Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 26, 2017, 11:22:07 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 ... 178 179 180 181 182 [183] 184 185 186 187 188 ... 290
4551  General Discussion / History / Re: Which Afghanistan would you live in? on: July 31, 2010, 05:37:11 am
1 or 4.

Both still suck though.
4552  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: July 30, 2010, 02:54:34 pm
New Berlin state elections (2011) poll by Forsa for the "Berliner Zeitung":

27% (+14) Greens
27%   (-4)  SPD
17%   (-4)  CDU
15%  (+2)  Left
  4%   (-4)  FDP
10%   (-4) Others

Lol

Possible coalitions: Green/SPD, SPD/Green, Green/CDU, SPD/CDU.

I would also like to see a breakdown of those 10% others... in particular the numbers for the Pirate Party, considering that Berlin has been their strongest state (3.4%) in the 2009 federal election.

I'd prefer a Green/SPD/Pirate coalition myself. Tongue
4553  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: July 30, 2010, 12:08:38 pm
I'm not German and can't claim to be a know it all about the inner workings of the FDP, but my impression is that even though both the LibDems and the FDP are part of the Liberal and Democratic grouping in the European parliement - they are very very different. The LibDems are seen as a centre left party and are largely descended from the SDP which was an off-shoot from the Labour Party. They have always been seen as being in between the Tories and Labour and a bit closer to Labour at that. The FDP on the other hand is a purely pro-business "party of doctors and dentists". They are seen to be to the RIGHT of the CDU. Back in the 60s and 70s the FDP allied itself with the SPD because they agreed with Brandt's "ostpolitik" and they had a larger "social liberal" wing back then. But over the last 30 years, the FDP has lost virtually all of those social liberals to the Greens or to the SPD and is now very much the party of the far right in Germany. This is why the FDP refuses to even consider a "traffic light" coalition with the SPD and Greens. They are proudly a party of pro-business right and they have enough trouble getting along with the CDU (who they regard as being too wishy-washy) never mind trying to govern with parties that are even further away from them.

Mostly correct I'd say. Actually, the FDP of the 1970s was roughly comparable to the contemporary Liberal Democrats. There was a major turning point when the party switched from a coalition with the SPD to a coalition with the CDU in 1982. As a result, many of the social liberals left the party (and some joined the SPD) that year.

I guess it's possible that 2010 will be for the Liberal Democrats what 1982 was for the FDP... more or less.
4554  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney adviser says Palin is "not a serious human being" on: July 21, 2010, 04:10:51 pm
lol. And Obama had more experience in elected office than Hillary did

2 Senate terms < 2 senate years

?

Rochambeau means that Obama held another elected office... you know, before.
4555  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: July 17, 2010, 09:30:53 am
The interesting question is: Will the CDU/Green coalition survive this or could we even have early elections in Hamburg soon?

SPIEGEL Online reports that Greens are somewhat baffled that they were not informed by Beust about an impending resignation and latest opinion polls showed that a SPD/Green majority would be more likely than a CDU/Green majority at this point.
4556  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: July 17, 2010, 06:23:06 am
Another one bites the dust... according to media reports, Hamburg mayor Ole von Beust (CDU) plans to announce his resignation on sunday. There's also a referendum on a controversial school reform in Hamburg this sunday. However, in addition to this school reform, Beust seems to be as tired and worn out as Horst Köhler was.

And that's the fourth state premier the CDU loses within two months.
4557  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 4th of July terrorist attack on: July 14, 2010, 04:02:24 pm
The 233rd anniversary of the signing of the declaration of independence started in a wonderful way. Kids doing firecrackers, Spending time with family, watching parades on TV. when the news broke,

"This is an ABC Special Report." said an announcer.

Everyone who was watching glanced at the TV surprised.

"We have confirmed reports that a plane has crashed into the sears tower..."said a worried anchor.

America went into a standstill when that happened. Was it a terrorist attack or an accident was what everyone thought.

Then a plane crashed into the South portico of the white house killing Obama and everyone who was in the building. Another crashed into the capitol building. Then within 6 hours they all collapsed.



Would this count as a copycat? Wink
4558  General Discussion / History / Re: Who was more responsible for the end of the Cold War and the Soviet collapse? on: July 14, 2010, 03:37:36 pm
However, about 70% of the Soviet population was made up of Slavs. That is a pretty large majority.

And almost 90% of the population of Yugoslavia was made up of Slavs...

Those were still distinct ethnicites/nationalities though.

The PRC on the other hand has one large distinct ethnicity.
4559  General Discussion / History / Re: Who was more responsible for the end of the Cold War and the Soviet collapse? on: July 14, 2010, 03:06:48 pm
I see "planned economy" isn't on the list.  I suppose Gorby out of the sh**tty options listed, but he was just in control of the timing of it....the collapse was inevitable.

Actually, Soviet collapse was not inevitable. A different leader could have just liberalized the Soviet economy without giving the Soviet people more political freedoms. Thus the U.S.S.R. would have been similar to China today (a capitalist dictatorship) and would have survived and thrived for at least several more decades.

Of course, a major difference is that only 51% of the Soviet population were ethnic Russians, while China is made up of 92% Han Chinese.

Holding the PRC together is far easier.
4560  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: FCC swearing policy struck down by Federal Court. on: July 14, 2010, 02:22:02 pm
F-ck yeah!
4561  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: July 14, 2010, 06:36:02 am
Hannelore Kraft was just elected as state premier on the second ballot.
4562  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Poland's parties on: July 14, 2010, 03:44:50 am
Can someone explain to me which of the two major parties is to the right/left of the other?

PO: more liberal than the PiS on social issues, more conservative on economic issues

PiS: more conservative than the PO on social issues, more leftist on economic issues

Kalwejt will certainly correct me if I'm wrong.
4563  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Hooray!!! Polanski Freed!!! on: July 12, 2010, 05:54:38 pm
If you want to get away with anally raping preteens after you've drugged them for that very purpose, it helps to have liberal friends.  We all knew opebo was a sick monster when it comes to the "lesser" sex, I sometimes forget who joins him in that club.  This thread should help me there.

Actually, it helps to have directed "Chinatown" and "The Pianist". I guess you could get a way with a murder with a resume like that one.
4564  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada's next governor general announced on: July 11, 2010, 05:41:48 am
Was still hoping for William Shatner myself. Tongue
4565  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What five countries would you most like to get rid of? on: July 08, 2010, 04:57:25 am
USA
Russia
China

The big ones need to be broken up. Tongue Split each of them into at least three separate countries.


I also agree on North Korea. Hell, let's get rid of Saudi Arabia while we're at it.
4566  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who was... (for the foreign posters) on: July 01, 2010, 11:30:03 am
General Secretary of the SED Central Committee / Chairman of the State Council: Erich Honecker
Chairman of the Council of Ministers: Willi Stoph

Federal President: Karl Carstens
Federal Chancellor: Helmut Schmidt
4567  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is the ethnic makeup of your facebook friends in your main network? on: July 01, 2010, 11:20:02 am
German: 43

Turkish: 4

Polish: 3

Bulgarian: 2

Romanian: 2

Belarusian: 1

(Half-)French: 1

Italian: 1

Portuguese: 1

Russian: 1

Spanish: 1
4568  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Presidential Election Poll on: June 30, 2010, 04:38:23 pm
Quote of the day: "We are pleased that he has received such a clear majority." (Guido Westerwelle)

Most of the time Westerwelle lives in some sort of parallel universe anyway.
4569  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Presidential Election Poll on: June 30, 2010, 03:21:20 pm
Such elections are so boring. Poland presidential is better, an hour ago, two candidates conducted a massive bitching on one side, and from other great *hughughug*, fest during debate.

I found it pretty entertaining actually. One of the most interesting presidential elections so far.

Some highlights:
- Green MP Werner Schulz interrupting Gregor Gysi's live press conference and Gysi practically telling Schulz that he can go f**k himself.
- Guido Westerwelle blatantly lying after each ballot that his party's electors have completely voted for Wulff and will continue to do so.
4570  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Presidential Election Poll on: June 30, 2010, 10:08:07 am
Second ballot

Wulff 615 (+15)
Gauck 490 (-9)
Jochimsen 123 (-3)
Rennicke 3
Abstentions 7 (-6)

No majority for Wulff, on to the third round...
4571  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: June 30, 2010, 08:28:33 am
Second ballot under way.
4572  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: June 30, 2010, 07:17:59 am
First ballot result

Wulff 600
Gauck 499
Jochimsen 126
Rennicke 3
Abstentions 13

No majority for Wulff, second ballot necessary
4573  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Presidential Election Poll on: June 30, 2010, 04:38:58 am
So, here's the breakdown:

Gauck is supported by SPD, Greens, Free Voters, SSW, the Saxon FDP, and the Bremen FDP (openly anyway). Wulff is supported by CDU, CSU, and the remaining FDP. Representatives of the FDP from Thuringia and Saxony-Anhalt had also announced some sympathies for Gauck though.

One possible best case scenario for Gauck ist that all FDP electors (prehaps including the respective Bundestag members) from those four states vote for him.

This would lead to the following tally:
Wulff 629 (six more than necessary)
Gauck 488
Jochimsen 124
Rennicke 3

Of course, we don't know if and how many more CDU and FDP electors could switch sides at least during the first ballot.
4574  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Presidential Election Poll on: June 30, 2010, 04:12:02 am
I'm not sure that Rennicke is the DVU's presidential candidate as well. First of all, they don't have any electors of their own anymore. In addition, their alliance with the NPD was broken off some time ago.

(Well, the new DVU chairman wanted to merge his party with the NPD. In response to that he was recently expelled from his own party. He contested the legality of this move in court and the court ruled in his favour. So far, the DVU refuses to recognize the court order though. At this point, it is unclear if the DVU has a chairman and who this chairman would be. So the party is not really in a state where it could make political decisions or presidential endorsements anyway.)
4575  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany on: June 29, 2010, 10:05:25 am
FDP drops below 5% for the first time... well, since when, actually? 1998?

EDIT: Ah, the FDP had dropped below 5% in late 2002 in the aftermath of the Möllemann scandal.


Forsa, 6/29

CDU/CSU 32%
SPD 27%
Greens 18%
Left 11%
FDP 4%

Since the FDP is eliminated, majority for SPD/Greens
Pages: 1 ... 178 179 180 181 182 [183] 184 185 186 187 188 ... 290


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines