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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 11:02:47 pm
Uh? KY and LA were always considered to be Drumpf territory. Pretty sure he was expected to beat Cruz by 10+ in each.

True, but only since he did so well on Super Tuesday. LA was going to be part of Cruz's base like AL and GA.
27  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Flint's water issues on: March 05, 2016, 08:22:37 am
I don't know.  All I do know is that it's silly and wrong to only blame Snyder and the Michigan GOP for this,

Snyder and the Michigan GOP made the decision to disregard many health warnings and threats about the water and continue to poison the people of the city because "they don't vote for us anyway." This is completely a political issue.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanderistas pissed at Warren for not endorsing. on: March 05, 2016, 08:19:23 am
They're right. If she really cares about the issues she purports to care, she should have endorsed Bernie. The fact that she hasn't suggest she's giving more importance to her personal ambition.

Warren realizes Clinton is going to be the nominee and that endorsing Bernie would be throwing away her power without changing the outcome. Holding out preserves her leverage to get commitments from Clinton on her issues until an endorsement later in the general election season.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess whom Caitlyn Jenner supports? on: March 04, 2016, 04:03:37 pm
http://www.starwipe.com/article/caitlyn-jenner-able-look-past-ted-cruzs-lgbt-hate--2180

Quote
In a heartwarming story reminding us of the importance of looking past someone’s sexual-orientation bigotry to see the money-loving person within, Caitlyn Jenner says she would gladly serve as “trans ambassador” for a President Ted Cruz, despite his long public record of vitriol against LGBT people. It’s an embrace of Cruz that, superficially, seems to go against Jenner’s personal beliefs that LGBT people such as her shouldn’t be treated like garbage. But it speaks to her inspiring ability to recognize that, deep down, she and Cruz both have love in their heart for being rich—and that’s what matters most.

“I like Ted Cruz. I think he’s very conservative and a great constitutionalist and a very articulate man,” Jenner says in a new interview with The Advocate, though she stops short of officially endorsing him. “I also think, he’s an evangelical Christian, and probably one of the worst ones when it comes to trans issues.”
30  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Vice-chair of Travis County GOP tries to remove twitter troll elected Chair on: March 03, 2016, 12:00:19 pm
I don't believe forum rules allow me to quote Morrow's response:

http://www.texastribune.org/2016/03/02/newly-elected-gop-chair-texas-capitol/

Why does he have Mamie Eisenhower's bangs?
31  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: State rep, county party chariman etc. said something stupid - The Megathread on: March 03, 2016, 11:59:21 am
I feel like this one deserves its own thread, but whatever.

I agree! Smiley

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=231083.msg4949141#new
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 02, 2016, 01:50:22 pm
Donald Trump received 31% of the vote in Weston, 25% of the vote in Cambridge, 26.5% of the vote in Brookline, 30% of the vote in Needham etc. To be fair, these results aren't exactly representative of the residents of these townships, they're representative of the few Republicans who live in these townships and I have no idea what kind of person identifies as a Republican and lives in Newton or Brookline.

Probably a fair number of Orthodox Jews but I have no clue how they'd vote.
33  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Vice-chair of Travis County GOP tries to remove twitter troll elected Chair on: March 02, 2016, 01:38:56 pm
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/robert-morrow-travis-county-gop

Quote
The vice chair of the Republican Party in Travis County, Texas wants to remove the newly-elected chairman of the chapter from his post over comments he tweeted Tuesday about the Clintons having sex and jailing members of the Bush family.

Robert Morrow won the position with 54 percent of the vote, according to the Texas Tribune. GOP strategist Matt Mackowiak, the local party's vice chair, tweeted shortly after Morrow's win that he was "exploring" options to remove him before he takes over that position in June:
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dem turnout down 30% from supertuesday 2008 on: March 02, 2016, 12:10:19 pm
Turnout in my Dem-heavy city was about 2/3 of general election turnout in 2012. Not bad.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 08:42:43 am
I was voter #130 at my 85% Dem precinct, where I expect Bernie to run strong, and the new voting machines now offer projected turnout. They project 590 voters, which compares to 1657 in the 2012 General Election. Unfortunately I can't find the 2008 primary election results online, needless to say those won't be matched.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING Gabbard resigns from DNC and endorses Bernie on: February 28, 2016, 10:28:44 am
Whether or not she thinks Bernie would be a better candidate, if this kamikaze move indicates her political judgment it is probably better for the DNC to have her as a backbencher...
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will South Carolina end up as Sanders's worst primary state? on: February 28, 2016, 08:48:56 am
I would expect Mississippi or Arkansas to be more lopsided.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Neocons looking to support Hillary in a Hillary vs Trump race on: February 28, 2016, 08:45:18 am
My greatest unhappiness with Clinton, who doesn't seem to have learned from the mistakes of the last 15 years which she took an active part in.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: McConnell Preps GOP Senators to Split from Trump on: February 27, 2016, 03:00:06 pm
He must have some great resume formatting tips for Kelly Ayotte...
40  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Two-way partisan registration by county, 2015-2016 on: February 27, 2016, 02:57:49 pm

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney

mds32 speaks about official party registration, not how the people vote. It was (and partially is) a norm in the South, when vast majority of county residents (in some cases - 80% and above) were registered as Democrats (and elected conservative Democrats for local offices), while voting above 70% Republican in presidential (and, later, Congressional) elections.

Um, yes. I was adding the voting records to highlight that point.
41  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Two-way partisan registration by county, 2015-2016 on: February 26, 2016, 09:10:10 pm

Switched to GOP
Baker, FL - 78% Romney
Bradford, FL - 70% Romney
Columbia, FL - 68% Romney
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The LGBT vote in Dem primary? on: February 26, 2016, 02:09:19 pm
My friends are all over the board and are siding with Sanders or Clinton for reasons having nothing to do with gay issues. Either you want a revolution and to shake things up or you think Clinton is competent and the best leader. My closest friends are all supporting Clinton or not provoking me by saying otherwise.
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Southern States Challenging Gay Marriage in Name of Religious Liberty on: February 23, 2016, 06:28:54 pm
Shua: think about how angry and upset this disagreement makes you feel.

Now imagine how you would feel if you were actually denied the right to marry.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Trump do a Reagan and win over 400 electoral votes? on: February 23, 2016, 09:41:18 am
Trump is strong in new england and the democratic turnout machine is on the floor.

He's strong among New England Republicans, which is not a path to actually winning.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: MA-Emerson College: Dems tied, Trump 50% on: February 23, 2016, 08:52:04 am
Do they mention the sample size of Republican voters in MA-7? They can probably fit in my car.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Major GOP donors to pressure Kasich to drop out in the next few days on: February 23, 2016, 08:32:28 am
Considering Kasich's record of accomplishment compared to Marco's, he can laugh in their faces.
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is Cornel West the Left's Alex Jones? on: February 22, 2016, 04:57:09 pm
What exactly is wrong with Cornel West? I know very little about him.

A reasonably well-known and media-savvy African-American philosopher/academic who is critical of Obama and has been for some time. Left-wing, not right-wing.
48  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: The Swimg State Project: Where People were born in Presidential Swing States on: February 22, 2016, 09:31:57 am
1 in 5 Nevadans born in California is amazing.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who had a worse night- Rubio NH or Cruz SC? on: February 21, 2016, 06:26:21 pm
It took a full court press from the Republican establishment in South Carolina to push Rubio just a bit past Cruz. It remains to be seen if this boost in SC also carries over into other southern states where Cruz is leading and where there is no time and probably no inclination for the governor to intervene.

You are assuming that the Rubio uptick mostly came from Trump voters. Their respective demographic bases are quite different. I suspect most of his uptick came out of the hides of Jeb and Kasich myself.

I agree with you that Rubio took some votes away from Jeb and from Kasich when Haley consolidated behind his campaign, and that got him up from the trough he was in after NH to the low 20s. However, what having Trump and Rubio train their guns on Cruz did was push him below Rubio, thereby making Rubio's score more impressive as a 2nd place.

The "second choice" of candidates is really quite mixed. I can't find one from SC, and there are certainly many iterations, but this poll from a month ago showed both Trump and Rubio drawing votes from Cruz as a second choice. I expect that's why both Trump and Rubio shook the Cruz tree to knock loose some fruit.

Rubio still has some upside from Kasich and Bush supporters moving forward; but he may not get the same chance to knock Cruz down that he had in SC.

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/poll-trump-leads-when-it-comes-second-choice-cruz-top
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb Bush Facing Pressure to Endorse Marco Rubio on: February 21, 2016, 06:18:42 pm
Only if Rubio gives back the sword of Chang.
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