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4551  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Oprah vs. Chuck 2008 on: December 08, 2007, 03:07:02 pm
One problem: Winfrey/Obama would be ineligible for Illinois' electoral votes.  But they would still win easily without them.

Then I guess one of them would do a Cheney before the election.
4552  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you more conservative or more liberal than your parents? on: December 08, 2007, 12:21:09 pm
Uh, that's tricky...

On economic issues, I'm more conservative than my mom, but a bit more liberal/leftist than my dad, I guess.

On social issues, I think that I'm generally more libertarian than both of them. My dad's sort of a centrist here and my mom is a liberal, but with a pretty authoritarian streak... which means she wants to ban everything and everyone she doesn't like. I actually agree on most social issues with her, but  I don't want to ban anything. So, in political discussions with my mom I usually defend the right of conservatives to be stupid. Tongue
4553  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How many accounts have ignored you? on: December 08, 2007, 12:11:30 pm
0... which means either that I'm too inoffensive or that I'm posting here not often enough. Cheesy
4554  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 08, 2007, 11:34:11 am
Heard a new rumour concerning Putin's political future today: Russia and Belarus will form a union soon and Putin becomes the leader of that new entity.

Sounds a bit far-fetched but this is what was reported in some German newspapers today.
4555  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: The 2008 Elections from a European point of view on: December 08, 2007, 06:46:55 am
Of course, these poll numbers are reflecting the fact that most Europeans only know Al Gore and Hillary Clinton. Some more politically interested people might also know who Barack Obama and Rudy Giuliani are, but that's it. Combine this with a largely prevalent anti-Bush/pro-Democratic bias in Europe and you got a Hillary "landslide".
4556  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Weimar Election Maps on: December 08, 2007, 06:15:03 am
That's not quite right. There were regional level constituencies with a threshold of 60,000 votes, and seats won there were upped at a national level to proportionality, but parties could at maximum only double their regional tally there. So it wasn't quite proportional for smaller parties.

D'Oh! I thought I had it all covered. Wink
4557  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Weimar Election Maps on: December 07, 2007, 06:08:07 pm
What electoral system did the Weimar Republic actually use?

Proportional representation w/ no thresholds IIRC


That's correct. Pure PR. No thresholds or direct seats. At least in Reichstag elections.


President: Popular election. If no candidate received more than 50%, a run-off was held with a simple plurality of votes being sufficient now.

Interestingly, candidates could be replaced between the two rounds. As a result, the candidates in the run-off weren't always the same candidates which had stood in the first round. In addition, all candidates from the first round could theoretically participate in the run-off too. So, no candidates were actually eliminated with the first round (except for those who chose to drop out or who where replaced by their respective parties).



Example - 1925 presidential election

First round
Karl Jarres (DVP, also endorsed by DNVP): 38.8%
Otto Braun (SPD): 29.0%
Wilhelm Marx (Zentrum): 14.5%
Ernst Thälmann (KPD): 7.0%
Willy Hellpach (DDP): 5.8%
Heinrich Held (BVP): 3.7%
Erich Ludendorff (NSDAP): 1.1%

Second round
Paul von Hindenburg (endorsed by DVP, DNVP, BVP and NSDAP): 48.3%
Wilhelm Marx (Zentrum, also endorsed by SPD and DDP): 45.3%
Ernst Thälmann (KPD): 6.4%
4558  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Weimar Election Maps on: December 07, 2007, 09:36:54 am
Yes, and the NPD seems the be particularly strong in Saxony. However, it hasn't much to do with the way people voted in 1932 or something.
4559  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Weimar Election Maps on: December 07, 2007, 07:42:40 am
That's Saxony where Hitler won in 1932, isn't it? Aren't the NPD strong there today?

No, that isn't Saxony. The brown areas on the 1932 map are Brandenburg, Thuringia, Pomerania and  Schleswig-Holstein.

Saxony was considered a stronghold of the SPD and the communists during the Weimar Republic.
4560  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do your parents hate George W. Bush? on: December 07, 2007, 07:09:56 am
Mom: Most definitely. Compared with her I have a relatively "positive" attitude towards Bush. Cheesy  At least I wouldn't slap him in the face, had I the opportunity.

Dad: Well, I assume he's not very fond of Bush either. However, my father is usually not that passionate or emotional when it comes to politics, so I wouldn't say that he "hates" Bush... at least not more than any other politician. He just gives a damn about Bush.
4561  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2008 State Elections in Austria and Germany on: December 07, 2007, 05:54:54 am
Hesse (FGW, 12/07)

CDU 40%
SPD 34%
GRÜNE 9%
FDP 7%
DIE LINKE 6%

No majority for either CDU/FDP or SPD/GRÜNE.


Lower Saxony (FGW, 12/07)

CDU 44%
SPD 34%
GRÜNE 7%
FDP 7%
DIE LINKE 4%

Majority for CDU/FDP.
4562  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Oprah vs. Chuck 2008 on: December 06, 2007, 11:13:52 am
So?
4563  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the individual pictured in the preceding post closer to fascist or communist? on: December 05, 2007, 06:33:29 am
Uh, communist... the fact that he was executed by the Gestapo probably rules out the "fascist" option.


4564  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Iran Halted Nuclear Weapons Program in 2003, US Intelligence Agencies Find on: December 04, 2007, 04:50:51 pm
If Iran has halted their nuclear weapons program, what exactly is the objective of current U.S. foreign policy towards Iran?

That it remains halted... I think.
4565  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favorite mainstream planet? (Excluding Earth) on: December 04, 2007, 01:09:36 pm
I like the term "mainstream planet". *lol*

Voted Mars btw.
4566  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 04, 2007, 01:07:19 pm
Sarkozy congratulates Putin on election victory:

http://thenews.jang.com.pk/updates.asp?id=33282

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20071204/tpl-uk-russia-vote-eu-87aac06_1.html
4567  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 04, 2007, 05:40:55 am
I had heard he was planning on greatly increasing the power of the PM before he left office next year. And isn't he backing some random schmuck for President who'd basically make the perfect puppet? I think we've figured out his little plan.

1. So far Putin hasn't officially backed someone for the presidency. Yesterday, I read somewhere that "United Russia" is planning to endorse a presidential candidate on December 17. In the last weeks and months, most bets were on current PM Zubkov, who was a totally unknown and obscure figure until he was appointed prime minister by Putin a few months ago. With 66 years, Zubkov is also considered to be relatively old (which actually makes it more likely for him to be Putin's stooge/successor... weird country).

Yea, that's the guy I was thinking of.

Yes, but prior to Zubkov's rather surprising ascension to the premiership, everyone had assumed that either Ivanov or Medvedev would become Putin's succesor. So, Zubkov will become Russia's next president... unless Putin changes his mind again. Assessing what Russia's current leadership has in mind is almost as hard as during the old Soviet days.
4568  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Iran Halted Nuclear Weapons Program in 2003, US Intelligence Agencies Find on: December 04, 2007, 05:29:55 am
Well, those Iranian fanatics just aren't what they're used to be... Wink

But I assume the traditional Cheney/Rumsfeld neo-con approach would be to say: "Ah, hell, let's bomb them anyway."
4569  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 04, 2007, 05:11:54 am
I had heard he was planning on greatly increasing the power of the PM before he left office next year. And isn't he backing some random schmuck for President who'd basically make the perfect puppet? I think we've figured out his little plan.

1. So far Putin hasn't officially backed someone for the presidency. Yesterday, I read somewhere that "United Russia" is planning to endorse a presidential candidate on December 17. In the last weeks and months, most bets were on current PM Zubkov, who was a totally unknown and obscure figure until he was appointed prime minister by Putin a few months ago. With 66 years, Zubkov is also considered to be relatively old (which actually makes it more likely for him to be Putin's stooge/successor... weird country).

2. I think "United Russia" has ruled out any plans to change the consitutiton yesterday... which would include increasing the powers of the PM.

3. Then again, Putin and "United Russia" have often changed their minds or made surprise announcements in the past (such as Putin's announcement that he would run for the Duma as "United Russia's" top candidate). So everything I just wrote could not come true as well.
4570  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 03, 2007, 07:02:36 pm
Isn't Iron Vlad going to be a power behind the throne figure, considering he's poised to be Russia's new Prime Minister? And don't they have most of the power, instead of the President? That's what I've heard.

No, the president is the most powerful government position in Russia... by far.

Under Yeltsin, and partially under Putin too, the PM was practically a "hire-and-fire" position. In Yeltsin's final years and months of his presidency he had a new prime minister every two months or so (which also had something to do with the fact that he was looking for a successor, he finally settled with Putin then). In theory, Putin also had the choice of staying prime minister in 2000. He was merely Acting President after Yeltsin's resignation and never obliged to run for president himself in the following elections. But he decided to pick the better job.

So, the question is: If Putin will be Russia's next prime minister, who will he "install" as president and will he be able to control this president from the PM position, which is officially a very weak one. So the question of informal power will play a great role in such scenario.
4571  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Is getting a lapdance from a stripper of another race immoral? on: December 03, 2007, 05:27:36 pm
Yes.
4572  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Sudanese bear naming incident on: December 03, 2007, 08:04:33 am
She's been pardoned by the Sudanese leader.

So good news from Sudan for a change.
4573  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the individual pictured in the preceding post closer to fascist or communist? on: December 02, 2007, 06:45:05 pm
That's way too easy... fascist of course.


4574  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative "elections", 2007 on: December 02, 2007, 05:10:56 pm
The Communists are doing their "own" count.

Good luck with that.
4575  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the individual pictured in the preceding post closer to fascist or communist? on: December 02, 2007, 11:06:27 am
Communist.


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