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526  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 13, 2012, 12:46:51 pm
New polls:

Yisrael Hayom:


Likud Beitenu: 39
Labour: 19
Shas: 12
JH-NU: 10
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 9
UTJ: 5
Meretz: 4
RAAM-TAAL: 4
Hadash: 4
Balad: 3
Kadima: 2

Kol Israel:


Likud Beitenu: 39
Labour: 19
JH-NU: 10
Shas: 10
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 9
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 4
Balad: 4
Hadash: 4
Am Shalem: 3
RAAM-TAAL: 3

Knesset channel:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 18
JH-NU: 13
Shas: 9
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 7
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 5
RAAM-TAAL: 5
Hadash: 4
Otzma Leisrael: 3
Balad: 2
Am Shalem: 2
527  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Uruguay House Approves Gay Marriage Bill; even conservatives voted for it on: December 13, 2012, 12:31:16 pm
Good news.
528  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 12, 2012, 11:31:11 am
It's interesting that Livni is viewed as a likelier winner than Yachimovich...I really think with a good campaign Hatnuah could place second, ahead of Labour.

I don't think the difference between 6% to 4% is particularly meaningful.
529  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws on: December 11, 2012, 04:31:35 pm

Again, Blacks are more supportive of gay marriage than Whites, just like in GA.

I wonder how this would look like in non-southern states.
530  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws on: December 11, 2012, 02:40:21 pm
South Carolina (PPP)

Q10 Do you think same-sex marriage should be allowed, or not?
It should be allowed 27%
It should not ........... .62%
Not sure ................. .10%

Q11 Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

25% - Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry
29% - Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry
43% - There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship
4% - Not sure

So it looks like if it weren't for the fact that likely any Republican who voted for it would get primaried, civil unions would be passable in South Carolina.

I doubt it, people who say they support civil unions but not marriage usually vote against civil unions when it comes up.
531  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Would you go to a church if it was giving out free pot to first time visitors? on: December 10, 2012, 02:49:04 pm
No. I don't go to church, pray or smoke pot. So there is no incentive at all for me in this.
532  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 10, 2012, 09:50:29 am
Poll from Haaretz:

Likud Beitenu: 39
Labour: 17
Shas: 12
JH-NU: 11
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 6
UTJ: 6
RAAM-TAAL: 5
Hadash: 4
Balad: 3
Meretz: 3
Am Shalem: 3
Kadima: 2

who do you think is more suitable to be PM?

Bibi: 64%
Livni: 24%
Don't know: 12%
---------------------
Bibi: 64%
Shelly: 17%
Don't know: 19%

Who do you think will be the next PM:

Bibi: 81%
Livni: 6%
Shelly: 4%
Don't know: 9%
533  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 10, 2012, 09:36:03 am
Poll amongst "Russians" only:

Likud Beitenu: 68%
The Movement: 9%
Labour, Kadima, Yesh Atid, Jewish Home: 4%
Shas: 3%
Meretz: 2%
UTJ: 1%
534  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Meanwhile in Oklahoma... on: December 08, 2012, 08:35:45 am
We need to find a way to saw off Oklahoma and let it float out to sea.

I take it you'd prefer he be indefinitely detained.

(Atheist South-skeptic here, by the by.)

Someone convicted of manslaughter should go to jail, yes.
535  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 07, 2012, 05:47:43 pm
On the Orthodox Jewish thing, what drift do I have to catch?

I think they mean Ashkenazi (but don't take it too seriously).
536  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 07, 2012, 05:41:49 pm
Poll from channel 1:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 19
JH-NU: 12
The Movement: 12
Shas: 11
Yesh Atid: 7
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 4
RAAM-TAAL: 4
Hadash: 4
Balad: 3
Otzma Leisrael: 2

So it looks like the defection of peretz has helped Livni somewhat.
537  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 07, 2012, 04:57:58 am
I can't seem to find HaTnuah's list anywhere...

1) Tzipi Livni
2) Amram Mitzna
3) Amir Peretz
4) Elazar Shtern
5) Meir Sheetrit
6) David Tzur
7) Yoel Hasson
8 ) Shlomo Molla
9) Meirav Cohen
10) Orit Zuaretz
11) Aharon Valensi
12) Majalli Wahabi
13) Alon Tal
14) Robert Tiviaev
15) Avner Ben Zaken
538  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 06:29:31 pm
What is the Green Leaf-Israeli Freedom movement?

Marijuana legalization.
539  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 05:33:26 pm
In case you were wondering who to vote for.

540  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 05:10:40 pm
The deadline to submit the lists is over now, so the defections and speculations about new parties will be over now.

A total of 34 parties have submitted their lists and will run in the elections. Up from 33 in the previous elections.
541  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 02:20:44 pm
I doubt it will have any significant effect.
542  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 02:13:14 pm
and two more polls.

Knesset channel:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 19
JH-NU: 12
Shas: 10
Yesh Atid: 8
The Movement: 6
UTJ: 5
Meretz: 5
Am Shalem: 3
Otzma Leyisrael: 3
Kadima: 2
"Arab parties": 11

Reshet Bet:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 20
JH-NU: 11
Shas: 10
Yesh Atid: 9
The Movement: 9
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 3
Otzma Leyisrael: 3
Am Shalem: 2
"Arab parties": 11
543  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 01:13:35 pm
A recent poll by channel 10 (taken before the Peretz defection):

Likud Beitenu: 37
Labour: 20
JH-NU: 11
Shas: 10
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 7
UTJ: 6
RAAM-TAAL: 5
Meretz: 4
Am Shalem: 3
Balad: 3
Hadash: 3
Kadima: 2
544  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 06:04:37 am
Also this election will now have two former leaders of the Labour party running in Livni's party (Mitzna and Peretz). That is on top of two other former leaders who have left their party recently (Barak and Peres).
545  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 06, 2012, 04:46:04 am
The musical chairs in this election is amusing as ever. This case is especially amusing as Peretz ran in 2006 focusing on economic issues, and is now leaving the party because the new leader is doing the same.

This adds to the irony of Livni using the "Mofaz law" (called that way as it was designed to help Mofaz leave the Livni led Kadima) to get public funding instead of Kadima.
546  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 04, 2012, 11:06:42 am
Also, MK Taleb el-Sana will leave RAAM-TAAL and run with his own party.

Apparently he changed his mind despite being pushed down to number 5 on the RAAM-TAAL list.
547  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Are you religious?/Were you raised religious? on: December 04, 2012, 11:02:19 am
No/ Kind of, my parents dragged me to the synagogue when I was a child, but they saw it mostly as a tradition, and are not particularly religious themselves.
548  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Malcolm Smith to join IDC/GOP New York State Senate coalition on: December 04, 2012, 10:52:10 am
The New York senate democrats are pathetic.
549  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 03, 2012, 06:03:12 pm
Also, MK Taleb el-Sana will leave RAAM-TAAL and run with his own party.
550  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: December 03, 2012, 05:53:34 pm
A poll was taken of first time voters only (people who were too young to vote in the last elections):

On the question of whether the consider themselves right/left:

49% right
20% centre leaning right
9% centre leaning left
5% left

Preference for prime minister:

Netanyahu: 32%
Bennet: 11%
Livni: 11%

Will you vote in the upcoming elections?

Definite yes: 61%
Probably yes: 26%
Probably no: 6%
Definitely no: 1%
Don't know: 6%

Knesset seats:

Likud Beitenu: 39
Labour: 17
JH-NU: 15
Yesh Atid: 11
Shas: 10
UTJ: 4
Otzma Leisrael: 4
Hadash: 4
The Movement: 3
The Green Movement: 3
Meretz: 3
RAAM-TAAL: 3
Am Shalem: 2
Balad: 2
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