Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 20, 2014, 08:04:04 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 518
26  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Georgia's voting backlog battle (Politico) on: October 12, 2014, 10:33:22 am
Has the SOS made the argument that delays and refusals to process voter registration forms are essential to preventing voter fraud yet?
27  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: hello I am calling out wormyguy for a detailed response to this on: October 12, 2014, 09:35:58 am
Wormyguy, this is the key paragraph on Stalin from your quote.

Quote
When he had talked with Cardinal Spellman on September 3, Roosevelt did not conceal his thoughts about Stalin and Eastern Europe. Stalin would receive Finland, the Baltic States, the eastern half of Poland, and Bessarabia [all the lands Stalin had coveted under his Pact with Hitler]. There was no point in opposing "these desires of Stalin, because he had the power to get them anyhow. So better give them gracefully."

Whatever Roosevelt said or felt, the fact was Stalin and the Red Army made the facts on the ground. The U.S. and British forces were going to demobilize after Hitler was defeated because they were democracies.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Iowa and Colorado? on: October 12, 2014, 08:38:24 am
The polls say probably Ernst and very likely Gardner.

My heart says Braley and a toss-up in Colorado.

Mr brain remembers what republicans' hearts said in 2012 in response to polls showing Obama a clear winner and steers me back to the polls.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 12, 2014, 08:35:34 am
The spread in Iowa had been narrowing, but it has stabilized and even expanded a bit. Dems now up 9.8% in returned ballots.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who wins Massachusetts? on: October 11, 2014, 01:51:19 pm
I'm going to say Baker. Because I don't think this race is going to be federalized.
31  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is Bushie a "pretty smart cookie"? on: October 11, 2014, 09:09:47 am
Does anyone share Jeff's ability to tell what day of the week a random date in the past or future falls on?

I'm just curious. I've never encountered anyone who can do that.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME: Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Cutler surging? on: October 11, 2014, 07:44:30 am
Cutler nearly won as an Indy 4 years ago, greatly outperforming both his poll numbers and the Democratic candidate.  Cutler isn't necessarily any more to be considered a spoiler candidate than Michaud is.

The Dem candidate in 2010 was not viable except for the D next to her name, so he became the de facto D nominee.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is Joni Ernst (R-IA) or Mike Rounds (R-SD) likelier to win? on: October 10, 2014, 05:18:19 pm
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 10, 2014, 03:36:26 pm
^ Definitely not.

The Post endorsee has won 9 of 11 Senate and presidential races since 1996. Exceptions were Gore '00 and Strickland '02. They endorsed Hick for guv twice, also endorsed the Dem AG candidate this year.

Wow, so the Post endorsed Udall in '08 and are now flipping?
35  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 03:32:39 pm
Oh, hey, you're right. Yeah, the 3rd district in Maryland is an abomination, and the 2nd district isn't much better. I don't know why they went to so much trouble in that part of the state at the southern end of the 3rd district, few people live there.
36  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 03:09:56 pm
Yeah, the Maryland maps last decade and this decade are both horrible. That said, I was surprised there is no hopping the Chesapeake in the current map, and the shark could ride across the Chesapeake Bay Bridge in the 2000s edition of MD-1.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FiveThirtyEight: Republicans Fortunes Rise in Alaska on: October 10, 2014, 12:49:07 pm
Stevens wasn't convicted until after the election, FWIW.

He was convicted on October 27, 2008

My bad, I misread as November 27 when I checked this.
38  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 12:30:23 pm
I didn't realize until now that to cross from the Newport News/Hampton side to the Norfolk/Portsmouth side by car or foot, you have to leave VA-3 and travel through other districts. In the case of Highway 60, you'll pass through VA-3 and VA-2 twice each before arriving in Norfolk in VA-3 for the third time.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FiveThirtyEight: Republicans Fortunes Rise in Alaska on: October 10, 2014, 12:25:51 pm
Stevens wasn't convicted until after the election, FWIW.
40  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 11:37:40 am
muon, true, but both Staten Island and Long Island are islands, so water crossing is inevitable. In addition, VRA districts are at play in those areas, for example in the two Brooklyn districts that force NY-9 to hop over water or which affect what Manhattan can be combined with in Kings. Everything in VA-3 is on the mainland.

A water crossing within the Hampton Roads urban area would be reasonable, but hopscotching from bank to bank through underpopulated areas and crossing sizable distances over water before alighting on a pocket of voters looks different to my eyes.
41  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: October 10, 2014, 09:14:26 am
I'll be completely honest with my pastor.  I am honest on Facebook, and that's what I'll tell him and more.
Jeff, if you were honest on Facebook, you wouldn't have deleted Andrew and I. 

Why were you his friend on Facebook in the first place, though? Do you feel you two are friends?
42  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 06:50:59 am
VA-3 is the least compact district in Virginia by three separate measures, but only marginally so, to the extent the plaintiff's expert witness testified it was not mathematically significant.   And VA-3 is far more compact that the districts in Shaw v Reno (N), or Bush v Vera.  It is clearly more compact than the districts in the states to the north or south, and arguably those in the states to the west.

Maryland is quite the gerrymander, but I don't know of any districts to the north, south, or west which hopscotch across the open water as egregiously and frequently as VA-3 does when land connections are available. This district may be up there with HI-2 for land contiguity.

I haven't checked this out, but how frequently do the ferries run between the non-contiguous parts of VA-3?
43  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races on: October 09, 2014, 05:31:37 pm
Landrieu fired her campaign manager.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in South Dakota? on: October 09, 2014, 04:57:36 pm
Quote
He added: "I think Barack Obama has struggled with [the presidency]. He's done some very good things, but he's done a lot of things that I don't agree with, especially in the area of the deficit."

Meanwhile...

Quote
2014 Federal Budget Deficit at $486 Billion, Lowest Since 2008
By Mark Murray

The federal government ran an estimated budget deficit of $486 billion in fiscal year 2014, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) announced Wednesday -- $195 billion less than the shortfall recorded in fiscal year 2013, and the smallest deficit recorded since 2008.

Relative to the size of the economy, that deficit—at an estimated 2.8 percent of gross domestic product (GDP)—was slightly below the average experienced over the past 40 years, and 2014 was the fifth consecutive year in which the deficit declined as a percentage of GDP since peaking at 9.8 percent in 2009.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/2014-federal-budget-deficit-486-billion-lowest-2008-n221236
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in South Dakota? on: October 09, 2014, 04:24:33 pm
Pressler said he'll be a "friend of Obama."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/south-dakota-senate-larry-pressler-friend-to-obama
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: SSM comes to NC! on: October 09, 2014, 03:28:44 pm
Miles why is it always you who reports this stuff?


Anyway, will someone please give me the order in which every state made SSM legal?

There's a chart you can sort by date in this wikipedia article:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Same-sex_marriage_in_the_United_States
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: David Perdue: "Yeah, I spent most of my career" outsourcing on: October 09, 2014, 12:42:43 pm
This is the craziest Senate election year since 2002 or earlier. Crazy in terms of volatility and unexpected twists, not bizarre candidates.
48  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is Bushie a "pretty smart cookie"? on: October 09, 2014, 06:09:05 am
Also none of the advice given to Bushie has been all that bad, even if not entire what he needs, it's true there's more to this than "Bushie needs to work harder and watch less TV", but if you read Update you'll see people actually have been asking him to see a psychiatrist, and things like trying to steer him away from that A+ Certification thing, which absolutely no one in their right mind could possibly think was even a remotely good idea...which is exactly why literally no one besides Bushie did.

No one denies that most judgments of his behavior are accurate; that some of the ways that is communicated to him is constructive; and that J Mann has been a genuine hero. But you're not going to pretend that's all that's going on there, right?
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: MA-09: Emerson/WGBH: Rep. Bill Keating (D) trails by 5 on: October 09, 2014, 06:04:05 am
When you don't know either of the candidates and have never heard it discussed as competitive, you know it's junk.

The Globe had an article about this race being potentially competitive this week.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in South Dakota? on: October 08, 2014, 08:21:19 pm
I still think Rounds pulls it out, but I think a Pressler win is not entirely out of the question.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 518


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines