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News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: April 18, 2012, 07:45:08 am
polls trends seems clear : MLP will be close-to-close with NS sunday.

Maybe a final FH-MLP?
52  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: I am so proud. on: April 11, 2012, 04:37:24 am
our political system again to see a good man with no money or organization go head to head with a behemoth


obviously, no. Money had win, again.
53  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:17:43 pm



forgive me, it's only a joke against IWVFOIIMNTN Wink
54  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:14:03 pm
Romney wins DC, all 19 delegates.  CNN

Cheesy


Obama wins USA, 379 delegates.  CNN

Cheesy
55  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:13:02 pm
nice : I know now were is the famous city of US Football : green bay

http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/wi
56  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:08:19 pm
pretty name!
57  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:03:02 pm
MR 43% pfff, 'going to bed :/

In the exit polls.


even. 8 points lead is too much for make suspense (and the previous polls said romney win too, so I dont bet 1 guatemala dollar than santorum will win)
58  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 08:00:53 pm
MR 43% pfff, 'going to bed :/
59  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 07:58:13 pm
By the way, why DC is so democratic?

It's filled with government employees.




funny, in a way, when you think 150 years ago, the republican were federalist and the democrats were "statists" (confederalists?)
60  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: April 3 states (WI, MD, DC) results thread on: April 03, 2012, 07:55:49 pm
By the way, why DC is so democratic?
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: April 03, 2012, 07:53:06 pm
at this point, we have an (awful) final between delano-the-myth-of-new deal and ronnie-the-friend-of-the-richs :/
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: April 01, 2012, 10:22:30 am
(the votes for the 1st round will be close in 7 days, so, sunday 8)
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: April 01, 2012, 10:21:00 am
at the date of sunday, 17h20

1   ROOSEVELT   31,82   %
2   LINCOLN   13,64   %
3   REAGAN   13,64   %
4   WASHINGTON   9,09   %
5   JEFFERSON   9,09   %
6   PAUL   4,55   %
7   TEDDY R.   4,55   %
8   TRUMAN   4,55   %
9   EISENHOWER   4,55   %
10   NIXON   4,55   %
11   KENNEDY   0   %
12   WILSON   0   %

64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: Battle of the Extremists! Bernie Sanders (I-VT) vs Ron Paul (R-TX) on: April 01, 2012, 10:02:57 am
i would like to play, but i don"t know at all who is bernie sanders (ok, going to wiki)
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: April 01, 2012, 10:01:06 am
Theodore Roosevelt wins a write-in vote with 137% of the vote. Smiley



oops, very sorry, i have forgot teddy Sad
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: April 01, 2012, 09:59:55 am
Write-in: Harry Truman.

Ya. If we're talking good Presidents, Wilson & Nixon should be out, & Truman & TR would be welcome additions.



truman? the war-criminal ?
67  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Bradford West by-election - 29th March on: April 01, 2012, 09:51:52 am
@comrade : dont despise blackburn : one day, the red rose of lancashire will rule the kingdom again Wink
68  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: March 31, 2012, 03:04:20 pm
Can you post it in French?

ce soir, dans le sondage quotidien de l'IFOP-MEDEF, total gauches 44%

ce chiffre me semble à la fois très faible, après 10 ans de sarkozysme, et bien haut, étant donné les résultats catastrophiques des gauches à toutes les présidentielles, période 74-88 exceptée


hollande devrait faire le score habituel du candidat PS, entre 22 et 25%

reste entre 18 et 23% pour le reste des gauches selon les deux hypothèses (hollande à 22 ou 25, gauches à 40 ou 45)


si bayrou reste à 10, reste 50 % entre sarko, MLP et dupont.

10 des 30 pts de sarko de 2007 venaient de l'EXD. Il semble pour le moment avoir réussi une fois de plus à les séduire, ce qui laisse MLP à 20 ou 15 (hypothèse non-gauches à 60 ou à 55)

pour sarko, si les gauches font 45, ça tombe à 25.

Si 50 % des sarko-frontistes de 2007 reviennent chez MLP, ça donne sarko 25 (gauches à 40%) ou sarko 20 (gauches à 45%), et MLP 20 (gauches à 40%) ou 25 (gauches à 45%)



bon, là, je tiens pas compte des machines électroniques à voter, deubeulou-like, qui sont évidemment là pour frauder.


Autre hypothèse, un effrondrement de hollande et une montée de méluche. Laissons 5 % aux débris de la gauche de la gauche (artaud, poutou, joly), on a soit 40 soit 35 % à se partager entre les deux candidats.

Le PS est le parti aux scores les plus instables de l'histoire électorale. Donc on pourrait hypothétiquement avoir 20/20 entre les deux, voire 25-15 avantage mélenchon, mais ça m'étonnerait quand même.


Bref, bayrou me semble out du jeu. En 2007, il avait profité du rejet massif de royal de la part d'un bon nombre de gens de gauche et du rejet du discours droitier de sarko.

Mais les 4 autres peuvent se qualifier. Seule finale impossible : hollande vs mélenchon.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / THE GIANTEST ELECTION : back from the grave on: March 30, 2012, 05:57:07 pm
rules : 2 rounds. The 1st and the 2nd goes to final round.
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2012: the official thread on: March 30, 2012, 05:44:10 pm
carfeful : this note is a google translation. Apologize by advance for this ugly english


Tonight, in the daily IFOP poll : 44% total left

this figure seems both very low, after 10 years of Sarkozyism, and very high, given the catastrophic results of the left all presidential period except 74-88


Holland should be the candidate's usual PS score between 22 and 25%

remains between 18 and 23% for the rest of the left according to the two hypotheses (holland at 22 or 25, left at 40 or 45)


if bayrou remains at 10, still 50% between Sarko, MLP and dupont.

10 of 30 pts sarko of 2007 came from the EXD. It seems for now to have succeeded once again to win them over, leaving MLP to 20 or 15 (assuming non-left at 60 or 55)

for Sarko, if the left are 45, it drops to 25.

If 50% of Sarko-Frontists the 2007 MLP return home, it gives sarko 25 (40% left) or sarko 20 (45% left), and MLP 20 (40% left) or 25 (45% left)



good, then I would not consider the electronic machines to vote, deubeulou-like, which are obviously there to defraud.


Another hypothesis, a collapse of Holland and rising méluche. Let 5% of the debris left from the left (artaud, Poutou, joly) was either 40 or 35% to be divided between the two candidates.

The PS is the party scores the most volatile electoral history. So we could hypothetically have 20/20 between the two, or even 25-15 advantage Mélenchon, but I doubt it anyway.


In short, bayrou seems out of the game in 2007, he took advantage of the massive rejection of royal from a lot of people left and  rejection of Sarko's right-handed speech.

But the other four can qualify. Only final not: Holland vs Mélenchon.
71  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Republicans.... on: March 26, 2012, 05:34:36 am
balance the budget



no one can do that.
72  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Are you better off than 4 years ago on: March 26, 2012, 05:31:33 am
http://www.shadowstats.com/


(note :  this is not an anti-obama site. sh**t began with deubeulyou )
73  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Who wins the Wisconsin Primary? on: March 25, 2012, 11:09:56 am
I don't find his profile
74  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Who wins the Wisconsin Primary? on: March 25, 2012, 11:00:48 am
Too bad TexasGurl isn't here to provide us with her insight on this state.  Sad


is there a good site wich explain the particularity of each 50 states (politic tradition, cook, religion, ethnicity, etc? )
75  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Who wins the Wisconsin Primary? on: March 25, 2012, 10:21:39 am
I'm like you, argentarius.

I only know green bay packers (but don't knowed about cheese. There are REALLY US cheese???) and the fact that Wisc. is a "nordic state", with labor-dem tradition, near like minnesota. Religiously, they are, I think lutherian, something like that.

Well, really don't know a lot about this state
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