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January 28, 2015, 11:15:47 am
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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 21, 2015, 06:37:34 am
That looks great cinyc! Awesome work! And I'm also glad that Homely posted his Albertan example, which is still one of the greatest pieces of mapwork on this site.

Just a quick question, cinyc - judging from how blue most of Utah is, and how red the North Coast of California is, and how blue the central part of California is - is the key correct?
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your 5 favorite banned posters on: January 21, 2015, 01:16:36 am
yeah JSojourner left of his own volition.

I don't think he actually left, I think he has voluntarily muted himself but still logs on occasionally, which is regrettable because he was a voice of reason and moderation (with the notable exception of his one grave error, for which he took this drastic action). He has messaged me in the past twelve months, I think.
3  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Elections where the winning party lost the popular vote. on: January 20, 2015, 10:07:40 pm
South Australia 2010 and 2014

For two elections running, the South Australian Labour party has trailed the LNP in the TPP vote, but still have remained in government. The Liberals keep running up their margins in the base, but cannot quite grab the all important marginals.

Queensland under Joh Bjelke Petersen was also amusingly gerrymandered to the benefit of rurals, so the ALP often won the popular vote but was kept out of office.

That was once the case in South Australia too (the "Playmander").  Indeed it seems to have been something the Australian Right were rather keen on.

Nothing to do with the Australian Right. In Queensland, Bjelke-Petersen merely extended what had been initially instituted by the Labor Party, who allowed regional cities such as Rockhampton, Mackay, Cairns, Townsville, etc, to be under-represented (incidentally, Labor polled very well in the regional cities at that time). Bjelke-Petersen extended it to include rural areas as well as regional cities (and rural areas to be over-represented even more than the regional cities were), but it was still Labor that had introduced this malapportionment.
4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / German Snipers on: January 20, 2015, 09:13:16 pm
Quite an interesting piece. Clicking on the photographer's name in the opening sentence opens his website.
5  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Texas is Way Bigger .... on: January 20, 2015, 09:12:19 pm
Great site - I've been moving Australia around and covering Europe, etc.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What percentage of 1846km has Bushie walked in the last 16 months? on: January 18, 2015, 08:40:17 pm
Is this how far you've walked playing Ingress over the past 16 months?
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Wish me luck (for probable date with nice girl I met) on: January 18, 2015, 04:38:49 am
"I'll let you know" is generally not a good sign.

Yes, the prospects look grim given this response.

Yeah, I know.

Plus it even looks grimmer, because I don't even know if she has a boyfriend or not.

At least I thought it would be better to just ask her to do some winter sports together, rather than first asking her directly if she already has a BF or not.

Hey, good luck mate! Hope it goes well for you!
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in a suburban or rural area? on: January 15, 2015, 07:42:01 pm
Peri-urban.

I think there are benefits to living in either rural and suburban areas, inner- or outer-suburban, or inner-city. There are also disadvantages to living in each of these areas. The key to satisfaction in life is focussing on the benefits and not on the disadvantages.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Smid on: January 14, 2015, 06:33:37 pm
Thanks, all.

Miles - I'm working on one at the moment (long way off from completion), that will be quite impressive in the end, I think.
10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Most culturally "unique" of the lower 48 states on: January 13, 2015, 06:19:06 pm
California is uniquely diverse.

This alone makes it completely unsuitable to compare with the largely homogenous example given in the initial post (Quebec). I mean, just look at these demographic maps. Virtually no variation from one riding to the next! (Obviously I am speaking tongue-in-cheek)

Three maps by Hashemite:

English in Montreal and Laval by Quebec Provincial/National Riding




Another map by Hashemite:

English in Montreal and Laval by Canadian Federal Riding




Hashemite's economic maps - Quebec.

Median Household Income, Percent Low Income, Percent employed in Management roles, Percent employed in Trades, Percent employed in the Manufacturing Sector, Percent with a Degree, Unemployment Rate, Non-White (Montreal & Laval) and Percent Francophone (Northern Quebec and Lanaudière-Mauricie):

Northern Quebec/Outaouais/Laurentides/Nunavik Demographic Maps by Canadian Federal Riding




Montreal and Laval Demographic Maps by Canadian Federal Riding




Montreal and Laval Median Household Income Level by Quebec Provincial/National Riding




Lanaudière-Mauricie Demographic Maps by Canadian Federal Riding


[/quote]


Note - All these maps, and more, are available here
11  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Which electoral maps are the most aesthetically pleasing to your eye? on: January 13, 2015, 06:05:07 pm


Your image isn't in the gallery at present.

Smid must've removed it. Here's the updated version:


Which one was it? When I find a slight error (typically a rogue pixel), I remove it, save the map and then edit the map in the Gallery to upload the new image. Of course, when you save a new image in the Gallery, it changes the extension name, which means all the previous links to it don't work. I haven't deleted any of my maps (I don't think I have, anyway, certainly not in a very long time), but the Canadian one is fairly new and I've been ironing out errors for the past couple of weeks (hopefully all fixed now), so the edits are likely to have changed the link.

I suspect you posted this one?
2011 Canadian Federal Election Results Map - Notionally Adjusted to Reflect Redistributed Riding Boundaries
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas Quality Reader's Guide on: January 13, 2015, 05:26:42 pm
I think this thread is the epitome of special threads.
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which post is more Atlas? on: January 12, 2015, 07:01:48 pm
The second post was the clear winner of 2024 but the first has dethroned it and will probably win 2015.

It's a post form the future? Shocked

It took me a moment to realise it was a typo - my initial thought was that he was parodying "predict the 3112 election - discuss with maps"
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Smid on: January 12, 2015, 06:56:08 pm
Thanks, guys.


FF. The forum would be better off if he posted more.

Posting more would mean creating maps less...
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of afleitch on: January 12, 2015, 06:53:44 pm
He's a great bloke.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Franzl on: January 12, 2015, 06:51:59 pm
I have only ever gotten on well with him. He's a top-notch fella.
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Leave of absence (temporary) on: January 12, 2015, 06:22:49 pm
Well, I missed my flight from Toronto to Bogotá and I'm stuck in T.O. for the night and flying out tomorrow. It's a relief that things have worked out (thus far), but Air Canada is trash. In the meantime, I have a Bushie-like hotel night here.

I heard of someone who once speculated that Air Canada's motto is "we're not happy, until you're not happy."
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The "Opinion of" Repository of Popularity and Cliqueness on: January 12, 2015, 08:18:09 am
I had one once, a long, long time ago. I suspect I don't post frequently enough to promote a positive impression in people these days, so I won't post the link, because my numbers will therefore likely come down with the influx of new voters. I was sitting at 35-2 when I checked it again just now, although I doubt those figures would be replicated in a fresh poll.
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What's the hottest weather you've walked a meaningful distance in? on: January 08, 2015, 10:42:32 pm
As a volunteer firefighter, I've done a fair bit of walking and heavier work on total fire ban days, which are typically the hottest days in Summer. The hottest/heaviest I remember was a couple of years back, when we had finished extinguishing a small grass and scrub fire and I had to haul five lengths of hose (a length of hose is 30m) back up hill.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: January 06, 2015, 06:34:48 pm

Watch out Megan Leslie. She'd lose by a hefty margin based on those numbers.

The interesting thing is - if you look at their polling chart on p2, at every election, the NDP has out-performed on election day compared to their final poll, while the Liberal Party has under-performed on election day compared to their final poll.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Lief (Plus Belated Happy B'Day!) on: January 06, 2015, 09:33:07 am
I'm a fan.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: January 06, 2015, 06:53:10 am
Nice work on the maps, Smid.

Thanks!


Incidentally, I found another rogue pixel (in addition to the two noted in a previous post, in Quebec and Nova Scotia). This one is on the boundary between Cambridge and Wellington-Halton Hills, in the Golden Horseshoe inset. Please correct this, or download the corrected versions, if you have already downloaded any maps. The maps in the Gallery have now been updated prior to this post, and available for download.


Meanwhile, here are three maps showing how competitive the Conservative Party, Liberal Party and NDP are in each riding. The map compares the party's vote with its strongest competitor, shading the riding green if the party holds the riding (in which case the strongest competitor is the party that ran second), and red if another party holds the riding (obviously, if another party holds the riding, this is the strongest competitor). Obviously, if the party won the riding or came second, the shade is the same strength as the margin, but the margin is larger if the party polled third or lower.

Basically, pale green = key seat (sandbagging/defence), pale red = key seat (target), dark green = safe seat (held by party), dark red = safe seat (held by someone else). Of course, parties can experience large swings, so it's not perfect - much of Quebec would have been a fairly dark shade of red for the NDP prior to last election, after all. Nonetheless, some may still find these interesting. (Edit: Obviously, a dark red seat may not necessarily be a "safe seat" in the true sense of the word, merely that the party in question is a long way behind the leader - for example, Elmwood-Transcona on the Liberal Map is reasonably dark red, but last election was a close contest between the Conservatives and NDP).


2013 Canadian Federal Redistribution Map - Conservative Competitiveness by Riding
Based on 2011 Canadian Federal Election Results, notionally adjusted to reflect boundary changes



2013 Canadian Federal Redistribution Map - NDP Competitiveness by Riding
Based on 2011 Canadian Federal Election Results, notionally adjusted to reflect boundary changes



2013 Canadian Federal Redistribution Map - Liberal Competitiveness by Riding
Based on 2011 Canadian Federal Election Results, notionally adjusted to reflect boundary changes
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Queensland State Election, 2015 on: January 04, 2015, 04:40:22 am
Note, there are maps in the Gallery.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: January 04, 2015, 04:24:06 am
I'm in the process of putting together a proportionate swing calculator. I had one for the previous boundaries. I can probably complete it tomorrow, but if not, I can certainly complete it this week.

Meanwhile, I found another two rogue pixels. I've corrected them and will be re-uploading the maps for anyone who wishes to download. If you're playing along at home and would rather just fix the mistakes yourself, one is in Rivière-des-Mille-Îles (in the Greater Montreal Inset) and the other is in the main map, on the electorate boundary, between West Nova and South Shore - St. Margarets.

Additionally, here is a turnout map:

2011 Canadian Federal Election Turnout Map, by Riding, Notionally Adjusted to reflect redistributed riding boundaries
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: January 01, 2015, 12:18:22 am
2011 Canadian Federal Election - Margins of Victory by Riding, Notionally Adjusted to Redistribution
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