this. Think it through.
39  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 02, 2015, 02:01:33 pm
It's interesting to read this case about a high school basketball player who came out and consider that the opposing team's behavior can be defended as a religious objection by these laws. Read it.

http://www.outsports.com/2015/4/1/8316867/dalton-maldonado-gay-basketball-kentucky
40  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Anyone else notice New Urbanist communities are often quite Republican? on: April 02, 2015, 12:59:28 pm
Which ones were you thinking of?
41  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arkansas woman now world’s oldest person, wants Obama visit on: April 02, 2015, 12:53:22 pm
New Deal democrat.

She could have been voting since 1920.

Only since 1965, most likely.
42  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 02, 2015, 11:02:49 am
That's all that RFRA laws do. They allow persons who feel an action would impinge upon their beliefs to raise that fact in court and place the burden upon the impinger.

No need for obscuring abstractions to "persons" and "actions" when we are talking about specific cases. The issue here is that Indiana considers persons to equal vendors, public accommodations, and businesses who participate in the economy and now would like to pick and choose among customers if they don't like gays. Back to my previous point, we are relitigating the Civil Rights Act of 1964.
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: April 02, 2015, 08:34:05 am
We needn't structure our laws around a few nutters here and there, who for whatever reason, incorrectly believe that a wedding, by definition, has to be a religious ceremony. That's just a flatly absurd suggestion.

Please explain why anyone should be compelled, under penalty of law, to participate in someone else's wedding ceremony, religious, civil or whatever.

Again, we seem to be relitigating the Civil Rights Act of 1964. No one is insisting "anyone," this is about vendors who provide services to couples that are not religious in nature outside of people's tortured rationales.
44  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: March 31, 2015, 08:46:25 am
Is it the same exact law, though?

http://m.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/03/what-makes-indianas-religious-freedom-law-different/388997/?utm_source=btn-facebook-pin

Also, doesn't Connecticut, unlike Indiana, have state protections against discrimination based on sexual orientation?

States that copy laws from other states frequently add language to clarify their intent when courts have made rulings since the original law was enacted. It looks pretty clear that IN did exactly that to make clear that RFRA gets the interpretation they want from their courts.

True. It seems to me that Connecticut passed its law under a different motivation in the 1990s (Muslims growing beards in prison, that kind of issue) and would not have introduced it under its new Hobby Lobby/gay discrimination gestalt.
45  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: March 31, 2015, 07:52:10 am
Is it the same exact law, though?

http://m.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/03/what-makes-indianas-religious-freedom-law-different/388997/?utm_source=btn-facebook-pin

Also, doesn't Connecticut, unlike Indiana, have state protections against discrimination based on sexual orientation?
46  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Which state do you think has the biggest rural-urban divide? on: March 30, 2015, 12:57:04 pm
Maryland is pretty extreme.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Harry Reid retires!!! on: March 30, 2015, 12:03:28 pm
Lots of successful governors don't want to become senators and it's not hard to see why not.
48  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Tompkins County, New York on: March 29, 2015, 07:24:39 am
Ithaca is very liberal, and it's not just students.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: March 28, 2015, 07:17:24 am
Ernest, to be clear, when Martin Luther King, Jr. advocated for anti-discrimination laws, you apply the same logic to him? He should have known better than to have the government force public accommodations to take down their whites only signs, because that was equivalent to discrimination itself?
50  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pence signed it: Add Indiana to the list of states with "religious freedom" laws on: March 28, 2015, 06:50:29 am

I realize that the National Report isn't as (in)famous as The Onion, but you do realize that was a satirical piece, not a real piece of journalism, right?

No, I had absolutely no idea.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 534


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines