Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2014, 08:17:40 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 78
1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Game of Thrones on: Today at 03:48:09 am
I have not read the book where the Purple Wedding occurs, but my understanding is that while the identities of Joffrey's killers are eventually made pretty clear, there is ambiguity as to how deep the conspiracy runs.  So it will be interesting to see what angle the show takes.  The entire wedding was very well executed by the cast and crew.

Note that the writers made Joff as unsympathetic as possible right up to the end.  The "War of the Five Kings" show he put on managed to be deeply offensive to almost all the major characters present at the Purple Wedding.  The all dwarf actors were an insult to Tyrion, the lampooning of Renly was an insult to Loras (his lover), Margaery (his queen), Brienne (his knight who was also rather in love with him) and Olenna, the mocking of Robb Stark's death was obviously terrible for Sansa.

2  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: April 2014 At-Large Senate Election on: Today at 02:31:54 am
[1] Alfred F. Jones
[2] Adam Griffin
[3] a Person
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Dems lose the Senate in 2014, will they win it back in 2016? on: April 17, 2014, 08:40:30 pm
I could even see one of the Republican congressmen from Washington state defeating Patty Murray.  

That will not happen, especially not in a Presidential year in Washington State.  There is a reason why all of them declined to run against Murray in 2010, a year in which the GOP had perfect political conditions.  Murray would beat them just based on the King County vote alone.  The GOP congresscritters will not be able to separate themselves from the national GOP brand and their 2016 nominee, which will be toxic in a statewide Washington race.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Elizabeth Warren looking more like a candidate? on: April 17, 2014, 08:08:24 pm

When she looks in the mirror, is a potential President looking back at her?

No.  I get that the Republican fantasy is for a Warren run to derail Clinton or at least fatally weaken her for the general election, but it isn't happening.  It's one thing for Clinton to have around a 45-25 lead in 2007 Democratic Primary polls.  Clinton leading Warren 73-9 and 69-6 in 2014 is another matter. 

http://pollingreport.com/wh16dem.htm
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Hillary being pressured into a run or does she really want it? on: April 12, 2014, 08:24:32 pm
This is something I posted from MSNBC recently:

Quote
She no longer holds public office, and she isn’t running a campaign (at least not yet). But Hillary Clinton has had a very busy week on the public stage. On Tuesday, she spoke in Montreal, where she blasted Vladimir Putin. On Wednesday, she addressed the American Jewish Congress gala, where she cast doubt on the U.S. achieving a nuclear deal with Iran ... She also spoke to the Association of American Publishers. And she’ll make an appearance at the Clinton Global Initiative event at Arizona State, which begins today.  So Clinton isn’t running, and we might not have a formal announcement or decision for another year. But ask yourself: Which 2016er did more events than she did this week? While there are plenty of handwringing stories that circulate -- almost weekly now -- about whether she will or won’t run, sometimes you are better off simply looking at what’s in front of you and what’s happening. Hillary Clinton is laying the groundwork, VERY actively. If you look around this week, she has been … everywhere.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/first-thoughts-clintons-busy-week-sends-signals-n58611


These are not the actions of someone disinterested in running for President.  Clinton could also insist that all the PAC activity on her behalf be shut down.  The fact she has not done so is telling.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How many women? on: April 11, 2014, 08:01:20 pm
If Clinton is the Democratic nominee (which seems more likely than not at this point) I believe it ups the chance that the (certain to be male) Republican nominee will consider a female running mate as a counter to her.  This might also apply if Gillibrand or Klobuchar was at the top of the Democratic ticket.  

If the Democratic nominee is a man it is likely he would choose a female running mate, but I think the Republicans would feel less pressure to do the same in that case.

So I'd say the most likely answer is either 1 or 2.  I would be very surprised if it turned out to be zero.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders: "I Am Prepared to Run for President of the United States" on: April 07, 2014, 08:44:31 pm
http://digital.vpr.net/post/sanders-tests-political-waters-new-hampshire

Quote
But Sanders says there are problems running as an Independent. He doesn’t want to be a third party spoiler candidate the way he says that Ralph Nader was in the 2000 election. And he says getting on the ballot in all 50 states is a time consuming and expensive process.

He says one of the benefits of running as a Democrat is that he would be invited to the party’s presidential candidate debates.

“I think it would be harder for the media, the corporate media which doesn’t particularly gravitate to my point of view, to ignore what I have to say if you ran within the two-party system,” said Sanders.

...

Davis doesn’t think Sanders has much of a chance of winning the Democratic nomination. But he says Sanders could have an impact on the 2016 presidential campaign.

“Sanders believes that by pushing Hillary Clinton from the left on a range of issues he may lead to her positions on these issues in a fall campaign being somewhat more progressive than they would be otherwise,” said Davis.

Also, I highly doubt Sanders will run third party. Unlike the suicidal True Leftists on Atlas and the vain egotists like Nader, he understands the importance of compromise and stopping Republicans.

Looks like I was correct. Smiley

Good for Sanders and I think there is something to his analysis about primary politics.  As I said before, we would encourage his presence in the Democratic Primary if he chose to run.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NH-Sen: Scott Brown's flirtation on: April 07, 2014, 07:20:10 pm
This is hysterical.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Question for Hillary Clinton supporters: Do you want a competitive primary? on: April 04, 2014, 09:36:40 pm
The answer to this depends almost entirely on the campaign strategy of her primary challenger(s).  If they run a campaign which focuses on policy issues, then a primary challenge would be good.  If the main campaign strategy is to attack Hillary Clinton (i.e. Edwards in 2008) then no.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Supreme Court tosses aggregate donation limits on: April 03, 2014, 09:52:39 pm
Breyer read his dissent from the bench (only done when a Justice is really upset).  Ginsburg, Sotomayor and Kagan all signed onto it, showing they are speaking with one voice.  This is similar to what the four members of the Court's liberal bloc did in Gonzales v. Carhart, Ledbetter v. Goodyear Tire and the Seattle-Louisville school integration and VRA cases.

Quote
[The majority's] conclusion rests upon its own, not a record-based, view of the facts. Its legal analysis is faulty: It misconstrues the nature of the competing constitutional interests at stake. It understates the importance of protecting the political integrity of our governmental institutions. It creates a loophole that will allow a single individual to contribute millions of dollars to a political party or to a candidate’s campaign. Taken together with Citizens United v. Federal Election Comm’n, today’s decision eviscerates our Nation’s campaign finance laws, leaving a remnant incapable of dealing with the grave problems of democratic legitimacy that those laws were intended to resolve.

More highlights from Breyer's dissent can be read here --

http://blogs.wsj.com/law/2014/04/02/highlights-from-justice-breyers-mccutcheon-dissent/
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: March 2014 At-Large Special Senate Election on: March 29, 2014, 04:27:18 am
[1] Alfred F. Jones of Maine
12  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why are Asian Americans Democrats? on: March 26, 2014, 07:22:02 pm
One other point -- there are presently 11 Asians in Congress and all of them are Democrats.  The GOP does not currently have even one token Asian on their side, as they did in some past years.  While simply putting an Asian face on the same policy isn't going to solve the problem, we shouldn't overlook the power of visual representation.  These Congresscritters are a natural bridge to Asian voters.

Bobby Jindal?

And Nikki Haley?

Although some people don't consider them Asian (though I do).

Yes, Jindal and Haley are two significant Asian Republicans, although my reference was specifically to Congress, where there are currently none.  Also, Louisiana and South Carolina have very small Asian populations.  Many of the Asians in Congress come from areas with a significant number of Asians.
13  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why are Asian Americans Democrats? on: March 25, 2014, 11:36:26 pm
One other point -- there are presently 11 Asians in Congress and all of them are Democrats.  The GOP does not currently have even one token Asian on their side, as they did in some past years.  While simply putting an Asian face on the same policy isn't going to solve the problem, we shouldn't overlook the power of visual representation.  These Congresscritters are a natural bridge to Asian voters.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: March 25, 2014, 12:31:02 am
MSNBC/First Read on Hillary Clinton's recent activities:

Quote
She no longer holds public office, and she isn’t running a campaign (at least not yet). But Hillary Clinton has had a very busy week on the public stage ... while there are plenty of handwringing stories that circulate -- almost weekly now -- about whether she will or won’t run (see the Wall Street Journal piece on close friends and allies unsure if she’ll run, or the Politico article about Clinton freezing the rest of the Democratic field), sometimes you are better off simply looking at what’s in front of you and what’s happening. Hillary Clinton is laying the groundwork, VERY actively. If you look around this week, she has been … everywhere.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/first-thoughts-clintons-busy-week-sends-signals-n58611

15  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why are Asian Americans Democrats? on: March 24, 2014, 02:11:04 pm
My impression is that many immigrants see the category "immigrants" as an important group with which they identify, which then gets supplanted in their American-born children by a race-based way of thinking about their minority status. This is anecdotal rather than systematic, but: as a white Anglophone Canadian, I can essentially "pass" totally as a white American, and no American-raised minority person would think of me as anything other than white. But more than once, I have had the experience of chatting with a person who came to this country from Asia as an adult who doesn't know me well, and when I mention that I'm from Canada, they react with a sympathetic "oh, you're an immigrant (or non-American etc.) too", and then become quite willing to share their experiences as an immigrant, including being open about mixed feelings about their and their children's loss of national identity that I suspect they wouldn't be so quick to share with Americans.

If this is right, it may explain in part why Asians have left the Republican party recently, as opposed to a generation ago. I don't think the Republican party's rhetoric about race is any worse now than it was in the days of welfare queens and Willie Horton. But their rhetoric about immigrants has become worse.

(Edit: just to be clear, this is not intended as a complete answer to the question; I don't deny that the points various others have made here are important).

This is an interesting point, as it is true that the Asian solidification as a Democratic voting bloc is a relatively recent phenomenon.  As the article notes, Clinton only got 36% of the Asian vote in 1992.  In 1996, he lost it to Dole in a much closer showing (48%-44%).  Starting in 2000, Gore, Kerry and Obama (twice) have won the Asian vote, with Obama's 73% in 2012 being the high-water mark so far.

In contrast, Latinos as a whole have not ever really supported Republican presidential candidates, at least not in the last 30 years.  The Democratic boon/GOP problem there is more that Latino voters as a share/percentage of the total electorate have increased dramatically during that time.

16  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Why are Asian Americans Democrats? on: March 20, 2014, 02:40:55 am
Three Asian-American professors conducted a study on this issue.

Quote
In the 2012 presidential election, Barack Obama won 73 percent of the Asian American vote, exceeding his support among Hispanics (71 percent) and women (55 percent). This striking statistic has caused a great deal of consternation among Republicans, who seem generally mystified as to what they might be doing wrong.  The GOP’s confusion comes not only because, in 1992, Bill Clinton captured just 36 percent of the Asian American vote.

So what does explain it? Why don’t Asian Americans lean right?  Our research offers two alternative explanations.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/03/asian-americans-democrats-104763.html#.UyqaAYVN1hc
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ryan to meet with Congressional Black Caucus after botched poverty remarks on: March 19, 2014, 11:38:40 pm
Paul Ryan does not have a clear history of making racist remarks so I'll give him the benefit of the doubt here.  That said, I've seen right-wing politicians make these dog whistles for two decades now.  We'll have to watch his behavior more carefully in the future.

It is both amusing and infuriating how myopic some conservatives on this site are about this issue.  Why do you suppose so few blacks, Asians and Latinos vote for your party?  Are we all just "brainwashed?"
Because we look at people as people and not their race. There are a lot of reason why Asians, Latino's and Blacks vote for the Dems. I have listed those in the past but I don't have time to re-list those reasons now.

This is false.  Just a few examples from the top of my head:

The Heritage Foundation put out a report saying that immigrants have a lower IQ than the "white native population," and "the difference is likely to persist over several generations."

Gov. Paul LePage, Glenn Beck and many other right-wing commentators have said Obama "hates white people."

Tom Tancredo called Sonia Sotomayor "a member of the Latino KKK."

Rep. Steve King said that for every young undocumented immigrant who is a valedictorian there are 100 drug runners with "calves the size of cantaloupes."

Remember Pete Hoekstra's "Debbie Spenditnow" ad?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkQAalcsg5E

Don't even get me started about the GOP's policies on civil rights, voting rights and racial discrimination laws.

The party of Nixon's Southern Strategy doesn't get a pass on racial issues because it doesn't deserve one.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders: "I Am Prepared to Run for President of the United States" on: March 19, 2014, 11:17:12 pm
We would welcome and encourage Sanders to run in the Democratic Primary.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ryan to meet with Congressional Black Caucus after botched poverty remarks on: March 18, 2014, 02:36:04 am
Paul Ryan does not have a clear history of making racist remarks so I'll give him the benefit of the doubt here.  That said, I've seen right-wing politicians make these dog whistles for two decades now.  We'll have to watch his behavior more carefully in the future.

It is both amusing and infuriating how myopic some conservatives on this site are about this issue.  Why do you suppose so few blacks, Asians and Latinos vote for your party?  Are we all just "brainwashed?"
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: South Carolina 2014 Congressional Races on: March 15, 2014, 01:31:50 pm
Police officer and political novice Dave Feliciano, who is contesting the Republican primary to unseat Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), said on the steps of the South Carolina state House Thursday that Graham is "ambiguously gay."

...

"It's about time that South Carolina [says] hey, 'We're tired of the ambiguously gay senator from South Carolina,'" Feliciano said. "'We're ready for a new leader to merge the Republican Party. We're done with this.' This is what it's about, all of us coming together and saying, one way or the other, one of us is going to be on that ballot in November."

Feliciano better watch out or the ultra-powerful Senator Graham will send out the Ambiguously Gay Duo to strike down the fist of bigotry!

21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: CPAC 'GOP minority outreach' panel goes as well as you'd expect on: March 09, 2014, 08:00:58 am
The optics of this photo are terrible, they better find a much smaller room for the next minority outreach panel.  As for the empty room, the fact the Right does not like or respect minorities isn't new.  On some level I find this sham outreach to us amusing.  It's like those Hollywood starlets doing charity work they hate just because they want good PR.  Too bad their fake interest in us is so transparent that any fool could see through it.
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: February 2014 Federal Special Election - At-Large Senate on: March 02, 2014, 11:16:52 pm
1. Adam Griffin
2. Lumine
3. Poirot
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arizona Legislature turns back the clock, brings back segregation on: February 22, 2014, 04:06:13 am
In Kansas, an attempt was made to pass a bill similar to the Idaho and Arizona ones.  But it looks like Arizona is the only one which is on the brink of passage.

As a gay minority I am doubly insulted by this.  Can Republicans on this site not comprehend why I despise your party and want it defeated?
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: February 2014 Presidential and Regional Senate Election on: February 22, 2014, 02:17:42 am
President/Vice President

[1] TNF of Wyoming and Gass3268 of Iowa
Labor Party


Pacific Senator

[1] Tyrion the Imperialist of New Mexico
Labor Party
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Jeb Bush worth the hype? on: February 21, 2014, 01:24:20 am
Jeb Bush is getting another look by the GOP Establishment because he has the political connections for a national race and the first choice, Chris Christie, is now damaged goods.  The other first choice, Marco Rubio, seems to have immigrated himself into a corner.  
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 78


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines