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January 28, 2015, 07:18:27 pm
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1  Forum Community / Survivor / Re: Kings of Judah and of the United Monarchy on: January 27, 2015, 11:16:08 pm

So much for Zedekiah and Manasseh.

Pick two to eliminate.

SAUL
DAVID
SOLOMON
REHOBOAM (United, then Judah)
ABIJAM
ASA
JEHOSHAPHAT
JEHORAM (sometimes known as Joram)
AHAZIAH
ATHALIAH (Queen regent, then usurper)
JEHOASH
AMAZIAH
UZZIAH
JOTHAM
AHAZ
HEZEKIAH
MANASSEH
AMON
JOSIAH
JEHOAHAZ
JEHOIAKIM
JECONIAH
ZEDEKIAH


Let's lose Amon and Athaliah. (Eliminating the pagans is a good starting point, I think).
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arkansas never paid the filing fees for its gay marriage appeal on: January 27, 2015, 12:45:45 am
They have two weeks to explain and persuade the court not to just throw the case out out-of-hand, apparently. In all likelihood, Arkansas will have same sex marriage two weeks from now.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2018 TX Hypothetical on: January 26, 2015, 01:53:37 pm
There is no chance that Texas statewide sends a Democrat to Washington. Statewide office is almost but not completely out.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Poll: When Charles becomes King should Camilla get the title of Queen Consort? on: January 24, 2015, 11:53:22 pm
In English, a king is always a man. It would be so much weirder to start calling Elizabeth "King Elizabeth II" then to call Prince Phillip "King Consort". This isn't Scandinavia we're talking about. In the common vernacular in English, "King" and "Queen" are equal titles, and should be treated as such. The history of the language doesn't matter. Languages evolve. I can just as easily cite the game of chess as an equally ridiculous reason for why the Queen is more powerful.

Eh, even in English Hedwig/Jadwiga of Poland is King Hedwig in all the things I've seen, and I'm sure the same applies to references to Christina of Sweden, though I haven't gone out of my way to see any.
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why all the Castro hype? on: January 23, 2015, 08:30:43 pm
As I've said in every thread in which this has come up: can anyone name one (1) accomplishment Julian Castro had as Mayor of San Antonio?

I've posted this in like 5 threads and no one has even attempted to answer.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Challenge: describe a voter born 100 years ago who has voted for the same party on: January 22, 2015, 08:53:06 pm
Roosevelt voter: a lifelong NYC resident who comes from a working class Jewish family.

Landon voter: A small business owner from the Omaha area.

This is pretty much perfect.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Challenge: describe a voter born 100 years ago who has voted for the same party on: January 21, 2015, 09:55:24 pm
First election would be 1936. Our centenarian is still alive and votes for the same party today as he did when he voted for Roosevelt or Landon in 1936. Describe two people: the Roosevelt voter who is still a Democrat and the Landon voter who is still a Republican.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biggest possible electoral college shift on: January 19, 2015, 11:32:02 pm
Maybe something like this:



But that's about it.

Put Maine in the Dem column and I could see that as a very good Republican night. I don't buy Maine voting GOP in 2016 even in a GOP sweep.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Which Party would these people be for today on: January 19, 2015, 05:00:52 pm
Or that Wallace was elected governor of Alabama the last time in 1982 as a proud Democrat on the strength of the black vote? And, yes right up to his death in 1998 he was a very outspoken Democrat. I don't see him changing in the past 15-odd years. If one was going to make the Dem-GOP switch 1994 was basically the acid test.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Which Party would these people be for today on: January 19, 2015, 03:29:19 pm
Eisenhower wouldn't be a Democrat, it's very difficult to be a career military officer in today's world and end up not a Republican (Wes Clark being an exception that proves the rule).

That's not to say that Ike would be thrilled with the contemporary Republican Party...it has a...and I realize certain people will hate this word choice...radical streak that Ike, a man of very conservative temperament, would find distasteful. Ike wanted to be an able steward and not rock the boat, the current Congress seems more eager to capsize the boat if they don't get what they want.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biggest possible electoral college shift on: January 18, 2015, 11:35:00 am
The biggest possible electoral college shift would be a Republican gain. Republicans have a better chance of flipping Wisconsin (which means they'll probably flip Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Iowa and Colorado- a gain in 109 electoral votes) than Democrats have of flipping states like South Carolina, Mississippi and Montana.

In a regular two way election, if Republicans run the table of conceivably competitive seats, that'll be a gain of 161 electoral votes.



Bigger shifts are theoeretically possible but would likely require major scandals.

A winning indepdenent bid would be the biggest shift from 0 to 270+, but that seems very unlikely.

I'm not confident that even in the GOP landslide scenario the GOP carries New Jersey.
12  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Oklahoma now plurality-Republican by registration on: January 18, 2015, 11:33:42 am
Any candidate the Democrats ran against Inhofe, a personally popular and very senior and powerful Republican Senator who has been in the Senate longer than many people on this site have been alive, in one of the three most Republican-voting states in the country, in a Republican landslide year was necessarily a sacrificial lamb. Why does it matter who that person was? It's just a matter of getting a name on the ballot, there's no serious electoral prospects there.
13  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Pope Francis on Paris Attack - "one who throws insults can expect a 'punch'" on: January 17, 2015, 06:38:11 pm

afleitch: Yes, I think the subjective nature of what constitutes ‘mockery’ is indeed the problem with, or at least the difficulty of, holding this position—I think at a minimum I’d say that to constitute mockery something has to be in some way targeted towards addressing whatever the issue is on whose basis it’s claimed to be mocking. The ham sandwich and gay marriage examples are clearly not intended to comment in any way on what they’re purportedly mocking.

I'm aware that this isn't necessarily a sufficient distinction to make and that the question remains subjective and liable to case-by-case judgment calls, in any event. Which, again—the difficulty of holding this position.


I think my problem is that you're suggesting (and the Pope obviously) we have this 'distinction' in terms of religious belief systems which I profoundly disagree with (because they are no more than systems of thought/morality/philosophy) That aside, even if I did agree with the need to be 'careful' I can't honestly trust nor expect religious bodies or religious people to properly determine what is 'mockery'. There is no rational/reasonable basis for them to do so, because religious belief does not operate according to those lines. I find it as impossible to 'offend god' as it is to offend pixies (and I make no apologies for a 'cheap' comparison.). It's just not possible for a non-believer to offend some being that cannot express how offended it actually is. People are a different matter of course, but nor can they express their offence on behalf of god for the same reason. And that is essentially what blasphemy is.

I don't see why the question of if God exists or not is relevant to blasphemy, blasphemy is and always has been about the sensibilities of believers, not their deities. If there were a widespread fairy-believing movement, you could blaspheme against them as well, no need for fairies to exist.

In any practical sense, at least, God is as real as "freedom of speech" or any other nebulous non-physical concept...it exists at least as much as you believe in it.
14  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Pope Francis on Paris Attack - "one who throws insults can expect a 'punch'" on: January 17, 2015, 05:32:54 pm
Victim blaming nonsense. Would those defending the Pope's remarks have said the same about the Sony hacks? They had it coming, no? I'm not sure even John Paul II would have been so callous. Perhaps Francis is overcompensating for being seen as a progressive Pope.

I don't know about you, but I saw the Sony story as one of the most heartening things of 2014. One of the biggest and most powerful corporations in the world recklessly published tasteless material and ended up losing a fortune and suffering from public humiliation and ridicule as their unsavory internal workings were revealed, and the worst elements of Hollywood were exposed to daylight. I have no idea who hacked Sony but that group is clearly the protagonist of the story for proving to be the private sector's version of Snowden.
15  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Pope Francis on Paris Attack - "one who throws insults can expect a 'punch'" on: January 17, 2015, 01:34:14 pm
I'll take Pope Francis' take on this issue over Bill Maher's any day. I'm not sure how an abstract, nebulous notion like "freedom of speech" is supposed to negate the far more visceral "I'm going to kill you for what you said about me" reaction. Obviously, the perpetrators of such an offense must be punished, but insulting people for a living is a very, very dangerous career. I'm not particularly sympathetic to the circus performer who sticks his mouth into a lion's maw and has it bitten off.
16  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Oklahoma now plurality-Republican by registration on: January 17, 2015, 11:45:22 am
I am surprised it took this long, this seems like the kind of story we would've seen 10 years ago.

Oklahoma has voted GOP on the Presidential level every election since 1952 except 1964, and has been getting progressively less Democratic on the statewide level since the 1990s and before.
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What will happen after the copyright of Mein Kampf expires? on: January 17, 2015, 11:12:26 am


Anyone rewriting it would probably remove the Lebensraum portion of the book, as it's much more dated the rest.

Rewrite it? Like 80% is an autobiographical rant of a soldier about how he infiltrated an obscure political party as a government agent and then went rogue and took over said party. The political content is far and away in the back seat to a rambling autobiographical memoir of the least interesting parts of Adolf Hitler's life.
18  Forum Community / Survivor / Re: Kings of Judah and of the United Monarchy on: January 17, 2015, 10:03:00 am



Farewell to Jehoiakim and Rehoboam.

Pick two to eliminate.

SAUL
DAVID
SOLOMON
REHOBOAM (United, then Judah)
ABIJAM
ASA
JEHOSHAPHAT
JEHORAM (sometimes known as Joram)
AHAZIAH
ATHALIAH (Queen regent, then usurper)
JEHOASH
AMAZIAH
UZZIAH
JOTHAM
AHAZ
HEZEKIAH
MANASSEH
AMON
JOSIAH
JEHOAHAZ
JEHOIAKIM
JECONIAH
ZEDEKIAH

I'm going with Zedekiah and Manasseh.
19  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Do you prefer the lyrical style of classic hymns or Christian hardcore? on: January 16, 2015, 08:17:47 pm
Nowadays I mostly prefer to listen to music that doesn't have English language lyrics because I've begun to find that knowing what the words are distracts me from the music itself (a sharp break from the pun-loving Gilbert and Sullivan lover I was six years ago) and as such I've begun to love Catholic Latin hymns.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: RomneyWatch: Upgrade to "Almost certainly" running again on: January 15, 2015, 11:26:42 pm
Ah, what the hell. I'm rooting for him for the primary. 2008 I rooted for Huckabee on the GOP side, 2012 for Gingrich, 2016, why not Romney? I think he might be the most entertaining candidate in the field.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis: Mitty in the lead on: January 15, 2015, 11:20:34 pm
In all seriousness, politics won't be the same without Mitt Romney. He totally needs to run.
22  Forum Community / Survivor / Kings of Judah and of the United Monarchy on: January 15, 2015, 10:22:14 pm
No Northern Kingdom types, sorry Ahab fanboys. For the first several rounds we will be eliminating TWO names.

SAUL
DAVID
SOLOMON
REHOBOAM (United, then Judah)
ABIJAM
ASA
JEHOSHAPHAT
JEHORAM (sometimes known as Joram)
AHAZIAH
ATHALIAH (Queen regent, then usurper)
JEHOASH
AMAZIAH
UZZIAH
JOTHAM
AHAZ
HEZEKIAH
MANASSEH
AMON
JOSIAH
JEHOAHAZ
JEHOIAKIM
JECONIAH
ZEDEKIAH

I'm going to start us off with two votes for Jehoiakim and Zedekiah. If the city gets sacked under your watch, you're going to really have to do a number to convince me of your merits, and Zedekiah's willful ignorance of the warnings of Jeremiah count off.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What week will Clinton announce? on: January 15, 2015, 06:30:54 pm
I just thought it was worth discussing since Tuesday marks the 8th anniversary of the start of her last bid.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / What week will Clinton announce? on: January 15, 2015, 06:00:19 pm
Go. I'm guessing March 2nd-8th.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Priebus: Bill Clinton's personal life is "fair game" on: January 15, 2015, 01:44:38 pm
Of course Bill Clinton is fair game. In 1992 the two of them campaigned as a two-for-one act and did so even more strongly in 2008. The Clintons are a package deal, if you vote for one you vote for the other. Thus, Bill's conduct and whatever questionable behavior he's been involved in is fair game. Bill Clinton rolls in scandal as a pig does s**t so I'm sure we'll have some interesting revelations.
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