Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 01, 2015, 12:50:38 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 538
26  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: FL: Rereredistricting on: July 11, 2015, 07:21:18 am
What would be the political breakdown of that new FL-3? I know the FL Rs have long attempted to split or otherwise minimize the influence of Gainesville and even smaller towns like Palatka - does one that largely contains both have any potential for a Dem pickup?

A large majority of the population lives in Marion County and Clay County (just SW of Jax). Clay Couty is hyper Republican and Marion County is solidly Republican. Alachua will be drowned out.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: July 10, 2015, 10:17:01 am
The article we've all been looking for:

In wake of historic redistricting decision, here are maps! maps! maps! detailing the possible changes
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: July 10, 2015, 10:09:12 am
I wonder if there's any chance the legislative Republicans will draw a one-precinct-wide connector from Tampa to the solid Democratic section of Pinellas County just to keep Jolly safe without "crossing Tampa Bay."
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Michigan Gov. 2018 (PPP) - Democrats lead most matchups on: July 10, 2015, 10:06:50 am
This would be a good state to end one-party redistricting in.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: July 10, 2015, 10:06:18 am
Beating Rick Scott was a sure thing too, and look what happened to that.

When Crist carried Pinellas by eleven points?

He didn't campaign exclusively in Pinellas county. There's a difference between winning a congressional district or county in a Gubernatorial race and winning it on a Congressional level.

And there's a difference between running in a 2014 electorate and a presidential electorate. At a general level "there are no sure things" is hard to disprove, but the 2014 loss to Rick Scott isn't the last word.
31  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Republicans Are Too Angry About Gay Marriage on: July 10, 2015, 09:50:04 am
It's a good piece from Jack Hunter, but I'd say left-liberals are too angry over gay marriage too, given they are willing to drive people out of their homes over it.  

The bakers were fined $135,000 not for refusing to bake a cake for a same-sex couple, but because they shared the contact info of the two women and their children publicly, exposing them to threats of violence against them and their property. Take a few minutes and read the ruling.

I don't think this couple should get a free pass out of court costs and damages for violating the privacy of their customers because you approve of their reasons for originally refusing to serve them.  
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: July 10, 2015, 08:39:21 am
Corinne Brown released a statement criticizing the court's decision. What exactly is her problem? The seat would still be safe Democratic.

With the current district, she is guaranteed to a) never have a primary challenge and b) never have a viable general election challenge. It can only go downhill from here.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: July 10, 2015, 08:38:00 am
Crist is an opportunist, not a lunatic. He'd run as a D or I and win.
34  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: FL: Rereredistricting on: July 09, 2015, 07:29:35 pm

Is FLOTUS still packed with result oriented Dems?

I was thinking just that. (Well, not exactly in those terms.) But there hasn't been a Democratic governor in 17 years!
35  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: FL: Rereredistricting on: July 09, 2015, 03:16:39 pm
This could be the plaintiffs' proposal... the names are the same... but I'm not certain.

http://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Redistricting/Plan/SPUBC0170
36  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / FL: Rereredistricting on: July 09, 2015, 03:04:00 pm
The Florida Supreme Court has thrown out Corrine Brown's district, Jolly's and Cantor's in Tampa Bay, and several in South Florida as violating the redistricting amendment.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/stateroundup/florida-supreme-court-orders-new-congressional-map-with-eight-districts-to/2236734

Interestingly, they're saying that FL-5 should be redrawn as east-west rather than north-south. I guess the compromise to clean up Orlando and Sanford lines didn't go far enough.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Forum Democrats Rejoice: Alan Grayson Running for Senate in Florida on: July 09, 2015, 02:49:44 pm
Grayson who? I can't hear over the chatter about Trump on tv.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb Bush: People Should Work Longer Hours on: July 09, 2015, 06:10:47 am
Things not to say when you're a slacker who was born rich.

Again, he was saying that people should be working full time because under Obama, we have a part-time economy.

And when President Obama said "you didn't build that," he was referring to the infrastructure needed to sustain small businesses which is paid for by taxes.

If you're explaining, you're losing.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 House Ratings: Nowhere But Up From Here on: July 08, 2015, 06:35:47 pm
What's the student population in the 24th district? You're going to see an exaggerated swing between off-year and regular electorates there. I think that either anti-Bush or the first Obama wave even knocked off a Republican state senator there.

About 21,000 students attend Syracuse University. How many of them actually vote is another matter.

True, but the popular conception at least is that they showed up against Bush twice (04, '06) and for Obama twice, just not in 2010 or 2014.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 House Ratings: Nowhere But Up From Here on: July 08, 2015, 01:25:40 pm
What's the student population in the 24th district? You're going to see an exaggerated swing between off-year and regular electorates there. I think that either anti-Bush or the first Obama wave even knocked off a Republican state senator there.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 GOP chance to win back White House on: July 08, 2015, 07:40:51 am
40%.
42  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Amash on: July 04, 2015, 09:11:43 am
No chance of any higher office.
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Obama be remembered in the top 10 of Presidents? on: July 02, 2015, 08:39:39 am
If one considers gay marriage a noteworthy success, how much credit does Obama really deserve? He appointed Sotomeyor, but any Democrat would've appointed a 5th vote justice. It's like giving Ike credit for the Brown school desegregation decision.

I give him credit for endorsing same-sex marriage in 2012 and helping swing the results in the 4 referenda that fall, which no doubt helped ease the court toward approval.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Why won't a Republican become the anti-Trump? on: July 02, 2015, 08:13:18 am
Trump's statements against Mexican-Americans have hurt him very much with his business partners and among the general public which already had a low opinion of him. However, what's also clear is that within a highly fragmented Republican field, he's earning a John Rocker-like bounce among voters who think he's "telling the truth" and who already think he's a successful business man.

He's bounced up to a lofty 10-11%, but that's enough to stand out where there's no frontrunner. I'm pretty sure Trump is upside down on approvals even among Republican voters.

Trump is unquestionably bad for the Republican brand and will hurt the eventual candidate. My question: why isn't a candidate like Bush or Rubio casting himself as the anti-Trump? How hard would it be to mouth reasonable conservative positions on issues like immigration while slamming Trump for his language, his ridiculous racist statements about rapists, and his negative attitude toward Mexican-Americans? It seems like there's a ready niche there and that a lot of Republicans would support someone willing to be the grown-up here while still maintaining the party's positions.
45  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tennessee Hardware Store puts up "no gays allowed" sign on: July 02, 2015, 08:09:00 am
Good to see the idiot owner adopting a somewhat more reasonable policy.  I'm still confused on how the selling of hardware has anything to do with homosexuality.

Doing business with someone can be considered endorsing their lifestyle choice, and also expose other customers with traditional values to a lifestyle choice they disagree with and which conflicts with their faith. We have to respect the freedom of conscience of the other customers of the store and members of the community who do not with to be implicated in sin nor have their children unexpectedly encounter people who are gay and get the wrong message about what's ok and not ok. What he's doing is legal, as others have said, and we have to consider this a legitimate expression of his religious faith (whatever that happens to be.)
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tennessee Hardware Store puts up "no gays allowed" sign on: July 01, 2015, 08:49:22 pm
Who will be the first Republican candidate to make a pilgrimage to the store? Looking on a map, this is a very isolated spot.
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tennessee Hardware Store puts up "no gays allowed" sign on: July 01, 2015, 07:47:00 pm
Can someone tell me why one would care what the sexual orientation of your customers is?

Some people think that selling goods, food, etc. to gays is a violation of their religious faith and requiring them to engage in a blasphemous act.
48  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tennessee Hardware Store puts up "no gays allowed" sign on: July 01, 2015, 12:57:50 pm
His freedom of religion protects this expression of his spirituality and faith. You can't ask him to take down this sign, it's like asking an orthodox Jew to feed bacon to his baby.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Democrats reacting negatively; Republicans reacting positively? on: July 01, 2015, 12:19:46 pm
So was his Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito:

Quote
As I celebrated 20th wedding anniv this week, I'm happy that marriage is available now to all couples across our country #MarriageEquaility

As a legislator, she was very anti-gay during the fight for marriage equality. She left that all behind when she joined Baker's team.
50  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Oklahoma Justices order 10 Commandments Monument Removed on: July 01, 2015, 08:37:38 am
What I've got they used to call the blues
Nothin' is really wrong
Feelin' like I don't belong
Walkin' around
Some kind of lonely clown

Don't let yourself get too upset about this.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 538


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines