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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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526  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 06:21:31 pm
A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

I didn't say that those would be the only parties.

Hatnuah or UTJ/Shas in addition?

I said without the Shas/UTJ, so Hatnuah and/or Labour.
527  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 06:12:49 pm
A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

I didn't say that those would be the only parties.
528  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 06:08:09 pm
What's your reaction to the results Danny?

If the coalition includes Likud, Lapid and JH, and without the Haredi parties, I will be happy.
529  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 06:00:21 pm
On this page: http://www.votes-19.gov.il/nationalresults

What does the percentage in the center of the top bar mean? It seems to fluctuate up and down with every report.

I think it's the turnout at the polling places that were counted.
530  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 05:11:01 pm
Live results in English.
531  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 05:03:38 pm
This link has results which are tiny compared to the number of votes cast.  Is this slow on purpose?

Live election results in Hebrew, I'll update an English link if I find one.

Give it time, they should finish overnight.
532  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 04:46:11 pm
Presuming that these exit polls are accurate (which is presuming a lot) most of the international coverage of the election is going to look pretty fycking hilarious.

The international media will be just fine. Never let reality affect the narrative.

True, true. Though I meant the coverage before the election.

To be fair to the media, if the exit polls are correct, the pre-election polling was poor, and the media's narrative was mostly based on the polls.

The polls were not necessarily wrong, merely out of date. The last polls was last week and things have changed since then.
533  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 04:03:49 pm
Sorry to jump on this old post, but I just learned from my friends in my company's Tel Aviv office that today is actually a holiday for the elections.  So there is no issue of people voting after work.  Right ?

55.5% voted until 18:00, 5.2% more than 2009.

Looking at the turnout chart on the previous page, it really depends how many people vote after work.

Turnout could be anywhere between 69% and 79%.

Yes, I'm a student right now, and college was canceled today as well.
534  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 03:52:01 pm
It is 9:46PM in Tel Aviv now.  Will they finish the count tonight or will this drag out to tomorrow?

Yes, they will finish counting almost all the votes (except for soldiers votes) tonight, although it's an hour later than you think.
535  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 03:49:12 pm
Live election results in Hebrew, I'll update an English link if I find one.
536  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 02:53:05 pm
Journalists are hinting at a surprisingly good result for Lapid.
537  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 02:44:05 pm
I was just thinking that since Kadima and Whole Nation have a voter surplus agreement, and both are so close to the threshold, it's actually almost certain that at least one of them will make it (if I'm understanding the election system right).

At the moment, Kadima has the more momentum between the two, so it's very likely Shaul Mofaz and probably Yisrael Hasson will make it back into the Knesset.

It doesn't work that way, a voter surplus agreement only counts if both parties pass the threshold.
538  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 01:51:02 pm
Yes, an hour and 10 minutes from now.
539  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 01:32:09 pm
63.7% voted until 20:00, 4% more than 2009:

540  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 12:54:59 pm
Likud fears it may score only 31 seats in light of party's low voter turnout. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Haaretz late Tuesday afternoon that voter turnout in Likud strongholds around Israel were low, highlighting the growing fear within his party that it may be crashing in the election. As the evening wore on, Netanyahu was continuing his efforts to awaken Likud voters across the country.
Could be a ploy to get Likud voters to come out.

It is a ploy, but it may be true anyway. Bibi spent a lot of the elections trying to convince people that he hasn't won yet.
541  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 11:51:32 am
BTW: Danny, who did you vote for ?

Jewish Home, but my family voted Lapid.
542  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 11:39:01 am
55.5% voted until 18:00, 5.2% more than 2009.
543  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Areas where Romney won Jews and Obama won white evangelicals on: January 22, 2013, 09:46:42 am
Williamsburg is the answer, but I don't think there are many Evangelical Christians there.
544  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 09:30:21 am
46.6% voted until 16:00, 4.7% more than 2009.
545  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 08:57:59 am
It is interesting that all media seems to report that this is a lackluster campaign with low enthusiasm.  But turnout seems to be significantly higher than 2009.

Yeah, the media doesn't seem to know these kinds of things.
546  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 08:06:01 am
38.3% voted until 14:00, 4.3% more than 2009.
547  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 07:09:11 am
Any place to follow the results when they come in, preferably in English?

I imagine all the Israeli news sites will have a result page, bot they haven't posted them yet.
548  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 05:56:37 am
I'm back from voting, no line at all, so I went right in.

26.7% voted until 12:00, still highest since 1999, now 3.3% more than 2009.
549  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 22, 2013, 05:12:33 am
Election day is finally here Smiley

Turnout is 11.4% until 10:00, the highest since 1999 and 1.1% higher than 2009:
550  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Israeli General Election 2013 on: January 18, 2013, 02:52:49 pm
The deadline for polls has passed, and there was a flood of polls, I don't have time to write them all here but here is someone who compiled most of them:
http://knessetjeremy.com/
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