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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: GA-JMC Enterprises: Clinton +7 on: August 08, 2016, 09:00:10 am
Clinton getting 12% in North Georgia with 28% undecided. LOL.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING - TRUMP ENDORSED BY A MEMBER OF THE BUSH FAMILY on: August 08, 2016, 08:11:00 am
George III will have to run for office again in the Trumpist GOP; Jeb, George II, and George I no longer have to face the voters. Someone suggested this is the opening shot in a 2018 primary challenge to Cruz!
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA on: August 07, 2016, 10:49:26 am
Virginia sailing briskly from Solid R through swing-state territory to Solid D between 2004 and 2016 is as breathtaking as West Virginia making the same trip in reverse from 1996 to 2008.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: GA - Atlanta Journal Constitution: Clinton +4 / Clinton +3 (w/ Third Parties) on: August 05, 2016, 12:07:21 pm
Georgia is the New Jersey of the South.

Indeed. Aging suburban sprawl + increasing diversity is tipping a Republican state to the Democrats, just like New Jersey 20 years ago.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Clinton +11 on: August 04, 2016, 09:46:31 am
But muh Cambria County
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: McGinty +1 Frankln and Marshall July 29-August 1 2016 on: August 04, 2016, 09:34:53 am
In that case I'd say it's actually a bad poll for her, since Clinton isn't going to win by 11 in PA in the end.

Are you counting on Trump to pivot and turn things around from where he is now?
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-WBUR: Hassan +10 on: August 04, 2016, 09:21:58 am
Will her climbing ever cease?

Can I ask what this "Climbing Maggie" meme is about?
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton PAC to make decision on Arizona in 1 month, looking at Indiana/Georgia on: August 04, 2016, 08:27:39 am
They should make a move on Arizona and perhaps symbolic investment in Georgia to help move Democrats in general closer to their goal mark over the next few years. Indiana probably isn't going to work even with Bayh.

A registration drive in Georgia around the presidential campaign would pay dividends for years.
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-WBUR: Hassan +10 on: August 04, 2016, 08:21:17 am
If this lead holds up—and NH tends to swing very dramatically with partisan waves—that makes three Republican senators who are going to get Blanched this November.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NY Times Releases Horrowing Video of the Behavior of Trump Supporters @ Rallies on: August 03, 2016, 06:29:11 pm
guys can you stop quoting seriously?, i have him on ignore but i can still see his arguments and it really makes the ignore option irrelevant.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rep. Richard Hanna (R-N.Y.): I'm with her on: August 02, 2016, 08:38:25 am
Ok, I guess, but not impressive when he's retiring and leaving politics anyway... no real cost.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton PAC to make decision on Arizona in 1 month, looking at Indiana/Georgia on: August 02, 2016, 07:56:28 am
In addition to higher Latino turnout, Arizona has the X factor of a large Mormon community that reliably votes Republican but could sit out this election.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC poll: Clinton +9 on: August 01, 2016, 05:37:24 pm
Party ID: 28D/24R/48I

So both Dems and Repubs are underrepresented here

I can believe both parties are bleeding members to "I" with these candidates.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump responds to Khan parents DNC speech megathread on: August 01, 2016, 08:04:40 am
The Khans say they're done with this public argument. Trump should send them flowers in thanks.

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2016/08/01/trump-khan-feud/
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump responds to Khan parents DNC speech megathread on: July 31, 2016, 11:58:54 am
So what would have been an appropriate response to Mr. Khan's partisan political statements from a National Party's podium?

"Oh yes, Mr. Khan.  You're entirely correct!  You're a world class FF and I'm the biggest HP that ever walked the Earth, and I'm conceding the election to Hillary right now, because she's the REAL FF in this race."

Would that work?  

There are ways that a politician with an ounce of self-control could have finessed this. Reihan Salam, a Republican, suggested:

Quote
Here's what he could have said: "Look, I'm not going to compare my sacrifice to a parent who lost a child. That's the ultimate sacrifice. This is not about me. This is about the hard calls a president has to make. Hillary supported the Iraq War, and thousands died, including that brave young man. I won't get our country into reckless wars, period." This might've been unfair. But effective.

"Why was he called up for duty? To protect our freedom? Or to make up for a terrible mistake made by a corrupt elite?" Unfair but effective.


Mrs. Khan has a heartbreaking editorial in the Washington Post today. This isn't just hurting Trump, it's directly confronting and defeating his demeaning of Muslims as un-American. Brava to Mrs. Khan for that. This is Trump's worst moment since the Curiel pogrom and he needs to back the  off as quickly as he can.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What percentage of the Jewish vote will Hillary get against Donald Trump? on: July 31, 2016, 08:49:24 am
Bear in mind, the median age for Jews is probably higher than for the general population.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PA-Suffolk: Clinton +9 on: July 28, 2016, 04:29:26 pm
Suffolk is the Gold Standard
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ohio-PPP: Trump +3; tied in binary race on: July 26, 2016, 08:42:24 am
How many millions of special interest dollars did she spent in Ohio already? And how many staffers does she have in that state? And how many did TRUMP spent by contrast? It's obvious which candidate is running the better and more efficient campaign.

Efficacy of staffers will show up on Election Day, not in polling.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Gravis/OANN: Trump +2 on: July 23, 2016, 10:29:11 pm
43% of electorate is between 50 and 64?!
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Tim Kaine is selected as Hillary's VP and they win in November... on: July 22, 2016, 08:19:55 pm
Congratulations, future Senator Dave Brat.

That's probably one person that would not win statewide, even in an off-year.

Perhaps. After Scott Brown, 2010, and 2014 midterms I am deeply cynical about elections after a Democrat wins.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Tim Kaine is selected as Hillary's VP and they win in November... on: July 22, 2016, 08:06:20 pm
Congratulations, future Senator Dave Brat.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / MOVED: After disasterous RNC Speech who will challenge Ted Cruz in Senate GOP Primary? on: July 22, 2016, 08:30:20 am
This topic has been moved to Congressional Elections.

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=241375.0
48  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Woman tries to buy birthday cake for her wife... on: July 20, 2016, 08:46:36 pm
Is this the only place to buy a cake?  And they don't like gay people?  Seems like a perfect business opportunity for someone that isn't a bigot.

If there are only a few gay people in town, it doesn't sound like a "perfect business opportunity" unless you want to charge extortionate prices of gay customers banned from the other bakery. This baker can successfully discriminate without suffering much in the way of consequences.

Except for retaliation by activists.
Their yelp page is now a bunch of unbelievably awful supposed reviews by people who live hundreds of miles away.

Hmm, if any of those reviews are inauthentic the owner can work with Yelp to have them removed. I know some people think that freedom to discriminate should mean freedom to discriminate without any negative consequences; fortunately this is a pretty minor inconvenience compared to what the baker was dishing out, we can agree.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Woman tries to buy birthday cake for her wife... on: July 20, 2016, 08:43:14 pm
Is this the only place to buy a cake?  And they don't like gay people?  Seems like a perfect business opportunity for someone that isn't a bigot.

If there are only a few gay people in town, it doesn't sound like a "perfect business opportunity" unless you want to charge extortionate prices of gay customers banned from the other bakery. This baker can successfully discriminate without suffering much in the way of consequences.

Why do you assume that only gay people would want to avoid giving their business to an anti-gay bigot?

20+ years' experience as an out gay man watching ineffective boycotts against Cracker Barrel, Exxon, state of South Carolina, etc. and knowing how this issue plays outside of liberal communities. What's your experience?
50  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Woman tries to buy birthday cake for her wife... on: July 20, 2016, 07:39:29 am
Is this the only place to buy a cake?  And they don't like gay people?  Seems like a perfect business opportunity for someone that isn't a bigot.

If there are only a few gay people in town, it doesn't sound like a "perfect business opportunity" unless you want to charge extortionate prices of gay customers banned from the other bakery. This baker can successfully discriminate without suffering much in the way of consequences.
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