Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 16, 2017, 02:42:35 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 580
26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MA Dem Primary: Who will try and defeat Baker? on: August 09, 2017, 07:21:57 am
I was polled by the Baker reelection campaign last night. The Dems they asked about were Katherine Clark, Seth Moulton, Marty Walsh, Elizabeth Warren, and Maura Healey.

There's been no suggestion that either Walsh or Warren would trade their current jobs for a run at the governorship.

They tested lots of messaging for and against Baker.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 538: The Congressional Map Has A Record-Setting Bias Against Democrats on: August 08, 2017, 08:41:43 am
I hate to say it, but I never imagined the Republicans' gerrymanders from 2011-2012 would actually get more effective as the decade progressed.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many House seats will the GOP will pick up (gross, not net) in 2018? on: August 06, 2017, 07:49:03 am
To those mentioning NJ-5: Gottheimer's not losing in 2018. He's very popular and there's no big-league opponents who are entering the race.

Given the solid R history of the district and Garrett's unique problems, I find it hard to have confidence in Gottheimer. I think this is a reasonable "top 5" option for a district to flip back, especially if GA-6 is any guide to go by.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook: Mixed messages on enthusiasm / midterm dynamics on: August 06, 2017, 07:43:55 am
Neutralize Senate and narrow House majority and win key Govs in IL, WI, VA and FL. After 2 specials in House were lost.
2020 will take if self with Mueller releases his investing report.

You're not actually Cory Booker. Quit the impersonation.

The odds of this actually confusing someone are pretty low, especially since Booker isn't from California. We're not going to worry about this.
30  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mueller asks White House for Flynn documents on: August 05, 2017, 09:00:59 am
Flynn's a good kid, a good boy.
31  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Republican donor sues party for fraud and racketeering on: August 04, 2017, 11:28:52 pm
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/345364-republican-donor-sues-gop-for-fraud-over-obamacare-repeal?amp

Claims they raised millions of dollars on appeal to repeal Obamacare, but never intended to do so.
32  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump approval ratings thread 1.1 on: August 03, 2017, 05:56:24 am
Gallup (August 1st)

Approve 36% (-1)
Disapprove 60% (+1)

Lol. The crashing across the board is hilarious.


Is Trump going to have a heart attack when he keeps seeing these brutal numbers?

Have you heard about his historic win in the electoral college? Here, look at this map!
33  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump approval ratings thread 1.1 on: August 02, 2017, 08:03:34 pm
For the first time, Trump conclusively failed to deliver on a promise that was important to a large chunk of his base. Trump can lie all he wants about economic growth, other countries fearing the U.S., etc. but there's no sugar-coating this one.

Unless Trump delivers on some other major Republican priority, he's going to permanently disappoint a part of his base that has backed him up until now.

The interesting question is which part of his base has he particularly upset by failing to repeal the Affordable Care Act? Arguably, it's the more fiscally conservative wing of the party, with which he likely had the shakiest support in the first place. If he falters on tax reform as well, while succeeding, even if symbolically, with immigration restrictions, abolishing affirmative action, and so on, then his more socially conservative base will likely hold steady while his support among fiscal conservatives further collapses.

Interesting. That would mean that GA-6 might vote differently later than it did in June.
34  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump approval ratings thread 1.1 on: August 02, 2017, 07:48:20 pm
For the first time, Trump conclusively failed to deliver on a promise that was important to a large chunk of his base. Trump can lie all he wants about economic growth, other countries fearing the U.S., etc. but there's no sugar-coating this one.

Unless Trump delivers on some other major Republican priority, he's going to permanently disappoint a part of his base that has backed him up until now.
35  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump Tax Cuts to be Delayed Until 2018 on: August 02, 2017, 07:46:06 pm
Getting rid of this deduction would be a bloodbath for the few Republicans remaining in California, New York and Illinois. It'd also tarnish the brand with the same suburban voters in states with decently high taxes, like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio.

Goodbye Lance, Frelinghuysen, and MacArthur in NJ, too. Chris Smith seems immortal.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-SEN Class 1: Flake News! on: August 02, 2017, 07:16:47 pm
Let's stick to Arizona. --Mod.
37  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Justice Dept. to Take On Affirmative Action in College Admissions on: August 02, 2017, 02:27:47 pm
Jared Kushner does NOT want the issue of preferences in college admissions to get into the news. (Google him and Harvard if you don't know.)
38  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Donald Trump Goes All In On Slashing Legal Immigration on: August 02, 2017, 02:01:48 pm
I highly HIGHLY doubt this is race based.

I don't know how anyone can make a statement like that with a straight face after Trump's campaign and its reception.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NV - PPP/SaveMyCare: Generic Democrat +19 over Heller on: August 01, 2017, 10:43:49 am
SaveMyCare, seems legit
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Caitlyn Jenner mulling run for Senate on: August 01, 2017, 10:34:02 am
Ok to discuss Jenner, her identity as a transwoman formerly known as Bruce, and whether or not her campaign is ridiculous, but please respect her current gender and personal identity in your comments. Posts that don't will be edited, and lots of editing will cause this thread to be locked. Thank you. --Mod.
41  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: North Carolina Legislative Redistricting on: August 01, 2017, 09:03:58 am
The NC legislature is being taken to court (again!) about their slow-walking their constitutional responsibilities. It will be interesting to see what sanctions come down, if any.

https://www.apnews.com/0553c981d6094ac99e9cd2b5859b07cb
The federal district court rejected the plaintiffs demand for a special election. Some of the districts will have new boundaries for the 2018 election. Given that 2018 is an off year in North Carolina with no presidential, no gubernatorial, and no senatorial elections, Republicans are likely to gain legislative seats.
No, just no.  With how gerrymandered these districts were, they will not be gaining seats.  That's partisans dreams.

Jim knows that, he's just trolling.
42  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Lawsuit: FNC & wealthy Trump supporter concocted Seth Rich story on: August 01, 2017, 08:58:14 am
Trump's interest in promoting this story explains why Sean Hannity was such a bitter-ender about it.
43  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How old were your grandparents when you were born? on: July 31, 2017, 09:33:14 am
69, 67, 66, 64
44  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is there any former POTUS, living or dead, who wouldn't be appalled by Trump? on: July 31, 2017, 08:08:27 am
I could see him fitting easily into Harding's world. Harding didn't sweat the details and liked the ladies and his rich businessmen friends.
45  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: John McCain apology thread on: July 28, 2017, 07:52:17 am
Today is the day John McCain became President.
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trumpcare Megathread: Senate enters "Vote-a-Rama" on: July 27, 2017, 08:55:40 pm
I love "Strange Amendment"
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump approval ratings thread 1.1 on: July 27, 2017, 01:27:51 pm
Can we get back on-topic?
48  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trumpcare Megathread: Senate enters "Vote-a-Rama" on: July 27, 2017, 01:21:52 pm
Quote
Chad Pergram‏Verified account
@ChadPergram

Cornyn indicates that health care plan will pass tonight

Cornyn's optimistic claims have blown up several times in this debacle. He always claims victory to make it seem inevitable. Let's hope that happens again.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump approval ratings thread 1.1 on: July 27, 2017, 10:20:33 am
Can we get back on-topic?
50  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: North Carolina Legislative Redistricting on: July 27, 2017, 09:23:59 am
The NC legislature is being taken to court (again!) about their slow-walking their constitutional responsibilities. It will be interesting to see what sanctions come down, if any.

https://www.apnews.com/0553c981d6094ac99e9cd2b5859b07cb
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 580


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines