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4551  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Interesting times in Poland... on: October 17, 2006, 02:15:58 pm
So did this happen? Government fell? When will the new elections happen?

Ha, nope.

No new elections and the new coalition is the old coalition:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6057382.stm
4552  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Halle/Saale (my hometown) mayoral election, 2006 on: October 16, 2006, 04:10:49 pm
Halle/Saale (my hometown) mayoral election, 2006

It's time for a rather obscure German election on local level. ;-)  Nonetheless it's an election a will most likely cast my vote in.

Halle is the largest city in the German state of Saxony-Anhalt, with a population of about 235.000. The mayor is directly elected for a seven-year term. If neither of the candidates receives more than 50.0%, a run-off is held between the two most successful candidates from the first round. From 1991 to 2000 the office of the mayor was held by Klaus Rauen (CDU), and from 2000 on by Ingrid Huler (SPD), who will retire next year. This year's election will be held on November 12, with the run-off (if necessary) being scheduled for November 26.



The candidates:

Dagmar Szabados (SPD)
- Deputy mayor of Halle

Bernhard Bnisch (CDU)
- Leader of the CDU in the city council of Halle / member of the state parliament of Saxon-Anhalt

Bodo Meerheim (Left.PDS)
- Leader of the Left.PDS in the city council of Halle

Tom Wolter (Independent)
- Member of the city council of Halle / stage actor and theater director

Dirk Beyse (Independent)
- Owner of a chain of jewelry stores in Saxony-Anhalt and Saxony


The only candidates with realistic chances of winning the election are Szabados (SPD), Bnisch (CDU), and Meerheim (Left.PDS).

Dirk Beyse is considered a mere "joke candidate" without any coherent platform and many suspect that he his only running to promote his jewelry stores. I've seen him once in the city and I can say he's a complete jerk. Cheesy

Tom Wolter is following a more serious approach with his campaign, but he is almost certainly doomed because of his lack of experience as well as his lack of support (= money) from major parties (there were some rumours that he might get the endorsement of the Greens and some local political groups in the city council, but I haven't heard anything that it has actually happened yet).

Having been deputy mayor for the last 15 years, I would say that Szabados is clearly the candidate with the most name recognition and also the candidate with the best chances to win. In addition, former mayor Klaus Rauen (CDU) recently shocked his party by officially endorsing Szabados (and not the CDU candidate Bnisch). My estimate is that Szabados finishes first, but fails to win more than 50% of the vote. The run-off will then either be duel between Szabados and Bnisch or Szabados and Meerheim... which will be won Szabados.



The results of the 2000 mayoral election:


First round

Ingrid Huler (SPD): 44.8%
Uwe-Jens Rssel (PDS): 18.8%
Detlef Schubert (CDU): 16.3%
Lutz Kahler (Independent): 9.0%
Bernd Kpperbusch (Independent): 6.2%
Other candidates: 4.8%

Turnout: 37.5%


Second round

Ingrid Huler (SPD): 67.1%
Uwe-Jens Rssel (PDS): 32.9%

Turnout: 30.5%
4553  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: possible running mates for bloomberg? on: October 16, 2006, 03:24:39 pm
Jesse Ventura Cheesy
4554  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / McCain/Huckabee vs. Bayh/Clark on: October 15, 2006, 05:03:23 pm
Thought it was time for my own 2008 scenario. I hope this wasn't already posted here. Wink You may notice that it was my intent to put "strong" tickets for both parties together.

And maps please.
4555  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German state and local elections, September 2006 on: October 12, 2006, 06:16:35 am
And finally, results for the borough assembly elections in Berlin are available.


SPD: 30.6% / 219 seats
CDU: 23.7% / 163 seats
Left.PDS: 14.0% / 99 seats
Greens: 13.9% / 94 seats
FDP: 6.5% / 39 seats
Grey Panthers: 3.3% / 20 seats
WASG: 3.0% / 14 seats
NPD: 1.8% / 11 seats
REP: 1.1% / 1 seat

Turnout: 55.8%


Results in detail: http://www.election.de/cgi-bin/tab.pl?datafile=bvv_be06.txt


Map:




EDIT: Just noticed that Lewis had posted some of these results a while ago. Never mind, at least I provided a cool map. Cheesy
4556  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Legislative Election - October 1, 2006 on: October 01, 2006, 11:39:55 am
If the BZ is in: Grand coalition.
If the BZ is out: Red-Green.
4557  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What's the last movie you've seen? on: October 01, 2006, 08:44:26 am
Akira (DVD)

My first (no, second actually) attempt at animes.
4558  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Interforum election on: September 30, 2006, 09:27:46 am
Atlas/Atlas Wink
4559  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German state and local elections, September 2006 on: September 29, 2006, 12:26:05 pm
In both states, the SPD has announced today with whom they want to form a coalition.

In Berlin, the SPD plans to continue the coalition with the Left Party, while in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, talks about the formation of a Grand coalition were announced.


EDIT: The Mecklenburg decision surprised me the most. I really thought they they had planned to continue their coalition with the Left Party. But apparently, a one-seat majority is a bit too shaky for them, after all. Maybe they rembered what happened in Schleswig-Holstein last year when PM Heide Simonis (SPD) formed a one-seat majorty coalition and failed to get formally re-elected by the parliament, because of a single "traitor" within the own ranks.

In Berlin I had actually hoped for SPD/Green, but Wowereit really seems to be fond of his coalition with the Left Party and both had worked together more or less smoothless in the past five years.
4560  General Discussion / History / Re: Preunification (pre-1870) Germany on: September 29, 2006, 05:00:25 am
Simple question

Were the people free?

Please answer quickly.  Details optional.

Depends on...

a) in which state of Germany you would have lived,

and

b) with what time period you compare it.


In the United States of the early 19th century blacks were held as slaves and women were refused the right to vote... which would make the 19th century USA a crossbreed between today's Saudi Arabia and South Africa under apartheid. Cheesy Yet, it had clearly the most democratic constitution of that time period. Everything is relative.

I would say that pre-1871 Germany was freer than the Third Reich or the GDR, not as free as the FRG or the Weimar Republic, and about the same as the German Empire (1871-1918).
4561  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Shinzo Abe on: September 28, 2006, 04:45:20 pm
That alone makes him a HP:

Quote
On his official homepage [8] he denies that Japanese troops used comfort women.
4562  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Shinzo Abe on: September 28, 2006, 04:34:59 pm
So far: HP
Please elaborate. The move away from the Pacifist Constitution is going to happen, period, so expecting otherwise is foolhardy.

This doesn't mean I have to like it. Tongue

Aha! The same thing is happening in Germany, too. Tongue

Germany's constitution is less "pacifist" than Japan's... there's only a provision that "wars of aggression" are outlawed. Do you wan't to repeal that one? Of course, critics from the left argue that the wars in Kosovo and Afghanistan were already wars of aggression. Wink

And my guess is that any German government who tries to strike the provision which outlaws wars of agression would commit political suicide. The only party I could imagine to do something like that would be the CDU/CSU. And even if they come up with a idea like that, they would still need to get the two-third majority in order to amend the consitution.

Anyway, back to Japan... I admit that I don't hold much sympathy for the LDP. The fact that Abe is considered a representative of the party's conservative wing just makes me like him even less.
4563  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Shinzo Abe on: September 28, 2006, 03:18:39 pm
So far: HP
Please elaborate. The move away from the Pacifist Constitution is going to happen, period, so expecting otherwise is foolhardy.

This doesn't mean I have to like it. Tongue
4564  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Shinzo Abe on: September 28, 2006, 08:57:36 am
So far: HP
4565  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Lowest support for (SPD+CDU+CSU) ever! on: September 25, 2006, 06:29:52 pm
CDU/CDU drops below 30% the first time since 2000.

SPD 30%
CDU/CSU 29%
FDP 15%
Left.PDS 10%
Greens 9%
Other parties 7%

(Forsa, 09/25)

Please tell me that the NPD does not represent 72% of the "other parties" total. If they do they would get in the Bundestag.

Fortunately, the NPD isn't the only "other party" in Germany. Wink However, provided the share of the "other parties" stays that high, it would seem reasonable that they start to explain what "other parties" exactly stands for.

The three far-right parties (NPD, DVU & REP) will indeed make up a considerable portion of that 7%. Maybe 2 or 3% for NPD, 1 or 2% for DVU and 0.5 to 1% for REP.

In the recent Berlin election, the Grey Panthers, a senior citizen's party, managed to achieve a surprisingly good result of 3.8%. Maybe they also make up a good portion of that 7% on federal level now. Who knows...
4566  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Legislative Election - October 1, 2006 on: September 25, 2006, 03:40:12 pm
Austria's minister of justice, who's from the BZ, announced her intention to leave the party today, citing the BZ's xenophobia as the main reason.
4567  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Lowest support for (SPD+CDU+CSU) ever! on: September 25, 2006, 03:07:18 pm
CDU/CDU drops below 30% the first time since 2000.

SPD 30%
CDU/CSU 29%
FDP 15%
Left.PDS 10%
Greens 9%
Other parties 7%

(Forsa, 09/25)
4568  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What is the worst fascist party in Europe? on: September 23, 2006, 02:18:52 pm
And States come on you have to consider at least the NPD fascist. They openly support Hitler and are openly neo-Nazi.

I didn't think that'd be allowed in Germany but if that is true..then OK I disagree with that group.

Technically it isn't, but my impression is that they've become lenient in implementing the laws. For example, Udo Voigt, the federal chairman of the NPD, once called Adolf Hitler "the greatest German statesman" in an interview.
4569  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Lowest support for (SPD+CDU+CSU) ever! on: September 22, 2006, 01:19:58 pm
In related news they were rumours about secret talks (well, not that secret I suppose) between SPD and FDP about ousting Merkel and installing a SPD/FDP/Green coalition.

SPD and CDU aren't getting very well along at the moment... mostly because health care reform is currently the dominant topic and both parties have fundamentally different ideas about it.
4570  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Interesting times in Poland... on: September 22, 2006, 12:03:39 pm
PO + SLD? Coool. Wink
4571  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What is the worst fascist party in Europe? on: September 22, 2006, 08:55:30 am
China is actually a weird experiment-gone-wrong with the goal of combining the worst elements of capitalism, communism and nationalism.

Russia isn't communist anymore but a free haven for the Mafia... this places the country in the same category with Italy. That's also the most likely reason why Berlusconi proposed a EU membership for Russia when he was still PM. Cheesy
4572  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What is the worst fascist party in Europe? on: September 21, 2006, 05:46:48 pm
Well, the NPD is attacking and injuring journalists when they win an election... and probably also when they lose an election. In any event they seem to enjoy injuring other people, even when there's no election at all. Don't know so much about the other parties.
4573  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Homer Simpson vs. Peter Griffin on: September 21, 2006, 05:43:59 am
Homer Simpson... at least we would have a Democratic First Lady (Marge voted for Jimmy Carter... twice Wink) and a Green presidential daughter. Cheesy
4574  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Legislative Election - October 1, 2006 on: September 21, 2006, 05:42:01 am
Sounds fun. Cheesy  Apparently, Austrian politics are much more interesting than German politics under the current Grand boring coalition.

Well having a neo-fascist party in parliament usually does that.

Just see what type of insanity would ensue if the NPD got into the Bundestag. Wink

Ah, on the other hand this might not be such a good idea after all. Wink


Well, I admit, this NPD leader from Mecklenburg who complained on election night that Adolf Hitler is always portrayed so negatively and that it should  be looked from a more objective point of view upon him had something almost cartoon-esque. But such moments of Nazis unintentionally parodying themselves are coming for a far too high price as they should be allowed to sit in a parliament in return.
4575  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Legislative Election - October 1, 2006 on: September 20, 2006, 05:04:16 am
Yesterday the debate Greens vs. FP took place and it was very weird, because of their contradicting positions on issues. Nearly all parties are now involved in smear campaigning and scandals.

The head of the Greens told the head of the FP he is some kind of neonazi and that hes surrounded by people with Nazi ideas while the FP head accused members of the Greens to be molotov cocktail throwing extremists and a menace for drivers, because the Greens want to raise the gas price to 9$ the gallon and implement 60 mph even on highways.

Both then said: "Tomorrow our attorney will ring your doorbell and we will sue you !" The discussion ranged from accusations of diffamation and agitation of immigrants to denial of reality in cases of legalizing same sex marriages and some sort of basic income etc.

In other news, the SP is involved in a major corruption scandal. A former investment banker from a union admitted giving "some thousand Euros" to the social democrats back in the 90s. The VP is accusing the SDs to decieve the Austrian people and the SDs accuse the VP to carry out a negative campaign. Indeed a Social Democrat governor described the VP as a cancer cell. He later had to apologize.

The campaign debates are very poor when it comes to real issues like unemployment etc. and i think its now entering the phase where anyone tries to destroy the other party Tongue

Sounds fun. Cheesy  Apparently, Austrian politics are much more interesting than German politics under the current Grand boring coalition.
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